Luis Filipe: football tipster record

Where Luis Filipe publishes

Published under this name on sportytrader.pt.

Record card

To link to this record from your site or bio, copy the line below. It states only the facts of this record.

<a href="https://forecastrecord.com/authors/luis-filipe/">Record tracked by Forecast Record since 11 October 2026 · 121 predictions · last change 6 November 2026</a>

Recorded before kick-off: supporting evidence

Eligible price: a market price that meets the price rule of its part of the record; the return is calculated on picks with one. Definition.

How the market price is set

Recorded before kick-off, graded after the match

20 predictions recorded before kick-off. Right in 10 of 20.

Prices implied by market

By market: Over/under goals 11 of 16 (prices implied 62.5% Small sample (16)); Both teams to score 6 of 12 (prices implied 65.6% Small sample (12)); Match result 7 of 10 (prices implied 63.5% Small sample (10)).

The implied share is the average of 1 ÷ price; it includes the bookmaker margin, so it is slightly above a fair chance. Markets with low prices are won more often, so a share of picks won says little on its own.

An author-quoted price is the price the article offered; the headline return uses the market price in the last column.

Record details and history

Each title is a fact about past picks, by published rules. How titles work

Are you Luis Filipe? Show your titles on your site → · Confirm it's you

What kind of number is this?

Measured

Settled by us from the final score. Supporting evidence: Directly observed in a source or timestamped capture. Here: the moment we first captured each prediction; our pre-match market snapshot of each settled pick.

Stated

The author’s own claim, shown as published. Reported by the source; not independently confirmed. Here: the publication date a source page shows; the price an author quoted.

Calculated

Derived from the listed inputs under a published rule. Here: outcomes against the final score; returns, intervals and the share of picks won.

Unknown

Not established from the evidence available. Here: nothing on this page.

The four data statuses

What this record covers

We monitor the sources listed below. This is not a complete record of everything Luis Filipe has published.

Source we monitor

sportytrader.pt

Channels

website

Watched by us

11 October – 6 November 2026

Without a match page

56 predictions

Stated price vs market

How the prices this author stated compare with an independent market price of the same selection. Calculated from the picks where both prices are known; a gap can come from market movement or from one bookmaker offering more than the market, so it describes the stated prices, not the reason for them.

Our market price when we first recorded the pick — our market price for the same selection when we first recorded the pick (median of bookmakers in our price feed; failing that, the first price within 2 hours after, always before kick-off). Difference = the author's stated price ÷ the market price of the same selection − 1. A pick counts as above the market when the stated price is more than 5.0% higher. Each basis is its own comparison; they are never added together. A pair whose prices differ more than twofold is marked “price disputed”: it is probably not the same selection, so it is left out of this comparison and of every return at the author’s price until a manual check confirms the price. A price that the quoted text does not give is marked “price disputed” in the same way.

Largest gaps: 1.63 against 1.82 (−10.4%) · 1.53 against 1.66 (−7.8%)

Author's response

No author's response is published on this page. Responses are published word for word. Correction requests are checked, and every change is logged.

Respond or request a correction

Coverage and exclusions

One set of records: the author’s statements. Each count is a part of the one above it. What each word means · What coverage says.

Statements

714

Predictions

121

Qualifying picks

45

Settled picks

42

Here a pick counts as settled when it has a result at any recorded price; the numbers at the top use only the price rule of their own part of the record.

Statements that are not predictions: 47 opinions and 542 not about a match.

How this return was calculated

Every settled pick in “Recorded before kick-off, at our recorded market price” is a stake of 100 points at our recorded market price, a pre-match snapshot of the same selection. The net result (−141.74 points) is the sum of the profit and loss of these 38 settled live picks; the return is the net result divided by the total staked (3,800 points), void picks excluded. Definition of return on stakes · How a pick is settled.

Other prices of the same picks are compared row by row in each part of the record above; they are never added to this number.

Separate comparison window — last 90 days: −3.7% on 38 live picks settled in this window · 29 matches · 11 October – 7 November 2026 (calculated, method v2.2). How comparison windows are counted

Changes to this record

Earlier figures stay here with the reason: new results, extended coverage, a correction or a method change. Corrections are also listed in the corrections log.

