{ "schema_name": "page", "schema_version": "2.0", "page_type": "author", "url": "/authors/gordon-brunt/", "canonical": "/authors/gordon-brunt/", "language": "en", "hreflang": [], "translations": [], "heading": "Gordon Brunt: Football Prediction Record", "description": "7 settled picks by Gordon Brunt archived before kick-off across 3 matches, 25 Nov 2025 – 26 Nov 2025: won 4 of 7, reconstructed at archived prices.", "first_paragraph": { "body": "Forecast Record restored 7 settled archived picks by Gordon Brunt from copies archived before kick-off, across 3 matches between 25 and 26 November 2025. Reconstructed at archived prices: won 4 of 7 settled archived picks. Of the 144 predictions we hold for Gordon Brunt, 14 were archived before kick-off by an independent web archive and 130 first found after the match. Figures as of 7 November 2026.", "key_number": "7", "data": "2026-11-07", "source_info": "our own evidence archive and market snapshot", "brand": "Forecast Record" }, "indexable": true, "noindex_reason": null, "indexing_threshold": { "settled_count": 11, "date_count": 2, "required_settled": 10, "required_dates": 2, "live_count": 0, "restored_count": 76, "of_them_archived": 8 }, "data_date": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z", "built_at": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z", "lastmod": "2026-11-08T02:12:33.000Z", "content_hash": null, "meaning_hash": "2c918a1905672579b2c4bb65378ed914dd167e52ad541a3538e1c918ce94d425", "dependency_group": "author:e-2e7eb4f13889bd75afa69b27", "release_id": "20261107-195223", "markup": [ { "type_code": "WebPage", "allowed": true, "cause": null }, { "type_code": "Organization", "allowed": true, "cause": null }, { "type_code": "Person", "allowed": true, "cause": null } ], "exports": [ { "type_code": "json", "url": "/authors/gordon-brunt/index.json", "bytes": null }, { "type_code": "csv", "url": "/authors/gordon-brunt/picks.csv", "bytes": null } ], "modules": { "affiliate": true, "api": true, "compare_yourself": false }, "affiliate_block": { "container": true, "request_url": "/partnery/moi", "disclosure": "Some links below are affiliate links and are marked as such. They never affect what you see above: the order of any table is computed before any commission is known.", "page_category": "author" }, "restrictions": { "name_withdrawn": false, "tracker_number": null, "withdrawn_quotes": [], "removed_at": null, "cause": null, "suspended_records": [], "withdrawal_log_number": 0 }, "page_links": { "methodology": "/methodology/", "right_of_reply": "/right-of-reply/", "source_coverage": "/coverage/", "corrections_log": "/corrections/", "api": "/api/", "claim": "/claim/" }, "entity": { "id": "e-2e7eb4f13889bd75afa69b27", "public_name": "Gordon Brunt", "tracker_number": 1509, "status": "active", "inactive_since": null, "verified_creator": false, "observation_period": { "since": "2026-09-28", "until": "2026-09-30" }, "platform_list": [ { "medium": "website", "handle": null, "url": null, "link_confirmed": false, "show": true } ], "comment": null }, "headline_number": { "metric": { "metric_id": "p-e-2e7eb4f13889bd75afa69b27-roi-market-price-90d-z99", "code_name": "roi_market_price", "display_name": "Return on stakes at an independent odds snapshot", "window_kind": "90d", "window_from": "2026-08-09", "window_to": "2026-11-07", "amount": null, "unit": "percent", "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "no pick in this window has been settled", "n_bets": 0, "n_events": 0, "n_void": null, "ci_low": null, "ci_high": null, "ci_method": "not_estimated", "price_source": "market_price", "coverage_percent": null, "breakdown": [], "methodology_version": "2.2", "data_date": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z", "enough_for_ranking": false, "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot" }, "byline": "Return on stakes at an independent odds snapshot over 90 days: 0 settled picks across 0 matches", "average_odds": null, "odds_from_author": null, "odds_from_snapshot": null }, "metrics": [], "history": [], "simulation": { "series_key": null, "series_label": "No level stake placed", "bankroll_hundredths": 1000000, "reserve_hundredths": 0, "issued_total_hundredths": 1000000, "initial_hundredths": 1000000, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "top_up_count": 0, "profit_hundredths": 0, "rewards_off": null, "data_points": [], "top_ups": [], "rule": "Every tracked author starts with 10,000 points and stakes 100 per qualifying pick. This author has 0 settled bets, so the bankroll stands at its starting value." }, "simulations": [], "completeness": { "detected": 448, "recognised": 144, "accepted": 87, "executed": 87, "calculated": 76, "gaps": [ { "cause": "read after the match, from archived pages", "figure": 42 }, { "cause": "not_supported", "figure": 15 } ] }, "record_counts": { "dictionary_version": "1", "statements": 448, "of_them_restored": 448, "not_predictions": { "opinions": 49, "not_about_a_match": 255, "unclassified": 0 }, "predictions": 144, "predictions_restored": 144, "matches": 0, "admitted": 87, "qualifying_picks": 87, "qualifying_picks_restored": 87, "settled_picks": 76, "settled_picks_restored": 76, "series_list": [ { "code_name": "retro_market_closing", "derived": false, "is_restored": true, "qualifying_picks": 39, "settled_picks": 37, "void": 0, "pending_picks": 2, "matches": 19, "operations_settled": 37, "stakes_hundredths": [ 10000 ], "methodologies": [ "retro-1.0" ], "display_name": "Restored, at the closing market price" }, { "code_name": "retro_author_price", "derived": false, "is_restored": true, "qualifying_picks": 82, "settled_picks": 71, "void": 0, "pending_picks": 11, "matches": 26, "operations_settled": 71, "stakes_hundredths": [ 10000 ], "methodologies": [ "retro-1.0" ], "display_name": "Restored, at the author's stated price" }, { "code_name": "retro_market_closing_sm", "derived": false, "is_restored": true, "qualifying_picks": 63, "settled_picks": 59, "void": 0, "pending_picks": 4, "matches": 27, "operations_settled": 59, "stakes_hundredths": [ 10000 ], "methodologies": [ "retro-1.1" ], "display_name": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)" } ], "gaps": [ { "code_name": "after_match", "cause": "read after the match, from archived pages", "figure": 42 }, { "code_name": "not_supported", "cause": "not_supported", "figure": 15 } ], "duplicates": 0, "junk": { "service": 3, "ads": 7 }, "dictionary_url": "/methodology/#words" }, "evidence_items": [ { "observation_id": "n-584dbc83a7d026a073773224", "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-584dbc83a7d026a073773224", "quote_text": "A $10 bet at Caesars on both teams scoring will net a profit of $6.20", "fragment_from": 2181, "fragment_to": 2250, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://web.archive.org/web/20251125070716id_/https://www.sportsbookreview.com//picks/soccer//villarreal-vs-manchester-city-prediction-odds-expert-picks-best-bets-oct-21-2025/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Gordon Brunt", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "ff116d777bd6b4732f5a7330ab0d4f0e9e992cca3a1ddc36141b2ef7c97e94eb", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2025-10-20T20:42:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-09-30T15:20:27.475Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "no_event", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "found_post_match", "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2025-10-20T20:42:00.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2025-10-20T20:42:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-09-30T15:20:27.475Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "found_after_match", "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "statement", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-3b18842c8000af29263b7d6d", "url": "/authors/gordon-brunt/picks/9/#pick-n-3b18842c8000af29263b7d6d", "quote_text": "🔥 Kenan Yildiz Over 2.5 shots (+135) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐", "fragment_from": 2734, "fragment_to": 2776, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.sportsbookreview.com/picks/soccer/villarreal-vs-juventus-prediction-odds-oct-1-2025/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Gordon Brunt", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "e29b2f9f9b98d2adaad1c7fa11655e7254b07f1a97e205f059059ee747472f5e", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2025-09-30T21:22:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-09-30T15:20:03.905Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "priced", "status": "too_late", "cause": "counted in the restored-history series", "cause_code": "not_supported", "event": { "event_id": null, "display_name": "Villarreal v Juventus", "competition_name": "UEFA Champions League", "starts_at": "2025-10-01T19:00:00.000Z", "url": null, "scoreline": null }, "market_label": "Player shots on target over/under 2.5", "outcome_label": "Kenan Yildiz over 2.5 shots on target", "odds_set": { "by_author": "2.35", "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "unknown", "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "found_post_match", "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2025-09-30T21:22:00.