Forecast Record recorded 10 settled live picks by LMGuerra before kick-off across 6 matches between 10 and . Won 2 of 8 non-void picks at our recorded market prices.
Tracked requires 30 predictions checked against the final score over 30 days in at least 2 weeks. Established requires 100 predictions checked against the final score with at least 90 days of history. Tracking-level rules
Return at our recorded market prices
−30.4%Measured Small sample (10)
10 settled picks with an eligible price · 6 matches · picks settled under method v2.2
Won 2 of 7 (28.6% Small sample (7)) at average odds 2.96; those prices implied 34.0% Small sample (7) (including bookmaker margin).
Eligible prices were available for 10 of the 15 selections checked against the result.
Forecast Record recorded 10 settled live picks by LMGuerra before kick-off across 6 matches between 10 and 30 October 2026. Won 2 of 8 non-void picks at our recorded market prices. Of the 24 predictions we hold for LMGuerra, 17 are linked to matches: 17 were recorded by us before kick-off. Figures as of 7 November 2026.
https://forecastrecord.com/authors/lmguerra/
46 statements read → 24 predictions → 17 linked to matches → 17 recorded before kick-off → 15 outcome-checked → 10 at our recorded market price · none found after kick-off
On 12 picks with a stated price, the author's price was above our market price on 3 (25.0% Small sample (12)), within 5.0% on 9; median difference 0.0% Small sample (12).
Recorded by us before kick-off: Net result −243.09 points on 10 settled live picks · Lowest point −243.09 points.
| Date | Settled picks | Cumulative points |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.00 | |
| 2 | -100.00 | |
| 4 | 206.91 | |
| 6 | 106.91 | |
| 8 | -43.09 | |
| 10 | -243.09 |
| Market | Won | Return | Avg odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Asian handicap | 1 W / 3 L | — Small sample (4) | 2.48 |
| Result and both teams to score | 0 W / 3 L | — Small sample (3) | 4.42 |
| Match result | 1 W / 0 L | — Small sample (2) | 2.30 |
| Draw no bet | 0 W / 0 L | — Small sample (1) | 1.80 |
| Competition | Won | Return | Avg odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| LaLiga | 0 W / 4 L | — Small sample (6) | 3.03 |
| UEFA Champions League | 2 W / 2 L | — Small sample (4) | 2.85 |
creo que es muy interesante la apuesta de victoria del Betis y ambos equipos no marcan, a cuota 4.00 por euro jugado.betbrothers.es
la victoria del Betis a 2.13 en la casa de apuestas DAZNbet me parece uno de los pronósticos más interesantes de este fin de semana en la Primera División española.betbrothers.es
Si queremos arriesgar más, podemos jugar un hándicap asiático -2 a favor del Villarreal. Con esta apuesta, si el Villarreal gana por dos goles nos devuelven el dinero, pero si gana por tres o más, ganamos la apuesta, que se paga a una cuota de 3.00.betbrothers.es
Como pronóstico recomendado, me voy al hándicap asiático -1.25 a favor del Villarreal a cuota 1.90 en Casino Barcelona Apuestas o incluso algo mejor en algunas casas de apuestas.betbrothers.es
VfB Stuttgart 1-1 Atlético Madrid ·
la victoria del Atlético de Madrid y que ambos equipos no marcan, a cuota 4.50.betbrothers.es
VfB Stuttgart 1-1 Atlético Madrid ·
apostando al hándicap asiático -0.25 del Atlético de Madrid, que encontramos a una cuota de 1.83 en Casino Gran Madrid Apuestas.betbrothers.es
Si queremos subir el nivel de dificultad de nuestra apuesta, podemos apostar por la victoria del Rayo y que ambos equipos no marcan. Esta opción nos la pagan a 4.00betbrothers.es
Mi pronóstico favorito es el draw no bet o hándicap asiático +0 a favor del Rayo, que podemos encontrar a cuota 1.85 en Casino Barcelona Apuestas.betbrothers.es
Atlético Madrid 2-0 Manchester United ·
nos podemos ir a la victoria por más de un gol del Atleti con un hándicap asiático -1.5 a una excelente cuota de 3.30 en algunas casas de apuestas.betbrothers.es
Atlético Madrid 2-0 Manchester United ·
mi apuesta para el partido es la victoria del Atleti a cuota 2.01 en Casino Gran Madrid Apuestas.betbrothers.es
Real Racing Club 2-2 Valencia ·
