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Dan Childs: football prediction record

Dan Childs — football predictions, page 12 of 32

Page 12 of 32 of the predictions by Dan Childs recorded by Forecast Record: predictions 201–220 of 615 in the order we recorded them, earliest first; as of . Each row links to its evidence, and the summary of the record is on the profile page.

Source: our own evidence archive

Recorded picks and results, page 12 of 32

Showing 201–220 of 615 predictions: settled first, then pending, then excluded; most recent matches first within each. Download all 615 (JSON).

Settled: the outcome is checked against the final score and the pick is priced under the published rule; a void pick returns the stake. Definition.

8 rows on this page have no evidence card: they were found after the match or restored from archive copies, and their outcome and price are shown in the row itself.

4 rows on this page are set aside; the reason is shown in each row.

Filter the 20 predictions shown on this page · Current predictions.

  1. Aston Villa v Club Brugge KV Won

    Said: Over/Under 2.5 goals: over 2.5 · final score 3-0

    12 March 2025 · settled at the last pre-match archive price 1.70, restored: +70 points · Archived before kick-off

    Archived before kick-off: restored later from a copy that an independent web archive saved before the match started. Definition.

  2. Aston Villa v Club Brugge KV Excluded

    Said: Player to be carded: John McGinn to be carded at 11

    12 March 2025 · counted in the restored-history series · Archived before kick-off

    Counted: included in the totals shown on this page. Definition.

    Evidence: source, timestamps, prices and calculation
    John McGinn to be carded The combative Scot has steered clear of cautions in the Champions League but his luck may be about to run out. Pays out at 10-1 with Paddy Power
    Author said
    Player to be carded: John McGinn to be carded at 11
    Outcome of the pick
    Pending: awaiting a final score for this restored pick.
    Source
    racingpost.com (website)
    Speaker
    Dan Childs
    Attribution
    channel owner
    Origin
    Archived before kick-off (archive copy of )
    Added
    Added to our record on 30 Sep 2026
    Published
    (the source page's date)
    First recorded by us
    Class
    stated price and stake
    State
    seen too late
    Event
    Aston Villa v Club Brugge KV,
    Prices for this pick
    author's price 11.00 · independent odds snapshot — · closing — (closing price unknown (not reconstructed))
    Count status
    counted in the restored-history series
  3. Chelsea v AFC Ajax Lost

    Said: Match result and over/under 4.5 goals: Chelsea to win and under 4.5 goals at 1.8 · final score 5-1

    22 October 2025 · Author's odds 1.80 · settled at the last pre-match archive price 1.83, restored: −100 points · Found after the match; date as stated by the source

    Evidence: source, timestamps, prices and calculation
    Chelsea to win & under 4.5 goals 1pt 4-5 Coral, Ladbrokes
    Author said
    Match result and over/under 4.5 goals: Chelsea to win and under 4.5 goals at 1.8
    Outcome of the pick
    Lost: the final score was Chelsea 5-1 AFC Ajax.
    Source
    racingpost.com (website)
    Speaker
    Dan Childs
    Attribution
    channel owner
    Origin
    Found after the match; date as stated by the source
    Published
    (the source page's date)
    First recorded by us
    Class
    stated price and stake
    State
    seen too late
    Event
    Chelsea v AFC Ajax, , final score 5-1
    Prices for this pick
    author's price 1.80 · independent odds snapshot — · last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off) 1.83
    Count status
    counted in the restored-history series
    Calculations by series: Forecast Record reconstruction, 1 point = 1 unit of stake
    SeriesMarket and pickPriceStakeResultPointsMethod
    Restored, at the author's stated priceMatch result and over/under 4.5 goals — Chelsea to win and under 4.5 goals1.80100.00Lost−100.00retro-1.0
    Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)Match result and over/under 4.5 goals — Chelsea to win and under 4.5 goals1.83100.00Lost−100.00retro-1.1
  4. Chelsea v AFC Ajax Won

    Said: Player to be carded: Kenneth Taylor to be carded at 5 · final score 5-1

    22 October 2025 · settled at the author's odds 5.00, restored: +400 points · Found after the match; date as stated by the source

