{ "schema_name": "page", "schema_version": "2.0", "page_type": "author", "url": "/authors/tristan/", "canonical": "/authors/tristan/", "language": "en", "hreflang": [], "translations": [], "heading": "Tristan: Football Prediction Record", "description": "3 settled picks by Tristan recorded before kick-off across 3 matches, 24 Oct 2026: won 1 of 3 at our recorded market prices. Every pick with its source.", "first_paragraph": { "body": "Forecast Record recorded 3 settled live picks by Tristan before kick-off across 3 matches on 24 October 2026. Won 1 of 3 settled live picks at our recorded market prices. Of the 179 predictions we hold for Tristan, 75 are linked to matches: 66 were recorded by us before kick-off and 9 first found after the match. 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They never affect what you see above: the order of any table is computed before any commission is known.", "page_category": "author" }, "restrictions": { "name_withdrawn": false, "tracker_number": null, "withdrawn_quotes": [], "removed_at": null, "cause": null, "suspended_records": [], "withdrawal_log_number": 0 }, "page_links": { "methodology": "/methodology/", "right_of_reply": "/right-of-reply/", "source_coverage": "/coverage/", "corrections_log": "/corrections/", "api": "/api/", "claim": "/claim/" }, "entity": { "id": "e-8b89f2f0f7e8128630bb595b", "public_name": "Tristan", "tracker_number": 2794, "status": "active", "inactive_since": null, "verified_creator": false, "observation_period": { "since": "2026-10-09", "until": "2026-11-06" }, "platform_list": [ { "medium": "website", "handle": null, "url": null, "link_confirmed": false, "show": true } ], "comment": null }, "headline_number": { "metric": { "metric_id": "p-e-8b89f2f0f7e8128630bb595b-roi-market-price-90d-z99", "code_name": "roi_market_price", "display_name": "Return on stakes at an independent odds snapshot", "window_kind": "90d", "window_from": "2026-08-09", "window_to": "2026-11-07", "amount": "-51.8533", "unit": "percent", "data_status": "calculated", "cause": null, "n_bets": 3, "n_events": 3, "n_void": 0, "ci_low": null, "ci_high": null, "ci_method": "not_estimated", "price_source": "market_price", "coverage_percent": "66.67", "breakdown": [], "methodology_version": "2.2", "data_date": "2026-11-07T18:03:08.686Z", "enough_for_ranking": false, "series_uid": null, "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot" }, "byline": "Return on stakes at an independent odds snapshot over 90 days: 3 settled picks across 3 matches", "average_odds": "1.66", "odds_from_author": 2, "odds_from_snapshot": 1 }, "metrics": [], "history": [], "simulation": { "series_uid": "sr-c63a331a16a105eb580136a4", "bankroll_hundredths": 984444, "reserve_hundredths": 0, "issued_total_hundredths": 1000000, "top_up_count": 0, "profit_hundredths": -15556, "rewards_off": null, "initial_hundredths": 1000000, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "data_points": [ { "at": "2026-10-24T16:08:18.012Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 1004444, "profit_hundredths": 4444, "outcome_id": "ish-a0ea324b17aea7a7cc94d6a8" }, { "at": "2026-10-26T12:50:47.742Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 994444, "profit_hundredths": -5556, "outcome_id": "ish-60ccef8579ecd058274d1162" }, { "at": "2026-10-26T12:50:47.846Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 984444, "profit_hundredths": -15556, "outcome_id": "ish-0a65f7736200890c25438c7b" } ], "top_ups": [], "rule": "When the balance falls below 100 points and no bets are open, 10000 points are added; the remaining balance is kept. 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HZ\n\nSo oft traf dieser Tipp zu\nWettb.\nSpiele\n\nWelsWEL\n\n6 von 7\n\nAlle\n\nH & A\n\nSturm IISTU\n\n7 von 8\n\nAlle\n\nAusw.\n\nH2H\n\n1 von 2\n\n—\n\nH & A", "fragment_from": 6918, "fragment_to": 7070, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://wetttipps-heute.com/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Tristan", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "5186f260a1b074a335b9f28dac7e144a8e08dd07727f56631423226702de8870", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-11-04T12:17:50.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-06T21:15:00.321Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "unpriced", "status": "ambiguous", "cause": "", "cause_code": "ambiguous", "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-11-04T12:17:50.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-11-04T12:17:50.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-06T21:15:00.321Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "no_match_linked", "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "prediction", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-4e7442ab60c64c565576f28e", "url": "/authors/tristan/picks/10/#pick-n-4e7442ab60c64c565576f28e", "quote_text": "Über 2,5 Tore\n\nSo oft traf dieser Tipp zu\nWettb.\nSpiele\n\nLeipzigLEI\n\n8 von 10\n\n1BL\n\nH & A\n\nAugsburgAUG\n\n9 von 10\n\nAlle\n\nH & A\n\nH2H\n\n7 von 8\n\n—\n\nH & A\n\nQuote1.26", "fragment_from": 6652, "fragment_to": 6812, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://wetttipps-heute.com/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Tristan", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "5186f260a1b074a335b9f28dac7e144a8e08dd07727f56631423226702de8870", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-11-04T12:17:50.