Si queremos arriesgar con una cuota alta creo que es muy interesante la opción de ambos marcan y gana Valencia, que paga a cuota 5.00.betbrothers.es
Rayo Vallecano v Athletic Club ·
Si queremos arriesgar más, podemos buscar una cuota alta con la victoria del Rayo, que se coloca sobre 2.60.betbrothers.es
El hándicap asiático -2 se encuentra a una cuota de 3.45, más que interesante.betbrothers.es
Su victoria a 1.60 también me parece un gran pronósticobetbrothers.es
mi apuesta favorita para este Betis vs. Feyenoord es la victoria del Betis con hándicap asiático -1 a una cuota de 1.88 en la casa de apuestas Tonybetbetbrothers.es
Real Racing Club 2-2 Valencia ·
Mi apuesta favorita es el +0.25 Valencia a cuota 1.87 en Casino Gran Madrid Apuestas.betbrothers.es
Rayo Vallecano v Athletic Club ·
Mi pronóstico favorito para este Rayo vs. Athletic es el hándicap +0.25 a favor del Rayo a cuota 1.65 en la casa de apuestas Tonybet.betbrothers.es
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Last change · Price rule: independent odds snapshot · Sample: 10 settled live picks, 6 matches · View changes to this record
Published under this name on betbrothers.es.
| Platform | Byline | Predictions | Settled picks | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| betbrothers.es | LMGuerra | 24 | 10 | −30.4% at our recorded market prices |
To link to this record from your site or bio, copy the line below. It states only the facts of this record.
<a href="https://forecastrecord.com/authors/lmguerra/">Record tracked by Forecast Record since 9 October 2026 · 24 predictions · last change 7 November 2026</a>Eligible price: a market price that meets the price rule of its part of the record; the return is calculated on picks with one. Definition.
1 prediction recorded before kick-off.
By market: Asian handicap 1 of 3 (1 W / 2 L, average odds 2.48) Small sample (3); Result and both teams to score 0 of 3 (0 W / 3 L, average odds 4.42) Small sample (3); Match result 1 of 1 (1 W / 0 L, average odds 2.30) Small sample (1).
The implied share is the average of 1 ÷ price; it includes the bookmaker margin, so it is slightly above a fair chance. Markets with low prices are won more often, so a share of picks won says little on its own. 3 picks left out: void, or half won or half lost on a quarter-goal line.
| Price | Same picks | Period | At that price | Return at our recorded market price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Author-quoted price | 10 | 10–30 October 2026 | −219 points | −243.09 points |
| Closing price | 4 | 10–19 October 2026 | +160 points | +306.91 points |
An author-quoted price is the price the article offered; the headline return uses the market price in the last column.
We monitor the sources listed below. This is not a complete record of everything LMGuerra has published.
How the prices this author stated compare with an independent market price of the same selection. Calculated from the picks where both prices are known; a gap can come from market movement or from one bookmaker offering more than the market, so it describes the stated prices, not the reason for them.
| Compared with | Picks | >5.0% above | >5.0% below | Within | Median |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Our market price when we first recorded the pick | 12 | 3 (25.0%) | 0 | 9 | 0.0% |
Our market price when we first recorded the pick — our market price for the same selection when we first recorded the pick (median of bookmakers in our price feed; failing that, the first price within 2 hours after, always before kick-off). Difference = the author's stated price ÷ the market price of the same selection − 1. A pick counts as above the market when the stated price is more than 5.0% higher. Each basis is its own comparison; they are never added together. A pair whose prices differ more than twofold is marked “price disputed”: it is probably not the same selection, so it is left out of this comparison and of every return at the author’s price until a manual check confirms the price. A price that the quoted text does not give is marked “price disputed” in the same way.