Coverage extended · 7 November 2026

Before

−2.9% on 30 settled picks across 24 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

After

−3.7% on 38 settled picks across 29 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

Added 7 earlier picks for matches played before the previous record update (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture); also 1 new result.

New results · 5 November 2026

Before

−6.0% on 28 settled picks across 23 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2 Small sample (28)

After

−2.9% on 30 settled picks across 24 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

2 new settled picks from matches played after the previous record update.

Coverage extended · 4 November 2026

Before

−7.1% on 25 settled picks across 21 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2 Small sample (25)

After

−6.0% on 28 settled picks across 23 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2 Small sample (28)

Added 3 earlier picks for matches played before the previous record update (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).

New results · 3 November 2026

Before

−3.2% on 24 settled picks across 20 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2 Small sample (24)

After

−7.1% on 25 settled picks across 21 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2 Small sample (25)

1 new settled pick from matches played after the previous record update.

New results · 31 October 2026

Before

+1.0% on 23 settled picks across 19 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2 Small sample (23)

After

−3.2% on 24 settled picks across 20 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2 Small sample (24)

1 new settled pick from matches played after the previous record update.

New results · 31 October 2026

Before

−6.4% on 20 settled picks across 17 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2 Small sample (20)

After

+1.0% on 23 settled picks across 19 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2 Small sample (23)

3 new settled picks from matches played after the previous record update.

New results · 29 October 2026

Before

−3.9% on 18 settled picks across 16 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2 Small sample (18)

After

−6.4% on 20 settled picks across 17 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2 Small sample (20)

2 new settled picks from matches played after the previous record update.

New results · 28 October 2026

Before

−8.2% on 17 settled picks across 15 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2 Small sample (17)

After

−3.9% on 18 settled picks across 16 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2 Small sample (18)

1 new settled pick from matches played after the previous record update.

Coverage extended · 27 October 2026

Before

−12.4% on 16 settled picks across 14 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2 Small sample (16)

After

−8.2% on 17 settled picks across 15 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2 Small sample (17)

Added 1 earlier pick for matches played before the previous record update (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).

New results · 25 October 2026

Before

+0.2% on 14 settled picks across 13 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2 Small sample (14)

After

−12.4% on 16 settled picks across 14 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2 Small sample (16)

2 new settled picks from matches played after the previous record update.

New results · 24 October 2026

Before

−7.8% on 12 settled picks across 11 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2 Small sample (12)

After

+0.2% on 14 settled picks across 13 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2 Small sample (14)

2 new settled picks from matches played after the previous record update.

Coverage extended · 24 October 2026

Before

+0.6% on 11 settled picks across 10 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2 Small sample (11)

After

−7.8% on 12 settled picks across 11 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2 Small sample (12)

Added 1 earlier pick for matches played before the previous record update (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).

New results · 22 October 2026

Before

+56.15 points on 9 settled picks across 8 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

After

+0.6% on 11 settled picks across 10 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2 Small sample (11)

2 new settled picks from matches played after the previous record update.

Coverage extended · 22 October 2026

Before

−3.85 points on 8 settled picks across 8 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

After

+56.15 points on 9 settled picks across 8 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

Added 1 earlier pick for matches played before the previous record update (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).

New results · 19 October 2026

Before

+43.24 points on 6 settled picks across 6 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

After

−3.85 points on 8 settled picks across 8 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

2 new settled picks from matches played after the previous record update.

New results · 18 October 2026

Before

−74.51 points on 4 settled picks across 4 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

After

+43.24 points on 6 settled picks across 6 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

2 new settled picks from matches played after the previous record update.

Coverage extended · 15 October 2026

Before

−130.07 points on 3 settled picks across 3 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

After

−74.51 points on 4 settled picks across 4 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

Added 1 earlier pick for matches played before the previous record update (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).

New results · 12 October 2026

Before

−200.00 points on 2 settled picks across 2 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

After

−130.07 points on 3 settled picks across 3 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

1 new settled pick from matches played after the previous record update.

Method changed · 11 October 2026

Before

no published headline number

After

−200.00 points on 2 settled picks across 2 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

(11 October 2026): the live market price of a pick is the market price at the moment the pick was first recorded, before kick-off. First headline number for this record: 2 settled picks.

