{
 "schema_name": "page",
 "schema_version": "2.0",
 "page_type": "titles",
 "url": "/titles/p-01-week-record/",
 "canonical": "/titles/p-01-week-record/",
 "language": "en",
 "hreflang": [],
 "translations": [],
 "heading": "Week record — Forecast Record Title",
 "description": "Week record: the rule, the field, the current holders and the picks behind each one.",
 "first_paragraph": {
  "body": "On Forecast Record, 27 tipsters and sources are on show for Week record from the last 120 days; 4 more are in the record history (as of 7 November 2026, source: our own settlement journal).",
  "key_number": "27",
  "data": "2026-11-07",
  "source_info": "our own settlement journal",
  "brand": "Forecast Record"
 },
 "indexable": false,
 "noindex_reason": "too_few_settled",
 "indexing_threshold": {
  "settled_count": 0,
  "date_count": 0,
  "required_settled": 0,
  "required_dates": 0
 },
 "data_date": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z",
 "built_at": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z",
 "lastmod": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z",
 "content_hash": null,
 "meaning_hash": "2d047b22115d171656fc6ae307a3cd1e3755b681b3d6f801b03da66d6e58375c",
 "dependency_group": "titles:view",
 "release_id": "20261107-195223",
 "markup": [
  {
   "type_code": "WebPage",
   "allowed": true,
   "cause": null
  },
  {
   "type_code": "Organization",
   "allowed": true,
   "cause": null
  }
 ],
 "exports": [
  {
   "type_code": "json",
   "url": "/titles/p-01-week-record/index.json",
   "bytes": null
  }
 ],
 "modules": {
  "affiliate": false,
  "api": true,
  "compare_yourself": false
 },
 "affiliate_block": null,
 "restrictions": {
  "name_withdrawn": false,
  "tracker_number": null,
  "withdrawn_quotes": [],
  "removed_at": null,
  "cause": null,
  "suspended_records": [],
  "withdrawal_log_number": 0
 },
 "page_links": {
  "methodology": "/methodology/",
  "right_of_reply": "/right-of-reply/",
  "source_coverage": "/coverage/",
  "corrections_log": "/corrections/",
  "api": "/api/",
  "claim": "/claim/"
 },
 "titles_page": {
  "code_name": "P-01",
  "display_name": "Week record",
  "source_group": "Periods",
  "chip": false,
  "title_tier": "dated_record",
  "view_category": "the whole record",
  "data_block": "live record and pre-match web archive (titles relying on the archive are marked \"archive record\"); picks found after the match only end runs and count in denominators",
  "rule": "A closed week, Monday to Sunday (UTC): at least 5 different matches with one result call each and at least 80.0% right; where other tipsters and sources called the same matches (at least 2 on a match, on 3 or more matches), the share must also be above theirs. Shown for 120 days from the end of the week.",
  "revision": "1",
  "holders": [
   {
    "id": "zk-557b6cf16f3f3c14b008",
    "name_shown": "Alberto Mauro",
    "url": "/authors/alberto-mauro/",
    "body": "5/6 result calls right · week of 26 Oct 2026",
    "fact": "5 of 6 result calls right in the week 26 Oct 2026–1 Nov 2026 (Monday to Sunday, UTC), one call per match. On 6 of these matches the other tipsters and sources were right 79.9% of the time.",
    "tier": null,
    "m": null,
    "provenance": "live",
    "status": "active",
    "cause": null,
    "event_at": "2026-11-01",
    "evidence_through": "2026-11-01",
    "year": "2026",
    "chance": {
     "contract_version": 1,
     "kind": "at_least",
     "priced": 5,
     "unpriced": 1,
     "hits": 4,
     "probability": 0.256405,
     "one_in": 4,
     "log10": -0.59,
     "words": "1 in 4",
     "rule": "probability of at least this many correct picks if each pick came in with its market probability (1/price); exact Poisson-binomial",
     "note": "market prices include the bookmaker margin, so the chance is slightly overstated — a cautious figure"
    },
    "evidence_items": [
     {
      "nid": "n-fe0213a1b60b14d9474a627f",
      "data": "2026-10-27",
      "match": "Torino v Como",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: Como at 1.75",
      "outcome_label": "right",
      "url": "/authors/alberto-mauro/picks/7/#pick-n-fe0213a1b60b14d9474a627f",
      "evidence_price": 1.72,
      "comparison": "24 other tipsters and sources on this match, 21 right (21 named away win, 2 named draw, 1 named home win)"
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-7bc674da0d7036fcd125c48e",
      "data": "2026-10-28",
      "match": "Venezia v Inter",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: Inter",
      "outcome_label": "right",
      "url": "/authors/alberto-mauro/picks/8/#pick-n-7bc674da0d7036fcd125c48e",
      "evidence_price": 1.36,
      "comparison": "22 other tipsters and sources on this match, 19 right (22 named away win)"
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-c3bada14f6176c6c42000914",
      "data": "2026-10-28",
      "match": "Monza v SSC Napoli",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: SSC Napoli at 1.75",
      "outcome_label": "right",
      "url": "/authors/alberto-mauro/picks/8/#pick-n-c3bada14f6176c6c42000914",
      "evidence_price": 1.58,
      "comparison": "25 other tipsters and sources on this match, 22 right (22 named away win, 2 named home win, 1 named draw)"
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-8c53b46b8ec936293fb3cd46",
      "data": "2026-10-31",
      "match": "Bologna v Monza",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: Bologna at 1.67",
      "outcome_label": "right",
      "url": "/authors/alberto-mauro/picks/8/#pick-n-8c53b46b8ec936293fb3cd46",
      "evidence_price": 1.67,
      "comparison": "17 other tipsters and sources on this match, 15 right (15 named home win, 2 named draw)"
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-bc0fdf5b1be6e7a47125fa4d",
      "data": "2026-11-01",
      "match": "Como v Venezia",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: Como at 1.28",
      "outcome_label": "right",
      "url": "/authors/alberto-mauro/picks/9/#pick-n-bc0fdf5b1be6e7a47125fa4d",
      "evidence_price": 1.29,
      "comparison": "17 other tipsters and sources on this match, 17 right (17 named home win)"
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-b0f843082a2851fd6acaceee",
      "data": "2026-11-01",
      "match": "Liverpool v Arsenal",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: draw at 3.4",
      "outcome_label": "wrong",
      "url": "/authors/alberto-mauro/picks/9/#pick-n-b0f843082a2851fd6acaceee",
      "evidence_price": 3.42,
      "comparison": "41 other tipsters and sources on this match, 12 right (23 named draw, 12 named away win, 6 named home win)"
     }
    ]
   },
   {
    "id": "zk-2bf5ca2a7c7b74431595",
    "name_shown": "Alberto Mauro",
    "url": "/authors/alberto-mauro/",
    "body": "4/5 result calls right · week of 19 Oct 2026",
    "fact": "4 of 5 result calls right in the week 19 Oct 2026–25 Oct 2026 (Monday to Sunday, UTC), one call per match. On 5 of these matches the other tipsters and sources were right 73.0% of the time.",
    "tier": null,
    "m": null,
    "provenance": "live",
    "status": "active",
    "cause": null,
    "event_at": "2026-10-25",
    "evidence_through": "2026-10-25",
    "year": "2026",
    "chance": {
     "contract_version": 1,
     "kind": "at_least",
     "priced": 5,
     "unpriced": 0,
     "hits": 4,
     "probability": 0.445799,
     "one_in": 2,
     "log10": -0.35,
     "words": "1 in 2",
     "rule": "probability of at least this many correct picks if each pick came in with its market probability (1/price); exact Poisson-binomial",
     "note": "market prices include the bookmaker margin, so the chance is slightly overstated — a cautious figure"
    },
    "evidence_items": [
     {
      "nid": "n-5bdb1705903438f81f463906",
      "data": "2026-10-22",
      "match": "Getafe v FC Lugano",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: Getafe at 1.8",
      "outcome_label": "wrong",
      "url": "/authors/alberto-mauro/picks/5/#pick-n-5bdb1705903438f81f463906",
      "evidence_price": 2.15,
      "comparison": "14 other tipsters and sources on this match, 3 right (7 named home win, 4 named draw, 3 named away win)"
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-7e0006049878707173db6f51",
      "data": "2026-10-22",
      "match": "Union St. Gilloise v Hapoel Be'er Sheva",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: Union St. Gilloise at 1.28",
      "outcome_label": "right",
      "url": "/authors/alberto-mauro/picks/5/#pick-n-7e0006049878707173db6f51",
      "evidence_price": 1.41,
      "comparison": "13 other tipsters and sources on this match, 13 right (13 named home win)"
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-4c612124f6c48bb4776d37de",
      "data": "2026-10-22",
      "match": "Sporting Braga v Gent",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: Sporting Braga at 1.65",
      "outcome_label": "right",
      "url": "/authors/alberto-mauro/picks/6/#pick-n-4c612124f6c48bb4776d37de",
      "evidence_price": 1.78,
      "comparison": "12 other tipsters and sources on this match, 7 right (7 named home win, 4 named draw, 1 named away win)"
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-a96907945bdf52df816bd675",
      "data": "2026-10-24",
      "match": "Como v Sassuolo",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: Como at 1.5",
      "outcome_label": "right",
      "url": "/authors/alberto-mauro/picks/6/#pick-n-a96907945bdf52df816bd675",
      "evidence_price": 1.47,
      "comparison": "18 other tipsters and sources on this match, 17 right (17 named home win, 1 named draw)"
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-cc035fa2b607db9ac9ee3ed0",
      "data": "2026-10-24",
      "match": "Lazio v Parma",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: Lazio at 1.42",
      "outcome_label": "right",
      "url": "/authors/alberto-mauro/picks/7/#pick-n-cc035fa2b607db9ac9ee3ed0",
      "evidence_price": 1.44,
      "comparison": "22 other tipsters and sources on this match, 20 right (22 named home win)"
     }
    ]
   },
   {
    "id": "zk-ab6a854fb24fe0d0ce5b",
    "name_shown": "Andy Delaney",
    "url": "/authors/andy-delaney/",
    "body": "4/5 result calls right · week of 19 Oct 2026",
    "fact": "4 of 5 result calls right in the week 19 Oct 2026–25 Oct 2026 (Monday to Sunday, UTC), one call per match. On 5 of these matches the other tipsters and sources were right 45.4% of the time.",
    "tier": null,
    "m": null,
    "provenance": "live",
    "status": "active",
    "cause": null,
    "event_at": "2026-10-25",
    "evidence_through": "2026-10-25",
    "year": "2026",
    "chance": {
     "contract_version": 1,
     "kind": "at_least",
     "priced": 5,
     "unpriced": 0,
     "hits": 3,
     "probability": 0.539941,
     "one_in": 2,
     "log10": -0.27,
     "words": "about even",
     "rule": "probability of at least this many correct picks if each pick came in with its market probability (1/price); exact Poisson-binomial",
     "note": "market prices include the bookmaker margin, so the chance is slightly overstated — a cautious figure"
    },
    "evidence_items": [
     {
      "nid": "n-19b4f0ae6ca0d7ec2b5c0f94",
      "data": "2026-10-20",
      "match": "Manchester City v AEK Athens",
      "said_text": "Correct score: Manchester City 3-1 AEK Athens",
      "outcome_label": "score wrong · result right",
      "url": "/authors/andy-delaney/picks/6/#pick-n-19b4f0ae6ca0d7ec2b5c0f94",
      "evidence_price": 1.11,
      "comparison": "18 other tipsters and sources on this match, 18 right (18 named home win)"
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-bfc5591c77ed549712891f88",
      "data": "2026-10-20",
      "match": "Wolverhampton Wanderers v Portsmouth",
      "said_text": "Correct score: Wolverhampton Wanderers 1-1 Portsmouth",
      "outcome_label": "score right · result right",
      "url": "/authors/andy-delaney/picks/6/#pick-n-bfc5591c77ed549712891f88",
      "evidence_price": 4.1,
      "comparison": "10 other tipsters and sources on this match, 0 right (9 named home win, 1 named away win)"
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-6ee1d4b48184574c263d067a",
      "data": "2026-10-21",
      "match": "Como v Manchester United",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: Como at 3",
      "outcome_label": "right",
      "url": "/authors/andy-delaney/picks/6/#pick-n-6ee1d4b48184574c263d067a",
      "evidence_price": 2.35,
      "comparison": "29 other tipsters and sources on this match, 17 right (17 named home win, 8 named draw, 4 named away win)"
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-9106cf2e9658c5108b06d361",
      "data": "2026-10-22",
      "match": "AFC Bournemouth v AC Milan",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: AFC Bournemouth at 2.1",
      "outcome_label": "right",
      "url": "/authors/andy-delaney/picks/6/#pick-n-9106cf2e9658c5108b06d361",
      "evidence_price": 1.81,
      "comparison": "17 other tipsters and sources on this match, 7 right (7 named home win, 7 named draw, 3 named away win)"
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-876080743182bbad1e0c71c4",
      "data": "2026-10-24",
      "match": "1. FC Köln v FC Schalke 04",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: 1. FC Köln at 2.1",
      "outcome_label": "wrong",
      "url": "/authors/andy-delaney/picks/6/#pick-n-876080743182bbad1e0c71c4",
      "evidence_price": 2.05,
      "comparison": "11 other tipsters and sources on this match, 3 right (7 named home win, 3 named draw, 1 named away win)"
     }
    ]
   },
   {
    "id": "zk-3ff8f6b757bb4a2d9118",
    "name_shown": "Baptiste Couturiaux",
    "url": "/authors/baptiste-couturiaux/",
    "body": "8/8 result calls right · week of 26 Oct 2026",
    "fact": "8 of 8 result calls right in the week 26 Oct 2026–1 Nov 2026 (Monday to Sunday, UTC), one call per match. On 8 of these matches the other tipsters and sources were right 89.0% of the time.",
    "tier": null,
    "m": null,
    "provenance": "live",
    "status": "active",
    "cause": null,
    "event_at": "2026-11-01",
    "evidence_through": "2026-11-01",
    "year": "2026",
    "chance": {
     "contract_version": 1,
     "kind": "at_least",
     "priced": 8,
     "unpriced": 0,
     "hits": 8,
     "probability": 0.006678,
     "one_in": 150,
     "log10": -2.18,
     "words": "1 in 150",
     "rule": "probability of at least this many correct picks if each pick came in with its market probability (1/price); exact Poisson-binomial",
     "note": "market prices include the bookmaker margin, so the chance is slightly overstated — a cautious figure"
    },
    "evidence_items": [
     {
      "nid": "n-9880180103c63d8575ed7e86",
      "data": "2026-10-26",
      "match": "Rizespor v Trabzonspor",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: Trabzonspor at 1.75",
      "outcome_label": "right",
      "url": "/authors/baptiste-couturiaux/picks/9/#pick-n-9880180103c63d8575ed7e86",
      "evidence_price": 1.81,
      "comparison": "15 other tipsters and sources on this match, 15 right (15 named away win)"
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-8250688b523cfbf20037648e",
      "data": "2026-10-26",
      "match": "Galatasaray v Fenerbahçe",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: Galatasaray at 2.05",
      "outcome_label": "right",
      "url": "/authors/baptiste-couturiaux/picks/9/#pick-n-8250688b523cfbf20037648e",
      "evidence_price": 1.96,
      "comparison": "15 other tipsters and sources on this match, 10 right (10 named home win, 4 named draw, 1 named away win)"
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-d6e696904807666812beed72",
      "data": "2026-10-27",
      "match": "Bradford City v Peterborough United",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: Bradford City at 1.67",
      "outcome_label": "right",
      "url": "/authors/baptiste-couturiaux/picks/9/#pick-n-d6e696904807666812beed72",
      "evidence_price": 1.63,
      "comparison": "16 other tipsters and sources on this match, 14 right (14 named home win, 1 named away win, 1 named draw)"
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-cd6e589b78787f6e99764beb",
      "data": "2026-10-30",
      "match": "Konyaspor v Galatasaray",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: Galatasaray at 1.51",
      "outcome_label": "right",
      "url": "/authors/baptiste-couturiaux/picks/9/#pick-n-cd6e589b78787f6e99764beb",
      "evidence_price": 1.55,
      "comparison": "19 other tipsters and sources on this match, 18 right (18 named away win, 1 named draw)"
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-58c801ea47151f3248223764",
      "data": "2026-10-31",
      "match": "Lincoln City v Birmingham City",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: Birmingham City at 1.9",
      "outcome_label": "right",
      "url": "/authors/baptiste-couturiaux/picks/10/#pick-n-58c801ea47151f3248223764",
      "evidence_price": 2.2,
      "comparison": "11 other tipsters and sources on this match, 10 right (10 named away win, 1 named draw)"
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-2559412850352d590635898c",
      "data": "2026-10-31",
      "match": "Wolverhampton Wanderers v Cardiff City",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: Wolverhampton Wanderers at 1.56",
      "outcome_label": "right",
      "url": "/authors/baptiste-couturiaux/picks/10/#pick-n-2559412850352d590635898c",
      "evidence_price": 1.55,
      "comparison": "9 other tipsters and sources on this match, 9 right (9 named home win)"
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-84010896a0d327e01bebb4cf",
      "data": "2026-10-31",
      "match": "Southampton v Queens Park Rangers",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: Southampton at 1.65",
      "outcome_label": "right",
      "url": "/authors/baptiste-couturiaux/picks/10/#pick-n-84010896a0d327e01bebb4cf",
      "evidence_price": 2.0,
      "comparison": "14 other tipsters and sources on this match, 12 right (12 named home win, 2 named draw)"
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-0429797bf4ed6109d1d76e2a",
      "data": "2026-10-31",
      "match": "AFC Bournemouth v Leeds United",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: AFC Bournemouth at 1.96",
      "outcome_label": "right",
      "url": "/authors/baptiste-couturiaux/picks/10/#pick-n-0429797bf4ed6109d1d76e2a",
      "evidence_price": 2.05,
      "comparison": "22 other tipsters and sources on this match, 19 right (19 named home win, 3 named draw)"
     }
    ]
   },
   {
    "id": "zk-7e12d330ebd9aa72c92e",
    "name_shown": "Baptiste Couturiaux",
    "url": "/authors/baptiste-couturiaux/",
    "body": "7/8 result calls right · week of 12 Oct 2026",
    "fact": "7 of 8 result calls right in the week 12 Oct 2026–18 Oct 2026 (Monday to Sunday, UTC), one call per match. On 5 of these matches the other tipsters and sources were right 79.6% of the time.",
    "tier": null,
    "m": null,
    "provenance": "live",
    "status": "active",
    "cause": null,
