Salvatore Maniaci: football tipster record

Where Salvatore Maniaci publishes

Published under this name on bottadiculo.it.

Record card

To link to this record from your site or bio, copy the line below. It states only the facts of this record.

<a href="https://forecastrecord.com/authors/salvatore-maniaci/">Record tracked by Forecast Record since 11 October 2026 · 251 predictions · last change 6 November 2026</a>

Recorded before kick-off: supporting evidence

Eligible price: a market price that meets the price rule of its part of the record; the return is calculated on picks with one. Definition.

How the market price is set

Recorded before kick-off, graded after the match

13 predictions recorded before kick-off. Right in 6 of 13.

Prices implied by market

By market: Match result 3 of 15 (prices implied 42.0% Small sample (15)); Both teams to score 6 of 11 (prices implied 59.8% Small sample (11)); Over/under goals 5 of 7 (5 W / 2 L, average odds 1.63) Small sample (7); Result and total goals 2 of 4 (2 W / 2 L, average odds 2.02) Small sample (4); Double chance 1 of 2 (1 W / 1 L, average odds 1.26) Small sample (2).

The implied share is the average of 1 ÷ price; it includes the bookmaker margin, so it is slightly above a fair chance. Markets with low prices are won more often, so a share of picks won says little on its own.

Score forecasts without a betting market price

Outcome checked. No betting return is attributed to these score forecasts.

1 of 5 score forecasts named the exact score.

The result implied by the named score was right in 2 of 2 forecasts; the market favourite was right in 2 of the same 2 forecasts.

Some matches carry more than one of these forecasts: 2 forecasts on 1 match.

A pre-match market favourite is known for 2 of 5 forecasts; the comparison uses only those.

The market favourite is the home win, draw or away win with the lowest price in our own odds snapshot taken before kick-off.

The implied result follows from the named score (2-1 implies a home win).

Found after kick-off

First Found after kick-off; the date is the one the source states.

1 prediction; 0 checked against the final score.

Source-reported history · 70 settled source-reported picks · −9.5%

The time and the pick are known only from the source’s own history; it is the basis of the record check and never part of the evidenced total.

71 predictions; 70 checked against the final score.

70 settled selections across 70 matches, 21 August – 10 October 2026.

Reconstructed at archived prices: −9.5% (95.0% interval −32.1% to +11.8%).

Eligible prices were available for 70 of the 70 selections checked against the result.

Prices are the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), bookmaker margin included.

Outcome accuracy vs implied by prices

Won 35 of 70 decided picks (50.0%); the prices of the same picks implied 53.1%.

By market: Match result 3 of 15 (prices implied 42.0% Small sample (15)); Both teams to score 6 of 11 (prices implied 59.8% Small sample (11)); Over/under goals 5 of 7 (5 W / 2 L, average odds 1.63) Small sample (7); Result and total goals 2 of 4 (2 W / 2 L, average odds 2.02) Small sample (4); Double chance 1 of 2 (1 W / 1 L, average odds 1.26) Small sample (2).

The implied share is the average of 1 ÷ price; it includes the bookmaker margin, so it is slightly above a fair chance. Markets with low prices are won more often, so a share of picks won says little on its own.

An author-quoted price is the price the article offered; the headline return uses the market price in the last column.

Record details and history

Each title is a fact about past picks, by published rules. How titles work

Are you Salvatore Maniaci? Show your titles on your site → · Confirm it's you

What kind of number is this?

Measured

Settled by us from the final score. Supporting evidence: Directly observed in a source or timestamped capture. Here: the moment we first captured each prediction; our pre-match market snapshot of each settled pick.

Stated

The author’s own claim, shown as published. Reported by the source; not independently confirmed. Here: the publication date a source page shows; the price an author quoted.

Calculated

Derived from the listed inputs under a published rule. Here: outcomes against the final score; returns, intervals and the share of picks won.

Unknown

Not established from the evidence available. Here: the market price at the moment a restored pick was published.

The four data statuses

What this record covers

We monitor the sources listed below. This is not a complete record of everything Salvatore Maniaci has published.

