{ "schema_name": "page", "schema_version": "2.0", "page_type": "author", "url": "/authors/bugra-deniz/", "canonical": "/authors/bugra-deniz/", "language": "en", "hreflang": [], "translations": [], "heading": "Buğra Deniz: Football Prediction Record", "description": "33 settled picks by Buğra Deniz archived before kick-off across 33 matches, 14 Feb 2025 – 26 Apr 2025: −24.7% reconstructed at archived prices.", "first_paragraph": { "body": "Forecast Record restored 33 settled archived picks by Buğra Deniz from copies archived before kick-off, across 33 matches between 14 February and 26 April 2025. Reconstructed at archived prices, these picks returned −24.7% on the total staked. Of the 115 predictions we hold for Buğra Deniz, 35 were archived before kick-off by an independent web archive and 80 from the source’s own history. Figures as of 7 November 2026.", "key_number": "−24.7%", "data": "2026-11-07", "source_info": "our own evidence archive and market snapshot", "brand": "Forecast Record" }, "indexable": true, "noindex_reason": null, "indexing_threshold": { "settled_count": 33, "date_count": 12, "required_settled": 10, "required_dates": 2, "live_count": 0, "restored_count": 109, "of_them_archived": 33 }, "data_date": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z", "built_at": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z", "lastmod": "2026-11-08T02:12:33.000Z", "content_hash": null, "meaning_hash": "9d1cce64f20ee86af2be4a15bba64ebf0aa9a6e7dba3017d272a760463213d88", "dependency_group": "author:e-e1d27a955a5b07f0cad2a792", "release_id": "20261107-195223", "markup": [ { "type_code": "WebPage", "allowed": true, "cause": null }, { "type_code": "Organization", "allowed": true, "cause": null }, { "type_code": "Person", "allowed": true, "cause": null } ], "exports": [ { "type_code": "json", "url": "/authors/bugra-deniz/index.json", "bytes": null }, { "type_code": "csv", "url": "/authors/bugra-deniz/picks.csv", "bytes": null } ], "modules": { "affiliate": true, "api": true, "compare_yourself": false }, "affiliate_block": { "container": true, "request_url": "/partnery/moi", "disclosure": "Some links below are affiliate links and are marked as such. They never affect what you see above: the order of any table is computed before any commission is known.", "page_category": "author" }, "restrictions": { "name_withdrawn": false, "tracker_number": null, "withdrawn_quotes": [], "removed_at": null, "cause": null, "suspended_records": [], "withdrawal_log_number": 0 }, "page_links": { "methodology": "/methodology/", "right_of_reply": "/right-of-reply/", "source_coverage": "/coverage/", "corrections_log": "/corrections/", "api": "/api/", "claim": "/claim/" }, "entity": { "id": "e-e1d27a955a5b07f0cad2a792", "public_name": "Buğra Deniz", "tracker_number": 3953, "status": "active", "inactive_since": null, "verified_creator": false, "observation_period": { "since": "2026-10-12", "until": "2026-10-12" }, "platform_list": [ { "medium": "website", "handle": null, "url": null, "link_confirmed": false, "show": true } ], "comment": null }, "headline_number": { "metric": { "metric_id": "p-e-e1d27a955a5b07f0cad2a792-roi-market-price-90d-z99", "code_name": "roi_market_price", "display_name": "Return on stakes at an independent odds snapshot", "window_kind": "90d", "window_from": "2026-08-09", "window_to": "2026-11-07", "amount": null, "unit": "percent", "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "no pick in this window has been settled", "n_bets": 0, "n_events": 0, "n_void": null, "ci_low": null, "ci_high": null, "ci_method": "not_estimated", "price_source": "market_price", "coverage_percent": null, "breakdown": [], "methodology_version": "2.2", "data_date": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z", "enough_for_ranking": false, "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot" }, "byline": "Return on stakes at an independent odds snapshot over 90 days: 0 settled picks across 0 matches", "average_odds": null, "odds_from_author": null, "odds_from_snapshot": null }, "metrics": [], "history": [], "simulation": { "series_key": null, "series_label": "No level stake placed", "bankroll_hundredths": 1000000, "reserve_hundredths": 0, "issued_total_hundredths": 1000000, "initial_hundredths": 1000000, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "top_up_count": 0, "profit_hundredths": 0, "rewards_off": null, "data_points": [], "top_ups": [], "rule": "Every tracked author starts with 10,000 points and stakes 100 per qualifying pick. This author has 0 settled bets, so the bankroll stands at its starting value." }, "simulations": [], "completeness": { "detected": 115, "recognised": 115, "accepted": 115, "executed": 115, "calculated": 109, "gaps": [] }, "record_counts": { "dictionary_version": "1", "statements": 115, "of_them_restored": 115, "not_predictions": { "opinions": 0, "not_about_a_match": 0, "unclassified": 0 }, "predictions": 115, "predictions_restored": 115, "matches": 0, "admitted": 115, "qualifying_picks": 115, "qualifying_picks_restored": 115, "settled_picks": 109, "settled_picks_restored": 109, "series_list": [ { "code_name": "retro_author_price", "derived": false, "is_restored": true, "qualifying_picks": 115, "settled_picks": 109, "void": 0, "pending_picks": 6, "matches": 109, "operations_settled": 109, "stakes_hundredths": [ 10000 ], "methodologies": [ "retro-1.0" ], "display_name": "Restored, at the author's stated price" }, { "code_name": "retro_market_closing_sm", "derived": false, "is_restored": true, "qualifying_picks": 115, "settled_picks": 109, "void": 0, "pending_picks": 6, "matches": 109, "operations_settled": 109, "stakes_hundredths": [ 10000 ], "methodologies": [ "retro-1.1" ], "display_name": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)" } ], "gaps": [], "duplicates": 0, "junk": {}, "dictionary_url": "/methodology/#words" }, "evidence_items": [ { "observation_id": "n-5faab999d2964b4cc82079b1", "url": "/authors/bugra-deniz/picks/7/#pick-n-5faab999d2964b4cc82079b1", "quote_text": "MS 1, Oran 1.11", "fragment_from": 2828, "fragment_to": 2843, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.futboltr.com/lorient-caen-bahis-tahmini-26-04-2025/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Buğra