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Sam Farley: football prediction record

Sam Farley — football predictions, page 2 of 3

Page 2 of 3 of the predictions by Sam Farley recorded by Forecast Record: predictions 1–20 of 27 in the order we recorded them, earliest first; as of . Each row links to its evidence, and the summary of the record is on the profile page.

Source: our own evidence archive

Recorded picks and results, page 2 of 3

Showing 1–20 of 27 predictions: settled first, then pending, then excluded; most recent matches first within each. Download all 27 (JSON).

Settled: the outcome is checked against the final score and the pick is priced under the published rule; a void pick returns the stake. Definition.

18 rows on this page have no evidence card: they were found after the match or restored from archive copies, and their outcome and price are shown in the row itself.

Filter the 20 predictions shown on this page.

  1. No match linked Excluded

    Said: “Both teams to Score: Yes”

    30 August 2025 · Found after the match; date as stated by the source

  2. No match linked Excluded

    Said: “NAP – Andre to commit 2+ fouls”

    16 August 2025 · Found after the match; date as stated by the source

  3. No match linked Excluded

    Said: “Value Pick – Tijjani Reijnders to score”

    16 August 2025 · Found after the match; date as stated by the source

  4. Wolverhampton Wanderers v Manchester City Lost

    Said: Match result and both teams to score: Manchester City win, both teams to score: yes · final score 0-4

    16 August 2025 · settled at the last pre-match archive price 3.23, restored: −100 points · Found after the match; date as stated by the source

  5. No match linked Excluded

    Said: “Man City to win”

    20 May 2025 · Archived before kick-off

    Archived before kick-off: restored later from a copy that an independent web archive saved before the match started. Definition.

  6. No match linked Excluded

    Said: “Wolves win or draw (Double Chance)”

    20 May 2025 · Archived before kick-off

  7. No match linked Excluded

    Said: “Nottingham Forest to win”

    18 May 2025 · Found after the match; date as stated by the source

  8. No match linked Excluded

    Said: “Brighton to win”

    19 April 2025 · Found after the match; date as stated by the source

  9. No match linked Excluded

    Said: “Alexander Isak to score first”

    16 April 2025 · Archived before kick-off

  10. Newcastle United v Crystal Palace Won

    Said: 1X2, match result: Newcastle United · final score 5-0

    16 April 2025 · settled at the last pre-match archive price 1.66, restored: +66 points · Archived before kick-off

    Evidence: source, timestamps, prices and calculation
    Newcastle to win
    Author said
    1X2, match result: Newcastle United
    Outcome of the pick
    Won: the final score was Newcastle United 5-0 Crystal Palace.
    Source
    news.paddypower.com (website)
    Speaker
    Sam Farley
    Attribution
    channel owner
    Origin
    Archived before kick-off (archive copy of )
    Added
    Added to our record on 29 Sep 2026
    Published
    (the source page's date)
    First recorded by us
    Class
    stated pick without a price
    State
    seen too late
    Event
    Newcastle United v Crystal Palace, , final score 5-0
    Prices for this pick
    author's price — · independent odds snapshot — · closing 1.65
    Count status
    counted in the restored-history series
    Calculations by series: Forecast Record reconstruction, 1 point = 1 unit of stake
    SeriesMarket and pickPriceStakeResultPointsMethod
    Restored, at the closing market price1X2, match result — Newcastle United1.65100.00Won65.36retro-1.0
    Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)1X2, match result — Newcastle United1.66100.00Won66.00retro-1.1
  11. Newcastle United v Crystal Palace Lost

    Said: Over/Under 2.5 goals: under 2.5 · final score 5-0

    16 April 2025 · settled at the last pre-match archive price 2.21, restored: −100 points · Archived before kick-off

    Evidence: source, timestamps, prices and calculation
    Under 2.5 goals
    Author said
    Over/Under 2.5 goals: under 2.5
    Outcome of the pick
    Lost: the final score was Newcastle United 5-0 Crystal Palace.
    Source
    news.paddypower.com (website)
    Speaker
    Sam Farley
    Attribution
    channel owner
    Origin
    Archived before kick-off (archive copy of )
    Added
    Added to our record on 29 Sep 2026
    Published
    (the source page's date)
    First recorded by us
    Class
    stated pick without a price
    State
    seen too late
    Event
    Newcastle United v Crystal Palace, , final score 5-0
    Prices for this pick
    author's price — · independent odds snapshot — · closing 2.20
    Count status
    counted in the restored-history series
    Calculations by series: Forecast Record reconstruction, 1 point = 1 unit of stake
    SeriesMarket and pickPriceStakeResultPointsMethod
    Restored, at the closing market priceOver/Under 2.5 goals — under 2.52.20100.00Lost−100.00retro-1.0
    Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)Over/Under 2.5 goals — under 2.52.21100.00Lost−100.00retro-1.1
  12. No match linked Excluded

    Said: “Brighton to win both halves”

    12 April 2025 · Found after the match; date as stated by the source

  13. No match linked Excluded

    Said: “Arsenal to win”

    1 April 2025 · Archived before kick-off

  14. No match linked Excluded

    Said: “Everton v West Ham – Everton to win”

    15 March 2025 · Archived before kick-off

  15. No match linked Excluded

    Said: “Both teams to score & over 2.5 goals”

    8 March 2025 · Found after the match; date as stated by the source

  16. No match linked Excluded

    Said: “Under 2.5 goals”

    25 February 2025 · Found after the match; date as stated by the source

  17. No match linked Excluded

    Said: “Under 2.5 goals”

    22 February 2025 · Found after the match; date as stated by the source

  18. No match linked Excluded

    Said: “Alexander Isak to score”

    15 February 2025 · Found after the match; date as stated by the source

  19. No match linked Excluded

    Said: “Raphinha to score”

    11 March 2025 · Archived before kick-off

  20. No match linked Excluded

    Said: “Gijs Smal to commit 1 or more foul”

    5 March 2025 · Archived before kick-off

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