Aaron Rogan: football tipster record — archive reconstruction
Forecast Record restored 1 settled archived pick by Aaron Rogan from copies archived before kick-off, across 1 match on . Reconstructed at archived prices: won 1 of 1 settled archived pick.
How tracking levels work
Tracked requires 30 predictions checked against the final score over 30 days in at least 2 weeks. Established requires 100 predictions checked against the final score with at least 90 days of history. Tracking-level rules
Record summary
1 won / 0 lost; average odds 1.76
Small sample (1) · 1 settled pick · picks settled under reconstruction method 1.1
Eligible prices were available for 1 of the 1 selection checked against the result.
Copy citation
Forecast Record restored 1 settled archived pick by Aaron Rogan from copies archived before kick-off, across 1 match on 12 August 2024. Reconstructed at archived prices: won 1 of 1 settled archived pick. Of the 2 predictions we hold for Aaron Rogan, 1 was archived before kick-off by an independent web archive and 1 first found after kick-off. Figures as of 7 November 2026.
Forecast Record restored 1 settled archived pick by Aaron Rogan from copies archived before kick-off, across 1 match on 12 August 2024. Reconstructed at archived prices: won 1 of 1 settled archived pick. Of the 2 predictions we hold for Aaron Rogan, 1 was archived before kick-off by an independent web archive and 1 first found after the match. Figures as of .
https://forecastrecord.com/authors/aaron-rogan/
20 statements read → 2 predictions → 2 linked to matches → 0 recorded before kick-off → 0 outcome-checked → 0 at our recorded market price (+1 at other prices) · 1 found after kick-off (not in the return)
1 archived before kick-off → 1 outcome-checked → 1 at archived prices. Archive and live records are separate.
By market and competition
Markets
| Market | Won | Return | Avg odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under goals | 1 W / 0 L | — Small sample (1) | 1.76 |
Competitions
| Competition | Won | Return | Avg odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| EFL Championship | 1 W / 0 L | — Small sample (1) | 1.76 |
Recorded picks and results
Correct score: Inter 1-0 Monaco8.00Found after kick-off (published , recorded )Lost
Back Inter Milan to win 1-0 at 7/1 with LiveScore Betweb.archive.org
- Tipster / Source
- Aaron Rogan
- Prices
- Stated 8.00, market —, closing 10.75
- Published
- Recorded
- Kick-off
- Rule
- vretro-1.0
Over/Under 2.5 goals: over 2.51.80Found after kick-off (published , recorded )Won
Back Over 2.5 goals @ 4/5 with LiveScore Betweb.archive.org
- Tipster / Source
- Aaron Rogan
- Prices
- Stated 1.80, market —, closing 1.76
- Published
- Recorded
- Kick-off
- Rule
- vretro-1.0
About this record
Is this you? Reply or claim · 0 corrections
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Archive of the previous page layout (kept for the record)
Last change · Reconstruction method 1.1 · Price rule: reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · Sample: 1 settled archived pick, 1 match · View changes to this record
Data changes. Added later: 1 record added on from archived copies; 1 record added on Found after kick-off. The current numbers include them; numbers published earlier, including the record before each match, do not change.
Reconstructed at archived prices: these picks were restored from copies of the author’s pages that an independent web archive saved before kick-off, at the last pre-match archive prices, bookmaker margin included.
Where Aaron Rogan publishes
Published under this name on livescore.com.
| Platform | Byline | Predictions | Settled picks | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LiveScore | Aaron Rogan | 2 | 1 | — |
Record card
To link to this record from your site or bio, copy the line below. It states only the facts of this record.
<a href="https://forecastrecord.com/authors/aaron-rogan/">Record tracked by Forecast Record since 9 October 2026 · 2 predictions · last change 17 October 2026</a>Archived before kick-off · 1 settled archived pick · won 1 of 1
Restored from a copy saved by an independent web archive before kick-off.
1 prediction; 1 checked against the final score.
1 settled selection across 1 match, .
Reconstructed at archived prices: +76 points.
Eligible prices were available for 1 of the 1 selection checked against the result.
Eligible price: a market price that meets the price rule of its part of the record; the return is calculated on picks with one. Definition.
Prices are the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), bookmaker margin included.
Outcome accuracy vs implied by prices
Won 1 of 1 decided pick; the prices of the same picks implied 56.8%.
The implied share is the average of 1 ÷ price; it includes the bookmaker margin, so it is slightly above a fair chance. Markets with low prices are won more often, so a share of picks won says little on its own.
| Price | Same picks | Period | At that price | Reconstructed at archived prices |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Author-quoted price | 1 | +80 points | +76 points |
Found after kick-off · 1 settled after-match pick · won 0 of 1
First Found after kick-off; the date is the one the source states.
1 prediction; 1 checked against the final score.
1 settled selection across 1 match, .
Reconstructed at archived prices: −100 points.
Eligible prices were available for 1 of the 1 selection checked against the result.
Prices are the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), bookmaker margin included.
Outcome accuracy vs implied by prices
Won 0 of 1 decided pick; the prices of the same picks implied 9.3%.