Largest gaps: 4.00 against 3.75 (+6.7%) · 2.13 against 2.02 (+5.4%)
No author's response is published on this page. Responses are published word for word. Correction requests are checked, and every change is logged.
One set of records: the author’s statements. Each count is a part of the one above it. What each word means · What coverage says.
Here a pick counts as settled when it has a result at any recorded price; the numbers at the top use only the price rule of their own part of the record.
Statements that are not predictions: 8 opinions and 14 not about a match.
Every settled pick in “Recorded before kick-off, at our recorded market price” is a stake of 100 points at our recorded market price, a pre-match snapshot of the same selection. The net result (−243.09 points) is the sum of the profit and loss of these 10 settled live picks; the return is the net result divided by the total staked (800 points), void picks excluded (2 void). Definition of return on stakes · How a pick is settled.
Other prices of the same picks are compared row by row in each part of the record above; they are never added to this number.
Separate comparison window — last 90 days: −243.09 points on 10 live picks settled in this window · 6 matches · 10–30 October 2026 (calculated, method v2.2). How comparison windows are counted
Earlier figures stay here with the reason: new results, extended coverage, a correction or a method change. Corrections are also listed in the corrections log.
New results ·
2 new settled picks from matches played after the previous record update.
Coverage extended ·
Added 3 earlier picks for matches played before the previous record update (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).
Coverage extended ·
Added 1 earlier pick for matches played before the previous record update (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).
Coverage extended ·
Added 1 earlier pick for matches played before the previous record update (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).
Data corrected ·
Data corrected: 1 pick left the headline sample.
Coverage extended ·
Added 1 earlier pick for matches played before the previous record update (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).
Coverage extended ·
Added 1 earlier pick for matches played before the previous record update (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).
New results ·
First headline number for this record: 2 settled picks in the series “independent odds snapshot”.
La pasada jornada, Lemar cayó lesionado en la derrota por 0-1 ante el Valencia y estará unas semanas· Source
El equipo llega con la baja de Gueye por la roja vista en Mestalla y la duda de Akhomach.· Source
cuenta con las dudas de Mangala, Romero y Unal, junto a la baja de Djené por sanción.· Source
Sancet tendrá que esperar todavía alguna semana más.· Source
Nico ya está disponible y podría ser titular el domingo.· Source
el Cucho se ha lesionado y estará varias semanas de baja.· Source
Aunque pierde al Cuti por lesión, una baja sensible, Pubill y Hancko pueden cubrir perfectamente· Source
el Rayo cuenta con un partido menos, ya que vio aplazado su duelo contra el Athletic el pasado sábado.· Source
Ambos equipos tienen 8 puntos y se encuentran a solo dos puntos de la zona de descenso.· Source
+18 / Publicidad / Juego Responsable· Source
En nuestra página de pronósticos de La Liga podrás encontrar nuevas predicciones para esta y cada jornada· Source
La bajada de nivel de Iñaki Williams por edad, junto a los problemas físicos que vuelven a dejar fuera a su hermano Nico· Source
Los vascos llegan al partido en la posición 10, con los mismos 8 puntos que el Rayo.· Source
El conjunto vallecano llega al partido con 8 puntos, ocupando la posición 12 de la tabla clasificatoria· Source
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From the same snapshot as this page. A download includes the full machine list when the page shows a filtered view.