Who this is

Last recorded by us

6 November 2026, 1 day before this page's data date

Observed

11 October 2026 — 6 November 2026

Channels

website

Statements other than predictions (68 shown)

• “Será, por isso, interessante perceber se a organização defensiva de Simeone conseguirá travar o poder ofensivo dos catalães ou se voltaremos a assistir a um duelo aberto e com várias ocasiões de perigo.” — 6 November 2026, 20:10 GMT · source
• “Apesar de também apresentarem algumas fragilidades defensivas, chegam a Manchester com maior estabilidade competitiva e um registo recente mais consistente na Premier League.” — 6 November 2026, 16:40 GMT · source
• “este triunfo poderá ter devolvido alguma confiança, mas não apaga as fragilidades evidentes da equipa.” — 6 November 2026, 16:40 GMT · source
• “Em quatro dos últimos cinco jogos entre as duas equipas houve mais de 2,5 golos” — 6 November 2026, 14:39 GMT · source
• “Em três dos últimos quatro jogos do Ipswich houve mais de 2,5 golos.” — 6 November 2026, 14:39 GMT · source
• “Quem irá levar a melhor?” — 4 November 2026, 20:14 GMT · source

• Melhor Marcador A. Baena (5 Golo)

  · Source

• Rodri está em dúvida, após sair com queixas musculares do jogo contra o Aston Villa.

  · Source

• Cristian Romero, tem apresentado alguma sobrecarga muscular, e a sua utilização no domingo é improvável.

  · Source

• A equipa de Hansi Flick apresenta, contudo, algumas vulnerabilidades defensivas

  · Source

• O Atlético de Madrid ocupa o segundo lugar da classificação, com 28 pontos em 11 jornadas

  · Source

• O nosso modelo de previsões dá 55.13% de hipóteses ⭐ para uma aposta na vitória de Barcelona vs Atlético

  · Source

• A probabilidade segundo a Sportytrader ⭐ para o prognóstico empate entre Atlético Madrid vs Barcelona

  · Source

• O algoritmo Sportytrader ⭐ calcula uma probabilidade de 23.83% para o prognóstico vitória

  · Source

• 10€ oferecidos para apostar em Atlético Madrid - Barcelona!

  · Source

• Melhor assistente J. McGinn (3 Assistências)

  · Source

• Melhor Marcador B. Mbeumo (4 Golo)

  · Source

• Amadou Onana e Matteo Ruggeri estão indisponíveis, Matty Cash encontra-se suspenso

  · Source

• Marcus Rashford, Luke Shaw, Sesko, Ugarte e Patrick Dorgu estão lesionados.

  · Source

• 65€ oferecidos para apostar em Manchester United - Aston Villa!

  · Source

• As melhores odds para apostar no Manchester United - Aston Villa

  · Source

• Aposte no jogo Ipswich Town - Bournemouth: Betano oferece até 250€ em bónus!

  · Source

• 250€ oferecidos para apostar em Ipswich Town - Bournemouth!

  · Source

• Pode apostar neste cartaz da Premier League, graças ao bónus de até 50€, oferecido através do

  · Source

• Betclic oferece um bónus de 50€ no Brighton - Brentford!

  · Source

• Qual a melhor opção para apostar no jogo Brighton - Brentford?

  · Source

• 50€ oferecidos para apostar em Brighton - Brentford!

  · Source

• Brentford 2 : 0 Nottingham Forest

  · Source

• Sunderland 0 : 2 Brighton

  · Source

• FK Jablonec 0 : 0 Brighton

  · Source

• O nosso modelo de previsões dá 29.14% de hipóteses ⭐ para uma aposta na vitória de Brentford vs Brighton com uma odd de 3.65 na Luckia.

  · Source

• A probabilidade segundo a Sportytrader ⭐ para o prognóstico empate entre Brighton vs Brentford é de 26.23% com uma odd de 3.85 na Luckia.

  · Source

• O algoritmo Sportytrader ⭐ calcula uma probabilidade de 44.62% para o prognóstico vitória do Brighton contra o Brentford com uma odd de 1.94 na Luckia.

  · Source

• As melhores odds para apostar no Brighton - Brentford

  · Source

• Betclic oferece um bónus de 50€ no Nottingham Forest - Manchester City!

  · Source

• Nottingham Forest Formação titular : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1 M. Sels J. Cunha N. Milenkovic Murillo O.

