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 "heading": "AI match predictions: Football Prediction Record",
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  "body": "Forecast Record recorded 36 settled live picks by AI match predictions before kick-off across 29 matches between 26 October and 7 November 2026. At our recorded market prices these picks returned −20.1% on the total staked. Of the 192 predictions we hold for AI match predictions, 131 are linked to matches: 120 were recorded by us before kick-off and 11 first found after the match. Figures as of 7 November 2026.",
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   "quote_text": "🇪🇸 Spain La Liga: 1/4 ❌",
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   },
   "stake_hundredths": 10000,
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   "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
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   "detected_at": "2026-11-07T09:06:58.519Z",
   "executed_at": null,
   "statement_class": "unpriced",
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   "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
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    "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled",
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   "observation_id": "n-c63f11a2134762f13357f2d2",
   "url": "/sources/ai-match-predictions/picks/10/#pick-n-c63f11a2134762f13357f2d2",
   "quote_text": "Predicted outcome: Bayern München",
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   "quote_text": "#Football #SpainLaLiga #Bundesliga #PremierLeague",
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   "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-4ade7ed0034dc947ee73ab33",
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   "detected_at": "2026-11-07T03:38:38.253Z",
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   "quote_text": "Netherlands Eredivisie: 1/1 ❌",
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   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
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  "headline_kind": "live_snapshot",
  "headline_part": "live",
  "settled_picks": 36,
  "matches": 29,
  "void": 0,
  "net_points_hundredths": -72523,
  "staked_hundredths": 360000,
  "return_percent": "-20.15",
  "stake_per_pick_hundredths": 10000,
  "period_from": "2026-10-26",
  "period_to": "2026-11-07",
  "status": "calculated",
  "method_version": "2.2",
  "short_history": false,
  "reason": null,
  "reasons": [],
  "sentence": "Forecast Record recorded 36 settled live picks by AI match predictions before kick-off across 29 matches between 26 October and 7 November 2026. At our recorded market prices these picks returned −20.1% on the total staked. Of the 192 predictions we hold for AI match predictions, 131 are linked to matches: 120 were recorded by us before kick-off and 11 first found after the match. Figures as of 7 November 2026.",
  "numbers": [
   {
    "label": "Settled live picks",
    "value": "36",
    "anchor": "/methodology/#settled-pick",
    "note": null
   },
   {
    "label": "Matches",
    "value": "29",
    "anchor": "/methodology/#match",
    "note": null
   },
   {
    "label": "Net result",
    "value": "−725.23 points",
    "anchor": "/methodology/#settlement",
    "note": "100 points per pick"
   },
   {
    "label": "Return at our recorded market price",
    "value": "−20.1%",
    "anchor": "/methodology/#roi",
    "note": "95% interval −42.9% to +7.0%"
   }
  ],
  "limitations": [],
  "other_series": [],
  "return_over_time": [
   {
    "date": "2026-10-26",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": 26225,
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   },
   {
    "date": "2026-10-27",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": 7225,
    "n": 4
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-10-28",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": 12725,
    "n": 6
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-10-29",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": 17875,
    "n": 8
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-10-30",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": 4175,
    "n": 12
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-11-01",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": 7075,
    "n": 13
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-11-02",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": 11525,
    "n": 14
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-11-03",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": -8475,
    "n": 19
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-11-05",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": -37436,
    "n": 30
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-11-06",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": -55226,
    "n": 33
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-11-07",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": -72523,
    "n": 36
   }
  ],
  "return_over_time_parts": {
   "live": {
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    "label": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "Return at our recorded market price",
    "x_axis": "match_date",
    "dated_note": "Dated by match day. Each pick was recorded by us before kick-off and settled after the match.",