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2025-09-30T21:22:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-09-30T15:20:03.905Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "found_after_match", "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Player shots on target over/under 2.5", "choice": "Kenan Yildiz over 2.5 shots on target", "author_odds": "2.35", "market_key": "player_shots", "choice_key": "over", "period": "match", "line": "2.5", "subject": "shots", "in_words": "Player shots on target over/under 2.5: Kenan Yildiz over 2.5 shots on target at 2.35" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "unknown", "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "awaiting a final score for this restored pick", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Pending: awaiting a final score for this restored pick." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "754082e38f0295b9d789cc0337e39c81085daf82b8a011173be12ffd97d4944d", "series_key": "retro_author_price", "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Player shots on target over/under 2.5", "choice": "Kenan Yildiz over 2.5 shots on target", "decimal_odds": "2.35", "odds_role": "author_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "skipped", "status_text": "Not executed: not settled", "result": "unknown", "result_words": "Pending", "change_hundredths": null, "executed_at": "2026-10-09T11:35:04.350Z", "methodology_version": "retro-1.0", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "prediction", "authorship": { "material_author": "Gordon Brunt", "publisher": "sportsbookreview.com", "forecaster": "Gordon Brunt", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.sportsbookreview.com/picks/soccer/villarreal-vs-juventus-prediction-odds-oct-1-2025/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-3a541886ceefdd35d6131af9", "url": "/authors/gordon-brunt/picks/8/#pick-n-3a541886ceefdd35d6131af9", "quote_text": "⚡ Villarreal to score first (-125) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐", "fragment_from": 1459, "fragment_to": 1499, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.sportsbookreview.com/picks/soccer/villarreal-vs-juventus-prediction-odds-oct-1-2025/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Gordon Brunt", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "e29b2f9f9b98d2adaad1c7fa11655e7254b07f1a97e205f059059ee747472f5e", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2025-09-30T21:22:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-09-30T15:20:03.905Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "priced", "status": "not_supported", "cause": "", "cause_code": "not_supported", "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "found_post_match", "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2025-09-30T21:22:00.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2025-09-30T21:22:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-09-30T15:20:03.905Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "found_after_match", "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "prediction", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-f3a528925d3ca46edf31df08", "url": "/authors/gordon-brunt/picks/9/#pick-n-f3a528925d3ca46edf31df08", "quote_text": "Over/Under pick: Over 2.5 (+100 via bet365)", "fragment_from": 1230, "fragment_to": 1273, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.sportsbookreview.com/picks/soccer/villarreal-vs-juventus-prediction-odds-oct-1-2025/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Gordon Brunt", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "e29b2f9f9b98d2adaad1c7fa11655e7254b07f1a97e205f059059ee747472f5e", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2025-09-30T21:22:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-09-30T15:20:03.905Z", "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:22:24.387Z", "statement_class": "priced", "status": "too_late", "cause": "counted in the restored-history series", "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": null, "display_name": "Villarreal v Juventus", "competition_name": "UEFA Champions League", "starts_at": "2025-10-01T19:00:00.000Z", "url": null, "scoreline": "2-2" }, "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals", "outcome_label": "over 2.5", "odds_set": { "by_author": "2", "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": "1.9150", "closing_source": "last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)" }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "win", "simulation_change_hundredths": 9150, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": "ours", "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "found_post_match", "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2025-09-30T21:22:00.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2025-09-30T21:22:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-09-30T15:20:03.905Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "found_after_match", "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals", "choice": "over 2.5", "author_odds": "2", "market_key": "total", "choice_key": "over", "period": "match", "line": "2.5", "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Over/Under 2.5 goals: over 2.5 at 2" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "win", "scoreline": "2-2", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "retro-1.0", "in_words": "Won: the final score was Villarreal 2-2 Juventus." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "4084772ea966804e6ee8cfb25aafbe83666c34b66d408f5e917162de7b884e5d", "series_key": "retro_author_price", "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals", "choice": "over 2.5", "decimal_odds": "2", "odds_role": "author_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 10000, "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:22:24.380Z", "methodology_version": "retro-1.0", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "712fae2eb10787a31b3676daa0032877e98351bf2a9e73e0278c352ee43d3e39", "series_key": "retro_market_closing_sm", "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals", "choice": "over 2.5", "decimal_odds": "1.9150", "odds_role": "closing_odds", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 9150, "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:22:24.387Z", "methodology_version": "retro-1.1", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "settled_pick", "authorship": { "material_author": "Gordon Brunt", "publisher": "sportsbookreview.com", "forecaster": "Gordon Brunt", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.sportsbookreview.com/picks/soccer/villarreal-vs-juventus-prediction-odds-oct-1-2025/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-e57615feeeef7d484577c6de", "url": "/authors/gordon-brunt/picks/9/#pick-n-e57615feeeef7d484577c6de", "quote_text": "Against the spread pick: Villarreal -0.5 (+115 via DraftKings)", "fragment_from": 1161, "fragment_to": 1223, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.sportsbookreview.com/picks/soccer/villarreal-vs-juventus-prediction-odds-oct-1-2025/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Gordon Brunt", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "e29b2f9f9b98d2adaad1c7fa11655e7254b07f1a97e205f059059ee747472f5e", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2025-09-30T21:22:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-09-30T15:20:03.905Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "priced", "status": "too_late", 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"https://web.archive.org/web/20251125070712id_/https://www.sportsbookreview.com//picks/soccer//chelsea-vs-barcelona-prediction-odds-expert-picks-nov-25-2025/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Gordon Brunt", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "4c9a6504f6606432caa01406c0afb0fb9934a1fe6ece2794010a0f1b3dd3a9dd", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2025-11-24T19:18:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-09-30T15:13:33.339Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "priced", "status": "not_supported", "cause": "", "cause_code": "not_supported", "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "provenance": 