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-06T21:15:00.321Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "priced", "status": "ambiguous", "cause": "", "cause_code": "ambiguous", "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-11-04T12:17:50.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-11-04T12:17:50.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-06T21:15:00.321Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "no_match_linked", "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "prediction", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-04bf66ed8027ac376e86eb68", "url": "/authors/tristan/picks/10/#pick-n-04bf66ed8027ac376e86eb68", "quote_text": "Koper trifft in 2. HZ\n\nSo oft traf dieser Tipp zu\nWettb.\nSpiele\n\nKoperKOP\n\n6× Folge\n\n1. SNL\n\nH & A\n\nMuraMUR\n\n7 von 8\n\n1. SNL\n\nAusw.\n\nH2H\n\n7 von 10\n\n—\n\nH & A", "fragment_from": 6392, "fragment_to": 6548, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://wetttipps-heute.com/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Tristan", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "5186f260a1b074a335b9f28dac7e144a8e08dd07727f56631423226702de8870", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-11-04T12:17:50.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-06T21:15:00.321Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "unpriced", "status": "ambiguous", "cause": "", "cause_code": "ambiguous", "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-11-04T12:17:50.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-11-04T12:17:50.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-06T21:15:00.321Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "no_match_linked", "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "prediction", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-9c639cce60973126a135e92b", "url": "/authors/tristan/picks/10/#pick-n-9c639cce60973126a135e92b", "quote_text": "Beide Teams treffen\n\nSo oft traf dieser Tipp zu\nWettb.\nSpiele\n\nCesenaCES\n\n8 von 10\n\nSerie B\n\nH & A\n\nCatanzaroCAT\n\n6× Folge\n\nSerie B\n\nH & A\n\nH2H\n\n2 von 5\n\n—\n\nH & A\n\nQuote1.57", "fragment_from": 6125, "fragment_to": 6298, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://wetttipps-heute.com/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Tristan", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "5186f260a1b074a335b9f28dac7e144a8e08dd07727f56631423226702de8870", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-11-04T12:17:50.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-06T21:15:00.321Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "priced", "status": "ambiguous", "cause": "", "cause_code": "ambiguous", "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-11-04T12:17:50.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-11-04T12:17:50.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-06T21:15:00.321Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "no_match_linked", "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "prediction", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-e3313e428a5b20f3418f39be", "url": "/authors/tristan/picks/10/#pick-n-e3313e428a5b20f3418f39be", "quote_text": "Über 2,5 Tore\n\nSo oft traf dieser Tipp zu\nWettb.\nSpiele\n\nHannover IIHAN\n\n6× Folge\n\nRegionalliga …\n\nHeim\n\nWeiche F.WEI\n\n9 von 10\n\nRegionalliga …\n\nH & A\n\nH2H\n\n3 von 5\n\n—\n\nH & A\n\nQuote1.35", "fragment_from": 5844, "fragment_to": 6029, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://wetttipps-heute.com/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Tristan", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "5186f260a1b074a335b9f28dac7e144a8e08dd07727f56631423226702de8870", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-11-04T12:17:50.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-06T21:15:00.321Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "priced", "status": "ambiguous", "cause": "", "cause_code": "ambiguous", "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-11-04T12:17:50.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-11-04T12:17:50.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-06T21:15:00.321Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "no_match_linked", "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "prediction", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-54b670091c19cc773e031ebf", "url": "/authors/tristan/picks/10/#pick-n-54b670091c19cc773e031ebf", "quote_text": "Über 9,5 Ecken\n\nSo oft traf dieser Tipp zu\nWettb.\nSpiele\n\nBrageBRA\n\n6× Folge\n\nAlle\n\nHeim\n\nNorrbyNOR\n\n9 von 10\n\nSuperettan\n\nH & A\n\nH2H\n\n0 von 2\n\n—\n\nH & A\n\nQuote1.47", "fragment_from": 5566, "fragment_to": 5729, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://wetttipps-heute.com/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Tristan", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "5186f260a1b074a335b9f28dac7e144a8e08dd07727f56631423226702de8870", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-11-04T12:17:50.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-06T21:15:00.321Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "priced", "status": "ambiguous", "cause": "", "cause_code": "ambiguous", "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-11-04T12:17:50.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-11-04T12:17:50.