    "settled_picks": 36,
    "matches": 29,
    "match_dates": 11,
    "period_from": "2026-10-26",
    "period_to": "2026-11-07",
    "stake_per_pick_hundredths": 10000,
    "final_points_hundredths": -72523,
    "low": {
     "date": "2026-11-07",
     "cumulative_points_hundredths": -72523,
     "after_picks": 36
    },
    "high": {
     "date": "2026-10-26",
     "cumulative_points_hundredths": 26225,
     "after_picks": 1
    },
    "line_drawn": true,
    "steps": [
     {
      "date": "2026-10-26",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": 26225,
      "n": 1,
      "picks": 1
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-10-27",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": 7225,
      "n": 4,
      "picks": 3
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-10-28",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": 12725,
      "n": 6,
      "picks": 2
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-10-29",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": 17875,
      "n": 8,
      "picks": 2
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-10-30",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": 4175,
      "n": 12,
      "picks": 4
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-11-01",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": 7075,
      "n": 13,
      "picks": 1
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-11-02",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": 11525,
      "n": 14,
      "picks": 1
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-11-03",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -8475,
      "n": 19,
      "picks": 5
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-11-05",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -37436,
      "n": 30,
      "picks": 11
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-11-06",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -55226,
      "n": 33,
      "picks": 3
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-11-07",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -72523,
      "n": 36,
      "picks": 3
     }
    ]
   },
   "archived": null
  },
  "author_response": null,
  "cite": {
   "text": "Forecast Record recorded 36 settled live picks by AI match predictions before kick-off across 29 matches between 26 October and 7 November 2026. At our recorded market prices these picks returned −20.1% on the total staked. Of the 192 predictions we hold for AI match predictions, 131 are linked to matches: 120 were recorded by us before kick-off and 11 first found after the match. Figures as of 7 November 2026.",
   "url": "https://forecastrecord.com/sources/ai-match-predictions/",
   "data_as_of": "2026-11-07",
   "method_version": "2.2"
  },
  "origin": {
   "contract_version": "1",
   "predictions": 192,
   "under_review": 0,
   "no_match_linked": 61,
   "proven_predictions": 120,
   "proven_checked": 102,
   "proven_measured": 67,
   "proven_dates": 12,
   "parts": [
    {
     "code": "live",
     "title": "Recorded before kick-off",
     "explanation": "Saved by us from the source before kick-off.",
     "predictions": 120,
     "checked": 102,
     "price_rule": "Return at our recorded market price",
     "series_code": "market_price",
     "main": {
      "settled_picks": 36,
      "void": 0,
      "matches": 29,
      "net_points_hundredths": -72523,
      "staked_hundredths": 360000,
      "return_percent": "-20.15",
      "interval_low": "-42.89",
      "interval_high": "6.98",
      "interval_note": null,
      "period_from": "2026-10-26",
      "period_to": "2026-11-07",
      "method_version": "2.2",
      "snapshot_delay_median_hours": "0.0",
      "snapshot_delay_max_hours": "0.1",
      "checked_after_kickoff_picks": 0
     },
     "same_picks": [
      {
       "price": "Closing price",
       "series_code": "closing_live",
       "picks": 10,
       "return_main_percent": "-0.56",
       "return_other_percent": "-1.61",
       "settled_excluding_void": 10,
       "net_main_points_hundredths": -558,
       "net_other_points_hundredths": -1608,
       "period_from": "2026-10-28",
       "period_to": "2026-11-07"
      }
     ],
     "score": {
      "score_forecasts": 31,
      "exact_hits": 4,
      "exact_rate": 12.9,
      "outcome_checked": 31,
      "outcome_hits": 22,
      "outcome_rate": 71.0,
      "baseline_matches": 17,
      "baseline_distinct_matches": 17,
      "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 13,
      "outcome_rate_on_baseline": 76.5,
      "favourite_hits": 12,
      "favourite_rate": 70.6,
      "price_basis": "our pre-match snapshot",
      "pending": 4,
      "void": 0,
      "recorded_after_kickoff": 7,
      "lines": [
       "Outcome checked. No betting return is attributed to these score forecasts.",
       "4 of 31 score forecasts named the exact score (12.9%).",
       "The result implied by the named score was right in 13 of 17 matches; the market favourite was right in 12 of the same 17 matches.",
       "A pre-match market favourite is known for 17 of 31 forecasts; the comparison uses only those.",
       "The market favourite is the home win, draw or away win with the lowest price in our own odds snapshot taken before kick-off.",
       "The implied result follows from the named score (2-1 implies a home win)."
