Gary Pearson: football tipster record — archive reconstruction

Where Gary Pearson publishes

Published under this name on sportsbookreview.com.

Record card

To link to this record from your site or bio, copy the line below. It states only the facts of this record.

<a href="https://forecastrecord.com/authors/gary-pearson/">Record tracked by Forecast Record since 28 September 2026 · 80 predictions · last change 30 September 2026</a>

Archived before kick-off · 1 settled archived pick · won 0 of 1

Restored from a copy saved by an independent web archive before kick-off.

8 predictions; 4 checked against the final score.

1 settled selection across 1 match, 8 April 2025.

Reconstructed at archived prices: −100 points.

Eligible prices were available for 1 of the 4 selections checked against the result.

Eligible price: a market price that meets the price rule of its part of the record; the return is calculated on picks with one. Definition.

Prices are the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), bookmaker margin included.

Outcome accuracy vs implied by prices

Won 0 of 1 decided pick; the prices of the same picks implied 27.8%.

The implied share is the average of 1 ÷ price; it includes the bookmaker margin, so it is slightly above a fair chance. Markets with low prices are won more often, so a share of picks won says little on its own.

Score forecasts without a betting market price

Outcome checked. No betting return is attributed to this score forecast.

The score forecast did not name the exact score.

The result implied by the named score was right in 1 of 1 match; the market favourite was right in 1 of the same match.

The market favourite is the home win, draw or away win with the lowest last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off).

The implied result follows from the named score (2-1 implies a home win).

Found after kick-off · 26 settled after-match picks · −26.0%

First Found after kick-off; the date is the one the source states.

72 predictions; 51 checked against the final score.

26 settled selections across 14 matches, 30 April 2025 – 5 March 2026.

Reconstructed at archived prices: −26.0% (95.0% interval −70.5% to +19.2%).

Eligible prices were available for 26 of the 51 selections checked against the result.

Prices are the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), bookmaker margin included.

Outcome accuracy vs implied by prices

Won 9 of 26 decided picks (34.6%); the prices of the same picks implied 49.6%.

By market: Match result 4 of 13 (prices implied 45.7%); Over/under goals 3 of 10 (prices implied 55.8%); Asian handicap 2 of 2 (prices implied 51.7%); Result and both teams to score 0 of 1 (prices implied 33.9%).

The implied share is the average of 1 ÷ price; it includes the bookmaker margin, so it is slightly above a fair chance. Markets with low prices are won more often, so a share of picks won says little on its own.

An author-quoted price is the price the article offered; the headline return uses the market price in the last column.

Score forecasts without a betting market price

Outcome checked. No betting return is attributed to these score forecasts.

2 of 15 score forecasts named the exact score (13.3%).

The result implied by the named score was right in 5 of 15 matches; the market favourite was right in 6 of the same 15 matches.

The market favourite is the home win, draw or away win with the lowest last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off).

The implied result follows from the named score (2-1 implies a home win).

These forecasts were Found after kick-off; when they were made depends on the date the source gives.

What kind of number is this?

Measured

Settled by us from the final score. Supporting evidence: Directly observed in a source or timestamped capture. Here: the moment we first captured each prediction; the time of each pre-match web-archive copy.

Stated

The author’s own claim, shown as published. Reported by the source; not independently confirmed. Here: the publication date a source page shows; the price an author quoted.

Calculated

Derived from the listed inputs under a published rule. Here: outcomes against the final score; returns, intervals and the share of picks won.

Unknown

Not established from the evidence available. Here: the market price at the moment a restored pick was published.

The four data statuses

What this record covers

We monitor the sources listed below. This is not a complete record of everything Gary Pearson has published.

Source we monitor

sportsbookreview.com

Channels

website

Watched by us

28–30 September 2026

Earlier entries

restored from archives, back to 18 August 2024

Stated price vs market

How the prices this author stated compare with an independent market price of the same selection. Calculated from the picks where both prices are known; a gap can come from market movement or from one bookmaker offering more than the market, so it describes the stated prices, not the reason for them.

Closing market price (restored) — the closing market price of the same selection (restored history). Difference = the author's stated price ÷ the market price of the same selection − 1. A pick counts as above the market when the stated price is more than 5.0% higher. Each basis is its own comparison; they are never added together. A pair whose prices differ more than twofold is marked “price disputed”: it is probably not the same selection, so it is left out of this comparison and of every return at the author’s price until a manual check confirms the price. A price that the quoted text does not give is marked “price disputed” in the same way. The closing price is the final price before kick-off. The price when the pick was published is unknown for restored history, so this row shows the distance to where the market closed. 1 pair left out: the prices differ more than twofold.

