Patrick Madden: football tipster record — archive reconstruction
Forecast Record restored 3 settled archived picks by Patrick Madden from copies archived before kick-off, across 3 matches on . Reconstructed at archived prices: won 0 of 3 settled archived picks.
How tracking levels work
Tracked requires 30 predictions checked against the final score over 30 days in at least 2 weeks. Established requires 100 predictions checked against the final score with at least 90 days of history. Tracking-level rules
Record summary
0 won / 3 lost; average odds 3.33
Small sample (3) · 3 settled picks · picks settled under reconstruction method 1.1
Eligible prices were available for 3 of the 3 selections checked against the result.
Copy citation
Forecast Record restored 3 settled archived picks by Patrick Madden from copies archived before kick-off, across 3 matches on 6 November 2025. Reconstructed at archived prices: won 0 of 3 settled archived picks. Of the 3 predictions we hold for Patrick Madden, 3 were archived before kick-off by an independent web archive. Figures as of 7 November 2026.
https://forecastrecord.com/authors/patrick-madden/
4 statements read → 3 predictions → 3 linked to matches → 0 recorded before kick-off → 0 outcome-checked → 0 at our recorded market price · none found after kick-off
3 archived before kick-off → 3 outcome-checked → 3 at archived prices. Archive and live records are separate.
Latest outcomes
By market and competition
Markets
| Market | Won | Return | Avg odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Result and both teams to score | 0 W / 2 L | — Small sample (2) | 2.90 |
| Match result | 0 W / 1 L | — Small sample (1) | 4.20 |
Competitions
| Competition | Won | Return | Avg odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| UEFA Europa League | 0 W / 3 L | — Small sample (3) | 3.33 |
Recorded picks and results
Match result and both teams to score: VfB Stuttgart win, both teams to score: yes3.30Found after kick-off (published , recorded )Lost
Stuttgart to win and both teams to score vs Feyenoord Discovery+, 8pm Thursday 2pts 23-10 Hillsweb.archive.org
- Tipster / Source
- Patrick Madden
- Prices
- Stated 3.30, market —, closing 3.05
- Published
- Recorded
- Kick-off
- Rule
- vretro-1.0
Match result and both teams to score: PAOK win, both teams to score: yes3.25Found after kick-off (published , recorded )Lost
PAOK to win and both teams to score vs Young Boys Discovery+, 8pm Thursday 2pts 9-4 Hillsweb.archive.org
- Tipster / Source
- Patrick Madden
- Prices
- Stated 3.25, market —, closing 2.75
- Published
- Recorded
- Kick-off
- Rule
- vretro-1.0
Real Betis 2-0 Olympique Lyonnais ·
1X2: draw3.80Found after kick-off (published , recorded )Lost
Draw in Real Betis vs Lyon Discovery+, 8pm Thursday 2pts 14-5 Betfair, Paddy Powerweb.archive.org
- Tipster / Source
- Patrick Madden
- Prices
- Stated 3.80, market —, closing 4.20
- Published
- Recorded
- Kick-off
- Rule
- vretro-1.0
About this record
Is this you? Reply or claim · 0 corrections
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Archive of the previous page layout (kept for the record)
Last change · Reconstruction method 1.1 · Price rule: reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · Sample: 3 settled archived picks, 3 matches · View changes to this record
Data changes. Added later: 3 records added on from archived copies. The current numbers include them; numbers published earlier, including the record before each match, do not change.
Reconstructed at archived prices: these picks were restored from copies of the author’s pages that an independent web archive saved before kick-off, at the last pre-match archive prices, bookmaker margin included.
Where Patrick Madden publishes
Published under this name on racingpost.com.
| Platform | Byline | Predictions | Settled picks | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Racing Post | Patrick Madden | 3 | 3 | — |
Record card
To link to this record from your site or bio, copy the line below. It states only the facts of this record.
<a href="https://forecastrecord.com/authors/patrick-madden/">Record tracked by Forecast Record since 1 October 2026 · 3 predictions · last change 1 October 2026</a>Archived before kick-off · 3 settled archived picks · won 0 of 3
Restored from a copy saved by an independent web archive before kick-off.
3 predictions; 3 checked against the final score.
3 settled selections across 3 matches, .
Reconstructed at archived prices: −300 points.
Eligible prices were available for 3 of the 3 selections checked against the result.
Eligible price: a market price that meets the price rule of its part of the record; the return is calculated on picks with one. Definition.
Prices are the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), bookmaker margin included.
Outcome accuracy vs implied by prices
Won 0 of 3 decided picks; the prices of the same picks implied 31.0%.
By market: Result and both teams to score 0 of 2 (prices implied 34.6%); Match result 0 of 1 (prices implied 23.8%).
