{
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 "heading": "Mario Gago: Football Prediction Record",
 "description": "1 settled pick by Mario Gago recorded before kick-off across 1 match, 13 Oct 2026: won 0 of 1 at our recorded market prices. Every pick with its source.",
 "first_paragraph": {
  "body": "Forecast Record recorded 1 settled live pick by Mario Gago before kick-off across 1 match on 13 October 2026. Won 0 of 1 settled live pick at our recorded market prices. Of the 17 predictions we hold for Mario Gago, 10 are linked to matches: 6 were recorded by us before kick-off and 4 first found after the match. Figures as of 7 November 2026.",
  "key_number": "1",
  "data": "2026-11-07",
  "source_info": "our own evidence archive and market snapshot",
  "brand": "Forecast Record"
 },
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 },
 "data_date": "2026-11-07T18:15:35.817Z",
 "built_at": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z",
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 "dependency_group": "author:e-decf2d52c8f633149c1b91f2",
 "release_id": "20261107-195223",
 "markup": [
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 "exports": [
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 "modules": {
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 "affiliate_block": {
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  "disclosure": "Some links below are affiliate links and are marked as such. They never affect what you see above: the order of any table is computed before any commission is known.",
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 },
 "entity": {
  "id": "e-decf2d52c8f633149c1b91f2",
  "public_name": "Mario Gago",
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  "status": "active",
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  "observation_period": {
   "since": "2026-10-10",
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   "coverage_percent": "100.00",
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   "methodology_version": "2.2",
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  "byline": "Return on stakes at an independent odds snapshot over 90 days: 1 settled pick across 1 match",
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 },
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   "quote_text": "la lesión de Ganiou les ha hecho daño",
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   "quote_text": "¿Podrá Cesc seguir sorprendiendo en Europa?",
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   "quote_text": "La cuota: 2,20 por euro apostado en Casino Gran Madrid Apuestas.",
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   "author_claim": {
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    "in_words": "1X2, match result: Como at 2.2"
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    "in_words": "Won: the final score was RC Lens 1-9 Como."
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    "material_url": "https://betbrothers.es/pronosticos-deportivos/villarreal-napoli-champions-league-2026/",
    "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
    "verdict_by": null,
    "verdict_line": null
   },
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-393b5f6b1b3a0ddd94b88d88",
   "url": "/authors/mario-gago/#pick-n-393b5f6b1b3a0ddd94b88d88",
   "quote_text": "Para el que busque algo más de riesgo, se puede combinar el 1 con la opción de que ‘ambos equipos no anotan’, es decir, que solo consiguen hacer gol los de Bérgamo. Esta opción tiene una cuota de 2.90 por euro apostado.",
   "fragment_from": 2711,
   "fragment_to": 2930,
   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
    "medium": "website",
    "url": "https://betbrothers.es/pronosticos-deportivos/atalanta-venezia-serie-a-2026/",
    "display_name": null,
    "speaker": "Mario Gago",
    "authorship": "channel_owner",
    "media_from_ms": null,
    "bundle_id": "bd8e8558e3880f6b0bf5ba1d4ef0649310ff969cd9433b534fa6b364085a6e54",
    "material_removed": false
   },
   "published_at": "2026-10-11T03:49:43.000Z",
   "detected_at": "2026-10-12T00:22:28.574Z",
   "executed_at": null,
   "statement_class": "priced",
   "status": "too_late",
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   "cause_code": "too_late",
   "event": null,
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   "odds_set": {
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   },
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   "withdrawn": false,
   "provenance": "found_post_match",
   "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "dates": {
    "fragment_at": "2026-10-11T03:49:43.000Z",
    "fragment_basis": "page",
    "source_page_at": "2026-10-11T03:49:43.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-12T00:22:28.574Z",
    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
    "flags": [],
    "flag_words": null,
    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
   "origin_detail": "found_after_match",
   "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "added_on": null,
   "late_publication": null,
   "author_claim": null,
   "author_claim_outcome": {
    "result": null,
    "scoreline": null,
    "data_status": "unknown",
    "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled",
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled."
