{
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 "url": "/titles/p-02-no-1-of-the-week/",
 "canonical": "/titles/p-02-no-1-of-the-week/",
 "language": "en",
 "hreflang": [],
 "translations": [],
 "heading": "No.1 of the week — Forecast Record Title",
 "description": "No.1 of the week: the rule, the field, the current holders and the picks behind each one.",
 "first_paragraph": {
  "body": "On Forecast Record, 2 tipsters and sources are on show for No.1 of the week from the last 120 days; 0 more are in the record history (as of 7 November 2026, source: our own settlement journal).",
  "key_number": "2",
  "data": "2026-11-07",
  "source_info": "our own settlement journal",
  "brand": "Forecast Record"
 },
 "indexable": false,
 "noindex_reason": "too_few_settled",
 "indexing_threshold": {
  "settled_count": 0,
  "date_count": 0,
  "required_settled": 0,
  "required_dates": 0
 },
 "data_date": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z",
 "built_at": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z",
 "lastmod": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z",
 "content_hash": null,
 "meaning_hash": "b1b03b8395349a9b7b623605a5f6931d966687390d2e74eb276a7f58f55f2b45",
 "dependency_group": "titles:view",
 "release_id": "20261107-195223",
 "markup": [
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   "allowed": true,
   "cause": null
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  {
   "type_code": "Organization",
   "allowed": true,
   "cause": null
  }
 ],
 "exports": [
  {
   "type_code": "json",
   "url": "/titles/p-02-no-1-of-the-week/index.json",
   "bytes": null
  }
 ],
 "modules": {
  "affiliate": false,
  "api": true,
  "compare_yourself": false
 },
 "affiliate_block": null,
 "restrictions": {
  "name_withdrawn": false,
  "tracker_number": null,
  "withdrawn_quotes": [],
  "removed_at": null,
  "cause": null,
  "suspended_records": [],
  "withdrawal_log_number": 0
 },
 "page_links": {
  "methodology": "/methodology/",
  "right_of_reply": "/right-of-reply/",
  "source_coverage": "/coverage/",
  "corrections_log": "/corrections/",
  "api": "/api/",
  "claim": "/claim/"
 },
 "titles_page": {
  "code_name": "P-02",
  "display_name": "No.1 of the week",
  "source_group": "Periods",
  "chip": false,
  "title_tier": "dated_record",
  "view_category": "the whole record",
  "data_block": "live record only (picks we recorded before kick-off)",
  "rule": "A week record (Monday to Sunday, UTC) that is also first among at least 10 tipsters and sources with 10+ result calls in the same week, live record only; a tie for first gives no No.1.",
  "revision": "1",
  "holders": [
   {
    "id": "zk-4de627c9370069895d00",
    "name_shown": "David Ratabouil",
    "url": "/authors/david-ratabouil/",
    "body": "No.1 of 12 · 8/10 result calls right · week of 26 Oct 2026",
    "fact": "8 of 10 result calls right in the week 26 Oct 2026–1 Nov 2026 (Monday to Sunday, UTC), one call per match. On 7 of these matches the other tipsters and sources were right 57.3% of the time. First of 12 tipsters and sources with 10+ result calls that week.",
    "tier": "No.1",
    "m": 12,
    "provenance": "live",
    "status": "active",
    "cause": null,
    "event_at": "2026-11-01",
    "evidence_through": "2026-11-01",
    "year": "2026",
    "chance": {
     "contract_version": 1,
     "kind": "at_least",
     "priced": 9,
     "unpriced": 1,
     "hits": 8,
     "probability": 0.049459,
     "one_in": 20,
     "log10": -1.31,
     "words": "1 in 20",
     "rule": "probability of at least this many correct picks if each pick came in with its market probability (1/price); exact Poisson-binomial",
     "note": "market prices include the bookmaker margin, so the chance is slightly overstated — a cautious figure"
    },
    "evidence_items": [
     {
      "nid": "n-47365c739f1334188ef5ed16",
