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Joe Casey: football prediction record

Joe Casey — football predictions, page 8 of 23

Page 8 of 23 of the predictions by Joe Casey recorded by Forecast Record: predictions 121–140 of 427 in the order we recorded them, earliest first; as of . Each row links to its evidence, and the summary of the record is on the profile page.

Source: our own evidence archive

Recorded picks and results, page 8 of 23

Showing 121–140 of 427 predictions: settled first, then pending, then excluded; most recent matches first within each. Download all 427 (JSON).

Settled: the outcome is checked against the final score and the pick is priced under the published rule; a void pick returns the stake. Definition.

9 rows on this page have no evidence card: they were found after the match or restored from archive copies, and their outcome and price are shown in the row itself.

4 rows on this page are set aside; the reason is shown in each row.

Filter the 20 predictions shown on this page.

  1. Southampton v Brighton & Hove Albion Lost

    Said: Player to be carded: Welington to be carded at 3.75 · final score 0-4

    22 February 2025 · settled at the author's odds 3.75, restored: −100 points · Archived before kick-off

    Archived before kick-off: restored later from a copy that an independent web archive saved before the match started. Definition.

    Evidence: source, timestamps, prices and calculation
    Welington to be shown a card 1pt 11-4 Betfair, Paddy Power
    Author said
    Player to be carded: Welington to be carded at 3.75
    Outcome of the pick
    Lost: the final score was Southampton 0-4 Brighton & Hove Albion.
    Source
    racingpost.com (website)
    Speaker
    Joe Casey
    Attribution
    channel owner
    Origin
    Archived before kick-off (archive copy of )
    Added
    Added to our record on 28 Sep 2026
    Published
    (the source page's date)
    First recorded by us
    Class
    stated price and stake
    State
    seen too late
    Event
    Southampton v Brighton & Hove Albion, , final score 0-4
    Prices for this pick
    author's price 3.75 · independent odds snapshot — · closing — (closing price unknown (not reconstructed))
    Count status
    counted in the restored-history series
    Calculations by series: Forecast Record reconstruction, 1 point = 1 unit of stake
    SeriesMarket and pickPriceStakeResultPointsMethod
    Restored, at the author's stated pricePlayer to be carded — Welington to be carded3.75100.00Lost−100.00retro-1.0
  2. Manchester City v Liverpool Won

    Said: Player to score or assist: Dominik Szoboszlai to score or assist at 3.25 · final score 0-2

    23 February 2025 · settled at the author's odds 3.25, restored: +225 points · Archived before kick-off

    Evidence: source, timestamps, prices and calculation
    Dominik Szoboszlai to score or assist 2pts 9-4 Betfair, Paddy Power
    Author said
    Player to score or assist: Dominik Szoboszlai to score or assist at 3.25
    Outcome of the pick
    Won: the final score was Manchester City 0-2 Liverpool.
    Source
    racingpost.com (website)
    Speaker
    Joe Casey
    Attribution
    channel owner
    Origin
    Archived before kick-off (archive copy of )
    Added
    Added to our record on 28 Sep 2026
    Published
    (the source page's date)
    First recorded by us
    Class
    stated price and stake
    State
    seen too late
    Event
    Manchester City v Liverpool, , final score 0-2
    Prices for this pick
    author's price 3.25 · independent odds snapshot — · closing — (closing price unknown (not reconstructed))
    Count status
    counted in the restored-history series
    Calculations by series: Forecast Record reconstruction, 1 point = 1 unit of stake
    SeriesMarket and pickPriceStakeResultPointsMethod
    Restored, at the author's stated pricePlayer to score or assist — Dominik Szoboszlai to score or assist3.25100.00Won225.00retro-1.0
  3. Manchester City v Newcastle United Lost

