Forecast Record recorded 1 settled live pick by Mario Gago before kick-off across 1 match on . Won 0 of 1 settled live pick at our recorded market prices.
Tracking level: Probation — day 23 of 30 needed for Tracked · 6 predictions checked against the final score
How tracking levels work
Tracked requires 30 predictions checked against the final score over 30 days in at least 2 weeks. Established requires 100 predictions checked against the final score with at least 90 days of history. Tracking-level rules
Record summary
0 won / 1 lost; average odds 3.20
Small sample (1) · 1 settled pick · picks settled under method v2.2
Eligible prices were available for 1 of the 6 selections checked against the result.
Forecast Record recorded 1 settled live pick by Mario Gago before kick-off across 1 match on 13 October 2026. Won 0 of 1 settled live pick at our recorded market prices. Of the 17 predictions we hold for Mario Gago, 10 are linked to matches: 6 were recorded by us before kick-off and 4 first found after kick-off. Figures as of 7 November 2026.
Previously published citation
Forecast Record recorded 1 settled live pick by Mario Gago before kick-off across 1 match on 13 October 2026. Won 0 of 1 settled live pick at our recorded market prices. Of the 17 predictions we hold for Mario Gago, 10 are linked to matches: 6 were recorded by us before kick-off and 4 first found after the match. Figures as of .
Match result and both teams to score: SSC Napoli win, both teams to score: yes5.00Recorded 42.5 h before kick-offExcluded from the return
Una opción todavía más arriesgada, y bastante posible viendo que en el campo estarán delanteros de nivel, es que los 3 puntos se vayan para Italia y que ambos conjuntos anoten. La cuota para este caso es de 5.00 por euro apostado.
Statement: Statementwithout a stated priceFound after kick-off (published , recorded )Excluded from the returnla apuesta recomendada será que ambos equipos logran hacer al menos un gol y que habrá al menos 3 tantos en los 90 minutos. La cuota ‘Más de 2,5 goles y ambos marcan’ es de 1.61 por euro apostadobetbrothers.es
Statement: Statementwithout a stated priceFound after kick-off (published , recorded )Excluded from the returnPara el que busque algo más de riesgo, se puede combinar el 1 con la opción de que ‘ambos equipos no anotan’, es decir, que solo consiguen hacer gol los de Bérgamo. Esta opción tiene una cuota de…betbrothers.es
Statement: Statementwithout a stated priceFound after kick-off (published , recorded )Excluded from the returnla apuesta propuesta será la victoria de la Atalanta. La cuota de 1.57 por euro apostado en Casino Barcelona Apuestas hace que merezca la pena decantarse por este pronóstico simple.betbrothers.es
Statement without a matchwithout a stated priceExcluded from the return
Otra opción bastante interesante es la apuesta a que ambos equipos anotarán. Viendo el estado de forma de Alphadjo Cissé en los ‘rossoneri’ y la capacidad goleadora de los ‘nerazzurri’, podemos…betbrothers.es
Statement without a matchwithout a stated priceExcluded from the return
la apuesta elegida será la victoria del Inter en este choque. Van demasiados derbis fallados y, vista la fragilidad defensiva de los de Rúben Amorim, parece difícil que esta vez les salga bien. La…betbrothers.es
Statement without a matchwithout a stated priceExcluded from the return
la opción de que Malen anote durante los 90 minutos y de que los puntos se vayan para los ‘giallorossi’ es muy interesante. La cuota final queda en 3,90.betbrothers.es
Mario Gago on Forecast Record: 6 pre-match predictions recorded (). Full log: https://forecastrecord.com/authors/mario-gago/
Archive of the previous page layout (kept for the record)
Last change · Price rule: independent odds snapshot · Sample: 1 settled live pick, 1 match · View changes to this record
Data changes. Added later: 2 records added on Found after kick-off; 2 records added on Found after kick-off. The current numbers include them; numbers published earlier, including the record before each match, do not change.
To link to this record from your site or bio, copy the line below. It states only the facts of this record.
<a href="https://forecastrecord.com/authors/mario-gago/">Record tracked by Forecast Record since 10 October 2026 · 17 predictions · last change 3 November 2026</a>
Recorded before kick-off: supporting evidence
Eligible price: a market price that meets the price rule of its part of the record; the return is calculated on picks with one. Definition.
