Gordon Brunt: football tipster record — archive reconstruction

Where Gordon Brunt publishes

Published under this name on sportsbookreview.com.

Record card

To link to this record from your site or bio, copy the line below. It states only the facts of this record.

<a href="https://forecastrecord.com/authors/gordon-brunt/">Record tracked by Forecast Record since 28 September 2026 · 144 predictions · last change 30 September 2026</a>

Archived before kick-off · 7 settled archived picks · won 4 of 7

Restored from a copy saved by an independent web archive before kick-off.

14 predictions; 12 checked against the final score.

7 settled selections across 3 matches, 25–26 November 2025.

Reconstructed at archived prices: +35.50 points.

Eligible prices were available for 7 of the 12 selections checked against the result.

Eligible price: a market price that meets the price rule of its part of the record; the return is calculated on picks with one. Definition.

Prices are the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), bookmaker margin included.

Outcome accuracy vs implied by prices

Won 4 of 7 decided picks; the prices of the same picks implied 51.5%.

By market: Match result 1 of 3 (prices implied 39.9%); Over/under goals 3 of 3 (prices implied 56.4%); Both teams to score 0 of 1 (prices implied 71.4%).

The implied share is the average of 1 ÷ price; it includes the bookmaker margin, so it is slightly above a fair chance. Markets with low prices are won more often, so a share of picks won says little on its own.

Score forecasts without a betting market price

Outcome checked. No betting return is attributed to these score forecasts.

None of the 4 score forecasts named the exact score.

The result implied by the named score was right in 1 of 4 matches; the market favourite was right in 3 of the same 4 matches.

The market favourite is the home win, draw or away win with the lowest last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off).

The implied result follows from the named score (2-1 implies a home win).

Found after kick-off · 52 settled after-match picks · −26.4%

First Found after kick-off; the date is the one the source states.

130 predictions; 102 checked against the final score.

52 settled selections across 25 matches, 29 September 2025 – 23 August 2026.

Reconstructed at archived prices: −26.4% (95.0% interval −53.4% to +3.9%).

Eligible prices were available for 52 of the 102 selections checked against the result.

Prices are the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), bookmaker margin included.

Outcome accuracy vs implied by prices

Won 21 of 52 decided picks (40.4%); the prices of the same picks implied 51.2%.

By market: Over/under goals 9 of 21 (prices implied 54.7%); Match result 4 of 17 (prices implied 42.3%); Both teams to score 6 of 9 (prices implied 63.8%); Asian handicap 2 of 4 (prices implied 39.7%); Cards over/under 0 of 1 (prices implied 58.8%).

The implied share is the average of 1 ÷ price; it includes the bookmaker margin, so it is slightly above a fair chance. Markets with low prices are won more often, so a share of picks won says little on its own.

An author-quoted price is the price the article offered; the headline return uses the market price in the last column.

Score forecasts without a betting market price

Outcome checked. No betting return is attributed to these score forecasts.

2 of 34 score forecasts named the exact score (5.9%).

The result implied by the named score was right in 16 of 34 matches; the market favourite was right in 19 of the same 34 matches.

The market favourite is the home win, draw or away win with the lowest last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off).

The implied result follows from the named score (2-1 implies a home win).

These forecasts were Found after kick-off; when they were made depends on the date the source gives.

What kind of number is this?

Measured

Settled by us from the final score. Supporting evidence: Directly observed in a source or timestamped capture. Here: the moment we first captured each prediction; the time of each pre-match web-archive copy.

Stated

The author’s own claim, shown as published. Reported by the source; not independently confirmed. Here: the publication date a source page shows; the price an author quoted.

Calculated

Derived from the listed inputs under a published rule. Here: outcomes against the final score; returns, intervals and the share of picks won.

Unknown

Not established from the evidence available. Here: the market price at the moment a restored pick was published.

The four data statuses

What this record covers

We monitor the sources listed below. This is not a complete record of everything Gordon Brunt has published.

