Mathias Bartsch: football tipster record — archive reconstruction

Where Mathias Bartsch publishes

Published under this name on wettbasis.com.

Record card

To link to this record from your site or bio, copy the line below. It states only the facts of this record.

<a href="https://forecastrecord.com/authors/mathias-bartsch/">Record tracked by Forecast Record since 9 October 2026 · 599 predictions · last change 6 November 2026</a>

Recorded before kick-off: supporting evidence

Eligible price: a market price that meets the price rule of its part of the record; the return is calculated on picks with one. Definition.

How the market price is set

Prices implied by market

By market: Asian handicap 1 of 1 (1 W / 0 L) Small sample (1); Team goals 1 of 1 (1 W / 0 L) Small sample (1).

The implied share is the average of 1 ÷ price; it includes the bookmaker margin, so it is slightly above a fair chance. Markets with low prices are won more often, so a share of picks won says little on its own.

Archived before kick-off · 1 settled archived pick · won 0 of 1

Restored from a copy saved by an independent web archive before kick-off.

1 prediction; 1 checked against the final score.

1 settled selection across 1 match, 26 September 2025.

Reconstructed at archived prices: −100 points.

Eligible prices were available for 1 of the 1 selection checked against the result.

Prices are the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), bookmaker margin included.

Outcome accuracy vs implied by prices

Won 0 of 1 decided pick; the prices of the same picks implied 28.1%.

The implied share is the average of 1 ÷ price; it includes the bookmaker margin, so it is slightly above a fair chance. Markets with low prices are won more often, so a share of picks won says little on its own.

Found after kick-off · 80 settled after-match picks · −22.8%

First Found after kick-off; the date is the one the source states.

505 predictions; 101 checked against the final score.

80 settled selections across 72 matches, 19 August 2024 – 26 February 2026.

Reconstructed at archived prices: −22.8% (95.0% interval −46.4% to +1.9%).

Eligible prices were available for 80 of the 101 selections checked against the result.

Prices are the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), bookmaker margin included.

Outcome accuracy vs implied by prices

Won 31 of 80 decided picks (38.8%); the prices of the same picks implied 49.3%.

By market: Asian handicap 1 of 1 (1 W / 0 L) Small sample (1); Team goals 1 of 1 (1 W / 0 L) Small sample (1).

The implied share is the average of 1 ÷ price; it includes the bookmaker margin, so it is slightly above a fair chance. Markets with low prices are won more often, so a share of picks won says little on its own.

Source-reported history · 85 settled source-reported picks · −3.9%

The time and the pick are known only from the source’s own history; it is the basis of the record check and never part of the evidenced total.

87 predictions; 86 checked against the final score.

85 settled selections across 85 matches, 9 March 2025 – 19 September 2026.

Reconstructed at archived prices: −3.9% (95.0% interval −31.7% to +25.6%).

Eligible prices were available for 85 of the 86 selections checked against the result.

Prices are the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), bookmaker margin included.

Outcome accuracy vs implied by prices

Won 34 of 85 decided picks (40.0%); the prices of the same picks implied 44.5%.

By market: Asian handicap 1 of 1 (1 W / 0 L) Small sample (1); Team goals 1 of 1 (1 W / 0 L) Small sample (1).

The implied share is the average of 1 ÷ price; it includes the bookmaker margin, so it is slightly above a fair chance. Markets with low prices are won more often, so a share of picks won says little on its own.

An author-quoted price is the price the article offered; the headline return uses the market price in the last column.

What kind of number is this?

Measured

Settled by us from the final score. Supporting evidence: Directly observed in a source or timestamped capture. Here: the moment we first captured each prediction; our pre-match market snapshot of each settled pick; the time of each pre-match web-archive copy.

Stated

The author’s own claim, shown as published. Reported by the source; not independently confirmed. Here: the publication date a source page shows; the price an author quoted.

Calculated

Derived from the listed inputs under a published rule. Here: outcomes against the final score; returns, intervals and the share of picks won.

