Publishing channel · theguardian.com

Guardian sport: football prediction source record

Forecast Record has recorded 182 statements by Guardian sport, including 13 predictions. Figures as of .

Tracking level: Probation — day 1 of 30 needed for Tracked · 1 prediction checked against the final score
How tracking levels work

Tracked requires 30 predictions checked against the final score over 30 days in at least 2 weeks. Established requires 100 predictions checked against the final score with at least 90 days of history. Tracking-level rules

Record summary

Early source record: Early record: 1 prediction recorded before kick-off, none at an eligible market price

1 pick graded after the match, none right.

Small sample (1) · Outcome checked

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Forecast Record has recorded 182 statements by Guardian sport, including 13 predictions. Of the 13 predictions we hold for Guardian sport, 1 is linked to matches: 1 was recorded by us before kick-off. The statements are listed below; as of 7 November 2026.

https://forecastrecord.com/sources/the-guardian/

182 statements read → 13 predictions → 1 linked to matches → 1 recorded before kick-off → 1 outcome-checked → 0 at our recorded market price · none found after kick-off

Measured: settled by us from the final score · Stated: the source’s own claim, shown as published.

Tipster, source and record definitions

Compare football tipsters and sources

Recorded picks and results

1–13 of 13

On this page: 0 settled · 0 pending · 13 excluded from the return

Manchester United 1-1 Tottenham Hotspur ·

1X2: Tottenham Hotspurwithout a stated priceRecorded 23.9 h before kick-offExcluded from the return
Surely the only way is up for Roberto De Zerbi and his torpid team?
theguardian.com
Tipster / Source
Guardian sport
Prices
Stated —, market —, closing —
Published
Recorded
Kick-off
Rule
v2.2
Pick and result
The pick did not match the result
Why excluded
Shown for reference; the return excludes this pick.
Cite · Report
Statements without a match (12)

Statement without a matchwithout a stated priceExcluded from the return

the Kangaroos face Samoa, as the World Cup hosts aim for places in the following Sunday’s Brisbane finalstheguardian.com
Tipster / Source
Guardian sport
Prices
Stated —, market —, closing —
Published
Recorded
Kick-off
Not stated
Rule
v2.2
Cite · Report

Statement without a matchwithout a stated priceExcluded from the return

Ferrari should take second place, holding a 122-point advantage over Red Bulltheguardian.com
Tipster / Source
Guardian sport
Prices
Stated —, market —, closing —
Published
Recorded
Kick-off
Not stated
Rule
v2.2
Cite · Report

Statement without a matchwithout a stated priceExcluded from the return

The teams will meet for the first time in the 2026 season when unbeaten San Francisco (4-0) visit Seattle (3-1).
Tipster / Source
Guardian sport
Prices
Stated —, market —, closing —
Published
Recorded
Kick-off
Not stated
Rule
Settlement rule
Why excluded
This prediction format is not supported.
Cite · Report

Statement without a matchwithout a stated priceExcluded from the return

with the visitors unbeaten in their past five games.
Tipster / Source
Guardian sport
Prices
Stated —, market —, closing —
Published
Recorded
Kick-off
Not stated
Rule
Settlement rule
Why excluded
This prediction format is not supported.
Cite · Report

Statement without a matchwithout a stated priceExcluded from the return

The hosts have lost both of their Premier League games at Selhurst Park this season while the visitors have only lost one of their last seven away league games.
Tipster / Source
Guardian sport
Prices
Stated —, market —, closing —
Published
Recorded
Kick-off
Not stated
Rule
Settlement rule
Why excluded
This prediction format is not supported.
Cite · Report

Statement without a matchwithout a stated priceExcluded from the return

So expect indignant Liverpool fans to be seething inside and outside of Anfield.
Tipster / Source
Guardian sport
Prices
Stated —, market —, closing —
Published
Recorded
Kick-off
Not stated
Rule
Settlement rule
Why excluded
This prediction format is not supported.
Cite · Report