Source we monitor

sportsbookreview.com

Channels

website

Watched by us

28–30 September 2026

Earlier entries

restored from archives, back to 29 September 2025

Stated price vs market

How the prices this author stated compare with an independent market price of the same selection. Calculated from the picks where both prices are known; a gap can come from market movement or from one bookmaker offering more than the market, so it describes the stated prices, not the reason for them.

Closing market price (restored) — the closing market price of the same selection (restored history). Difference = the author's stated price ÷ the market price of the same selection − 1. A pick counts as above the market when the stated price is more than 5.0% higher. Each basis is its own comparison; they are never added together. A pair whose prices differ more than twofold is marked “price disputed”: it is probably not the same selection, so it is left out of this comparison and of every return at the author’s price until a manual check confirms the price. A price that the quoted text does not give is marked “price disputed” in the same way. The closing price is the final price before kick-off. The price when the pick was published is unknown for restored history, so this row shows the distance to where the market closed.

Pre-match close: the last market price for the same selection before kick-off. Definition.

Largest gaps: 1.45 against 2.45 (−40.8%) · 3.40 against 3.00 (+13.3%)

Author's response

No author's response is published on this page. Responses are published word for word. Correction requests are checked, and every change is logged.

Respond or request a correction

Coverage and exclusions

One set of records: the author’s statements. Each count is a part of the one above it. What each word means · What coverage says.

Statements

448

Predictions

144

Qualifying picks

87

Settled picks

76

Here a pick counts as settled when it has a result at any recorded price; the numbers at the top use only the price rule of their own part of the record.

Statements that are not predictions: 49 opinions and 255 not about a match.

How this return was calculated

Every settled pick in “Archived before kick-off, reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off)” is a stake of 100 points at the last pre-match archive price, a reconstruction at archived prices on picks archived before kick-off only. The net result (+35.50 points) is the sum of the profit and loss of these 7 settled archived picks; the return is the net result divided by the total staked (700 points), void picks excluded. Definition of return on stakes · How a pick is settled.

Other prices of the same picks are compared row by row in each part of the record above; they are never added to this number.

Separate comparison window — last 90 days: the return appears from the first settled pick in this window (method v2.2). How comparison windows are counted

Changes to this record

The headline number above is (reconstruction method 1.1, reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only). When it changes, the earlier figure stays here with the reason: new results, extended coverage, a correction or a method change. Corrections are also listed in the corrections log.

Coverage extended · 20 October 2026

Before

−67.50 points on 6 settled picks across 3 matches · reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · Reconstruction method 1.1

After

+35.50 points on 7 settled picks across 3 matches · reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · Reconstruction method 1.1

Added 1 earlier pick for matches played before the previous record update (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).

Data corrected · 16 October 2026

Before

+35.50 points on 7 settled picks across 3 matches · reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · Reconstruction method 1.1

After

−67.50 points on 6 settled picks across 3 matches · reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · Reconstruction method 1.1

Data corrected: 1 pick left the headline sample.

Data corrected · 14 October 2026

Before

−39.00 points on 6 settled picks across 3 matches · reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · Reconstruction method 1.1

After

+35.50 points on 7 settled picks across 3 matches · reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · Reconstruction method 1.1

Data corrected: line sign (1 pick); 1 pick added.

Method changed · 9 October 2026

Before

−35.5% on 58 settled picks across 22 matches · author's stated odds, restored · Reconstruction method 1.0

After

−39.00 points on 6 settled picks across 3 matches · reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · Reconstruction method 1.1

The headline rule changed on 9 October 2026: the headline is the live record at our recorded market price; without one, reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off) on picks archived before kick-off only. Picks first Found after kick-off no longer enter the headline number. Was: author's stated odds, restored (58 settled picks). Now: reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only (6 settled picks).

Coverage extended · 9 October 2026

Before

−39.9% on 47 settled picks across 19 matches · author's stated odds, restored · Reconstruction method 1.0

After

−35.5% on 58 settled picks across 22 matches · author's stated odds, restored · Reconstruction method 1.0

Added 11 earlier picks for matches played before the previous record update (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).