    Evidence: source, timestamps, prices and calculation
    Kenneth Taylor to be carded 4-1 bet365
    Author said
    Player to be carded: Kenneth Taylor to be carded at 5
    Outcome of the pick
    Won: the final score was Chelsea 5-1 AFC Ajax.
    Source
    racingpost.com (website)
    Speaker
    Dan Childs
    Attribution
    channel owner
    Origin
    Found after the match; date as stated by the source
    Published
    (the source page's date)
    First recorded by us
    Class
    stated price and stake
    State
    seen too late
    Event
    Chelsea v AFC Ajax, , final score 5-1
    Prices for this pick
    author's price 5.00 · independent odds snapshot — · closing — (closing price unknown (not reconstructed))
    Count status
    counted in the restored-history series
    Calculations by series: Forecast Record reconstruction, 1 point = 1 unit of stake
    SeriesMarket and pickPriceStakeResultPointsMethod
    Restored, at the author's stated pricePlayer to be carded — Kenneth Taylor to be carded5.00100.00Won400.00retro-1.0
  5. No match linked Excluded

    Said: “Pays out at 6-1 with Paddy Power”

    21 October 2025 · Found after the match; date as stated by the source

  6. Chelsea v AFC Ajax Lost

    Said: Correct score: Chelsea 2-0 AFC Ajax at 8 · final score 5-1

    22 October 2025 · Author's odds 8.00 · settled at the last pre-match archive price 7.50, restored: −100 points · Found after the match; date as stated by the source

    Evidence: source, timestamps, prices and calculation
    Chelsea to win 2-0 7-1 bet365
    Author said
    Correct score: Chelsea 2-0 AFC Ajax at 8
    Outcome of the pick
    Did not match: the final score was Chelsea 5-1 AFC Ajax.
    Source
    racingpost.com (website)
    Speaker
    Dan Childs
    Attribution
    channel owner
    Origin
    Found after the match; date as stated by the source
    Published
    (the source page's date)
    First recorded by us
    Class
    stated price and stake
    State
    seen too late
    Event
    Chelsea v AFC Ajax, , final score 5-1
    Prices for this pick
    author's price 8.00 · independent odds snapshot — · last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off) 7.50
    Count status
    counted in the restored-history series
    Calculations by series: Forecast Record reconstruction, 1 point = 1 unit of stake
    SeriesMarket and pickPriceStakeResultPointsMethod
    Restored, at the author's stated priceCorrect score — Chelsea 2-0 AFC Ajax8.00100.00Lost−100.00retro-1.0
    Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)Correct score — Chelsea 2-0 AFC Ajax7.50100.00Lost−100.00retro-1.1
  7. No match linked Excluded

    Said: “Neco Williams to have an attempt on target 11-4 bet365”

    30 September 2026 · national-team match (Nations League, qualifiers, continental cups) · Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement · via Racing Post, author pages

  8. No match linked Excluded

    Said: “Ethan Ampadu to be booked”

    30 September 2026 · national-team match (Nations League, qualifiers, continental cups) · Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement · via Racing Post, author pages

  9. No match linked Excluded

    Said: “Over two goals”

    30 September 2026 · national-team match (Nations League, qualifiers, continental cups) · Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement · via Racing Post, author pages

  10. Wales v Norway Excluded

    Said: Double chance: Wales or draw at 2.6 · final score 2-1

    1 October 2026 · graded against the result: right · Recorded by us before kick-off · via Racing Post, author pages

    Recorded before kick-off: saved by us from the source before the match started, with the time we saved it. Definition.

    Evidence: source, timestamps, prices and calculation
    Wales or draw double chance 2pts 8-5 BoyleSports
    Author said
    Double chance: Wales or draw at 2.6
    Outcome of the pick
    Won: the final score was Wales 2-1 Norway.
    Source
    racingpost.com (website)
    Speaker
    Dan Childs
    Attribution
    channel owner
    Origin
    Recorded by us before kick-off
    Published
    (the source page's date)
    First recorded by us
    Class
    stated price and stake
    State
    ambiguous
    Event
    Wales — Norway, , final score 2-1
    Prices for this pick
    author's price 2.60 · independent odds snapshot — · closing — (closing price unknown (not reconstructed))
  11. No match linked Excluded

    Said: “Brennan Johnson to score or assist”

    30 September 2026 · national-team match (Nations League, qualifiers, continental cups) · Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement · via Racing Post, author pages

  12. Olympique de Marseille v Newcastle United Won

    Said: Over/Under 2.5 goals: over 2.5 · final score 2-1

    25 November 2025 · settled at the last pre-match archive price 1.75, restored: +75 points · Found after the match; date as stated by the source

  13. Olympique de Marseille v Newcastle United Won

    Said: Draw no bet: Olympique de Marseille at 2 · final score 2-1

    25 November 2025 · settled at the author's odds 2.00, restored: +100 points · Found after the match; date as stated by the source

