Alex Lawes: football tipster record

Where Alex Lawes publishes

Published under this name on thestatszone.com.

Record card

To link to this record from your site or bio, copy the line below. It states only the facts of this record.

<a href="https://forecastrecord.com/authors/alex-lawes/">Record tracked by Forecast Record since 28 September 2026 · 145 predictions · last change 5 November 2026</a>

Recorded before kick-off: supporting evidence

Eligible price: a market price that meets the price rule of its part of the record; the return is calculated on picks with one. Definition.

How the market price is set

Recorded before kick-off, graded after the match

11 predictions recorded before kick-off. Right in 5 of 11.

Prices implied by market

By market: Double chance 6 of 12 (prices implied 65.2% Small sample (12)); Over/under goals 4 of 12 (prices implied 53.0% Small sample (12)); Match result 4 of 8 (4 W / 4 L, average odds 1.79) Small sample (8); Result and both teams to score 3 of 6 (3 W / 3 L, average odds 2.99) Small sample (6); Both teams to score 4 of 4 (4 W / 0 L, average odds 1.70) Small sample (4); Result and total goals 2 of 3 (2 W / 1 L, average odds 1.82) Small sample (3).

The implied share is the average of 1 ÷ price; it includes the bookmaker margin, so it is slightly above a fair chance. Markets with low prices are won more often, so a share of picks won says little on its own.

An author-quoted price is the price the article offered; the headline return uses the market price in the last column.

Found after kick-off

First Found after kick-off; the date is the one the source states.

5 predictions; 5 checked against the final score.

What kind of number is this?

Measured

Settled by us from the final score. Supporting evidence: Directly observed in a source or timestamped capture. Here: the moment we first captured each prediction; our pre-match market snapshot of each settled pick.

Stated

The author’s own claim, shown as published. Reported by the source; not independently confirmed. Here: the publication date a source page shows; the price an author quoted.

Calculated

Derived from the listed inputs under a published rule. Here: outcomes against the final score; returns, intervals and the share of picks won.

Unknown

Not established from the evidence available. Here: the market price at the moment a restored pick was published.

The four data statuses

What this record covers

We monitor the sources listed below. This is not a complete record of everything Alex Lawes has published.

Source we monitor

thestatszone.com

Channels

website

Watched by us

28 September – 7 November 2026

Without a match page

69 predictions

Author's response

No author's response is published on this page. Responses are published word for word. Correction requests are checked, and every change is logged.

Respond or request a correction

Coverage and exclusions

One set of records: the author’s statements. Each count is a part of the one above it. What each word means · What coverage says.

Statements

1,008

Predictions

145

Qualifying picks

48

Settled picks

45

Here a pick counts as settled when it has a result at any recorded price; the numbers at the top use only the price rule of their own part of the record.

Statements that are not predictions: 82 opinions and 781 not about a match.

How this return was calculated

Every settled pick in “Recorded before kick-off, at our recorded market price” is a stake of 100 points at our recorded market price, a pre-match snapshot of the same selection. The net result (−286.64 points) is the sum of the profit and loss of these 45 settled live picks; the return is the net result divided by the total staked (4,500 points), void picks excluded. Definition of return on stakes · How a pick is settled.

Other prices of the same picks are compared row by row in each part of the record above; they are never added to this number.

Separate comparison window — last 90 days: −6.4% on 45 live picks settled in this window · 45 matches · 10 October – 7 November 2026 (calculated, method v2.2). How comparison windows are counted

Changes to this record

Earlier figures stay here with the reason: new results, extended coverage, a correction or a method change. Corrections are also listed in the corrections log.

New results · 7 November 2026

Before

−8.9% on 44 settled picks across 44 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

After

−6.4% on 45 settled picks across 45 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

1 new settled pick from matches played after the previous record update.

Coverage extended · 27 October 2026

Before

−4.3% on 39 settled picks across 39 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

After

−8.9% on 44 settled picks across 44 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

Added 1 earlier pick for matches played before the previous record update (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture); also 4 new results.

Coverage extended · 25 October 2026

Before

−1.8% on 38 settled picks across 38 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

After

−4.3% on 39 settled picks across 39 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

Added 1 earlier pick for matches played before the previous record update (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).

Coverage extended · 25 October 2026

Before

−3.3% on 33 settled picks across 33 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

After

−1.8% on 38 settled picks across 38 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

Added 2 earlier picks for matches played before the previous record update (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture); also 3 new results.

New results · 24 October 2026

Before

+6.4% on 30 settled picks across 30 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

After

−3.3% on 33 settled picks across 33 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

3 new settled picks from matches played after the previous record update.