Deniz", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "02482ac05da179e0f342986126f9973cc43d9b88f27ea5235651f4114411dcfd", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": null, "detected_at": "2026-10-12T22:17:09.358Z", "executed_at": "2026-10-13T19:52:20.123Z", "statement_class": "priced", "status": "too_late", "cause": "counted in the restored-history series", "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": null, "display_name": "Lorient v Caen", "competition_name": "Ligue 2", "starts_at": "2025-04-26T18:00:00.000Z", "url": null, "scoreline": "4-0" }, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "outcome_label": "Lorient", "odds_set": { "by_author": "1.11", "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": "1.2000", "closing_source": "last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)" }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "win", "simulation_change_hundredths": 2000, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": "ours", "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "restored_archive", "provenance_words": "Archived before kick-off", "archive_snapshot_at": "2025-04-25T08:10:27.000Z", "dates": { "fragment_at": null, "fragment_basis": "no", "source_page_at": null, "detected_at": "2026-10-12T22:17:09.358Z", "archive_snapshot_at": "2025-04-25T08:10:27.000Z", "flags": [ "no_date" ], "flag_words": "The source states no publication date.", "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "prematch_web_archive", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Archived before kick-off", "added_on": "Added to our record on 12 Oct 2026", "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Lorient", "author_odds": "1.11", "market_key": "1x2", "choice_key": "1", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "1X2, match result: Lorient at 1.11" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "win", "scoreline": "4-0", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "retro-1.0", "in_words": "Won: the final score was Lorient 4-0 Caen." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "0de600a57e6c8456383e08af76fcd6828ba9360a0c74b86a91d3c33670743324", "series_key": "retro_author_price", "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Lorient", "decimal_odds": "1.11", "odds_role": "author_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 1100, "executed_at": "2026-10-13T19:52:20.123Z", "methodology_version": "retro-1.0", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "b7b5505a7347e606beedbbba650893d9326d28c24f57962340572e34a3adf294", "series_key": "retro_market_closing_sm", "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Lorient", "decimal_odds": "1.2000", "odds_role": "closing_odds", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 2000, "executed_at": "2026-10-13T19:52:20.123Z", "methodology_version": "retro-1.1", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "settled_pick", "authorship": { "material_author": "Buğra Deniz", "publisher": "FutbolTR", "forecaster": "Buğra Deniz", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.futboltr.com/lorient-caen-bahis-tahmini-26-04-2025/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-8e1fc829a7667dc2c24f79ee", "url": "/authors/bugra-deniz/picks/7/#pick-n-8e1fc829a7667dc2c24f79ee", "quote_text": "MS 2, Oran 2.07", "fragment_from": 2841, "fragment_to": 2856, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.futboltr.com/rodez-paris-fc-bahis-tahmini-26-04-2025/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Buğra Deniz", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "e3f1ceb8a36072b86f936033da8ce180834a85569361dede04d8c751627da196", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": null, "detected_at": "2026-10-12T22:17:05.332Z", "executed_at": "2026-10-13T19:52:18.031Z", "statement_class": "priced", "status": "too_late", "cause": "counted in the restored-history series", "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": null, "display_name": "Rodez AF v Paris FC", "competition_name": "Ligue 2", "starts_at": "2025-04-26T12:00:00.000Z", "url": null, "scoreline": "1-1" }, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "outcome_label": "Paris FC", "odds_set": { "by_author": "2.07", "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": "2.2450", "closing_source": "last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)" }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "loss", "simulation_change_hundredths": -10000, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": "ours", "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "restored_archive", "provenance_words": "Archived before kick-off", "archive_snapshot_at": "2025-04-25T08:08:49.000Z", "dates": { "fragment_at": null, "fragment_basis": "no", "source_page_at": null, "detected_at": "2026-10-12T22:17:05.332Z", "archive_snapshot_at": "2025-04-25T08:08:49.000Z", "flags": [ "no_date" ], "flag_words": "The source states no publication date.", "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "prematch_web_archive", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Archived before kick-off", "added_on": "Added to our record on 12 Oct 2026", "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Paris FC", "author_odds": "2.07", "market_key": "1x2", "choice_key": "2", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "1X2, match result: Paris FC at 2.07" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "loss", "scoreline": "1-1", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "retro-1.0", "in_words": "Lost: the final score was Rodez AF 1-1 Paris FC." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "754f6857b9e97d39fa5c49b3aab8325017f58ed854a5a5236aaa3dad8e1d0f95", "series_key": "retro_author_price", "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Paris FC", "decimal_odds": "2.07", "odds_role": "author_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "loss", "result_words": "Lost", "change_hundredths": -10000, "executed_at": "2026-10-13T19:52:18.031Z", "methodology_version": "retro-1.0", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "ad617a360caea6c86679f02b67b588d985a44c1c9716ab8c51e0521fbb12c2ee", "series_key": "retro_market_closing_sm", "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Paris FC", "decimal_odds": "2.2450", "odds_role": "closing_odds", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "loss", "result_words": "Lost", "change_hundredths": -10000, "executed_at": "2026-10-13T19:52:18.031Z", "methodology_version": "retro-1.1", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "settled_pick", "authorship": { "material_author": "Buğra Deniz", "publisher": "FutbolTR", "forecaster": "Buğra Deniz", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.futboltr.com/rodez-paris-fc-bahis-tahmini-26-04-2025/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-7b08ee36b88cc66a6c2813c4", "url": "/authors/bugra-deniz/picks/7/#pick-n-7b08ee36b88cc66a6c2813c4", "quote_text": "MS 2, Oran 1.43", "fragment_from": 2820, "fragment_to": 2835, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.futboltr.com/annecy-lorient-bahis-tahmini-21-04-2025/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Buğra Deniz", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "749270ee96f4a0d643e95f233671353b3fa83b10c8ad83fe4fc75de00b2d85d4", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": null, "detected_at": "2026-10-12T22:13:49.955Z", "executed_at": "2026-10-13T19:52:12.333Z", "statement_class": "priced", "status": "too_late", "cause": "counted in the restored-history series", "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": null, "display_name": "Annecy FC v Lorient", "competition_name": "Ligue 2", "starts_at": "2025-04-21T18:45:00.000Z", "url": null, "scoreline": "0-0" }, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "outcome_label": "Lorient", "odds_set": { "by_author": "1.43", "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": "1.5350", "closing_source": "last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)" }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "loss", "simulation_change_hundredths": -10000, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": "ours", "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "restored_archive", "provenance_words": "Archived before kick-off", "archive_snapshot_at": "2025-04-21T11:29:34.000Z", "dates": { "fragment_at": null, "fragment_basis": "no", "source_page_at": null, "detected_at": "2026-10-12T22:13:49.955Z", "archive_snapshot_at": "2025-04-21T11:29:34.000Z", "flags": [ "no_date" ], "flag_words": "The source states no publication date.", "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "prematch_web_archive", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Archived before kick-off", "added_on": "Added to our record on 12 Oct 2026", "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Lorient", "author_odds": "1.43", "market_key": "1x2", "choice_key": "2", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "1X2, match result: Lorient at 1.43" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "loss", "scoreline": "0-0", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "retro-1.0", "in_words": "Lost: the final score was Annecy FC 0-0 Lorient." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "72673d037d998cfb939f3567f12d5e87deefa079894c84136dfbd9a423ba7a83", "series_key": "retro_author_price", "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Lorient", "decimal_odds": "1.43", "odds_role": "author_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "loss", "result_words": "Lost", "change_hundredths": -10000, "executed_at": "2026-10-13T19:52:12.333Z", "methodology_version": "retro-1.0", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "5f78fe2b83bb1f38f2edd516c704add984442c6b73f4c605975d819b68534401", "series_key": "retro_market_closing_sm", "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Lorient", "decimal_odds": "1.5350", "odds_role": "closing_odds", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "loss", "result_words": "Lost", "change_hundredths": -10000, "executed_at": "2026-10-13T19:52:12.333Z", "methodology_version": "retro-1.1", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "settled_pick", "authorship": { "material_author": "Buğra Deniz", "publisher": "FutbolTR", "forecaster": "Buğra Deniz", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.futboltr.com/annecy-lorient-bahis-tahmini-21-04-2025/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-2659059dbca9aefc5161071c", "url": "/authors/bugra-deniz/picks/7/#pick-n-2659059dbca9aefc5161071c", "quote_text": "2.5 ALT, Oran 1.69", "fragment_from": 2956, "fragment_to": 2974, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.futboltr.com/laval-rodez-bahis-tahmini-18-04-2025/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Buğra Deniz", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "82768af719efce4d04d82f8c0ca00d772c46a217520c9be63b5503dbf9db8e5a", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": null, "detected_at": "2026-10-12T22:12:06.962Z", "executed_at": "2026-10-13T19:52:03.737Z", "statement_class": "priced", "status": "too_late", "cause": "counted in the restored-history series", "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": null, "display_name": "Stade Lavallois v Rodez AF", "competition_name": "Ligue 2", "starts_at": "2025-04-18T18:00:00.000Z", "url": null, "scoreline": "2-1" }, "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals", "outcome_label": "under 2.5", "odds_set": { "by_author": 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"/authors/bugra-deniz/picks/3/#pick-n-5bd00f9031328bd82603a978", "quote_text": "MS 1, Oran 1.66", "fragment_from": 2640, "fragment_to": 2655, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.futboltr.com/pafos-djurgarden-bahis-tahmini-06-03-2025/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Buğra Deniz", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "0f6d61c5963f07af7632f0277d3c674d6c0fcf40e74734ab2a03bb4e61a339a6", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2025-03-04T10:28:51.