Luigi Maria Chiappetta: football tipster record — archive reconstruction

Where Luigi Maria Chiappetta publishes

Published under this name on ilveggente.it.

Record card

To link to this record from your site or bio, copy the line below. It states only the facts of this record.

<a href="https://forecastrecord.com/authors/luigi-maria-chiappetta/">Record tracked by Forecast Record since 9 October 2026 · 1,721 predictions · last change 17 October 2026</a>

Archived before kick-off · 13 settled archived picks · −16.9%

Restored from a copy saved by an independent web archive before kick-off.

52 predictions; 27 checked against the final score.

13 settled selections across 10 matches, 28 January – 12 September 2026.

Reconstructed at archived prices: −16.9% (95.0% interval −68.3% to +30.2%).

Eligible prices were available for 13 of the 27 selections checked against the result.

Eligible price: a market price that meets the price rule of its part of the record; the return is calculated on picks with one. Definition.

Prices are the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), bookmaker margin included.

Outcome accuracy vs implied by prices

Won 7 of 13 decided picks (53.8%); the prices of the same picks implied 68.0%.

By market: Both teams to score 2 of 4 (prices implied 61.7%); Over/under goals 3 of 4 (prices implied 70.2%); Match result 1 of 3 (prices implied 68.7%); Double chance 1 of 2 (prices implied 75.1%).

The implied share is the average of 1 ÷ price; it includes the bookmaker margin, so it is slightly above a fair chance. Markets with low prices are won more often, so a share of picks won says little on its own.

Score forecasts without a betting market price

Outcome checked. No betting return is attributed to these score forecasts.

3 of 14 score forecasts named the exact score (21.4%).

The result implied by the named score was right in 8 of 14 matches; the market favourite was right in 8 of the same 14 matches.

The market favourite is the home win, draw or away win with the lowest last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off).

The implied result follows from the named score (2-1 implies a home win).

Found after kick-off · 635 settled after-match picks · −6.7%

First Found after kick-off; the date is the one the source states.

1,669 predictions; 911 checked against the final score.

635 settled selections across 493 matches, 1 August 2024 – 20 September 2026.

Reconstructed at archived prices: −6.7% (95.0% interval −13.7% to +0.5%).

Eligible prices were available for 635 of the 911 selections checked against the result.

Prices are the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), bookmaker margin included.

Outcome accuracy vs implied by prices

Won 368 of 635 decided picks (58.0%); the prices of the same picks implied 62.1%.

By market: Over/under goals 119 of 210 (prices implied 63.4%); Match result 105 of 177 (prices implied 60.3%); Both teams to score 86 of 160 (prices implied 60.2%); Double chance 51 of 72 (prices implied 70.1%); Team goals 5 of 7 (prices implied 70.6%); Other markets 2 of 9 (prices implied 27.1%).

The implied share is the average of 1 ÷ price; it includes the bookmaker margin, so it is slightly above a fair chance. Markets with low prices are won more often, so a share of picks won says little on its own.

An author-quoted price is the price the article offered; the headline return uses the market price in the last column.

Score forecasts without a betting market price

Outcome checked. No betting return is attributed to these score forecasts.

26 of 276 score forecasts named the exact score (9.4%).

The result implied by the named score was right in 144 of 275 matches; the market favourite was right in 175 of the same 275 matches.

A pre-match market favourite is known for 275 of 276 forecasts; the comparison uses only those.

The market favourite is the home win, draw or away win with the lowest last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off).

The implied result follows from the named score (2-1 implies a home win).

These forecasts were Found after kick-off; when they were made depends on the date the source gives.

What kind of number is this?

Measured

Settled by us from the final score. Supporting evidence: Directly observed in a source or timestamped capture. Here: the moment we first captured each prediction; the time of each pre-match web-archive copy.

Stated

The author’s own claim, shown as published. Reported by the source; not independently confirmed. Here: the publication date a source page shows; the price an author quoted.

Calculated

Derived from the listed inputs under a published rule. Here: outcomes against the final score; returns, intervals and the share of picks won.

Unknown

Not established from the evidence available. Here: the market price at the moment a restored pick was published.

The four data statuses

What this record covers

We monitor the sources listed below. This is not a complete record of everything Luigi Maria Chiappetta has published.