    "event_at": "2026-10-18",
    "evidence_through": "2026-10-18",
    "year": "2026",
    "chance": {
     "contract_version": 1,
     "kind": "at_least",
     "priced": 2,
     "unpriced": 6,
     "hits": 2,
     "probability": 0.325519,
     "one_in": 3,
     "log10": -0.49,
     "words": "1 in 3",
     "rule": "probability of at least this many correct picks if each pick came in with its market probability (1/price); exact Poisson-binomial",
     "note": "market prices include the bookmaker margin, so the chance is slightly overstated — a cautious figure"
    },
    "evidence_items": [
     {
      "nid": "n-9a56553cdbb447c708b9c691",
      "data": "2026-10-12",
      "match": "Coventry City v Newcastle United",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: Newcastle United",
      "outcome_label": "wrong",
      "url": "/authors/baptiste-couturiaux/picks/3/#pick-n-9a56553cdbb447c708b9c691",
      "evidence_price": 2.15,
      "comparison": "25 other tipsters and sources on this match, 2 right (19 named away win, 4 named draw, 2 named home win)"
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-4cdcf959d9e768b0410734a7",
      "data": "2026-10-15",
      "match": "Brighton & Hove Albion v Kauno Žalgiris",
      "said_text": "Correct score: Brighton & Hove Albion 4-0 Kauno Žalgiris at 2.45",
      "outcome_label": "score right · result right",
      "url": "/authors/baptiste-couturiaux/picks/3/#pick-n-4cdcf959d9e768b0410734a7",
      "evidence_price": 1.02,
      "comparison": "10 other tipsters and sources on this match, 9 right (9 named home win, 1 named away win)"
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-eb5051c61720b12537540964",
      "data": "2026-10-16",
      "match": "Çorum FK v Rizespor",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: Çorum FK at 1.85",
      "outcome_label": "right",
      "url": "/authors/baptiste-couturiaux/picks/4/#pick-n-eb5051c61720b12537540964",
      "evidence_price": 1.95,
      "comparison": "2 other tipsters and sources on this match, 2 right (2 named home win)"
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-fee274e75097f383cf6cb9ce",
      "data": "2026-10-18",
      "match": "Brighton & Hove Albion v Crystal Palace",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: Brighton & Hove Albion at 1.44",
      "outcome_label": "right",
      "url": "/authors/baptiste-couturiaux/picks/5/#pick-n-fee274e75097f383cf6cb9ce",
      "evidence_price": null,
      "comparison": "16 other tipsters and sources on this match, 16 right (16 named home win)"
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-83bc3fcf2f8b3ab79591b364",
      "data": "2026-10-18",
      "match": "İstanbul Başakşehir v Gaziantep F.K.",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: İstanbul Başakşehir at 1.54",
      "outcome_label": "right",
      "url": "/authors/baptiste-couturiaux/picks/5/#pick-n-83bc3fcf2f8b3ab79591b364",
      "evidence_price": null,
      "comparison": "3 other tipsters and sources on this match, 3 right (3 named home win)"
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-0182401b15913463137fbffb",
      "data": "2026-10-16",
      "match": "Standard Liege v FCV Dender EH",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: Standard Liege at 1.66",
      "outcome_label": "right",
      "url": "/authors/baptiste-couturiaux/picks/4/#pick-n-0182401b15913463137fbffb",
      "evidence_price": null,
      "comparison": "1 other tipster on this match, 1 right (1 named home win)"
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-effe25827c899235104d300e",
      "data": "2026-10-17",
      "match": "Excelsior Virton v KRC Genk",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: KRC Genk at 1.4",
      "outcome_label": "right",
      "url": "/authors/baptiste-couturiaux/picks/5/#pick-n-effe25827c899235104d300e",
      "evidence_price": null,
      "comparison": "1 other tipster on this match, 1 right (1 named away win)"
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-4ece07602565730ab80cfaec",
      "data": "2026-10-17",
      "match": "RAAL La Louviere v RFC Liege",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: RAAL La Louviere at 1.46",
      "outcome_label": "right",
      "url": "/authors/baptiste-couturiaux/picks/5/#pick-n-4ece07602565730ab80cfaec",
      "evidence_price": null,
      "comparison": null
     }
    ]
   },
   {
    "id": "zk-f27483582c3756acd72f",
    "name_shown": "Ben Sully",
    "url": "/authors/ben-sully/",
    "body": "6/7 result calls right · week of 5 Oct 2026",
    "fact": "6 of 7 result calls right in the week 5 Oct 2026–11 Oct 2026 (Monday to Sunday, UTC), one call per match. On 5 of these matches the other tipsters and sources were right 66.0% of the time.",
    "tier": null,
    "m": null,
    "provenance": "live",
    "status": "active",
    "cause": null,
    "event_at": "2026-10-11",
    "evidence_through": "2026-10-11",
    "year": "2026",
    "chance": {
     "contract_version": 1,
     "kind": "at_least",
     "priced": 4,
     "unpriced": 3,
     "hits": 0,
     "probability": 1.0,
     "one_in": 1,
     "log10": 0.0,
     "words": "about even",
     "rule": "probability of at least this many correct picks if each pick came in with its market probability (1/price); exact Poisson-binomial",
     "note": "market prices include the bookmaker margin, so the chance is slightly overstated — a cautious figure"
    },
    "evidence_items": [
     {
      "nid": "n-a89f0917c561636cd9708d83",
      "data": "2026-10-06",
      "match": "India v Uruguay",
      "said_text": "Correct score: India 0-3 Uruguay",
      "outcome_label": "score wrong · result right",
      "url": "/authors/ben-sully/picks/2/#pick-n-a89f0917c561636cd9708d83",
      "evidence_price": 1.03,
      "comparison": null
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-1258264d99c825247dd63d89",
      "data": "2026-10-06",
      "match": "Argentina v Benin",
      "said_text": "Correct score: Argentina 4-0 Benin",
      "outcome_label": "score wrong · result right",
      "url": "/authors/ben-sully/picks/2/#pick-n-1258264d99c825247dd63d89",
      "evidence_price": 1.01,
      "comparison": "1 other tipster on this match, 1 right (1 named home win)"
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-444eef5f9adf54be1dc5f7ac",
      "data": "2026-10-11",
      "match": "Southampton v Portsmouth",
      "said_text": "Correct score: Southampton 3-1 Portsmouth",
      "outcome_label": "score wrong · result right",
      "url": "/authors/ben-sully/picks/2/#pick-n-444eef5f9adf54be1dc5f7ac",
      "evidence_price": 1.55,
      "comparison": "8 other tipsters and sources on this match, 7 right (7 named home win, 1 named draw)"
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-807591aaa30af4ce84fef951",
      "data": "2026-10-11",
      "match": "Elche v Celta Vigo",
      "said_text": "Correct score: Elche 1-2 Celta Vigo",
      "outcome_label": "score wrong · result wrong",
      "url": "/authors/ben-sully/picks/2/#pick-n-807591aaa30af4ce84fef951",
      "evidence_price": 2.4,
      "comparison": "11 other tipsters and sources on this match, 2 right (9 named away win, 2 named draw)"
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-3dc9ca732dac62b4d483d950",
      "data": "2026-10-11",
      "match": "Real Betis v Osasuna",
      "said_text": "Correct score: Real Betis 2-1 Osasuna",
      "outcome_label": "score wrong · result right",
      "url": "/authors/ben-sully/picks/2/#pick-n-3dc9ca732dac62b4d483d950",
      "evidence_price": null,
      "comparison": "12 other tipsters and sources on this match, 12 right (12 named home win)"
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-2bad4e768c77d3e71a154ac6",
      "data": "2026-10-11",
      "match": "Real Sociedad v Deportivo de A Coruña",
      "said_text": "Correct score: Real Sociedad 2-1 Deportivo de A Coruña",
      "outcome_label": "score wrong · result right",
      "url": "/authors/ben-sully/picks/2/#pick-n-2bad4e768c77d3e71a154ac6",
      "evidence_price": null,
      "comparison": "11 other tipsters and sources on this match, 10 right (10 named home win, 1 named away win)"
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-8df04d866c1ea0948e993bc1",
      "data": "2026-10-11",
      "match": "Real Racing Club v Valencia",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: draw",
      "outcome_label": "right",
      "url": "/authors/ben-sully/picks/2/#pick-n-8df04d866c1ea0948e993bc1",
      "evidence_price": null,
      "comparison": "9 other tipsters and sources on this match, 3 right (6 named home win, 3 named draw)"
     }
    ]
   },
   {
    "id": "zk-8a6a2c8cee44f9938619",
    "name_shown": "Bet-Experts.nl",
    "url": "/sources/bet-experts-nl/",
    "body": "10/12 result calls right · week of 5 Oct 2026",
    "fact": "10 of 12 result calls right in the week 5 Oct 2026–11 Oct 2026 (Monday to Sunday, UTC), one call per match. On 11 of these matches the other tipsters and sources were right 63.8% of the time.",
    "tier": null,
    "m": null,
    "provenance": "live",
    "status": "active",
    "cause": null,
    "event_at": "2026-10-11",
    "evidence_through": "2026-10-11",
    "year": "2026",
    "chance": {
     "contract_version": 1,
     "kind": "at_least",
     "priced": 2,
     "unpriced": 10,
     "hits": 1,
     "probability": 0.805185,
     "one_in": 1,
     "log10": -0.09,
     "words": "about even",
     "rule": "probability of at least this many correct picks if each pick came in with its market probability (1/price); exact Poisson-binomial",
     "note": "market prices include the bookmaker margin, so the chance is slightly overstated — a cautious figure"
    },
    "evidence_items": [
     {
      "nid": "n-82fb794f39ef7e74fe921c59",
      "data": "2026-10-11",
      "match": "Southampton v Portsmouth",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: Southampton",
      "outcome_label": "right",
      "url": "/sources/bet-experts-nl/picks/3/#pick-n-82fb794f39ef7e74fe921c59",
      "evidence_price": 1.55,
      "comparison": "8 other tipsters and sources on this match, 7 right (7 named home win, 1 named draw)"
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-062d803b14c50db83a9d3bfa",
      "data": "2026-10-11",
      "match": "Gaziantep F.K. v Çorum FK",
      "said_text": "Correct score: Gaziantep F.K. 1-2 Çorum FK",
      "outcome_label": "score wrong · result right",
      "url": "/sources/bet-experts-nl/picks/4/#pick-n-062d803b14c50db83a9d3bfa",
      "evidence_price": 2.7,
      "comparison": "2 other tipsters and sources on this match, 1 right (1 named draw, 1 named away win)"
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-1377ad7a346234d269a1852a",
      "data": "2026-10-11",
      "match": "Real Betis v Osasuna",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: Real Betis",
      "outcome_label": "right",
      "url": "/sources/bet-experts-nl/picks/2/#pick-n-1377ad7a346234d269a1852a",
      "evidence_price": null,
      "comparison": "12 other tipsters and sources on this match, 12 right (12 named home win)"
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-1ceedc956b414e1403adf1e3",
      "data": "2026-10-11",
      "match": "SC Freiburg v FC Schalke 04",
      "said_text": "Correct score: SC Freiburg 2-0 FC Schalke 04",
      "outcome_label": "score wrong · result right",
      "url": "/sources/bet-experts-nl/picks/3/#pick-n-1ceedc956b414e1403adf1e3",
      "evidence_price": null,
      "comparison": "10 other tipsters and sources on this match, 10 right (10 named home win)"
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-0643ed310ce945ac3d5bb9db",
      "data": "2026-10-11",
      "match": "Liverpool v Manchester City",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: Manchester City",
      "outcome_label": "right",
      "url": "/sources/bet-experts-nl/picks/4/#pick-n-0643ed310ce945ac3d5bb9db",
      "evidence_price": null,
      "comparison": "32 other tipsters and sources on this match, 11 right (13 named draw, 11 named away win, 8 named home win)"
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-59b20d8b8946f6c95a587b1a",
      "data": "2026-10-11",
      "match": "Excelsior v FC Groningen",
      "said_text": "Correct score: Excelsior 1-2 FC Groningen",
      "outcome_label": "score wrong · result right",
      "url": "/sources/bet-experts-nl/picks/2/#pick-n-59b20d8b8946f6c95a587b1a",
      "evidence_price": null,
      "comparison": "2 other tipsters and sources on this match, 1 right (1 named draw, 1 named away win)"
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-508fa76fa4477fda231592d5",
      "data": "2026-10-11",
      "match": "Real Sociedad v Deportivo de A Coruña",
      "said_text": "Correct score: Real Sociedad 2-1 Deportivo de A Coruña",
      "outcome_label": "score wrong · result right",
      "url": "/sources/bet-experts-nl/picks/2/#pick-n-508fa76fa4477fda231592d5",
      "evidence_price": null,
      "comparison": "11 other tipsters and sources on this match, 10 right (10 named home win, 1 named away win)"
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-16e1402dd4506858906d20d6",
      "data": "2026-10-11",
      "match": "1. FC Köln v Borussia M'gladbach",
      "said_text": "Correct score: 1. FC Köln 2-1 Borussia M'gladbach",
      "outcome_label": "score right · result right",
      "url": "/sources/bet-experts-nl/picks/2/#pick-n-16e1402dd4506858906d20d6",
      "evidence_price": null,
      "comparison": "5 other tipsters and sources on this match, 2 right (3 named draw, 2 named home win)"
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-a1e1ca71d3d6b7da7c2ee3f4",
      "data": "2026-10-11",
      "match": "Real Racing Club v Valencia",
      "said_text": "Correct score: Real Racing Club 1-1 Valencia",
      "outcome_label": "score wrong · result right",
      "url": "/sources/bet-experts-nl/picks/2/#pick-n-a1e1ca71d3d6b7da7c2ee3f4",
      "evidence_price": null,
      "comparison": "9 other tipsters and sources on this match, 3 right (6 named home win, 3 named draw)"
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-75e9ba937e094cbc831740c0",
      "data": "2026-10-11",
      "match": "Cagliari v Juventus",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: Juventus",
      "outcome_label": "wrong",
      "url": "/sources/bet-experts-nl/picks/3/#pick-n-75e9ba937e094cbc831740c0",
      "evidence_price": null,
      "comparison": "13 other tipsters and sources on this match, 2 right (10 named away win, 2 named draw, 1 named home win)"
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-2eef15cdf2a04ac31e120439",
      "data": "2026-10-11",
      "match": "FC Midtjylland v FC Copenhagen",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: FC Copenhagen",
      "outcome_label": "wrong",
      "url": "/sources/bet-experts-nl/picks/3/#pick-n-2eef15cdf2a04ac31e120439",
      "evidence_price": null,
      "comparison": null
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-6aad40806f26efb99b683864",
      "data": "2026-10-11",
      "match": "Standard Liege v Charleroi",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: Charleroi at 2.3",
      "outcome_label": "right",
      "url": "/sources/bet-experts-nl/picks/2/#pick-n-6aad40806f26efb99b683864",
      "evidence_price": null,
      "comparison": "2 other tipsters and sources on this match, 2 right (2 named away win)"
     }
    ]
   },
   {
    "id": "zk-40190edea0fa8e149e1b",
    "name_shown": "Bettingstugan",
    "url": "/sources/bettingstugan-se/",
    "body": "4/5 result calls right · week of 12 Oct 2026",
    "fact": "4 of 5 result calls right in the week 12 Oct 2026–18 Oct 2026 (Monday to Sunday, UTC), one call per match. On 5 of these matches the other tipsters and sources were right 65.9% of the time.",
    "tier": null,
    "m": null,
    "provenance": "live",
    "status": "active",
    "cause": null,
    "event_at": "2026-10-18",
    "evidence_through": "2026-10-18",
    "year": "2026",
    "chance": {
     "contract_version": 1,
     "kind": "at_least",
     "priced": 1,
     "unpriced": 4,
     "hits": 1,
     "probability": 0.621118,
     "one_in": 2,
     "log10": -0.21,
     "words": "about even",
     "rule": "probability of at least this many correct picks if each pick came in with its market probability (1/price); exact Poisson-binomial",
     "note": "market prices include the bookmaker margin, so the chance is slightly overstated — a cautious figure"
    },
    "evidence_items": [
     {
      "nid": "n-cfc063d061d92dd19f8b5722",
      "data": "2026-10-13",
      "match": "Birmingham City v Preston North End",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: Birmingham City at 1.62",
      "outcome_label": "right",
      "url": "/sources/bettingstugan-se/picks/3/#pick-n-cfc063d061d92dd19f8b5722",
      "evidence_price": 1.56,
      "comparison": "5 other tipsters and sources on this match, 5 right (5 named home win)"
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-b19307abc1b53c4c6f2b5e53",
      "data": "2026-10-13",
      "match": "Atlético Madrid v Manchester United",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: Atlético Madrid at 1.99",
      "outcome_label": "right",
      "url": "/sources/bettingstugan-se/picks/3/#pick-n-b19307abc1b53c4c6f2b5e53",
      "evidence_price": 1.91,
      "comparison": "21 other tipsters and sources on this match, 19 right (19 named home win, 1 named away win, 1 named draw)"
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-d6b2efb56afc4241e5c1930c",
      "data": "2026-10-14",
      "match": "Queens Park Rangers v Derby County",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: Queens Park Rangers at 1.8",
      "outcome_label": "right",
      "url": "/sources/bettingstugan-se/picks/3/#pick-n-d6b2efb56afc4241e5c1930c",
      "evidence_price": 1.78,
      "comparison": "5 other tipsters and sources on this match, 4 right (4 named home win, 1 named draw)"
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-34e4ffda3c73193bbef6395e",
      "data": "2026-10-18",
      "match": "Udinese v Lecce",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: Udinese at 1.85",
      "outcome_label": "wrong",
      "url": "/sources/bettingstugan-se/picks/6/#pick-n-34e4ffda3c73193bbef6395e",
      "evidence_price": null,
      "comparison": "8 other tipsters and sources on this match, 0 right (6 named home win, 2 named draw)"
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-dbf34d1a5250b3b8fcefc6a7",
      "data": "2026-10-18",
      "match": "AFC Bournemouth v Sunderland",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: AFC Bournemouth at 2.15",
      "outcome_label": "right",
      "url": "/sources/bettingstugan-se/picks/5/#pick-n-dbf34d1a5250b3b8fcefc6a7",
      "evidence_price": null,
      "comparison": "17 other tipsters and sources on this match, 10 right (10 named home win, 7 named draw)"
     }
    ]
   },
   {
    "id": "zk-0432c61aecb1f41e047e",
    "name_shown": "Dailysports",
    "url": "/sources/dailysports-net/",
    "body": "25/29 result calls right · week of 12 Oct 2026",
