Tiago Almeida: football tipster record

Where Tiago Almeida publishes

Published under this name on sportytrader.pt.

Record card

To link to this record from your site or bio, copy the line below. It states only the facts of this record.

<a href="https://forecastrecord.com/authors/tiago-almeida/">Record tracked by Forecast Record since 11 October 2026 · 152 predictions · last change 7 November 2026</a>

Recorded before kick-off: supporting evidence

Eligible price: a market price that meets the price rule of its part of the record; the return is calculated on picks with one. Definition.

How the market price is set

Recorded before kick-off, graded after the match

4 predictions recorded before kick-off. Right in 4 of 4.

Prices implied by market

By market: Match result 8 of 8 (8 W / 0 L, average odds 1.85) Small sample (8); Both teams to score 1 of 2 (1 W / 1 L, average odds 1.53) Small sample (2); Over/under goals 1 of 2 (1 W / 1 L, average odds 2.25) Small sample (2); Result and both teams to score 1 of 1 (1 W / 0 L, average odds 2.17) Small sample (1); Result and total goals 0 of 1 (0 W / 1 L, average odds 1.69) Small sample (1); Team goals 1 of 1 (1 W / 0 L, average odds 1.65) Small sample (1).

The implied share is the average of 1 ÷ price; it includes the bookmaker margin, so it is slightly above a fair chance. Markets with low prices are won more often, so a share of picks won says little on its own.

An author-quoted price is the price the article offered; the headline return uses the market price in the last column.

What kind of number is this?

Measured

Settled by us from the final score. Supporting evidence: Directly observed in a source or timestamped capture. Here: the moment we first captured each prediction; our pre-match market snapshot of each settled pick.

Stated

The author’s own claim, shown as published. Reported by the source; not independently confirmed. Here: the publication date a source page shows; the price an author quoted.

Calculated

Derived from the listed inputs under a published rule. Here: outcomes against the final score; returns, intervals and the share of picks won.

Unknown

Not established from the evidence available. Here: nothing on this page.

The four data statuses

What this record covers

We monitor the sources listed below. This is not a complete record of everything Tiago Almeida has published.

Source we monitor

sportytrader.pt

Channels

website

Watched by us

11 October – 7 November 2026

Without a match page

125 predictions

Stated price vs market

How the prices this author stated compare with an independent market price of the same selection. Calculated from the picks where both prices are known; a gap can come from market movement or from one bookmaker offering more than the market, so it describes the stated prices, not the reason for them.

Our market price when we first recorded the pick — our market price for the same selection when we first recorded the pick (median of bookmakers in our price feed; failing that, the first price within 2 hours after, always before kick-off). Difference = the author's stated price ÷ the market price of the same selection − 1. A pick counts as above the market when the stated price is more than 5.0% higher. Each basis is its own comparison; they are never added together. A pair whose prices differ more than twofold is marked “price disputed”: it is probably not the same selection, so it is left out of this comparison and of every return at the author’s price until a manual check confirms the price. A price that the quoted text does not give is marked “price disputed” in the same way.

Largest gaps: 1.45 against 2.50 (−42.0%) · 1.83 against 2.00 (−8.5%)

Author's response

No author's response is published on this page. Responses are published word for word. Correction requests are checked, and every change is logged.

Respond or request a correction

Coverage and exclusions

One set of records: the author’s statements. Each count is a part of the one above it. What each word means · What coverage says.

Statements

700

Predictions

152

Qualifying picks

17

Settled picks

16

Here a pick counts as settled when it has a result at any recorded price; the numbers at the top use only the price rule of their own part of the record.

Statements that are not predictions: 70 opinions and 475 not about a match.

How this return was calculated

Every settled pick in “Recorded before kick-off, at our recorded market price” is a stake of 100 points at our recorded market price, a pre-match snapshot of the same selection. The net result (+769.87 points) is the sum of the profit and loss of these 15 settled live picks; the return is the net result divided by the total staked (1,500 points), void picks excluded. Definition of return on stakes · How a pick is settled.

Other prices of the same picks are compared row by row in each part of the record above; they are never added to this number.

Separate comparison window — last 90 days: +51.3% on 15 live picks settled in this window · 12 matches · 11 October – 5 November 2026 (calculated, method v2.2). How comparison windows are counted

Changes to this record

Earlier figures stay here with the reason: new results, extended coverage, a correction or a method change. Corrections are also listed in the corrections log.

Coverage extended · 7 November 2026

Before

+62.2% on 13 settled picks across 11 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2 Small sample (13)

After

+51.3% on 15 settled picks across 12 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2 Small sample (15)

Added 2 earlier picks for matches played before the previous record update (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).

New results · 6 November 2026

Before

+64.3% on 11 settled picks across 9 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2 Small sample (11)

After

+62.2% on 13 settled picks across 11 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2 Small sample (13)

2 new settled picks from matches played after the previous record update.

