Goal Wizard: football tipster record
Forecast Record recorded 40 settled live picks by Goal Wizard before kick-off across 20 matches between 25 October and . At our recorded market prices these picks returned −6.0% on the total staked.
How tracking levels work
Tracked requires 30 predictions checked against the final score over 30 days in at least 2 weeks. Established requires 100 predictions checked against the final score with at least 90 days of history. Tracking-level rules
Record summary
Return at our recorded market prices
−6.0%Measured
40 settled picks with an eligible price · 20 matches · picks settled under method v2.2
95% interval −28.4% to +16.4%
Won 28 of 39 (71.8%) at average odds 1.36; those prices implied 75.9% (including bookmaker margin).
Eligible prices were available for 40 of the 71 selections checked against the result.
Copy citation
Forecast Record recorded 40 settled live picks by Goal Wizard before kick-off across 20 matches between 25 October and 6 November 2026. At our recorded market prices these picks returned −6.0% on the total staked. Of the 87 predictions we hold for Goal Wizard, 83 are linked to matches: 74 were recorded by us before kick-off and 9 first found after kick-off. Figures as of 7 November 2026.
Forecast Record recorded 40 settled live picks by Goal Wizard before kick-off across 20 matches between 25 October and 6 November 2026. At our recorded market prices these picks returned −6.0% on the total staked. Of the 87 predictions we hold for Goal Wizard, 83 are linked to matches: 74 were recorded by us before kick-off and 9 first found after the match. Figures as of .
https://forecastrecord.com/authors/goal-wizard/
155 statements read → 87 predictions → 83 linked to matches → 74 recorded before kick-off → 71 outcome-checked → 40 at our recorded market price · 9 found after kick-off (not in the return)
Latest outcomes
Return over time
Recorded by us before kick-off: Net result −235.53 points on 40 settled live picks · Lowest point −583.56 points.
Show chart as a table
| Date | Settled picks | Cumulative points |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | -85.01 | |
| 4 | -45.48 | |
| 6 | 38.75 | |
| 10 | 56.38 | |
| 14 | 179.73 | |
| 16 | 210.52 | |
| 20 | -70.61 | |
| 24 | -217.90 | |
| 28 | -495.80 | |
| 30 | -583.56 | |
| 34 | -489.48 | |
| 38 | -293.76 | |
| 40 | -235.53 |
By market and competition
Markets
| Market | Won | Return | Avg odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under goals | 21/29 | −7.8% Small sample (29) | 1.28 |
| Match result | 5 W / 1 L | — Small sample (6) | 1.57 |
| Both teams to score | 2 W / 3 L | — Small sample (5) | 1.56 |
Competitions
| Competition | Won | Return | Avg odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Serie A | 11/12 | 23.2% Small sample (12) | 1.37 |
| Premier League | 2/10 | −76.6% Small sample (10) | 1.36 |
| LaLiga | 4 W / 1 L | — Small sample (6) | 1.42 |
| UEFA Champions League | 5 W / 1 L | — Small sample (6) | 1.25 |
| UEFA Europa League | 4 W / 0 L | — Small sample (4) | 1.49 |
+1 competition
| Competition | Won | Return | Avg odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ligue 1 | 2 W / 0 L | — Small sample (2) | 1.15 |
Recorded picks and results
Statements without a match (4)
They name no match, so the feed lists them by date among pages 2–6.
About this record
Is this you? Reply or claim · 0 corrections
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Archive of the previous page layout (kept for the record)
Last change · Price rule: independent odds snapshot · Sample: 40 settled live picks, 20 matches · View changes to this record
Data changes. Added later: 9 records added on Found after kick-off. The current numbers include them; numbers published earlier, including the record before each match, do not change.
How unusual is this result? Check 39 picks at average odds 1.36 in the simplified calculator
Where Goal Wizard publishes
Published under this name on t.me.
| Platform | Byline | Predictions | Settled picks | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| t.me, Telegram | Goal Wizard | 87 | 40 | −6.0% at our recorded market prices |
Record card
To link to this record from your site or bio, copy the line below. It states only the facts of this record.