Pre-match close: the last market price for the same selection before kick-off. Definition.

Largest gaps: 4.33 against 5.00 (−13.4%) · 2.10 against 2.25 (−6.7%)

Author's response

No author's response is published on this page. Responses are published word for word. Correction requests are checked, and every change is logged.

Respond or request a correction

Coverage and exclusions

One set of records: the author’s statements. Each count is a part of the one above it. What each word means · What coverage says.

Statements

186

Predictions

80

Qualifying picks

49

Settled picks

39

Here a pick counts as settled when it has a result at any recorded price; the numbers at the top use only the price rule of their own part of the record.

Statements that are not predictions: 20 opinions and 86 not about a match.

How this return was calculated

Every settled pick in “Archived before kick-off, reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off)” is a stake of 100 points at the last pre-match archive price, a reconstruction at archived prices on picks archived before kick-off only. The net result (−100 points) is the sum of the profit and loss of these 1 settled archived pick; the return is the net result divided by the total staked (100 points), void picks excluded. Definition of return on stakes · How a pick is settled.

Other prices of the same picks are compared row by row in each part of the record above; they are never added to this number.

Separate comparison window — last 90 days: the return appears from the first settled pick in this window (method v2.2). How comparison windows are counted

Changes to this record

The headline number above is (reconstruction method 1.1, reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only). When it changes, the earlier figure stays here with the reason: new results, extended coverage, a correction or a method change. Corrections are also listed in the corrections log.

Data corrected · 19 October 2026

Before

−300.00 points on 3 settled picks across 3 matches · reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · Reconstruction method 1.1

After

−100.00 points on 1 settled pick across 1 match · reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · Reconstruction method 1.1

Data corrected: 2 picks left the headline sample.

Method changed · 9 October 2026

Before

−6.5% on 36 settled picks across 19 matches · author's stated odds, restored · Reconstruction method 1.0

After

−300.00 points on 3 settled picks across 3 matches · reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · Reconstruction method 1.1

The headline rule changed on 9 October 2026: the headline is the live record at our recorded market price; without one, reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off) on picks archived before kick-off only. Picks first Found after kick-off no longer enter the headline number. Was: author's stated odds, restored (36 settled picks). Now: reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only (3 settled picks).

Coverage extended · 9 October 2026

Before

+2.7% on 31 settled picks across 16 matches · author's stated odds, restored · Reconstruction method 1.0

After

−6.5% on 36 settled picks across 19 matches · author's stated odds, restored · Reconstruction method 1.0

Added 5 earlier picks for matches played before the previous record update (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).

Who this is

Last recorded by us

30 September 2026, 38 days before this page's data date

Observed

28 September 2026 — 30 September 2026

Channels

website

Statements other than predictions (46 shown)

• “A 2-0 win sounds about right, but Real Madrid could score a few more if they bag one early.” — 16 September 2025, 11:57 BST · source
• “I was tempted to back Real Madrid to win and Under 4.5 goals (-110)” — 16 September 2025, 11:57 BST · source
• “With Alexander Isak unavailable and Mo Salah just returning from the African Cup of Nations,” — 21 January 2026, 15:00 GMT · source
• “I expect the Reds to emulate that blueprint.” — 21 January 2026, 15:00 GMT · source
• “Although I would like him to score a brace, I will opt for the safer one-goal option.” — 12 February 2025, 12:28 GMT · source
• “However, if Celtic manage to keep things tight in the first half — a feasible scenario — I'm not sure about Bayern breaking it open.” — 18 February 2025, 10:42 GMT · source
• “The other palatable game pick has Bayern Munich winning by at least three goals (+100).” — 18 February 2025, 10:42 GMT · source
• “I had Bayern to win by two goals in the first leg, and it looked as though it would pay out until Daizen Maeda scored with 11 minutes remaining.” — 18 February 2025, 10:42 GMT · source
• “The price for the favored Manchester United keeps shortening gradually as the match looms” — 21 May 2025, 17:30 BST · source

• Would I prefer to take Mbappe to score over Vinicius? Absolutely.

  16 Sep 2025, 11:57 BST · Source

• It will be a blustery night in Marseille, with winds gusting to 29 mph.

