WinDrawWin — pronósticos Liga Portugal: football prediction source record

About this publishing channel

WinDrawWin — pronósticos Liga Portugal is a publishing channel. Its predictions are tracked as a source record.

Products we measure

Each product is a separate prediction record published by the source; named authors keep their own records. The totals are not added together.

Record card

To link to this record from your site or bio, copy the line below. It states only the facts of this record.

<a href="https://forecastrecord.com/sources/windrawwin-com/products/windrawwin-pronosticos-liga-portugal/">Record tracked by Forecast Record since 20 October 2026 · 201 predictions · last change 7 November 2026</a>

Recorded before kick-off: supporting evidence

Eligible price: a market price that meets the price rule of its part of the record; the return is calculated on picks with one. Definition.

How the market price is set

Recorded before kick-off, graded after the match

35 predictions recorded before kick-off. Right in 15 of 35.

Prices implied by market

By market: Both teams to score 0 of 1 (0 W / 1 L, average odds 1.73) Small sample (1); Correct score 0 of 1 (0 W / 1 L, average odds 9.75) Small sample (1); Match result 0 of 1 (0 W / 1 L, average odds 5.15) Small sample (1).

The implied share is the average of 1 ÷ price; it includes the bookmaker margin, so it is slightly above a fair chance. Markets with low prices are won more often, so a share of picks won says little on its own.

An author-quoted price is the price the article offered; the headline return uses the market price in the last column.

Score forecasts without a betting market price

Outcome checked. No betting return is attributed to these score forecasts.

None of the 4 score forecasts named the exact score.

The result implied by the named score was right in 3 of 4 forecasts; the market favourite was right in 4 of the same 4 forecasts.

Some matches carry more than one of these forecasts: 4 forecasts on 2 matches.

The market favourite is the home win, draw or away win with the lowest price in our own odds snapshot taken before kick-off.

The implied result follows from the named score (2-1 implies a home win).

Found after kick-off

First Found after kick-off; the date is the one the source states.

3 predictions; 3 checked against the final score.

What kind of number is this?

Measured

Settled by us from the final score. Supporting evidence: Directly observed in a source or timestamped capture. Here: the moment we first captured each prediction; our pre-match market snapshot of each settled pick.

Stated

The source’s own claim, shown as published. Reported by the source; not independently confirmed. Here: the publication date a source page shows; the price an author quoted.

Calculated

Derived from the listed inputs under a published rule. Here: outcomes against the final score; returns, intervals and the share of picks won.

Unknown

Not established from the evidence available. Here: the market price at the moment a restored pick was published.

The four data statuses

What this record covers

We monitor the sources listed below. This is not a complete record of everything WinDrawWin — pronósticos Liga Portugal has published.

Source we monitor

windrawwin.com

Channels

website

Watched by us

20 October – 7 November 2026

Without a match page

123 predictions

Stated price vs market

How the prices this source stated compare with an independent market price of the same selection. Calculated from the picks where both prices are known; a gap can come from market movement or from one bookmaker offering more than the market, so it describes the stated prices, not the reason for them.

Our market price when we first recorded the pick — our market price for the same selection when we first recorded the pick (median of bookmakers in our price feed; failing that, the first price within 2 hours after, always before kick-off). Difference = the source's stated price ÷ the market price of the same selection − 1. A pick counts as above the market when the stated price is more than 5.0% higher. Each basis is its own comparison; they are never added together. A pair whose prices differ more than twofold is marked “price disputed”: it is probably not the same selection, so it is left out of this comparison and of every return at the source’s price until a manual check confirms the price. A price that the quoted text does not give is marked “price disputed” in the same way.

Source's response

No source's response is published on this page. Responses are published word for word. Correction requests are checked, and every change is logged.

Respond or request a correction

Coverage and exclusions

One set of records: the source’s statements. Each count is a part of the one above it. What each word means · What coverage says.

Statements

258

Predictions

201

Qualifying picks

5

Settled picks

4

Here a pick counts as settled when it has a result at any recorded price; the numbers at the top use only the price rule of their own part of the record.

Statements that are not predictions: 57 not about a match.

How this return was calculated

Every settled pick in “Recorded before kick-off, at our recorded market price” is a stake of 100 points at our recorded market price, a pre-match snapshot of the same selection. The net result (−300 points) is the sum of the profit and loss of these 3 settled live picks; the return is the net result divided by the total staked (300 points), void picks excluded. Definition of return on stakes · How a pick is settled.

Other prices of the same picks are compared row by row in each part of the record above; they are never added to this number.

Separate comparison window — last 90 days: −300 points on 3 live picks settled in this window · 3 matches · 1–6 November 2026 (calculated, method v2.2). How comparison windows are counted

Changes to this record

Earlier figures stay here with the reason: new results, extended coverage, a correction or a method change. Corrections are also listed in the corrections log.

Coverage extended · 7 November 2026

Before

−200.00 points on 2 settled picks across 2 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

After

−300.00 points on 3 settled picks across 3 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

Added 1 earlier pick for matches played before the previous record update (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).

New results · 3 November 2026

Before

−100.00 points on 1 settled pick across 1 match · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

After

−200.00 points on 2 settled picks across 2 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

1 new settled pick from matches played after the previous record update.

New results · 2 November 2026

Before

no published headline number

After

−100.00 points on 1 settled pick across 1 match · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2

First headline number for this record: 1 settled pick in the series “independent odds snapshot”.

Who this is

Last recorded by us

7 November 2026, the date of this page's data

Observed

20 October 2026 — 7 November 2026

Channels

website

The same data, machine-readable

• Page data (JSON)
• Recorded picks (CSV)

From the same snapshot as this page. A download includes the full machine list when the page shows a filtered view.

Share cards of this record (2)

• Bankroll card — WinDrawWin — pronósticos Liga Portugal
• A month following WinDrawWin — pronósticos Liga Portugal

Check us

• How we count
• Right of reply and complaints
• What we collect
• Corrections log
• Data and API

Calculations for the displayed picks

Record definitions and related evidence

• Coverage and exclusions
• Matches
• Recorded picks and results
• How this return was calculated
• Recorded before kick-off — definition
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