<a href="https://forecastrecord.com/authors/goal-wizard/">Record tracked by Forecast Record since 25 October 2026 · 87 predictions · last change 7 November 2026</a>Recorded before kick-off: supporting evidence
Eligible price: a market price that meets the price rule of its part of the record; the return is calculated on picks with one. Definition.
Recorded before kick-off, graded after the match
12 predictions recorded before kick-off. Right in 6 of 12.
Prices implied by market
By market: Over/under goals 21 of 28 (prices implied 80.3% Small sample (28)); Match result 5 of 6 (5 W / 1 L, average odds 1.57) Small sample (6); Both teams to score 2 of 5 (2 W / 3 L, average odds 1.56) Small sample (5).
The implied share is the average of 1 ÷ price; it includes the bookmaker margin, so it is slightly above a fair chance. Markets with low prices are won more often, so a share of picks won says little on its own. 1 pick left out: void, or half won or half lost on a quarter-goal line.
| Price | Same picks | Period | At that price | Return at our recorded market price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Closing price | 39 | 25 October – | −2.5% | −6.6% |
An author-quoted price is the price the article offered; the headline return uses the market price in the last column.
Score forecasts without a betting market price
Outcome checked. No betting return is attributed to these score forecasts.
2 of 23 score forecasts named the exact score (8.7%).
The result implied by the named score was right in 9 of 23 matches; the market favourite was right in 15 of the same 23 matches.
The market favourite is the home win, draw or away win with the lowest price in our own odds snapshot taken before kick-off.
The implied result follows from the named score (2-1 implies a home win).
Found after kick-off
First Found after kick-off; the date is the one the source states.
9 predictions; 9 checked against the final score.
What kind of number is this?
- Measured
- Settled by us from the final score. Supporting evidence: Directly observed in a source or timestamped capture. Here: the moment we first captured each prediction; our pre-match market snapshot of each settled pick.
- Stated
- The author’s own claim, shown as published. Reported by the source; not independently confirmed. Here: the publication date a source page shows; the price an author quoted.
- Calculated
- Derived from the listed inputs under a published rule. Here: outcomes against the final score; returns, intervals and the share of picks won.
- Unknown
- Not established from the evidence available. Here: the market price at the moment a restored pick was published.
What this record covers
We monitor the sources listed below. This is not a complete record of everything Goal Wizard has published.
- Source we monitor
- t.me
- Channels
- website
- Watched by us
- 25 October –
- Without a match page
- 4 predictions
Author's response
No author's response is published on this page. Responses are published word for word. Correction requests are checked, and every change is logged.
Coverage and exclusions
One set of records: the author’s statements. Each count is a part of the one above it. What each word means · What coverage says.
- Statements
- 155
- Predictions
- 87
- Qualifying picks
- 42
- Settled picks
- 40
Here a pick counts as settled when it has a result at any recorded price; the numbers at the top use only the price rule of their own part of the record.
Statements that are not predictions: 5 opinions and 63 not about a match.
How this return was calculated
Every settled pick in “Recorded before kick-off, at our recorded market price” is a stake of 100 points at our recorded market price, a pre-match snapshot of the same selection. The net result (−235.53 points) is the sum of the profit and loss of these 40 settled live picks; the return is the net result divided by the total staked (3,900 points), void picks excluded (1 void). Definition of return on stakes · How a pick is settled.
Other prices of the same picks are compared row by row in each part of the record above; they are never added to this number.
Separate comparison window — last 90 days: −6.0% on 40 live picks settled in this window · 20 matches · 25 October – (calculated, method v2.2). How comparison windows are counted
Changes to this record
Earlier figures stay here with the reason: new results, extended coverage, a correction or a method change. Corrections are also listed in the corrections log.