The implied share is the average of 1 ÷ price; it includes the bookmaker margin, so it is slightly above a fair chance. Markets with low prices are won more often, so a share of picks won says little on its own.
Other prices on the same picks: each row compares two prices on exactly the same selections
Price
Same picks
Period
At that price
Return at our recorded market price
Author-quoted price
1
−100 points
−100 points
Closing price
1
−100 points
−100 points
An author-quoted price is the price the article offered; the headline return uses the market price in the last column.
Found after kick-off
First Found after kick-off; the date is the one the source states.
4 predictions; 0 checked against the final score.
What kind of number is this?
Measured
Settled by us from the final score. Supporting evidence: Directly observed in a source or timestamped capture. Here: the moment we first captured each prediction; our pre-match market snapshot of each settled pick.
Stated
The author’s own claim, shown as published. Reported by the source; not independently confirmed. Here: the publication date a source page shows; the price an author quoted.
Calculated
Derived from the listed inputs under a published rule. Here: outcomes against the final score; returns, intervals and the share of picks won.
Unknown
Not established from the evidence available. Here: the market price at the moment a restored pick was published.
How the prices this author stated compare with an independent market price of the same selection. Calculated from the picks where both prices are known; a gap can come from market movement or from one bookmaker offering more than the market, so it describes the stated prices, not the reason for them.
Stated price against the market, threshold 5.0%
Compared with
Picks
>5.0% above
>5.0% below
Within
Median
Our market price when we first recorded the pick
1
0 (0.0%)
0
1
−3.1%
Stated price against the market · For each basis of comparison, the share of picks whose stated price was more than 5.0% below the market, within 5.0%, or more than 5.0% above. · more than 5.0% below · within 5.0% · more than 5.0% above · Our market price when we first recorded the pick · 1 of 1 within 5.0%Each bar is 100.0% of the picks compared on that basis; numbers are picks. The table above gives the same counts and the median difference.
Our market price when we first recorded the pick — our market price for the same selection when we first recorded the pick (median of bookmakers in our price feed; failing that, the first price within 2 hours after, always before kick-off). Difference = the author's stated price ÷ the market price of the same selection − 1. A pick counts as above the market when the stated price is more than 5.0% higher. Each basis is its own comparison; they are never added together. A pair whose prices differ more than twofold is marked “price disputed”: it is probably not the same selection, so it is left out of this comparison and of every return at the author’s price until a manual check confirms the price. A price that the quoted text does not give is marked “price disputed” in the same way.
Author's response
No author's response is published on this page. Responses are published word for word. Correction requests are checked, and every change is logged.
Here a pick counts as settled when it has a result at any recorded price; the numbers at the top use only the price rule of their own part of the record.
Statements that are not predictions: 5 opinions and 4 not about a match.
How this return was calculated
Every settled pick in “Recorded before kick-off, at our recorded market price” is a stake of 100 points at our recorded market price, a pre-match snapshot of the same selection. The net result (−100 points) is the sum of the profit and loss of these 1 settled live pick; the return is the net result divided by the total staked (100 points), void picks excluded. Definition of return on stakes · How a pick is settled.
Other prices of the same picks are compared row by row in each part of the record above; they are never added to this number.
Separate comparison window — last 90 days: −100 points on 1 live pick settled in this window · 1 match · (calculated, method v2.2). How comparison windows are counted
Changes to this record
Earlier figures stay here with the reason: new results, extended coverage, a correction or a method change. Corrections are also listed in the corrections log.
Data corrected ·
Before
−200.00 points on 2 settled picks across 1 match · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2
After
−100.00 points on 1 settled pick across 1 match · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2
Data corrected: 1 pick left the headline sample.
Coverage extended ·
Before
no published headline number
After
−200.00 points on 2 settled picks across 1 match · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2
First headline number for this record: 2 settled picks in the series “independent odds snapshot”.
Who this is
Last recorded by us
, 4 days before this page's data date
Observed
—
Channels
website
Statements other than predictions (9 shown)
“¿Podrá Cesc seguir sorprendiendo en Europa?” — · source