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"quote_text": "Over/Under pick: Under 3.5 (-125 via bet365)", "fragment_from": 1288, "fragment_to": 1332, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://web.archive.org/web/20251125070712id_/https://www.sportsbookreview.com//picks/soccer//chelsea-vs-barcelona-prediction-odds-expert-picks-nov-25-2025/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Gordon Brunt", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "4c9a6504f6606432caa01406c0afb0fb9934a1fe6ece2794010a0f1b3dd3a9dd", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2025-11-24T19:18:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-09-30T15:13:33.339Z", "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:22:13.818Z", "statement_class": "priced", "status": "too_late", "cause": "counted in the restored-history series", "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": null, "display_name": "Chelsea v FC Barcelona", "competition_name": "UEFA Champions League", "starts_at": "2025-11-25T20:00:00.000Z", "url": null, "scoreline": "3-0" }, 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null, "origin_words": "Archived before kick-off", "added_on": "Added to our record on 30 Sep 2026", "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Over/Under 3.5 goals", "choice": "under 3.5", "author_odds": "1.8", "market_key": "total", "choice_key": "under", "period": "match", "line": "3.5", "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Over/Under 3.5 goals: under 3.5 at 1.8" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "win", "scoreline": "3-0", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "retro-1.0", "in_words": "Won: the final score was Chelsea 3-0 FC Barcelona." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "7847d9e8af6d3625a3f102bde5f266f2f54fdd19185ba0deadeddb67f03f336b", "series_key": "retro_author_price", "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Over/Under 3.5 goals", "choice": "under 3.5", "decimal_odds": "1.8", "odds_role": "author_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 8000, "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:22:13.807Z", "methodology_version": "retro-1.0", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "3143c5b225d4fdc2689d263c896ac0725d2892e7082196675f59a9ebf3efc43a", "series_key": "retro_market_closing_sm", "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Over/Under 3.5 goals", "choice": "under 3.5", "decimal_odds": "1.7450", "odds_role": "closing_odds", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 7450, "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:22:13.818Z", "methodology_version": "retro-1.1", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [ { "at": "2026-10-14T02:00:57.174Z", "field_name": "line sign", "was": "Over/Under −3.5 goals · under −3.5", "now": "Over/Under 3.5 goals · under 3.5", "cause": "Data corrected: line sign. The line of this over/under market was recorded with a minus sign; a total cannot be negative, and the source gives the line without one. The line now matches the source and the outcome is worked out on it. This pick was never executed, so no number changes." } ], "funnel_stage": "settled_pick", "authorship": { "material_author": "Gordon Brunt", "publisher": "sportsbookreview.com", "forecaster": "Gordon Brunt", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.sportsbookreview.com//picks/soccer//chelsea-vs-barcelona-prediction-odds-expert-picks-nov-25-2025/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": { "at": "2026-10-14T02:00:57.174Z", "field": "line sign", "reason": "Data corrected: line sign. The line of this over/under market was recorded with a minus sign; a total cannot be negative, and the source gives the line without one. The line now matches the source and the outcome is worked out on it. This pick was never executed, so no number changes.", "version": 2, "url": "/corrections/#c-f1b2048399e9", "text": "Corrected on 14 October 2026: Data corrected: line sign. The line of this over/under market was recorded with a minus sign; a total cannot be negative, and the source gives the line without one. The line now matches the source and" } }, { "observation_id": "n-f8e69cf6a9e45ba5e127cdb8", "url": "/authors/gordon-brunt/picks/8/#pick-n-f8e69cf6a9e45ba5e127cdb8", "quote_text": "Game prediction: Barcelona 3-way moneyline (+175 via bet365)", "fragment_from": 1222, "fragment_to": 1282, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://web.archive.org/web/20251125070712id_/https://www.sportsbookreview.com//picks/soccer//chelsea-vs-barcelona-prediction-odds-expert-picks-nov-25-2025/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Gordon Brunt", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "4c9a6504f6606432caa01406c0afb0fb9934a1fe6ece2794010a0f1b3dd3a9dd", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2025-11-24T19:18:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-09-30T15:13:33.339Z", "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:22:13.795Z", "statement_class": "priced", "status": "too_late", "cause": "counted in the restored-history series", "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": null, "display_name": "Chelsea v FC Barcelona", "competition_name": "UEFA Champions League", "starts_at": "2025-11-25T20:00:00.000Z", "url": null, "scoreline": "3-0" }, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "outcome_label": "FC Barcelona", "odds_set": { "by_author": "2.75", "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": "3.0000", "closing_source": "last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)" }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "loss", "simulation_change_hundredths": -10000, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": "ours", "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "restored_archive", "provenance_words": "Archived before kick-off", "archive_snapshot_at": "2025-11-25T07:07:12.000Z", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2025-11-24T19:18:00.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2025-11-24T19:18:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-09-30T15:13:33.339Z", "archive_snapshot_at": "2025-11-25T07:07:12.000Z", "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "prematch_web_archive", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Archived before kick-off", "added_on": "Added to our record on 30 Sep 2026", "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "FC Barcelona", "author_odds": "2.75", "market_key": "1x2", "choice_key": "2", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "1X2, match result: FC Barcelona at 2.75" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "loss", "scoreline": "3-0", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "retro-1.0", "in_words": "Lost: the final score was Chelsea 3-0 FC Barcelona." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "6a56503586792b4333205c101d0ef197faa5ff4321e0ff6cecbc5de1e4172a0c", "series_key": "retro_author_price", "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "FC Barcelona", "decimal_odds": "2.75", "odds_role": "author_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "loss", "result_words": "Lost", "change_hundredths": -10000, "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:22:13.785Z", "methodology_version": "retro-1.0", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "90493665cedbd886c5311d93fd6b6c6e596570ffc93c03804b65a63c3cc909d1", "series_key": "retro_market_closing_sm", "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "FC Barcelona", "decimal_odds": "3.0000", "odds_role": "closing_odds", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "loss", "result_words": "Lost", "change_hundredths": -10000, "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:22:13.795Z", "methodology_version": "retro-1.1", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "settled_pick", "authorship": { "material_author": "Gordon Brunt", "publisher": "sportsbookreview.com", "forecaster": "Gordon Brunt", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.sportsbookreview.com//picks/soccer//chelsea-vs-barcelona-prediction-odds-expert-picks-nov-25-2025/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-7cedddc3b7cc9550cf2397c9", "url": "/authors/gordon-brunt/picks/8/#pick-n-7cedddc3b7cc9550cf2397c9", "quote_text": "Score prediction: Barcelona 2, Chelsea 1", "fragment_from": 2572, "fragment_to": 