Statement without a matchwithout a stated priceExcluded from the return

United are without a win in their past three Premier League games.
Tipster / Source
Guardian sport
Prices
Stated —, market —, closing —
Published
Recorded
Kick-off
Not stated
Rule
Settlement rule
Why excluded
This prediction format is not supported.
Cite · Report

Statement without a matchwithout a stated priceExcluded from the return

A Listed winner at Goodwood in May, he should dominate in a small field.
Tipster / Source
Guardian sport
Prices
Stated —, market —, closing —
Published
Recorded
Kick-off
Not stated
Rule
Settlement rule
Why excluded
This prediction format is not supported.
Cite · Report

Statement without a matchwithout a stated priceExcluded from the return

Ian Williams-trained Beylerbeyi is aiming to be the first back-to-back winner of the Cesarewitch Handicap
Tipster / Source
Guardian sport
Prices
Stated —, market —, closing —
Published
Recorded
Kick-off
Not stated
Rule
Settlement rule
Why excluded
This prediction format is not supported.
Cite · Report

Statement without a matchwithout a stated priceExcluded from the return

Desert Castle should have too much speed.
Tipster / Source
Guardian sport
Prices
Stated —, market —, closing —
Published
Recorded
Kick-off
Not stated
Rule
Settlement rule
Why excluded
This prediction format is not supported.
Cite · Report

Statement without a matchwithout a stated priceExcluded from the return

He made a good start on Friday by setting the fastest time in practice and must hope to make an impact in the final sprint race of the season as well as qualifying.
Tipster / Source
Guardian sport
Prices
Stated —, market —, closing —
Published
Recorded
Kick-off
Not stated
Rule
Settlement rule
Cite · Report

Statement without a matchwithout a stated priceExcluded from the return

A 42-38 upset of the world champions in Perth two weeks ago showcased a measured Wallabies gameplan, built on a solid set-piece, careful game management from scrum-half Ryan Lonergan and…
Tipster / Source
Guardian sport
Prices
Stated —, market —, closing —
Published
Recorded
Kick-off
Not stated
Rule
Settlement rule
Cite · Report

About this record

Source tracked for Guardian sport: theguardian.com, observed since .

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Guardian sport (source) on Forecast Record: 1 pre-match prediction recorded (30 September–6 November 2026). Full log: https://forecastrecord.com/sources/the-guardian/

Archive of the previous page layout (kept for the record)

Publishing channel · theguardian.com · observed 30 September –

The Guardian: Football Prediction Record

About this publishing channel

Guardian sport is a publishing channel. Its predictions are tracked as a source record.

Record card

To link to this record from your site or bio, copy the line below. It states only the facts of this record.

<a href="https://forecastrecord.com/sources/the-guardian/">Record tracked by Forecast Record since 9 October 2026 · 13 predictions · last change 6 November 2026</a>

Recorded before kick-off: supporting evidence

Recorded before kick-off, graded after the match

1 prediction recorded before kick-off. It was not right.

Recorded before kick-off: saved by us from the source before the match started, with the time we saved it. Definition.

What kind of number is this?

Measured
Settled by us from the final score. Supporting evidence: Directly observed in a source or timestamped capture. Here: the moment we first captured each prediction.
Stated
The source’s own claim, shown as published. Reported by the source; not independently confirmed. Here: the publication date a source page shows; the price an author quoted.
Calculated
Derived from the listed inputs under a published rule. Here: outcomes against the final score; returns, intervals and the share of picks won.
Unknown
Not established from the evidence available. Here: a return for this record, until a pick has an eligible price.

The four data statuses

What this record covers

We monitor the sources listed below. This is not a complete record of everything Guardian sport has published.

Source we monitor
theguardian.com
Channels
website
Watched by us
30 September –
Without a match page
12 predictions

Source's response

No source's response is published on this page. Responses are published word for word. Correction requests are checked, and every change is logged.

Respond or request a correction

Coverage and exclusions

One set of records: the source’s statements. Each count is a part of the one above it. What each word means · What coverage says.

Statements
182
Predictions
13
Qualifying picks
0
Settled picks
0

Here a pick counts as settled when it has a result at any recorded price; the numbers at the top use only the price rule of their own part of the record.