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-06T21:15:00.321Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "no_match_linked", "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "prediction", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-6c31990307eb65447b6cee9c", "url": "/authors/tristan/picks/10/#pick-n-6c31990307eb65447b6cee9c", "quote_text": "Über 2,5 Tore\n\nSo oft traf dieser Tipp zu\nWettb.\nSpiele\n\nWiesbadenWIE\n\n6 von 7\n\nAlle\n\nH & A\n\nHavelseHAV\n\n8 von 10\n\nAlle\n\nH & A\n\nH2H\n\n1 von 2\n\n—\n\nH & A\n\nQuote1.36", "fragment_from": 5301, "fragment_to": 5462, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://wetttipps-heute.com/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Tristan", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "5186f260a1b074a335b9f28dac7e144a8e08dd07727f56631423226702de8870", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-11-04T12:17:50.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-06T21:15:00.321Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "priced", "status": "ambiguous", "cause": "", "cause_code": "ambiguous", "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-11-04T12:17:50.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-11-04T12:17:50.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-06T21:15:00.321Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "no_match_linked", "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "prediction", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-aab7de62eec05a2752e2b28c", "url": "/authors/tristan/picks/10/#pick-n-aab7de62eec05a2752e2b28c", "quote_text": "Beide Teams treffen\n\nSo oft traf dieser Tipp zu\nWettb.\nSpiele\n\nBonner SCBON\n\n9 von 10\n\nAlle\n\nHeim\n\nGüterslohGÜT\n\n7 von 9\n\nRegionalliga …\n\nH & A\n\nH2H\n\n2 von 2\n\n—\n\nH & A\n\nQuote1.46", "fragment_from": 4752, "fragment_to": 4930, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://wetttipps-heute.com/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Tristan", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "5186f260a1b074a335b9f28dac7e144a8e08dd07727f56631423226702de8870", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-11-04T12:17:50.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-06T21:15:00.321Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "priced", "status": "ambiguous", "cause": "", "cause_code": "ambiguous", "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-11-04T12:17:50.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-11-04T12:17:50.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-06T21:15:00.321Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "no_match_linked", "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "prediction", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-54c8fd994a02ada5c9b00876", "url": "/authors/tristan/picks/10/#pick-n-54c8fd994a02ada5c9b00876", "quote_text": "Aalen gewinnt\n\nSo oft traf dieser Tipp zu\nWettb.\nSpiele\n\nAalenAAL\n\n6× Folge\n\nRegionalliga …\n\nH & A\n\nKasselKAS\n\n8 von 10\n\nAlle\n\nAusw.\n\nH2H\n\n1 von 3\n\n—\n\nH & A\n\nQuote1.39", "fragment_from": 5038, "fragment_to": 5205, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://wetttipps-heute.com/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Tristan", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "5186f260a1b074a335b9f28dac7e144a8e08dd07727f56631423226702de8870", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-11-04T12:17:50.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-06T21:15:00.321Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "priced", "status": "ambiguous", "cause": "", "cause_code": "ambiguous", "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-11-04T12:17:50.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-11-04T12:17:50.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-06T21:15:00.321Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "no_match_linked", "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "prediction", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-8e09594262867cf9d789e7f0", "url": "/authors/tristan/picks/10/#pick-n-8e09594262867cf9d789e7f0", "quote_text": "Hobro trifft in 2. HZ", "fragment_from": 3879, "fragment_to": 3900, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://wetttipps-heute.com/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Tristan", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "5186f260a1b074a335b9f28dac7e144a8e08dd07727f56631423226702de8870", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-11-04T12:17:50.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-06T21:15:00.321Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "priced", "status": "ambiguous", "cause": "", "cause_code": "ambiguous", "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-11-04T12:17:50.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-11-04T12:17:50.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-06T21:15:00.321Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "no_match_linked", "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "prediction", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-116b1fd2a908d27627d538fd", "url": "/authors/tristan/picks/9/#pick-n-116b1fd2a908d27627d538fd", "quote_text": "Heute02:30Houston Rockets – Minnesota TimberwolvesNBA · Tipp: Houston Rockets Handicap -8,5 (inkl. 