Coverage extended · 1 November 2026

Before

+58.9% on 10 settled picks across 8 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2 Small sample (10)

After

+64.3% on 11 settled picks across 9 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2 Small sample (11)

Added 1 earlier pick for matches played before the previous record update (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).

New results · 31 October 2026

Before

+384.44 points on 8 settled picks across 7 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

After

+58.9% on 10 settled picks across 8 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2 Small sample (10)

2 new settled picks from matches played after the previous record update.

New results · 28 October 2026

Before

+484.44 points on 7 settled picks across 6 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

After

+384.44 points on 8 settled picks across 7 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

1 new settled pick from matches played after the previous record update.

New results · 27 October 2026

Before

+417.44 points on 6 settled picks across 5 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

After

+484.44 points on 7 settled picks across 6 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

1 new settled pick from matches played after the previous record update.

Coverage extended · 25 October 2026

Before

+177.44 points on 5 settled picks across 4 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

After

+417.44 points on 6 settled picks across 5 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

Added 1 earlier pick for matches played before the previous record update (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).

New results · 22 October 2026

Before

+127.44 points on 4 settled picks across 3 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

After

+177.44 points on 5 settled picks across 4 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

1 new settled pick from matches played after the previous record update.

New results · 21 October 2026

Before

−37.50 points on 2 settled picks across 2 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

After

+127.44 points on 4 settled picks across 3 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

2 new settled picks from matches played after the previous record update.

Data corrected · 19 October 2026

Before

−107.74 points on 4 settled picks across 3 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

After

−37.50 points on 2 settled picks across 2 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

Data corrected: 2 picks left the headline sample.

New results · 17 October 2026

Before

−37.50 points on 2 settled picks across 2 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

After

−107.74 points on 4 settled picks across 3 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

2 new settled picks from matches played after the previous record update.

Data corrected · 15 October 2026

Before

+62.50 points on 1 settled pick across 1 match · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

After

−37.50 points on 2 settled picks across 2 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

Data corrected: line sign (1 pick); 1 pick added.

Method changed · 11 October 2026

Before

no published headline number

After

+62.50 points on 1 settled pick across 1 match · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

(11 October 2026): the live market price of a pick is the market price at the moment the pick was first recorded, before kick-off. First headline number for this record: 1 settled pick.

Who this is

Last recorded by us

7 November 2026, the date of this page's data

Observed

11 October 2026 — 7 November 2026

Channels

website

Statements other than predictions (57 shown)

• “Mas a verdade é que este é "apenas" o melhor momento da época, o que não quer dizer que a equipa” — 6 November 2026, 18:52 GMT · source
• “Entre as várias odds que preveem algumas dificuldades para o AC Milan, a que representa o Genoa” — 6 November 2026, 16:40 GMT · source
• “Os registos históricos não param de proliferar e as últimas duas vitórias subiram ainda mais os níveis” — 6 November 2026, 11:39 GMT · source
• “Allegri está em risco no Napoli; Lazio faz história com este arranque na Serie A.” — 6 November 2026, 11:39 GMT · source
• “já deverá estar em desvantagem ao intervalo.” — 6 November 2026, 00:49 GMT · source
• “Conseguirá a pior defesa da Serie A, com 26 golos sofridos em 10 jornadas, resistir em Roma?” — 5 November 2026, 19:59 GMT · source
• “As "duas caras" da equipa de Gian Piero Gasperini vão novamente ser desafiadas” — 5 November 2026, 19:59 GMT · source

• O FC Koln ainda não perdeu em casa (três vitórias e dois empates), em cinco jogos oficiais.

  · Source

• Os pontos chave do prognóstico FC Colónia - Bayer Leverkusen

  · Source

• Os últimos confrontos entre FC Colónia e Bayer Leverkusen em estatísticas

  · Source

• 30€ oferecidos para apostar em FC Colónia - Bayer Leverkusen!

  · Source

• ainda privado de Martin Terrier, Eliesse Ben Seghir, Christian Kofane e Nathan Tella

  · Source

• 30€ oferecidos para apostar!

  · Source

• ESC Online oferece um bónus de 100€ no jogo Vitória Guimarães - FC Porto!

  · Source

• Quanto ao "onze", é provável que Farioli dê continuidade à rotação que tem feito no ataque

  · Source

• Pietuszewski está recuperado e pode regressar em Guimarães.

  · Source

• O Vitória SC conta nesta altura apenas com dois lesionados de longa duração: o lateral Francisco

  · Source

• À luz da história, o FC Porto parte em vantagem nesta altura em todos os sentidos.

  · Source

• Vitória só perdeu um dos últimos cinco jogos (na Luz); FC Porto quer chegar ao pleno de 33 pontos.