    "fact": "25 of 29 result calls right in the week 12 Oct 2026–18 Oct 2026 (Monday to Sunday, UTC), one call per match. On 23 of these matches the other tipsters and sources were right 73.3% of the time.",
    "tier": null,
    "m": null,
    "provenance": "live",
    "status": "active",
    "cause": null,
    "event_at": "2026-10-18",
    "evidence_through": "2026-10-18",
    "year": "2026",
    "chance": {
     "contract_version": 1,
     "kind": "at_least",
     "priced": 20,
     "unpriced": 9,
     "hits": 17,
     "probability": 0.011569,
     "one_in": 86,
     "log10": -1.94,
     "words": "1 in 86",
     "rule": "probability of at least this many correct picks if each pick came in with its market probability (1/price); exact Poisson-binomial",
     "note": "market prices include the bookmaker margin, so the chance is slightly overstated — a cautious figure"
    },
    "evidence_items": [
     {
      "nid": "n-9c84af70fb405f88b45888ad",
      "data": "2026-10-12",
      "match": "Atalanta v Venezia",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: Atalanta at 1.6",
      "outcome_label": "right",
      "url": "/sources/dailysports-net/picks/3/#pick-n-9c84af70fb405f88b45888ad",
      "evidence_price": 1.54,
      "comparison": "19 other tipsters and sources on this match, 19 right (19 named home win)"
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-5a95da6da13d554fa9bfc767",
      "data": "2026-10-14",
      "match": "LASK v Liverpool",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: Liverpool",
      "outcome_label": "right",
      "url": "/sources/dailysports-net/picks/5/#pick-n-5a95da6da13d554fa9bfc767",
      "evidence_price": 1.4,
      "comparison": "9 other tipsters and sources on this match, 8 right (8 named away win, 1 named home win)"
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-b67db18c36ead1f8527159c2",
      "data": "2026-10-14",
      "match": "AS Roma v Real Madrid",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: Real Madrid at 1.9",
      "outcome_label": "right",
      "url": "/sources/dailysports-net/picks/5/#pick-n-b67db18c36ead1f8527159c2",
      "evidence_price": 1.91,
      "comparison": "12 other tipsters and sources on this match, 10 right (10 named away win, 1 named draw, 1 named home win)"
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-3023d0483f65df6298eca3bc",
      "data": "2026-10-14",
      "match": "Lincoln City v West Ham United",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: West Ham United at 1.66",
      "outcome_label": "right",
      "url": "/sources/dailysports-net/picks/5/#pick-n-3023d0483f65df6298eca3bc",
      "evidence_price": 1.66,
      "comparison": "4 other tipsters and sources on this match, 3 right (3 named away win, 1 named home win)"
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-f3278927ecc2d28aa04d971d",
      "data": "2026-10-14",
      "match": "Manchester City v Paris Saint-Germain",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: Manchester City at 2.1",
      "outcome_label": "wrong",
      "url": "/sources/dailysports-net/picks/5/#pick-n-f3278927ecc2d28aa04d971d",
      "evidence_price": 2.0,
      "comparison": "14 other tipsters and sources on this match, 1 right (9 named home win, 4 named draw, 1 named away win)"
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-913cf5cfaaedce36e87b3c0f",
      "data": "2026-10-14",
      "match": "Aston Villa v Fenerbahçe",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: Aston Villa at 1.65",
      "outcome_label": "right",
      "url": "/sources/dailysports-net/picks/5/#pick-n-913cf5cfaaedce36e87b3c0f",
      "evidence_price": 1.67,
      "comparison": "11 other tipsters and sources on this match, 9 right (9 named home win, 1 named draw, 1 named away win)"
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-5d73a6d1d242bc814ad5d262",
      "data": "2026-10-14",
      "match": "Queens Park Rangers v Derby County",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: Queens Park Rangers at 1.8",
      "outcome_label": "right",
      "url": "/sources/dailysports-net/picks/5/#pick-n-5d73a6d1d242bc814ad5d262",
      "evidence_price": 1.78,
      "comparison": "5 other tipsters and sources on this match, 4 right (4 named home win, 1 named draw)"
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-7642f10b21f9b2f3bdf052f3",
      "data": "2026-10-15",
      "match": "CSKA Sofia v Monaco",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: Monaco at 1.48",
      "outcome_label": "right",
      "url": "/sources/dailysports-net/picks/6/#pick-n-7642f10b21f9b2f3bdf052f3",
      "evidence_price": 1.48,
      "comparison": "6 other tipsters and sources on this match, 6 right (6 named away win)"
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-c5a325f133b9527caaef9b7f",
      "data": "2026-10-15",
      "match": "Gent v AGF",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: Gent at 1.57",
      "outcome_label": "right",
      "url": "/sources/dailysports-net/picks/6/#pick-n-c5a325f133b9527caaef9b7f",
      "evidence_price": 1.61,
      "comparison": null
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-ef9438e5db0b3adf58b16eec",
      "data": "2026-10-15",
      "match": "Lech Poznań v Bayer 04 Leverkusen",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: Bayer 04 Leverkusen at 1.65",
      "outcome_label": "right",
      "url": "/sources/dailysports-net/picks/7/#pick-n-ef9438e5db0b3adf58b16eec",
      "evidence_price": 1.53,
      "comparison": "13 other tipsters and sources on this match, 12 right (12 named away win, 1 named home win)"
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-125a7fe3592e1317168d5057",
      "data": "2026-10-15",
      "match": "Union St. Gilloise v Real Sociedad",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: draw",
      "outcome_label": "right",
      "url": "/sources/dailysports-net/picks/7/#pick-n-125a7fe3592e1317168d5057",
      "evidence_price": 3.66,
      "comparison": "8 other tipsters and sources on this match, 0 right (8 named home win)"
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-66617a6117086470b1d9f6fa",
      "data": "2026-10-15",
      "match": "Brann v Lincoln Red Imps",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: Brann",
      "outcome_label": "right",
      "url": "/sources/dailysports-net/picks/6/#pick-n-66617a6117086470b1d9f6fa",
      "evidence_price": 1.14,
      "comparison": "6 other tipsters and sources on this match, 6 right (6 named home win)"
     }
    ]
   },
   {
    "id": "zk-fda3f3c3e0349828e5ad",
    "name_shown": "Dailysports",
    "url": "/sources/dailysports-net/",
    "body": "4/5 result calls right · week of 5 Oct 2026",
    "fact": "4 of 5 result calls right in the week 5 Oct 2026–11 Oct 2026 (Monday to Sunday, UTC), one call per match. On 5 of these matches the other tipsters and sources were right 76.3% of the time.",
    "tier": null,
    "m": null,
    "provenance": "live",
    "status": "active",
    "cause": null,
    "event_at": "2026-10-11",
    "evidence_through": "2026-10-11",
    "year": "2026",
    "chance": {
     "contract_version": 1,
     "kind": "at_least",
     "priced": 2,
     "unpriced": 3,
     "hits": 2,
     "probability": 0.43614,
     "one_in": 2,
     "log10": -0.36,
     "words": "1 in 2",
     "rule": "probability of at least this many correct picks if each pick came in with its market probability (1/price); exact Poisson-binomial",
     "note": "market prices include the bookmaker margin, so the chance is slightly overstated — a cautious figure"
    },
    "evidence_items": [
     {
      "nid": "n-18158497d18deed22b9ce718",
      "data": "2026-10-11",
      "match": "Real Betis v Osasuna",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: Real Betis at 1.55",
      "outcome_label": "right",
      "url": "/sources/dailysports-net/picks/2/#pick-n-18158497d18deed22b9ce718",
      "evidence_price": null,
      "comparison": "12 other tipsters and sources on this match, 12 right (12 named home win)"
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-1ab2d91c75ad9c230cc5efae",
      "data": "2026-10-11",
      "match": "Real Sociedad v Deportivo de A Coruña",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: Real Sociedad at 1.6",
      "outcome_label": "right",
      "url": "/sources/dailysports-net/picks/2/#pick-n-1ab2d91c75ad9c230cc5efae",
      "evidence_price": null,
      "comparison": "11 other tipsters and sources on this match, 10 right (10 named home win, 1 named away win)"
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-ca1efbc8d737da6c5ab040a7",
      "data": "2026-10-11",
      "match": "Cagliari v Juventus",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: Juventus at 1.6",
      "outcome_label": "wrong",
      "url": "/sources/dailysports-net/picks/2/#pick-n-ca1efbc8d737da6c5ab040a7",
      "evidence_price": null,
      "comparison": "13 other tipsters and sources on this match, 2 right (10 named away win, 2 named draw, 1 named home win)"
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-5c00e26c6e51d4d72157c052",
      "data": "2026-10-11",
      "match": "Flamengo v Fluminense",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: Flamengo at 1.53",
      "outcome_label": "right",
      "url": "/sources/dailysports-net/picks/3/#pick-n-5c00e26c6e51d4d72157c052",
      "evidence_price": null,
      "comparison": "4 other tipsters and sources on this match, 4 right (4 named home win)"
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-b17b2de03acddec82d7781ed",
      "data": "2026-10-11",
      "match": "Palmeiras v Corinthians",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: Palmeiras",
      "outcome_label": "right",
      "url": "/sources/dailysports-net/picks/3/#pick-n-b17b2de03acddec82d7781ed",
      "evidence_price": null,
      "comparison": "4 other tipsters and sources on this match, 3 right (3 named home win, 1 named draw)"
     }
    ]
   },
   {
    "id": "zk-85e69bd0d1fa6632e16d",
    "name_shown": "Didier Lohe",
    "url": "/authors/didier-lohe/",
    "body": "5/6 result calls right · week of 19 Oct 2026",
    "fact": "5 of 6 result calls right in the week 19 Oct 2026–25 Oct 2026 (Monday to Sunday, UTC), one call per match. On 6 of these matches the other tipsters and sources were right 82.5% of the time.",
    "tier": null,
    "m": null,
    "provenance": "live",
    "status": "active",
    "cause": null,
    "event_at": "2026-10-25",
    "evidence_through": "2026-10-25",
    "year": "2026",
    "chance": {
     "contract_version": 1,
     "kind": "at_least",
     "priced": 3,
     "unpriced": 3,
     "hits": 3,
     "probability": 0.175717,
     "one_in": 6,
     "log10": -0.76,
     "words": "1 in 6",
     "rule": "probability of at least this many correct picks if each pick came in with its market probability (1/price); exact Poisson-binomial",
     "note": "market prices include the bookmaker margin, so the chance is slightly overstated — a cautious figure"
    },
    "evidence_items": [
     {
      "nid": "n-1032865eae8547317ed0d98a",
      "data": "2026-10-19",
      "match": "Parma v Torino",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: Torino at 2.45",
      "outcome_label": "right",
      "url": "/authors/didier-lohe/picks/4/#pick-n-1032865eae8547317ed0d98a",
      "evidence_price": 2.29,
      "comparison": "14 other tipsters and sources on this match, 11 right (11 named away win, 2 named draw, 1 named home win)"
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-fb8f6b92315dbc19012f2af5",
      "data": "2026-10-19",
      "match": "Newell's Old Boys v Central Córdoba",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: Newell's Old Boys at 2.04",
      "outcome_label": "right",
      "url": "/authors/didier-lohe/picks/4/#pick-n-fb8f6b92315dbc19012f2af5",
      "evidence_price": 1.62,
      "comparison": "2 other tipsters and sources on this match, 2 right (2 named home win)"
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-271c31768c698efbbbbf4135",
      "data": "2026-10-21",
      "match": "Real Betis v Feyenoord",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: Real Betis at 1.56",
      "outcome_label": "right",
      "url": "/authors/didier-lohe/picks/4/#pick-n-271c31768c698efbbbbf4135",
      "evidence_price": 1.59,
      "comparison": "16 other tipsters and sources on this match, 13 right (14 named home win, 1 named away win, 1 named draw)"
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-604ece684fd5da1a88108d73",
      "data": "2026-10-21",
      "match": "Aston Villa v Viking FK",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: Aston Villa at 1.29",
      "outcome_label": "right",
      "url": "/authors/didier-lohe/picks/4/#pick-n-604ece684fd5da1a88108d73",
      "evidence_price": 1.22,
      "comparison": "27 other tipsters and sources on this match, 23 right (23 named home win, 2 named draw, 2 named away win)"
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-8c3c1ad755acf291831bc9e9",
      "data": "2026-10-24",
      "match": "RC Lens v Paris FC",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: Paris FC at 2.98",
      "outcome_label": "wrong",
      "url": "/authors/didier-lohe/picks/5/#pick-n-8c3c1ad755acf291831bc9e9",
      "evidence_price": 2.9,
      "comparison": "14 other tipsters and sources on this match, 10 right (10 named home win, 3 named draw, 1 named away win)"
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-6d5affa7399328cc38b990e9",
      "data": "2026-10-25",
      "match": "Stade Rennais v RC Strasbourg",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: Stade Rennais at 1.79",
      "outcome_label": "right",
      "url": "/authors/didier-lohe/picks/5/#pick-n-6d5affa7399328cc38b990e9",
      "evidence_price": 1.77,
      "comparison": "14 other tipsters and sources on this match, 11 right (11 named home win, 3 named draw)"
     }
    ]
   },
   {
    "id": "zk-08a22e96111d92b2dac9",
    "name_shown": "Gonzalo Mansilla",
    "url": "/authors/gonzalo-mansilla/",
    "body": "5/5 result calls right · week of 12 Oct 2026",
    "fact": "5 of 5 result calls right in the week 12 Oct 2026–18 Oct 2026 (Monday to Sunday, UTC), one call per match. On 5 of these matches the other tipsters and sources were right 92.9% of the time.",
    "tier": null,
    "m": null,
    "provenance": "live",
    "status": "active",
    "cause": null,
    "event_at": "2026-10-18",
    "evidence_through": "2026-10-18",
    "year": "2026",
    "chance": {
     "contract_version": 1,
     "kind": "at_least",
     "priced": 3,
     "unpriced": 2,
     "hits": 3,
     "probability": 0.238307,
     "one_in": 4,
     "log10": -0.62,
     "words": "1 in 4",
     "rule": "probability of at least this many correct picks if each pick came in with its market probability (1/price); exact Poisson-binomial",
     "note": "market prices include the bookmaker margin, so the chance is slightly overstated — a cautious figure"
    },
    "evidence_items": [
     {
      "nid": "n-c6fb3fa3fd8d123877c62114",
      "data": "2026-10-13",
      "match": "Cardiff City v Watford",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: Cardiff City at 1.64",
      "outcome_label": "right",
      "url": "/authors/gonzalo-mansilla/picks/2/#pick-n-c6fb3fa3fd8d123877c62114",
      "evidence_price": 1.67,
      "comparison": "5 other tipsters and sources on this match, 4 right (4 named home win, 1 named draw)"
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-d7469ea9191c82eb23214003",
      "data": "2026-10-15",
      "match": "Lech Poznań v Bayer 04 Leverkusen",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: Bayer 04 Leverkusen at 1.58",
      "outcome_label": "right",
      "url": "/authors/gonzalo-mansilla/picks/3/#pick-n-d7469ea9191c82eb23214003",
      "evidence_price": 1.53,
      "comparison": "13 other tipsters and sources on this match, 12 right (12 named away win, 1 named home win)"
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-5d98be451e6bbf68321e2903",
      "data": "2026-10-15",
      "match": "AFC Bournemouth v Sturm Graz",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: AFC Bournemouth at 1.15",
      "outcome_label": "right",
      "url": "/authors/gonzalo-mansilla/picks/3/#pick-n-5d98be451e6bbf68321e2903",
      "evidence_price": 1.2,
      "comparison": "11 other tipsters and sources on this match, 11 right (11 named home win)"
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-ef55e964d006834c6f6dd5b8",
      "data": "2026-10-15",
      "match": "Jagiellonia v Ararat-Armenia",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: Jagiellonia at 1.42",
      "outcome_label": "right",
      "url": "/authors/gonzalo-mansilla/picks/3/#pick-n-ef55e964d006834c6f6dd5b8",
      "evidence_price": 1.4,
      "comparison": "13 other tipsters and sources on this match, 12 right (12 named home win, 1 named draw)"
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-5b4e394f44e9577c5a72d38f",
      "data": "2026-10-18",
      "match": "Brighton & Hove Albion v Crystal Palace",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: Brighton & Hove Albion at 1.5",
      "outcome_label": "right",
      "url": "/authors/gonzalo-mansilla/picks/4/#pick-n-5b4e394f44e9577c5a72d38f",
      "evidence_price": null,
      "comparison": "16 other tipsters and sources on this match, 16 right (16 named home win)"
     }
    ]
   },
   {
    "id": "zk-aa2a832cfe05644debe6",
    "name_shown": "Gonzalo Mansilla",
    "url": "/authors/gonzalo-mansilla/",
    "body": "4/5 result calls right · week of 5 Oct 2026",
    "fact": "4 of 5 result calls right in the week 5 Oct 2026–11 Oct 2026 (Monday to Sunday, UTC), one call per match. On 5 of these matches the other tipsters and sources were right 67.5% of the time.",
    "tier": null,
    "m": null,
    "provenance": "live",
    "status": "active",
    "cause": null,
    "event_at": "2026-10-11",
    "evidence_through": "2026-10-11",
    "year": "2026",
    "chance": {
     "contract_version": 1,
     "kind": "at_least",
     "priced": 3,
     "unpriced": 2,
     "hits": 3,
     "probability": 0.335636,
     "one_in": 3,
     "log10": -0.47,
     "words": "1 in 3",
     "rule": "probability of at least this many correct picks if each pick came in with its market probability (1/price); exact Poisson-binomial",
     "note": "market prices include the bookmaker margin, so the chance is slightly overstated — a cautious figure"
    },
    "evidence_items": [
     {
      "nid": "n-d787623defa65692131bae19",
      "data": "2026-10-10",
      "match": "Arsenal v Leeds United",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: Arsenal at 1.38",
      "outcome_label": "right",
      "url": "/authors/gonzalo-mansilla/picks/2/#pick-n-d787623defa65692131bae19",
      "evidence_price": 1.42,
      "comparison": "11 other tipsters and sources on this match, 11 right (11 named home win)"
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-8b71b8860f5fc171bca65831",
      "data": "2026-10-10",
      "match": "Chelsea v AFC Bournemouth",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: Chelsea at 1.67",