Coverage extended · 24 October 2026

Before

+2.0% on 28 settled picks across 28 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2 Small sample (28)

After

+6.4% on 30 settled picks across 30 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

Added 1 earlier pick for matches played before the previous record update (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture); also 1 new result.

Coverage extended · 22 October 2026

Before

+5.8% on 27 settled picks across 27 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2 Small sample (27)

After

+2.0% on 28 settled picks across 28 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2 Small sample (28)

Added 1 earlier pick for matches played before the previous record update (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).

Coverage extended · 19 October 2026

Before

+7.1% on 24 settled picks across 24 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2 Small sample (24)

After

+5.8% on 27 settled picks across 27 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2 Small sample (27)

Added 2 earlier picks for matches played before the previous record update (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture); also 1 new result.

Coverage extended · 19 October 2026

Before

+5.2% on 22 settled picks across 22 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2 Small sample (22)

After

+7.1% on 24 settled picks across 24 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2 Small sample (24)

Added 2 earlier picks for matches played before the previous record update (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).

New results · 18 October 2026

Before

+6.3% on 15 settled picks across 15 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2 Small sample (15)

After

+5.2% on 22 settled picks across 22 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2 Small sample (22)

7 new settled picks from matches played after the previous record update.

Coverage extended · 18 October 2026

Before

+13.9% on 14 settled picks across 14 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2 Small sample (14)

After

+6.3% on 15 settled picks across 15 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2 Small sample (15)

Added 1 earlier pick for matches played before the previous record update (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).

Coverage extended · 12 October 2026

Before

+9.1% on 13 settled picks across 13 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2 Small sample (13)

After

+13.9% on 14 settled picks across 14 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2 Small sample (14)

Added 1 earlier pick for matches played before the previous record update (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).

Coverage extended · 12 October 2026

Before

+7.1% on 12 settled picks across 12 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2 Small sample (12)

After

+9.1% on 13 settled picks across 13 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2 Small sample (13)

Added 1 earlier pick for matches played before the previous record update (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).

Coverage extended · 11 October 2026

Before

+10.7% on 10 settled picks across 10 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2 Small sample (10)

After

+7.1% on 12 settled picks across 12 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2 Small sample (12)

Added 2 earlier picks for matches played before the previous record update (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).

Coverage extended · 11 October 2026

Before

−7.26 points on 8 settled picks across 8 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

After

+10.7% on 10 settled picks across 10 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2 Small sample (10)

Added 2 earlier picks for matches played before the previous record update (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).

Coverage extended · 11 October 2026

Before

+169.53 points on 5 settled picks across 5 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

After

−7.26 points on 8 settled picks across 8 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

Added 2 earlier picks for matches played before the previous record update (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture); also 1 new result.

New results · 10 October 2026

Before

no published headline number

After

+169.53 points on 5 settled picks across 5 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

First headline number for this record: 5 settled picks in the series “independent odds snapshot”.

Who this is

Last recorded by us

7 November 2026, the date of this page's data

Observed

28 September 2026 — 7 November 2026

Channels

website

Statements other than predictions (57 shown)

• “Kidderminster Harriers are looking for an upset as they come up against League One outfit” — 5 November 2026, 12:37 GMT · source
• “Exeter will believe they can therefore be stubborn opposition once again at the Kirklees Stadium” — 5 November 2026, 12:17 GMT · source
• “The Grecians boasting comfortably the best defensive record in the division, conceding just nine” — 5 November 2026, 12:17 GMT · source
• “That has extended their lead at the top-of-the-table to three points with just one defeat in” — 5 November 2026, 12:17 GMT · source
• “The Latics did lift themselves off rock-bottom with a come from behind 3-2 defeat of Bromley” — 5 November 2026, 12:07 GMT · source
• “Two late goals saw them defeat Hartlepool United by four goals to three last week” — 5 November 2026, 12:07 GMT · source
• “is it quite surprising that Danny Cowley remains in post down in Essex after their 3-1 defeat” — 5 November 2026, 11:47 GMT · source
• “Hull have been awkward opposition for teams to come up against but with a bit of enterprise” — 5 November 2026, 11:37 GMT · source
• “Mikel Arteta’s side began to regress to what is their best which is getting themselves over the” — 5 November 2026, 11:37 GMT · source
• “their objective, as was the case in a 1-0 defeat to Arsenal a few weeks ago, will simply be to frustrate and strike on the counter-attack – which is Glasner’s preferred style.” — 5 November 2026, 11:37 GMT · source
• “the performance was far from convincing albeit they remained a fun side to watch” — 5 November 2026, 11:37 GMT · source
• “On a weekend with some huge games in Serie A, defending champions Internazionale face UEFA Champions” — 5 November 2026, 11:27 GMT · source
• “Even if Napoli can get themselves a result here, it feels inevitable Allegri will soon depart” — 5 November 2026, 11:27 GMT · source