  · Source

• O algoritmo Sportytrader ⭐ calcula uma probabilidade de 13.8% para o prognóstico vitória

  · Source

• As melhores odds para apostar no Vitória Guimarães - FC Porto

  · Source

• 30 FS sem depósito + 100€ oferecidos para apostar em Vitória Guimarães - FC Porto!

  · Source

• ESC Online oferece um bónus de 100€ no jogo Génova - AC Milan!

  · Source

• 30 FS sem depósito + 100€ oferecidos para apostar em Génova - AC Milan!

  · Source

• Génova Formação titular : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1

  · Source

• Os últimos confrontos entre Génova e AC Milan em estatísticas

  · Source

• As melhores odds para apostar no Génova - AC Milan

  · Source

• Lesionados estão Tomori, Chukwueze, Mattia Gabbia, Alexis Saelemaekers e Loftus-Cheek

  · Source

• Nápoles continua com algumas baixas; Lázio tem titular Zaccagni em risco.

  · Source

• A imprensa italiana avança mesmo que o presidente Aurelio De Laurentiis fez um ultimato

  · Source

• 50€ oferecidos para apostar em Nápoles - Lázio!

  · Source

• O nosso modelo de previsões dá 31.33% de hipóteses ⭐ para uma aposta na vitória de Lázio vs Nápoles com uma odd de 3 na Placard.pt.

  · Source

• A probabilidade segundo a Sportytrader ⭐ para o prognóstico empate entre Nápoles vs Lázio é de 28.08% com uma odd de 3.55 na Betano.

  · Source

• O algoritmo Sportytrader ⭐ calcula uma probabilidade de 40.59% para o prognóstico vitória do Nápoles contra o Lázio com uma odd de 2.32 na Betano.

  · Source

• As melhores odds para apostar no Nápoles - Lázio

  · Source

• código promocional STYBET

  · Source

• Betclic oferece um bónus de 50€ no PSG - Troyes!

  · Source

• 50€ oferecidos para apostar em PSG - Troyes!

  · Source

• Vitórias 1/6 (17%)

  · Source

• 65€ oferecidos para apostar em Auxerre - Paris FC!

  · Source

• Auxerre - Paris FC: as estatísticas (Ligue 1)

  · Source

• Os últimos confrontos entre Auxerre e Paris FC em estatísticas

  · Source

• o goleador da Ligue 1 Lassine Sinayoko (oito golos) está em dúvida

  · Source

• Lamfia Dioubate foi expulso no último jogo do Auxerre e vai cumprir castigo

  · Source

• Atualmente em Solverde. Oferta por tempo limitado

  · Source

• 30€ oferecidos para apostar em Parma - Bolonha!

  · Source

• Roberto Piccoli regressa, mas Lorenzo De Silvestri, Jay Enem e Emil Holm são baixas.

  · Source

• Adrian Bernabe e Dominik Drobnic estão indisponíveis e são os dois casos clínicos mais recentes.

  · Source

• As lesões de Paulo Dybala (reintegrado esta semana nos treinos) e Pellegrini retiraram margem

  · Source

• Atualmente em Betano. Oferta por tempo limitado

  · Source

• 250€ oferecidos para apostar em AS Roma - US Sassuolo!

  · Source

• O nosso modelo de previsões dá 18.19% de hipóteses ⭐ para uma aposta na vitória de US Sassuolo vs AS Roma com uma odd de 8.75 na Placard.pt.

  · Source

• A probabilidade segundo a Sportytrader ⭐ para o prognóstico empate entre AS Roma vs US Sassuolo é de 21.9% com uma odd de 6.1 na Luckia.

  · Source

• O algoritmo Sportytrader ⭐ calcula uma probabilidade de 59.91% para o prognóstico vitória do AS Roma contra o US Sassuolo com uma odd de 1.31 na Betano.

  · Source

• Um pacote de boas-vindas até 250€ em 4 etapas (apostas desportivas + casino)

  · Source

• oferece um bónus exclusivo de 250€ através do código promocional STYVIP.

  · Source

• 250€ oferecidos para apostar em FC Veneza - Udinese!

  · Source

The full list is in the JSON and CSV downloads of this page.

The same data, machine-readable

• Page data (JSON)
• Recorded picks (CSV)

From the same snapshot as this page. A download includes the full machine list when the page shows a filtered view.

Share cards of this record (3)

• Bankroll card — Tiago Almeida
• A month following Tiago Almeida
• Turning point — Tiago Almeida

For the author of this record (1)

• Your record on Forecast Record: Tiago Almeida

Check us

• How we count
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• Corrections log
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Calculations for the displayed picks

Record definitions and related evidence

• Titles and record details
• Return over time
• Coverage and exclusions
• Matches
• Recorded picks and results
• How this return was calculated
• Recorded before kick-off — definition
• Corrected on 14 October 2026 : Data corrected: line sign. The line of this over/under market was recorded with a minus sign; a total cannot be negative, and the source gives the line without one. The line now matches the source and
• 8