Source we monitor

bottadiculo.it

Channels

website

Watched by us

11 October – 6 November 2026

Earlier entries

restored from archives, back to 21 August 2026

Without a match page

93 predictions

Stated price vs market

How the prices this author stated compare with an independent market price of the same selection. Calculated from the picks where both prices are known; a gap can come from market movement or from one bookmaker offering more than the market, so it describes the stated prices, not the reason for them.

Our market price when we first recorded the pick — our market price for the same selection when we first recorded the pick (median of bookmakers in our price feed; failing that, the first price within 2 hours after, always before kick-off). Difference = the author's stated price ÷ the market price of the same selection − 1. A pick counts as above the market when the stated price is more than 5.0% higher. Each basis is its own comparison; they are never added together. A pair whose prices differ more than twofold is marked “price disputed”: it is probably not the same selection, so it is left out of this comparison and of every return at the author’s price until a manual check confirms the price. A price that the quoted text does not give is marked “price disputed” in the same way.

Largest gaps: 2.05 against 1.82 (+12.6%) · 3.65 against 3.31 (+10.4%)

Author's response

No author's response is published on this page. Responses are published word for word. Correction requests are checked, and every change is logged.

Respond or request a correction

Coverage and exclusions

One set of records: the author’s statements. Each count is a part of the one above it. What each word means · What coverage says.

Statements

956

Predictions

251

Qualifying picks

116

Settled picks

111

Here a pick counts as settled when it has a result at any recorded price; the numbers at the top use only the price rule of their own part of the record.

Statements that are not predictions: 162 opinions and 542 not about a match.

How this return was calculated

Every settled pick in “Recorded before kick-off, at our recorded market price” is a stake of 100 points at our recorded market price, a pre-match snapshot of the same selection. The net result (−1,036.23 points) is the sum of the profit and loss of these 39 settled live picks; the return is the net result divided by the total staked (3,900 points), void picks excluded. Definition of return on stakes · How a pick is settled.

Other prices of the same picks are compared row by row in each part of the record above; they are never added to this number.

Separate comparison window — last 90 days: −26.6% on 39 live picks settled in this window · 39 matches · 11 October – 7 November 2026 (calculated, method v2.2). How comparison windows are counted

Changes to this record

Earlier figures stay here with the reason: new results, extended coverage, a correction or a method change. Corrections are also listed in the corrections log.

Coverage extended · 7 November 2026

Before

−22.6% on 30 settled picks across 30 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

After

−26.6% on 39 settled picks across 39 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

Added 8 earlier picks for matches played before the previous record update (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture); also 1 new result.

Coverage extended · 7 November 2026

Before

−17.3% on 26 settled picks across 26 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2 Small sample (26)

After

−22.6% on 30 settled picks across 30 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

Added 4 earlier picks for matches played before the previous record update (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).

New results · 3 November 2026

Before

−19.8% on 25 settled picks across 25 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2 Small sample (25)

After

−17.3% on 26 settled picks across 26 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2 Small sample (26)

1 new settled pick from matches played after the previous record update.

Coverage extended · 2 November 2026

Before

−18.4% on 22 settled picks across 22 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2 Small sample (22)

After

−19.8% on 25 settled picks across 25 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2 Small sample (25)

Added 2 earlier picks for matches played before the previous record update (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture); also 1 new result.

New results · 1 November 2026

Before

−18.2% on 20 settled picks across 20 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2 Small sample (20)

After

−18.4% on 22 settled picks across 22 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2 Small sample (22)

2 new settled picks from matches played after the previous record update.

Coverage extended · 1 November 2026

Before

−21.9% on 19 settled picks across 19 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2 Small sample (19)

After

−18.2% on 20 settled picks across 20 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2 Small sample (20)

Added 1 earlier pick for matches played before the previous record update (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).

New results · 31 October 2026

Before

−26.6% on 18 settled picks across 18 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2 Small sample (18)

After

−21.9% on 19 settled picks across 19 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2 Small sample (19)

1 new settled pick from matches played after the previous record update.