      "outcome_label": "right",
      "url": "/authors/gonzalo-mansilla/picks/2/#pick-n-8b71b8860f5fc171bca65831",
      "evidence_price": null,
      "comparison": "12 other tipsters and sources on this match, 6 right (6 named home win, 6 named draw)"
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-a6cef57ea3d0c9daa619df3a",
      "data": "2026-10-10",
      "match": "Marítimo v FC Porto",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: FC Porto at 1.3",
      "outcome_label": "right",
      "url": "/authors/gonzalo-mansilla/picks/2/#pick-n-a6cef57ea3d0c9daa619df3a",
      "evidence_price": null,
      "comparison": "4 other tipsters and sources on this match, 4 right (4 named away win)"
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-c01c02de4ede855099a6a28e",
      "data": "2026-10-10",
      "match": "Feyenoord v AZ Alkmaar",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: Feyenoord",
      "outcome_label": "right",
      "url": "/authors/gonzalo-mansilla/picks/2/#pick-n-c01c02de4ede855099a6a28e",
      "evidence_price": null,
      "comparison": "4 other tipsters and sources on this match, 2 right (2 named draw, 2 named home win)"
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-b5bc3e654a7cf972a4372df5",
      "data": "2026-10-11",
      "match": "Liverpool v Manchester City",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: draw at 3.7",
      "outcome_label": "wrong",
      "url": "/authors/gonzalo-mansilla/picks/2/#pick-n-b5bc3e654a7cf972a4372df5",
      "evidence_price": null,
      "comparison": "32 other tipsters and sources on this match, 12 right (12 named draw, 12 named away win, 8 named home win)"
     }
    ]
   },
   {
    "id": "zk-2a2a5c043edd2f582be6",
    "name_shown": "Igor Petrov",
    "url": "/authors/igor-petrov/",
    "body": "5/6 result calls right · week of 12 Oct 2026",
    "fact": "5 of 6 result calls right in the week 12 Oct 2026–18 Oct 2026 (Monday to Sunday, UTC), one call per match. On 3 of these matches the other tipsters and sources were right 73.2% of the time.",
    "tier": null,
    "m": null,
    "provenance": "live",
    "status": "active",
    "cause": null,
    "event_at": "2026-10-18",
    "evidence_through": "2026-10-18",
    "year": "2026",
    "chance": {
     "contract_version": 1,
     "kind": "at_least",
     "priced": 2,
     "unpriced": 4,
     "hits": 0,
     "probability": 1.0,
     "one_in": 1,
     "log10": 0.0,
     "words": "about even",
     "rule": "probability of at least this many correct picks if each pick came in with its market probability (1/price); exact Poisson-binomial",
     "note": "market prices include the bookmaker margin, so the chance is slightly overstated — a cautious figure"
    },
    "evidence_items": [
     {
      "nid": "n-39b063c35bbbdfc413cba05b",
      "data": "2026-10-13",
      "match": "Arsenal v Lille",
      "said_text": "Correct score: Arsenal 2-0 Lille at 5.7",
      "outcome_label": "score wrong · result right",
      "url": "/authors/igor-petrov/picks/9/#pick-n-39b063c35bbbdfc413cba05b",
      "evidence_price": 1.21,
      "comparison": "19 other tipsters and sources on this match, 18 right (19 named home win)"
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-7267e5bd8a181331f8955542",
      "data": "2026-10-13",
      "match": "Galatasaray v FC Barcelona",
      "said_text": "Correct score: Galatasaray 1-5 FC Barcelona at 14",
      "outcome_label": "score wrong · result right",
      "url": "/authors/igor-petrov/picks/7/#pick-n-7267e5bd8a181331f8955542",
      "evidence_price": 1.29,
      "comparison": "12 other tipsters and sources on this match, 9 right (10 named away win, 2 named home win)"
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-c76913a032b5ee234ed3ed13",
      "data": "2026-10-13",
      "match": "FK Spartak Kostroma v FK Chelyabinsk",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: FK Spartak Kostroma",
      "outcome_label": "right",
      "url": "/authors/igor-petrov/picks/8/#pick-n-c76913a032b5ee234ed3ed13",
      "evidence_price": null,
      "comparison": "2 other tipsters and sources on this match, 1 right (2 named home win)"
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-7b3750e4432ec09ba9d7662c",
      "data": "2026-10-14",
      "match": "CSKA Moscow v Rostov",
      "said_text": "Correct score: CSKA Moscow 3-1 Rostov at 14",
      "outcome_label": "score wrong · result right",
      "url": "/authors/igor-petrov/picks/13/#pick-n-7b3750e4432ec09ba9d7662c",
      "evidence_price": null,
      "comparison": "1 other tipster on this match, 0 right (1 named draw)"
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-5d6ab7faffec4c11f504cf4f",
      "data": "2026-10-15",
      "match": "Rubin Kazan v FC Orenburg",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: draw at 3.5",
      "outcome_label": "wrong",
      "url": "/authors/igor-petrov/picks/14/#pick-n-5d6ab7faffec4c11f504cf4f",
      "evidence_price": null,
      "comparison": null
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-8478c1e3e50c11e8aee571f5",
      "data": "2026-10-17",
      "match": "Dynamo Makhachkala v Akron Tolyatti",
      "said_text": "Correct score: Dynamo Makhachkala 1-1 Akron Tolyatti at 6.2",
      "outcome_label": "score right · result right",
      "url": "/authors/igor-petrov/picks/23/#pick-n-8478c1e3e50c11e8aee571f5",
      "evidence_price": null,
      "comparison": "1 other tipster on this match, 0 right (1 named home win)"
     }
    ]
   },
   {
    "id": "zk-c2838ff0a3bca348a1c7",
    "name_shown": "Ivan",
    "url": "/authors/ivan/",
    "body": "5/5 result calls right · week of 26 Oct 2026",
    "fact": "5 of 5 result calls right in the week 26 Oct 2026–1 Nov 2026 (Monday to Sunday, UTC), one call per match. On 5 of these matches the other tipsters and sources were right 99.4% of the time.",
    "tier": null,
    "m": null,
    "provenance": "live",
    "status": "active",
    "cause": null,
    "event_at": "2026-11-01",
    "evidence_through": "2026-11-01",
    "year": "2026",
    "chance": {
     "contract_version": 1,
     "kind": "at_least",
     "priced": 4,
     "unpriced": 1,
     "hits": 4,
     "probability": 0.35509,
     "one_in": 3,
     "log10": -0.45,
     "words": "1 in 3",
     "rule": "probability of at least this many correct picks if each pick came in with its market probability (1/price); exact Poisson-binomial",
     "note": "market prices include the bookmaker margin, so the chance is slightly overstated — a cautious figure"
    },
    "evidence_items": [
     {
      "nid": "n-a46a33c8b74853d172484a22",
      "data": "2026-10-30",
      "match": "Le Havre v Paris Saint-Germain",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: Paris Saint-Germain",
      "outcome_label": "right",
      "url": "/authors/ivan/picks/2/#pick-n-a46a33c8b74853d172484a22",
      "evidence_price": 1.3,
      "comparison": "31 other tipsters and sources on this match, 30 right (30 named away win, 1 named home win)"
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-b6251fa4d05a6ddc7b551a27",
      "data": "2026-10-31",
      "match": "Udinese v AS Roma",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: AS Roma",
      "outcome_label": "right",
      "url": "/authors/ivan/picks/3/#pick-n-b6251fa4d05a6ddc7b551a27",
      "evidence_price": 1.52,
      "comparison": "21 other tipsters and sources on this match, 21 right (21 named away win)"
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-ef6d8e57a9b1247094b0672d",
      "data": "2026-10-31",
      "match": "FC Porto v Estoril",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: FC Porto",
      "outcome_label": "right",
      "url": "/authors/ivan/picks/2/#pick-n-ef6d8e57a9b1247094b0672d",
      "evidence_price": 1.16,
      "comparison": "13 other tipsters and sources on this match, 13 right (13 named home win)"
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-6975fcfc6212ba33a6bda844",
      "data": "2026-11-01",
      "match": "Como v Venezia",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: Como",
      "outcome_label": "right",
      "url": "/authors/ivan/picks/2/#pick-n-6975fcfc6212ba33a6bda844",
      "evidence_price": 1.29,
      "comparison": "17 other tipsters and sources on this match, 17 right (17 named home win)"
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-6923bcf5a09fa6a2a3b73386",
      "data": "2026-11-01",
      "match": "Lazio v Cagliari",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: Lazio",
      "outcome_label": "right",
      "url": "/authors/ivan/picks/2/#pick-n-6923bcf5a09fa6a2a3b73386",
      "evidence_price": 1.5,
      "comparison": "26 other tipsters and sources on this match, 26 right (26 named home win)"
     }
    ]
   },
   {
    "id": "zk-e33d366641ac79835808",
    "name_shown": "James Kelbrick",
    "url": "/authors/james-kelbrick/",
    "body": "4/5 result calls right · week of 5 Oct 2026",
    "fact": "4 of 5 result calls right in the week 5 Oct 2026–11 Oct 2026 (Monday to Sunday, UTC), one call per match. On 5 of these matches the other tipsters and sources were right 51.1% of the time.",
    "tier": null,
    "m": null,
    "provenance": "live",
    "status": "active",
    "cause": null,
    "event_at": "2026-10-11",
    "evidence_through": "2026-10-11",
    "year": "2026",
    "chance": {
     "contract_version": 1,
     "kind": "at_least",
     "priced": 2,
     "unpriced": 3,
     "hits": 0,
     "probability": 1.0,
     "one_in": 1,
     "log10": 0.0,
     "words": "about even",
     "rule": "probability of at least this many correct picks if each pick came in with its market probability (1/price); exact Poisson-binomial",
     "note": "market prices include the bookmaker margin, so the chance is slightly overstated — a cautious figure"
    },
    "evidence_items": [
     {
      "nid": "n-0a3cd63cab46e1f48485704c",
      "data": "2026-10-10",
      "match": "Ipswich Town v Fulham",
      "said_text": "Correct score: Ipswich Town 3-2 Fulham",
      "outcome_label": "score wrong · result right",
      "url": "/authors/james-kelbrick/picks/3/#pick-n-0a3cd63cab46e1f48485704c",
      "evidence_price": 2.65,
      "comparison": "11 other tipsters and sources on this match, 2 right (6 named draw, 3 named away win, 2 named home win)"
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-f39e41d274711aa9e6096231",
      "data": "2026-10-10",
      "match": "Chelsea v AFC Bournemouth",
      "said_text": "Correct score: Chelsea 2-1 AFC Bournemouth",
      "outcome_label": "score wrong · result right",
      "url": "/authors/james-kelbrick/picks/2/#pick-n-f39e41d274711aa9e6096231",
      "evidence_price": null,
      "comparison": "12 other tipsters and sources on this match, 6 right (6 named home win, 6 named draw)"
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-18ab31f5c35df92ab983e86c",
      "data": "2026-10-11",
      "match": "Hull City v Everton",
      "said_text": "Correct score: Hull City 0-0 Everton",
      "outcome_label": "score wrong · result right",
      "url": "/authors/james-kelbrick/picks/3/#pick-n-18ab31f5c35df92ab983e86c",
      "evidence_price": 3.3,
      "comparison": "20 other tipsters and sources on this match, 10 right (10 named draw, 9 named away win, 1 named home win)"
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-148b643ef0e8d14a85072226",
      "data": "2026-10-11",
      "match": "Liverpool v Manchester City",
      "said_text": "Correct score: Liverpool 2-2 Manchester City at 11",
      "outcome_label": "score wrong · result wrong",
      "url": "/authors/james-kelbrick/picks/3/#pick-n-148b643ef0e8d14a85072226",
      "evidence_price": null,
      "comparison": "32 other tipsters and sources on this match, 12 right (12 named draw, 12 named away win, 8 named home win)"
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-df28a686d077aa4e068bfb1d",
      "data": "2026-10-06",
      "match": "England v Czechia",
      "said_text": "Correct score: England 3-1 Czechia",
      "outcome_label": "score wrong · result right",
      "url": "/authors/james-kelbrick/picks/2/#pick-n-df28a686d077aa4e068bfb1d",
      "evidence_price": null,
      "comparison": "2 other tipsters and sources on this match, 2 right (2 named home win)"
     }
    ]
   },
   {
    "id": "zk-507b28f377dfb3ddaf02",
    "name_shown": "Jonas Caetano",
    "url": "/authors/jonas-caetano/",
    "body": "4/5 result calls right · week of 19 Oct 2026",
    "fact": "4 of 5 result calls right in the week 19 Oct 2026–25 Oct 2026 (Monday to Sunday, UTC), one call per match. On 4 of these matches the other tipsters and sources were right 62.4% of the time.",
    "tier": null,
    "m": null,
    "provenance": "live",
    "status": "active",
    "cause": null,
    "event_at": "2026-10-25",
    "evidence_through": "2026-10-25",
    "year": "2026",
    "chance": {
     "contract_version": 1,
     "kind": "at_least",
     "priced": 5,
     "unpriced": 0,
     "hits": 4,
     "probability": 0.113705,
     "one_in": 9,
     "log10": -0.94,
     "words": "1 in 9",
     "rule": "probability of at least this many correct picks if each pick came in with its market probability (1/price); exact Poisson-binomial",
     "note": "market prices include the bookmaker margin, so the chance is slightly overstated — a cautious figure"
    },
    "evidence_items": [
     {
      "nid": "n-ec2c1653e2a276b591b0e4c0",
      "data": "2026-10-19",
      "match": "Monterrey v CF Pachuca",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: Monterrey",
      "outcome_label": "right",
      "url": "/authors/jonas-caetano/picks/2/#pick-n-ec2c1653e2a276b591b0e4c0",
      "evidence_price": null,
      "comparison": "7 other tipsters and sources on this match, 5 right (5 named home win, 1 named draw, 1 named away win)"
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-966fd97a0be68873a8db6453",
      "data": "2026-10-22",
      "match": "Atlas v Club America",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: Club America",
      "outcome_label": "right",
      "url": "/authors/jonas-caetano/picks/5/#pick-n-966fd97a0be68873a8db6453",
      "evidence_price": null,
      "comparison": "2 other tipsters and sources on this match, 2 right (2 named away win)"
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-5d089172eb977b5a4dfe19c2",
      "data": "2026-10-22",
      "match": "CF Pachuca v Cruz Azul",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: Cruz Azul",
      "outcome_label": "right",
      "url": "/authors/jonas-caetano/picks/7/#pick-n-5d089172eb977b5a4dfe19c2",
      "evidence_price": 2.17,
      "comparison": "4 other tipsters and sources on this match, 3 right (3 named away win, 1 named home win)"
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-c02865c3cbb47bdc629d7b12",
      "data": "2026-10-25",
      "match": "U.N.A.M. - Pumas v Tigres UANL",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: U.N.A.M. - Pumas",
      "outcome_label": "wrong",
      "url": "/authors/jonas-caetano/picks/7/#pick-n-c02865c3cbb47bdc629d7b12",
      "evidence_price": 2.4,
      "comparison": null
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-cd906f7790430d8bb36ff7ca",
      "data": "2026-10-25",
      "match": "FC Barcelona v Real Madrid",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: Real Madrid",
      "outcome_label": "right",
      "url": "/authors/jonas-caetano/picks/7/#pick-n-cd906f7790430d8bb36ff7ca",
      "evidence_price": 4.0,
      "comparison": "33 other tipsters and sources on this match, 1 right (29 named home win, 3 named draw, 1 named away win)"
     }
    ]
   },
   {
    "id": "zk-c4392fb341fcded380fb",
    "name_shown": "Joshua Ojele",
    "url": "/authors/joshua-ojele/",
    "body": "5/6 result calls right · week of 19 Oct 2026",
    "fact": "5 of 6 result calls right in the week 19 Oct 2026–25 Oct 2026 (Monday to Sunday, UTC), one call per match. On 6 of these matches the other tipsters and sources were right 52.2% of the time.",
    "tier": null,
    "m": null,
    "provenance": "live",
    "status": "active",
    "cause": null,
    "event_at": "2026-10-25",
    "evidence_through": "2026-10-25",
    "year": "2026",
    "chance": {
     "contract_version": 1,
     "kind": "at_least",
     "priced": 5,
     "unpriced": 1,
     "hits": 3,
     "probability": 0.522483,
     "one_in": 2,
     "log10": -0.28,
     "words": "about even",
     "rule": "probability of at least this many correct picks if each pick came in with its market probability (1/price); exact Poisson-binomial",
     "note": "market prices include the bookmaker margin, so the chance is slightly overstated — a cautious figure"
    },
    "evidence_items": [
     {
      "nid": "n-779400daa4b2cc0b045de835",
      "data": "2026-10-22",
      "match": "AFC Ajax v Atalanta",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: AFC Ajax at 2.1",
      "outcome_label": "right",
      "url": "/authors/joshua-ojele/picks/4/#pick-n-779400daa4b2cc0b045de835",
      "evidence_price": 2.0,
      "comparison": "8 other tipsters and sources on this match, 4 right (4 named home win, 3 named draw, 1 named away win)"
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-2b24af3becc0b764cea0856e",
      "data": "2026-10-22",
      "match": "Monaco v SC Freiburg",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: Monaco at 2.2",
      "outcome_label": "right",
      "url": "/authors/joshua-ojele/picks/4/#pick-n-2b24af3becc0b764cea0856e",
      "evidence_price": 2.3,
      "comparison": "8 other tipsters and sources on this match, 3 right (5 named draw, 3 named home win)"
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-175a3480aafac7a87761819d",
      "data": "2026-10-24",
      "match": "Estrela Amadora v Casa Pia",
      "said_text": "Correct score: Estrela Amadora 2-1 Casa Pia",
      "outcome_label": "score wrong · result wrong",
      "url": "/authors/joshua-ojele/picks/5/#pick-n-175a3480aafac7a87761819d",
      "evidence_price": null,
      "comparison": "5 other tipsters and sources on this match, 0 right (5 named home win)"
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-94227a5b3b1e3031f139004c",
      "data": "2026-10-24",
      "match": "Gil Vicente v FC Porto",
      "said_text": "Correct score: Gil Vicente 1-3 FC Porto at 13",
      "outcome_label": "score wrong · result right",
      "url": "/authors/joshua-ojele/picks/5/#pick-n-94227a5b3b1e3031f139004c",
      "evidence_price": 1.45,
      "comparison": "13 other tipsters and sources on this match, 12 right (12 named away win, 1 named draw)"
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-ccd7741d63be9da9fe860a91",
      "data": "2026-10-25",
      "match": "PSV Eindhoven v Feyenoord",
      "said_text": "Correct score: PSV Eindhoven 2-2 Feyenoord",
      "outcome_label": "score wrong · result right",
      "url": "/authors/joshua-ojele/picks/5/#pick-n-ccd7741d63be9da9fe860a91",
      "evidence_price": 4.1,
      "comparison": "6 other tipsters and sources on this match, 2 right (3 named home win, 2 named draw, 1 named away win)"
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-0cf3430fcca3bfbab3d61007",