Coverage extended ·
- Before
- +22.3% on 12 settled picks across 6 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2 Small sample (12)
- After
- −6.0% on 40 settled picks across 20 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2
Added 28 earlier picks for matches played before the previous record update (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).
New results ·
- Before
- +14.3% on 10 settled picks across 5 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2 Small sample (10)
- After
- +22.3% on 12 settled picks across 6 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2 Small sample (12)
2 new settled picks from matches played after the previous record update.
New results ·
- Before
- +48.42 points on 6 settled picks across 3 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2
- After
- +14.3% on 10 settled picks across 5 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2 Small sample (10)
4 new settled picks from matches played after the previous record update.
New results ·
- Before
- +17.63 points on 4 settled picks across 2 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2
- After
- +48.42 points on 6 settled picks across 3 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2
2 new settled picks from matches played after the previous record update.
Coverage extended ·
- Before
- no published headline number
- After
- +17.63 points on 4 settled picks across 2 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2
First headline number for this record: 4 settled picks in the series “independent odds snapshot”.
Who this is
- Last recorded by us
- , the date of this page's data
- Observed
- —
- Channels
- website
Statements other than predictions (32 shown)
- “AZ Alkmaar have an excellent European home record, making them a tough opponent on their own ground.” — · source
- “Player Watch: E. Haaland” — · source
- “Our Call: Manchester City” — · source
Liverpool head into this fixture looking to bounce back from consecutive defeats in all competitions
· Source
⚽ Premier League – Pre-Match Analysis
· Source
Player Watch: M. Odegaard
· Source
⚡ Live updates coming 📱 Stay tuned
· Source
Player Watch: Lucas Boyé
· Source
Player Watch: N. Woltemade
· Source
POP.GAME: 1.54 Stake: 1.54 1xBet: 1.52 BC.Game: 1.51
· Source
Player Watch: L. Sučić
· Source
Slavia Prague (3-4-2-1): J. Markovic; A. N'Guessan, T. Holes, D. Zima; T. Vicek, M. Sadilek, D.
· Source
Player Watch: K. Havertz
· Source
RB Leipzig (4-2-3-1): M. Vandervoordt; R. Baku, W. Orban, C. Lukeba, D. Raum; N. El Aynaoui, E.
· Source
Player Watch: D. Malen
· Source
Atletico Madrid (4-4-2): J. Oblak; M. Llorente, Pubill, D. Hancko, A. Grimaldo; G. Simeone, R. Mendoza
· Source
Player Watch: H. Kane
· Source
📊 Platform Odds
· Source
Player Watch: Ante Budimir
· Source
📝 Predicted Lineups
· Source
📝 Predicted Lineups Newcastle United (4-2-3-1): L. Hornicek; A. Dedic, F. Schar, D. Burn, L.
· Source
Player Watch: Y. Wissa
· Source
Juventus (3-5-2): G. Vicario; F. Gatti, Bremer, J. Lucumi; P. Kalulu, W. McKennie, D. Luiz, P. Sarr
· Source
Player Watch: Rasmus Højlund
· Source
The few goals market offers an interesting angle for this matchup.
· Source
📝 Predicted Lineups Liverpool (4-2-3-1): Alisson; R. Araujo, J. Jacquet, V. van Dijk, M.
· Source
Player Watch: A. Isak
· Source
📊 Platform Odds POP.GAME: 1.66 1xBet: 1.647 BC.Game: 1.62 Stake: 1.58
· Source
📝 Predicted Lineups Manchester City (4-2-3-1): G. Donnarumma; J. Gvardiol, M. Guehi, R. Dias, A
· Source
Chelsea (4-2-3-1): M. Penders; J. Acheampong, W. Fofana, L. Colwill, J. Hato; J. Henderson, M.
· Source
POP.GAME: 1.63 BC.Game: 1.54 1xBet: 1.533 Stake: 1.52
· Source
Player Watch: Cole Palmer
· Source
The full list is in the JSON and CSV downloads of this page.
The same data, machine-readable
From the same snapshot as this page. A download includes the full machine list when the page shows a filtered view.