The implied share is the average of 1 ÷ price; it includes the bookmaker margin, so it is slightly above a fair chance. Markets with low prices are won more often, so a share of picks won says little on its own.
| Price | Same picks | Period | At that price | Reconstructed at archived prices |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Author-quoted price | 3 | −300 points | −300 points |
An author-quoted price is the price the article offered; the headline return uses the market price in the last column.
What kind of number is this?
- Measured
- Settled by us from the final score. Supporting evidence: Directly observed in a source or timestamped capture. Here: the moment we first captured each prediction; the time of each pre-match web-archive copy.
- Stated
- The author’s own claim, shown as published. Reported by the source; not independently confirmed. Here: the publication date a source page shows; the price an author quoted.
- Calculated
- Derived from the listed inputs under a published rule. Here: outcomes against the final score; returns, intervals and the share of picks won.
- Unknown
- Not established from the evidence available. Here: the market price at the moment a restored pick was published.
What this record covers
We monitor the sources listed below. This is not a complete record of everything Patrick Madden has published.
- Source we monitor
- racingpost.com
- Channels
- website
- Watched by us
- Earlier entries
- restored from archives, back to
Author's response
No author's response is published on this page. Responses are published word for word. Correction requests are checked, and every change is logged.
Coverage and exclusions
One set of records: the author’s statements. Each count is a part of the one above it. What each word means · What coverage says.
- Statements
- 4
- Predictions
- 3
- Qualifying picks
- 3
- Settled picks
- 3
Here a pick counts as settled when it has a result at any recorded price; the numbers at the top use only the price rule of their own part of the record.
Statements that are not predictions: 1 not about a match.
How this return was calculated
Every settled pick in “Archived before kick-off, reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off)” is a stake of 100 points at the last pre-match archive price, a reconstruction at archived prices on picks archived before kick-off only. The net result (−300 points) is the sum of the profit and loss of these 3 settled archived picks; the return is the net result divided by the total staked (300 points), void picks excluded. Definition of return on stakes · How a pick is settled.
Other prices of the same picks are compared row by row in each part of the record above; they are never added to this number.
Separate comparison window — last 90 days: the return appears from the first settled pick in this window (method v2.2). How comparison windows are counted
Changes to this record
The headline number above is (reconstruction method 1.1, reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only). When it changes, the earlier figure stays here with the reason: new results, extended coverage, a correction or a method change. Corrections are also listed in the corrections log.
Method changed ·
- Before
- −300.00 points on 3 settled picks across 3 matches · author's stated odds, restored · Reconstruction method 1.0
- After
- −300.00 points on 3 settled picks across 3 matches · reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · Reconstruction method 1.1
The headline rule changed on : the headline is the live record at our recorded market price; without one, reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off) on picks archived before kick-off only. Picks first Found after kick-off no longer enter the headline number. Was: author's stated odds, restored (3 settled picks). Now: reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only (3 settled picks).
Coverage extended ·
- Before
- no published headline number
- After
- −300.00 points on 3 settled picks across 3 matches · author's stated odds, restored · Reconstruction method 1.0
First headline number for this record: 3 settled picks in the series “author's stated odds, restored”.
Who this is
- Last recorded by us
- , 37 days before this page's data date
- Observed
- Channels
- website
The same data, machine-readable
From the same snapshot as this page. A download includes the full machine list when the page shows a filtered view.
Share cards of this record (2)
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Calculations for the displayed picks
| Prediction | Series | Market and pick | Price | Stake | Result | Points | Method |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VfB Stuttgart v Feyenoord Lost | Restored, at the author's stated price | Match result and both teams to score — VfB Stuttgart win, both teams to score: yes | 3.30 | 100.00 | Lost | −100.00 | retro-1.0 |
| VfB Stuttgart v Feyenoord Lost | Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off) | Match result and both teams to score — VfB Stuttgart win, both teams to score: yes | 3.05 | 100.00 | Lost | −100.00 | retro-1.1 |
| PAOK v BSC Young Boys Lost | Restored, at the author's stated price | Match result and both teams to score — PAOK win, both teams to score: yes | 3.25 | 100.00 | Lost | −100.00 | retro-1.0 |
| PAOK v BSC Young Boys Lost | Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off) | Match result and both teams to score — PAOK win, both teams to score: yes | 2.75 | 100.00 | Lost | −100.00 | retro-1.1 |
| Real Betis v Olympique Lyonnais Lost | Restored, at the author's stated price | 1X2, match result — draw | 3.80 | 100.00 | Lost | −100.00 | retro-1.0 |
| Real Betis v Olympique Lyonnais Lost | Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off) | 1X2, match result — draw | 4.20 | 100.00 | Lost | −100.00 | retro-1.1 |