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-12T20:24:57.185Z", "executed_at": "2026-10-13T19:51:05.114Z", "statement_class": "priced", "status": "too_late", "cause": "counted in the restored-history series", "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": null, "display_name": "Pafos v Djurgården", "competition_name": "UEFA Conference League", "starts_at": "2025-03-06T20:00:00.000Z", "url": null, "scoreline": "1-0" }, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "outcome_label": "Pafos", "odds_set": { "by_author": "1.66", "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": "1.6550", "closing_source": "last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)" }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "win", "simulation_change_hundredths": 6550, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": "ours", "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "source_reported_history", "provenance_words": "Source-reported history", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2025-03-04T10:28:51.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2025-03-04T10:28:51.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-12T20:24:57.185Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "source_reported_history", "origin_words": "Source-reported history", "added_on": "Added to our record on 12 Oct 2026", "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Pafos", "author_odds": "1.66", "market_key": "1x2", "choice_key": "1", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "1X2, match result: Pafos at 1.66" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "win", "scoreline": "1-0", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "retro-1.0", "in_words": "Won: the final score was Pafos 1-0 Djurgården." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "b56586ab2e0396eecf1537bf845c185d6782b0fd40f45a8717b3701d58c820db", "series_key": "retro_author_price", "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Pafos", "decimal_odds": "1.66", "odds_role": "author_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 6600, "executed_at": "2026-10-13T19:51:05.114Z", "methodology_version": "retro-1.0", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "44becfb0e70c5987373fe40cc1066ef91bdd3220df46518a2aa19f4b027e3cd4", "series_key": "retro_market_closing_sm", "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Pafos", "decimal_odds": "1.6550", "odds_role": "closing_odds", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 6550, "executed_at": "2026-10-13T19:51:05.114Z", "methodology_version": "retro-1.1", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "settled_pick", "authorship": { "material_author": "24", "publisher": "FutbolTR", "forecaster": "24", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.futboltr.com/pafos-djurgarden-bahis-tahmini-06-03-2025/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-53c116a067c0a01547d5cc96", "url": "/authors/bugra-deniz/picks/3/#pick-n-53c116a067c0a01547d5cc96", "quote_text": "MS 2, Oran 1.86", "fragment_from": 2831, "fragment_to": 2846, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.futboltr.com/borac-banja-luka-rapid-wien-bahis-tahmini-06-03-2025/", "display_name": null, "speaker": "Buğra Deniz", "authorship": "channel_owner", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "b0195a81b1f8e8a6034b4f690c4ba35b2440a025ecd19e7faea42cd18f430115", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2025-03-04T10:47:10.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-12T20:24:57.089Z", "executed_at": "2026-10-13T19:51:05.133Z", "statement_class": "priced", "status": "too_late", "cause": "counted in the restored-history series", "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": null, "display_name": "Borac Banja Luka v SK Rapid", "competition_name": "UEFA Conference League", "starts_at": "2025-03-06T20:00:00.000Z", "url": null, "scoreline": "1-1" }, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "outcome_label": "SK Rapid", "odds_set": { "by_author": "1.86", "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": "2.2100", "closing_source": "last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)" }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "loss", "simulation_change_hundredths": -10000, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": "ours", "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "source_reported_history", "provenance_words": "Source-reported history", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2025-03-04T10:47:10.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2025-03-04T10:47:10.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-12T20:24:57.089Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "source_reported_history", "origin_words": "Source-reported history", "added_on": "Added to our record on 12 Oct 2026", "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "SK Rapid", "author_odds": "1.86", "market_key": "1x2", "choice_key": "2", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "1X2, match result: SK Rapid at 1.86" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "loss", "scoreline": "1-1", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "retro-1.0", "in_words": "Lost: the final score was Borac Banja Luka 1-1 SK Rapid." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "340f7d1442295f198a4106e39a9abf7fc2ec7ad30b2aa528255b6feb83e87cb6", "series_key": "retro_author_price", "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "SK Rapid", "decimal_odds": "1.86", "odds_role": "author_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "loss", "result_words": "Lost", "change_hundredths": -10000, "executed_at": "2026-10-13T19:51:05.133Z", "methodology_version": "retro-1.0", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "68a4828cea00b3cfd231753c5fd13f2df4922d5c1d8854e600a61562d0a0a129", "series_key": "retro_market_closing_sm", "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "SK Rapid", "decimal_odds": "2.2100", "odds_role": "closing_odds", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "loss", "result_words": "Lost", "change_hundredths": -10000, "executed_at": "2026-10-13T19:51:05.133Z", "methodology_version": "retro-1.1", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "settled_pick", "authorship": { "material_author": "24", "publisher": "FutbolTR", "forecaster": "24", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.futboltr.com/borac-banja-luka-rapid-wien-bahis-tahmini-06-03-2025/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null } ], "standing": null, "retro": { "restored_total": 109, "of_them_archived_pre_match": 33, "found_post_match": 0, "of_them_source_reported": 76, "live_count": 0, "date_count": 38, "span_from": "2025-02-07", "span_to": "2025-05-10", "line_text": "restored history: 109, of which pre-match archive 33", "body": "We re-read what this author published before League Cup, Champions League, League One, Conference League, Ligue 1, Ligue 2, Serie A and Serie B matches between 7 February 2025 and 10 May 2025 and settled it against the final score. Restored picks: 109. Backed by a copy of the page in an independent web archive taken before kick-off: 33. Taken from the source’s own published history, published before kick-off by the source’s own date: 76. Found after the match, with the publication date as stated by the source: 0. The market price at the moment of publication cannot be reconstructed, so restored picks are shown as reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), not at the closing price, for the pre-match archive and the later finds separately; the author's quoted price and, where it exists, the aggregator closing price are compared with it on the same picks. Authors can delete losing picks, so restored history may look better than it was.", "precision": { "n": 109, "share": "0.4312" }, "series_list": [ { "code_name": "retro_author_price", "display_name": "Restored, at the author's stated price", "n": 108, "roi": "-27.9074", "ci_low": "-43.5278", "ci_high": "-11.6111", "data_status": "calculated", "methodology_version": "retro-1.0", "cause": null }, { "code_name": "retro_market_closing", "display_name": "Restored, at the closing market price", "n": 0, "roi": null, "ci_low": null, "ci_high": null, "data_status": "unknown", "methodology_version": "retro-1.0", "cause": "no restored pick with this price" }, { "code_name": "retro_market_closing_sm", "display_name": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)", "n": 109, "roi": "-22.3303", "ci_low": "-39.9037", "ci_high": "-5.2844", "data_status": "calculated", "methodology_version": "retro-1.1", "cause": null } ], "clv": { "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the market price at the moment of publication is unknown for restored picks; the author's quoted price against the aggregator closing price is compared on the same picks in each part of the record above" }, "methodology_version": "retro-1.0", "leagues": [ "League Cup", "Champions League", "League One", "Conference League", "Ligue 1", "Ligue 2", "Serie A", "Serie B" ], "source_list": "Results: the official regulation-time score, checked against a second data provider for 0 settled restored picks and forecasts, and the two agree; 109 come from one provider only. Prices: the aggregator closing price and the second data provider's last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), as a separate series; each provider is its own series and they are never averaged." }, "late": null, "price_vs_market": null, "record_summary": { "contract_version": "1", "entity_type": "person", "entity_words": "Individual author", "source": { "name": "futboltr.com", "url": "https://www.futboltr.com/lorient-caen-bahis-tahmini-26-04-2025/" }, "observed_from": "2026-10-12", "observed_to": "2026-10-12", "data_as_of": "2026-11-07", "state": "settled", "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm", "series": "Archived before kick-off, reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off)", "restored": true, "headline_kind": "historical_simulation", "headline_part": "archived", "settled_picks": 33, "matches": 33, "void": 0, "net_points_hundredths": -81550, "staked_hundredths": 330000, "return_percent": "-24.71", "stake_per_pick_hundredths": 10000, "period_from": "2025-02-14", "period_to": "2025-04-26", "status": "calculated", "method_version": "retro-1.1", "short_history": false, "reason": null, "reasons": [], "sentence": "Forecast Record restored 33 settled archived picks by Buğra Deniz from copies archived before kick-off, across 33 matches between 14 February and 26 April 2025. Reconstructed at archived prices, these picks returned −24.7% on the total staked. Of the 115 predictions we hold for Buğra Deniz, 35 were archived before kick-off by an independent web archive and 80 from the source’s own history. Figures as of 7 November 2026.", "numbers": [ { "label": "Settled archived picks", "value": "33", "anchor": "/methodology/#settled-pick", "note": null }, { "label": "Matches", "value": "33", "anchor": "/methodology/#match", "note": null }, { "label": "Net result", "value": "−815.50 points", "anchor": "/methodology/#settlement", "note": "100 points per pick" }, { "label": "Reconstructed at archived prices", "value": "−24.7%", "anchor": "/methodology/#roi", "note": "95% interval −58.1% to +10.7%" } ], "limitations": [ "Most of this history comes from the source’s own published record: 80 predictions dated by the source. 76 of them are settled in a historical price series; titles and rankings use the live record.", "Reconstructed at archived prices: these picks were restored from copies of the author’s pages that an independent web archive saved before kick-off, at the last pre-match archive prices, bookmaker margin included." ], "other_series": [], "return_over_time": [ { "date": "2025-02-14", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -9600, "n": 3 }, { "date": "2025-03-03", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 1900, "n": 4 }, { "date": "2025-03-06", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 13400, "n": 5 }, { "date": "2025-03-13", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -9750, "n": 9 }, { "date": "2025-03-14", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -9750, "n": 12 }, { "date": "2025-03-28", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 18150, "n": 16 }, { "date": "2025-03-31", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 22550, "n": 17 }, { "date": "2025-04-04", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -13750, "n": 22 }, { "date": "2025-04-11", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -29450, "n": 25 }, { "date": "2025-04-18", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -63550, "n": 