Unknown

Not established from the evidence available. Here: the market price at the moment a restored pick was published.

The four data statuses

What this record covers

We monitor the sources listed below. This is not a complete record of everything Mathias Bartsch has published.

Source we monitor

wettbasis.com

Channels

website

Watched by us

9 October – 6 November 2026

Earlier entries

restored from archives, back to 19 August 2024

Without a match page

4 predictions

Stated price vs market

How the prices this author stated compare with an independent market price of the same selection. Calculated from the picks where both prices are known; a gap can come from market movement or from one bookmaker offering more than the market, so it describes the stated prices, not the reason for them.

Our market price when we first recorded the pick — our market price for the same selection when we first recorded the pick (median of bookmakers in our price feed; failing that, the first price within 2 hours after, always before kick-off); Closing market price (restored) — the closing market price of the same selection (restored history). Difference = the author's stated price ÷ the market price of the same selection − 1. A pick counts as above the market when the stated price is more than 5.0% higher. Each basis is its own comparison; they are never added together. A pair whose prices differ more than twofold is marked “price disputed”: it is probably not the same selection, so it is left out of this comparison and of every return at the author’s price until a manual check confirms the price. A price that the quoted text does not give is marked “price disputed” in the same way. The closing price is the final price before kick-off. The price when the pick was published is unknown for restored history, so this row shows the distance to where the market closed.

Pre-match close: the last market price for the same selection before kick-off. Definition.

Largest gaps: 2.00 against 3.00 (−33.3%) · 1.55 against 1.95 (−20.6%)

Author's response

No author's response is published on this page. Responses are published word for word. Correction requests are checked, and every change is logged.

Respond or request a correction

Coverage and exclusions

One set of records: the author’s statements. Each count is a part of the one above it. What each word means · What coverage says.

Statements

1,636

Predictions

599

Qualifying picks

214

Settled picks

190

Here a pick counts as settled when it has a result at any recorded price; the numbers at the top use only the price rule of their own part of the record.

Statements that are not predictions: 131 opinions and 906 not about a match.

How this return was calculated

Every settled pick in “Archived before kick-off, reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off)” is a stake of 100 points at the last pre-match archive price, a reconstruction at archived prices on picks archived before kick-off only. The net result (−100 points) is the sum of the profit and loss of these 1 settled archived pick; the return is the net result divided by the total staked (100 points), void picks excluded. Definition of return on stakes · How a pick is settled.

Other prices of the same picks are compared row by row in each part of the record above; they are never added to this number.

Separate comparison window — last 90 days: +151.10 points on 2 live picks settled in this window · 1 match · 7 November 2026 (calculated, method v2.2). How comparison windows are counted

Changes to this record

The headline number above is (reconstruction method 1.1, reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only). When it changes, the earlier figure stays here with the reason: new results, extended coverage, a correction or a method change. Corrections are also listed in the corrections log.

Coverage extended · 13 October 2026

Before

no published headline number

After

−100.00 points on 1 settled pick across 1 match · reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · Reconstruction method 1.1

First headline number for this record: 1 settled pick in the series “reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only”.

Who this is

Last recorded by us

6 November 2026, 1 day before this page's data date

Observed

9 October 2026 — 6 November 2026

Channels

website

Statements other than predictions (65 shown)

• “In der abschließenden Bewertung spricht fast alles für einen dominanten Auftritt der Hausherren.” — 6 November 2026, 05:56 GMT · source
• “Ein kleiner Vorteil für die Gäste könnte lediglich die physische Frische sein” — 6 November 2026, 05:56 GMT · source
• “Spielerisch agieren beide Mannschaften derzeit auf einem ähnlichen Niveau, weshalb eine hart umkämpfte Begegnung zu erwarten ist.” — 5 November 2026, 05:59 GMT · source
• “Es ist unwahrscheinlich, dass Alkmaar gegen Tottenham (im Bild: Lankshear) eine Überraschung bewerkstelligt.” — 16 October 2026, 04:12 BST · source
• “Obendrein hat nun kein anderes Team in der Champions League mehr Treffer (21) erzielt” — 16 October 2026, 04:12 BST · source