2612, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://web.archive.org/web/20251126055541id_/https://www.sportsbookreview.com//picks/soccer//chelsea-vs-barcelona-prediction-odds-expert-picks-bets-today-nov-25-2025/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Gordon Brunt", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "8f606c610865536c1abee90bbbfd16e526e32d98666fc00c88e4af4130ac355c", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2025-11-25T16:58:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-09-30T15:13:16.686Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "score_forecast", "status": "too_late", "cause": "counted in the restored-history series", "cause_code": "too_late", "event": { "event_id": null, "display_name": "Chelsea v FC Barcelona", "competition_name": "UEFA Champions League", "starts_at": "2025-11-25T20:00:00.000Z", "url": null, "scoreline": "3-0" }, "market_label": "Correct score", "outcome_label": "Chelsea 1-2 FC 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null, "market_key": "correct_score_market", "choice_key": "1-2", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Correct score: Chelsea 1-2 FC Barcelona" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "loss", "scoreline": "3-0", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "retro-1.1", "in_words": "Did not match: the final score was Chelsea 3-0 FC Barcelona." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "52d4ffdc13cdc0fee6d8dcdca05e5f41426d2058bdcfe99016404d260682cbb7", "series_key": "retro_derived_sm", "series_label": "Restored score forecast: result implied by the score, at the last pre-match archive price", "derived": true, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": false, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "FC Barcelona", "decimal_odds": "3.0000", "odds_role": "closing_odds", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "loss", "result_words": "Lost", "change_hundredths": -10000, "executed_at": 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"detected_at": "2026-09-30T15:05:01.995Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "found_after_match", "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Correct score", "choice": "FC Barcelona 3-1 Atlético Madrid", "author_odds": null, "market_key": "correct_score_market", "choice_key": "3-1", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Correct score: FC Barcelona 3-1 Atlético Madrid" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "loss", "scoreline": "0-2", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "retro-1.1", "in_words": "Did not match: the final score was FC Barcelona 0-2 Atlético Madrid." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "408ed9ff8c6bd1a6ba3b299e9efd0e9b4cb6ab68e5fa51245a1a916e2c9824d2", "series_key": "retro_derived_sm", "series_label": 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"material_url": "https://www.sportsbookreview.com/picks/soccer/barcelona-vs-atletico-madrid-prediction-parlay-odds-picks-champions-league-today-april-8-2026/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-28a638c70fecf0665cba0f30", "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-28a638c70fecf0665cba0f30", "quote_text": "A winning $10 bet on Thuram getting fouled Over 1.5 times nets a profit of $11 at bet365", "fragment_from": 3426, "fragment_to": 3514, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://web.archive.org/web/20251126055540id_/https://www.sportsbookreview.com//picks/soccer//atletico-madrid-vs-inter-milan-prediction-odds-expert-picks-nov-26-2025/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Gordon Brunt", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "1872eb59fd641b70722c6f93fe72b47566ff0b8c9d9ce81c6172affb766dac5b", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": 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source", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "statement", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-7e97a738a0188a1ea94b3b09", "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-7e97a738a0188a1ea94b3b09", "quote_text": "It also helps that Atleti's superstar goalkeeper, Jan Oblak, is in contention to play after missing the last six games due to injury.", "fragment_from": 7562, "fragment_to": 7695, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.sportsbookreview.com/picks/soccer/atletico-madrid-vs-barcelona-prediction-odds-picks-champions-league-april-14-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Gordon Brunt", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "087c4c623de74b23084ec7982b4f6561d13b4300b775548102de01c4226669de", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-04-14T18:09:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-09-30T15:04:11.134Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "no_event", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "found_post_match", "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-04-14T18:09:00.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-04-14T18:09:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-09-30T15:04:11.134Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "found_after_match", "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "statement", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-87237b3327af9d1c7fe76e01", "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-87237b3327af9d1c7fe76e01", "quote_text": "Here are today's confirmed lineups for Atletico Madrid vs. Barcelona; lineups subject to change:", "fragment_from": 6258, "fragment_to": 6354, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.sportsbookreview.com/picks/soccer/atletico-madrid-vs-barcelona-prediction-odds-picks-champions-league-april-14-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Gordon Brunt", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "087c4c623de74b23084ec7982b4f6561d13b4300b775548102de01c4226669de", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-04-14T18:09:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-09-30T15:04:11.134Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "no_event", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "provenance": 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"cause_code": null, "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "found_post_match", "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-04-28T20:10:00.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-04-28T20:10:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-09-30T15:03:56.574Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "found_after_match", "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "statement", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-992ec70f1caf136329a9fbac", "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-992ec70f1caf136329a9fbac", "quote_text": "Arsenal got a major boost with Bukayo Saka's return from injury, while there are question marks about", "fragment_from": 7317, "fragment_to": 7418, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.sportsbookreview.com/picks/soccer/atletico-madrid-vs-arsenal-prediction-odds-picks-champions-league-april-29-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Gordon Brunt", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "1b6cad9e2c46dca1258e2593a9fafa9a2cbe557510ae15b20c565443037e15ea", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-04-28T20:10:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-09-30T15:03:56.574Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "no_event", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "found_post_match", "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-04-28T20:10:00.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-04-28T20:10:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-09-30T15:03:56.574Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "found_after_match", "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "statement", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-f8d02d7a885126c785aaac93", "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-f8d02d7a885126c785aaac93", "quote_text": "Here are Wednesday's projected lineups for Atletico Madrid vs. Arsenal; lineups subject to change:", "fragment_from": 6183, "fragment_to": 6281, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.sportsbookreview.com/picks/soccer/atletico-madrid-vs-arsenal-prediction-odds-picks-champions-league-april-29-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Gordon Brunt", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "1b6cad9e2c46dca1258e2593a9fafa9a2cbe557510ae15b20c565443037e15ea", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-04-28T20:10:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-09-30T15:03:56.574Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "no_event", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "found_post_match", "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-04-28T20:10:00.