Forecast Record recorded 4 settled live picks by Francesco Cavallini before kick-off across 4 matches between 10 and . Won 4 of 4 settled live picks at our recorded market prices.
Tracking level: Probation — day 15 of 30 needed for Tracked · 17 predictions checked against the final score
How tracking levels work
Tracked requires 30 predictions checked against the final score over 30 days in at least 2 weeks. Established requires 100 predictions checked against the final score with at least 90 days of history. Tracking-level rules
Record summary
4 won / 0 lost; average odds 2.03
Small sample (4) · 4 settled picks · picks settled under method v2.2
Eligible prices were available for 4 of the 17 selections checked against the result.
Forecast Record recorded 4 settled live picks by Francesco Cavallini before kick-off across 4 matches between 10 and 19 October 2026. Won 4 of 4 settled live picks at our recorded market prices. Of the 35 predictions we hold for Francesco Cavallini, 17 are linked to matches: 17 were recorded by us before kick-off. Figures as of 7 November 2026.
70 statements read → 35 predictions → 17 linked to matches → 17 recorded before kick-off → 17 outcome-checked → 4 at our recorded market price (+2 at other prices) · none found after kick-off
On 4 picks with a stated price, the author's price was above our market price on 0 Small sample (4), within 5.0% on 2.
Measured: settled by us from the final score · Stated: the author’s own claim, shown as published.
Over/Under 3.5 goals: over 3.52.27Recorded 73 h before kick-offWon
Dopo aver incantato domenica nel primo tempo di Firenze, Como leggermente favorito a quota 2.27: allo stesso valore, ragionare sull'Over 3.5 rappresenta un'opzione in più a disposizione dei nostri utenti registrati al sito italiano.
1X2: Catanzaro2.36Recorded 104.2 h before kick-offExcluded from the return
Giallorossi un pelo favoriti a quota 2..36: il segno 1 è anche il nostro suggerimento con il Catanzaro che deve centrare il secondo successo casalingo in campionato!
Over/Under 3.5 goals: over 3.5without a stated priceRecorded 124 h before kick-offExcluded from the return
la sfida si disputa allo Stadio Olimpico di Roma alle ore 21 di mercoledì 14 ottobre 2026 e sarà visibile in esclusiva attraverso Amazon Prime Video.
Il ritorno romanista in Champions è iniziato con il piede giusto, visto che nella prima giornata la squadra giallorossa ha ottenuto un buon punto contro il Fenerbahce, andando a pareggiare per 1-1 su un campo ostico come quello dei turchi.
L'Olimpico sarà il dodicesimo uomo in campo
Un buon viatico visto un calendario non semplice, che dopo il Real vedrà i capitolini affrontare lo Slovan Bratislava all’Olimpico prima di una doppia trasferta da brividi, a Old Trafford contro il Manchester United e al Parc des Princes contro il Paris Saint-Germain.
E i problemi non sono finiti, perchè poi alla Roma tocca lo Sporting in casa, il match esterno ad Atene con l’AEK e poi la chiusura nella Capitale contro il Lille.
Partenza ottima invece per il Real, che nel primo turno ha sfidato un’altra big, l’Inter, portando a casa i tre punti. I Blanco hanno vinto al Bernabeu per 2-1, capitalizzando gli errori della difesa nerazzurra. Le Merengues dopo la Roma dovranno affrontare Lipsia, AEK, PSV, Arsenal, LASK e Shakhtar, in un calendario che non dovrebbe creare problemi a un club che, giova sempre ricordarlo, detiene il record di Coppe dei Campioni e Champions League vinte, ben 15.
I precedenti tra Roma e Madrid
Che nelle coppe si giochi Roma-Real Madrid non è esattamente una novità, visto che le due squadre si sono già affrontate 12 volte nella loro storia, sempre in Champions League. Il bilancio è nettamente a favore del Real, con 8 vittorie, contro le 3 della Roma e un solo pari, ma non racconta tutta la storia.
