Buğra Deniz: football tipster record — archive reconstruction
Forecast Record restored 33 settled archived picks by Buğra Deniz from copies archived before kick-off, across 33 matches between 14 February and . Reconstructed at archived prices, these picks returned −24.7% on the total staked.
How tracking levels work
Tracked requires 30 predictions checked against the final score over 30 days in at least 2 weeks. Established requires 100 predictions checked against the final score with at least 90 days of history. Tracking-level rules
Record summary
Archived before kick-off, reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off)
−24.7%Measured
33 settled picks with an eligible price · 33 matches · picks settled under reconstruction method 1.1
95% interval −58.1% to +10.7%
Won 13 of 33 (39.4%) at average odds 1.97; those prices implied 53.8% (including bookmaker margin).
Eligible prices were available for 33 of the 33 selections checked against the result.
Copy citation
Forecast Record restored 33 settled archived picks by Buğra Deniz from copies archived before kick-off, across 33 matches between 14 February and 26 April 2025. Reconstructed at archived prices, these picks returned −24.7% on the total staked. Of the 115 predictions we hold for Buğra Deniz, 35 were archived before kick-off by an independent web archive and 80 from the source’s own history. Figures as of 7 November 2026.
https://forecastrecord.com/authors/bugra-deniz/
115 statements read → 115 predictions → 115 linked to matches → 0 recorded before kick-off → 0 outcome-checked → 0 at our recorded market price (+76 at other prices) · none found after kick-off
35 archived before kick-off → 33 outcome-checked → 33 at archived prices. Archive and live records are separate.
Latest outcomes
Return over time
Reconstructed at archived prices: Net result −815.50 points on 33 settled archived picks · Lowest point −815.50 points.
Show chart as a table
| Date | Settled picks | Cumulative points |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | -96.00 | |
| 4 | 19.00 | |
| 5 | 134.00 | |
| 9 | -97.50 | |
| 12 | -97.50 | |
| 16 | 181.50 | |
| 17 | 225.50 | |
| 22 | -137.50 | |
| 25 | -294.50 | |
| 30 | -635.50 | |
| 31 | -735.50 | |
| 33 | -815.50 |
By market and competition
Markets
| Market | Won | Return | Avg odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | 10/22 | −13.8% Small sample (22) | 2.05 |
| Both teams to score | 1 W / 5 L | — Small sample (6) | 1.84 |
| Over/under goals | 2 W / 3 L | — Small sample (5) | 1.78 |
Competitions
| Competition | Won | Return | Avg odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ligue 2 | 11/27 | −22.2% Small sample (27) | 2.01 |
| UEFA Conference League | 2 W / 3 L | — Small sample (5) | 1.74 |
| Ligue 1 | 0 W / 1 L | — Small sample (1) | 2.17 |
Recorded picks and results
Statement: 1X2, match result: Lorient at 1.37without a stated priceFound after kick-off (published , recorded )Won
- Tipster / Source
- Buğra Deniz
- Prices
- Stated —, market —, closing —
- Published
- Recorded
- Kick-off
- Rule
- Settlement rule
Statement: 1X2, match result: Clermont Foot at 2.11without a stated priceFound after kick-off (published , recorded )Lost
- Tipster / Source
- Buğra Deniz
- Prices
- Stated —, market —, closing —
- Published
- Recorded
- Kick-off
- Rule
- Settlement rule
Statement: 1X2, match result: Stade Lavallois at 1.82without a stated priceFound after kick-off (published , recorded )Lost
- Tipster / Source
- Buğra Deniz
- Prices
- Stated —, market —, closing —
- Published
- Recorded
- Kick-off
- Rule
- Settlement rule
Statement: 1X2, match result: Bastia at 1.32without a stated priceFound after kick-off (published , recorded )Won
- Tipster / Source
- Buğra Deniz
- Prices
- Stated —, market —, closing —
- Published
- Recorded
- Kick-off
- Rule
- Settlement rule
Statement: 1X2, match result: Guingamp at 1.83without a stated priceFound after kick-off (published , recorded )Won
- Tipster / Source
- Buğra Deniz
- Prices
- Stated —, market —, closing —
- Published
- Recorded
- Kick-off
- Rule
- Settlement rule
Statement: 1X2, match result: Chelsea at 1.18without a stated priceFound after kick-off (published , recorded )Won
- Tipster / Source
- Buğra Deniz
- Prices
- Stated —, market —, closing —
- Published
- Recorded
- Kick-off
- Rule
- Settlement rule
1X2: Lorient1.11Found after kick-off (published Not stated, recorded )Won
MS 1, Oran 1.11futboltr.com
- Tipster / Source
- Buğra Deniz
- Prices
- Stated 1.11, market —, closing 1.20
- Published
- Not stated
- Recorded
- Kick-off
- Rule
- vretro-1.0
1X2: Paris FC2.07Found after kick-off (published Not stated, recorded )Lost
MS 2, Oran 2.07futboltr.com
- Tipster / Source
- Buğra Deniz