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-04-28T20:10:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-09-30T15:03:56.574Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "found_after_match", "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "statement", "authorship": null, "correction": null } ], "excluded_from_feed": { "ads": 7, "service": 3, "ruleset_version": "3" }, "standing": null, "retro": { "restored_total": 76, "of_them_archived_pre_match": 8, "found_post_match": 68, "of_them_source_reported": 0, "live_count": 0, "date_count": 22, "span_from": "2025-09-29", "span_to": "2026-08-23", "line_text": "restored history: 76, of which pre-match archive 8", "body": "We re-read what this author published before Premier League and Champions League matches between 29 September 2025 and 23 August 2026 and settled it against the final score. Restored picks: 76. Backed by a copy of the page in an independent web archive taken before kick-off: 8. Found after the match, with the publication date as stated by the source: 68. The market price at the moment of publication cannot be reconstructed, so restored picks are shown as reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), not at the closing price, for the pre-match archive and the later finds separately; the author's quoted price and, where it exists, the aggregator closing price are compared with it on the same picks. Authors can delete losing picks, so restored history may look better than it was.", "precision": { "n": 76, "share": "0.3816" }, "series_list": [ { "code_name": "retro_author_price", "display_name": "Restored, at the author's stated price", "n": 71, "roi": "-21.7324", "ci_low": "-48.5077", "ci_high": "6.2388", "data_status": "calculated", "methodology_version": "retro-1.0", "cause": null }, { "code_name": "retro_market_closing", "display_name": "Restored, at the closing market price", "n": 37, "roi": "-23.0246", "ci_low": "-55.8347", "ci_high": "9.5381", "data_status": "calculated", "methodology_version": "retro-1.0", "cause": null }, { "code_name": "retro_market_closing_sm", "display_name": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)", "n": 59, "roi": "-22.7034", "ci_low": "-47.1985", "ci_high": "6.5750", "data_status": "calculated", "methodology_version": "retro-1.1", "cause": null }, { "code_name": "retro_derived_sm", "display_name": "Restored score forecast: result implied by the score, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)", "n": 38, "roi": "-19.4474", "ci_low": "-48.9024", "ci_high": "14.1711", "data_status": "calculated", "methodology_version": "retro-1.1", "cause": null } ], "clv": { "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the market price at the moment of publication is unknown for restored picks; the author's quoted price against the aggregator closing price is compared on the same picks in each part of the record above" }, "methodology_version": "retro-1.0", "leagues": [ "Premier League", "Champions League" ], "source_list": "Results: the official regulation-time score, checked against a second data provider for 81 settled restored picks and forecasts, and the two agree; 33 come from one provider only. Prices: the aggregator closing price and the second data provider's last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), as a separate series; each provider is its own series and they are never averaged.", "score_accuracy": { "n": 38, "share": "0.0526" } }, "late": null, "price_vs_market": { "contract_version": "1", "threshold_percent": "5", "rows": [ { "basis": "closing", "basis_words": "the closing market price of the same selection (restored history)", "basis_short": "Closing market price (restored)", "compared": 36, "above": 8, "above_share_percent": "22.2", "below": 7, "within": 21, "median_difference_percent": "2.0", "not_comparable": 0, "disputed": 0, "status": "calculated", "sentence": "The author's stated price against the closing price of the same selection: median +2.0% over 36 picks. The price available to followers is the market price, shown separately." } ], "examples": [ { "url": "/authors/gordon-brunt/picks/6/#pick-n-6ded014857476eb2acd24561", "basis": "closing", "stated": "1.45", "market": "2.45", "difference_percent": "-40.8" }, { "url": "/authors/gordon-brunt/picks/2/#pick-n-92bde44d80561c883abe1a79", "basis": "closing", "stated": "3.40", "market": "3.00", "difference_percent": "13.3" } ], "method": "Difference = the author's stated price ÷ the market price of the same selection − 1. A pick counts as above the market when the stated price is more than 5% higher. Each basis is its own comparison; they are never added together. A pair whose prices differ more than twofold is marked “price disputed”: it is probably not the same selection, so it is left out of this comparison and of every return at the author’s price until a manual check confirms the price. A price that the quoted text does not give is marked “price disputed” in the same way." }, "record_summary": { "contract_version": "1", "entity_type": "person", "entity_words": "Individual author", "source": { "name": "sportsbookreview.com", "url": "https://www.sportsbookreview.com/picks/soccer/villarreal-vs-juventus-prediction-odds-oct-1-2025/" }, "observed_from": "2026-09-28", "observed_to": "2026-09-30", "data_as_of": "2026-11-07", "state": "settled", "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm", "series": "Archived before kick-off, reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off)", "restored": true, "headline_kind": "historical_simulation", "headline_part": "archived", "settled_picks": 7, "matches": 3, "void": 0, "net_points_hundredths": 3550, "staked_hundredths": 70000, "return_percent": "5.07", "stake_per_pick_hundredths": 10000, "period_from": "2025-11-25", "period_to": "2025-11-26", "status": "calculated", "method_version": "retro-1.1", "short_history": true, "reason": null, "reasons": [], "sentence": "Forecast Record restored 7 settled archived picks by Gordon Brunt from copies archived before kick-off, across 3 matches between 25 and 26 November 2025. Reconstructed at archived prices: won 4 of 7 settled archived picks. Of the 144 predictions we hold for Gordon Brunt, 14 were archived before kick-off by an independent web archive and 130 first found after the match. Figures as of 7 November 2026.", "numbers": [ { "label": "Settled archived picks", "value": "7", "anchor": "/methodology/#settled-pick", "note": null }, { "label": "Matches", "value": "3", "anchor": "/methodology/#match", "note": null }, { "label": "Net result", "value": "+35.50 points", "anchor": "/methodology/#settlement", "note": "100 points per pick" }, { "label": "Reconstructed at archived prices", "value": "+5.1%", "anchor": "/methodology/#roi", "note": null } ], "limitations": [ "Most of this history was found after the matches. Of the 59 selections in this historical price series, 7 have a pre-match archive copy and 52 were first found after the match.", "Reconstructed at archived prices: these picks were restored from copies of the author’s pages that an independent web archive saved before kick-off, at the last pre-match archive prices, bookmaker margin included." ], "other_series": [], "return_over_time": [], "return_over_time_parts": { "live": null, "archived": { "part": "archived", "label": "Reconstructed at archived prices", "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm", "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices", "x_axis": "match_date", "dated_note": "Dated by match day. These picks were restored from copies an independent web archive saved before kick-off; the line shows how they settled at archived prices.", "settled_picks": 7, "matches": 3, "match_dates": 2, "period_from": "2025-11-25", "period_to": "2025-11-26", "stake_per_pick_hundredths": 10000, "final_points_hundredths": 3550, "low": { "date": "2025-11-25", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -12550, "after_picks": 3 }, "high": { "date": "2025-11-26", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 3550, "after_picks": 7 }, "line_drawn": false, "steps": [ { "date": "2025-11-25", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -12550, "n": 3, "picks": 3 }, { "date": "2025-11-26", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 3550, "n": 7, "picks": 4 } ] } }, "author_response": null, "cite": { "text": "Forecast Record restored 7 settled archived picks by Gordon Brunt from copies archived