Source we monitor

ilveggente.it

Channels

website

Watched by us

9 October – 7 November 2026

Earlier entries

restored from archives, back to 1 August 2024

Stated price vs market

How the prices this author stated compare with an independent market price of the same selection. Calculated from the picks where both prices are known; a gap can come from market movement or from one bookmaker offering more than the market, so it describes the stated prices, not the reason for them.

Closing market price (restored) — the closing market price of the same selection (restored history). Difference = the author's stated price ÷ the market price of the same selection − 1. A pick counts as above the market when the stated price is more than 5.0% higher. Each basis is its own comparison; they are never added together. A pair whose prices differ more than twofold is marked “price disputed”: it is probably not the same selection, so it is left out of this comparison and of every return at the author’s price until a manual check confirms the price. A price that the quoted text does not give is marked “price disputed” in the same way. The closing price is the final price before kick-off. The price when the pick was published is unknown for restored history, so this row shows the distance to where the market closed.

Pre-match close: the last market price for the same selection before kick-off. Definition.

Largest gaps: 1.48 against 1.64 (−9.6%) · 1.65 against 1.82 (−9.3%)

Author's response

No author's response is published on this page. Responses are published word for word. Correction requests are checked, and every change is logged.

Respond or request a correction

Coverage and exclusions

One set of records: the author’s statements. Each count is a part of the one above it. What each word means · What coverage says.

Statements

3,959

Predictions

1,721

Qualifying picks

869

Settled picks

648

Here a pick counts as settled when it has a result at any recorded price; the numbers at the top use only the price rule of their own part of the record.

Statements that are not predictions: 255 opinions and 1,983 not about a match.

How this return was calculated

Every settled pick in “Archived before kick-off, reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off)” is a stake of 100 points at the last pre-match archive price, a reconstruction at archived prices on picks archived before kick-off only. The net result (−220 points) is the sum of the profit and loss of these 13 settled archived picks; the return is the net result divided by the total staked (1,300 points), void picks excluded. Definition of return on stakes · How a pick is settled.

Other prices of the same picks are compared row by row in each part of the record above; they are never added to this number.

Separate comparison window — last 90 days: the return appears from the first settled pick in this window (method v2.2). How comparison windows are counted

Changes to this record

The headline number above is (reconstruction method 1.1, reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only). When it changes, the earlier figure stays here with the reason: new results, extended coverage, a correction or a method change. Corrections are also listed in the corrections log.

Data corrected · 19 October 2026

Before

−22.9% on 14 settled picks across 10 matches · reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · Reconstruction method 1.1 Small sample (14)

After

−16.9% on 13 settled picks across 10 matches · reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · Reconstruction method 1.1 Small sample (13)

Data corrected: 1 pick left the headline sample.

Coverage extended · 15 October 2026

Before

−16.9% on 13 settled picks across 9 matches · reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · Reconstruction method 1.1 Small sample (13)

After

−22.9% on 14 settled picks across 10 matches · reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · Reconstruction method 1.1 Small sample (14)

Added 1 earlier pick for matches played before the previous record update (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).

Coverage extended · 14 October 2026

Before

+29.00 points on 9 settled picks across 5 matches · reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · Reconstruction method 1.1

After

−16.9% on 13 settled picks across 9 matches · reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · Reconstruction method 1.1 Small sample (13)

Added 4 earlier picks for matches played before the previous record update (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).

Coverage extended · 12 October 2026

Before

no published headline number

After

+29.00 points on 9 settled picks across 5 matches · reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · Reconstruction method 1.1

First headline number for this record: 9 settled picks in the series “reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only”.