30 }, { "date": "2025-04-21", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -73550, "n": 31 }, { "date": "2025-04-26", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -81550, "n": 33 } ], "return_over_time_parts": { "live": null, "archived": { "part": "archived", "label": "Reconstructed at archived prices", "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm", "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices", "x_axis": "match_date", "dated_note": "Dated by match day. These picks were restored from copies an independent web archive saved before kick-off; the line shows how they settled at archived prices.", "settled_picks": 33, "matches": 33, "match_dates": 12, "period_from": "2025-02-14", "period_to": "2025-04-26", "stake_per_pick_hundredths": 10000, "final_points_hundredths": -81550, "low": { "date": "2025-04-26", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -81550, "after_picks": 33 }, "high": { "date": "2025-03-31", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 22550, "after_picks": 17 }, "line_drawn": true, "steps": [ { "date": "2025-02-14", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -9600, "n": 3, "picks": 3 }, { "date": "2025-03-03", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 1900, "n": 4, "picks": 1 }, { "date": "2025-03-06", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 13400, "n": 5, "picks": 1 }, { "date": "2025-03-13", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -9750, "n": 9, "picks": 4 }, { "date": "2025-03-14", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -9750, "n": 12, "picks": 3 }, { "date": "2025-03-28", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 18150, "n": 16, "picks": 4 }, { "date": "2025-03-31", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 22550, "n": 17, "picks": 1 }, { "date": "2025-04-04", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -13750, "n": 22, "picks": 5 }, { "date": "2025-04-11", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -29450, "n": 25, "picks": 3 }, { "date": "2025-04-18", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -63550, "n": 30, "picks": 5 }, { "date": "2025-04-21", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -73550, "n": 31, "picks": 1 }, { "date": "2025-04-26", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -81550, "n": 33, "picks": 2 } ] } }, "author_response": null, "cite": { "text": "Forecast Record restored 33 settled archived picks by Buğra Deniz from copies archived before kick-off, across 33 matches between 14 February and 26 April 2025. Reconstructed at archived prices, these picks returned −24.7% on the total staked. Of the 115 predictions we hold for Buğra Deniz, 35 were archived before kick-off by an independent web archive and 80 from the source’s own history. Figures as of 7 November 2026.", "url": "https://forecastrecord.com/authors/bugra-deniz/", "data_as_of": "2026-11-07", "method_version": "retro-1.1" }, "origin": { "contract_version": "1", "predictions": 115, "under_review": 0, "no_match_linked": 0, "proven_predictions": 35, "proven_checked": 33, "proven_measured": 33, "proven_dates": 12, "parts": [ { "code": "live", "title": "Recorded before kick-off", "explanation": "Saved by us from the source before kick-off.", "predictions": 0, "checked": 0, "price_rule": "Return at our recorded market price", "series_code": "market_price", "main": null, "same_picks": [], "score": { "score_forecasts": 0, "exact_hits": 0, "exact_rate": null, "outcome_checked": 0, "outcome_hits": 0, "outcome_rate": null, "baseline_matches": 0, "baseline_distinct_matches": 0, "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0, "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null, "favourite_hits": 0, "favourite_rate": null, "price_basis": null, "pending": 0, "void": 0, "recorded_after_kickoff": 0, "lines": [] }, "eligible": { "checked": 0, "priced": 0 }, "accuracy": null }, { "code": "archived", "title": "Archived before kick-off", "explanation": "Restored from a copy saved by an independent web archive before kick-off.", "predictions": 35, "checked": 33, "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices", "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm", "main": { "settled_picks": 33, "void": 0, "matches": 33, "net_points_hundredths": -81550, "staked_hundredths": 330000, "return_percent": "-24.71", "interval_low": "-58.06", "interval_high": "10.71", "interval_note": null, "period_from": "2025-02-14", "period_to": "2025-04-26", "method_version": "retro-1.1" }, "same_picks": [ { "price": "Author-quoted price", "series_code": "retro_author_price", "picks": 33, "return_main_percent": "-24.71", "return_other_percent": "-30.79", "settled_excluding_void": 33, "net_main_points_hundredths": -81550, "net_other_points_hundredths": -101600, "period_from": "2025-02-14", "period_to": "2025-04-26" } ], "score": { "score_forecasts": 0, "exact_hits": 0, "exact_rate": null, "outcome_checked": 0, "outcome_hits": 0, "outcome_rate": null, "baseline_matches": 0, "baseline_distinct_matches": 0, "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0, "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null, "favourite_hits": 0, "favourite_rate": null, "price_basis": null, "pending": 0, "void": 0, "recorded_after_kickoff": 0, "lines": [] }, "eligible": { "checked": 33, "priced": 33 }, "accuracy": { "picks": 33, "won": 13, "won_percent": "39.4", "implied_percent": "53.8", "left_out": 0, "by_market": [ { "market": "Match result", "won": 10, "picks": 22, "implied_percent": "52.9" }, { "market": "Both teams to score", "won": 1, "picks": 6, "implied_percent": "54.8" }, { "market": "Over/under goals", "won": 2, "picks": 5, "implied_percent": "56.5" } ] } }, { "code": "found_after", "title": "Found after the match", "explanation": "First found after the match; the date is the one the source states.", "predictions": 0, "checked": 0, "price_rule": 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Only markets with a single shortest price count (match result, over/under, both teams to score, handicap); correct score and combined markets are left out." }, "pagination": { "per_page": 20, "total": 115, "pages": 7, "page_urls": [ "/authors/bugra-deniz/", "/authors/bugra-deniz/picks/2/", "/authors/bugra-deniz/picks/3/", "/authors/bugra-deniz/picks/4/", "/authors/bugra-deniz/picks/5/", "/authors/bugra-deniz/picks/6/", "/authors/bugra-deniz/picks/7/" ], "groups": { "settled": 109, "pending": 0, "excluded": 6 }, "continuation": "by_time", "page": 1, "first": 1, "last": 20, "author_url": "/authors/bugra-deniz/", "current": false }, "title_tag": "Buğra Deniz Predictions: Verified Record, Results and Sources", "calculator": null, "person": { "person_id": "o-e1d27a955a5b07f0cad2a792", "type_code": "individual", "name_shown": "Buğra Deniz", "main_entity": "e-e1d27a955a5b07f0cad2a792", "identity": { "status": "not_verified", "is_verified": false, "when": null, "source_list": [] }, "platform_list": [ { "entity_ref": "e-e1d27a955a5b07f0cad2a792", "medium": "FutbolTR", "channel": "section pages", "domain": "futboltr.com", "source_info": null, "byline": "Buğra Deniz", "url": null, "summary": { "statements": 115, "predictions": 115, "settled_picks": 33, "headline_kind": "historical_simulation", "return_percent": -24.71, "headline_part": "archived", "period_from": "2026-10-12", "period_to": "2026-10-12" } } ], "previously": [], "trust_tier": "tracked" }, "data_revision": { "data_version": "2026-10-19.6", "updated": "2026-10-19", "current_release": "2026-11-07.2", "data_as_of": "2026-11-07", "method_version": "retro-1.1", "price_rule": "reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only", "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm:archived", "sample": { "settled_picks": 33, "matches": 33, "void": 0, "period_from": "2025-02-14", "period_to": "2025-04-26", "composition_hash": "ea3eb1351e89bd3aa5e440420560f928e9de3b2d87bca32733bab6f3488079f8" }, "changes_url": "#changes", "corrections_url": "/corrections/" }, "number_changes": [ { "id": "zc-6764d0bcffc36f0eb437", "at": "2026-10-19T19:39:27.559Z", "data_version": "2026-10-19.6", "previous_data_version": "2026-10-19.5", "url": "/authors/bugra-deniz/", "category": "data_corrected", "category_words": "Data corrected", "before": { "data_version": "2026-10-13.5", "return_percent": "-19.87", "settled_picks": 35, "matches": 35, "void": 0, "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm:archived", "price_rule": "historical simulation at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only", "method_version": "retro-1.1", "composition_hash": "e0c2789c77a5de59f57ba9832c5a23f42e5aa021aee81574b05ed99ef642dbe8", "text": "−19.87% on 35 settled picks across 35 matches · historical simulation at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · method retro-1.1" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-10-19.6", "return_percent": "-24.71", "settled_picks": 33, "matches": 33, "void": 0, "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm:archived", "price_rule": "historical simulation at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only", "method_version": "retro-1.1", "composition_hash": "ea3eb1351e89bd3aa5e440420560f928e9de3b2d87bca32733bab6f3488079f8", "text": "−24.71% on 33 settled picks across 33 matches · historical simulation at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · method retro-1.1" }, "reason": "Data corrected: 2 picks left the headline sample.", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 0, "removed": 2, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": "i-afab4bea599af3f59d1d" }, { "id": "zc-779eca0c37fb9903e177", "at": "2026-10-13T20:21:18.065Z", "data_version": "2026-10-13.5", "previous_data_version": "2026-10-13.4", "url": "/authors/bugra-deniz/", "category": "coverage_extended", "category_words": "Coverage extended", "before": null, "after": { "data_version": "2026-10-13.5", "return_percent": "-19.87", "settled_picks": 35, "matches": 35, "void": 0, "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm:archived", "price_rule": "historical simulation at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only", "method_version": "retro-1.1", "composition_hash": "e0c2789c77a5de59f57ba9832c5a23f42e5aa021aee81574b05ed99ef642dbe8", "text": "−19.87% on 35 settled picks across 35 matches · historical simulation at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · method retro-1.1" }, "reason": "First headline number for this record: 35 settled picks in the series “historical simulation at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only”.", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 35, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null } ], "counts_by_slice": { "portions": [ { "code": "archived", "title": "Archived before kick-off", "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices", "settled_picks": 33, "total_check": true, "market_list": [ { "code_name": "1x2", "in_words": "Match result", "url": null, "settled_picks": 22, "won": 10, "void": 0, "net_points_hundredths": -30350, "return_percent": "-13.8", "period_from": "2025-02-14", "period_to": "2025-04-26", "small_sample": false, "average_odds": "1.87", "odds_from_author": 22, "odds_from_snapshot": 0 }, { "code_name": "both_teams_score", "in_words": "Both teams to score", "url": null, "settled_picks": 6, "won": 1, "void": 0, "net_points_hundredths": -38500, "return_percent": "-64.2", "period_from": "2025-02-14", "period_to": "2025-04-18", "small_sample": true, "average_odds": "1.70", "odds_from_author": 6, "odds_from_snapshot": 0 }, { "code_name": "total", "in_words": "Over/under goals", "url": null, "settled_picks": 5, "won": 2, "void": 0, "net_points_hundredths": -12700, "return_percent": "-25.4", "period_from": "2025-03-13", "period_to": "2025-04-18", "small_sample": true, "average_odds": "1.59", "odds_from_author": 5, "odds_from_snapshot": 0 } ], "leagues": [ { "code_name": "Ligue 2", "in_words": "Ligue 2", "url": "/football/competitions/ligue-2/", "settled_picks": 27, "won": 11, "void": 0, "net_points_hundredths": -59900, "return_percent": "-22.2", "period_from": "2025-02-14", "period_to": "2025-04-26", "small_sample": false, "average_odds": "1.84", "odds_from_author": 27, "odds_from_snapshot": 0, "league_markets": [ { "code_name": "1x2", "in_words": "Match result", "settled_picks": 18, "won": 8, "void": 