      ]
     },
     "eligible": {
      "checked": 102,
      "priced": 36
     },
     "accuracy": {
      "picks": 36,
      "won": 20,
      "won_percent": "55.6",
      "implied_percent": "55.1",
      "left_out": 0,
      "by_market": [
       {
        "market": "Match result",
        "won": 20,
        "picks": 28,
        "implied_percent": "67.9"
       },
       {
        "market": "Correct score",
        "won": 0,
        "picks": 8,
        "implied_percent": "10.5"
       }
      ]
     },
     "reviewed_after": {
      "predictions": 37,
      "right": 12,
      "wrong": 25,
      "other": 0
     }
    },
    {
     "code": "archived",
     "title": "Archived before kick-off",
     "explanation": "Restored from a copy saved by an independent web archive before kick-off.",
     "predictions": 0,
     "checked": 0,
     "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices",
     "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
     "main": null,
     "same_picks": [],
     "score": {
      "score_forecasts": 0,
      "exact_hits": 0,
      "exact_rate": null,
      "outcome_checked": 0,
      "outcome_hits": 0,
      "outcome_rate": null,
      "baseline_matches": 0,
      "baseline_distinct_matches": 0,
      "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0,
      "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null,
      "favourite_hits": 0,
      "favourite_rate": null,
      "price_basis": null,
      "pending": 0,
      "void": 0,
      "recorded_after_kickoff": 0,
      "lines": []
     },
     "eligible": {
      "checked": 0,
      "priced": 0
     },
     "accuracy": null
    },
    {
     "code": "found_after",
     "title": "Found after the match",
     "explanation": "First found after the match; the date is the one the source states.",
     "predictions": 11,
     "checked": 11,
     "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices",
     "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
     "main": null,
     "same_picks": [],
     "score": {
      "score_forecasts": 0,
      "exact_hits": 0,
      "exact_rate": null,
      "outcome_checked": 0,
      "outcome_hits": 0,
      "outcome_rate": null,
      "baseline_matches": 0,
      "baseline_distinct_matches": 0,
      "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0,
      "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null,
      "favourite_hits": 0,
      "favourite_rate": null,
      "price_basis": null,
      "pending": 0,
      "void": 0,
      "recorded_after_kickoff": 0,
      "lines": []
     },
     "eligible": {
      "checked": 11,
      "priced": 0
     },
     "accuracy": null
    }
   ]
  },
  "live_alongside": null,
  "headline_record_ids": [
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  ],
  "interval_low": "-42.89",
  "interval_high": "6.98",
  "caption": "Recorded before kick-off, at our recorded market price · 100 points per pick · 26 October – 7 November 2026 · Calculated · picks settled under method v2.2",
  "record_from": "2026-10-25",
  "record_to": "2026-11-07"
 },
 "recorded_picks": [
  {
   "record_id": "n-4e10eda06d179e3d99f5d6e5",
   "url": "/sources/ai-match-predictions/picks/9/#pick-n-4e10eda06d179e3d99f5d6e5",
   "match": "Göztepe v İstanbul Başakşehir",
   "match_url": "/football/matches/goztepe-vs-istanbul-basaksehir-2026-11-07/",
   "kickoff": "2026-11-07T16:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Süper Lig",
   "lead_hours": 12.4,
   "market_code": "correct_score_market",
   "author_said": "Correct score: Göztepe 2-0 İstanbul Başakşehir",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Lost",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "1-2",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": -10000,
   "series_code": "market_price",
   "series_short": "odds snapshot",
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": "11.0000",
   "published_at": "2026-11-07T03:24:44.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-11-07T03:38:55.462Z",
   "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "record_part": "live",
   "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off",
   "in_headline": true,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
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   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-4e10eda06d179e3d99f5d6e5",
    "quote_text": "Predicted outcome: Goztepe\nPredicted score: 2:0",
    "fragment_from": 550,
    "fragment_to": 597,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "telegram",
     "url": "https://t.me/ai_match_prediction/14005",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": null,
     "authorship": "channel_consensus",
     "media_from_ms": null,
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    },
    "published_at": "2026-11-07T03:24:44.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-11-07T03:38:55.462Z",
    "executed_at": "2026-11-07T05:24:50.616Z",
    "statement_class": "score_forecast",
    "status": "recognised",
    "cause": null,
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": "s-e406d99704e4",
     "display_name": "Göztepe — İstanbul Başakşehir",
     "competition_name": "Süper Lig",
     "starts_at": "2026-11-07T16:00:00.000Z",
     "url": "/football/matches/goztepe-vs-istanbul-basaksehir-2026-11-07/",
     "scoreline": "1-2",
     "condition": "finished"
    },
    "market_label": "Correct score",
    "outcome_label": "Göztepe 2-0 İstanbul Başakşehir",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": null,
     "our_snapshot": "11.0000",
     "our_snapshot_at": "2026-11-07T03:36:00.554Z",
     "our_snapshot_source": "market snapshot",
     "closing": null,
     "closing_source": null
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "loss",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": -10000,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": "ours",
    "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "recorded_pre_match",
    "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2026-11-07T03:24:44.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "element",
     "source_page_at": "2026-11-07T03:24:44.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-11-07T03:38:55.462Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff",
    "origin_detail": null,
    "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Correct score",