Share cards of this record (4)
For the author of this record (1)
Check us
Calculations for the displayed picks
| Prediction | Series | Market and pick | Price | Stake | Result | Points | Method |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sevilla v Deportivo Alavés Won | At an independent odds snapshot | Over/Under 3.5 goals — under 3.5 | 1.23 | 100.00 | Won | 23.02 | v2.2 |
| Sevilla v Deportivo Alavés Won | At an independent odds snapshot | Over/Under 3 goals — under 3.0 | 1.35 | 100.00 | Won | 35.21 | v2.2 |
| AZ Alkmaar v Juventus Won | At an independent odds snapshot | Over/Under 1.5 goals — over 1.5 | 1.25 | 100.00 | Won | 25.00 | v2.2 |
| AZ Alkmaar v Juventus Won | At an independent odds snapshot | 1X2, match result — Juventus | 2.00 | 100.00 | Won | 100.00 | v2.2 |
| Real Sociedad v Olympique Lyonnais Won | At an independent odds snapshot | Both teams to score — yes | 1.54 | 100.00 | Won | 54.05 | v2.2 |
| Real Sociedad v Olympique Lyonnais Won | At an independent odds snapshot | Over/Under 1.5 goals — over 1.5 | 1.17 | 100.00 | Won | 16.67 | v2.2 |
| SK Slavia Praha v Arsenal Won | At an independent odds snapshot | Over/Under 1.5 goals — over 1.5 | 1.12 | 100.00 | Won | 12.00 | v2.2 |
| SK Slavia Praha v Arsenal Won | At an independent odds snapshot | 1X2, match result — Arsenal | 1.25 | 100.00 | Won | 25.00 | v2.2 |
| RB Leipzig v Manchester City Won | At an independent odds snapshot | 1X2, match result — Manchester City | 1.52 | 100.00 | Won | 52.08 | v2.2 |
| RB Leipzig v Manchester City Won | At an independent odds snapshot | Over/Under 1.5 goals — over 1.5 | 1.05 | 100.00 | Won | 5.00 | v2.2 |
| Atlético Madrid v FC Bayern München Won | At an independent odds snapshot | Over/Under 1.5 goals — over 1.5 | 1.12 | 100.00 | Won | 12.24 | v2.2 |
| Atlético Madrid v FC Bayern München Lost | At an independent odds snapshot | Over/Under 2.5 goals — over 2.5 | 1.43 | 100.00 | Lost | −100.00 | v2.2 |
| Deportivo de A Coruña v Osasuna Won | At an independent odds snapshot | Over/Under 3.5 goals — under 3.5 | 1.22 | 100.00 | Won | 22.10 | v2.2 |
| Deportivo de A Coruña v Osasuna Lost | At an independent odds snapshot | Over/Under 2.5 goals — under 2.5 | 1.66 | 100.00 | Lost | −100.00 | v2.2 |
| Newcastle United v Everton Lost | At an independent odds snapshot | Over/Under 1.5 goals — over 1.5 | 1.21 | 100.00 | Lost | −100.00 | v2.2 |
| Newcastle United v Everton Lost | At an independent odds snapshot | Both teams to score — yes | 1.57 | 100.00 | Lost | −100.00 | v2.2 |
| Juventus v SSC Napoli Won | At an independent odds snapshot | Over/Under 4.5 goals — under 4.5 | 1.09 | 100.00 | Won | 8.71 | v2.2 |
| Juventus v SSC Napoli Won | At an independent odds snapshot | Over/Under 3 goals — under 3.0 | 1.44 | 100.00 | Won | 44.00 | v2.2 |
| Liverpool v Arsenal Lost | At an independent odds snapshot | Over/Under 1.5 goals — over 1.5 | 1.26 | 100.00 | Lost | −100.00 | v2.2 |
| Liverpool v Arsenal Lost | At an independent odds snapshot | Both teams to score — yes | 1.64 | 100.00 | Lost | −100.00 | v2.2 |