Tristan: football tipster record

Where Tristan publishes

Published under this name on wetttipps-heute.com.

Record card

To link to this record from your site or bio, copy the line below. It states only the facts of this record.

<a href="https://forecastrecord.com/authors/tristan/">Record tracked by Forecast Record since 9 October 2026 · 179 predictions · last change 6 November 2026</a>

Recorded before kick-off: supporting evidence

Eligible price: a market price that meets the price rule of its part of the record; the return is calculated on picks with one. Definition.

How the market price is set

Recorded before kick-off, graded after the match

47 predictions recorded before kick-off. Right in 27 of 47.

Prices implied by market

By market: Over/under goals 1 of 2 (1 W / 1 L, average odds 1.61) Small sample (2); Both teams to score 0 of 1 (0 W / 1 L, average odds 1.74) Small sample (1).

The implied share is the average of 1 ÷ price; it includes the bookmaker margin, so it is slightly above a fair chance. Markets with low prices are won more often, so a share of picks won says little on its own.

Found after kick-off · 6 settled after-match picks · won 2 of 6

First Found after kick-off; the date is the one the source states.

9 predictions; 8 checked against the final score.

6 settled selections across 5 matches, 17 September – 11 December 2025.

Reconstructed at archived prices: −273 points.

Eligible prices were available for 6 of the 8 selections checked against the result.

Prices are the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), bookmaker margin included.

Outcome accuracy vs implied by prices

Won 2 of 6 decided picks; the prices of the same picks implied 42.9%.

By market: Over/under goals 1 of 2 (1 W / 1 L, average odds 1.61) Small sample (2); Both teams to score 0 of 1 (0 W / 1 L, average odds 1.74) Small sample (1).

The implied share is the average of 1 ÷ price; it includes the bookmaker margin, so it is slightly above a fair chance. Markets with low prices are won more often, so a share of picks won says little on its own.

An author-quoted price is the price the article offered; the headline return uses the market price in the last column.

What kind of number is this?

Measured

Settled by us from the final score. Supporting evidence: Directly observed in a source or timestamped capture. Here: the moment we first captured each prediction; our pre-match market snapshot of each settled pick.

Stated

The author’s own claim, shown as published. Reported by the source; not independently confirmed. Here: the publication date a source page shows; the price an author quoted.

Calculated

Derived from the listed inputs under a published rule. Here: outcomes against the final score; returns, intervals and the share of picks won.

Unknown

Not established from the evidence available. Here: the market price at the moment a restored pick was published.

The four data statuses

What this record covers

We monitor the sources listed below. This is not a complete record of everything Tristan has published.

Source we monitor

wetttipps-heute.com

Channels

website

Watched by us

9 October – 6 November 2026

Earlier entries

restored from archives, back to 17 September 2025

Without a match page

104 predictions

Stated price vs market

How the prices this author stated compare with an independent market price of the same selection. Calculated from the picks where both prices are known; a gap can come from market movement or from one bookmaker offering more than the market, so it describes the stated prices, not the reason for them.

Our market price when we first recorded the pick — our market price for the same selection when we first recorded the pick (median of bookmakers in our price feed; failing that, the first price within 2 hours after, always before kick-off). Difference = the author's stated price ÷ the market price of the same selection − 1. A pick counts as above the market when the stated price is more than 5.0% higher. Each basis is its own comparison; they are never added together. A pair whose prices differ more than twofold is marked “price disputed”: it is probably not the same selection, so it is left out of this comparison and of every return at the author’s price until a manual check confirms the price. A price that the quoted text does not give is marked “price disputed” in the same way.

Author's response

No author's response is published on this page. Responses are published word for word. Correction requests are checked, and every change is logged.

Respond or request a correction

Coverage and exclusions

One set of records: the author’s statements. Each count is a part of the one above it. What each word means · What coverage says.

Statements

250

Predictions

179

Qualifying picks

16

Settled picks

15

Here a pick counts as settled when it has a result at any recorded price; the numbers at the top use only the price rule of their own part of the record.

Statements that are not predictions: 68 not about a match.

How this return was calculated

Every settled pick in “Recorded before kick-off, at our recorded market price” is a stake of 100 points at our recorded market price, a pre-match snapshot of the same selection. The net result (−155.56 points) is the sum of the profit and loss of these 3 settled live picks; the return is the net result divided by the total staked (300 points), void picks excluded. Definition of return on stakes · How a pick is settled.

Other prices of the same picks are compared row by row in each part of the record above; they are never added to this number.

Separate comparison window — last 90 days: −155.56 points on 3 live picks settled in this window · 3 matches · 24 October 2026 (calculated, method v2.2). How comparison windows are counted

Changes to this record

Earlier figures stay here with the reason: new results, extended coverage, a correction or a method change. Corrections are also listed in the corrections log.

Coverage extended · 27 October 2026

Before

+44.44 points on 1 settled pick across 1 match · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

After

−155.56 points on 3 settled picks across 3 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

Added 2 earlier picks for matches played before the previous record update (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).

New results · 24 October 2026

Before

no published headline number

After

+44.44 points on 1 settled pick across 1 match · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

First headline number for this record: 1 settled pick in the series “independent odds snapshot”.

Who this is

Last recorded by us

6 November 2026, 1 day before this page's data date

Observed

9 October 2026 — 6 November 2026

Channels

website

The same data, machine-readable

• Page data (JSON)
• Recorded picks (CSV)

From the same snapshot as this page. A download includes the full machine list when the page shows a filtered view.

Share cards of this record (2)

• Bankroll card — Tristan
• A month following Tristan

Check us

• How we count
• Right of reply and complaints
• What we collect
• Corrections log
• Data and API

Calculations for the displayed picks

Record definitions and related evidence

• Coverage and exclusions
• Matches
• Recorded picks and results
• How this return was calculated
• Recorded before kick-off — definition
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