• Odds are subject to change. Last updated 05.11.2026 23:10

  6 Nov 2026, 05:56 GMT · Source

• RB Leipzig vs. Augsburg – beste Quoten Bundesliga

  6 Nov 2026, 05:56 GMT · Source

• Arsenal vs. Hull, 07.11.2026 – Wettbasis.com Analyse

  6 Nov 2026, 05:56 GMT · Source

• Sichern die Gunners die Tabellenführung?

  6 Nov 2026, 05:56 GMT · Source

• Baum hat vor allem in der Abwehr große personelle Probleme, da wichtige Stützen wie Brackelmann und Banks ausfallen. Auch Mounie steht nicht zur Verfügung.

  6 Nov 2026, 05:56 GMT · Source

• Durchschnittlich 4.5 eigene Treffer pro Heimspiel sprechen eine furchteinflößende Sprache.

  6 Nov 2026, 05:56 GMT · Source

• Verletzungsbedingt fehlen aktuell Guiu, Ouédraogo und eventuell auch Esteve

  6 Nov 2026, 05:56 GMT · Source

• Sichere dir bei DAZN Bet eine 5 € Freebet + den Einzahlungsbonus bis 100€

  6 Nov 2026, 05:56 GMT · Source

• Die Quote von 2.25 bei NEO.bet (Stand: 03.11.2026, 15:44 Uhr) bietet in diesem Szenario einen unserer Meinung nach attraktiven Value.

  5 Nov 2026, 05:59 GMT · Source

• Notierungen rund um das Match im Volksparkstadion am Freitagabend offeriert NEO.bet

  5 Nov 2026, 05:59 GMT · Source

• In der vergangenen Saison trennten sich beide Traditionsvereine in der Hin- und Rückrunde jeweils mit

  5 Nov 2026, 05:59 GMT · Source

• Die Gastspiele der Borussia versprechen grundsätzlich Unterhaltung, da im Schnitt vier Tore pro Partie

  5 Nov 2026, 05:59 GMT · Source

• Personell steht der HSV vor massiven Herausforderungen.

  5 Nov 2026, 05:59 GMT · Source

• Sichere dir bei NEO.bet 25€ in Freiwetten ohne Einzahlung + bis zu 100€ Bonus

  5 Nov 2026, 05:59 GMT · Source

• Mit Niclas Füllkrug und Crysencio Summerville fallen gleich zwei Stürmer wegen Blessuren aus

  11 Mar 2025, 06:42 GMT · Source

• Erfreulich aus der Sicht des Neunten der Vorsaison der Premier League ist ferner die kürzliche Rückkehr von Jarrod Bowen.

  11 Mar 2025, 06:42 GMT · Source

• Mit dem Code „CLEL“ gönnt Interwetten dir eine 11€ Freebet!

  11 Mar 2025, 06:42 GMT · Source

• NEIN: 2.20 @Bet365

  · Source

• Beide Teams treffen JA: 1.58 @Bet365

  · Source

• Sieg Alkmaar: 7.00 @Betano

  · Source

• Unentschieden: 5.00 @Bet365

  · Source

• Sieg Tottenham: 1.44 @Betano

  · Source

• Opta-Facts – Tottenham vs. Alkmaar Tipp

  · Source

• Letzte Spiele von Alkmaar:

  · Source

• Verletzte und Gesperrte Spieler von Alkmaar:

  · Source

• Voraussichtliche Aufstellung von Alkmaar:

  · Source

• Letzte Spiele von Tottenham:

  · Source

• Verletzte und Gesperrte Spieler von Tottenham:

  · Source

• Voraussichtliche Aufstellung von Tottenham:

  · Source

• Benfica Lissabon vs. Atletico Madrid, 02.10.2024 – Wettbasis.com Analyse

  · Source

• Iberisches Duell an Spieltag 2

  · Source

• JA: 1.54 @Bet365

  · Source

• Sieg Brügge: 2.62 @Bet365

  · Source

• Unentschieden: 3.50 @Betano

  · Source

• Sieg Sturm Graz: 2.65 @Betano

  · Source

• Sturm Graz vs. Brügge – beste Quoten Champions League

  · Source

• Opta-Facts – Sturm Graz vs. Brügge Tipp

  · Source

• Bet365: 5 Euro Wett-Credits für CL-Wetten erhalten!

  · Source

• Sturm Graz – Brügge Direkter Vergleich / H2H-Bilanz

  · Source

• Quoten für den weiteren Tipp gibt es bei Bet365 und der Buchmacher versetzt seinen Quoten regelmäßig

  · Source

• Letzte Spiele von Brügge:

  · Source

• Verletzte und Gesperrte Spieler von Brügge:

  · Source

• Voraussichtliche Aufstellung von Brügge:

  · Source

• Welche Buchmacher ebenfalls erhöhte Wettquoten im Angebot haben, klärt ihr mit einem Blick auf die aktuellen Quoten-Boosts ab.

  · Source

• Zwar reichte es nicht für einen eigenen Treffer aufseiten der Mannschaft von Coach Nicky Hayen, aber insgesamt gab die Angriffsabteilung 18 Torschüsse ab

  · Source

• Eine solche Serie weisen in der Geschichte des Wettbewerbs allein Juventus (2001) und Werder Bremen (2005) auf.

  · Source

• In den letzten drei Partien verursachten sie stets einen Elfmeter mit einem anschließenden Tor vom Punkt für den Gegner.

  · Source

• Video: In gewohnt launiger Atmosphäre sprechen Carsten Fuß und Marcel Niesner über die CL-Spiele am Mittwoch.

  · Source

• seit drei Pflichtspielen warten die Gäste nun schon auf den nächsten Sieg (0-1-2).

  · Source

• Generalprobe am vergangenen Freitag in der heimischen Jupiler League endete jedoch nur mit einem 1:1 bei Standard Lüttich

  · Source

• Bis 15 Minuten vor Spielschluss hatte Brügge dem BVB ordentlich Paroli geboten

  · Source

• Die Niederlage am ersten Spieltag gegen die Borussia aus Dortmund war zudem trotz der Höhe von 0:3 unglücklich.

  · Source

• Letzte Spiele von Sturm Graz:

  · Source

• Verletzte und Gesperrte Spieler von Sturm Graz:

  · Source

• Voraussichtliche Aufstellung von Sturm Graz:

  · Source

• kein anderes Team in der Champions League mehr Treffer (21) erzielt, ohne dass eines dieser Tore von außerhalb verbucht werden konnte

  · Source

• Mit 75 Prozent aller versuchten Abschlüsse in dieser Art wiesen die Österreicher am ersten Spieltag die höchste Quote auf.

  · Source

• Sechs der acht Torschüsse von Sturm in der Bretagne erfolgten außerhalb des Sechzehners

  · Source

• Sturm sollte den Weg in die „Box“ suchen

  · Source

• Dimitri Lavalée nicht auflaufen. Der Belgier wurde beim CL-Auftakt in Brest vom Platz gestellt

  · Source

The full list is in the JSON and CSV downloads of this page.

The same data, machine-readable

• Page data (JSON)
• Recorded picks (CSV)

From the same snapshot as this page. A download includes the full machine list when the page shows a filtered view.

Share cards of this record (3)

• Bankroll card — Mathias Bartsch
• A month following Mathias Bartsch
• Said → happened — Mathias Bartsch

Check us

• How we count
• Right of reply and complaints
• What we collect
• Corrections log
• Data and API

Calculations for the displayed picks

Record definitions and related evidence

• Recorded picks and results
• Matches
• How this return was calculated
• Bundesliga
• 30