Statements that are not predictions: 49 opinions and 120 not about a match.

How this return was calculated

The return appears here from the first settled pick. What a settled pick is.

Separate comparison window — last 90 days: the return appears from the first settled pick in this window (method v2.2). How comparison windows are counted

Who this is

Last recorded by us
, 1 day before this page's data date
Observed
—
Channels
website

Statements other than predictions (78 shown)

  • “Perhaps there will be one at Boreham Wood, where the runaway leaders of the National League are at home” — · source
  • “Mikel Arteta has lauded Declan Rice’s “desperate” determination to improve” — · source
  • “We will be working again with Jack soon.” — · source
  • “the form book suggesting they are heading in different directions.” — · source
  • “Sri Lanka eased to an eight-wicket win on that occasion and will fancy their chances of upsetting the hosts again.” — · source
  • “Moyes can only hope his England goalkeeper proves in similarly defiant mood” — · source
  • “Noticeably, there has been no drop-off in Liverpool’s physical intensity either.” — · source
  • “Iraola has handled his first intensive run of Champions League, Premier League and Carabao Cup fixtures expertly” — · source
  • “Three consecutive home wins in different competitions, and in quick succession, have helped build momentum at Liverpool” — · source
  • “With four goals in five Premier League games, including a double against Manchester City last Saturday, Jackson is one of the form strikers in the country.” — · source
  • “Goals remain in short supply, though” — · source
  • “Álvaro Arbeloa is at last getting somewhere with Fulham.” — · source
  • “Better finishing would certainly help a team stuck in the bottom three.” — · source
  • “The project is back on course.” — · source
  • “Fernandes has been poor this season and it is time he did his talking on the pitch.” — · source
  • “Max Verstappen can delay Kimi Antonelli’s title celebrations by notching a third consecutive win” — · source
  • “Barcelona have been eagerly awaiting Sunday’s Clasico as a chance to stretch the gap” — · source
  • “hosts Sunderland seek to end a run of four straight league defeats.” — · source
  • “I hope tomorrow I can see many bananas in the stadium.” — · source
  • Daniel Gallan will take you through their efforts live while Robert Kitson, Andy Bull and Gerard Meagher

    · Source

  • Simon Burnton will be going around the grounds, seeing if Brighton can hang on to the leaders’ coattails

    · Source

  • Before that game at Old Trafford, the Europa/Conference League rearrangements mean Brighton v Brentford

    · Source

  • Liverpool are in 11th but with the same goal difference (minus one) and only two points fewer, but

    · Source

  • A week after the men’s team won at Anfield, Arsenal’s women arrive badly in need of victory: the once

    · Source

  • Talking of which, there will be news in advance of the match at Old Trafford, pitting Manchester United

    · Source

  • Depending on results, a manager or two could be brushing up his CV.

    · Source

  • It’s another bumper Sunday of Premier League action and Emillia Hawkins, Simon Burnton and Tim de Lisle

    · Source

  • but the squabbles between Lewis Hamilton and Charles Leclerc aren’t helping, while it is still fairly

    · Source

  • Estimates say each place in the team standings is worth about £7m.

    · Source

  • After sealing the title in Mexico City last weekend to become the youngest ever F1 champion, Kimi

    · Source

  • Manchester City aren’t winning popularity contests at present, either, and have lost a couple of football

    · Source

  • reaction to Thomas Tuchel’s last England squad of the year.

    · Source

  • David Tindall will be looking at the fallout from Frank Lampard’s return to Everton with Coventry

    · Source

  • Manchester United have not won in the Premier League since 30 August.

    · Source

  • Arsenal v Hull: probable starters, contenders in italics

    · Source

  • Leeds v Tottenham: probable starters, contenders in italics

    · Source

  • Nico O’Reilly is available but was left out of the England squad on Friday because he is not fully fit.

    · Source

  • Carlos Baleba injured a hamstring during Manchester United’s game against Roma.