before kick-off, across 3 matches between 25 and 26 November 2025. Reconstructed at archived prices: won 4 of 7 settled archived picks. Of the 144 predictions we hold for Gordon Brunt, 14 were archived before kick-off by an independent web archive and 130 first found after the match. Figures as of 7 November 2026.", "url": "https://forecastrecord.com/authors/gordon-brunt/", "data_as_of": "2026-11-07", "method_version": "retro-1.1" }, "origin": { "contract_version": "1", "predictions": 144, "under_review": 0, "no_match_linked": 0, "proven_predictions": 14, "proven_checked": 12, "proven_measured": 11, "proven_dates": 2, "parts": [ { "code": "live", "title": "Recorded before kick-off", "explanation": "Saved by us from the source before kick-off.", "predictions": 0, "checked": 0, "price_rule": "Return at our recorded market price", "series_code": "market_price", "main": null, "same_picks": [], "score": { "score_forecasts": 0, "exact_hits": 0, "exact_rate": null, "outcome_checked": 0, "outcome_hits": 0, "outcome_rate": null, "baseline_matches": 0, "baseline_distinct_matches": 0, "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0, "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null, "favourite_hits": 0, "favourite_rate": null, "price_basis": null, "pending": 0, "void": 0, "recorded_after_kickoff": 0, "lines": [] }, "eligible": { "checked": 0, "priced": 0 }, "accuracy": null }, { "code": "archived", "title": "Archived before kick-off", "explanation": "Restored from a copy saved by an independent web archive before kick-off.", "predictions": 14, "checked": 12, "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices", "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm", "main": { "settled_picks": 7, "void": 0, "matches": 3, "net_points_hundredths": 3550, "staked_hundredths": 70000, "return_percent": "5.07", "interval_low": null, "interval_high": null, "interval_note": "too few independent matches to estimate an interval", "period_from": "2025-11-25", "period_to": "2025-11-26", "method_version": "retro-1.1" }, "same_picks": [ { "price": "Author-quoted price", "series_code": "retro_author_price", "picks": 6, "return_main_percent": "22.58", "return_other_percent": "26.67", "settled_excluding_void": 6, "net_main_points_hundredths": 13550, "net_other_points_hundredths": 16000, "period_from": "2025-11-25", "period_to": "2025-11-26" } ], "score": { "score_forecasts": 4, "exact_hits": 0, "exact_rate": 0.0, "outcome_checked": 4, "outcome_hits": 1, "outcome_rate": 25.0, "baseline_matches": 4, "baseline_distinct_matches": 4, "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 1, "outcome_rate_on_baseline": 25.0, "favourite_hits": 3, "favourite_rate": 75.0, "price_basis": "last pre-match archive price", "pending": 0, "void": 0, "recorded_after_kickoff": 0, "lines": [ "Outcome checked. No betting return is attributed to these score forecasts.", "0 of 4 score forecasts named the exact score.", "The result implied by the named score was right in 1 of 4 matches; the market favourite was right in 3 of the same 4 matches.", "The market favourite is the home win, draw or away win with the lowest last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off).", "The implied result follows from the named score (2-1 implies a home win)." ] }, "eligible": { "checked": 12, "priced": 7 }, "accuracy": { "picks": 7, "won": 4, "won_percent": "57.1", "implied_percent": "51.5", "left_out": 0, "by_market": [ { "market": "Match result", "won": 1, "picks": 3, "implied_percent": "39.9" }, { "market": "Over/under goals", "won": 3, "picks": 3, "implied_percent": "56.4" }, { "market": "Both teams to score", "won": 0, "picks": 1, "implied_percent": "71.4" } ] } }, { "code": "found_after", "title": "Found after the match", "explanation": "First found after the match; the date is the one the source states.", "predictions": 130, "checked": 102, "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices", "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm", "main": { "settled_picks": 52, "void": 0, "matches": 25, "net_points_hundredths": -137500, "staked_hundredths": 520000, "return_percent": "-26.44", "interval_low": "-53.35", "interval_high": "3.89", "interval_note": null, "period_from": "2025-09-29", "period_to": "2026-08-23", "method_version": "retro-1.1" }, "same_picks": [ { "price": "Author-quoted price", "series_code": "retro_author_price", "picks": 48, "return_main_percent": "-31.88", "return_other_percent": "-32.23", "settled_excluding_void": 48, "net_main_points_hundredths": -153000, "net_other_points_hundredths": -154700, "period_from": "2025-09-29", "period_to": "2026-08-23" }, { "price": "Closing price, aggregator", "series_code": "retro_market_closing", "picks": 37, "return_main_percent": "-22.82", "return_other_percent": "-23.02", "settled_excluding_void": 37, "net_main_points_hundredths": -84450, "net_other_points_hundredths": -85191, "period_from": "2025-09-29", "period_to": "2026-08-23" } ], "score": { "score_forecasts": 34, "exact_hits": 2, "exact_rate": 5.9, "outcome_checked": 34, "outcome_hits": 16, "outcome_rate": 47.1, "baseline_matches": 34, "baseline_distinct_matches": 34, "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 16, "outcome_rate_on_baseline": 47.1, "favourite_hits": 19, "favourite_rate": 55.9, "price_basis": "last pre-match archive price", "pending": 1, "void": 0, "recorded_after_kickoff": 0, "lines": [ "Outcome checked. No betting return is attributed to these score forecasts.", "2 of 34 score forecasts named the exact score (5.9%).", "The result implied by the named score was right in 16 of 34 matches; the market favourite was right in 19 of the same 34 matches.", "The market favourite is the home win, draw or away win with the lowest last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off).", "The implied result follows from the named score (2-1 implies a home win).", "These forecasts were found after the match; when they were made depends on the date the source gives." ] }, "eligible": { "checked": 102, "priced": 52 }, "accuracy": { "picks": 52, "won": 21, "won_percent": "40.4", "implied_percent": "51.2", "left_out": 0, "by_market": [ { "market": "Over/under goals", "won": 9, "picks": 21, "implied_percent": "54.7" }, { "market": "Match result", "won": 4, "picks": 17, "implied_percent": "42.3" }, { "market": "Both teams to score", "won": 6, "picks": 9, "implied_percent": "63.8" }, { "market": "Asian handicap", "won": 2, "picks": 4, "implied_percent": "39.7" }, { "market": "Cards over/under", "won": 0, "picks": 1, "implied_percent": "58.8" } ] } } ] }, "live_alongside": null, "headline_record_ids": [ "n-0afe8043c8dde1b1d39fecbc", "n-4fd27319317908bfa430b88b", "n-75a14de6a4b68d58d6b83dfb", "n-8655250be4a63f7fd58099f1", "n-9581afddd2a32f15dc5fe831", "n-a3271efe87e88de47b30e2df", "n-f8e69cf6a9e45ba5e127cdb8" ], "interval_low": null, "interval_high": null, "caption": "Archived before kick-off, reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off) · 100 points per pick · 25–26 November 2025 · Calculated · picks settled under reconstruction method 1.1", "record_from": "2025-09-29", "record_to": "2026-08-23" }, "recorded_picks": [ { "record_id": "n-46a7a7212cb0fa5ada09463a", "url": "/authors/gordon-brunt/picks/4/#pick-n-46a7a7212cb0fa5ada09463a", "match": "Newcastle United v Liverpool", "match_url": null, "kickoff": "2026-08-23T15:30:00.000Z", "competition": "Premier League", "lead_hours": -864.6, "market_code": "player_card", "author_said": "Player to be carded: Amar Dedic to be carded at 4", "quote": null, "group": "settled", "outcome": "Lost", "claim_outcome": "Lost", "final_score": "2-2", "reason": null, "reason_code": null, "points_hundredths": -10000, "series_code": "retro_author_price", "series_short": "author's odds, restored", "author_price": "4", "settled_price": "4", "published_at": "2026-08-22T19:23:00.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-09-28T16:06:47.225Z", "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "record_part": "found_after", "record_part_words": "Found after the match", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-46a7a7212cb0fa5ada09463a", "quote_text": "Amar Dedic to be booked (+300)", "fragment_from": 3771, "fragment_to": 3801, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { 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The line now matches the source and the outcome is worked out on it. This pick was never executed, so no number changes.", "version": 2, "url": "/corrections/#c-f1b2048399e9", "text": "Corrected on 14 October 2026: Data corrected: line sign. The line of this over/under market was recorded with a minus sign; a total cannot be negative, and the source gives the line without one. 