      "data": "2026-10-25",
      "match": "Sparta Rotterdam v AFC Ajax",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: AFC Ajax at 1.44",
      "outcome_label": "right",
      "url": "/authors/joshua-ojele/picks/5/#pick-n-0cf3430fcca3bfbab3d61007",
      "evidence_price": 1.46,
      "comparison": "7 other tipsters and sources on this match, 7 right (7 named away win)"
     }
    ]
   },
   {
    "id": "zk-33adfd3d64a3e0abeed0",
    "name_shown": "KurzoveSazeni.com («Štěpán»)",
    "url": "/sources/kurzovesazeni-com/",
    "body": "4/5 result calls right · week of 26 Oct 2026",
    "fact": "4 of 5 result calls right in the week 26 Oct 2026–1 Nov 2026 (Monday to Sunday, UTC), one call per match. On 5 of these matches the other tipsters and sources were right 75.5% of the time.",
    "tier": null,
    "m": null,
    "provenance": "live",
    "status": "active",
    "cause": null,
    "event_at": "2026-11-01",
    "evidence_through": "2026-11-01",
    "year": "2026",
    "chance": {
     "contract_version": 1,
     "kind": "at_least",
     "priced": 3,
     "unpriced": 2,
     "hits": 3,
     "probability": 0.261148,
     "one_in": 4,
     "log10": -0.58,
     "words": "1 in 4",
     "rule": "probability of at least this many correct picks if each pick came in with its market probability (1/price); exact Poisson-binomial",
     "note": "market prices include the bookmaker margin, so the chance is slightly overstated — a cautious figure"
    },
    "evidence_items": [
     {
      "nid": "n-0d5ea11cfd9a3d51deebbc9b",
      "data": "2026-10-31",
      "match": "Tottenham Hotspur v Crystal Palace",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: Tottenham Hotspur at 1.57",
      "outcome_label": "right",
      "url": "/sources/kurzovesazeni-com/picks/4/#pick-n-0d5ea11cfd9a3d51deebbc9b",
      "evidence_price": 1.65,
      "comparison": "37 other tipsters and sources on this match, 34 right (34 named home win, 3 named away win)"
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-c5b09dd7624ea65019cfc0bc",
      "data": "2026-11-01",
      "match": "FC Lugano v Basel",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: FC Lugano at 1.59",
      "outcome_label": "right",
      "url": "/sources/kurzovesazeni-com/picks/4/#pick-n-c5b09dd7624ea65019cfc0bc",
      "evidence_price": null,
      "comparison": "7 other tipsters and sources on this match, 7 right (7 named home win)"
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-581ec51b1c905a4e41eda44b",
      "data": "2026-11-01",
      "match": "Lommel v Gent",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: Gent at 1.85",
      "outcome_label": "wrong",
      "url": "/sources/kurzovesazeni-com/picks/3/#pick-n-581ec51b1c905a4e41eda44b",
      "evidence_price": null,
      "comparison": "5 other tipsters and sources on this match, 0 right (5 named away win)"
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-9ccbcb9b378dfc7bae66a6ed",
      "data": "2026-11-01",
      "match": "Palermo v L.R. Vicenza",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: Palermo at 1.57",
      "outcome_label": "right",
      "url": "/sources/kurzovesazeni-com/picks/4/#pick-n-9ccbcb9b378dfc7bae66a6ed",
      "evidence_price": 1.47,
      "comparison": "7 other tipsters and sources on this match, 6 right (7 named home win)"
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-4ec182868b8f78d567775665",
      "data": "2026-11-01",
      "match": "Charleroi v RAAL La Louviere",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: Charleroi at 1.52",
      "outcome_label": "right",
      "url": "/sources/kurzovesazeni-com/picks/4/#pick-n-4ec182868b8f78d567775665",
      "evidence_price": null,
      "comparison": "5 other tipsters and sources on this match, 5 right (5 named home win)"
     }
    ]
   },
   {
    "id": "zk-56005e959fef26c6327d",
    "name_shown": "Marco Avena",
    "url": "/authors/marco-avena/",
    "body": "4/5 result calls right · week of 19 Oct 2026",
    "fact": "4 of 5 result calls right in the week 19 Oct 2026–25 Oct 2026 (Monday to Sunday, UTC), one call per match. On 5 of these matches the other tipsters and sources were right 74.2% of the time.",
    "tier": null,
    "m": null,
    "provenance": "live",
    "status": "active",
    "cause": null,
    "event_at": "2026-10-25",
    "evidence_through": "2026-10-25",
    "year": "2026",
    "chance": {
     "contract_version": 1,
     "kind": "at_least",
     "priced": 5,
     "unpriced": 0,
     "hits": 4,
     "probability": 0.174291,
     "one_in": 6,
     "log10": -0.76,
     "words": "1 in 6",
     "rule": "probability of at least this many correct picks if each pick came in with its market probability (1/price); exact Poisson-binomial",
     "note": "market prices include the bookmaker margin, so the chance is slightly overstated — a cautious figure"
    },
    "evidence_items": [
     {
      "nid": "n-ffc4ca5bcb3d68d380432e08",
      "data": "2026-10-22",
      "match": "AFC Ajax v Atalanta",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: Atalanta at 3.1",
      "outcome_label": "wrong",
      "url": "/authors/marco-avena/picks/6/#pick-n-ffc4ca5bcb3d68d380432e08",
      "evidence_price": 3.2,
      "comparison": "8 other tipsters and sources on this match, 5 right (5 named home win, 3 named draw)"
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-694d4c766078601bc9a1d2b4",
      "data": "2026-10-23",
      "match": "Torino v Monza",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: Torino at 2.1",
      "outcome_label": "right",
      "url": "/authors/marco-avena/picks/6/#pick-n-694d4c766078601bc9a1d2b4",
      "evidence_price": 2.1,
      "comparison": "17 other tipsters and sources on this match, 14 right (14 named home win, 2 named draw, 1 named away win)"
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-d4940ea9eb2115a89f3b6961",
      "data": "2026-10-24",
      "match": "Arsenal v Everton",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: Arsenal at 1.45",
      "outcome_label": "right",
      "url": "/authors/marco-avena/picks/6/#pick-n-d4940ea9eb2115a89f3b6961",
      "evidence_price": null,
      "comparison": "41 other tipsters and sources on this match, 40 right (40 named home win, 1 named draw)"
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-a6d9228c4d0d0318904e6116",
      "data": "2026-10-24",
      "match": "SSC Napoli v AS Roma",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: draw at 3.4",
      "outcome_label": "right",
      "url": "/authors/marco-avena/picks/6/#pick-n-a6d9228c4d0d0318904e6116",
      "evidence_price": null,
      "comparison": "28 other tipsters and sources on this match, 8 right (17 named away win, 8 named draw, 3 named home win)"
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-0329c16a9dc49d5e91431b25",
      "data": "2026-10-25",
      "match": "Inter v Fiorentina",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: Inter at 1.33",
      "outcome_label": "right",
      "url": "/authors/marco-avena/picks/6/#pick-n-0329c16a9dc49d5e91431b25",
      "evidence_price": 1.34,
      "comparison": "18 other tipsters and sources on this match, 18 right (18 named home win)"
     }
    ]
   },
   {
    "id": "zk-89eb02ffbe61527e7d1f",
    "name_shown": "Marvellous Adepoju",
    "url": "/authors/marvellous-adepoju/",
    "body": "4/5 result calls right · week of 26 Oct 2026",
    "fact": "4 of 5 result calls right in the week 26 Oct 2026–1 Nov 2026 (Monday to Sunday, UTC), one call per match. On 5 of these matches the other tipsters and sources were right 64.8% of the time.",
    "tier": null,
    "m": null,
    "provenance": "live",
    "status": "active",
    "cause": null,
    "event_at": "2026-11-01",
    "evidence_through": "2026-11-01",
    "year": "2026",
    "chance": {
     "contract_version": 1,
     "kind": "at_least",
     "priced": 5,
     "unpriced": 0,
     "hits": 4,
     "probability": 0.238702,
     "one_in": 4,
     "log10": -0.62,
     "words": "1 in 4",
     "rule": "probability of at least this many correct picks if each pick came in with its market probability (1/price); exact Poisson-binomial",
     "note": "market prices include the bookmaker margin, so the chance is slightly overstated — a cautious figure"
    },
    "evidence_items": [
     {
      "nid": "n-71400e040384d6c9014614be",
      "data": "2026-10-26",
      "match": "Santa Clara v Benfica",
      "said_text": "Correct score: Santa Clara 1-2 Benfica at 9",
      "outcome_label": "score right · result right",
      "url": "/authors/marvellous-adepoju/picks/13/#pick-n-71400e040384d6c9014614be",
      "evidence_price": 1.36,
      "comparison": "16 other tipsters and sources on this match, 15 right (16 named away win)"
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-4d96828bb6c1763711e7b9dd",
      "data": "2026-10-31",
      "match": "AFC Ajax v AZ Alkmaar",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: AFC Ajax at 1.67",
      "outcome_label": "right",
      "url": "/authors/marvellous-adepoju/picks/16/#pick-n-4d96828bb6c1763711e7b9dd",
      "evidence_price": 1.75,
      "comparison": "7 other tipsters and sources on this match, 6 right (6 named home win, 1 named draw)"
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-dc3456acc90870caac5dde1b",
      "data": "2026-11-01",
      "match": "SC Telstar v FC Utrecht",
      "said_text": "Correct score: SC Telstar 1-2 FC Utrecht",
      "outcome_label": "score wrong · result wrong",
      "url": "/authors/marvellous-adepoju/picks/16/#pick-n-dc3456acc90870caac5dde1b",
      "evidence_price": 2.14,
      "comparison": "5 other tipsters and sources on this match, 0 right (3 named away win, 2 named draw)"
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-42fb4c8577a251cba1a94159",
      "data": "2026-11-01",
      "match": "Paris FC v Monaco",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: Paris FC at 2.35",
      "outcome_label": "right",
      "url": "/authors/marvellous-adepoju/picks/17/#pick-n-42fb4c8577a251cba1a94159",
      "evidence_price": 2.45,
      "comparison": "17 other tipsters and sources on this match, 11 right (11 named home win, 4 named away win, 2 named draw)"
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-23268f9b835947b25852704d",
      "data": "2026-11-01",
      "match": "Olympique de Marseille v Toulouse",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: Olympique de Marseille at 1.9",
      "outcome_label": "right",
      "url": "/authors/marvellous-adepoju/picks/17/#pick-n-23268f9b835947b25852704d",
      "evidence_price": 1.87,
      "comparison": "15 other tipsters and sources on this match, 12 right (12 named home win, 2 named draw, 1 named away win)"
     }
    ]
   },
   {
    "id": "zk-85f8dba9434397bae213",
    "name_shown": "Marvellous Adepoju",
    "url": "/authors/marvellous-adepoju/",
    "body": "5/6 result calls right · week of 19 Oct 2026",
    "fact": "5 of 6 result calls right in the week 19 Oct 2026–25 Oct 2026 (Monday to Sunday, UTC), one call per match. On 6 of these matches the other tipsters and sources were right 76.6% of the time.",
    "tier": null,
    "m": null,
    "provenance": "live",
    "status": "active",
    "cause": null,
    "event_at": "2026-10-25",
    "evidence_through": "2026-10-25",
    "year": "2026",
    "chance": {
     "contract_version": 1,
     "kind": "at_least",
     "priced": 2,
     "unpriced": 4,
     "hits": 2,
     "probability": 0.365912,
     "one_in": 3,
     "log10": -0.44,
     "words": "1 in 3",
     "rule": "probability of at least this many correct picks if each pick came in with its market probability (1/price); exact Poisson-binomial",
     "note": "market prices include the bookmaker margin, so the chance is slightly overstated — a cautious figure"
    },
    "evidence_items": [
     {
      "nid": "n-90833b1f156b33aedb6bb7ea",
      "data": "2026-10-20",
      "match": "Sabah FK v Borussia Dortmund",
      "said_text": "Correct score: Sabah FK 1-3 Borussia Dortmund",
      "outcome_label": "score wrong · result right",
      "url": "/authors/marvellous-adepoju/picks/6/#pick-n-90833b1f156b33aedb6bb7ea",
      "evidence_price": 1.27,
      "comparison": "11 other tipsters and sources on this match, 10 right (10 named away win, 1 named home win)"
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-8e4c0c9f2169244011bbff9b",
      "data": "2026-10-22",
      "match": "Ararat-Armenia v AZ Alkmaar",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: AZ Alkmaar at 1.54",
      "outcome_label": "right",
      "url": "/authors/marvellous-adepoju/picks/8/#pick-n-8e4c0c9f2169244011bbff9b",
      "evidence_price": 1.39,
      "comparison": "11 other tipsters and sources on this match, 9 right (9 named away win, 2 named draw)"
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-f48c799d828ebd922623654f",
      "data": "2026-10-22",
      "match": "Lincoln Red Imps v FC Twente",
      "said_text": "Correct score: Lincoln Red Imps 1-3 FC Twente",
      "outcome_label": "score wrong · result right",
      "url": "/authors/marvellous-adepoju/picks/8/#pick-n-f48c799d828ebd922623654f",
      "evidence_price": 1.15,
      "comparison": "8 other tipsters and sources on this match, 6 right (6 named away win, 2 named draw)"
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-bdbbc76d0cb15ecad8a0f19a",
      "data": "2026-10-24",
      "match": "SC Paderborn 07 v Hamburger SV",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: draw at 3.75",
      "outcome_label": "wrong",
      "url": "/authors/marvellous-adepoju/picks/11/#pick-n-bdbbc76d0cb15ecad8a0f19a",
      "evidence_price": 3.65,
      "comparison": "9 other tipsters and sources on this match, 3 right (6 named away win, 3 named home win)"
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-0d3bafcb56f2693dd14e486e",
      "data": "2026-10-25",
      "match": "Olympique de Marseille v Le Havre",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: Olympique de Marseille at 1.58",
      "outcome_label": "right",
      "url": "/authors/marvellous-adepoju/picks/11/#pick-n-0d3bafcb56f2693dd14e486e",
      "evidence_price": 1.44,
      "comparison": "16 other tipsters and sources on this match, 16 right (16 named home win)"
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-948ebb40d7a1ee5949b35e2c",
      "data": "2026-10-25",
      "match": "Stade Rennais v RC Strasbourg",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: Stade Rennais at 1.75",
      "outcome_label": "right",
      "url": "/authors/marvellous-adepoju/picks/11/#pick-n-948ebb40d7a1ee5949b35e2c",
      "evidence_price": 1.77,
      "comparison": "14 other tipsters and sources on this match, 11 right (11 named home win, 3 named draw)"
     }
    ]
   },
   {
    "id": "zk-70a11e3952fc4f6e7858",
    "name_shown": "Medhi Poirier",
    "url": "/authors/medhi-poirier/",
    "body": "4/5 result calls right · week of 12 Oct 2026",
    "fact": "4 of 5 result calls right in the week 12 Oct 2026–18 Oct 2026 (Monday to Sunday, UTC), one call per match. On 3 of these matches the other tipsters and sources were right 64.1% of the time.",
    "tier": null,
    "m": null,
    "provenance": "live",
    "status": "active",
    "cause": null,
    "event_at": "2026-10-18",
    "evidence_through": "2026-10-18",
    "year": "2026",
    "chance": {
     "contract_version": 1,
     "kind": "at_least",
     "priced": 4,
     "unpriced": 1,
     "hits": 3,
     "probability": 0.552987,
     "one_in": 2,
     "log10": -0.26,
     "words": "about even",
     "rule": "probability of at least this many correct picks if each pick came in with its market probability (1/price); exact Poisson-binomial",
     "note": "market prices include the bookmaker margin, so the chance is slightly overstated — a cautious figure"
    },
    "evidence_items": [
     {
      "nid": "n-5fb3c7c475f5b0c697ec86cf",
      "data": "2026-10-15",
      "match": "Jagiellonia v Ararat-Armenia",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: Jagiellonia at 1.35",
      "outcome_label": "right",
      "url": "/authors/medhi-poirier/picks/3/#pick-n-5fb3c7c475f5b0c697ec86cf",
      "evidence_price": 1.4,
      "comparison": "13 other tipsters and sources on this match, 12 right (12 named home win, 1 named draw)"
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-d37bac82ee308e1da48cfcb2",
      "data": "2026-10-17",
      "match": "Atlético Mineiro v Coritiba",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: Atlético Mineiro at 1.39",
      "outcome_label": "right",
      "url": "/authors/medhi-poirier/picks/3/#pick-n-d37bac82ee308e1da48cfcb2",
      "evidence_price": null,
      "comparison": "1 other tipster on this match, 1 right (1 named home win)"
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-7b44de9c3c899bd1ff98e913",
      "data": "2026-10-17",
      "match": "Botafogo v Chapecoense",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: Botafogo at 1.31",
      "outcome_label": "right",
      "url": "/authors/medhi-poirier/picks/3/#pick-n-7b44de9c3c899bd1ff98e913",
      "evidence_price": null,
      "comparison": "3 other tipsters and sources on this match, 3 right (3 named home win)"
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-efb26e5bdd1c536bfa3b967c",
      "data": "2026-10-18",
      "match": "Fluminense v Santos",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: Fluminense at 2.13",
      "outcome_label": "wrong",
      "url": "/authors/medhi-poirier/picks/4/#pick-n-efb26e5bdd1c536bfa3b967c",
      "evidence_price": null,
      "comparison": "3 other tipsters and sources on this match, 0 right (2 named home win, 1 named draw)"
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-2fcd3164db48ab3d99bf1caa",
      "data": "2026-10-18",
      "match": "Beijing Guoan v Qingdao West Coast",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: Beijing Guoan at 1.35",
      "outcome_label": "right",
      "url": "/authors/medhi-poirier/picks/3/#pick-n-2fcd3164db48ab3d99bf1caa",
      "evidence_price": null,
      "comparison": null
     }
    ]
   },
   {
    "id": "zk-26f9af92bb99f59ebe21",
    "name_shown": "Meki Tanrıverdi",
    "url": "/authors/meki-tanr-verdi/",
    "body": "6/7 result calls right · week of 12 Oct 2026",
    "fact": "6 of 7 result calls right in the week 12 Oct 2026–18 Oct 2026 (Monday to Sunday, UTC), one call per match. On 7 of these matches the other tipsters and sources were right 78.5% of the time.",
    "tier": null,
    "m": null,
    "provenance": "live",
    "status": "active",
    "cause": null,
    "event_at": "2026-10-18",
    "evidence_through": "2026-10-18",
    "year": "2026",
    "chance": {
     "contract_version": 1,
     "kind": "at_least",
     "priced": 6,
     "unpriced": 1,
     "hits": 5,
     "probability": 0.155318,
     "one_in": 6,
     "log10": -0.81,
     "words": "1 in 6",
     "rule": "probability of at least this many correct picks if each pick came in with its market probability (1/price); exact Poisson-binomial",
     "note": "market prices include the bookmaker margin, so the chance is slightly overstated — a cautious figure"