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"source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "no_match_linked", "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "prediction", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-b5cd9f30e0e16bf152354b41", "url": "/authors/tristan/picks/8/#pick-n-b5cd9f30e0e16bf152354b41", "quote_text": "+1,26 E · NFL · Tipp: Jaguars Sieg", "fragment_from": 10972, "fragment_to": 11006, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://wetttipps-heute.com/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Tristan", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": 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"source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "no_match_linked", "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "prediction", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-7e0c64f712af353509d08a63", "url": "/authors/tristan/picks/7/#pick-n-7e0c64f712af353509d08a63", "quote_text": "+3,48 E · NFL · Tipp: Unter 45,5 Punkte", "fragment_from": 10904, "fragment_to": 10943, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://wetttipps-heute.com/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Tristan", "authorship": "channel_owner", 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"source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "no_match_linked", "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "prediction", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-186cb97a497f148d441ef33c", "url": "/authors/tristan/picks/7/#pick-n-186cb97a497f148d441ef33c", "quote_text": "+3,40 E · NBA · Tipp: Gesamtpunkte Unter 221,5 (inkl. Verlängerung)", "fragment_from": 10740, "fragment_to": 10807, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://wetttipps-heute.com/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Tristan", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "e1dd0bfafea7a0570ad5fa65af52424b779b6b368127275345baa538209cf1a8", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-29T08:51:05.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-03T16:29:35.831Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "priced", "status": "not_supported", "cause": "", "cause_code": "not_supported", "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-29T08:51:05.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-29T08:51:05.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-03T16:29:35.831Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "no_match_linked", "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "prediction", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-84628bba4c4d737c2913b364", "url": "/authors/tristan/picks/7/#pick-n-84628bba4c4d737c2913b364", "quote_text": "−2,00 E · NBA · Tipp: Gesamtpunkte Über 218,5 (inkl. Verlängerung)", "fragment_from": 10627, "fragment_to": 10693, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://wetttipps-heute.com/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Tristan", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "e1dd0bfafea7a0570ad5fa65af52424b779b6b368127275345baa538209cf1a8", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-29T08:51:05.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-03T16:29:35.831Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "priced", "status": "not_supported", "cause": "", "cause_code": "not_supported", "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-29T08:51:05.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-29T08:51:05.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-03T16:29:35.831Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "no_match_linked", "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "prediction", "authorship": null, "correction": null } ], "standing": null, "retro": { "restored_total": 8, "of_them_archived_pre_match": 0, "found_post_match": 8, "of_them_source_reported": 0, "live_count": 7, "date_count": 3, "span_from": "2025-09-17", "span_to": "2025-12-11", "line_text": "restored history: 8, of which pre-match archive 0", "body": "We re-read what this author published before Champions League and Europa League matches between 17 September 2025 and 11 December 2025 and settled it against the final score. Restored picks: 8. Backed by a copy of the page in an independent web archive taken before kick-off: 0. Found after the match, with the publication date as stated by the source: 8. The market price at the moment of publication cannot be reconstructed, so restored picks are shown as reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), not at the closing price, for the pre-match archive and the later finds separately; the author's quoted price and, where it exists, the aggregator closing price are compared with it on the same picks. Authors can delete losing picks, so restored history may look better than it was.", "precision": { "n": 8, "share": "0.375" }, "series_list": [ { "code_name": "retro_author_price", "display_name": "Restored, at the author's stated price", "n": 6, "roi": "-17.1667", "ci_low": null, "ci_high": null, "data_status": "calculated", "methodology_version": "retro-1.0", "cause": null }, { "code_name": "retro_market_closing", "display_name": "Restored, at the closing market price", "n": 0, "roi": null, "ci_low": null, "ci_high": null, "data_status": "unknown", "methodology_version": "retro-1.0", "cause": "no restored pick with this price" }, { "code_name": "retro_market_closing_sm", "display_name": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)", "n": 6, "roi": "-45.5000", "ci_low": null, "ci_high": null, "data_status": "calculated", "methodology_version": "retro-1.1", "cause": null } ], "clv": { "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the market price at the moment of publication is unknown for restored picks; the author's