Coverage extended · 30 October 2026

Before

−33.0% on 17 settled picks across 17 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2 Small sample (17)

After

−26.6% on 18 settled picks across 18 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2 Small sample (18)

Added 1 earlier pick for matches played before the previous record update (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).

Coverage extended · 29 October 2026

Before

−55.0% on 14 settled picks across 14 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2 Small sample (14)

After

−33.0% on 17 settled picks across 17 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2 Small sample (17)

Added 2 earlier picks for matches played before the previous record update (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture); also 1 new result.

Coverage extended · 28 October 2026

Before

−54.5% on 11 settled picks across 11 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2 Small sample (11)

After

−55.0% on 14 settled picks across 14 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2 Small sample (14)

Added 2 earlier picks for matches played before the previous record update (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture); also 1 new result.

New results · 24 October 2026

Before

−299.56 points on 8 settled picks across 8 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

After

−54.5% on 11 settled picks across 11 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2 Small sample (11)

3 new settled picks from matches played after the previous record update.

Coverage extended · 22 October 2026

Before

−346.56 points on 7 settled picks across 7 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

After

−299.56 points on 8 settled picks across 8 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

Added 1 earlier pick for matches played before the previous record update (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).

New results · 17 October 2026

Before

−246.56 points on 6 settled picks across 6 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

After

−346.56 points on 7 settled picks across 7 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

1 new settled pick from matches played after the previous record update.

New results · 12 October 2026

Before

−146.56 points on 5 settled picks across 5 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

After

−246.56 points on 6 settled picks across 6 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

1 new settled pick from matches played after the previous record update.

Coverage extended · 11 October 2026

Before

−125.93 points on 3 settled picks across 3 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

After

−146.56 points on 5 settled picks across 5 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

Added 2 earlier picks for matches played before the previous record update (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).

Coverage extended · 11 October 2026

Before

−100.00 points on 1 settled pick across 1 match · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

After

−125.93 points on 3 settled picks across 3 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

Added 1 earlier pick for matches played before the previous record update (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture); also 1 new result.

New results · 11 October 2026

Before

no published headline number

After

−100.00 points on 1 settled pick across 1 match · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

First headline number for this record: 1 settled pick in the series “independent odds snapshot”.

Who this is

Last recorded by us

6 November 2026, 1 day before this page's data date

Observed

11 October 2026 — 6 November 2026

Channels

website

Statements other than predictions (63 shown)

• “un 1-1 o un 2-1 restano sviluppi compatibili con una partita in cui entrambe possono incidere.” — 6 November 2026, 19:04 GMT · source
• “Il momento recente racconta di una Cremonese rilanciata da due vittorie senza subire gol e di un Vicenza” — 6 November 2026, 19:04 GMT · source
• “I grigiorossi sono undicesimi a quota 12, mentre i biancorossi, diciassettesimi con 9 punti” — 6 November 2026, 19:04 GMT · source
• “La classifica rende la sfida delicata per entrambe e può indirizzare il confronto verso una” — 6 November 2026, 19:00 GMT · source
• “prima della pausa, con due attacchi capaci di colpire ma anche consapevoli della posta in palio” — 6 November 2026, 18:41 GMT · source
• “l’equilibrio iniziale può essere più resistente del divario suggerito dal fattore campo.” — 6 November 2026, 18:41 GMT · source
• “possibile gara più prudente nella fase iniziale rispetto a quanto potrebbe accadere dopo l’intervallo.” — 6 November 2026, 18:41 GMT · source
• “Resta però evidente il divario di rendimento mostrato nelle prime dieci giornate.” — 6 November 2026, 18:01 GMT · source
• “I liguri cercano continuità dopo un avvio complicato, mentre gli emiliani sono rimasti nelle zone alte.” — 6 November 2026, 18:01 GMT · source
• “c’è una favorita e i gol non mancheranno” — 6 November 2026, 18:01 GMT · source
• “un 1-1 oppure un 2-1 rientrano tra gli sviluppi compatibili” — 6 November 2026, 17:55 GMT · source
• “La produzione offensiva casalinga può essere un punto da cui ripartire contro la capolista.” — 6 November 2026, 17:55 GMT · source
• “con l’1-1 tra gli sviluppi compatibili con il confronto.” — 6 November 2026, 01:12 GMT · source
• “Un 1-1 o un 2-1 interno sono sviluppi compatibili con un confronto aperto” — 6 November 2026, 01:09 GMT · source
• “La crescita recente non cancella una fragilità esterna concreta: il Verona in trasferta concede spazio” — 6 November 2026, 01:09 GMT · source
• “Proprio la capacità di restare dentro la gara anche nelle fasi meno brillanti può avere peso contro” — 6 November 2026, 01:09 GMT · source
• “Il pareggio per 1-1 ottenuto a Modena ha mosso una classifica già positiva, ma il Mantova deve ritrovare” — 6 November 2026, 01:09 GMT · source
• “gara da non perdere coi biancorossi favoriti” — 6 November 2026, 01:09 GMT · source
• “Un pareggio come l’1-1 oppure un successo veneto per 2-1 restano sviluppi compatibili” — 6 November 2026, 01:08 GMT · source
• “sfida di Serie B che mette di fronte due squadre separate da sei punti, ma entrambe chiamate a dare continuità al proprio cammino.” — 6 November 2026, 01:08 GMT · source

