Forecast Record has recorded 27 statements by Salvatore Malfitano, including 11 predictions. Figures as of .
Tracking level: Probation — day 9 of 30 needed for Tracked · 4 predictions checked against the final score
How tracking levels work
Tracked requires 30 predictions checked against the final score over 30 days in at least 2 weeks. Established requires 100 predictions checked against the final score with at least 90 days of history. Tracking-level rules
Record summary
Early record: 5 predictions recorded before kick-off, none at an eligible market price
Forecast Record has recorded 27 statements by Salvatore Malfitano, including 11 predictions. Of the 11 predictions we hold for Salvatore Malfitano, 5 are linked to matches: 5 were recorded by us before kick-off. The statements are listed below; as of 7 November 2026.
27 statements read → 11 predictions → 5 linked to matches → 5 recorded before kick-off → 4 outcome-checked → 0 at our recorded market price · none found after kick-off
On 1 pick with a stated price, the author's price was above our market price on 0 Small sample (1), within 5.0% on 1.
Measured: settled by us from the final score · Stated: the author’s own claim, shown as published.
Over/Under 2.5 goals: over 2.51.80Recorded 27.1 h before kick-offPending
L'Over 2.5 ha il 55,56% di probabilità implicita, il 62,5% secondo l'intelligenza artificiale, per un Expected Value del 12,5%. La quota tocca un massimo di 1.80.
Over/Under 2.5 goals: over 2.51.91Recorded 33.8 h before kick-offExcluded from the return
L'Over 2.5 è un mercato dalle ottime percentuali: 52,38% di probabilità implicita, 60,33% di probabilità per l'IA, 15,17% di Expected Value. La quota è altrettanto interessante e arriva a 1.91.
Player to score: Donyell Malen to score2.35Recorded 33.8 h before kick-offExcluded from the return
Una rete di Malen al Maradona ha il 42,55% di probabilità implicita, il 49,62% di probabilità dell'IA e un Expected Value del 16,61%. La quota si attesta a un massimo di 2.35.
Statement without a matchwithout a stated priceExcluded from the return
Un suo tiro in porta tocca una quota massima di 1.95 e le percentuali sono positive: 51,28% di probabilità implicita, 53,31% di probabilità per l'intelligenza artificiale, 3,95% di Expected Value.gazzetta.it
Statement without a matchwithout a stated priceExcluded from the return
Una sua rete ha una probabilità implicita del 56,82%, che sale al 60,67% secondo l'intelligenza artificiale, per un Expected Value del 6,78%. La quota arriva a un massimo di 1.76.gazzetta.it
Salvatore Malfitano on Forecast Record: 5 pre-match predictions recorded (11 October–7 November 2026). Full log: https://forecastrecord.com/authors/salvatore-malfitano/
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<a href="https://forecastrecord.com/authors/salvatore-malfitano/">Record tracked by Forecast Record since 16 October 2026 · 11 predictions · last change 7 November 2026</a>
Recorded before kick-off: supporting evidence
Recorded before kick-off, graded after the match
4 predictions recorded before kick-off. Right in 2 of 4.
What kind of number is this?
Measured
Settled by us from the final score. Supporting evidence: Directly observed in a source or timestamped capture. Here: the moment we first captured each prediction.
Stated
The author’s own claim, shown as published. Reported by the source; not independently confirmed. Here: the publication date a source page shows; the price an author quoted.
Calculated
Derived from the listed inputs under a published rule. Here: outcomes against the final score; returns, intervals and the share of picks won.
Unknown
Not established from the evidence available. Here: a return for this record, until a pick has an eligible price.
How the prices this author stated compare with an independent market price of the same selection. Calculated from the picks where both prices are known; a gap can come from market movement or from one bookmaker offering more than the market, so it describes the stated prices, not the reason for them.
Stated price against the market, threshold 5.0%
Compared with
Picks
>5.0% above
>5.0% below
Within
Median
Our market price when we first recorded the pick
1
0 (0.0%)
0
1
+0.6%
Stated price against the market · For each basis of comparison, the share of picks whose stated price was more than 5.0% below the market, within 5.0%, or more than 5.0% above. · more than 5.0% below · within 5.0% · more than 5.0% above · Our market price when we first recorded the pick · 1 of 1 within 5.0%Each bar is 100.0% of the picks compared on that basis; numbers are picks. The table above gives the same counts and the median difference.
Our market price when we first recorded the pick — our market price for the same selection when we first recorded the pick (median of bookmakers in our price feed; failing that, the first price within 2 hours after, always before kick-off). Difference = the author's stated price ÷ the market price of the same selection − 1. A pick counts as above the market when the stated price is more than 5.0% higher. Each basis is its own comparison; they are never added together. A pair whose prices differ more than twofold is marked “price disputed”: it is probably not the same selection, so it is left out of this comparison and of every return at the author’s price until a manual check confirms the price. A price that the quoted text does not give is marked “price disputed” in the same way.
Author's response
No author's response is published on this page. Responses are published word for word. Correction requests are checked, and every change is logged.
Here a pick counts as settled when it has a result at any recorded price; the numbers at the top use only the price rule of their own part of the record.
Statements that are not predictions: 3 opinions and 13 not about a match.
Separate comparison window — last 90 days: the return appears from the first settled pick in this window (method v2.2). How comparison windows are counted
Who this is
Last recorded by us
, the date of this page's data
Observed
—
Channels
website
Statements other than predictions (16 shown)
“il Gazzetta AI Predictor è piuttosto convinto che si assisterà a una partita molto divertente.” — · source
“gli azzurri sono avvantaggiati per aggiudicarsi i tre punti, ma la gara si prospetta particolarmente equilibrata.” — · source
“Il pareggio del Maradona ha rallentato la rincorsa della Roma a Inter e Lazio” — · source
Leggi gli altri Pronostici Serie A della settimana