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Two authors on one scale, 90 days

Baba and Théo Becker are shown here on one scale and over the same 90 days to 7 November 2026: 1,702 settled picks in total, each number with its own sample size. Forecast Record compares one window and one stake at a time.

Figures as of · source: our own settlement journal

Same scale, same period

MetricBabaThéo Becker
Return on stakes at the author's stated price−3.5% calculated+23.9% calculated
Return on stakes at an independent odds snapshot−1.7% calculated−1.1% calculated
Share of settled picks that won61.1% calculated60.3% calculated
Points bankroll8,339.07 calculated9,173.12 calculated

Where coverage differs, the difference is shown next to the number rather than hidden by a common average.

Baba

Numbers in this window

Each number has its own sample, window, price series and method version
MetricValueStatusSample and method
Return on stakes at the author's stated price−3.5%calculated237 settled picks at the author's stated price · 178 matches · 90 days (9 August 2026 — 7 November 2026) · 95% interval −15.1%…7.4% · author's own price · 78.1% of them also settled at our independent odds snapshot (overlap) · method v2.2 · as of
Return on stakes at an independent odds snapshot−1.7%calculated979 settled picks at an independent odds snapshot · 447 matches · 90 days (9 August 2026 — 7 November 2026) · 95% interval −7.9%…4.7% · independent odds snapshot · 18.9% of them also settled at the author's stated price (overlap) · method v2.2 · as of
Share of settled picks that won61.1%calculated1,031 settled picks with a won or lost outcome · 477 matches · 90 days (9 August 2026 — 7 November 2026) · 95% interval 57.8%…64.4% · method v2.2 · as of
Points bankroll8,339.07calculated979 settled picks at an independent odds snapshot · 447 matches · 90 days (9 August 2026 — 7 November 2026) · method v2.2 · as of

Théo Becker

Numbers in this window

Each number has its own sample, window, price series and method version
MetricValueStatusSample and method
Return on stakes at the author's stated price+23.9%calculated58 settled picks at the author's stated price · 51 matches · 90 days (9 August 2026 — 7 November 2026) · 95% interval −1.4%…47.9% · author's own price · 94.8% of them also settled at our independent odds snapshot (overlap) · method v2.2 · as of
Return on stakes at an independent odds snapshot−1.1%calculated723 settled picks at an independent odds snapshot · 325 matches · 90 days (9 August 2026 — 7 November 2026) · 95% interval −8.1%…5.7% · independent odds snapshot · 7.6% of them also settled at the author's stated price (overlap) · method v2.2 · as of
Share of settled picks that won60.3%calculated726 settled picks with a won or lost outcome · 327 matches · 90 days (9 August 2026 — 7 November 2026) · 95% interval 56.5%…64.3% · method v2.2 · as of
Points bankroll9,173.12calculated723 settled picks at an independent odds snapshot · 325 matches · 90 days (9 August 2026 — 7 November 2026) · method v2.2 · as of

The same data, machine-readable

From the same snapshot as this page: the same numbers, series and dates. A download can list more records than the page shows; each file states its own counts.

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