The implied share is the average of 1 ÷ price; it includes the bookmaker margin, so it is slightly above a fair chance. Markets with low prices are won more often, so a share of picks won says little on its own.
| Price | Same picks | Period | At that price | Reconstructed at archived prices |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Author-quoted price | 1 | −100 points | −100 points |
An author-quoted price is the price the article offered; the headline return uses the market price in the last column.
What kind of number is this?
- Measured
- Settled by us from the final score. Supporting evidence: Directly observed in a source or timestamped capture. Here: the moment we first captured each prediction; the time of each pre-match web-archive copy.
- Stated
- The author’s own claim, shown as published. Reported by the source; not independently confirmed. Here: the publication date a source page shows; the price an author quoted.
- Calculated
- Derived from the listed inputs under a published rule. Here: outcomes against the final score; returns, intervals and the share of picks won.
- Unknown
- Not established from the evidence available. Here: the market price at the moment a restored pick was published.
What this record covers
We monitor the sources listed below. This is not a complete record of everything Aaron Rogan has published.
- Source we monitor
- livescore.com
- Channels
- website
- Watched by us
- 9–17 October 2026
- Earlier entries
- restored from archives, back to
Author's response
No author's response is published on this page. Responses are published word for word. Correction requests are checked, and every change is logged.
Coverage and exclusions
One set of records: the author’s statements. Each count is a part of the one above it. What each word means · What coverage says.
- Statements
- 20
- Predictions
- 2
- Qualifying picks
- 2
- Settled picks
- 2
Here a pick counts as settled when it has a result at any recorded price; the numbers at the top use only the price rule of their own part of the record.
Statements that are not predictions: 7 opinions and 11 not about a match.
How this return was calculated
Every settled pick in “Archived before kick-off, reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off)” is a stake of 100 points at the last pre-match archive price, a reconstruction at archived prices on picks archived before kick-off only. The net result (+76 points) is the sum of the profit and loss of these 1 settled archived pick; the return is the net result divided by the total staked (100 points), void picks excluded. Definition of return on stakes · How a pick is settled.
Other prices of the same picks are compared row by row in each part of the record above; they are never added to this number.
Separate comparison window — last 90 days: the return appears from the first settled pick in this window (method v2.2). How comparison windows are counted
Changes to this record
The headline number above is (reconstruction method 1.1, reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only). When it changes, the earlier figure stays here with the reason: new results, extended coverage, a correction or a method change. Corrections are also listed in the corrections log.
Coverage extended ·
- Before
- no published headline number
- After
- +76.00 points on 1 settled pick across 1 match · reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · Reconstruction method 1.1
First headline number for this record: 1 settled pick in the series “reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only”.
Who this is
- Last recorded by us
- , 21 days before this page's data date
- Observed
- —
- Channels
- website
Statements other than predictions (18 shown)
- “Inter Milan have little pressure on their shoulders as the League Phase of the Champions League” — · source
- “Sticking with Rob Edwards brings them continuity, but he may need time to refocus minds after a difficult year at the highest level.” — · source
- “Luton look better placed for an immediate push for promotion, but their injury issues are a concern.” — · source
- “With 12 defenders to choose from, a settled back four is a work in progress for the new boss.” — · source
- “His Burnley side will press, but that could leave them open at the back and vulnerable to the counter.” — · source
- “new boss Parker doesn’t have a reputation as an organiser.” — · source
- “Can either side claim a statement victory at Kenilworth Road?” — · source
Monaco have some key injury issues here as they are without forwards Folarin Balogun and George
· Source
Inter will be without both Hakan Calhanoglu and Raffaele Di Gennaro, while Francesco Acerbi is
· Source
The hosts scored 1.47 goals per game at Kenilworth Road despite suffering relegation
· Source
Over 2.5 goals landed in 71% of the Hatters’ matches last term
· Source
Despite their struggles last term, Burnley scored 1.16 goals per away game in the top-flight
· Source
These two sides were in the top five in terms of shots conceded in the Premier League last season
· Source
Luton’s Carlton Morris returns to the second tier after scoring 20 times during their last promotion campaign
· Source
Burnley opened the scoring in both meetings last term, earning four points
· Source
The former Fulham and Bournemouth boss looks set to line up his side in a 4-4-2 shape.
· Source
Scott Parker has a large but full-strength Burnley side to choose from for this clash.
· Source
Midfielder Marvelous Nakamba is one of five absentees and he’ll be a huge miss.
· Source
The full list is in the JSON and CSV downloads of this page.
The same data, machine-readable
From the same snapshot as this page. A download includes the full machine list when the page shows a filtered view.
Share cards of this record (2)
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Calculations for the displayed picks
| Prediction | Series | Market and pick | Price | Stake | Result | Points | Method |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inter v Monaco Lost | Restored, at the author's stated price | Correct score — Inter 1-0 Monaco | 8.00 | 100.00 | Lost | −100.00 | retro-1.0 |
| Inter v Monaco Lost | Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off) | Correct score — Inter 1-0 Monaco | 10.75 | 100.00 | Lost | −100.00 | retro-1.1 |
| Luton Town v Burnley Won | Restored, at the author's stated price | Over/Under 2.5 goals — over 2.5 | 1.80 | 100.00 | Won | 80.00 | retro-1.0 |
| Luton Town v Burnley Won | Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off) | Over/Under 2.5 goals — over 2.5 | 1.76 | 100.00 | Won | 76.00 | retro-1.1 |