  21 Jan 2026, 15:00 GMT · Source

• The Reds are the -102 betting favorite to take all three points in today's match at Stade Velodrome

  21 Jan 2026, 15:00 GMT · Source

• It will be an ideal evening for soccer in Turin, Italy, with temperatures expected to be 62 degrees

  25 Feb 2026, 19:14 GMT · Source

• Confirmed Starting XI Juventus: Perin (GK) - Kelly - Gatti - McKennie - Kalulu - Locatelli - Thuram

  25 Feb 2026, 19:14 GMT · Source

• I don't think they can overcome the 5-2 hole they dug themselves in Turkey last week.

  25 Feb 2026, 19:14 GMT · Source

• The first leg of the tie was disastrous for Juventus.

  25 Feb 2026, 19:14 GMT · Source

• His odds at FanDuel to score at least two goals are +340.

  12 Feb 2025, 12:28 GMT · Source

• Injuries have decimated Vincent Kompany's first 11, with several of the team's most influential

  8 Apr 2025, 17:14 BST · Source

• Chelsea star Joao Pedro is questionable for the match, as is winger Estevao.

  16 Sep 2025, 13:17 BST · Source

• Bayern will be without Raphael Guerreiro due to a "stomach muscles" injury.

  16 Sep 2025, 13:17 BST · Source

• Up To $1,500 First Bet

  18 Feb 2025, 10:42 GMT · Source

• Robert Lewandowski is unavailable due to injury

  29 Apr 2025, 18:16 BST · Source

• Against the spread pick: Inter Milan [telefon-vyrezan] via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐

  29 Apr 2025, 18:16 BST · Source

• Our Champions League AI predictions for the quarterfinals predicted a 3-1 Barcelona win.

  8 Apr 2025, 21:41 BST · Source

• Teams Moneyline Spread Total Arsenal -575 -2.5 (+135) Over 3.5 (+115) Wolves +1300

  · Source

• Odds: -120 via bet365 | Implied probability: 54.55%

  · Source

• Odds: +130 via DraftKings | Implied probability: 43.48%

  · Source

• Odds: +650 via bet365 | Implied probability: 13.33%

  · Source

• Arsenal have been dominant against Wolves in recent years, and they hope to continue that trend when

  · Source

• Odds via DraftKings as of Saturday at 10 a.m. ET.

  · Source

• The +210 odds will pay a profit of $21 if the bet hits.

  · Source

• Jack Grealish is also out after suffering a hamstring injury in last week's Community Shield victory over Man United.

  · Source

• City won't have Rodri at their disposal after the Spaniard injured his hamstring in the Euro 2024 Final against England.

  · Source

• Maresca's Premier League adaptation isn't made any easier by Chelsea's chop-and-change transfer strategy.

  · Source

• You'll earn a $10.50 profit on a $10 wager if Haaland opens the season with a goal.

  · Source

• Haaland bagged a hat trick against Chelsea two weeks ago.

  · Source

• There's not much to go on regarding a player's form entering the season's opening weekend.

  · Source

• The +1000 odds at FanDuel will yield a $100 profit if City wins 1-0.

  · Source

• Guardiola's side has had its way with Chelsea, winning eight of the last ten matches without suffering a defeat.

  · Source

• club captain Son Heung-min isn't back to full match sharpness after recently returning from a foot injury.

  21 May 2025, 17:30 BST · Source

• Dejan Kulusevski, James Madison, and potentially Lucas Bergvall won't be available for Tottenham.

  21 May 2025, 17:30 BST · Source

• You can streak it on USA Network in the US and DAZN in Canada.

  5 Mar 2026, 19:10 GMT · Source

• It will be about 52 degrees at kickoff, with wind gusting to 13 mph and no chance of precipitation.

  5 Mar 2026, 19:10 GMT · Source

• Here are Thursday's confirmed lineups for Tottenham vs. Crystal Palace; lineups subject to change:

  5 Mar 2026, 19:10 GMT · Source

• The odds at FanDuel for Tottenham to get relegated are +500.

  5 Mar 2026, 19:10 GMT · Source

• Best odds: +2448 via BetMGM (0.1u -> 2.49u)

  5 Mar 2026, 19:10 GMT · Source

The full list is in the JSON and CSV downloads of this page.

The same data, machine-readable

• Page data (JSON)
• Recorded picks (CSV)

From the same snapshot as this page. A download includes the full machine list when the page shows a filtered view.

Share cards of this record (2)

• Bankroll card — Gary Pearson
• Said → happened — Gary Pearson

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Calculations for the displayed picks

Record definitions and related evidence

• Recorded picks and results
• Matches
• How this return was calculated
• Archived before kick-off — definition
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