Who this is

Last recorded by us

30 September 2026, 38 days before this page's data date

Observed

28 September 2026 — 30 September 2026

Channels

website

Statements other than predictions (47 shown)

• “Will Barcelona's tactical gamble pay off against Atletico team built to punish high lines?” — 14 April 2026, 19:09 BST · source

• A $10 bet at Caesars on both teams scoring will net a profit of $6.20

  20 Oct 2025, 21:42 BST · Source

• Kylian Mbappe is the focal point in Madrid's attack, scoring 13 goals in nine Champions League matches.

  6 Apr 2026, 23:09 BST · Source

• Hardly anyone has been able to contain Bayern Munich attacker Michael Olise.

  6 Apr 2026, 23:09 BST · Source

• The last seven games have exceeded 2.5 total goals, with both teams finding the back of the net.

  6 Apr 2026, 23:09 BST · Source

• Real Madrid are rare underdogs at home against a Bayern side that is arguably one of the top teams in the world right now.

  6 Apr 2026, 23:09 BST · Source

• I back Colombian forward Luis Suarez to score with my Sporting CP vs. Arsenal Prediction.

  6 Apr 2026, 23:09 BST · Source

• There’s no rain in the forecast, but it'll be chilly at kickoff with the temperature expected to be around 37 degrees.

  25 Nov 2025, 17:05 GMT · Source

• A successful $10 bet at DraftKings delivers a profit of $19.50.

  25 Nov 2025, 17:05 GMT · Source

• A winning $10 bet on City earning a two-plus goal victory nets a profit of $5.88 at DraftKings

  25 Nov 2025, 17:05 GMT · Source

• Conditions will be somewhat comfortable for this time of year in London, with the temperature set to be around 45 degrees at kickoff.

  24 Nov 2025, 19:18 GMT · Source

• Barcelona have won just one of their last nine Champions League meetings vs. Chelsea.

  24 Nov 2025, 19:18 GMT · Source

• recently drew 2-2 at Qarabag.

  24 Nov 2025, 19:18 GMT · Source

• defensive frailties surfaced in a 3-3 tie at Club Brugge in their last Champions League game.

  24 Nov 2025, 19:18 GMT · Source

• The Spanish side is averaging two goals a game away from home, but they’re conceding just as many.

  24 Nov 2025, 19:18 GMT · Source

• Cucurella has two yellow cards this season , but Tuesday could be the day he picks up his first yellow in the Champions League.

  24 Nov 2025, 19:18 GMT · Source

• Yamal has averaged four shots - including 1.3 on target - in three Champions League appearances this season.

  24 Nov 2025, 19:18 GMT · Source

• It could be a long day at the office for Marc Cucurella when the Chelsea full-back will be tasked with trying to stop Lamine Yamal.

  24 Nov 2025, 19:18 GMT · Source

• A successful $10 bet at Caesars on both teams to score delivers a net profit of $3.80.

  24 Nov 2025, 19:18 GMT · Source

• Antonio Rudiger (Real Madrid) -> Will likely have to deal with Harry Kane, an intense matchup that should carry a booking risk

  15 Apr 2026, 19:40 BST · Source

• Konrad Laimer (Bayern Munich) -> High-energy passer with a penchant for picking up tactical fouls

  15 Apr 2026, 19:40 BST · Source

• He’s averaging three shots in La Liga and four in the Champions League.

  20 Oct 2025, 22:13 BST · Source

• Rashford is one of four players who’ve appeared in all of Barcelona’s games

  20 Oct 2025, 22:13 BST · Source

• Lamine Yamal is back and healthy

  20 Oct 2025, 22:13 BST · Source

• Robert Lewandowski, Ferran Torres, and Raphinha dealing with physical ailments

  20 Oct 2025, 22:13 BST · Source

• It should be a comfortable evening when Camp Nou hosts Wednesday's Champions League quarterfinal.