• Freiburg vs Union Berlin Preview: Team News & Prediction

  · Source

• Borussia Dortmund vs SV Elversberg Preview: Team News & Prediction

  · Source

• Charlton Athletic vs Sheffield United Preview & Prediction

  · Source

• Football Latest Lens vs Marseille Preview & Prediction

  · Source

• Football Latest Sunderland vs Chelsea Preview: Team News & Prediction

  · Source

• Upcoming Events Fri 6 Nov 8:00 pm Everton vs Coventry City

  · Source

• Brighton vs Brentford Preview: Team News & Prediction

  · Source

• Melbourne City vs Western Sydney Wanderers Preview & Prediction

  · Source

• Hamburg vs Borussia Monchengladbach Preview: Team News & Prediction

  · Source

• With Messi having now retired from the international football stage, we look at how he has managed to

  · Source

• Harborough Town sit in the bottom half of the National League North with just four victories in

  · Source

• The O’s did impressively beat an awkward Cambridge United side by three goals to nil last week

  · Source

• The Bantams have stuttered in the last month or so and that continued with a 3-0 defeat

  · Source

• How to watch on TV: UK – Not Televised / USA – Not televised

  · Source

• Kick-off date/time: 7 November 2026 at 3:00 pm

  · Source

• Top FPL performersPts 1 MbeumoMID · 20.3% selected · £7.9m 44 2 CunhaMID · 5.6% selected

  · Source

• Team News Rashford MIDDoubtful Baleba MIDDoubtful Šeško FWDInjured Dorgu MIDInjured

  · Source

• Ekitiké FWDInjured

  · Source

• Gravenberch MIDDoubtful

  · Source

• Preview pending

  · Source

• Igor Jesus FWDInjured

  · Source

• Dominguez MIDDoubtful

  · Source

• Sávio MIDInjured

  · Source

• Okafor MIDDoubtful

  · Source

• Thomas DEFDoubtful

  · Source

• Rob Jones has refereed Arsenal at home five times in the Premier League and they are unbeaten

  · Source

• Predicted XI (4-2-3-1): Raya; Timber, Konsa, Gabriel, Calafiori; Rice, Guimaraes; Madueke, Odegaard

  · Source

• Henderson MIDDoubtful

  · Source

• Mukiele DEFDoubtful

  · Source

• Carvalho MIDInjured Milambo MIDInjured Dasilva MIDInjured Furo FWDInjured Henry DEFInjured

  · Source

• Gourna-Douath MIDDoubtful

  · Source

• Dowman MIDSuspended

  · Source

• Saka MIDInjured

  · Source

• MID · 46.9% selected · £6.2m

  · Source

• FWD · 79.0% selected · £15.8m

  · Source

• DEF · 45.2% selected · £5.4m

  · Source

• Other matches Friday 6 November 20:00 Everton Coventry City

  · Source

• Top FPL performers PlayerPoints 1 De Cuyper Brighton DEF · 45.2% selected · £5.4m 69

  · Source

• 'Key stats' are Premier League only (not all competitions)

  · Source

• Predicted XI (4-2-3-1): Donnarumma; Khusanov, Dias, Guehi, O’Reilly; Fernandez, Anderson; Ndiaye

  · Source

• Predicted XI (3-4-2-1): Sels; Jair, Milenkovic, Murillo; Munoz, Schlager, McAtee, Williams;

  · Source

• Enzo Maresca and his Manchester City side will be aware that a potentially huge points deduction

  · Source

• Oliver Glasner took charge of Nottingham Forest in the summer and has overseen a real struggle

  · Source

• Kick-off date/time: 8 November 2026 at 11:30 am

  · Source

The full list is in the JSON and CSV downloads of this page.

The same data, machine-readable

• Page data (JSON)
• Recorded picks (CSV)

From the same snapshot as this page. A download includes the full machine list when the page shows a filtered view.

Share cards of this record (4)

• Bankroll card — Alex Lawes
• A month following Alex Lawes
• Said → happened — Alex Lawes
• Turning point — Alex Lawes

For the author of this record (1)

• Your record on Forecast Record: Alex Lawes

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Calculations for the displayed picks

Record definitions and related evidence

• Titles and record details
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• Coverage and exclusions
• Matches
• Recorded picks and results
• How this return was calculated
• Recorded before kick-off — definition
• 8