- Prices
- Stated 2.07, market —, closing 2.25
- Published
- Not stated
- Recorded
- Kick-off
- Rule
- vretro-1.0
Statement: 1X2, match result: Annecy FC at 1.87without a stated priceFound after kick-off (published , recorded )Won
- Tipster / Source
- Buğra Deniz
- Prices
- Stated —, market —, closing —
- Published
- Recorded
- Kick-off
- Rule
- Settlement rule
Statement: 1X2, match result: Bastia at 1.42without a stated priceFound after kick-off (published , recorded )Lost
- Tipster / Source
- Buğra Deniz
- Prices
- Stated —, market —, closing —
- Published
- Recorded
- Kick-off
- Rule
- Settlement rule
Statement: 1X2, match result: Guingamp at 1.25without a stated priceFound after kick-off (published , recorded )Won
- Tipster / Source
- Buğra Deniz
- Prices
- Stated —, market —, closing —
- Published
- Recorded
- Kick-off
- Rule
- Settlement rule
Red Star FC 1-1 Clermont Foot ·
Statement: 1X2, match result: Red Star FC at 2.02without a stated priceFound after kick-off (published , recorded )Lost
- Tipster / Source
- Buğra Deniz
- Prices
- Stated —, market —, closing —
- Published
- Recorded
- Kick-off
- Rule
- Settlement rule
Stade Lavallois 1-0 Amiens SC ·
Statement: Both teams to score: yes at 1.84without a stated priceFound after kick-off (published , recorded )Lost
- Tipster / Source
- Buğra Deniz
- Prices
- Stated —, market —, closing —
- Published
- Recorded
- Kick-off
- Rule
- Settlement rule
1X2: Lorient1.43Found after kick-off (published Not stated, recorded )Lost
MS 2, Oran 1.43futboltr.com
- Tipster / Source
- Buğra Deniz
- Prices
- Stated 1.43, market —, closing 1.53
- Published
- Not stated
- Recorded
- Kick-off
- Rule
- vretro-1.0
Statement: 1X2, match result: Metz at 1.3without a stated priceFound after kick-off (published , recorded )Lost
- Tipster / Source
- Buğra Deniz
- Prices
- Stated —, market —, closing —
- Published
- Recorded
- Kick-off
- Rule
- Settlement rule
Statement: 1X2, match result: Paris FC at 1.67without a stated priceFound after kick-off (published , recorded )Won
- Tipster / Source
- Buğra Deniz
- Prices
- Stated —, market —, closing —
- Published
- Recorded
- Kick-off
- Rule
- Settlement rule
Stade Lavallois 2-1 Rodez AF ·
Over/Under 2.5 goals: under 2.51.69Found after kick-off (published Not stated, recorded )Lost
2.5 ALT, Oran 1.69futboltr.com
- Tipster / Source
- Buğra Deniz
- Prices
- Stated 1.69, market —, closing 1.92
- Published
- Not stated
- Recorded
- Kick-off
- Rule
- vretro-1.0
USL Dunkerque 2-0 Grenoble Foot 38 ·
1X2: USL Dunkerque1.57Found after kick-off (published Not stated, recorded )Won
MS 1, Oran 1.57futboltr.com
- Tipster / Source
- Buğra Deniz
- Prices
- Stated 1.57, market —, closing 1.59
- Published
- Not stated
- Recorded
- Kick-off
- Rule
- vretro-1.0
BTTS: yes1.65Found after kick-off (published Not stated, recorded )Lost
KGVAR, Oran 1.65futboltr.com
- Tipster / Source
- Buğra Deniz
- Prices
- Stated 1.65, market —, closing 1.75
- Published
- Not stated
- Recorded
- Kick-off
- Rule
- vretro-1.0
1X2: Guingamp1.68Found after kick-off (published Not stated, recorded )Lost
MS 2, Oran 1.68futboltr.com
- Tipster / Source
- Buğra Deniz
- Prices
- Stated 1.68, market —, closing 1.71
- Published
- Not stated
- Recorded
- Kick-off
- Rule
- vretro-1.0
About this record
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Archive of the previous page layout (kept for the record)
Last change · Reconstruction method 1.1 · Price rule: reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · Sample: 33 settled archived picks, 33 matches · View changes to this record
Data changes. Added later: 35 records added on from archived copies; 80 records added on from the source's own history. The current numbers include them; numbers published earlier, including the record before each match, do not change.
Source-reported: dated by the source's own published history, without an independent archive copy from before kick-off. Definition.
Most of this history comes from the source’s own published record: 80 predictions dated by the source. 76 of them are settled in a historical price series; titles and rankings use the live record.
Reconstructed at archived prices: these picks were restored from copies of the author’s pages that an independent web archive saved before kick-off, at the last pre-match archive prices, bookmaker margin included.
Where Buğra Deniz publishes
Published under this name on futboltr.com.
| Platform | Byline | Predictions | Settled picks | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FutbolTR | Buğra Deniz | 115 | 33 | −24.7% reconstructed at archived prices |
Record card
To link to this record from your site or bio, copy the line below. It states only the facts of this record.