Who this is

Last recorded by us

7 November 2026, the date of this page's data

Observed

9 October 2026 — 7 November 2026

Channels

website

Statements other than predictions (80 shown)

• “Il Friburgo vuole continuare a frequentare le zone nobili della Bundesliga.” — 7 November 2026, 15:25 GMT · source
• “Cinque sconfitte nelle ultime sei giornate e una serie negativa che si allunga ormai da sette turni: il Sunderland sta attraversando il momento più delicato della sua stagione.” — 7 November 2026, 11:54 GMT · source
• “La vittoria contro la Roma ha restituito un po’ di ossigeno al Manchester United, ma sarebbe” — 7 November 2026, 11:56 GMT · source
• “L’Ipswich sta conducendo una stagione da neopromossa, con l’obiettivo prioritario di conservare” — 7 November 2026, 11:57 GMT · source
• “Il Milan continua ad alternare prestazioni esaltanti ad altre inaccettabili per un club con il blasone del Diavolo” — 7 November 2026, 10:30 GMT · source
• “la Roma vuole immediamente voltare pagina contro un Sassuolo in crisi nera.” — 7 November 2026, 04:55 GMT · source
• “Il successo ottenuto sul campo del Manchester City ha dato ulteriore spessore alla stagione del Brighton” — 6 November 2026, 20:55 GMT · source
• “Il Nottingham Forest è finito in una situazione decisamente complicata” — 6 November 2026, 15:49 GMT · source
• “Qualcosa francamente ...” — 6 November 2026, 10:15 GMT · source
• “con la lotta per il primo posto che si fa sempre più serrata” — 6 November 2026, 10:25 GMT · source
• “rossoneri e bianconeri cercano conferme dopo le roboanti vittorie in campionato” — 5 November 2026, 04:55 GMT · source
• “La terza giornata della League Phase di Conference League propone diversi incroci interessanti” — 4 November 2026, 17:14 GMT · source
• “Luciano Spalletti ha scacciato le voci di esonero (per ora) grazie al convincente successo” — 4 November 2026, 16:20 GMT · source
• “L’ennesima vittoria in una stracittadina – 8 risultati utili consecutivi contro i cugini dell’Inter” — 4 November 2026, 07:44 GMT · source
• “Rischia invece il Napoli in Portogallo.” — 4 November 2026, 04:55 GMT · source
• “il Como di Cesc Fabregas non sta soffrendo il doppio impegno e sogna la prima gioia europea fuori casa.” — 4 November 2026, 04:55 GMT · source
• “Il Sunderland sta vivendo una stagione dai due volti: in Europa League ha raccolto sette punti” — 3 November 2026, 23:29 GMT · source
• “Il Celtic è chiamato a una reazione immediata: tre partite europee, altrettante sconfitte” — 3 November 2026, 23:19 GMT · source
• “La sfida con il Porto dell’italiano Francesco Farioli arriva in una settimana delicatissima per il Napoli” — 3 November 2026, 12:21 GMT · source
• “a Parigi non sarà una passeggiata” — 2 November 2026, 23:03 GMT · source

• la squadra di Julian Schuster si presenta alla nona giornata al terzo posto, a soli due punti dalla vetta

  7 Nov 2026, 15:25 GMT · Source

• Il Bayer Leverkusen ha bisogno di ritrovare la strada dopo una settimana decisamente complicata

  7 Nov 2026, 13:25 GMT · Source

• Sunderland-Chelsea è una partita di Premier League e si gioca domenica alle 15: notizie, statistiche, probabili formazioni, pronostico e diretta tv e streaming.

  7 Nov 2026, 11:54 GMT · Source

• Ipswich-Bournemouth è una partita di Premier League e si gioca domenica alle 15: notizie, statistiche

  7 Nov 2026, 11:57 GMT · Source

• impattando 1-1 con i baschi nel match valido ...

  7 Nov 2026, 11:44 GMT · Source

• In settimana il Lione è riuscito a strappare un punto su un campo notoriamente difficile

  7 Nov 2026, 11:44 GMT · Source

• Genoa-Milan è una partita dell’undicesima giornata di Serie A e si gioca domenica alle 15:00

  7 Nov 2026, 10:30 GMT · Source

• La stagione del Crystal Palace sta prendendo una piega decisamente preoccupante

  7 Nov 2026, 10:00 GMT · Source

• Crystal Palace-Liverpool è una partita di Premier League e si gioca domenica alle 15

  7 Nov 2026, 10:00 GMT · Source

• L'articolo Pronostico Brighton-Brentford: cinque punti dalla vetta, adesso si può sognare è su Il Veggente

  6 Nov 2026, 20:55 GMT · Source

• Un’altra sconfitta dopo una rimonta clamorosa, poche settimane dopo il 3-4 con il Real Madrid.