• Vicenza (3-4-1-2): Gagno; Papetti, Brighenti, Marchizza; Caferri, Carraro, Bellemo, Costa;

  6 Nov 2026, 19:04 GMT · Source

• Due vittorie consecutive senza gol subiti.

  6 Nov 2026, 19:04 GMT · Source

• Il Vicenza arriva dalla sconfitta per 3-1 a Palermo, preceduta dall’altro passo falso interno contro

  6 Nov 2026, 19:04 GMT · Source

• 20 gol subiti: il Vicenza ha incassato almeno una rete in 9 gare su 10.

  6 Nov 2026, 19:04 GMT · Source

• Carrarese (3-4-1-2): Pizzignacco; Ruggeri, Oliana, Reale; Parlanti, Braunoder, Schiavi, Rouhi

  6 Nov 2026, 19:00 GMT · Source

• La Sampdoria dovrà inoltre rinunciare allo squalificato Manuel Cicconi; resta da valutare Yari

  6 Nov 2026, 19:00 GMT · Source

• Sette dei nove gol segnati in campionato sono arrivati dopo l’intervallo

  6 Nov 2026, 19:00 GMT · Source

• In casa: 2 vittorie e 3 sconfitte, con 1 gol segnato di media.

  6 Nov 2026, 19:00 GMT · Source

• Carrarese: tre vittorie nelle ultime cinque

  6 Nov 2026, 19:00 GMT · Source

• La Carrarese ha alternato risultati e prestazioni, ma nelle ultime cinque partite di campionato ha

  6 Nov 2026, 19:00 GMT · Source

• I toscani sono quindicesimi con 10 punti, due in più dei blucerchiati, diciannovesimi e in zona

  6 Nov 2026, 19:00 GMT · Source

• Statistiche chiave di Inter-Como

  6 Nov 2026, 18:41 GMT · Source

• Inter-Como: le probabili formazioni

  6 Nov 2026, 18:41 GMT · Source

• In casa ha segnato 17 gol e ne ha subiti 7.

  6 Nov 2026, 18:41 GMT · Source

• Cinque vittorie in cinque gare interne di campionato.

  6 Nov 2026, 18:41 GMT · Source

• Inter: San Siro a punteggio pieno

  6 Nov 2026, 18:41 GMT · Source

• Bonus 7305€ 2.50 Verifica quota

  6 Nov 2026, 18:41 GMT · Source

• Virtus Entella (3-4-1-2): Del Frate; Previtali, Tiritiello, Marconi; Vignali, Squizzato, Benedetti

  6 Nov 2026, 18:01 GMT · Source

• Napoli (3-5-1-1): Meret; Rrahmani, Marin R., Beukema; Politano, Zambo Anguissa, Gilmour

  6 Nov 2026, 17:55 GMT · Source

• Prima in classifica con 28 punti, ancora imbattuta dopo 10 giornate.