     "choice": "Göztepe 2-0 İstanbul Başakşehir",
     "author_odds": null,
     "market_key": "correct_score_market",
     "choice_key": "2-0",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Correct score: Göztepe 2-0 İstanbul Başakşehir"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "loss",
     "scoreline": "1-2",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "in_words": "Did not match: the final score was Göztepe 1-2 İstanbul Başakşehir."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
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      "series_key": "market_price",
      "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Correct score",
      "choice": "Göztepe 2-0 İstanbul Başakşehir",
      "decimal_odds": "11.0000",
      "odds_role": "market_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "loss",
      "result_words": "Lost",
      "change_hundredths": -10000,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T05:24:50.616Z",
      "methodology_version": "2.2",
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     },
     {
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      "series_key": "derived_series",
      "series_label": "Forecast Record reconstruction from the predicted score",
      "derived": true,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": false,
      "market_label": "1X2, match result",
      "choice": "Göztepe",
      "decimal_odds": "2.0400",
      "odds_role": "market_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "loss",
      "result_words": "Lost",
      "change_hundredths": -10000,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T05:24:51.615Z",
      "methodology_version": "2.2",
      "on_claim_market": false,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "AI match predictions",
     "publisher": "t.me",
     "forecaster": "AI match predictions",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://t.me/ai_match_prediction/14005",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "Göztepe 2-0 İstanbul Başakşehir"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-c63f11a2134762f13357f2d2",
   "url": "/sources/ai-match-predictions/picks/10/#pick-n-c63f11a2134762f13357f2d2",
   "match": "1. FSV Mainz 05 v FC Bayern München",
   "match_url": "/football/matches/1-fsv-mainz-05-vs-fc-bayern-munchen-2026-11-07/",
   "kickoff": "2026-11-07T14:30:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Bundesliga",
   "lead_hours": 5.4,
   "market_code": "1x2",
   "author_said": "1X2, match result: FC Bayern München",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Won",
   "claim_outcome": "Won",
   "final_score": "1-2",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": 2703,
   "series_code": "market_price",
   "series_short": "odds snapshot",
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": "1.2703",
   "published_at": "2026-11-07T07:26:30.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-11-07T09:06:58.519Z",
   "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "record_part": "live",
   "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off",
   "in_headline": true,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
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   "quote": "Predicted outcome: Colo Colo",
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   "published_at": "2026-10-30T15:16:44.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-30T20:21:51.604Z",
   "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "record_part": "unlinked",
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   "in_headline": false,
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  {
   "record_id": "n-9a08575e04f066d64d8df3c6",
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   "quote": "Predicted outcome: Sporting CP",
   "group": "excluded",
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   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "not_supported",
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   "published_at": "2026-10-30T15:16:44.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-30T20:21:51.604Z",
   "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "record_part": "unlinked",
   "record_part_words": "Without a match page",
   "in_headline": false,
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  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-633a5d5ed81e750f4a27a9e1",
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   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Predicted outcome: Club Brugge KV",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "not_supported",
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   "series_code": null,
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   "published_at": "2026-10-30T15:16:44.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-30T20:21:51.604Z",
   "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "record_part": "unlinked",
   "record_part_words": "Without a match page",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
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   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-f11f69847fc074b5c6241e69",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
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   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Predicted score: 3:0",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "not_supported",
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   "series_code": null,
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   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-10-30T11:15:51.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-30T11:21:51.143Z",
   "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "record_part": "unlinked",
   "record_part_words": "Without a match page",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
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   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-68af0c61550305b1e82745fd",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
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   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Predicted outcome: Shakhtar Donetsk",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "not_supported",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