quoted price against the aggregator closing price is compared on the same picks in each part of the record above" }, "methodology_version": "retro-1.0", "leagues": [ "Champions League", "Europa League" ], "source_list": "Results: the official regulation-time score, checked against a second data provider for 0 settled restored picks and forecasts, and the two agree; 8 come from one provider only. Prices: the aggregator closing price and the second data provider's last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), as a separate series; each provider is its own series and they are never averaged." }, "late": null, "price_vs_market": { "contract_version": "1", "threshold_percent": "5", "rows": [ { "basis": "snapshot", "basis_words": "our market price for the same selection when we first recorded the pick (median of bookmakers in our price feed; failing that, the first price within 2 hours after, always before kick-off)", "basis_short": "Our market price when we first recorded the pick", "compared": 2, "above": 0, "above_share_percent": "0.0", "below": 0, "within": 2, "median_difference_percent": "0.5", "not_comparable": 0, "disputed": 0, "status": "calculated" } ], "examples": [], "method": "Difference = the author's stated price ÷ the market price of the same selection − 1. A pick counts as above the market when the stated price is more than 5% higher. Each basis is its own comparison; they are never added together. A pair whose prices differ more than twofold is marked “price disputed”: it is probably not the same selection, so it is left out of this comparison and of every return at the author’s price until a manual check confirms the price. A price that the quoted text does not give is marked “price disputed” in the same way." }, "record_summary": { "contract_version": "1", "entity_type": "person", "entity_words": "Individual author", "source": { "name": "wetttipps-heute.com", "url": "https://wetttipps-heute.com/" }, "observed_from": "2026-10-09", "observed_to": "2026-11-06", "data_as_of": "2026-11-07", "state": "settled", "series_code": "market_price", "series": "Recorded before kick-off, at our recorded market price", "restored": false, "headline_kind": "live_snapshot", "headline_part": "live", "settled_picks": 3, "matches": 3, "void": 0, "net_points_hundredths": -15556, "staked_hundredths": 30000, "return_percent": "-51.85", "stake_per_pick_hundredths": 10000, "period_from": "2026-10-24", "period_to": "2026-10-24", "status": "calculated", "method_version": "2.2", "short_history": true, "reason": null, "reasons": [], "sentence": "Forecast Record recorded 3 settled live picks by Tristan before kick-off across 3 matches on 24 October 2026. Won 1 of 3 settled live picks at our recorded market prices. Of the 179 predictions we hold for Tristan, 75 are linked to matches: 66 were recorded by us before kick-off and 9 first found after the match. Figures as of 7 November 2026.", "numbers": [ { "label": "Settled live picks", "value": "3", "anchor": "/methodology/#settled-pick", "note": null }, { "label": "Matches", "value": "3", "anchor": "/methodology/#match", "note": null }, { "label": "Net result", "value": "−155.56 points", "anchor": "/methodology/#settlement", "note": "100 points per pick" }, { "label": "Return at our recorded market price", "value": "−51.9%", "anchor": "/methodology/#roi", "note": null } ], "limitations": [], "other_series": [], "return_over_time": [], "return_over_time_parts": { "live": { "part": "live", "label": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "Return at our recorded market price", "x_axis": "match_date", "dated_note": "Dated by match day. Each pick was recorded by us before kick-off and settled after the match.", "settled_picks": 3, "matches": 3, "match_dates": 1, "period_from": "2026-10-24", "period_to": "2026-10-24", "stake_per_pick_hundredths": 10000, "final_points_hundredths": -15556, "low": { "date": "2026-10-24", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -15556, "after_picks": 3 }, "high": { "date": "2026-10-24", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -15556, "after_picks": 3 }, "line_drawn": false, "steps": [ { "date": "2026-10-24", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -15556, "n": 3, "picks": 3 } ] }, "archived": null }, "author_response": null, "cite": { "text": "Forecast Record recorded 3 settled live picks by Tristan before kick-off across 3 matches on 24 October 2026. Won 1 of 3 settled live picks at our recorded market prices. Of the 179 predictions we hold for Tristan, 75 are linked to matches: 66 were recorded by us before kick-off and 9 first found after the match. Figures as of 7 November 2026.", "url": "https://forecastrecord.com/authors/tristan/", "data_as_of": "2026-11-07", "method_version": "2.2" }, "origin": { "contract_version": "1", "predictions": 179, "under_review": 0, "no_match_linked": 104, "proven_predictions": 66, "proven_checked": 62, "proven_measured": 3, "proven_dates": 9, "parts": [ { "code": "live", "title": "Recorded before kick-off", "explanation": "Saved by us from the source before kick-off.", "predictions": 66, "checked": 62, "price_rule": "Return at our recorded market price", "series_code": "market_price", "main": { "settled_picks": 3, "void": 0, "matches": 3, "net_points_hundredths": -15556, "staked_hundredths": 30000, "return_percent": "-51.85", "interval_low": null, "interval_high": null, "interval_note": "too few independent matches to estimate an