  6 Nov 2026, 16:50 GMT · Source

• Roma-Sassuolo è una partita dell’undicesima giornata di Serie A e si gioca sabato alle 20:45

  6 Nov 2026, 16:50 GMT · Source

• L'articolo Pronostico Nottingham Forest-Manchester City: vietato perdere altro terreno è su Il Veggente.

  6 Nov 2026, 15:49 GMT · Source

• Nottingham Forest-Manchester City è una partita di Premier League e si gioca sabato alle 18:30

  6 Nov 2026, 15:49 GMT · Source

• L’Arsenal ha appena conquistato una vittoria pesantissima ad Anfield, interrompendo un’attesa che durava da quattordici anni. Il successo per 1-0 contro il Liverpool ha permesso ai Gunners di consolidare il primato ...

  6 Nov 2026, 15:40 GMT · Source

• Fulham-Newcastle è una partita di Premier League e si gioca sabato alle 16:00

  6 Nov 2026, 15:45 GMT · Source

• Parma-Bologna è una partita dell’undicesima giornata di Serie A e si gioca sabato alle 18:00

  6 Nov 2026, 12:10 GMT · Source

• Dopo 10 giornate il Frosinone è sesto in classifica, davanti a squadre come Juventus e Napoli.

  6 Nov 2026, 10:15 GMT · Source

• La nona giornata di Bundesliga propone un turno particolarmente interessante

  6 Nov 2026, 10:25 GMT · Source

• a Venezia debutta il nuovo allenatore dell’Udinese.

  6 Nov 2026, 06:50 GMT · Source

• L’anticipo dell’undicesima giornata di Serie A è uno scontro diretto tra una squadra, il Venezia

  6 Nov 2026, 06:50 GMT · Source

• Scontro diretto tra una squadra che non si è mai schiodata dal fondo della classifica e un’altra che

  5 Nov 2026, 16:25 GMT · Source

• Venezia-Udinese è una partita dell’undicesima giornata di Serie A e si gioca venerdì alle 20:45

  5 Nov 2026, 16:25 GMT · Source

• I pronostici di giovedì 5 novembre, tocca a Milan e Juve scendere in campo

  5 Nov 2026, 04:55 GMT · Source

• Everton-Coventry è una partita di Premier League e si gioca venerdì alle 21: notizie, statistiche

  4 Nov 2026, 23:16 GMT · Source

• Cinque partite senza vittorie sono un bilancio che comincia a pesare per il Leeds.

  4 Nov 2026, 23:07 GMT · Source

• L'articolo Pronostici Conference League 5 novembre, attacchi scatenati e difese da registrare: la nostra multipla è su Il Veggente.

  4 Nov 2026, 17:14 GMT · Source

• Lorenzo Musetti, adesso possiamo dirlo pur continuando a fare tutti gli scongiuri del caso, è inarrestabile

  4 Nov 2026, 16:46 GMT · Source

• Il Brighton si presenta al Coliseum con un biglietto da visita niente male: ha battuto Arsenal

  4 Nov 2026, 16:32 GMT · Source

• Getafe-Brighton è una partita della terza giornata di Conference League e si gioca giovedì 5

  4 Nov 2026, 16:32 GMT · Source

• AZ Alkmaar-Juventus è una partita della quarta giornata della League Phase di Europa League

  4 Nov 2026, 16:20 GMT · Source

• Milan-Ferencvaros è una partita della quarta giornata della League Phase di Europa League

  4 Nov 2026, 07:44 GMT · Source

• Celtic-Besiktas è una partita di Europa League e si gioca giovedì alle 21

  3 Nov 2026, 23:19 GMT · Source

• Tre vittorie su tre, nove gol realizzati e nessuno subito nelle ultime due partite

  3 Nov 2026, 23:08 GMT · Source

• Sparta Praga-Bournemouth è una partita di Europa League e si gioca giovedì alle 18:45

  3 Nov 2026, 23:08 GMT · Source

• Viking-Sabah è una partita della quarta giornata della League Phase di Champions League e si gioca mercoledì alle 21:00

  3 Nov 2026, 18:10 GMT · Source

• L'articolo Pronostico Lens-Como: una media allucinante che non lascia spazio a dubbi è su Il Veggente.