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| Prediction | Series | Market and pick | Price | Stake | Result | Points | Method |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villarreal v Espanyol Lost | At the author's stated price | Asian handicap −2 — Villarreal −2.0 | 3.00 | 100.00 | Lost | −100.00 | v2.2 |
| Villarreal v Espanyol Lost | At an independent odds snapshot | Asian handicap −2 — Villarreal −2.0 | 3.05 | 100.00 | Lost | −100.00 | v2.2 |
| Villarreal v Espanyol Lost | At the author's stated price | Asian handicap −1.25 — Villarreal −1.25 | 1.90 | 100.00 | Lost | −100.00 | v2.2 |
| Villarreal v Espanyol Lost | At an independent odds snapshot | Asian handicap −1.25 — Villarreal −1.25 | 1.90 | 100.00 | Lost | −100.00 | v2.2 |
| VfB Stuttgart v Atlético Madrid Lost | At the author's stated price | Match result and both teams to score — Atlético Madrid win, both teams to score: no | 4.50 | 100.00 | Lost | −100.00 | v2.2 |
| VfB Stuttgart v Atlético Madrid Lost | At an independent odds snapshot | Match result and both teams to score — Atlético Madrid win, both teams to score: no | 4.50 | 100.00 | Lost | −100.00 | v2.2 |
| VfB Stuttgart v Atlético Madrid Half lost | At the author's stated price | Asian handicap −0.25 — Atlético Madrid −0.25 | 1.83 | 100.00 | Half lost | −50.00 | v2.2 |
| VfB Stuttgart v Atlético Madrid Half lost | At an independent odds snapshot | Asian handicap −0.25 — Atlético Madrid −0.25 | 1.83 | 100.00 | Half lost | −50.00 | v2.2 |
| Getafe v Rayo Vallecano Lost | At the author's stated price | Match result and both teams to score — Rayo Vallecano win, both teams to score: no | 4.00 | 100.00 | Lost | −100.00 | v2.2 |
| Getafe v Rayo Vallecano Lost | At an independent odds snapshot | Match result and both teams to score — Rayo Vallecano win, both teams to score: no | 3.75 | 100.00 | Lost | −100.00 | v2.2 |
| Getafe v Rayo Vallecano Void | At the author's stated price | Draw no bet — Rayo Vallecano | 1.85 | 100.00 | Void | 0.00 | v2.2 |
| Getafe v Rayo Vallecano Void | At an independent odds snapshot | Draw no bet — Rayo Vallecano | 1.80 | 100.00 | Void | 0.00 | v2.2 |
| Atlético Madrid v Manchester United Won | At the author's stated price | Asian handicap −1.5 — Atlético Madrid −1.5 | 3.30 | 100.00 | Won | 230.00 | v2.2 |
| Atlético Madrid v Manchester United Won | At an independent odds snapshot | Asian handicap −1.5 — Atlético Madrid −1.5 | 3.16 | 100.00 | Won | 216.00 | v2.2 |
| Atlético Madrid v Manchester United Won | At the author's stated price | 1X2, match result — Atlético Madrid | 2.01 | 100.00 | Won | 101.00 | v2.2 |
| Atlético Madrid v Manchester United Won | At an independent odds snapshot | 1X2, match result — Atlético Madrid | 1.91 | 100.00 | Won | 90.91 | v2.2 |
| Real Racing Club v Valencia Lost | At the author's stated price | Match result and both teams to score — Valencia win, both teams to score: yes | 5.00 | 100.00 | Lost | −100.00 | v2.2 |
| Real Racing Club v Valencia Lost | At an independent odds snapshot | Match result and both teams to score — Valencia win, both teams to score: yes | 5.00 | 100.00 | Lost | −100.00 | v2.2 |
| Rayo Vallecano v Athletic Club Void | At the author's stated price | 1X2, match result — Rayo Vallecano | 2.60 | 100.00 | Void | 0.00 | v2.1 |
| Rayo Vallecano v Athletic Club Void | At an independent odds snapshot | 1X2, match result — Rayo Vallecano | 2.70 | 100.00 | Void | 0.00 | v2.2 |
| Elche v Real Betis Pending | At the author's stated price | Match result and both teams to score — Real Betis win, both teams to score: no | 4.00 | 100.00 | — | — | v2.2 |
| Elche v Real Betis Pending | At an independent odds snapshot | Match result and both teams to score — Real Betis win, both teams to score: no | 4.00 | 100.00 | — | — | v2.2 |
| Elche v Real Betis Pending | At the author's stated price | 1X2, match result — Real Betis | 2.13 | 100.00 | — | — | v2.2 |
| Elche v Real Betis Pending | At an independent odds snapshot | 1X2, match result — Real Betis | 2.02 | 100.00 | — | — | v2.2 |