      "data": "2026-10-28",
      "match": "Genoa v Juventus",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: Juventus at 1.62",
      "outcome_label": "wrong",
      "url": "/authors/david-ratabouil/picks/8/#pick-n-47365c739f1334188ef5ed16",
      "evidence_price": 1.75,
      "comparison": "27 other tipsters and sources on this match, 0 right (27 named away win)"
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-62c131b1cf0d50709146c258",
      "data": "2026-10-29",
      "match": "Frosinone v Lecce",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: Frosinone at 1.62",
      "outcome_label": "right",
      "url": "/authors/david-ratabouil/picks/8/#pick-n-62c131b1cf0d50709146c258",
      "evidence_price": 1.7,
      "comparison": "30 other tipsters and sources on this match, 29 right (29 named home win, 1 named away win)"
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-3911fda0326921748760d5d2",
      "data": "2026-10-30",
      "match": "Villarreal v Espanyol",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: Villarreal",
      "outcome_label": "wrong",
      "url": "/authors/david-ratabouil/picks/8/#pick-n-3911fda0326921748760d5d2",
      "evidence_price": 1.36,
      "comparison": "24 other tipsters and sources on this match, 0 right (24 named home win)"
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-f12e44036ecbbe5c0fce78ea",
      "data": "2026-10-31",
      "match": "Mito Hollyhock v Sanfrecce Hiroshima",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: Sanfrecce Hiroshima at 1.4",
      "outcome_label": "right",
      "url": "/authors/david-ratabouil/picks/9/#pick-n-f12e44036ecbbe5c0fce78ea",
      "evidence_price": null,
      "comparison": "1 other tipster on this match, 1 right (1 named away win)"
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-c2dd82db150d9deda07faf06",
      "data": "2026-10-31",
      "match": "Vissel Kobe v Nagoya Grampus",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: Vissel Kobe at 1.89",
      "outcome_label": "right",
      "url": "/authors/david-ratabouil/picks/9/#pick-n-c2dd82db150d9deda07faf06",
      "evidence_price": null,
      "comparison": null
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-46a0dce7d0ac8f1cb4f50ed9",
      "data": "2026-10-31",
      "match": "Kashiwa Reysol v Urawa Red Diamonds",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: Kashiwa Reysol at 1.96",
      "outcome_label": "right",
      "url": "/authors/david-ratabouil/picks/9/#pick-n-46a0dce7d0ac8f1cb4f50ed9",
      "evidence_price": null,
      "comparison": "1 other tipster on this match, 1 right (1 named home win)"
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-34c3f2e4dd91cb523c5d9c6b",
      "data": "2026-10-31",
      "match": "Levante UD v Atlético Madrid",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: Atlético Madrid at 1.52",
      "outcome_label": "right",
      "url": "/authors/david-ratabouil/picks/9/#pick-n-34c3f2e4dd91cb523c5d9c6b",
      "evidence_price": 1.48,
      "comparison": "27 other tipsters and sources on this match, 26 right (26 named away win, 1 named draw)"
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-2133440204c2a80aa1addb48",
      "data": "2026-10-31",
      "match": "Udinese v AS Roma",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: AS Roma at 1.48",
      "outcome_label": "right",
      "url": "/authors/david-ratabouil/picks/9/#pick-n-2133440204c2a80aa1addb48",
      "evidence_price": 1.52,
      "comparison": "21 other tipsters and sources on this match, 21 right (21 named away win)"
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-19f9eb5c3bc426bfd54e7e5a",
      "data": "2026-11-01",
      "match": "Lecce v Genoa",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: Genoa at 2.25",
      "outcome_label": "right",