    },
    "evidence_items": [
     {
      "nid": "n-54240c4c956d8b2cf9aefefb",
      "data": "2026-10-12",
      "match": "Eyüpspor v Göztepe",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: Göztepe at 1.73",
      "outcome_label": "right",
      "url": "/authors/meki-tanr-verdi/picks/2/#pick-n-54240c4c956d8b2cf9aefefb",
      "evidence_price": 1.85,
      "comparison": "6 other tipsters and sources on this match, 6 right (6 named away win)"
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-ae5389de26456e3fea2a9009",
      "data": "2026-10-12",
      "match": "Coventry City v Newcastle United",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: Newcastle United at 1.89",
      "outcome_label": "wrong",
      "url": "/authors/meki-tanr-verdi/picks/2/#pick-n-ae5389de26456e3fea2a9009",
      "evidence_price": 2.15,
      "comparison": "25 other tipsters and sources on this match, 2 right (19 named away win, 4 named draw, 2 named home win)"
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-5a066c8b0532a3a26912bc50",
      "data": "2026-10-15",
      "match": "Olympique Lyonnais v Crystal Palace",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: Olympique Lyonnais at 2.02",
      "outcome_label": "right",
      "url": "/authors/meki-tanr-verdi/picks/56/#pick-n-5a066c8b0532a3a26912bc50",
      "evidence_price": 2.35,
      "comparison": "11 other tipsters and sources on this match, 8 right (8 named home win, 3 named draw)"
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-60caea6c4a7b428c4627cce1",
      "data": "2026-10-15",
      "match": "Benfica v Celtic",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result, first half: Benfica at 1.45",
      "outcome_label": "right",
      "url": "/authors/meki-tanr-verdi/picks/56/#pick-n-60caea6c4a7b428c4627cce1",
      "evidence_price": 1.22,
      "comparison": "9 other tipsters and sources on this match, 9 right (9 named home win)"
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-183ab95ae12642d895a82026",
      "data": "2026-10-17",
      "match": "Manchester City v Ipswich Town",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: Manchester City at 1.42",
      "outcome_label": "right",
      "url": "/authors/meki-tanr-verdi/picks/57/#pick-n-183ab95ae12642d895a82026",
      "evidence_price": null,
      "comparison": "17 other tipsters and sources on this match, 16 right (17 named home win)"
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-5cf47f0b3e8f344906c1c871",
      "data": "2026-10-18",
      "match": "AC Milan v Atalanta",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: AC Milan at 1.62",
      "outcome_label": "right",
      "url": "/authors/meki-tanr-verdi/picks/57/#pick-n-5cf47f0b3e8f344906c1c871",
      "evidence_price": null,
      "comparison": "22 other tipsters and sources on this match, 18 right (18 named home win, 2 named draw, 2 named away win)"
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-f764825408b1a2b64ce4e64e",
      "data": "2026-10-18",
      "match": "Nottingham Forest v Arsenal",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: Arsenal at 1.42",
      "outcome_label": "right",
      "url": "/authors/meki-tanr-verdi/picks/57/#pick-n-f764825408b1a2b64ce4e64e",
      "evidence_price": null,
      "comparison": "28 other tipsters and sources on this match, 26 right (26 named away win, 2 named draw)"
     }
    ]
   },
   {
    "id": "zk-bdf57f39a11c08e4f3ec",
    "name_shown": "Meki Tanrıverdi",
    "url": "/authors/meki-tanr-verdi/",
    "body": "4/5 result calls right · week of 5 Oct 2026 · archive record",
    "fact": "4 of 5 result calls right in the week 5 Oct 2026–11 Oct 2026 (Monday to Sunday, UTC), one call per match. On 5 of these matches the other tipsters and sources were right 53.4% of the time.",
    "tier": null,
    "m": null,
    "provenance": "live+archived",
    "status": "active",
    "cause": null,
    "event_at": "2026-10-11",
    "evidence_through": "2026-10-11",
    "year": "2026",
    "chance": {
     "contract_version": 1,
     "kind": "at_least",
     "priced": 4,
     "unpriced": 1,
     "hits": 3,
     "probability": 0.351554,
     "one_in": 3,
     "log10": -0.45,
     "words": "1 in 3",
     "rule": "probability of at least this many correct picks if each pick came in with its market probability (1/price); exact Poisson-binomial",
     "note": "market prices include the bookmaker margin, so the chance is slightly overstated — a cautious figure"
    },
    "evidence_items": [
     {
      "nid": "n-908f006adb2bacc132a33b9c",
      "data": "2026-10-09",
      "match": "Galatasaray v Kasımpaşa",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: Galatasaray at 1.51",
      "outcome_label": "right",
      "url": "/authors/meki-tanr-verdi/picks/2/#pick-n-908f006adb2bacc132a33b9c",
      "evidence_price": 1.27,
      "comparison": "3 other tipsters and sources on this match, 2 right (2 named home win, 1 named draw)"
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-eb1f204a674927e3405d48fc",
      "data": "2026-10-10",
      "match": "Samsunspor v Trabzonspor",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: Trabzonspor at 1.78",
      "outcome_label": "right",
      "url": "/authors/meki-tanr-verdi/picks/56/#pick-n-eb1f204a674927e3405d48fc",
      "evidence_price": null,
      "comparison": "3 other tipsters and sources on this match, 3 right (3 named away win)"
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-421656252f62a2a90f03e434",
      "data": "2026-10-10",
      "match": "Chelsea v AFC Bournemouth",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: Chelsea at 1.51",
      "outcome_label": "right",
      "url": "/authors/meki-tanr-verdi/picks/2/#pick-n-421656252f62a2a90f03e434",
      "evidence_price": null,
      "comparison": "12 other tipsters and sources on this match, 6 right (6 named draw, 6 named home win)"
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-c3d7e6da8fd3a6c96fa99d5e",
      "data": "2026-10-10",
      "match": "Manchester United v Tottenham Hotspur",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: Manchester United at 1.53",
      "outcome_label": "wrong",
      "url": "/authors/meki-tanr-verdi/picks/2/#pick-n-c3d7e6da8fd3a6c96fa99d5e",
      "evidence_price": null,
      "comparison": "19 other tipsters and sources on this match, 3 right (14 named home win, 3 named draw, 2 named away win)"
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-3a134ede867caeab40bfea95",
      "data": "2026-10-11",
      "match": "Liverpool v Manchester City",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: Manchester City at 2.24",
      "outcome_label": "right",
      "url": "/authors/meki-tanr-verdi/picks/2/#pick-n-3a134ede867caeab40bfea95",
      "evidence_price": null,
      "comparison": "32 other tipsters and sources on this match, 11 right (13 named draw, 11 named away win, 8 named home win)"
     }
    ]
   },
   {
    "id": "zk-1d5292ed85a71802d687",
    "name_shown": "Miguel Alvim",
    "url": "/authors/miguel-alvim/",
    "body": "6/7 result calls right · week of 19 Oct 2026",
    "fact": "6 of 7 result calls right in the week 19 Oct 2026–25 Oct 2026 (Monday to Sunday, UTC), one call per match. On 7 of these matches the other tipsters and sources were right 73.2% of the time.",
    "tier": null,
    "m": null,
    "provenance": "live",
    "status": "active",
    "cause": null,
    "event_at": "2026-10-25",
    "evidence_through": "2026-10-25",
    "year": "2026",
    "chance": {
     "contract_version": 1,
     "kind": "at_least",
     "priced": 6,
     "unpriced": 1,
     "hits": 5,
     "probability": 0.263402,
     "one_in": 4,
     "log10": -0.58,
     "words": "1 in 4",
     "rule": "probability of at least this many correct picks if each pick came in with its market probability (1/price); exact Poisson-binomial",
     "note": "market prices include the bookmaker margin, so the chance is slightly overstated — a cautious figure"
    },
    "evidence_items": [
     {
      "nid": "n-c5cbe5f5e1930f22687e9554",
      "data": "2026-10-19",
      "match": "Getafe v Rayo Vallecano",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: draw at 3.1",
      "outcome_label": "right",
      "url": "/authors/miguel-alvim/picks/3/#pick-n-c5cbe5f5e1930f22687e9554",
      "evidence_price": 2.9,
      "comparison": "17 other tipsters and sources on this match, 9 right (9 named draw, 4 named away win, 4 named home win)"
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-0ca8bbb6c43b00497f0d510f",
      "data": "2026-10-20",
      "match": "Liverpool v Villarreal",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: Liverpool at 1.56",
      "outcome_label": "right",
      "url": "/authors/miguel-alvim/picks/3/#pick-n-0ca8bbb6c43b00497f0d510f",
      "evidence_price": 1.49,
      "comparison": "36 other tipsters and sources on this match, 36 right (36 named home win)"
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-eda8c2bbebdcfadf77257e03",
      "data": "2026-10-21",
      "match": "Como v Manchester United",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: Como at 2.27",
      "outcome_label": "right",
      "url": "/authors/miguel-alvim/picks/4/#pick-n-eda8c2bbebdcfadf77257e03",
      "evidence_price": 2.35,
      "comparison": "29 other tipsters and sources on this match, 17 right (17 named home win, 8 named draw, 4 named away win)"
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-a609bf736f56d9faae0e8140",
      "data": "2026-10-21",
      "match": "Club Brugge KV v RC Lens",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: Club Brugge KV at 2.22",
      "outcome_label": "right",
      "url": "/authors/miguel-alvim/picks/4/#pick-n-a609bf736f56d9faae0e8140",
      "evidence_price": 1.73,
      "comparison": "21 other tipsters and sources on this match, 18 right (18 named home win, 2 named draw, 1 named away win)"
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-62ad2ab77870a692cb43711e",
      "data": "2026-10-21",
      "match": "Real Madrid v RB Leipzig",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: Real Madrid at 1.54",
      "outcome_label": "right",
      "url": "/authors/miguel-alvim/picks/3/#pick-n-62ad2ab77870a692cb43711e",
      "evidence_price": 1.23,
      "comparison": "33 other tipsters and sources on this match, 33 right (33 named home win)"
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-cdc88ea1fefde93d14514ed1",
      "data": "2026-10-21",
      "match": "Inter v Shakhtar Donetsk",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: Inter at 1.28",
      "outcome_label": "right",
      "url": "/authors/miguel-alvim/picks/4/#pick-n-cdc88ea1fefde93d14514ed1",
      "evidence_price": 1.25,
      "comparison": "18 other tipsters and sources on this match, 16 right (16 named home win, 1 named draw, 1 named away win)"
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-6e7a0f0e538023f2992640ed",
      "data": "2026-10-21",
      "match": "FC Bayern München v Arsenal",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: FC Bayern München at 2.17",
      "outcome_label": "wrong",
      "url": "/authors/miguel-alvim/picks/4/#pick-n-6e7a0f0e538023f2992640ed",
      "evidence_price": 2.32,
      "comparison": "27 other tipsters and sources on this match, 7 right (16 named home win, 7 named draw, 4 named away win)"
     }
    ]
   },
   {
    "id": "zk-b98733f2d2d76871b1cd",
    "name_shown": "Sara Ghisoni",
    "url": "/authors/sara-ghisoni/",
    "body": "8/10 result calls right · week of 26 Oct 2026",
    "fact": "8 of 10 result calls right in the week 26 Oct 2026–1 Nov 2026 (Monday to Sunday, UTC), one call per match. On 10 of these matches the other tipsters and sources were right 74.4% of the time.",
    "tier": null,
    "m": null,
    "provenance": "live",
    "status": "active",
    "cause": null,
    "event_at": "2026-11-01",
    "evidence_through": "2026-11-01",
    "year": "2026",
    "chance": {
     "contract_version": 1,
     "kind": "at_least",
     "priced": 7,
     "unpriced": 3,
     "hits": 5,
     "probability": 0.303279,
     "one_in": 3,
     "log10": -0.52,
     "words": "1 in 3",
     "rule": "probability of at least this many correct picks if each pick came in with its market probability (1/price); exact Poisson-binomial",
     "note": "market prices include the bookmaker margin, so the chance is slightly overstated — a cautious figure"
    },
    "evidence_items": [
     {
      "nid": "n-3c6b5d0227a73730627ef52f",
      "data": "2026-10-27",
      "match": "Sassuolo v Lazio",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: Lazio at 2.15",
      "outcome_label": "right",
      "url": "/authors/sara-ghisoni/picks/4/#pick-n-3c6b5d0227a73730627ef52f",
      "evidence_price": 2.0,
      "comparison": "15 other tipsters and sources on this match, 12 right (12 named away win, 2 named draw, 1 named home win)"
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-f5640c9a5cf5df73dd260501",
      "data": "2026-10-27",
      "match": "AS Roma v Cagliari",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: AS Roma",
      "outcome_label": "right",
      "url": "/authors/sara-ghisoni/picks/4/#pick-n-f5640c9a5cf5df73dd260501",
      "evidence_price": 1.36,
      "comparison": "25 other tipsters and sources on this match, 25 right (25 named home win)"
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-8554ed796dab68f433beba5c",
      "data": "2026-10-28",
      "match": "Venezia v Inter",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: Inter",
      "outcome_label": "right",
      "url": "/authors/sara-ghisoni/picks/5/#pick-n-8554ed796dab68f433beba5c",
      "evidence_price": 1.36,
      "comparison": "22 other tipsters and sources on this match, 19 right (22 named away win)"
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-4fcf26592174468e7ffcb876",
      "data": "2026-10-28",
      "match": "Genoa v Juventus",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: Juventus at 1.7",
      "outcome_label": "wrong",
      "url": "/authors/sara-ghisoni/picks/5/#pick-n-4fcf26592174468e7ffcb876",
      "evidence_price": 1.75,
      "comparison": "27 other tipsters and sources on this match, 0 right (27 named away win)"
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-529ee1980371b8df8bfc6a43",
      "data": "2026-10-28",
      "match": "Monza v SSC Napoli",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: SSC Napoli",
      "outcome_label": "right",
      "url": "/authors/sara-ghisoni/picks/5/#pick-n-529ee1980371b8df8bfc6a43",
      "evidence_price": 1.58,
      "comparison": "25 other tipsters and sources on this match, 22 right (22 named away win, 2 named home win, 1 named draw)"
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-d260c01d69d2180df1d99464",
      "data": "2026-10-29",
      "match": "Frosinone v Lecce",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: Frosinone",
      "outcome_label": "right",
      "url": "/authors/sara-ghisoni/picks/5/#pick-n-d260c01d69d2180df1d99464",
      "evidence_price": 1.7,
      "comparison": "30 other tipsters and sources on this match, 29 right (29 named home win, 1 named away win)"
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-3db96d0d561e864ccffcd938",
      "data": "2026-10-31",
      "match": "Bologna v Monza",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: Bologna at 1.7",
      "outcome_label": "right",
      "url": "/authors/sara-ghisoni/picks/5/#pick-n-3db96d0d561e864ccffcd938",
      "evidence_price": 1.67,
      "comparison": "17 other tipsters and sources on this match, 15 right (15 named home win, 2 named draw)"
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-eff71d56ea33c62c27cbdb19",
      "data": "2026-10-31",
      "match": "Udinese v AS Roma",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: AS Roma",
      "outcome_label": "right",
      "url": "/authors/sara-ghisoni/picks/5/#pick-n-eff71d56ea33c62c27cbdb19",
      "evidence_price": 1.52,
      "comparison": "21 other tipsters and sources on this match, 21 right (21 named away win)"
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-bd3f059b1dd1a87552c06d46",
      "data": "2026-11-01",
      "match": "Frosinone v Torino",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: Frosinone at 2.15",
      "outcome_label": "right",
      "url": "/authors/sara-ghisoni/picks/5/#pick-n-bd3f059b1dd1a87552c06d46",
      "evidence_price": 2.05,
      "comparison": "22 other tipsters and sources on this match, 14 right (14 named home win, 7 named draw, 1 named away win)"
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-966e097a9447053e0e98371f",
      "data": "2026-11-01",
      "match": "Juventus v SSC Napoli",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: SSC Napoli at 3.35",
      "outcome_label": "wrong",
      "url": "/authors/sara-ghisoni/picks/5/#pick-n-966e097a9447053e0e98371f",
      "evidence_price": 3.3,
      "comparison": "22 other tipsters and sources on this match, 9 right (9 named home win, 8 named draw, 5 named away win)"
     }
    ]
   },
   {
    "id": "zk-d0edb1c813f9a19267f4",
    "name_shown": "Sergio Stanco",
    "url": "/authors/sergio-stanco/",
    "body": "5/6 result calls right · week of 19 Oct 2026",
    "fact": "5 of 6 result calls right in the week 19 Oct 2026–25 Oct 2026 (Monday to Sunday, UTC), one call per match. On 5 of these matches the other tipsters and sources were right 66.8% of the time.",
    "tier": null,
    "m": null,
    "provenance": "live",
    "status": "active",
    "cause": null,
    "event_at": "2026-10-25",
    "evidence_through": "2026-10-25",
    "year": "2026",
    "chance": {
     "contract_version": 1,
     "kind": "at_least",
     "priced": 4,
     "unpriced": 2,
     "hits": 3,
     "probability": 0.416495,
     "one_in": 2,
     "log10": -0.38,
     "words": "1 in 2",
     "rule": "probability of at least this many correct picks if each pick came in with its market probability (1/price); exact Poisson-binomial",
     "note": "market prices include the bookmaker margin, so the chance is slightly overstated — a cautious figure"
    },
    "evidence_items": [
     {
      "nid": "n-86e5c036abe74889d6d31546",
      "data": "2026-10-20",
      "match": "FC Porto v PSV Eindhoven",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: FC Porto at 1.65",
      "outcome_label": "wrong",
      "url": "/authors/sergio-stanco/picks/4/#pick-n-86e5c036abe74889d6d31546",
      "evidence_price": 1.53,
      "comparison": "28 other tipsters and sources on this match, 1 right (27 named home win, 1 named away win)"
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-dc5c4634c8972590ce63b8c1",
      "data": "2026-10-20",
      "match": "SSC Napoli v Bodø/Glimt",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: SSC Napoli at 1.58",
      "outcome_label": "right",
      "url": "/authors/sergio-stanco/picks/4/#pick-n-dc5c4634c8972590ce63b8c1",
      "evidence_price": 1.75,
      "comparison": "19 other tipsters and sources on this match, 16 right (16 named home win, 3 named draw)"
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-7eeebff23df0be26ec905e38",
