Individual tipster · racingpost.com

Matthew Ireland: football tipster record — archive reconstruction

Forecast Record restored 2 settled archived picks by Matthew Ireland from copies archived before kick-off, across 2 matches between 25 September and . Reconstructed at archived prices: won 0 of 2 settled archived picks.

Tracking level: Probation — day 89 of 30 needed for Tracked · 2 predictions checked against the final score
How tracking levels work

Tracked requires 30 predictions checked against the final score over 30 days in at least 2 weeks. Established requires 100 predictions checked against the final score with at least 90 days of history. Tracking-level rules

Record summary

0 won / 2 lost; average odds 2.67

Small sample (2) · 2 settled picks · picks settled under reconstruction method 1.1

Eligible prices were available for 2 of the 2 selections checked against the result.

Copy citation

Forecast Record restored 2 settled archived picks by Matthew Ireland from copies archived before kick-off, across 2 matches between 25 September and 22 December 2024. Reconstructed at archived prices: won 0 of 2 settled archived picks. Of the 4 predictions we hold for Matthew Ireland, 3 were archived before kick-off by an independent web archive and 1 first found after kick-off. Figures as of 7 November 2026.

Previously published citation

Forecast Record restored 2 settled archived picks by Matthew Ireland from copies archived before kick-off, across 2 matches between 25 September and 22 December 2024. Reconstructed at archived prices: won 0 of 2 settled archived picks. Of the 4 predictions we hold for Matthew Ireland, 3 were archived before kick-off by an independent web archive and 1 first found after the match. Figures as of .

https://forecastrecord.com/authors/matthew-ireland/

26 statements read → 4 predictions → 4 linked to matches → 0 recorded before kick-off → 0 outcome-checked → 0 at our recorded market price · 1 found after kick-off (not in the return)

3 archived before kick-off → 2 outcome-checked → 2 at archived prices. Archive and live records are separate.

Measured: settled by us from the final score · Stated: the author’s own claim, shown as published.

Tipster, source and record definitions

Compare football tipsters and sources

Matthew Ireland football prediction record: 2 settled archived picks on 2 matches, 25 September 2024 – 22 December 2024.
Matthew Ireland: 2 settled archived picks on 2 matches, – . Figures as of .

By market

Archived before kick-off · reconstructed at archived prices

Markets

Markets
MarketWon
Match result and over/under 3.5 goals0 W / 1 L
Over/Under 1.5 goals0 W / 1 L

Both tables count the same 2 settled archived picks as the headline number.

Recorded picks and results

1–4 of 4

On this page: 2 settled · 0 pending · 2 excluded from the return

West Bromwich Albion 2-0 Bristol City ·

Over/Under 1.5 goals: under 1.53.10Found after kick-off (published , recorded )Lost
Under 1.5 goals 2pts 21-10 Betfair
web.archive.org
Tipster / Source
Matthew Ireland
Prices
Stated 3.10, market —, closing 2.95
Published
Recorded
Kick-off
Rule
vretro-1.0
Cite · Report

Manchester United 1-1 FC Twente ·

Match result and over/under 3.5 goals: Manchester United to win and under 3.5 goals2.10Found after kick-off (published , recorded )Lost
Back Manchester United to win & under 3.5 goals at 11/10 with LiveScore Bet
web.archive.org
Tipster / Source
Matthew Ireland
Prices
Stated 2.10, market —, closing 2.40
Published
Recorded
Kick-off
Rule
vretro-1.0
Cite · Report

Everton v West Ham United ·

1X2: West Ham United5.50Found after kick-off (published , recorded )Excluded from the return
Nuno is 9-2 to get off to a winning start in Monday's trip to Everton.
racingpost.com
Tipster / Source
Matthew Ireland
Prices
Stated 5.50, market —, closing 5.25
Published
Recorded
Kick-off
Rule
v2.2
Why excluded
This prediction allows two readings; the return excludes it.
Cite · Report

·

Statement: Statementwithout a stated priceFound after kick-off (published Not stated, recorded )Excluded from the returnNo goalscorer 1pt 15-2 bet365web.archive.org
Tipster / Source
Matthew Ireland
Prices
Stated —, market —, closing —
Published
Not stated
Recorded
Kick-off
Not stated
Rule
v2.2
Why excluded
This prediction format is not supported.
Cite · Report

About this record

Source tracked for Matthew Ireland: racingpost.com, observed since .

Share this record

Matthew Ireland on Forecast Record: 3 predictions archived before kick-off (25 September–22 December 2024). Full log: https://forecastrecord.com/authors/matthew-ireland/

Archive of the previous page layout (kept for the record)

Last change · Reconstruction method 1.1 · Price rule: reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · Sample: 2 settled archived picks, 2 matches · View changes to this record

Data changes. Added later: 1 record added on Found after kick-off; 1 record added on from archived copies; 1 record added on from archived copies. The current numbers include them; numbers published earlier, including the record before each match, do not change.