<a href="https://forecastrecord.com/authors/bugra-deniz/">Record tracked by Forecast Record since 12 October 2026 · 115 predictions · last change 12 October 2026</a>Archived before kick-off · 33 settled archived picks · −24.7%
Restored from a copy saved by an independent web archive before kick-off.
35 predictions; 33 checked against the final score.
33 settled selections across 33 matches, 14 February – .
Reconstructed at archived prices: −24.7% (95.0% interval −58.1% to +10.7%).
Eligible prices were available for 33 of the 33 selections checked against the result.
Eligible price: a market price that meets the price rule of its part of the record; the return is calculated on picks with one. Definition.
Prices are the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), bookmaker margin included.
Outcome accuracy vs implied by prices
Won 13 of 33 decided picks (39.4%); the prices of the same picks implied 53.8%.
By market: Match result 10 of 22 (prices implied 52.9%); Both teams to score 1 of 6 (prices implied 54.8%); Over/under goals 2 of 5 (prices implied 56.5%).
The implied share is the average of 1 ÷ price; it includes the bookmaker margin, so it is slightly above a fair chance. Markets with low prices are won more often, so a share of picks won says little on its own.
| Price | Same picks | Period | At that price | Reconstructed at archived prices |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Author-quoted price | 33 | 14 February – | −30.8% | −24.7% |
Source-reported history · 76 settled source-reported picks · −21.3%
The time and the pick are known only from the source’s own history; it is the basis of the record check and never part of the evidenced total.
80 predictions; 76 checked against the final score.
76 settled selections across 76 matches, 7 February – .
Reconstructed at archived prices: −21.3% (95.0% interval −41.1% to −0.7%).
Eligible prices were available for 76 of the 76 selections checked against the result.
Prices are the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), bookmaker margin included.
Outcome accuracy vs implied by prices
Won 34 of 76 decided picks (44.7%); the prices of the same picks implied 54.3%.
By market: Match result 31 of 63 (prices implied 54.2%); Both teams to score 3 of 9 (prices implied 52.2%); Over/under goals 0 of 4 (prices implied 61.0%).
The implied share is the average of 1 ÷ price; it includes the bookmaker margin, so it is slightly above a fair chance. Markets with low prices are won more often, so a share of picks won says little on its own.
| Price | Same picks | Period | At that price | Reconstructed at archived prices |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Author-quoted price | 75 | 7 February – | −26.6% | −20.2% |
An author-quoted price is the price the article offered; the headline return uses the market price in the last column.
What kind of number is this?
- Measured
- Settled by us from the final score. Supporting evidence: Directly observed in a source or timestamped capture. Here: the moment we first captured each prediction; the time of each pre-match web-archive copy.
- Stated
- The author’s own claim, shown as published. Reported by the source; not independently confirmed. Here: the publication date a source page shows; the price an author quoted.
- Calculated
- Derived from the listed inputs under a published rule. Here: outcomes against the final score; returns, intervals and the share of picks won.
- Unknown
- Not established from the evidence available. Here: the market price at the moment a restored pick was published.
What this record covers
We monitor the sources listed below. This is not a complete record of everything Buğra Deniz has published.
- Source we monitor
- futboltr.com
- Channels
- website
- Watched by us
- Earlier entries
- restored from archives, back to
Author's response
No author's response is published on this page. Responses are published word for word. Correction requests are checked, and every change is logged.
Coverage and exclusions
One set of records: the author’s statements. Each count is a part of the one above it. What each word means · What coverage says.
- Statements
- 115
- Predictions
- 115
- Qualifying picks
- 115
- Settled picks
- 109
Here a pick counts as settled when it has a result at any recorded price; the numbers at the top use only the price rule of their own part of the record.
How this return was calculated
Every settled pick in “Archived before kick-off, reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off)” is a stake of 100 points at the last pre-match archive price, a reconstruction at archived prices on picks archived before kick-off only. The net result (−815.50 points) is the sum of the profit and loss of these 33 settled archived picks; the return is the net result divided by the total staked (3,300 points), void picks excluded. Definition of return on stakes · How a pick is settled.
Other prices of the same picks are compared row by row in each part of the record above; they are never added to this number.
Separate comparison window — last 90 days: the return appears from the first settled pick in this window (method v2.2). How comparison windows are counted
Changes to this record
The headline number above is (reconstruction method 1.1, reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only). When it changes, the earlier figure stays here with the reason: new results, extended coverage, a correction or a method change. Corrections are also listed in the corrections log.
Data corrected ·
- Before
- −19.9% on 35 settled picks across 35 matches · reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · Reconstruction method 1.1
- After
- −24.7% on 33 settled picks across 33 matches · reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · Reconstruction method 1.1
Data corrected: 2 picks left the headline sample.
Coverage extended ·
- Before
- no published headline number
- After
- −19.9% on 35 settled picks across 35 matches · reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · Reconstruction method 1.1
First headline number for this record: 35 settled picks in the series “reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only”.
Who this is
- Last recorded by us
- , 26 days before this page's data date
- Observed
- Channels
- website
The same data, machine-readable
From the same snapshot as this page. A download includes the full machine list when the page shows a filtered view.
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