Dai tempi del loro primo incrocio (in un purtroppo indimenticabile 11 settembre 2001), ci sono stati diversi match nei gironi e due scontri da dentro o fuori. E quello della Champions League 2007/08, agli ottavi di finale, l’ha vinto la Roma, capace di imporsi 2-1 all’andata all’Olimpico e con lo stesso risultato anche al ritorno al Bernabeu. Il Real si è poi preso la rivincita, sempre agli ottavi ma nell’edizione 2015/16, vincendo 2-0 sia a Roma che a Madrid.
Gasp e Mou: i più amati dai giallorossi!
Ci sono anche precedenti tra i due tecnici, Gian Piero Gasperini e Mourinho, che hanno in comune aver guidato sia l’Inter che i giallorossi. Gli scontri tra Gasp e lo Special One sono ben 10, con un bilancio che vede il portoghese in netto vantaggio. Mou ha vinto metà delle partite (5), con tre pareggi e solo due vittorie del collega.
Che però di recente sembra aver trovato l’antidoto al portoghese, visto che negli ultimi tre confronti (con Gasp all’Atalanta e Mou proprio alla Roma) il tecnico di Grugliasco vanta due vittorie e un pareggio ed è imbattuto contro il lusitano ormai dal marzo del 2022.
Pronostico Roma-Real Madrid
Blancos favoriti a quota 1.88: praticamente allo stesso valore, va consideraza l'opzione dell'Over 3,5!
Statement without a matchwithout a stated priceExcluded from the return
Granata favoriti a quota 2.14: ad una quota leggermente superiore, merita un ragionamento, anche in considerazione dello stato di forma degli attaccanti di entrambe le formazione, l'opzione della…williamhill.it
Francesco Cavallini on Forecast Record: 17 pre-match predictions recorded (10–19 October 2026). Full log: https://forecastrecord.com/authors/francesco-cavallini/
Archive of the previous page layout (kept for the record)
Last change · Price rule: independent odds snapshot · Sample: 4 settled live picks, 4 matches · View changes to this record
To link to this record from your site or bio, copy the line below. It states only the facts of this record.
<a href="https://forecastrecord.com/authors/francesco-cavallini/">Record tracked by Forecast Record since 9 October 2026 · 35 predictions · last change 21 October 2026</a>
Recorded before kick-off: supporting evidence
Eligible price: a market price that meets the price rule of its part of the record; the return is calculated on picks with one. Definition.
10 predictions recorded before kick-off. Right in 5 of 10.
Prices implied by market
The implied share is the average of 1 ÷ price; it includes the bookmaker margin, so it is slightly above a fair chance. Markets with low prices are won more often, so a share of picks won says little on its own.
Other prices on the same picks: each row compares two prices on exactly the same selections
Price
Same picks
Period
At that price
Return at our recorded market price
Author-quoted price
4
10–19 October 2026
+375 points
+411.92 points
Closing price
4
10–19 October 2026
+462 points
+411.92 points
An author-quoted price is the price the article offered; the headline return uses the market price in the last column.
What kind of number is this?
Measured
Settled by us from the final score. Supporting evidence: Directly observed in a source or timestamped capture. Here: the moment we first captured each prediction; our pre-match market snapshot of each settled pick.
Stated
The author’s own claim, shown as published. Reported by the source; not independently confirmed. Here: the publication date a source page shows; the price an author quoted.
Calculated
Derived from the listed inputs under a published rule. Here: outcomes against the final score; returns, intervals and the share of picks won.
Unknown
Not established from the evidence available. Here: nothing on this page.
How the prices this author stated compare with an independent market price of the same selection. Calculated from the picks where both prices are known; a gap can come from market movement or from one bookmaker offering more than the market, so it describes the stated prices, not the reason for them.
Stated price against the market, threshold 5.0%
Compared with
Picks
>5.0% above
>5.0% below
Within
Median
Our market price when we first recorded the pick
4
0 (0.0%)
2
2
−4.0%
Stated price against the market · For each basis of comparison, the share of picks whose stated price was more than 5.0% below the market, within 5.0%, or more than 5.0% above. · more than 5.0% below · within 5.0% · more than 5.0% above · Our market price when we first recorded the pick · 2 of 4 more than 5.0% below · 2 of 4 within 5.0%Each bar is 100.0% of the picks compared on that basis; numbers are picks. The table above gives the same counts and the median difference.