This page combines Matthew Ireland across 2 platforms. The record above counts each prediction once, even when the same pick (match, market and selection) appeared on more than one platform; each platform keeps its own total under “Where Matthew Ireland publishes”.

Reconstructed at archived prices: these picks were restored from copies of the author’s pages that an independent web archive saved before kick-off, at the last pre-match archive prices, bookmaker margin included.

Where Matthew Ireland publishes

Published under this name on racingpost.com.

Publishing platforms
PlatformBylinePredictionsSettled picksResult
Racing PostMatthew Ireland31—
LiveScoreMatthew Ireland11—

Totals are kept per platform. Predictions from every platform are listed below, each marked with its platform.

Record card

To link to this record from your site or bio, copy the line below. It states only the facts of this record.

<a href="https://forecastrecord.com/authors/matthew-ireland/">Record tracked by Forecast Record since 28 September 2026 · 4 predictions · last change 9 October 2026</a>

Archived before kick-off · 2 settled archived picks · won 0 of 2

Restored from a copy saved by an independent web archive before kick-off.

3 predictions; 2 checked against the final score.

2 settled selections across 2 matches, 25 September – .

Reconstructed at archived prices: −200 points.

Eligible prices were available for 2 of the 2 selections checked against the result.

Eligible price: a market price that meets the price rule of its part of the record; the return is calculated on picks with one. Definition.

Prices are the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), bookmaker margin included.

Outcome accuracy vs implied by prices

Won 0 of 2 decided picks; the prices of the same picks implied 37.8%.

By market: Over/under goals 0 of 1 (prices implied 33.9%); Result and total goals 0 of 1 (prices implied 41.7%).

The implied share is the average of 1 ÷ price; it includes the bookmaker margin, so it is slightly above a fair chance. Markets with low prices are won more often, so a share of picks won says little on its own.

Other prices on the same picks: each row compares two prices on exactly the same selections
PriceSame picksPeriodAt that priceReconstructed at archived prices
Author-quoted price225 September – −200 points−200 points

An author-quoted price is the price the article offered; the headline return uses the market price in the last column.

Found after kick-off

First Found after kick-off; the date is the one the source states.

1 prediction; 0 checked against the final score.

What kind of number is this?

Measured
Settled by us from the final score. Supporting evidence: Directly observed in a source or timestamped capture. Here: the moment we first captured each prediction; the time of each pre-match web-archive copy.
Stated
The author’s own claim, shown as published. Reported by the source; not independently confirmed. Here: the publication date a source page shows; the price an author quoted.
Calculated
Derived from the listed inputs under a published rule. Here: outcomes against the final score; returns, intervals and the share of picks won.
Unknown
Not established from the evidence available. Here: the market price at the moment a restored pick was published.

The four data statuses

What this record covers

We monitor the sources listed below. This is not a complete record of everything Matthew Ireland has published.

Source we monitor
racingpost.com
Channels
website
Watched by us
28 September –
Earlier entries
restored from archives, back to

Stated price vs market

How the prices this author stated compare with an independent market price of the same selection. Calculated from the picks where both prices are known; a gap can come from market movement or from one bookmaker offering more than the market, so it describes the stated prices, not the reason for them.

Stated price against the market, threshold 5.0%
Compared withPicks>5.0% above>5.0% belowWithinMedian
Closing market price (restored)10 (0.0%)01+4.8%
Stated price against the market · For each basis of comparison, the share of picks whose stated price was more than 5.0% below the market, within 5.0%, or more than 5.0% above. · more than 5.0% below · within 5.0% · more than 5.0% above · Closing market price (restored) · 1 of 1 within 5.0%
Each bar is 100.0% of the picks compared on that basis; numbers are picks. The table above gives the same counts and the median difference.

Closing market price (restored) — the closing market price of the same selection (restored history). Difference = the author's stated price ÷ the market price of the same selection − 1. A pick counts as above the market when the stated price is more than 5.0% higher. Each basis is its own comparison; they are never added together. A pair whose prices differ more than twofold is marked “price disputed”: it is probably not the same selection, so it is left out of this comparison and of every return at the author’s price until a manual check confirms the price. A price that the quoted text does not give is marked “price disputed” in the same way. The closing price is the final price before kick-off. The price when the pick was published is unknown for restored history, so this row shows the distance to where the market closed.

Pre-match close: the last market price for the same selection before kick-off. Definition.

Author's response

No author's response is published on this page. Responses are published word for word. Correction requests are checked, and every change is logged.

Respond or request a correction

Coverage and exclusions

One set of records: the author’s statements. Each count is a part of the one above it. What each word means · What coverage says.

Statements
26
Predictions
4
Qualifying picks
3
Settled picks
2

Here a pick counts as settled when it has a result at any recorded price; the numbers at the top use only the price rule of their own part of the record.

Statements that are not predictions: 1 opinion and 21 not about a match.