      "data": "2026-10-22",
      "match": "Ararat-Armenia v AZ Alkmaar",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: AZ Alkmaar at 1.54",
      "outcome_label": "right",
      "url": "/authors/sergio-stanco/picks/5/#pick-n-7eeebff23df0be26ec905e38",
      "evidence_price": 1.39,
      "comparison": "11 other tipsters and sources on this match, 9 right (9 named away win, 2 named draw)"
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-73d1f95d7f9e01ccccfe2902",
      "data": "2026-10-22",
      "match": "Borac Banja Luka v Kuopion Palloseura",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: Borac Banja Luka at 1.94",
      "outcome_label": "right",
      "url": "/authors/sergio-stanco/picks/6/#pick-n-73d1f95d7f9e01ccccfe2902",
      "evidence_price": 1.57,
      "comparison": "8 other tipsters and sources on this match, 8 right (8 named home win)"
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-0f89cb376368ff6cfaf27178",
      "data": "2026-10-22",
      "match": "Jagiellonia v Anderlecht",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: Anderlecht at 2.25",
      "outcome_label": "right",
      "url": "/authors/sergio-stanco/picks/5/#pick-n-0f89cb376368ff6cfaf27178",
      "evidence_price": 2.2,
      "comparison": "14 other tipsters and sources on this match, 9 right (9 named away win, 3 named draw, 2 named home win)"
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-c613422e0cd2932631ec1aa5",
      "data": "2026-10-19",
      "match": "Cittadella v ASD Union Arzignanochiampo",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: Cittadella at 1.6",
      "outcome_label": "right",
      "url": "/authors/sergio-stanco/picks/4/#pick-n-c613422e0cd2932631ec1aa5",
      "evidence_price": null,
      "comparison": "1 other tipster on this match, 1 right (1 named home win)"
     }
    ]
   },
   {
    "id": "zk-3b089a6e9d642a55af65",
    "name_shown": "SoccerLoy",
    "url": "/authors/soccerloy/",
    "body": "8/9 result calls right · week of 26 Oct 2026",
    "fact": "8 of 9 result calls right in the week 26 Oct 2026–1 Nov 2026 (Monday to Sunday, UTC), one call per match. On 7 of these matches the other tipsters and sources were right 81.6% of the time.",
    "tier": null,
    "m": null,
    "provenance": "live",
    "status": "active",
    "cause": null,
    "event_at": "2026-11-01",
    "evidence_through": "2026-11-01",
    "year": "2026",
    "chance": {
     "contract_version": 1,
     "kind": "at_least",
     "priced": 9,
     "unpriced": 0,
     "hits": 8,
     "probability": 0.309338,
     "one_in": 3,
     "log10": -0.51,
     "words": "1 in 3",
     "rule": "probability of at least this many correct picks if each pick came in with its market probability (1/price); exact Poisson-binomial",
     "note": "market prices include the bookmaker margin, so the chance is slightly overstated — a cautious figure"
    },
    "evidence_items": [
     {
      "nid": "n-3c6e56ceae91f425a2bf2433",
      "data": "2026-10-27",
      "match": "Blackpool v Aston Villa U21",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: Blackpool at 1.36",
      "outcome_label": "right",
      "url": "/authors/soccerloy/picks/3/#pick-n-3c6e56ceae91f425a2bf2433",
      "evidence_price": 1.2,
      "comparison": null
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-d769621ed15053d85e920152",
      "data": "2026-10-27",
      "match": "AS Roma v Cagliari",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: AS Roma at 1.38",
      "outcome_label": "right",
      "url": "/authors/soccerloy/picks/3/#pick-n-d769621ed15053d85e920152",
      "evidence_price": 1.36,
      "comparison": "25 other tipsters and sources on this match, 25 right (25 named home win)"
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-3535fb6c953c1de05db52b63",
      "data": "2026-10-27",
      "match": "Borussia Dortmund v SV Werder Bremen",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: Borussia Dortmund at 1.36",
      "outcome_label": "right",
      "url": "/authors/soccerloy/picks/2/#pick-n-3535fb6c953c1de05db52b63",
      "evidence_price": null,
      "comparison": "13 other tipsters and sources on this match, 11 right (11 named home win, 2 named draw)"
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-54a62b41a65fd5ca66782c07",
      "data": "2026-10-28",
      "match": "Venezia v Inter",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: Inter at 1.36",
      "outcome_label": "right",
      "url": "/authors/soccerloy/picks/3/#pick-n-54a62b41a65fd5ca66782c07",
      "evidence_price": 1.36,
      "comparison": "22 other tipsters and sources on this match, 19 right (22 named away win)"
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-3a6fb7101fff5fb0f9395074",
      "data": "2026-10-30",
      "match": "Casa Pia v Sporting CP",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: Sporting CP at 1.31",
      "outcome_label": "right",
      "url": "/authors/soccerloy/picks/3/#pick-n-3a6fb7101fff5fb0f9395074",
      "evidence_price": 1.32,
      "comparison": "12 other tipsters and sources on this match, 12 right (12 named away win)"
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-fb8e813e3ccf64ed9cebd1ff",
      "data": "2026-10-31",
      "match": "JK Nomme United v FC Levadia Tallinn",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: FC Levadia Tallinn at 1.34",
      "outcome_label": "right",
      "url": "/authors/soccerloy/picks/4/#pick-n-fb8e813e3ccf64ed9cebd1ff",
      "evidence_price": null,
      "comparison": null
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-8668a76c71e5fcd94571fe9b",
      "data": "2026-10-31",
      "match": "Fenerbahçe v Göztepe",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: Fenerbahçe at 1.35",
      "outcome_label": "wrong",
      "url": "/authors/soccerloy/picks/4/#pick-n-8668a76c71e5fcd94571fe9b",
      "evidence_price": 1.5,
      "comparison": "9 other tipsters and sources on this match, 0 right (9 named home win)"
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-8832b61c3031325e1c6ee7ab",
      "data": "2026-11-01",
      "match": "Como v Venezia",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: Como at 1.34",
      "outcome_label": "right",
      "url": "/authors/soccerloy/picks/4/#pick-n-8832b61c3031325e1c6ee7ab",
      "evidence_price": 1.29,
      "comparison": "17 other tipsters and sources on this match, 17 right (17 named home win)"
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-1aec89411f44cfce53b32578",
      "data": "2026-11-01",
      "match": "Trabzonspor v Gaziantep F.K.",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: Trabzonspor at 1.33",
      "outcome_label": "right",
      "url": "/authors/soccerloy/picks/4/#pick-n-1aec89411f44cfce53b32578",
      "evidence_price": 1.24,
      "comparison": "10 other tipsters and sources on this match, 10 right (10 named home win)"
     }
    ]
   },
   {
    "id": "zk-06dd4afe155e4129b01f",
    "name_shown": "SportyTrader PT",
    "url": "/sources/sportytrader-pt/",
    "body": "4/5 result calls right · week of 19 Oct 2026",
    "fact": "4 of 5 result calls right in the week 19 Oct 2026–25 Oct 2026 (Monday to Sunday, UTC), one call per match. On 5 of these matches the other tipsters and sources were right 59.0% of the time.",
    "tier": null,
    "m": null,
    "provenance": "live",
    "status": "active",
    "cause": null,
    "event_at": "2026-10-25",
    "evidence_through": "2026-10-25",
    "year": "2026",
    "chance": {
     "contract_version": 1,
     "kind": "at_least",
     "priced": 3,
     "unpriced": 2,
     "hits": 3,
     "probability": 0.219447,
     "one_in": 5,
     "log10": -0.66,
     "words": "1 in 5",
     "rule": "probability of at least this many correct picks if each pick came in with its market probability (1/price); exact Poisson-binomial",
     "note": "market prices include the bookmaker margin, so the chance is slightly overstated — a cautious figure"
    },
    "evidence_items": [
     {
      "nid": "n-6c4d0e37c8d482b4d5498860",
      "data": "2026-10-22",
      "match": "FC Kairat Almaty v Panathinaikos",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: Panathinaikos at 1.62",
      "outcome_label": "right",
      "url": "/sources/sportytrader-pt/picks/3/#pick-n-6c4d0e37c8d482b4d5498860",
      "evidence_price": 1.59,
      "comparison": "9 other tipsters and sources on this match, 9 right (9 named away win)"
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-4d65c790d576973098b3323b",
      "data": "2026-10-22",
      "match": "Jablonec v Brighton & Hove Albion",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: Brighton & Hove Albion at 1.29",
      "outcome_label": "wrong",
      "url": "/sources/sportytrader-pt/picks/3/#pick-n-4d65c790d576973098b3323b",
      "evidence_price": 1.2,
      "comparison": "12 other tipsters and sources on this match, 0 right (10 named away win, 2 named home win)"
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-5190db2c565a882919e53d0a",
      "data": "2026-10-22",
      "match": "Nordsjælland v CSKA Sofia",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: draw at 4.65",
      "outcome_label": "right",
      "url": "/sources/sportytrader-pt/picks/3/#pick-n-5190db2c565a882919e53d0a",
      "evidence_price": 4.85,
      "comparison": "6 other tipsters and sources on this match, 1 right (5 named home win, 1 named draw)"
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-379b26fcdc9675d0e34594e2",
      "data": "2026-10-22",
      "match": "Union St. Gilloise v Hapoel Be'er Sheva",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: Union St. Gilloise at 1.3",
      "outcome_label": "right",
      "url": "/sources/sportytrader-pt/picks/3/#pick-n-379b26fcdc9675d0e34594e2",
      "evidence_price": 1.41,
      "comparison": "13 other tipsters and sources on this match, 13 right (13 named home win)"
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-bd1a7808458406795a0f573e",
      "data": "2026-10-24",
      "match": "Valencia v Villarreal",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: Villarreal at 2.15",
      "outcome_label": "right",
      "url": "/sources/sportytrader-pt/picks/4/#pick-n-bd1a7808458406795a0f573e",
      "evidence_price": null,
      "comparison": "14 other tipsters and sources on this match, 11 right (11 named away win, 2 named draw, 1 named home win)"
     }
    ]
   },
   {
    "id": "zk-6961d14f00e21d82c035",
    "name_shown": "Tomasz Dmytruszyński",
    "url": "/authors/tomasz-dmytruszynski/",
    "body": "4/5 result calls right · week of 12 Oct 2026",
    "fact": "4 of 5 result calls right in the week 12 Oct 2026–18 Oct 2026 (Monday to Sunday, UTC), one call per match. On 5 of these matches the other tipsters and sources were right 74.5% of the time.",
    "tier": null,
    "m": null,
    "provenance": "live",
    "status": "active",
    "cause": null,
    "event_at": "2026-10-18",
    "evidence_through": "2026-10-18",
    "year": "2026",
    "chance": {
     "contract_version": 1,
     "kind": "at_least",
     "priced": 3,
     "unpriced": 2,
     "hits": 2,
     "probability": 0.47454,
     "one_in": 2,
     "log10": -0.32,
     "words": "1 in 2",
     "rule": "probability of at least this many correct picks if each pick came in with its market probability (1/price); exact Poisson-binomial",
     "note": "market prices include the bookmaker margin, so the chance is slightly overstated — a cautious figure"
    },
    "evidence_items": [
     {
      "nid": "n-4d4c33d9ce476b4f5fcecc97",
      "data": "2026-10-18",
      "match": "Brighton & Hove Albion v Crystal Palace",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: Brighton & Hove Albion at 1.55",
      "outcome_label": "right",
      "url": "/authors/tomasz-dmytruszynski/picks/2/#pick-n-4d4c33d9ce476b4f5fcecc97",
      "evidence_price": null,
      "comparison": "16 other tipsters and sources on this match, 16 right (16 named home win)"
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-e55ba4577b992a11cef54817",
      "data": "2026-10-18",
      "match": "AFC Bournemouth v Sunderland",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: AFC Bournemouth",
      "outcome_label": "right",
      "url": "/authors/tomasz-dmytruszynski/picks/2/#pick-n-e55ba4577b992a11cef54817",
      "evidence_price": null,
      "comparison": "17 other tipsters and sources on this match, 10 right (10 named home win, 7 named draw)"
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-aea3e3ab470fe828afe97ebb",
      "data": "2026-10-18",
      "match": "Fiorentina v Como",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: Como at 2.1",
      "outcome_label": "right",
      "url": "/authors/tomasz-dmytruszynski/picks/2/#pick-n-aea3e3ab470fe828afe97ebb",
      "evidence_price": null,
      "comparison": "8 other tipsters and sources on this match, 7 right (7 named away win, 1 named home win)"
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-010a8a3b9b7a700ea8fa0c67",
      "data": "2026-10-18",
      "match": "FC Groningen v AFC Ajax",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: FC Groningen at 3.3",
      "outcome_label": "wrong",
      "url": "/authors/tomasz-dmytruszynski/picks/2/#pick-n-010a8a3b9b7a700ea8fa0c67",
      "evidence_price": null,
      "comparison": "3 other tipsters and sources on this match, 1 right (2 named draw, 1 named away win)"
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-b0073af774022a34d72ed875",
      "data": "2026-10-18",
      "match": "Nottingham Forest v Arsenal",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: Arsenal",
      "outcome_label": "right",
      "url": "/authors/tomasz-dmytruszynski/picks/2/#pick-n-b0073af774022a34d72ed875",
      "evidence_price": null,
      "comparison": "28 other tipsters and sources on this match, 26 right (26 named away win, 2 named draw)"
     }
    ]
   },
   {
    "id": "zk-42245fd9836b153463ed",
    "name_shown": "Victor Arnaud-Etchemendy",
    "url": "/authors/victor-arnaud-etchemendy/",
    "body": "6/7 result calls right · week of 12 Oct 2026",
    "fact": "6 of 7 result calls right in the week 12 Oct 2026–18 Oct 2026 (Monday to Sunday, UTC), one call per match. On 7 of these matches the other tipsters and sources were right 63.7% of the time.",
    "tier": null,
    "m": null,
    "provenance": "live",
    "status": "active",
    "cause": null,
    "event_at": "2026-10-18",
    "evidence_through": "2026-10-18",
    "year": "2026",
    "chance": {
     "contract_version": 1,
     "kind": "at_least",
     "priced": 4,
     "unpriced": 3,
     "hits": 3,
     "probability": 0.349273,
     "one_in": 3,
     "log10": -0.46,
     "words": "1 in 3",
     "rule": "probability of at least this many correct picks if each pick came in with its market probability (1/price); exact Poisson-binomial",
     "note": "market prices include the bookmaker margin, so the chance is slightly overstated — a cautious figure"
    },
    "evidence_items": [
     {
      "nid": "n-7671cfc835cf8e1eba94016e",
      "data": "2026-10-18",
      "match": "Brighton & Hove Albion v Crystal Palace",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: Brighton & Hove Albion at 1.48",
      "outcome_label": "right",
      "url": "/authors/victor-arnaud-etchemendy/picks/2/#pick-n-7671cfc835cf8e1eba94016e",
      "evidence_price": null,
      "comparison": "16 other tipsters and sources on this match, 16 right (16 named home win)"
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-2bafc95460247373d79c95b3",
      "data": "2026-10-18",
      "match": "AFC Bournemouth v Sunderland",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: AFC Bournemouth",
      "outcome_label": "right",
      "url": "/authors/victor-arnaud-etchemendy/picks/2/#pick-n-2bafc95460247373d79c95b3",
      "evidence_price": null,
      "comparison": "17 other tipsters and sources on this match, 10 right (10 named home win, 7 named draw)"
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-49af04e52c67d814b1d33c23",
      "data": "2026-10-18",
      "match": "Leeds United v Manchester United",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: draw at 3.5",
      "outcome_label": "right",
      "url": "/authors/victor-arnaud-etchemendy/picks/2/#pick-n-49af04e52c67d814b1d33c23",
      "evidence_price": null,
      "comparison": "20 other tipsters and sources on this match, 5 right (14 named home win, 5 named draw, 1 named away win)"
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-6114fe8b7d6727441e190dbc",
      "data": "2026-10-18",
      "match": "Fiorentina v Como",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: Como",
      "outcome_label": "right",
      "url": "/authors/victor-arnaud-etchemendy/picks/2/#pick-n-6114fe8b7d6727441e190dbc",
      "evidence_price": null,
      "comparison": "8 other tipsters and sources on this match, 7 right (7 named away win, 1 named home win)"
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-ac6649cf5ac8fca43b249c65",
      "data": "2026-10-18",
      "match": "AC Milan v Atalanta",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: AC Milan at 1.72",
      "outcome_label": "right",
      "url": "/authors/victor-arnaud-etchemendy/picks/3/#pick-n-ac6649cf5ac8fca43b249c65",
      "evidence_price": null,
      "comparison": "22 other tipsters and sources on this match, 18 right (18 named home win, 2 named draw, 2 named away win)"
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-cefc9148d3bbeb106ad1c618",
      "data": "2026-10-18",
      "match": "Nottingham Forest v Arsenal",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: Arsenal",
      "outcome_label": "right",
      "url": "/authors/victor-arnaud-etchemendy/picks/2/#pick-n-cefc9148d3bbeb106ad1c618",
      "evidence_price": null,
      "comparison": "28 other tipsters and sources on this match, 26 right (26 named away win, 2 named draw)"
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-f2133317c2468b330af35372",
      "data": "2026-10-18",
      "match": "Juventus v Lazio",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: Juventus at 1.62",
      "outcome_label": "wrong",
      "url": "/authors/victor-arnaud-etchemendy/picks/3/#pick-n-f2133317c2468b330af35372",
      "evidence_price": null,
      "comparison": "13 other tipsters and sources on this match, 0 right (7 named draw, 6 named home win)"
     }
    ]
   },
   {
    "id": "zk-35dab97359c9459d0cdf",
    "name_shown": "mimmo",
    "url": "/authors/mimmo/",
    "body": "4/5 result calls right · week of 19 Oct 2026",
    "fact": "4 of 5 result calls right in the week 19 Oct 2026–25 Oct 2026 (Monday to Sunday, UTC), one call per match.",
    "tier": null,
    "m": null,
    "provenance": "live",
    "status": "active",
    "cause": null,
    "event_at": "2026-10-25",
    "evidence_through": "2026-10-25",
    "year": "2026",
    "chance": {
     "contract_version": 1,
     "kind": "at_least",
     "priced": 0,
     "unpriced": 5,
     "probability": null,
     "one_in": null,
     "words": "No recorded prices for these picks, so the chance cannot be measured."