  6 Nov 2026, 17:55 GMT · Source

• Ottavo posto con 14 punti raccolti in 10 giornate.

  6 Nov 2026, 17:55 GMT · Source

• Bookmaker Quota Bonus 3.60 7.305€ Verifica quota

  6 Nov 2026, 01:12 GMT · Source

• Il cammino interno racconta una squadra capace di perdere poco, ma non sempre di trasformare il

  6 Nov 2026, 01:12 GMT · Source

• In casa 2 vittorie, 3 pareggi e 1 sconfitta in campionato.

  6 Nov 2026, 01:12 GMT · Source

• Benevento: pareggi frequenti al Vigorito

  6 Nov 2026, 01:12 GMT · Source

• Entrambe hanno superato la soglia di 1,5 gol nel 90% delle gare di campionato.

  6 Nov 2026, 01:09 GMT · Source

• netto 3-0 alla Carrarese

  6 Nov 2026, 01:09 GMT · Source

• La distanza in classifica è ridotta, ma i percorsi recenti raccontano una gara tutt’altro che scontata

  6 Nov 2026, 01:09 GMT · Source

• Il Mantova ha raccolto 18 punti e viene dal pareggio di Modena, mentre il Verona ha accorciato grazie

  6 Nov 2026, 01:09 GMT · Source

• sfida tra quarta e quinta con statistiche Over 1.5.

  6 Nov 2026, 01:09 GMT · Source

• Per questa partita mancherà Giovanni Giunti, squalificato per un turno

  6 Nov 2026, 01:08 GMT · Source

• I veneti sono decimi con 14 punti, mentre i toscani occupano il diciottesimo posto e viaggiano in piena zona retrocessione.

  6 Nov 2026, 01:08 GMT · Source

• un primo tempo combattuto e senza strappi immediati appare compatibile con la fisionomia della partita

  6 Nov 2026, 01:07 GMT · Source

• otto degli undici gol stagionali del Südtirol sono arrivati nel secondo tempo

  6 Nov 2026, 01:07 GMT · Source

• Fuori casa il rendimento è più fragile: in quattro trasferte sono arrivati cinque gol segnati e sette subiti

  6 Nov 2026, 01:07 GMT · Source

• La sconfitta di Avellino ha interrotto un percorso che aveva portato il Pisa a raccogliere otto punti in quattro turni

  6 Nov 2026, 01:07 GMT · Source

• Statistiche chiave di Ascoli-Palermo

  5 Nov 2026, 20:31 GMT · Source

• uno 0-2 o un 1-2 sarebbero sviluppi compatibili con questa lettura.

  5 Nov 2026, 20:31 GMT · Source

• Palermo: la capolista viaggia con un attacco travolgente

  5 Nov 2026, 20:31 GMT · Source

• Ascoli: difesa solida e rendimento interno impeccabile

  5 Nov 2026, 20:31 GMT · Source

• L’equilibrio può reggere nella prima parte della gara

  5 Nov 2026, 19:47 GMT · Source

• Il confronto non consegna una favorita netta sul piano del rendimento recente.

  5 Nov 2026, 19:47 GMT · Source

• Le trasferte dell’Arezzo viaggiano su una media di tre reti complessive, segnale di partite spesso aperte.

  5 Nov 2026, 19:47 GMT · Source

The full list is in the JSON and CSV downloads of this page.

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From the same snapshot as this page. A download includes the full machine list when the page shows a filtered view.

Share cards of this record (4)

• Bankroll card — Salvatore Maniaci
• A month following Salvatore Maniaci
• Said → happened — Salvatore Maniaci
• Turning point — Salvatore Maniaci

For the author of this record (1)

• Your record on Forecast Record: Salvatore Maniaci

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