interval", "period_from": "2026-10-24", "period_to": "2026-10-24", "method_version": "2.2", "snapshot_delay_median_hours": "0.0", "snapshot_delay_max_hours": "0.1", "checked_after_kickoff_picks": 2 }, "same_picks": [ { "price": "Author-quoted price", "series_code": "author_price", "picks": 2, "return_main_percent": "-27.78", "return_other_percent": "-26.50", "settled_excluding_void": 2, "net_main_points_hundredths": -5556, "net_other_points_hundredths": -5300, "period_from": "2026-10-24", "period_to": "2026-10-24" }, { "price": "Closing price", "series_code": "closing_live", "picks": 1, "return_main_percent": "-100.00", "return_other_percent": "-100.00", "settled_excluding_void": 1, "net_main_points_hundredths": -10000, "net_other_points_hundredths": -10000, "period_from": "2026-10-24", "period_to": "2026-10-24" } ], "score": { "score_forecasts": 0, "exact_hits": 0, "exact_rate": null, "outcome_checked": 0, "outcome_hits": 0, "outcome_rate": null, "baseline_matches": 0, "baseline_distinct_matches": 0, "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0, "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null, "favourite_hits": 0, "favourite_rate": null, "price_basis": null, "pending": 0, "void": 0, "recorded_after_kickoff": 0, "lines": [] }, "eligible": { "checked": 62, "priced": 3 }, "accuracy": { "picks": 3, "won": 1, "won_percent": "33.3", "implied_percent": "60.9", "left_out": 0, "by_market": [ { "market": "Over/under goals", "won": 1, "picks": 2, "implied_percent": "62.7" }, { "market": "Both teams to score", "won": 0, "picks": 1, "implied_percent": "57.4" } ] }, "reviewed_after": { "predictions": 47, "right": 27, "wrong": 20, "other": 0 } }, { "code": "archived", "title": "Archived before kick-off", "explanation": "Restored from a copy saved by an independent web archive before kick-off.", "predictions": 0, "checked": 0, "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices", "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm", "main": null, "same_picks": [], "score": { "score_forecasts": 0, "exact_hits": 0, "exact_rate": null, "outcome_checked": 0, "outcome_hits": 0, "outcome_rate": null, "baseline_matches": 0, "baseline_distinct_matches": 0, "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0, "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null, "favourite_hits": 0, "favourite_rate": null, "price_basis": null, "pending": 0, "void": 0, "recorded_after_kickoff": 0, "lines": [] }, "eligible": { "checked": 0, "priced": 0 }, "accuracy": null }, { "code": "found_after", "title": "Found after the match", "explanation": "First found after the match; the date is the one the source states.", "predictions": 9, "checked": 8, "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices", "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm", "main": { "settled_picks": 6, "void": 0, "matches": 5, "net_points_hundredths": -27300, "staked_hundredths": 60000, "return_percent": "-45.50", "interval_low": null, "interval_high": null, "interval_note": "too few independent matches to estimate an interval", "period_from": "2025-09-17", "period_to": "2025-12-11", "method_version": "retro-1.1" }, "same_picks": [ { "price": "Author-quoted price", "series_code": "retro_author_price", "picks": 5, "return_main_percent": "-34.60", 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null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "Bodø/Glimt over 1.5 (Team goals over/under 1.5)" } }, { "record_id": "n-ca93ab007e40cb9fe815dcc3", "url": "/authors/tristan/picks/4/#pick-n-ca93ab007e40cb9fe815dcc3", "match": "RB Leipzig v SV 07 Elversberg", "match_url": "/football/matches/rb-leipzig-vs-sv-07-elversberg-2026-10-24/", "kickoff": "2026-10-24T13:30:00.000Z", "competition": "Bundesliga", "lead_hours": 9.5, "market_code": "total", "author_said": "Over/Under 1.5 goals, second half: over 1.5 at 1.47", "quote": null, "group": "settled", "outcome": "Won", "claim_outcome": "Won", "final_score": "4-0", "reason": null, "reason_code": null, "points_hundredths": 4444, "series_code": "market_price", "series_short": "odds snapshot", "author_price": "1.47", "settled_price": "1.4444", "published_at": "2026-10-22T10:41:01.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-24T03:59:31.866Z", "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "record_part": "live", "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off", "in_headline": true, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": { "outcome": "over", "price": "1.4444", "result": "Won", "points_hundredths": 4444, "picked_favourite": true }, "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-ca93ab007e40cb9fe815dcc3", "quote_text": "Ü 1,5 Tore in 2. HZ\n\nSo oft traf dieser Tipp zu\nWettb.\nSpiele\n\nLeipzigLEI\n\n9 von 10\n\n1BL\n\nH & A\n\nElversbergELV\n\n8 von 10\n\nAlle\n\nH & A\n\nH2H\n\n—\n\n—\n\nH & A\n\nQuote1.47", "fragment_from": 7009, "fragment_to": 7171, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://wetttipps-heute.com/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Tristan", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "273af5d1f2cc05b7d06bf60482c9b593c16925f4aaaca71f48e0c3214634809c", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-22T10:41:01.