  8 Apr 2026, 17:35 BST · Source

• Here are Wednesday's projected lineups for Barcelona vs. Atletico Madrid; lineups subject to change:

  8 Apr 2026, 17:35 BST · Source

• Best odds: +550 via bet365 (0.2 units -> 1.1 units)

  8 Apr 2026, 17:35 BST · Source

• Barcelona ML (-18) Both teams to score, 2nd half (+150) Robert Lewandowski anytime goal-scorer (+100)

  8 Apr 2026, 17:35 BST · Source

• Marcos Llorente (Atleti) -> Llorente will also be caught up in a difficult midfield battle.

  8 Apr 2026, 17:35 BST · Source

• A winning $10 bet on Thuram getting fouled Over 1.5 times nets a profit of $11 at bet365

  25 Nov 2025, 17:50 GMT · Source

• Similar to his last two Serie A appearances, I’m backing the fearless forward to get fouled at least two times when he tries to break through Atletico’s back line.

  25 Nov 2025, 17:50 GMT · Source

• Don’t expect them to get shut out again. I’m expecting goals to flow in this encounter and for Inter Milan to escape with at least a point against Atletico.

  25 Nov 2025, 17:50 GMT · Source

• Although facing Atletico Madrid is never easy, especially on the road, I’m targeting Inter Milan to maintain their unbeaten record by winning or drawing Wednesday.

  25 Nov 2025, 17:50 GMT · Source

• It also helps that Atleti's superstar goalkeeper, Jan Oblak, is in contention to play after missing the last six games due to injury.

  14 Apr 2026, 19:09 BST · Source

• Here are today's confirmed lineups for Atletico Madrid vs. Barcelona; lineups subject to change:

  14 Apr 2026, 19:09 BST · Source

• The confirmed lineups are in and listed below.

  14 Apr 2026, 19:09 BST · Source

• Where to watch Atletico Madrid vs. Arsenal in the US and Canada? You can watch Atletico Madrid vs.

  28 Apr 2026, 21:10 BST · Source

• Who is the best Atletico Madrid vs. Arsenal bet? The best bets for Atletico Madrid vs. Arsenal include

  28 Apr 2026, 21:10 BST · Source

• Who is favored to win Atletico Madrid vs. Arsenal? Arsenal are a -187 betting favorite against Atletico

  28 Apr 2026, 21:10 BST · Source

• Date: Wednesday, April 29 Kickoff: 3 p.m. ET Location: Metropolitano Stadium (Madrid, Spain) TV: Paramount

  28 Apr 2026, 21:10 BST · Source

• This will likely benefit Arsenal's high tempo and technical passing.

  28 Apr 2026, 21:10 BST · Source

• The evening will be partly cloudy with a high of 52 and a 45% chance of rain during the game in Madrid

  28 Apr 2026, 21:10 BST · Source

• Jose Gimenez remains out, while midfielder Pablo Barrios is likely done for the season with a thigh

  28 Apr 2026, 21:10 BST · Source

• For Atletico, Julian Alvarez was rested over the weekend, likely signalling that Alexander Sorloth will

  28 Apr 2026, 21:10 BST · Source

• Arsenal got a major boost with Bukayo Saka's return from injury, while there are question marks about

  28 Apr 2026, 21:10 BST · Source

• Here are Wednesday's projected lineups for Atletico Madrid vs. Arsenal; lineups subject to change:

  28 Apr 2026, 21:10 BST · Source

The full list is in the JSON and CSV downloads of this page.

The same data, machine-readable

• Page data (JSON)
• Recorded picks (CSV)

From the same snapshot as this page. A download includes the full machine list when the page shows a filtered view.

Share cards of this record (2)

• Bankroll card — Gordon Brunt
• Said → happened — Gordon Brunt

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Calculations for the displayed picks

Record definitions and related evidence

• Recorded picks and results
• Matches
• How this return was calculated
• Archived before kick-off — definition
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