0, "net_points_hundredths": -28700, "return_percent": "-15.9", "period_from": "2025-02-14", "period_to": "2025-04-26", "small_sample": false, "average_odds": "1.93", "odds_from_author": 18, "odds_from_snapshot": 0 }, { "code_name": "both_teams_score", "in_words": "Both teams to score", "settled_picks": 5, "won": 1, "void": 0, "net_points_hundredths": -28500, "return_percent": null, "period_from": "2025-02-14", "period_to": "2025-04-18", "small_sample": true, "average_odds": "1.74", "odds_from_author": 5, "odds_from_snapshot": 0 }, { "code_name": "total", "in_words": "Over/under goals", "settled_picks": 4, "won": 2, "void": 0, "net_points_hundredths": -2700, "return_percent": null, "period_from": "2025-03-28", "period_to": "2025-04-18", "small_sample": true, "average_odds": "1.56", "odds_from_author": 4, "odds_from_snapshot": 0 } ] }, { "code_name": "UEFA Conference League", "in_words": "UEFA Conference League", "url": "/football/competitions/uefa-conference-league/", "settled_picks": 5, "won": 2, "void": 0, "net_points_hundredths": -11650, "return_percent": "-23.3", "period_from": "2025-03-06", "period_to": "2025-03-13", "small_sample": true, "average_odds": "1.55", "odds_from_author": 5, "odds_from_snapshot": 0, "league_markets": [ { "code_name": "1x2", "in_words": "Match result", "settled_picks": 3, "won": 2, "void": 0, "net_points_hundredths": 8350, "return_percent": null, "period_from": "2025-03-06", "period_to": "2025-03-13", "small_sample": true, "average_odds": "1.51", "odds_from_author": 3, "odds_from_snapshot": 0 }, { "code_name": "both_teams_score", "in_words": "Both teams to score", "settled_picks": 1, "won": 0, "void": 0, "net_points_hundredths": -10000, "return_percent": null, "period_from": "2025-03-13", "period_to": "2025-03-13", "small_sample": true, "average_odds": "1.52", "odds_from_author": 1, "odds_from_snapshot": 0 }, { "code_name": "total", "in_words": "Over/under goals", "settled_picks": 1, "won": 0, "void": 0, "net_points_hundredths": -10000, "return_percent": null, "period_from": "2025-03-13", "period_to": "2025-03-13", "small_sample": true, "average_odds": "1.71", "odds_from_author": 1, "odds_from_snapshot": 0 } ] }, { "code_name": "Ligue 1", "in_words": "Ligue 1", "url": "/football/competitions/ligue-1/", "settled_picks": 1, "won": 0, "void": 0, "net_points_hundredths": -10000, "return_percent": "-100.0", "period_from": "2025-02-14", "period_to": "2025-02-14", "small_sample": true, "average_odds": "1.85", "odds_from_author": 1, "odds_from_snapshot": 0, "league_markets": [ { "code_name": "1x2", "in_words": "Match result", "settled_picks": 1, "won": 0, "void": 0, "net_points_hundredths": -10000, "return_percent": null, "period_from": "2025-02-14", "period_to": "2025-02-14", "small_sample": true, "average_odds": "1.85", "odds_from_author": 1, "odds_from_snapshot": 0 } ] } ], "best_slice": null } ], "best_slice": null }, "author_card": { "body": "Record tracked by Forecast Record since 12 October 2026 · 115 predictions · last change 12 October 2026", "url": "https://forecastrecord.com/authors/bugra-deniz/", "s": "2026-10-12", "prediction_count": 115, "refreshed_at": "2026-10-12", "html": "Record tracked by Forecast Record since 12 October 2026 · 115 predictions · last change 12 October 2026" }, "trust": { "tier": "tracked", "in_words": "Tracked", "settled_count": 33, "days": 72, "weeks": 8, "archive": true, "in_review": false, "own_page": true, "won_count": 13, "first_settled_on": "2025-02-14", "products_in_level": 1, "rule": { "tracked": { "min_settled": 30, "min_days": 30, "min_distinct_weeks": 2, "no_violations": true }, "established": { "min_settled": 100, "min_days": 90 } }, "show": true }, "colleagues": null, "author_type": "Tipster", "data_changes": { "added_later": "35 records added on 12 Oct 2026 from archived copies; 80 records added on 12 Oct 2026 from the source's own history. The current numbers include them; numbers published earlier, including the record before each match, do not change.", "records_corrected": 0, "last_correction_at": "2026-10-19T19:39:27.559Z", "corrections_url": "/corrections/" }, "entity_id": "person:o-e1d27a955a5b07f0cad2a792", "source_revision": 159, "related": [ { "url": "/cards/e-e1d27a955a5b07f0cad2a792-bank/", "name": "Bankroll card — Buğra Deniz", "detail": null, "source_group": "cards" }, { "url": "/cards/e-e1d27a955a5b07f0cad2a792-said-vs-happened/", "name": "Said → happened — Buğra Deniz", "detail": null, "source_group": "cards" }, { "url": "/for-authors/bugra-deniz/", "name": "Your record on Forecast Record: Buğra Deniz", "detail": null, "source_group": "for_authors" } ], "number_sets": [ { "set": "profile.settled", "entity": "e-e1d27a955a5b07f0cad2a792", "value": 109, "where": "coverage", "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z" }, { "set": "profile.predictions", "entity": "e-e1d27a955a5b07f0cad2a792", "value": 115, "where": "coverage", "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z" }, { "set": "profile.predictions", "entity": "e-e1d27a955a5b07f0cad2a792", "value": 115, "where": "picks", "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z" }, { "set": "profile.part.live", "entity": "e-e1d27a955a5b07f0cad2a792", "value": 0, "where": null, "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z" }, { "set": "profile.part.archived", "entity": "e-e1d27a955a5b07f0cad2a792", "value": 33, "where": "origin-archived", "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z" }, { "set": "profile.part.found_after", "entity": "e-e1d27a955a5b07f0cad2a792", "value": 0, "where": null, "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z" }, { "set": "profile.part.source_reported", "entity": "e-e1d27a955a5b07f0cad2a792", "value": 76, "where": "origin", "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z" }, { "set": "profile.checked.live", "entity": "e-e1d27a955a5b07f0cad2a792", "value": 0, "where": null, "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z" }, { "set": "profile.checked.archived", "entity": "e-e1d27a955a5b07f0cad2a792", "value": 33, "where": "origin-archived", "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z" }, { "set": "profile.checked", "entity": "e-e1d27a955a5b07f0cad2a792", "value": 33, "where": "trust-level", "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z", "label": true } ] }