      "url": "/authors/david-ratabouil/picks/9/#pick-n-19f9eb5c3bc426bfd54e7e5a",
      "evidence_price": 2.45,
      "comparison": "18 other tipsters and sources on this match, 7 right (7 named away win, 6 named home win, 5 named draw)"
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-40da9864ae28bbfbb4fa7926",
      "data": "2026-11-01",
      "match": "Sporting Braga v Famalicão",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: Sporting Braga at 1.8",
      "outcome_label": "right",
      "url": "/authors/david-ratabouil/picks/8/#pick-n-40da9864ae28bbfbb4fa7926",
      "evidence_price": 1.73,
      "comparison": "13 other tipsters and sources on this match, 9 right (9 named home win, 2 named draw, 2 named away win)"
     }
    ]
   },
   {
    "id": "zk-12229464e25b26694d54",
    "name_shown": "Joshua Cole",
    "url": "/authors/joshua-cole/",
    "body": "No.1 of 11 · 9/11 result calls right · week of 12 Oct 2026",
    "fact": "9 of 11 result calls right in the week 12 Oct 2026–18 Oct 2026 (Monday to Sunday, UTC), one call per match. On 10 of these matches the other tipsters and sources were right 80.6% of the time. First of 11 tipsters and sources with 10+ result calls that week.",
    "tier": "No.1",
    "m": 11,
    "provenance": "live",
    "status": "active",
    "cause": null,
    "event_at": "2026-10-18",
    "evidence_through": "2026-10-18",
    "year": "2026",
    "chance": {
     "contract_version": 1,
     "kind": "at_least",
     "priced": 2,
     "unpriced": 9,
     "hits": 2,
     "probability": 0.291481,
     "one_in": 3,
     "log10": -0.54,
     "words": "1 in 3",
     "rule": "probability of at least this many correct picks if each pick came in with its market probability (1/price); exact Poisson-binomial",
     "note": "market prices include the bookmaker margin, so the chance is slightly overstated — a cautious figure"
    },
    "evidence_items": [
     {
      "nid": "n-1762b32bc3f7d7ff5c65bea1",
      "data": "2026-10-12",
      "match": "Eyüpspor v Göztepe",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: Göztepe",
      "outcome_label": "right",
      "url": "/authors/joshua-cole/picks/4/#pick-n-1762b32bc3f7d7ff5c65bea1",
      "evidence_price": 1.85,
      "comparison": "6 other tipsters and sources on this match, 6 right (6 named away win)"
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-47435ebdd2203b1578d3996b",
      "data": "2026-10-14",
      "match": "Aston Villa v Fenerbahçe",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: Aston Villa at 1.73",
      "outcome_label": "right",
      "url": "/authors/joshua-cole/picks/5/#pick-n-47435ebdd2203b1578d3996b",
      "evidence_price": 1.67,
      "comparison": "11 other tipsters and sources on this match, 9 right (9 named home win, 1 named draw, 1 named away win)"
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-aaca6dd60e49ce781fc5f555",
      "data": "2026-10-15",
      "match": "Fluminense v Palmeiras",
      "said_text": "Correct score: Fluminense 1-0 Palmeiras",
      "outcome_label": "score wrong · result wrong",
      "url": "/authors/joshua-cole/picks/5/#pick-n-aaca6dd60e49ce781fc5f555",
      "evidence_price": null,
      "comparison": null
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-940c1b5f6f131e8afef5867f",
      "data": "2026-10-15",
      "match": "Kuopion Palloseura v Trabzonspor",
      "said_text": "Correct score: Kuopion Palloseura 0-2 Trabzonspor",
      "outcome_label": "score wrong · result right",
      "url": "/authors/joshua-cole/picks/5/#pick-n-940c1b5f6f131e8afef5867f",
      "evidence_price": 1.48,
      "comparison": "7 other tipsters and sources on this match, 7 right (7 named away win)"
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-d6e3b03ae4e51476a76108eb",
      "data": "2026-10-15",
      "match": "Dinamo Zagreb v Anderlecht",