   },
   "settlements": [],
   "corrections": [],
   "funnel_stage": "prediction",
   "authorship": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-654565134712db6f01d20956",
   "url": "/authors/mario-gago/#pick-n-654565134712db6f01d20956",
   "quote_text": "la apuesta propuesta será la victoria de la Atalanta. La cuota de 1.57 por euro apostado en Casino Barcelona Apuestas hace que merezca la pena decantarse por este pronóstico simple.",
   "fragment_from": 2529,
   "fragment_to": 2710,
   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
    "medium": "website",
    "url": "https://betbrothers.es/pronosticos-deportivos/atalanta-venezia-serie-a-2026/",
    "display_name": null,
    "speaker": "Mario Gago",
    "authorship": "channel_owner",
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    "bundle_id": "bd8e8558e3880f6b0bf5ba1d4ef0649310ff969cd9433b534fa6b364085a6e54",
    "material_removed": false
   },
   "published_at": "2026-10-11T03:49:43.000Z",
   "detected_at": "2026-10-12T00:22:28.574Z",
   "executed_at": null,
   "statement_class": "priced",
   "status": "too_late",
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   "cause_code": "too_late",
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   "odds_set": {
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    "closing_source": null
   },
   "stake_hundredths": null,
   "result": null,
   "simulation_change_hundredths": null,
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   "executed_by": null,
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   "withdrawn": false,
   "provenance": "found_post_match",
   "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "dates": {
    "fragment_at": "2026-10-11T03:49:43.000Z",
    "fragment_basis": "page",
    "source_page_at": "2026-10-11T03:49:43.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-12T00:22:28.574Z",
    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
    "flags": [],
    "flag_words": null,
    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
   "origin_detail": "found_after_match",
   "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "added_on": null,
   "late_publication": null,
   "author_claim": null,
   "author_claim_outcome": {
    "result": null,
    "scoreline": null,
    "data_status": "unknown",
    "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled",
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled."
   },
   "settlements": [],
   "corrections": [],
   "funnel_stage": "prediction",
   "authorship": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-fb9c33f90e295c8d5ee49e70",
   "url": "/authors/mario-gago/#pick-n-fb9c33f90e295c8d5ee49e70",
   "quote_text": "una buena idea puede ser apostar al 2-0 final.",
   "fragment_from": 2912,
   "fragment_to": 2958,
   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
    "medium": "website",
    "url": "https://betbrothers.es/pronosticos-deportivos/inter-de-milan-parma-serie-a-2026/",
    "display_name": null,
    "speaker": "Mario Gago",
    "authorship": "channel_owner",
    "media_from_ms": null,
    "bundle_id": "908dd0c5cdbc3c098a4e56bee3fe598c28fd6f74472d074fcd1dd365f680909a",
    "material_removed": false
   },
   "published_at": "2026-10-09T03:31:44.000Z",
   "detected_at": "2026-10-10T00:24:11.068Z",
   "executed_at": null,
   "statement_class": "score_forecast",
   "status": "not_supported",
   "cause": "",
   "cause_code": "not_supported",
   "event": null,
   "market_label": null,
   "outcome_label": null,
   "odds_set": {
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    "closing": null,
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   },
   "stake_hundredths": null,
   "result": null,
   "simulation_change_hundredths": null,
   "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
   "executed_by": null,
   "series_label": null,
   "withdrawn": false,
   "dates": {
    "fragment_at": "2026-10-09T03:31:44.000Z",
    "fragment_basis": "page",
    "source_page_at": "2026-10-09T03:31:44.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-10T00:24:11.068Z",
    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
    "flags": [],
    "flag_words": null,
    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
   "origin_detail": "no_match_linked",
   "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "added_on": null,
   "late_publication": null,
   "author_claim": null,
   "author_claim_outcome": {
    "result": null,
    "scoreline": null,
    "data_status": "unknown",
    "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled",
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled."