    Said: Player to score: Alexander Isak to score at 2.4 · final score 4-0

    15 February 2025 · settled at the author's odds 2.40, restored: −100 points · Archived before kick-off

    Evidence: source, timestamps, prices and calculation
    Alexander Isak to score at any time 2pts 7-5 bet365
    Author said
    Player to score: Alexander Isak to score at 2.4
    Outcome of the pick
    Lost: the final score was Manchester City 4-0 Newcastle United.
    Source
    racingpost.com (website)
    Speaker
    Joe Casey
    Attribution
    channel owner
    Origin
    Archived before kick-off (archive copy of )
    Added
    Added to our record on 28 Sep 2026
    Published
    (the source page's date)
    First recorded by us
    Class
    stated price and stake
    State
    seen too late
    Event
    Manchester City v Newcastle United, , final score 4-0
    Prices for this pick
    author's price 2.40 · independent odds snapshot — · closing — (closing price unknown (not reconstructed))
    Count status
    counted in the restored-history series
    Calculations by series: Forecast Record reconstruction, 1 point = 1 unit of stake
    SeriesMarket and pickPriceStakeResultPointsMethod
    Restored, at the author's stated pricePlayer to score — Alexander Isak to score2.40100.00Lost−100.00retro-1.0
  4. Leicester City v Arsenal Lost

    Said: Player to score: Ethan Nwaneri to score at 3.3 · final score 0-2

    15 February 2025 · settled at the author's odds 3.30, restored: −100 points · Archived before kick-off

    Evidence: source, timestamps, prices and calculation
    Ethan Nwaneri to score at any time 2pts 23-10 Betfair, Paddy Power
    Author said
    Player to score: Ethan Nwaneri to score at 3.3
    Outcome of the pick
    Lost: the final score was Leicester City 0-2 Arsenal.
    Source
    racingpost.com (website)
    Speaker
    Joe Casey
    Attribution
    channel owner
    Origin
    Archived before kick-off (archive copy of )
    Added
    Added to our record on 28 Sep 2026
    Published
    (the source page's date)
    First recorded by us
    Class
    stated price and stake
    State
    seen too late
    Event
    Leicester City v Arsenal, , final score 0-2
    Prices for this pick
    author's price 3.30 · independent odds snapshot — · closing — (closing price unknown (not reconstructed))
    Count status
    counted in the restored-history series
    Calculations by series: Forecast Record reconstruction, 1 point = 1 unit of stake
    SeriesMarket and pickPriceStakeResultPointsMethod
    Restored, at the author's stated pricePlayer to score — Ethan Nwaneri to score3.30100.00Lost−100.00retro-1.0
  5. No match linked Excluded

    Said: “Lorient to beat Le Mans”

    18 September 2026 · Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement · via Racing Post, author pages

  6. No match linked Excluded

    Said: “Manchester City to beat Norwich”

    16 September 2026 · Found after the match; date as stated by the source · via Racing Post, author pages

  7. No match linked Excluded

    Said: “Benfica draw no bet vs Milan 1pt 31-20 Betfair, Paddy Power”

    15 September 2026 · Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement · via Racing Post, author pages

  8. No match linked Excluded

    Said: “Moussa Diaby to score at any time for Bayer Leverkusen vs Celje 2pts 27-20 Coral, Ladbrokes”

    15 September 2026 · Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement · via Racing Post, author pages

  9. No match linked Excluded

    Said: “Rennes to beat Sturm Graz 1pt 19-20 Coral, Ladbrokes”

    15 September 2026 · Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement · via Racing Post, author pages

  10. Sunderland v Arsenal Lost

    Said: Player to score or assist: Christos Tzolis to score or assist at 2 · final score 0-2

    12 September 2026 · settled at the author's odds 2.00, restored: −100 points · Found after the match; date as stated by the source · via Racing Post, author pages

    Evidence: source, timestamps, prices and calculation
    Christos Tzolis to score or assist Evs Betfair, Paddy Power
    Author said
    Player to score or assist: Christos Tzolis to score or assist at 2
    Outcome of the pick
    Lost: the final score was Sunderland 0-2 Arsenal.
    Source
    racingpost.com (website)
    Speaker
    Joe Casey
    Attribution
    channel owner
    Origin
    Found after the match; date as stated by the source
    Published
    (the source page's date)
    First recorded by us
    Class
    stated price and stake
    State
    seen too late
    Event
    Sunderland v Arsenal, , final score 0-2
    Prices for this pick
    author's price 2.00 · independent odds snapshot — · closing — (closing price unknown (not reconstructed))
    Count status
    counted in the restored-history series
    Calculations by series: Forecast Record reconstruction, 1 point = 1 unit of stake
    SeriesMarket and pickPriceStakeResultPointsMethod
    Restored, at the author's stated pricePlayer to score or assist — Christos Tzolis to score or assist2.00100.00Lost−100.00retro-1.0
  11. Sunderland v Arsenal Won