  3 Nov 2026, 13:44 GMT · Source

• se i cechi sono ancora alla ricerca della prima vittoria e occupano il trentaduesimo posto

  3 Nov 2026, 12:58 GMT · Source

• Slavia Praga-Arsenal è una partita di Champions League e si gioca mercoledì alle 21:00

  3 Nov 2026, 12:58 GMT · Source

• Due le italiane in campo, Inter e Roma.

  3 Nov 2026, 04:55 GMT · Source

• I pronostici di martedì 3 novembre, riecco la coppa dalle grandi orecchie con la quarta giornata della League Phase.

  3 Nov 2026, 04:55 GMT · Source

• Lipsia-Manchester City è una partita di Champions League e si gioca mercoledì alle 21

  2 Nov 2026, 23:16 GMT · Source

• Alexander Zverev e Lorenzo Musetti si ritrovano al Rolex Paris Masters per un confronto che mette

  2 Nov 2026, 23:03 GMT · Source

• Il Liverpool arriva a Istanbul con un percorso europeo fin qui impeccabile: tre partite e altrettante ...

  2 Nov 2026, 23:06 GMT · Source

• Fenerbahce-Liverpool è una partita di Champions League e si gioca mercoledì alle 18:45

  2 Nov 2026, 23:06 GMT · Source

• L'articolo Pronostici Championship 3 novembre: c’è una doppia chance che stuzzica è su Il Veggente.

  2 Nov 2026, 16:36 GMT · Source

• Championship, ecco cinque gare da seguire con attenzione nel turno infrasettimanale.

  2 Nov 2026, 16:36 GMT · Source

• Infortuni e impegni ravvicinati stanno togliendo certezze all’Inter di Cristian Chivu, che sabato scorso

  2 Nov 2026, 15:10 GMT · Source

• Feyenoord-Inter è una partita valida per la quarta giornata della League Phase di Champions League

  2 Nov 2026, 15:10 GMT · Source

• ATP Parigi, martedì 3 novembre: analisi e pronostici delle sfide Bonzi-Fritz

  2 Nov 2026, 14:32 GMT · Source

• La quarta giornata della League Phase regala una sfida tra due squadre che si candidano a fare parecchia strada in questa Champions League

  2 Nov 2026, 12:36 GMT · Source

• Atletico Madrid-Bayern Monaco è una partita valida per la quarta giornata della League Phase di Champions League e si gioca martedì alle 21:00

  2 Nov 2026, 12:36 GMT · Source

• Le due sconfitte contro Paris Saint-Germain e Real Madrid hanno interrotto un percorso che, fino

  1 Nov 2026, 23:01 GMT · Source

• Il Barcellona torna in Champions League con la necessità di ritrovare certezze dopo una settimana

  1 Nov 2026, 23:01 GMT · Source

• Barcellona-Aston Villa è una partita di Champions League e si gioca martedì alle 21

  1 Nov 2026, 23:01 GMT · Source

• Manchester United-Roma è una partita di Champions League e si gioca martedì alle 21

  1 Nov 2026, 23:13 GMT · Source

• Il Newcastle e l’Everton si ritrovano a pochi giorni dalla sfida di Coppa di Lega, vinta nettamente

  31 Oct 2026, 23:14 GMT · Source

• Newcastle-Everton è una partita di Premier League e si gioca lunedì alle 21

  31 Oct 2026, 23:14 GMT · Source

• L'articolo Pronostico Juventus-Napoli: l’ex può acuire la crisi è su Il Veggente.

  31 Oct 2026, 07:55 GMT · Source

• Juventus-Napoli è una partita della decima giornata di Serie A e si gioca domenica alle 20:45

  31 Oct 2026, 07:55 GMT · Source

The full list is in the JSON and CSV downloads of this page.

The same data, machine-readable

• Page data (JSON)
• Recorded picks (CSV)

From the same snapshot as this page. A download includes the full machine list when the page shows a filtered view.

Share cards of this record (1)

• Bankroll card — Luigi Maria Chiappetta

For the author of this record (1)

• Your record on Forecast Record: Luigi Maria Chiappetta

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Calculations for the displayed picks

Record definitions and related evidence

• Return over time
• Recorded picks and results
• Matches
• How this return was calculated
• Archived before kick-off — definition
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