Forecast Record recorded 1 settled live pick by Pablo Ruiz de Asua before kick-off across 1 match on . Won 1 of 1 settled live pick at our recorded market prices.
Tracking level: Probation — day 1 of 30 needed for Tracked · 2 predictions checked against the final score
How tracking levels work
Tracked requires 30 predictions checked against the final score over 30 days in at least 2 weeks. Established requires 100 predictions checked against the final score with at least 90 days of history. Tracking-level rules
Record summary
1 won / 0 lost; average odds 1.44
Small sample (1) · 1 settled pick · picks settled under method v2.2
Eligible prices were available for 1 of the 2 selections checked against the result.
Forecast Record recorded 1 settled live pick by Pablo Ruiz de Asua before kick-off across 1 match on 22 October 2026. Won 1 of 1 settled live pick at our recorded market prices. Of the 4 predictions we hold for Pablo Ruiz de Asua, 2 are linked to matches: 2 were recorded by us before kick-off. Figures as of 7 November 2026.
10 statements read → 4 predictions → 2 linked to matches → 2 recorded before kick-off → 2 outcome-checked → 1 at our recorded market price · none found after kick-off
On 1 pick with a stated price, the author's price was above our market price on 0 Small sample (1), within 5.0% on 1.
Measured: settled by us from the final score · Stated: the author’s own claim, shown as published.
To link to this record from your site or bio, copy the line below. It states only the facts of this record.
<a href="https://forecastrecord.com/authors/pablo-ruiz-de-asua/">Record tracked by Forecast Record since 22 October 2026 · 4 predictions · last change 22 October 2026</a>
Recorded before kick-off: supporting evidence
Eligible price: a market price that meets the price rule of its part of the record; the return is calculated on picks with one. Definition.
1 prediction recorded before kick-off. Right in 1 of 1.
Prices implied by market
The implied share is the average of 1 ÷ price; it includes the bookmaker margin, so it is slightly above a fair chance. Markets with low prices are won more often, so a share of picks won says little on its own.
Other prices on the same picks: each row compares two prices on exactly the same selections
Price
Same picks
Period
At that price
Return at our recorded market price
Author-quoted price
1
+51 points
+44.44 points
Closing price
1
+35.97 points
+44.44 points
An author-quoted price is the price the article offered; the headline return uses the market price in the last column.
What kind of number is this?
Measured
Settled by us from the final score. Supporting evidence: Directly observed in a source or timestamped capture. Here: the moment we first captured each prediction; our pre-match market snapshot of each settled pick.
Stated
The author’s own claim, shown as published. Reported by the source; not independently confirmed. Here: the publication date a source page shows; the price an author quoted.
Calculated
Derived from the listed inputs under a published rule. Here: outcomes against the final score; returns, intervals and the share of picks won.
Unknown
Not established from the evidence available. Here: nothing on this page.
How the prices this author stated compare with an independent market price of the same selection. Calculated from the picks where both prices are known; a gap can come from market movement or from one bookmaker offering more than the market, so it describes the stated prices, not the reason for them.
Stated price against the market, threshold 5.0%
Compared with
Picks
>5.0% above
>5.0% below
Within
Median
Our market price when we first recorded the pick
1
0 (0.0%)
0
1
+4.5%
Stated price against the market · For each basis of comparison, the share of picks whose stated price was more than 5.0% below the market, within 5.0%, or more than 5.0% above. · more than 5.0% below · within 5.0% · more than 5.0% above · Our market price when we first recorded the pick · 1 of 1 within 5.0%Each bar is 100.0% of the picks compared on that basis; numbers are picks. The table above gives the same counts and the median difference.
Our market price when we first recorded the pick — our market price for the same selection when we first recorded the pick (median of bookmakers in our price feed; failing that, the first price within 2 hours after, always before kick-off). Difference = the author's stated price ÷ the market price of the same selection − 1. A pick counts as above the market when the stated price is more than 5.0% higher. Each basis is its own comparison; they are never added together. A pair whose prices differ more than twofold is marked “price disputed”: it is probably not the same selection, so it is left out of this comparison and of every return at the author’s price until a manual check confirms the price. A price that the quoted text does not give is marked “price disputed” in the same way.
Author's response
No author's response is published on this page. Responses are published word for word. Correction requests are checked, and every change is logged.
Here a pick counts as settled when it has a result at any recorded price; the numbers at the top use only the price rule of their own part of the record.
Statements that are not predictions: 6 not about a match.
How this return was calculated
Every settled pick in “Recorded before kick-off, at our recorded market price” is a stake of 100 points at our recorded market price, a pre-match snapshot of the same selection. The net result (+44.44 points) is the sum of the profit and loss of these 1 settled live pick; the return is the net result divided by the total staked (100 points), void picks excluded. Definition of return on stakes · How a pick is settled.
Other prices of the same picks are compared row by row in each part of the record above; they are never added to this number.
Separate comparison window — last 90 days: +44.44 points on 1 live pick settled in this window · 1 match · (calculated, method v2.2). How comparison windows are counted
Changes to this record
Earlier figures stay here with the reason: new results, extended coverage, a correction or a method change. Corrections are also listed in the corrections log.
Coverage extended ·
Before
no published headline number
After
+44.44 points on 1 settled pick across 1 match · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2
First headline number for this record: 1 settled pick in the series “independent odds snapshot”.