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-24T03:59:31.866Z", "executed_at": "2026-10-24T06:02:28.769Z", "statement_class": "priced", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": "s-ef6c75e8191d", "display_name": "RB Leipzig — SV 07 Elversberg", "competition_name": "Bundesliga", "starts_at": "2026-10-24T13:30:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/rb-leipzig-vs-sv-07-elversberg-2026-10-24/", "scoreline": "4-0", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "Over/Under 1.5 goals, second half", "outcome_label": "over 1.5", "odds_set": { "by_author": "1.47", "our_snapshot": "1.4444", "our_snapshot_at": "2026-10-24T04:05:48.248Z", "our_snapshot_source": "market snapshot", "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "win", "simulation_change_hundredths": 4444, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": "ours", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-22T10:41:01.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-22T10:41:01.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-24T03:59:31.866Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Over/Under 1.5 goals, second half", "choice": "over 1.5", "author_odds": "1.47", "market_key": "total", "choice_key": "over", "period": "second_half", "line": "1.5", "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Over/Under 1.5 goals, second half: over 1.5 at 1.47" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "win", "scoreline": "4-0", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Won: the final score was RB Leipzig 4-0 SV 07 Elversberg." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "e223dabf7dac4a0face1fd9283ed7b80acaa28ee1a938dbc17cc7bcd6101cfad", "series_key": "author_price", "series_label": "At the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Over/Under 1.5 goals, second half", "choice": "over 1.5", "decimal_odds": "1.47", "odds_role": "author_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 4700, "executed_at": "2026-10-24T06:02:27.363Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "4c9a5f8450e8e3b0e3724a026e26e59e88c46164597881bf05a4071d6f819ffe", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Over/Under 1.5 goals, second half", "choice": "over 1.5", "decimal_odds": "1.4444", "odds_role": "market_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 4444, "executed_at": "2026-10-24T06:02:28.769Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "settled_pick", "authorship": { "material_author": "Tristan", "publisher": "wetttipps-heute.com", "forecaster": "Tristan", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://wetttipps-heute.com/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "over 1.5 (Over/Under 1.5 goals, second half)" } }, { "record_id": "n-f25ea306181df78b3b301325", "url": "/authors/tristan/picks/3/#pick-n-f25ea306181df78b3b301325", "match": "Admira Wacker v FC Wacker Innsbruck", "match_url": "/football/matches/admira-wacker-vs-fc-wacker-innsbruck-2026-10-24/", "kickoff": "2026-10-24T13:30:00.000Z", "competition": "Austria 2. Liga", "lead_hours": 13.5, "market_code": "total", "author_said": "Over/Under 1.5 goals, second half: under 1.5 at 1.78", "quote": null, "group": "settled", "outcome": "Won", "claim_outcome": "Won", "final_score": "1-0", "reason": null, "reason_code": null, "points_hundredths": 7800, "series_code": "author_price", "series_short": "author's odds", "author_price": "1.78", "settled_price": "1.78", "published_at": "2026-10-22T10:41:01.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-23T23:59:34.873Z", "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "record_part": "live", "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-f25ea306181df78b3b301325", "quote_text": "Trend\n89%\n\nU 1,5 Tore in 2. HZ\n\nSo oft traf dieser Tipp zu\nWettb.\nSpiele\n\nAdmiraADM\n\n8× Folge\n\nAdmiral 2. 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The line of this over/under market was recorded with a minus sign; a total cannot be negative, and the source gives the line without one. The line now matches the source and the outcome is worked out on it. This pick was never executed, so no number changes.", "version": 2, "url": "/corrections/#c-f1b2048399e9", "text": "Corrected on 14 October 2026: Data corrected: line sign. The line of this over/under market was recorded with a minus sign; a total cannot be negative, and the source gives the line without one. The line now matches the source and" }, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-cb58a83528f9c8963819af06", "quote_text": "Unter 9,5 Ecken", "fragment_from": 6476, "fragment_to": 6491, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://wetttipps-heute.com/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Tristan", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "d635554115034691dfaa432d600d7b57cfcb4d78f46100202922be66952fac4d", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-09-29T10:22:45.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-10T14:16:01.700Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "unpriced", "status": "not_supported", "cause": "", "cause_code": "not_supported", "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-09-29T10:22:45.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-09-29T10:22:45.