   },
   "settlements": [],
   "corrections": [],
   "funnel_stage": "prediction",
   "authorship": null,
   "correction": null
  }
 ],
 "standing": null,
 "retro": null,
 "late": null,
 "price_vs_market": {
  "contract_version": "1",
  "threshold_percent": "5",
  "rows": [
   {
    "basis": "snapshot",
    "basis_words": "our market price for the same selection when we first recorded the pick (median of bookmakers in our price feed; failing that, the first price within 2 hours after, always before kick-off)",
    "basis_short": "Our market price when we first recorded the pick",
    "compared": 1,
    "above": 0,
    "above_share_percent": "0.0",
    "below": 0,
    "within": 1,
    "median_difference_percent": "-3.1",
    "not_comparable": 0,
    "disputed": 0,
    "status": "calculated"
   }
  ],
  "examples": [],
  "method": "Difference = the author's stated price ÷ the market price of the same selection − 1. A pick counts as above the market when the stated price is more than 5% higher. Each basis is its own comparison; they are never added together. A pair whose prices differ more than twofold is marked “price disputed”: it is probably not the same selection, so it is left out of this comparison and of every return at the author’s price until a manual check confirms the price. A price that the quoted text does not give is marked “price disputed” in the same way."
 },
 "record_summary": {
  "contract_version": "1",
  "entity_type": "person",
  "entity_words": "Individual author",
  "source": {
   "name": "betbrothers.es",
   "url": "https://betbrothers.es/pronosticos-deportivos/lens-como-champions-league-2026/"
  },
  "observed_from": "2026-10-10",
  "observed_to": "2026-11-03",
  "data_as_of": "2026-11-07",
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  "series_code": "market_price",
  "series": "Recorded before kick-off, at our recorded market price",
  "restored": false,
  "headline_kind": "live_snapshot",
  "headline_part": "live",
  "settled_picks": 1,
  "matches": 1,
  "void": 0,
  "net_points_hundredths": -10000,
  "staked_hundredths": 10000,
  "return_percent": "-100.00",
  "stake_per_pick_hundredths": 10000,
  "period_from": "2026-10-13",
  "period_to": "2026-10-13",
  "status": "calculated",
  "method_version": "2.2",
  "short_history": true,
  "reason": null,
  "reasons": [],
  "sentence": "Forecast Record recorded 1 settled live pick by Mario Gago before kick-off across 1 match on 13 October 2026. Won 0 of 1 settled live pick at our recorded market prices. Of the 17 predictions we hold for Mario Gago, 10 are linked to matches: 6 were recorded by us before kick-off and 4 first found after the match. Figures as of 7 November 2026.",
  "numbers": [
   {
    "label": "Settled live picks",
    "value": "1",
    "anchor": "/methodology/#settled-pick",
    "note": null
   },
   {
    "label": "Matches",
    "value": "1",
    "anchor": "/methodology/#match",
    "note": null
   },
   {
    "label": "Net result",
    "value": "−100 points",
    "anchor": "/methodology/#settlement",
    "note": "100 points per pick"
   },
   {
    "label": "Return at our recorded market price",
    "value": "−100.0%",
    "anchor": "/methodology/#roi",
    "note": null
   }
  ],
  "limitations": [],
  "other_series": [],
  "return_over_time": [],
  "return_over_time_parts": {
   "live": {
    "part": "live",
    "label": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "Return at our recorded market price",
    "x_axis": "match_date",
    "dated_note": "Dated by match day. Each pick was recorded by us before kick-off and settled after the match.",
    "settled_picks": 1,
    "matches": 1,
    "match_dates": 1,
    "period_from": "2026-10-13",
    "period_to": "2026-10-13",
    "stake_per_pick_hundredths": 10000,
    "final_points_hundredths": -10000,
    "low": {
     "date": "2026-10-13",
     "cumulative_points_hundredths": -10000,
     "after_picks": 1
    },
    "high": {
     "date": "2026-10-13",
     "cumulative_points_hundredths": -10000,
     "after_picks": 1
    },
    "line_drawn": false,
    "steps": [
     {
      "date": "2026-10-13",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -10000,
      "n": 1,
      "picks": 1
     }
    ]
   },
   "archived": null
  },
  "author_response": null,
  "cite": {
   "text": "Forecast Record recorded 1 settled live pick by Mario Gago before kick-off across 1 match on 13 October 2026. Won 0 of 1 settled live pick at our recorded market prices. Of the 17 predictions we hold for Mario Gago, 10 are linked to matches: 6 were recorded by us before kick-off and 4 first found after the match. Figures as of 7 November 2026.",
   "url": "https://forecastrecord.com/authors/mario-gago/",
   "data_as_of": "2026-11-07",
   "method_version": "2.2"
  },
  "origin": {
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   "under_review": 0,
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   "proven_measured": 1,
   "proven_dates": 4,
   "parts": [
    {
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     "title": "Recorded before kick-off",
     "explanation": "Saved by us from the source before kick-off.",
     "predictions": 6,
     "checked": 6,
     "price_rule": "Return at our recorded market price",
     "series_code": "market_price",
     "main": {
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      "net_points_hundredths": -10000,
      "staked_hundredths": 10000,
      "return_percent": "-100.00",
      "interval_low": null,
      "interval_high": null,