Our market price when we first recorded the pick — our market price for the same selection when we first recorded the pick (median of bookmakers in our price feed; failing that, the first price within 2 hours after, always before kick-off). Difference = the author's stated price ÷ the market price of the same selection − 1. A pick counts as above the market when the stated price is more than 5.0% higher. Each basis is its own comparison; they are never added together. A pair whose prices differ more than twofold is marked “price disputed”: it is probably not the same selection, so it is left out of this comparison and of every return at the author’s price until a manual check confirms the price. A price that the quoted text does not give is marked “price disputed” in the same way.
Here a pick counts as settled when it has a result at any recorded price; the numbers at the top use only the price rule of their own part of the record.
Statements that are not predictions: 9 opinions and 26 not about a match.
How this return was calculated
Every settled pick in “Recorded before kick-off, at our recorded market price” is a stake of 100 points at our recorded market price, a pre-match snapshot of the same selection. The net result (+411.92 points) is the sum of the profit and loss of these 4 settled live picks; the return is the net result divided by the total staked (400 points), void picks excluded. Definition of return on stakes · How a pick is settled.
Other prices of the same picks are compared row by row in each part of the record above; they are never added to this number.
Separate comparison window — last 90 days: +411.92 points on 4 live picks settled in this window · 4 matches · 10–19 October 2026 (calculated, method v2.2). How comparison windows are counted
Changes to this record
Earlier figures stay here with the reason: new results, extended coverage, a correction or a method change. Corrections are also listed in the corrections log.
Coverage extended ·
Before
+300.92 points on 3 settled picks across 3 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2
After
+411.92 points on 4 settled picks across 4 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2
Added 1 earlier pick for matches played before the previous record update (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).
Coverage extended ·
Before
+184.92 points on 2 settled picks across 2 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2
After
+300.92 points on 3 settled picks across 3 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2
Added 1 earlier pick for matches played before the previous record update (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).
Data corrected ·
Before
+84.92 points on 3 settled picks across 3 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2
After
+184.92 points on 2 settled picks across 2 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2
Data corrected: 1 pick left the headline sample.
Coverage extended ·
Before
+184.92 points on 2 settled picks across 2 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2
After
+84.92 points on 3 settled picks across 3 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2
Added 1 earlier pick for matches played before the previous record update (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).
New results ·
Before
+76.92 points on 1 settled pick across 1 match · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2
After
+184.92 points on 2 settled picks across 2 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2
1 new settled pick from matches played after the previous record update.
New results ·
Before
no published headline number
After
+76.92 points on 1 settled pick across 1 match · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2
First headline number for this record: 1 settled pick in the series “independent odds snapshot”.
Who this is
Last recorded by us
, 17 days before this page's data date
Observed
—
Channels
website
Statements other than predictions (33 shown)
“Giallorossi leggermente favoriti a quota 2.50” — · source
“Il gioco è consentito solo ai maggiorenni e può creare dipendenza” — · source
“L’unico match in cui i biancorossi hanno ottenuto tre punti è quello di inizio campionato” — · source
“I toscani hanno, infatti, vinto solo due partite, ne hanno pareggiata una e hanno subito ben 4 KO.” — · source
“La prima occasione per l’italiano di diventare il pilota più giovane a diventare iridato” — · source
“cominciano i match point per Kimi Antonelli, molto vicino alla conquista del titolo piloti.” — · source
“Milano un pelo sfavorita a quota 1.96, ma il quintetto di Coach Poeta deve rialzarsi dopo il KO contro il Real.” — · source
“*Le indicazioni delle quote sono aggiornate alla data di pubblicazione e suscettibili di variazioni; i pronostici devono intendersi come semplici consigli!” — · source
“Con i padroni di casa favoriti per le Quote Serie B” — · source
In panchina si affrontano Giorgio Gorgone e Francesco Tomei