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   "published_at": "2026-10-30T11:15:51.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-30T11:21:51.143Z",
   "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "record_part": "unlinked",
   "record_part_words": "Without a match page",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
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   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-0d720e2a4e397d93353aa255",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
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   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Predicted outcome: Inter Miami",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "not_supported",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-10-28T19:10:31.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-28T23:36:45.900Z",
   "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "record_part": "unlinked",
   "record_part_words": "Without a match page",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
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   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-0a7c3803dfd5dd3a82d67d71",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
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   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Predicted score: 2:1",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
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   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "not_supported",
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   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-10-27T15:10:18.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-27T16:06:45.765Z",
   "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "record_part": "unlinked",
   "record_part_words": "Without a match page",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
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   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-355ba0616941951734b9e79a",
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   "competition": null,
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   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Predicted outcome: Argentinos JRS",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "not_supported",
   "points_hundredths": null,
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   "published_at": "2026-10-27T15:10:18.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-27T16:06:45.765Z",
   "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "record_part": "unlinked",
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   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-3f08ad31acd9899fc866f33a",
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   "match_url": null,
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   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Predicted outcome: East Bengal",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "not_supported",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
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   "published_at": "2026-10-27T11:13:04.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-27T11:36:46.201Z",
   "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "record_part": "unlinked",
   "record_part_words": "Without a match page",
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   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-c37eb94ef97f6e0c570be237",
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   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Predicted outcome: Ratchaburi",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "not_supported",
   "points_hundredths": null,
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   "published_at": "2026-10-27T03:10:04.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-27T07:06:44.935Z",
   "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "record_part": "unlinked",
   "record_part_words": "Without a match page",
   "in_headline": false,
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   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-37207699b0dd449c58fed404",
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   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Predicted outcome: Al-Nassr",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "not_supported",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
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   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-10-26T07:09:06.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-26T14:21:48.488Z",
   "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
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   "record_part_words": "Without a match page",
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   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-3529aa20edec440c5da1425a",
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   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Predicted outcome: Al Quwa Al Jawiya",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "not_supported",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
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   "published_at": "2026-10-26T07:09:06.000Z",
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   "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
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  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-2014b319d24c8d9b44451146",
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   "quote": "Predicted outcome: Toulouse❌\nPredicted score: 2:1",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "not_supported",
   "points_hundredths": null,
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   "published_at": "2026-10-25T07:18:40.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-25T18:36:45.421Z",
   "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
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  "contract_version": 1,
  "threshold_hours": 2.0,
  "picks": 131,
  "before_kickoff": 120,
  "after_kickoff": 11,
  "at_least_2h": 117,
  "share_2h_plus": 89.3,
  "median_hours": 6.6,
  "min_hours": 1.4,
  "max_hours": 12.4,
  "words": "Hours between the moment we recorded the pick and kick-off; the share counts picks recorded at least two hours before kick-off."