      "interval_note": "too few independent matches to estimate an interval",
      "period_from": "2026-10-13",
      "period_to": "2026-10-13",
      "method_version": "2.2",
      "snapshot_delay_median_hours": "0.0",
      "snapshot_delay_max_hours": "0.0",
      "checked_after_kickoff_picks": 0
     },
     "same_picks": [
      {
       "price": "Author-quoted price",
       "series_code": "author_price",
       "picks": 1,
       "return_main_percent": "-100.00",
       "return_other_percent": "-100.00",
       "settled_excluding_void": 1,
       "net_main_points_hundredths": -10000,
       "net_other_points_hundredths": -10000,
       "period_from": "2026-10-13",
       "period_to": "2026-10-13"
      },
      {
       "price": "Closing price",
       "series_code": "closing_live",
       "picks": 1,
       "return_main_percent": "-100.00",
       "return_other_percent": "-100.00",
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       "net_main_points_hundredths": -10000,
       "net_other_points_hundredths": -10000,
       "period_from": "2026-10-13",
       "period_to": "2026-10-13"
      }
     ],
     "score": {
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      "baseline_matches": 0,
      "baseline_distinct_matches": 0,
      "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0,
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      "lines": []
     },
     "eligible": {
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     },
     "accuracy": {
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      "left_out": 0,
      "by_market": [
       {
        "market": "Match result",
        "won": 0,
        "picks": 1,
        "implied_percent": "31.2"
       }
      ]
     }
    },
    {
     "code": "archived",
     "title": "Archived before kick-off",
     "explanation": "Restored from a copy saved by an independent web archive before kick-off.",
     "predictions": 0,
     "checked": 0,
     "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices",
     "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
     "main": null,
     "same_picks": [],
     "score": {
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      "outcome_checked": 0,
      "outcome_hits": 0,
      "outcome_rate": null,
      "baseline_matches": 0,
      "baseline_distinct_matches": 0,
      "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0,
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      "favourite_hits": 0,
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      "pending": 0,
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      "recorded_after_kickoff": 0,
      "lines": []
     },
     "eligible": {
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      "priced": 0
     },
     "accuracy": null
    },
    {
     "code": "found_after",
     "title": "Found after the match",
     "explanation": "First found after the match; the date is the one the source states.",
     "predictions": 4,
     "checked": 0,
     "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices",
     "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
     "main": null,
     "same_picks": [],
     "score": {
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      "outcome_checked": 0,
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      "outcome_rate": null,
      "baseline_matches": 0,
      "baseline_distinct_matches": 0,
      "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0,
      "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null,
      "favourite_hits": 0,
      "favourite_rate": null,
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      "pending": 0,
      "void": 0,
      "recorded_after_kickoff": 0,
      "lines": []
     },
     "eligible": {
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      "priced": 0
     },
     "accuracy": null
    }
   ]
  },
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  "headline_record_ids": [
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  ],
  "interval_low": null,
  "interval_high": null,
  "caption": "Recorded before kick-off, at our recorded market price · 100 points per pick · 13 October 2026 · Calculated · picks settled under method v2.2",
  "record_from": "2026-10-10",
  "record_to": "2026-11-03"
 },
 "recorded_picks": [
  {
   "record_id": "n-480ee07a48bf6659c0392a45",
   "url": "/authors/mario-gago/#pick-n-480ee07a48bf6659c0392a45",
   "match": "Villarreal v SSC Napoli",
   "match_url": "/football/matches/villarreal-vs-ssc-napoli-2026-10-13/",
   "kickoff": "2026-10-13T19:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "UEFA Champions League",
   "lead_hours": 42.5,
   "market_code": "1x2",
   "author_said": "1X2, match result: SSC Napoli at 3.1",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Lost",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "3-1",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": -10000,
   "series_code": "market_price",
   "series_short": "odds snapshot",
   "author_price": "3.1",
   "settled_price": "3.2000",
   "published_at": "2026-10-11T03:58:02.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-12T00:32:08.943Z",
   "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "record_part": "live",
   "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off",
   "in_headline": true,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": {
    "outcome": "1",
    "price": "2.1000",
    "result": "Won",
    "points_hundredths": 11000,
    "picked_favourite": false
   },
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-480ee07a48bf6659c0392a45",