    · Source

  • Jack Grealish, meanwhile, will again be absent for Everton after his recent disciplinary breach

    · Source

  • promotion-chasing Wolves turned the match around with two late goals from Sean Neave

    · Source

  • Leaders Middlesbrough beaten 2-0 at Wrexham

    · Source

  • West Ham recover from 3-0 down to draw 3-3 at Cardiff

    · Source

  • takes charge of his first game at Cardiff on Wednesday

    · Source

  • West Ham confirm Scott Parker as head coach after sacking Nuno Espírito Santo

    · Source

  • What is the soonest a manager has been sacked after signing a contract extension?

    · Source

  • Has a footballer ever run a marathon faster than James Milner?

    · Source

  • Yankuba Minteh made his return from injury in Brighton’s defeat to Manchester City

    · Source

  • HULL v IPSWICH Saturday 3pm Venue MKM Stadium

    · Source

  • COVENTRY v SUNDERLAND Saturday 3pm Venue CBS Arena

    · Source

  • Doubtful Domínguez (muscle), Ndoye (hamstring)

    · Source

  • Chelsea v Manchester United: probable starters in bold, contenders in italics

    · Source

  • Bruno Fernandes is expected to return to the Manchester United side against Chelsea.

    · Source

  • Premier League team news: predicted lineups for the weekend action

    · Source

  • Ten things to look out for this weekend

    · Source

  • Newcastle v Everton, Monday 8pm

    · Source

  • Not that Pickford will lack inspiration; the lifelong Sunderland fan always enjoys frustrating Newcastle

    · Source

  • Will he get more than four minutes off the bench against the only team beneath Coventry in the table?

    · Source

  • Saturday’s 2-1 reverse at Aston Villa was their first Premier League defeat

    · Source

  • Ross County have already scored 81 goals this season: 38 in 10 league games (including beating poor Queen of the South 8-0 and 7-1), 30 in six Challenge Cup group games, 13 in six League Cup games. They may well have scored a century of goals

    · Source

  • Justin Seven-Seven came on in the 75th minute and then scored in the 77th minute

    · Source

  • Burnley were fancied to push for promotion, which was achieved in their past two Championship seasons, but are now at risk of relegation.

    · Source

  • He leaves having won just one match, a 4-0 league victory at Watford on 10 October.

    · Source

  • Burnley have sacked Nicky Hayen after only 14 games in charge, in the wake of a 4-1 defeat at Lincoln that left the Clarets in the Championship’s relegation zone.

    · Source

  • John Brewin enjoys an extra hour in bed before rising early with all the latest news and views on a frantic football Sunday.

    · Source

  • Will Magee live blogs qualifying with Giles Richards reporting from Austin.

    · Source

  • Scott Murray has minute-by-minute commentary, with Barney Ronay and Jacob Steinberg our matchday duo in west London.

    · Source

  • Unai Emery’s side have won five and drawn one of their past six games in all competitions

    · Source

  • City have lost on their past three visits to Villa Park and face a resurgent Villa.

    · Source

  • Enzo Maresca is the first manager to win his first seven Premier League games in charge of a new club

    · Source

  • Manchester City aim to extend their flawless start to the season at Aston Villa

    · Source

  • Where and when was the term ‘shithousery’ first used, and do other languages have a word for it?

    · Source

  • What is the earliest point in a season a team in the top flight has been confirmed as having a trophyless

    · Source

  • Reece James has had surgery on a knee injury

    · Source

  • Morgan Gibbs-White is a doubt, he couldn’t train the entire week with us

    · Source

  • Roberto De Zerbi insists he has no time to dwell on Manchester City’s guilty verdict with Tottenham bottom of the table.

    · Source

  • Arteta did confirm that Christos Tzolis is out for a few weeks with a hamstring issue but said he will make a decision on whether Kai Havertz and Ezri Konsa will feature gainst Leeds.

    · Source

  • Mikel Arteta has insisted the Premier League “100%” remains the best in the world despite the ongoing uncertainty

    · Source

  • Vincent Kompany, the former Manchester City captain, insists he is still “really proud” of his success with the club

    · Source

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