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"not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2025-11-25T16:58:00.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-09-30T15:13:16.686Z", "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "record_part": "found_after", "record_part_words": "Found after the match", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-8d5622bfc6132f510f244519", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Best prop bet: Marc Cucurella to get booked (+280 via DraftKings)", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2025-11-24T19:18:00.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-09-30T15:13:33.339Z", "origin": "Archived before kick-off", "record_part": "archived", "record_part_words": "Archived before kick-off", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-dbbb489ca64c56e09da6d85c", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Manchester United opening the scoring nets a $5.71 profit at -175 odds", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2025-11-24T12:00:00.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-09-29T00:50:52.065Z", "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "record_part": "found_after", "record_part_words": "Found after the match", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-ec8c305d4c17f289a84c03f4", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Ryan Gravenberch yellow card (+380)", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2025-10-03T19:00:00.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-09-28T16:05:25.578Z", "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "record_part": "found_after", "record_part_words": "Found after the match", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-3a541886ceefdd35d6131af9", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "⚡ Villarreal to score first (-125) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2025-09-30T21:22:00.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-09-30T15:20:03.905Z", "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "record_part": "found_after", "record_part_words": "Found after the match", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-f2882163445316df1a86ae0d", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Bruno Fernandes to score or assist ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "after_match", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2025-09-13T15:59:00.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-09-29T00:50:06.361Z", "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "record_part": "found_after", "record_part_words": "Found after the match", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null } ], "lead_time": { "contract_version": 1, "threshold_hours": 2.0, "picks": 126, "before_kickoff": 0, "after_kickoff": 126, "at_least_2h": 0, "share_2h_plus": 0.0, "median_hours": null, "min_hours": null, "max_hours": null, "words": "Hours between the moment we recorded the pick and kick-off; the share counts picks recorded at least two hours before kick-off." }, "baseline": { "contract_version": 1, "series_code": "market_price", "rule": "recorded-line-1.0", "state": "none", "picks": 0, "settled_picks_all": 0, "excluded": { "market_without_favourite": 0, "no_recorded_line": 0, "favourite_not_settled": 0 }, "staked_hundredths": 0, "author_net_hundredths": 0, "favourite_net_hundredths": 0, "difference_hundredths": 0, "author_return_percent": null, "favourite_return_percent": null, "author_hit_rate": null, "favourite_hit_rate": null, "picked_favourite_share": null, "by_market": [], "return_over_time": [], "words": "Same stakes, same matches, same recorded moment: the author’s picks against backing the market favourite by the recorded line. Only markets with a single shortest price count (match result, over/under, both teams to score, handicap); correct score and combined markets are left out." }, "pagination": { "per_page": 20, "total": 144, "pages": 9, "page_urls": [ "/authors/gordon-brunt/", "/authors/gordon-brunt/picks/2/", "/authors/gordon-brunt/picks/3/", "/authors/gordon-brunt/picks/4/", "/authors/gordon-brunt/picks/5/", "/authors/gordon-brunt/picks/6/", "/authors/gordon-brunt/picks/7/", "/authors/gordon-brunt/picks/8/", "/authors/gordon-brunt/picks/9/" ], "groups": { "settled": 76, "pending": 0, "excluded": 68 }, "continuation": "by_time", "page": 1, "first": 1, "last": 20, "author_url": "/authors/gordon-brunt/", "current": false }, "title_tag": "Gordon Brunt Predictions: Verified Record, Results and Sources", "calculator": null, "person": { "person_id": "o-2e7eb4f13889bd75afa69b27", "type_code": "individual", "name_shown": "Gordon Brunt", "main_entity": "e-2e7eb4f13889bd75afa69b27", "identity": { "status": "not_verified", "is_verified": false, "when": null, "source_list": [] }, "platform_list": [ { "entity_ref": "e-2e7eb4f13889bd75afa69b27", "medium": "Sportsbook Review Soccer Picks", "channel": "section pages", "domain": "sportsbookreview.com", "source_info": "sportsbookreview-com", "byline": "Gordon Brunt", "url": "/sources/sportsbookreview-com/", "summary": { "statements": 448, "predictions": 144, "settled_picks": 7, "headline_kind": "historical_simulation", "return_percent": 5.07, "headline_part": "archived", "period_from": "2026-09-28", "period_to": "2026-09-30" } } ], "previously": [], "trust_tier": "probation" }, "data_revision": { "data_version": "2026-10-20.4", "updated": "2026-10-20", "current_release": "2026-11-07.2", "data_as_of": "2026-11-07", "method_version": "retro-1.1", "price_rule": "reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only", "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm:archived", "sample": { "settled_picks": 7, "matches": 3, "void": 0, "period_from": "2025-11-25", "period_to": "2025-11-26", "composition_hash": "f98e74e5628445628cd46bfd9e95f5ddc0241015d59ec2a4634830c0fa497661" }, "changes_url": "#changes", "corrections_url": "/corrections/" }, "number_changes": [ { "id": "zc-c2fd789b2306bade0740", "at": "2026-10-20T05:18:25.744Z", "data_version": "2026-10-20.4", "previous_data_version": "2026-10-20.3", "url": "/authors/gordon-brunt/", "category": "coverage_extended", "category_words": "Coverage extended", "before": { "data_version": "2026-10-16.3", "return_percent": "-11.25", "settled_picks": 6, "matches": 3, "void": 0, "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm:archived", "price_rule": "historical simulation at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only", "method_version": "retro-1.1", "composition_hash": "c44eb85426004d9ffd68aebdd346c6295ef6d8d92af901b8393eddf1c5e6e736", "text": "−67.50 points on 6 settled picks across 3 matches · historical simulation at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · method retro-1.1" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-10-20.4", "return_percent": "5.07", "settled_picks": 7, "matches": 3, "void": 0, "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm:archived", "price_rule": "historical simulation at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only", "method_version": "retro-1.1", "composition_hash": "f98e74e5628445628cd46bfd9e95f5ddc0241015d59ec2a4634830c0fa497661", "text": "+35.50 points on 7 settled picks across 3 matches · historical simulation at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · method retro-1.1" }, "reason": "Added 1 earlier pick for matches played before the previous data version (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 1, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null }, { "id": "zc-e64432de9d6dedddcf13", "at": "2026-10-16T12:26:54.015Z", "data_version": "2026-10-16.3", "previous_data_version": "2026-10-16.2", "url": "/authors/gordon-brunt/", "category": "data_corrected", "category_words": "Data corrected", "before": { "data_version": "2026-10-14.1", "return_percent": "5.07", "settled_picks": 7, "matches": 3, "void": 0, "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm:archived", "price_rule": "historical simulation at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only", "method_version": "retro-1.1", "composition_hash": "f98e74e5628445628cd46bfd9e95f5ddc0241015d59ec2a4634830c0fa497661", "text": "+35.50 points on 7 settled picks across 3 matches · historical simulation at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · method retro-1.1" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-10-16.3", "return_percent": "-11.25", "settled_picks": 6, "matches": 3, "void": 0, "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm:archived", "price_rule": "historical simulation