    "quote_text": "la apuesta recomendada será que el Napoli gana este partido. La cuota está en 3,10 por euro apostado en Casino Gran Madrid Apuestas",
    "fragment_from": 2682,
    "fragment_to": 2813,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://betbrothers.es/pronosticos-deportivos/villarreal-napoli-champions-league-2026/",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Mario Gago",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "9107afe678c96eb50c006b2766d825d4ea2c1905bc45ea09c699d6368a366938",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2026-10-11T03:58:02.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-12T00:32:08.943Z",
    "executed_at": "2026-10-12T01:36:02.053Z",
    "statement_class": "priced",
    "status": "recognised",
    "cause": null,
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": "s-dfd94b3dad49",
     "display_name": "Villarreal — SSC Napoli",
     "competition_name": "UEFA Champions League",
     "starts_at": "2026-10-13T19:00:00.000Z",
     "url": "/football/matches/villarreal-vs-ssc-napoli-2026-10-13/",
     "scoreline": "3-1",
     "condition": "finished"
    },
    "market_label": "1X2, match result",
    "outcome_label": "SSC Napoli",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": "3.1",
     "our_snapshot": "3.2000",
     "our_snapshot_at": "2026-10-12T00:29:48.217Z",
     "our_snapshot_source": "market snapshot",
     "closing": null,
     "closing_source": null
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "loss",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": -10000,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": "ours",
    "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "recorded_pre_match",
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   "quote": "La apuesta al visitante tiene una cuota de 1,75 por euro apostado en Casino Gran Madrid Apuestas.",
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   "outcome": "Excluded",
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   "quote": "Otra opción bastante interesante es la apuesta a que ambos equipos anotarán. Viendo el estado de forma de Alphadjo Cissé en los ‘rossoneri’ y la capacidad goleadora de los ‘nerazzurri’, podemos…",
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   "quote": "la apuesta elegida será la victoria del Inter en este choque. Van demasiados derbis fallados y, vista la fragilidad defensiva de los de Rúben Amorim, parece difícil que esta vez les salga bien. La…",
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   "quote": "la opción de que Malen anote durante los 90 minutos y de que los puntos se vayan para los ‘giallorossi’ es muy interesante. La cuota final queda en 3,90.",
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   "outcome": "Excluded",
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   "reason_code": "not_supported",
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   "published_at": "2026-10-22T06:33:19.000Z",
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   "outcome": "Excluded",
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   "quote": "Para el que busque algo más de riesgo, se puede combinar el 1 con la opción de que ‘ambos equipos no anotan’, es decir, que solo consiguen hacer gol los de Bérgamo. Esta opción tiene una cuota de…",
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   "reason_code": "after_match",
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   "quote": "la apuesta propuesta será la victoria de la Atalanta. La cuota de 1.57 por euro apostado en Casino Barcelona Apuestas hace que merezca la pena decantarse por este pronóstico simple.",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
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   "quote": "una buena idea puede ser apostar al 2-0 final.",
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   "published_at": "2026-10-09T03:31:44.000Z",
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  "before_kickoff": 7,
  "after_kickoff": 0,
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  "share_2h_plus": 100.0,
  "median_hours": 37.5,
  "min_hours": 15.0,
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 "baseline": {
  "contract_version": 1,
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  "picks": 1,
  "settled_picks_all": 1,
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  "staked_hundredths": 10000,
  "author_net_hundredths": -10000,
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  "favourite_return_percent": 110.0,
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  "by_market": [
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    "staked_hundredths": 10000,
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    "picked_favourite": 0,
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  "return_over_time": [
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 "pagination": {
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 "title_tag": "Mario Gago Predictions: Verified Record, Results and Sources",
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 "person": {
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    "byline": "Mario Gago",
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     "predictions": 17,
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     "headline_kind": "live_snapshot",
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 "data_revision": {
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