How this return was calculated

Every settled pick in “Archived before kick-off, reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off)” is a stake of 100 points at the last pre-match archive price, a reconstruction at archived prices on picks archived before kick-off only. The net result (−200 points) is the sum of the profit and loss of these 2 settled archived picks; the return is the net result divided by the total staked (200 points), void picks excluded. Definition of return on stakes · How a pick is settled.

Other prices of the same picks are compared row by row in each part of the record above; they are never added to this number.

Separate comparison window — last 90 days: the return appears from the first settled pick in this window (method v2.2). How comparison windows are counted

Changes to this record

The headline number above is (reconstruction method 1.1, reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only). When it changes, the earlier figure stays here with the reason: new results, extended coverage, a correction or a method change. Corrections are also listed in the corrections log.

Coverage extended ·

Before
−100.00 points on 1 settled pick across 1 match · reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · Reconstruction method 1.1
After
−200.00 points on 2 settled picks across 2 matches · reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · Reconstruction method 1.1

Added 1 earlier pick for matches played before the previous record update (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).

Method changed ·

Before
−200.00 points on 2 settled picks across 2 matches · author's stated odds, restored · Reconstruction method 1.0
After
−100.00 points on 1 settled pick across 1 match · reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · Reconstruction method 1.1

The headline rule changed on : the headline is the live record at our recorded market price; without one, reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off) on picks archived before kick-off only. Picks first Found after kick-off no longer enter the headline number. Was: author's stated odds, restored (2 settled picks). Now: reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only (1 settled pick).

Coverage extended ·

Before
−100.00 points on 1 settled pick across 1 match · author's stated odds, restored · Reconstruction method 1.0
After
−200.00 points on 2 settled picks across 2 matches · author's stated odds, restored · Reconstruction method 1.0

Added 1 earlier pick for matches played before the previous record update (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).

Who this is

Last recorded by us
, 29 days before this page's data date
Observed
—
Channels
website

Statements other than predictions (18 shown)

  • “Nuno is known for a more conservative approach, so tightening up at the back is something he is comfortable implementing, but that may not come naturally to his new squad” — · source
  • Callum Styles is set to miss out but Grady Diangana and Paddy McNair could play a part.

    · Source

  • Bet365 are offering £50 in free bets when you bet £10 on West Brom vs Bristol City.

    · Source

  • They are 11-4 to be relegated from the top flight this season.

    · Source

  • David Moyes has been installed as 1-3 favourite with Hills to make a ­sensational return to Everton

    · Source

  • Tottenham, who are 11-1 to win football's oldest club competition for the first time since 1991

    · Source

  • The pair are 9-2 joint-favourites to triumph at Wembley on May 17 next year.

    · Source

  • Liverpool, who are 4-7 to dethrone City as top-flight kings, host Accrington Stanley

    · Source

  • Premier League leaders Liverpool and reigning English champions City will both face League Two opposition

    · Source

  • Both sides were eased in the betting for Wembley glory as a result, with Arsenal 8-1 from 13-2

    · Source

  • Manchester United won the FA Cup for a 13th time last season

    · Source

  • Liverpool and Manchester City joint-favourites for FA Cup glory

    · Source

  • He will need to do so again at West Ham, especially at the back because the Hammers have already conceded 13 goals

    · Source

  • Nuno extracted the maximum out of Forest last term as they exceeded expectations in almost all areas.

    · Source

  • West Ham are 6-4 to be relegated from the Premier League – only Burnley, Wolves and Sunderland are a shorter price for the drop

    · Source

  • The Portuguese, 51, led Forest to a seventh-placed finish last term but left the City Ground shortly after the 3-0 defeat to his new employers

    · Source

  • The Hammers have won one and lost four of their opening Premier League fixtures

    · Source

  • West Ham are set to name Nuno Espirito Santo as their new manager after sacking Graham Potter.

    · Source

The full list is in the JSON and CSV downloads of this page.

The same data, machine-readable

From the same snapshot as this page. A download includes the full machine list when the page shows a filtered view.

Share cards of this record (2)

Check us

Calculations for the displayed picks

Separate price series for each prediction; only the headline series enters the main return.
PredictionSeriesMarket and pickPriceStakeResultPointsMethod
West Bromwich Albion v Bristol City LostRestored, at the author's stated priceOver/Under 1.5 goals — under 1.53.10100.00Lost−100.00retro-1.0
West Bromwich Albion v Bristol City LostRestored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)Over/Under 1.5 goals — under 1.52.95100.00Lost−100.00retro-1.1
Manchester United v FC Twente LostRestored, at the author's stated priceMatch result and over/under 3.5 goals — Manchester United to win and under 3.5 goals2.10100.00Lost−100.00retro-1.0
Manchester United v FC Twente LostRestored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)Match result and over/under 3.5 goals — Manchester United to win and under 3.5 goals2.40100.00Lost−100.00retro-1.1

Record definitions and related evidence