    Evidence: source, timestamps, prices and calculation
    Marseille draw no bet 1pt Evs bet365, Hills, Paddy Power
    Author said
    Draw no bet: Olympique de Marseille at 2
    Outcome of the pick
    Won: the final score was Olympique de Marseille 2-1 Newcastle United.
    Source
    racingpost.com (website)
    Speaker
    Dan Childs
    Attribution
    channel owner
    Origin
    Found after the match; date as stated by the source
    Published
    (the source page's date)
    First recorded by us
    Class
    stated price and stake
    State
    seen too late
    Event
    Olympique de Marseille v Newcastle United, , final score 2-1
    Prices for this pick
    author's price 2.00 · independent odds snapshot — · closing — (closing price unknown (not reconstructed))
    Count status
    counted in the restored-history series
    Calculations by series: Forecast Record reconstruction, 1 point = 1 unit of stake
    SeriesMarket and pickPriceStakeResultPointsMethod
    Restored, at the author's stated priceDraw no bet — Olympique de Marseille2.00100.00Won100.00retro-1.0
  14. No match linked Excluded

    Said: “Dan Burn to be shown a card”

    24 November 2025 · Found after the match; date as stated by the source

  15. Olympique de Marseille v Newcastle United Won

    Said: Correct score: Olympique de Marseille 2-1 Newcastle United at 11 · final score 2-1

    25 November 2025 · Author's odds 11.00 · settled at the last pre-match archive price 10.25, restored: +925 points · Found after the match; date as stated by the source

    Evidence: source, timestamps, prices and calculation
    Marseille to win 2-1 10-1 bet365
    Author said
    Correct score: Olympique de Marseille 2-1 Newcastle United at 11
    Outcome of the pick
    Matched: the final score was Olympique de Marseille 2-1 Newcastle United.
    Source
    racingpost.com (website)
    Speaker
    Dan Childs
    Attribution
    channel owner
    Origin
    Found after the match; date as stated by the source
    Published
    (the source page's date)
    First recorded by us
    Class
    stated price and stake
    State
    seen too late
    Event
    Olympique de Marseille v Newcastle United, , final score 2-1
    Prices for this pick
    author's price 11.00 · independent odds snapshot — · last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off) 10.25
    Count status
    counted in the restored-history series
    Calculations by series: Forecast Record reconstruction, 1 point = 1 unit of stake
    SeriesMarket and pickPriceStakeResultPointsMethod
    Restored, at the author's stated priceCorrect score — Olympique de Marseille 2-1 Newcastle United11.00100.00Won1,000.00retro-1.0
    Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)Correct score — Olympique de Marseille 2-1 Newcastle United10.25100.00Won925.00retro-1.1
  16. Olympique de Marseille v Newcastle United Lost

    Said: Player to score or assist: Igor Paixao to score or assist at 2.4 · final score 2-1

    25 November 2025 · settled at the author's odds 2.40, restored: −100 points · Found after the match; date as stated by the source

    Evidence: source, timestamps, prices and calculation
    Igor Paixao to score or assist 7-5 Hills, Paddy Power
    Author said
    Player to score or assist: Igor Paixao to score or assist at 2.4
    Outcome of the pick
    Lost: the final score was Olympique de Marseille 2-1 Newcastle United.
    Source
    racingpost.com (website)
    Speaker
    Dan Childs
    Attribution
    channel owner
    Origin
    Found after the match; date as stated by the source
    Published
    (the source page's date)
    First recorded by us
    Class
    stated price and stake
    State
    seen too late
    Event
    Olympique de Marseille v Newcastle United, , final score 2-1
    Prices for this pick
    author's price 2.40 · independent odds snapshot — · closing — (closing price unknown (not reconstructed))
    Count status
    counted in the restored-history series
    Calculations by series: Forecast Record reconstruction, 1 point = 1 unit of stake
    SeriesMarket and pickPriceStakeResultPointsMethod
    Restored, at the author's stated pricePlayer to score or assist — Igor Paixao to score or assist2.40100.00Lost−100.00retro-1.0
  17. No match linked Excluded

    Said: “Mason Greenwood anytime goalscorer”

    24 November 2025 · Found after the match; date as stated by the source

  18. No match linked Excluded

    Said: “Joao Pedro to score any time”

    11 March 2026 · Archived before kick-off

  19. No match linked Excluded

    Said: “Desire Doue to commit two or more fouls”

    11 March 2026 · Archived before kick-off

  20. Paris Saint-Germain v Chelsea Won

    Said: Over/Under 2.5 goals: over 2.5 · final score 5-2

    11 March 2026 · settled at the last pre-match archive price 1.56, restored: +56 points · Archived before kick-off

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