at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only", "method_version": "retro-1.1", "composition_hash": "c44eb85426004d9ffd68aebdd346c6295ef6d8d92af901b8393eddf1c5e6e736", "text": "−67.50 points on 6 settled picks across 3 matches · historical simulation at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · method retro-1.1" }, "reason": "Data corrected: 1 pick left the headline sample.", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 0, "removed": 1, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": "i-f71c9a687c5f9287f1fc" }, { "id": "zc-0405bd677a6b40675c1b", "at": "2026-10-14T02:20:02.267Z", "data_version": "2026-10-14.1", "previous_data_version": "2026-10-13.7", "url": "/authors/gordon-brunt/", "category": "data_corrected", "category_words": "Data corrected", "before": { "data_version": "2026-10-09.2", "return_percent": "-6.50", "settled_picks": 6, "matches": 3, "void": 0, "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm:archived", "price_rule": "historical simulation at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only", "method_version": "retro-1.1", "composition_hash": "ebb1c1750d34932b4a1d4e5f464b1f9503a83d53c47ff068c3df1b31757a5484", "text": "−39.00 points on 6 settled picks across 3 matches · historical simulation at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · method retro-1.1" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-10-14.1", "return_percent": "5.07", "settled_picks": 7, "matches": 3, "void": 0, "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm:archived", "price_rule": "historical simulation at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only", "method_version": "retro-1.1", "composition_hash": "f98e74e5628445628cd46bfd9e95f5ddc0241015d59ec2a4634830c0fa497661", "text": "+35.50 points on 7 settled picks across 3 matches · historical simulation at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · method retro-1.1" }, "reason": "Data corrected: line sign (1 pick); 1 pick added.", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 1, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": "i-696db2284fdabd473876" }, { "id": "zc-aa35cb506525317ff00e", "at": "2026-10-09T12:49:36.723Z", "data_version": "2026-10-09.2", "previous_data_version": "2026-10-09.1", "url": "/authors/gordon-brunt/", "category": "method_changed", "category_words": "Method changed", "before": { "data_version": "2026-10-09.1", "return_percent": "-35.46", "settled_picks": 58, "matches": 22, "void": 0, "series_code": "retro_author_price", "price_rule": "author's stated odds, restored", "method_version": "retro-1.0", "composition_hash": "3f497828ec79e0c2e5ce03b3e57eb77e314de66159beeeb2628681ccb8ccdf18", "text": "−35.46% on 58 settled picks across 22 matches · author's stated odds, restored · method retro-1.0" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-10-09.2", "return_percent": "-6.50", "settled_picks": 6, "matches": 3, "void": 0, "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm:archived", "price_rule": "historical simulation at the last pre-match archive price (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only", "method_version": "retro-1.1", "composition_hash": "ebb1c1750d34932b4a1d4e5f464b1f9503a83d53c47ff068c3df1b31757a5484", "text": "−39.00 points on 6 settled picks across 3 matches · historical simulation at the last pre-match archive price (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · method retro-1.1" }, "reason": "The headline rule changed on 9 October 2026: the headline is the live record at our recorded market price; without one, a historical simulation at the last pre-match archive price (~8–15 h before kick-off) on picks archived before kick-off only. Picks first found after the match no longer enter the headline number. Was: author's stated odds, restored (58 settled picks). Now: historical simulation at the last pre-match archive price (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only (6 settled picks).", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 5, "removed": 57, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": "i-cdfa6af52fbf528bf2dd" }, { "id": "zc-91f2e846f300ffa43d34", "at": "2026-10-09T11:08:54.367Z", "data_version": "2026-10-09.1", "previous_data_version": "2026-09-30.1", "url": "/authors/gordon-brunt/", "category": "coverage_extended", "category_words": "Coverage extended", "before": { "data_version": "2026-09-30.1", "return_percent": "-39.85", "settled_picks": 47, "matches": 19, "void": 0, "series_code": "retro_author_price", "price_rule": "author's stated odds, restored", "method_version": "retro-1.0", "composition_hash": "b36f66d6a510144ef8b7a0f3b53220746a94a18530d9801165a4eb62610d4b01", "text": "−39.85% on 47 settled picks across 19 matches · author's stated odds, restored · method retro-1.0" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-10-09.1", "return_percent": "-35.46", "settled_picks": 58, "matches": 22, "void": 0, "series_code": "retro_author_price", "price_rule": "author's stated odds, restored", "method_version": "retro-1.0", "composition_hash": "3f497828ec79e0c2e5ce03b3e57eb77e314de66159beeeb2628681ccb8ccdf18", "text": "−35.46% on 58 settled picks across 22 matches · author's stated odds, restored · method retro-1.0" }, "reason": "Added 11 earlier picks for matches played before the previous data version (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 11, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null } ], "counts_by_slice": { "portions": [ { "code": "archived", "title": "Archived before kick-off", "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices", "settled_picks": 7, "total_check": true, "market_list": [ { "code_name": "1x2", "in_words": "Match result", "url": null, "settled_picks": 3, "won": 1, "void": 0, "net_points_hundredths": -9700, "return_percent": "-32.3", "period_from": "2025-11-25", "period_to": "2025-11-26", "small_sample": true, "average_odds": "2.68", "odds_from_author": 3, "odds_from_snapshot": 0 }, { "code_name": "total", "in_words": "Over/under goals", "url": null, "settled_picks": 3, "won": 3, "void": 0, "net_points_hundredths": 23250, "return_percent": "77.5", "period_from": "2025-11-25", "period_to": "2025-11-26", "small_sample": true, "average_odds": "1.80", "odds_from_author": 3, "odds_from_snapshot": 0 }, { "code_name": "both_teams_score", "in_words": "Both teams to score", "url": null, "settled_picks": 1, "won": 0, "void": 0, "net_points_hundredths": -10000, "return_percent": "-100.0", "period_from": "2025-11-25", "period_to": "2025-11-25", "small_sample": true, "average_odds": "1.40", "odds_from_author": 0, "odds_from_snapshot": 1 } ], "leagues": [ { "code_name": "UEFA Champions League", "in_words": "UEFA Champions League", "url": "/football/competitions/uefa-champions-league/", "settled_picks": 7, "won": 4, "void": 0, "net_points_hundredths": 3550, "return_percent": "5.1", "period_from": "2025-11-25", "period_to": "2025-11-26", "small_sample": true, "average_odds": "2.12", "odds_from_author": 6, "odds_from_snapshot": 1, "league_markets": [ { "code_name": "1x2", "in_words": "Match result", "settled_picks": 3, "won": 1, "void": 0, "net_points_hundredths": -9700, "return_percent": null, "period_from": "2025-11-25", "period_to": "2025-11-26", "small_sample": true, "average_odds": "2.68", "odds_from_author": 3, "odds_from_snapshot": 0 }, { "code_name": "total", "in_words": "Over/under goals", "settled_picks": 3, "won": 3, "void": 0, "net_points_hundredths": 23250, "return_percent": null, "period_from": "2025-11-25", "period_to": "2025-11-26", "small_sample": true, "average_odds": "1.80", "odds_from_author": 3, "odds_from_snapshot": 0 }, { "code_name": "both_teams_score", "in_words": "Both teams to score", "settled_picks": 1, "won": 0, "void": 0, "net_points_hundredths": -10000, "return_percent": null, "period_from": "2025-11-25", "period_to": "2025-11-25", "small_sample": true, "average_odds": "1.40", "odds_from_author": 0, "odds_from_snapshot": 1 } ] } ], "best_slice": null } ], "best_slice": null }, "author_card": { "body": "Record tracked by Forecast Record since 28 September 2026 · 144 predictions · last change 30 September 2026", "url": "https://forecastrecord.com/authors/gordon-brunt/", "s": "2026-09-28", "prediction_count": 144, "refreshed_at": "2026-09-30", "html": "Record tracked by Forecast Record since 28 September 2026 · 144 predictions · last change 30 September 2026" }, "trust": { "tier": "probation", "in_words": "Probation", "settled_count": 12, "days": 2, "weeks": 1, "archive": false, "in_review": false, "own_page": true, "won_count": 4, "first_settled_on": "2025-11-25", "products_in_level": 1, "rule": { "tracked": { "min_settled": 30, "min_days": 30, 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