      "said_text": "Correct score: Dinamo Zagreb 2-1 Anderlecht",
      "outcome_label": "score wrong · result right",
      "url": "/authors/joshua-cole/picks/5/#pick-n-d6e3b03ae4e51476a76108eb",
      "evidence_price": 2.0,
      "comparison": "6 other tipsters and sources on this match, 4 right (4 named home win, 1 named draw, 1 named away win)"
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-27d6448c203e7a2316b5217a",
      "data": "2026-10-17",
      "match": "Amed SK v Konyaspor",
      "said_text": "Correct score: Amed SK 2-0 Konyaspor",
      "outcome_label": "score wrong · result right",
      "url": "/authors/joshua-cole/picks/5/#pick-n-27d6448c203e7a2316b5217a",
      "evidence_price": null,
      "comparison": "4 other tipsters and sources on this match, 4 right (4 named home win)"
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-1a6fe3c0fe199d35c232424a",
      "data": "2026-10-17",
      "match": "Gençlerbirliği v Galatasaray",
      "said_text": "Correct score: Gençlerbirliği 1-3 Galatasaray",
      "outcome_label": "score wrong · result right",
      "url": "/authors/joshua-cole/picks/5/#pick-n-1a6fe3c0fe199d35c232424a",
      "evidence_price": null,
      "comparison": "7 other tipsters and sources on this match, 7 right (7 named away win)"
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-03c594a266e49295e20ffc2c",
      "data": "2026-10-17",
      "match": "Fenerbahçe v Alanyaspor",
      "said_text": "Correct score: Fenerbahçe 2-0 Alanyaspor",
      "outcome_label": "score wrong · result right",
      "url": "/authors/joshua-cole/picks/5/#pick-n-03c594a266e49295e20ffc2c",
      "evidence_price": null,
      "comparison": "6 other tipsters and sources on this match, 6 right (6 named home win)"
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-939fafbe7a8b084a9eb904b4",
      "data": "2026-10-18",
      "match": "Kasımpaşa v Samsunspor",
      "said_text": "Correct score: Kasımpaşa 1-0 Samsunspor",
      "outcome_label": "score wrong · result right",
      "url": "/authors/joshua-cole/picks/5/#pick-n-939fafbe7a8b084a9eb904b4",
      "evidence_price": null,
      "comparison": "3 other tipsters and sources on this match, 1 right (2 named draw, 1 named home win)"
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-4ab27cad47699d6e7a04fca3",
      "data": "2026-10-18",
      "match": "Kocaelispor v Göztepe",
      "said_text": "Correct score: Kocaelispor 1-1 Göztepe",
      "outcome_label": "score wrong · result wrong",
      "url": "/authors/joshua-cole/picks/5/#pick-n-4ab27cad47699d6e7a04fca3",
      "evidence_price": null,
      "comparison": "5 other tipsters and sources on this match, 2 right (2 named away win, 2 named home win, 1 named draw)"
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-66c0b8e5b6ca964e0c046cec",
      "data": "2026-10-18",
      "match": "Angers v Olympique de Marseille",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: Olympique de Marseille at 2",
      "outcome_label": "right",
      "url": "/authors/joshua-cole/picks/5/#pick-n-66c0b8e5b6ca964e0c046cec",
      "evidence_price": null,
      "comparison": "13 other tipsters and sources on this match, 11 right (11 named away win, 2 named draw)"
     }
    ]
   }
  ],
  "history": [],
  "holders_people": 2,
  "fields": [],
  "visible": 62,
  "example": null,
  "luck": {
   "field": "chance",
   "words": "Each holder carries the chance of the same result by luck: the market probability (1/price at our recording) of every pick behind the title, multiplied for a run or summed as at least this many correct picks. Prices include the bookmaker margin, so the figure is cautious."
  },
  "legend": "Badges show titles earned before this prediction, by published rules.",
  "page_variant": "view"
 },
 "entity_id": "titles:/titles/p-02-no-1-of-the-week/",
 "source_revision": 47
}