 },
 "baseline": {
  "contract_version": 1,
  "series_code": "market_price",
  "rule": "recorded-line-1.0",
  "state": "settled",
  "picks": 5,
  "settled_picks_all": 65,
  "excluded": {
   "market_without_favourite": 8,
   "no_recorded_line": 52,
   "favourite_not_settled": 0
  },
  "staked_hundredths": 50000,
  "author_net_hundredths": 14040,
  "favourite_net_hundredths": 14040,
  "difference_hundredths": 0,
  "author_return_percent": 28.08,
  "favourite_return_percent": 28.08,
  "author_hit_rate": 100.0,
  "favourite_hit_rate": 100.0,
  "picked_favourite_share": 100.0,
  "by_market": [
   {
    "market_code": "1x2",
    "picks": 5,
    "staked_hundredths": 50000,
    "author_net_hundredths": 14040,
    "favourite_net_hundredths": 14040,
    "author_hits": 5,
    "favourite_hits": 5,
    "picked_favourite": 5,
    "author_return_percent": 28.08,
    "favourite_return_percent": 28.08
   }
  ],
  "return_over_time": [
   {
    "kickoff": "2026-10-28T22:30:00.000Z",
    "author_cumulative_hundredths": 2700,
    "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": 2700
   },
   {
    "kickoff": "2026-10-30T18:00:00.000Z",
    "author_cumulative_hundredths": 6000,
    "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": 6000
   },
   {
    "kickoff": "2026-10-30T22:00:00.000Z",
    "author_cumulative_hundredths": 9000,
    "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": 9000
   },
   {
    "kickoff": "2026-11-01T13:00:00.000Z",
    "author_cumulative_hundredths": 11900,
    "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": 11900
   },
   {
    "kickoff": "2026-11-05T22:30:00.000Z",
    "author_cumulative_hundredths": 14040,
    "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": 14040
   }
  ],
  "words": "Same stakes, same matches, same recorded moment: the author’s picks against backing the market favourite by the recorded line. Only markets with a single shortest price count (match result, over/under, both teams to score, handicap); correct score and combined markets are left out."
 },
 "pagination": {
  "per_page": 20,
  "total": 192,
  "pages": 11,
  "page_urls": [
   "/sources/ai-match-predictions/",
   "/sources/ai-match-predictions/picks/2/",
   "/sources/ai-match-predictions/picks/3/",
   "/sources/ai-match-predictions/picks/4/",
   "/sources/ai-match-predictions/picks/5/",
   "/sources/ai-match-predictions/picks/6/",
   "/sources/ai-match-predictions/picks/7/",
   "/sources/ai-match-predictions/picks/8/",
   "/sources/ai-match-predictions/picks/9/",
   "/sources/ai-match-predictions/picks/10/",
   "/sources/ai-match-predictions/picks/11/"
  ],
  "groups": {
   "settled": 36,
   "pending": 6,
   "excluded": 150
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    "return_percent": "18.06",
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    "text": "+72.25 points on 4 settled picks across 4 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "reason": "Added 1 earlier pick for matches played before the previous data version (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).",
   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
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   "at": "2026-10-27T19:45:36.171Z",
   "data_version": "2026-10-27.3",
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    "composition_hash": "8dffbc64bed5a6befce155e0f4fb2fa19d92c579e85b1b9e33a451053c4467e1",
    "text": "+272.25 points on 2 settled picks across 2 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
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    "data_version": "2026-10-27.3",
    "return_percent": "57.42",
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    "composition_hash": "7157174712886de150b4aa2e6b3cb03c6bbd968948cdc5e139eecef1fb806f39",
    "text": "+172.25 points on 3 settled picks across 3 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
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   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
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  {
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    "composition_hash": "8dffbc64bed5a6befce155e0f4fb2fa19d92c579e85b1b9e33a451053c4467e1",
    "text": "+272.25 points on 2 settled picks across 2 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "reason": "First headline number for this record: 2 settled picks in the series “independent odds snapshot”.",
   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
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 ],
 "current_predictions": {
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    "competition": "Liga Profesional",
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   },
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 },
 "counts_by_slice": {
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       },
       {
        "code_name": "1x2",
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