    Said: European handicap −1: Arsenal −1 at 2.38 · final score 0-2

    12 September 2026 · Author's odds 2.38 · settled at the last pre-match archive price 1.11, restored: +11 points · price disputed: the author's 2.38 is 2.1 times the last pre-match archive price 1.11 of the same selection; returns at the author's price leave it out · Found after the match; date as stated by the source · via Racing Post, author pages

    Evidence: source, timestamps, prices and calculation
    Arsenal -1 goal on handicap 2pts 11-8 general
    Author said
    European handicap −1: Arsenal −1 at 2.38
    Outcome of the pick
    Won: the final score was Sunderland 0-2 Arsenal.
    Source
    racingpost.com (website)
    Speaker
    Joe Casey
    Attribution
    channel owner
    Origin
    Found after the match; date as stated by the source
    Published
    (the source page's date)
    First recorded by us
    Class
    stated price and stake
    State
    seen too late
    Event
    Sunderland v Arsenal, , final score 0-2
    Prices for this pick
    author's price 2.38 · independent odds snapshot — · last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off) 1.11
    Count status
    counted in the restored-history series
    Calculations by series: Forecast Record reconstruction, 1 point = 1 unit of stake
    SeriesMarket and pickPriceStakeResultPointsMethod
    Restored, at the author's stated priceEuropean handicap −1 — Arsenal −12.38100.00Won137.50retro-1.0
    Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)European handicap −1 — Arsenal −11.11100.00Won11.00retro-1.1
  12. No match linked Excluded

    Said: “Granit Xhaka: 2+ fouls won”

    12 September 2026 · Found after the match; date as stated by the source · via Racing Post, author pages

  13. No match linked Excluded

    Said: “Leipzig to beat Hamburg”

    12 September 2026 · Found after the match; date as stated by the source · via Racing Post, author pages

  14. No match linked Excluded

    Said: “It has to be Manchester City talisman Erling Haaland to get on the scoresheet.”

    12 September 2026 · Found after the match; date as stated by the source · via Racing Post, author pages

  15. Manchester United v Manchester City Won

    Said: 1X2, match result: Manchester City · final score 0-1

    13 September 2026 · settled at the last pre-match archive price 2.20, restored: +120 points · Found after the match; date as stated by the source · via Racing Post, author pages

    Evidence: source, timestamps, prices and calculation
    odds-against for Manchester City to win the derby looks pretty generous.
    Author said
    1X2, match result: Manchester City
    Outcome of the pick
    Won: the final score was Manchester United 0-1 Manchester City.
    Source
    racingpost.com (website)
    Speaker
    Joe Casey
    Attribution
    channel owner
    Origin
    Found after the match; date as stated by the source
    Published
    (the source page's date)
    First recorded by us
    Class
    stated pick without a price
    State
    seen too late
    Event
    Manchester United v Manchester City, , final score 0-1
    Prices for this pick
    author's price — · independent odds snapshot — · closing 2.23
    Count status
    counted in the restored-history series
    Calculations by series: Forecast Record reconstruction, 1 point = 1 unit of stake
    SeriesMarket and pickPriceStakeResultPointsMethod
    Restored, at the closing market price1X2, match result — Manchester City2.23100.00Won122.50retro-1.0
    Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)1X2, match result — Manchester City2.20100.00Won120.00retro-1.1
  16. No match linked Excluded

    Said: “Celtic to beat Rangers in Sunday’s League Cup quarter-final.”

    12 September 2026 · Found after the match; date as stated by the source · via Racing Post, author pages

  17. No match linked Excluded

    Said: “I like 20-1 shots Rennes and Benfica.”

    12 September 2026 · Found after the match; date as stated by the source · via Racing Post, author pages

  18. No match linked Excluded

    Said: “I like 20-1 shots Rennes and Benfica.”

    12 September 2026 · Found after the match; date as stated by the source · via Racing Post, author pages

  19. Manchester United v Manchester City Lost

    Said: Team goals over/under 3: Manchester City over 3 · final score 0-1

    13 September 2026 · settled at the last pre-match archive price 6.09, restored: −100 points · Found after the match; date as stated by the source · via Racing Post, author pages

  20. Blackpool v Bromley Excluded

    Said: 1X2, match result: Blackpool

    12 September 2026 · counted in the restored-history series · Found after the match; date as stated by the source · via Racing Post, author pages

    Counted: included in the totals shown on this page. Definition.

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