  · Source

• O nosso modelo de previsões dá 59.35% de hipóteses ⭐ para uma aposta na vitória de Manchester City vs Nottingham Forest com uma odd de 1.74 na Luckia.

  · Source

• A probabilidade segundo a Sportytrader ⭐ para o prognóstico empate entre Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City é de 23.73% com uma odd de 4 na Betano.

  · Source

• O algoritmo Sportytrader ⭐ calcula uma probabilidade de 16.92% para o prognóstico vitória do Nottingham Forest contra o Manchester City com uma odd de 4.6 na Betano.

  · Source

• 50€ oferecidos para apostar em Nottingham Forest - Manchester City!

  · Source

• ESC Online oferece um bónus de 100€ no jogo Arsenal FC - Hull City!

  · Source

• 30 FS sem depósito + 100€ oferecidos para apostar em Arsenal FC - Hull City!

  · Source

• O algoritmo Sportytrader ⭐ calcula uma probabilidade de 71.06% para o prognóstico vitória

  · Source

• As melhores odds para apostar no Arsenal FC - Hull City

  · Source

• 30 FS sem depósito + 100€ oferecidos para apostar!

  · Source

• Placard oferece um bónus total de 10€ no Leeds - Tottenham!

  · Source

• Melhor Marcador D. Calvert-Lewin (4 Golo)

  · Source

• Desfalques Leeds Defensor J. Rodon

  · Source

• Leeds Formação titular : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1

  · Source

• 10€ oferecidos para apostar em Leeds - Tottenham!

  · Source

• Os últimos elencos das equipes Leeds Formação titular : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1

  · Source

• Estatísticas médias (últimos 6 jogos) 3.17 Total de golos

  · Source

• O algoritmo Sportytrader ⭐ calcula uma probabilidade de 64.44% para o prognóstico vitória do Leeds contra o Tottenham com uma odd de 2.65 na Betano.

  · Source

• 250€ oferecidos para apostar em Sevilha - Alavés!

  · Source

• Sevilha - Alavés: as estatísticas (La Liga)

  · Source

• O algoritmo Sportytrader ⭐ calcula uma probabilidade de 40.37% para o prognóstico vitória do Sevilha

  · Source

• As melhores odds para apostar no Sevilha - Alavés

  · Source

• Betclic oferece um bónus de 50€ no Everton FC - Coventry City!

  · Source

• 50€ oferecidos para apostar em Everton FC - Coventry City!

  · Source

• 10€ oferecidos para apostar em RC Celta De Vigo - Union Saint-Gilloise!

  · Source

• RC Celta De Vigo - Union Saint-Gilloise: as estatísticas (Liga Europa)

  · Source

• O algoritmo Sportytrader ⭐ calcula uma probabilidade de 37.96% para o prognóstico vitória do RC Celta De Vigo contra o Union Saint-Gilloise com uma odd de 2.26 na Luckia.

  · Source

• 50€ oferecidos para apostar em Hapoel Beer Sheva - OFI Crete!

  · Source

• Em dois dos três jogos dos israelitas houve mais de 2,5 golos.

  · Source

• O nosso modelo de previsões dá 30.39% de hipóteses ⭐ para uma aposta na vitória de OFI Crete

  · Source

• A probabilidade segundo a Sportytrader ⭐ para o prognóstico empate entre Hapoel Beer Sheva vs

  · Source

• O algoritmo Sportytrader ⭐ calcula uma probabilidade de 41.95% para o prognóstico vitória

  · Source

• Os israelitas do Hapoel Beer Sheva e os gregos do OFI Creta defrontam-se esta quinta-feira

  · Source

The full list is in the JSON and CSV downloads of this page.

The same data, machine-readable

• Page data (JSON)
• Recorded picks (CSV)

From the same snapshot as this page. A download includes the full machine list when the page shows a filtered view.

Share cards of this record (4)

• Bankroll card — Luis Filipe
• A month following Luis Filipe
• Said → happened — Luis Filipe
• Turning point — Luis Filipe

For the author of this record (1)

• Your record on Forecast Record: Luis Filipe

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Calculations for the displayed picks

Record definitions and related evidence

• Titles and record details
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• Coverage and exclusions
• Matches
• Recorded picks and results
• How this return was calculated
• Recorded before kick-off — definition
• Record details and history below
• 7