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-10T14:16:01.700Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "no_match_linked", "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [ { "at": "2026-10-14T02:01:04.598Z", "field_name": "line sign", "was": "Over/Under −9.5 corners · under −9.5", "now": "Over/Under 9.5 corners · under 9.5", "cause": "Data corrected: line sign. The line of this over/under market was recorded with a minus sign; a total cannot be negative, and the source gives the line without one. The line now matches the source and the outcome is worked out on it. This pick was never executed, so no number changes." } ], "funnel_stage": "prediction", "authorship": null, "correction": { "at": "2026-10-14T02:01:04.598Z", "field": "line sign", "reason": "Data corrected: line sign. The line of this over/under market was recorded with a minus sign; a total cannot be negative, and the source gives the line without one. The line now matches the source and the outcome is worked out on it. This pick was never executed, so no number changes.", "version": 2, "url": "/corrections/#c-f1b2048399e9", "text": "Corrected on 14 October 2026: Data corrected: line sign. The line of this over/under market was recorded with a minus sign; a total cannot be negative, and the source gives the line without one. The line now matches the source and" }, "choice_words": "a pick" } }, { "record_id": "n-b5a360cd0f5fc3e4f35c55ca", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Remis (1. 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Only markets with a single shortest price count (match result, over/under, both teams to score, handicap); correct score and combined markets are left out." }, "pagination": { "per_page": 20, "total": 179, "pages": 10, "page_urls": [ "/authors/tristan/", "/authors/tristan/picks/2/", "/authors/tristan/picks/3/", "/authors/tristan/picks/4/", "/authors/tristan/picks/5/", "/authors/tristan/picks/6/", "/authors/tristan/picks/7/", "/authors/tristan/picks/8/", "/authors/tristan/picks/9/", "/authors/tristan/picks/10/" ], "groups": { "settled": 15, "pending": 0, "excluded": 164 }, "continuation": "by_time", "page": 1, "first": 1, "last": 20, "author_url": "/authors/tristan/", "current": false }, "title_tag": "Tristan Predictions: Verified Record, Results and Sources", "calculator": null, "person": { "person_id": "o-8b89f2f0f7e8128630bb595b", "type_code": "individual", "name_shown": "Tristan", "main_entity": "e-8b89f2f0f7e8128630bb595b", "identity": { "status": "not_verified", "is_verified": false, "when": null, "source_list": [] }, "platform_list": [ { "entity_ref": "e-8b89f2f0f7e8128630bb595b", "medium": "wetttipps-heute.com", "channel": "section pages", "domain": "wetttipps-heute.com", "source_info": "wetttipps-heute-com", "byline": "Tristan", "url": "/sources/wetttipps-heute-com/", "summary": { "statements": 250, "predictions": 179, "settled_picks": 3, "headline_kind": "live_snapshot", "return_percent": -51.85, "headline_part": "live", "period_from": "2026-10-09", "period_to": "2026-11-06" } } ], "previously": [], "trust_tier": "probation" }, "data_revision": { "data_version": "2026-10-27.1", "updated": "2026-10-27", "current_release": "2026-11-07.2", "data_as_of": "2026-11-07", "method_version": "2.2", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "series_code": "market_price", "sample": { "settled_picks": 3, "matches": 3, "void": 0, "period_from": "2026-10-24", "period_to": "2026-10-24", "composition_hash": "6ed72651f97c43ec0803db1fd0c57352e627dd999db7d4720eb9cbb18538e6ae" }, "changes_url": "#changes", "corrections_url": "/corrections/" }, "number_changes": [ { "id": "zc-1791b6eb081866fadabb", "at": "2026-10-27T07:47:02.386Z", "data_version": "2026-10-27.1", "previous_data_version": "2026-10-26.1", "url": "/authors/tristan/", "category": "coverage_extended", "category_words": "Coverage extended", "before": { "data_version": "2026-10-24.4", "return_percent": "44.44", "settled_picks": 1, "matches": 1, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "37bdbdcb74d5e0c5b57341bc06349d41a5c1f65082809e6f2f220d86d68b1239", "text": "+44.44 points on 1 settled pick across 1 match · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-10-27.1", "return_percent": "-51.85", "settled_picks": 3, "matches": 3, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "6ed72651f97c43ec0803db1fd0c57352e627dd999db7d4720eb9cbb18538e6ae", "text": "−155.56 points on 3 settled picks across 3 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "Added 2 earlier picks for matches played before the previous data version (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 2, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null }, { "id": "zc-8530779720096167699f", "at": "2026-10-24T16:52:01.947Z", "data_version": "2026-10-24.4", "previous_data_version": "2026-10-24.3", "url": "/authors/tristan/", "category": "new_results", "category_words": "New results", "before": null, "after": { "data_version": "2026-10-24.4", "return_percent": "44.44", "settled_picks": 1, "matches": 1, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "37bdbdcb74d5e0c5b57341bc06349d41a5c1f65082809e6f2f220d86d68b1239", "text": "+44.44 points on 1 settled pick across 1 match · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "First headline number for this record: 1 settled pick in the series “independent odds snapshot”.", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 1, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null } ], "counts_by_slice": { "portions": [ { "code": "live", "title": "Recorded before kick-off", "price_rule": "Return at our recorded market price", "settled_picks": 3, "total_check": true, "market_list": [ { "code_name": "total", "in_words": "Over/under goals", "url": null, "settled_picks": 2, "won": 1, "void": 0, "net_points_hundredths": -5556, "return_percent": "-27.8", "period_from": "2026-10-24", "period_to": "2026-10-24", "small_sample": true, "average_odds": "1.62", "odds_from_author": 1, "odds_from_snapshot": 1 }, { "code_name": "both_teams_score", "in_words": "Both teams to 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