    },
    "evidence_items": [
     {
      "nid": "n-685ba915680369f4d93541ce",
      "data": "2026-10-24",
      "match": "Spezia v US Latina Calcio",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: Spezia at 1.47",
      "outcome_label": "wrong",
      "url": "/authors/mimmo/picks/4/#pick-n-685ba915680369f4d93541ce",
      "evidence_price": null,
      "comparison": "1 other tipster on this match, 0 right (1 named home win)"
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-895200be82775f35fb6bd659",
      "data": "2026-10-24",
      "match": "Treviso v AC Dolomiti Bellunesi",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: Treviso at 1.53",
      "outcome_label": "right",
      "url": "/authors/mimmo/picks/4/#pick-n-895200be82775f35fb6bd659",
      "evidence_price": null,
      "comparison": "1 other tipster on this match, 1 right (1 named home win)"
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-44fae90eea5e6c6c3ba39b14",
      "data": "2026-10-24",
      "match": "Vis Pesaro v Ravenna",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: Ravenna at 1.42",
      "outcome_label": "right",
      "url": "/authors/mimmo/picks/4/#pick-n-44fae90eea5e6c6c3ba39b14",
      "evidence_price": null,
      "comparison": "1 other tipster on this match, 1 right (1 named away win)"
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-b1ee0ce2596a1623e397a6e9",
      "data": "2026-10-19",
      "match": "Cittadella v ASD Union Arzignanochiampo",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: Cittadella at 1.6",
      "outcome_label": "right",
      "url": "/authors/mimmo/picks/4/#pick-n-b1ee0ce2596a1623e397a6e9",
      "evidence_price": null,
      "comparison": "1 other tipster on this match, 1 right (1 named home win)"
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-9fa5e61bdda715f4f1381f04",
      "data": "2026-10-25",
      "match": "Catania v Giugliano",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: Catania at 1.35",
      "outcome_label": "right",
      "url": "/authors/mimmo/picks/4/#pick-n-9fa5e61bdda715f4f1381f04",
      "evidence_price": null,
      "comparison": "2 other tipsters and sources on this match, 2 right (2 named home win)"
     }
    ]
   }
  ],
  "history": [
   {
    "id": "zk-e5c649da7cbefc5914aa",
    "name_shown": "Meki Tanrıverdi",
    "url": "/authors/meki-tanr-verdi/",
    "body": "8/9 result calls right · week of 20 Apr 2026 · archive record",
    "fact": "8 of 9 result calls right in the week 20 Apr 2026–26 Apr 2026 (Monday to Sunday, UTC), one call per match.",
    "tier": null,
    "m": null,
    "provenance": "archived",
    "status": "historical",
    "cause": "120 days after the event",
    "event_at": "2026-04-26",
    "evidence_through": "2026-04-26",
    "year": "2026",
    "chance": {
     "contract_version": 1,
     "kind": "at_least",
     "priced": 9,
     "unpriced": 0,
     "hits": 8,
     "probability": 0.058386,
     "one_in": 17,
     "log10": -1.23,
     "words": "1 in 17",
     "rule": "probability of at least this many correct picks if each pick came in with its market probability (1/price); exact Poisson-binomial",
     "note": "market prices include the bookmaker margin, so the chance is slightly overstated — a cautious figure"
    },
    "evidence_items": [
     {
      "nid": "n-2052fb7fcb577264386e937b",
      "data": "2026-04-22",
      "match": "Paris Saint-Germain v Nantes",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result, first half: Paris Saint-Germain at 1.33",
      "outcome_label": "right",
      "url": "/authors/meki-tanr-verdi/picks/53/#pick-n-2052fb7fcb577264386e937b",
      "evidence_price": null,
      "comparison": null
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-cdb294164bc62b3ada82e87d",
      "data": "2026-04-22",
      "match": "Elche v Atlético Madrid",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: Atlético Madrid at 2.19",
      "outcome_label": "wrong",
      "url": "/authors/meki-tanr-verdi/picks/53/#pick-n-cdb294164bc62b3ada82e87d",
      "evidence_price": null,
      "comparison": null
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-8ba9091fe0df350dedbdcaed",
      "data": "2026-04-25",
      "match": "Liverpool v Crystal Palace",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: Liverpool at 1.3",
      "outcome_label": "right",
      "url": "/authors/meki-tanr-verdi/picks/53/#pick-n-8ba9091fe0df350dedbdcaed",
      "evidence_price": 1.58,
      "comparison": "1 other tipster on this match, 1 right (1 named home win)"
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-c9755701dfc062e266245b07",
      "data": "2026-04-25",
      "match": "Cardiff City v Northampton Town",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result, first half: Cardiff City at 1.38",
      "outcome_label": "right",
      "url": "/authors/meki-tanr-verdi/picks/53/#pick-n-c9755701dfc062e266245b07",
      "evidence_price": 1.19,
      "comparison": null
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-581fd6611e2a797a4babadb1",
      "data": "2026-04-25",
      "match": "Getafe v FC Barcelona",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: FC Barcelona at 1.44",
      "outcome_label": "right",
      "url": "/authors/meki-tanr-verdi/picks/53/#pick-n-581fd6611e2a797a4babadb1",
      "evidence_price": null,
      "comparison": null
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-82c345a79fc11d7b9bec6e8a",
      "data": "2026-04-25",
      "match": "Arsenal v Newcastle United",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: Arsenal at 1.27",
      "outcome_label": "right",
      "url": "/authors/meki-tanr-verdi/picks/53/#pick-n-82c345a79fc11d7b9bec6e8a",
      "evidence_price": 1.4,
      "comparison": "3 other tipsters and sources on this match, 3 right (3 named home win)"
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-8e8cbaf17c2363fb2eaf60b5",
      "data": "2026-04-25",
      "match": "Göztepe v Antalyaspor",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: Göztepe at 1.49",
      "outcome_label": "right",
      "url": "/authors/meki-tanr-verdi/picks/53/#pick-n-8e8cbaf17c2363fb2eaf60b5",
      "evidence_price": null,
      "comparison": null
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-9a143712a0cb904e44d40795",
      "data": "2026-04-25",
      "match": "Atlético Madrid v Athletic Club",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: Atlético Madrid at 1.8",
      "outcome_label": "right",
      "url": "/authors/meki-tanr-verdi/picks/53/#pick-n-9a143712a0cb904e44d40795",
      "evidence_price": null,
      "comparison": null
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-44a1924d1deca6017fc547a7",
      "data": "2026-04-26",
      "match": "Villarreal v Celta Vigo",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: Villarreal at 1.73",
      "outcome_label": "right",
      "url": "/authors/meki-tanr-verdi/picks/53/#pick-n-44a1924d1deca6017fc547a7",
      "evidence_price": null,
      "comparison": null
     }
    ]
   },
   {
    "id": "zk-f3440f35fd2c079fee4d",
    "name_shown": "Meki Tanrıverdi",
    "url": "/authors/meki-tanr-verdi/",
    "body": "4/5 result calls right · week of 18 Aug 2025 · archive record",
    "fact": "4 of 5 result calls right in the week 18 Aug 2025–24 Aug 2025 (Monday to Sunday, UTC), one call per match.",
    "tier": null,
    "m": null,
    "provenance": "archived",
    "status": "historical",
    "cause": "120 days after the event",
    "event_at": "2025-08-24",
    "evidence_through": "2025-08-24",
    "year": "2025",
    "chance": {
     "contract_version": 1,
     "kind": "at_least",
     "priced": 5,
     "unpriced": 0,
     "hits": 4,
     "probability": 0.222289,
     "one_in": 4,
     "log10": -0.65,
     "words": "1 in 4",
     "rule": "probability of at least this many correct picks if each pick came in with its market probability (1/price); exact Poisson-binomial",
     "note": "market prices include the bookmaker margin, so the chance is slightly overstated — a cautious figure"
    },
    "evidence_items": [
     {
      "nid": "n-d8276eead8029d4d49785746",
      "data": "2025-08-18",
      "match": "Elche v Real Betis",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: Real Betis at 1.92",
      "outcome_label": "wrong",
      "url": "/authors/meki-tanr-verdi/picks/50/#pick-n-d8276eead8029d4d49785746",
      "evidence_price": null,
      "comparison": null
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-060e045e644d41a7f28a2545",
      "data": "2025-08-22",
      "match": "Fatih Karagümrük v Göztepe",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: Göztepe at 2.05",
      "outcome_label": "right",
      "url": "/authors/meki-tanr-verdi/picks/50/#pick-n-060e045e644d41a7f28a2545",
      "evidence_price": null,
      "comparison": null
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-85036402a9368b78ec70e6fa",
      "data": "2025-08-22",
      "match": "Real Betis v Deportivo Alavés",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: Real Betis at 1.59",
      "outcome_label": "right",
      "url": "/authors/meki-tanr-verdi/picks/50/#pick-n-85036402a9368b78ec70e6fa",
      "evidence_price": null,
      "comparison": null
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-5bd77a04e4679bec8514802e",
      "data": "2025-08-24",
      "match": "Osasuna v Valencia",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: Osasuna at 2.11",
      "outcome_label": "right",
      "url": "/authors/meki-tanr-verdi/picks/50/#pick-n-5bd77a04e4679bec8514802e",
      "evidence_price": null,
      "comparison": null
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-b2c5203b3eb96a6c9501ab22",
      "data": "2025-08-24",
      "match": "Villarreal v Girona",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: Villarreal at 1.34",
      "outcome_label": "right",
      "url": "/authors/meki-tanr-verdi/picks/50/#pick-n-b2c5203b3eb96a6c9501ab22",
      "evidence_price": null,
      "comparison": "1 other tipster on this match, 1 right (1 named home win)"
     }
    ]
   },
   {
    "id": "zk-3809dedf92126be219a7",
    "name_shown": "Jake Osgathorpe",
    "url": "/authors/jake-osgathorpe/",
    "body": "4/5 result calls right · week of 21 Apr 2025 · archive record",
    "fact": "4 of 5 result calls right in the week 21 Apr 2025–27 Apr 2025 (Monday to Sunday, UTC), one call per match.",
    "tier": null,
    "m": null,
    "provenance": "archived",
    "status": "historical",
    "cause": "120 days after the event",
    "event_at": "2025-04-27",
    "evidence_through": "2025-04-27",
    "year": "2025",
    "chance": {
     "contract_version": 1,
     "kind": "at_least",
     "priced": 5,
     "unpriced": 0,
     "hits": 1,
     "probability": 0.995659,
     "one_in": 1,
     "log10": -0.0,
     "words": "about even",
     "rule": "probability of at least this many correct picks if each pick came in with its market probability (1/price); exact Poisson-binomial",
     "note": "market prices include the bookmaker margin, so the chance is slightly overstated — a cautious figure"
    },
    "evidence_items": [
     {
      "nid": "n-13a65eede06c2e5ca65865af",
      "data": "2025-04-26",
      "match": "Chelsea v Everton",
      "said_text": "Correct score: Chelsea 1-0 Everton",
      "outcome_label": "score right · result right",
      "url": "/authors/jake-osgathorpe/picks/3/#pick-n-13a65eede06c2e5ca65865af",
      "evidence_price": 1.42,
      "comparison": "2 other tipsters and sources on this match, 1 right (1 named home win, 1 named draw)"
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-3487d7643820f836bf6fe1db",
      "data": "2025-04-26",
      "match": "Southampton v Fulham",
      "said_text": "Correct score: Southampton 0-2 Fulham",
      "outcome_label": "score wrong · result right",
      "url": "/authors/jake-osgathorpe/picks/4/#pick-n-3487d7643820f836bf6fe1db",
      "evidence_price": 1.65,
      "comparison": "1 other tipster on this match, 1 right (1 named away win)"
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-6ae9fcf1475cc78e692c483b",
      "data": "2025-04-26",
      "match": "Newcastle United v Ipswich Town",
      "said_text": "Correct score: Newcastle United 5-1 Ipswich Town",
      "outcome_label": "score wrong · result right",
      "url": "/authors/jake-osgathorpe/picks/4/#pick-n-6ae9fcf1475cc78e692c483b",
      "evidence_price": 1.17,
      "comparison": "1 other tipster on this match, 1 right (1 named home win)"
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-9d22e64ceb741217f3d83f3e",
      "data": "2025-04-26",
      "match": "Brighton & Hove Albion v West Ham United",
      "said_text": "Correct score: Brighton & Hove Albion 1-1 West Ham United",
      "outcome_label": "score wrong · result wrong",
      "url": "/authors/jake-osgathorpe/picks/4/#pick-n-9d22e64ceb741217f3d83f3e",
      "evidence_price": 3.85,
      "comparison": "1 other tipster on this match, 1 right (1 named home win)"
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-fbc21ecf59d581876ca2cd37",
      "data": "2025-04-26",
      "match": "Wolverhampton Wanderers v Leicester City",
      "said_text": "Correct score: Wolverhampton Wanderers 4-2 Leicester City",
      "outcome_label": "score wrong · result right",
      "url": "/authors/jake-osgathorpe/picks/4/#pick-n-fbc21ecf59d581876ca2cd37",
      "evidence_price": 1.53,
      "comparison": "1 other tipster on this match, 1 right (1 named home win)"
     }
    ]
   },
   {
    "id": "zk-36dcd3775f7534a7fda9",
    "name_shown": "Jake Osgathorpe",
    "url": "/authors/jake-osgathorpe/",
    "body": "4/5 result calls right · week of 16 Dec 2024 · archive record",
    "fact": "4 of 5 result calls right in the week 16 Dec 2024–22 Dec 2024 (Monday to Sunday, UTC), one call per match.",
    "tier": null,
    "m": null,
    "provenance": "archived",
    "status": "historical",
    "cause": "120 days after the event",
    "event_at": "2024-12-22",
    "evidence_through": "2024-12-22",
    "year": "2024",
    "chance": {
     "contract_version": 1,
     "kind": "at_least",
     "priced": 5,
     "unpriced": 0,
     "hits": 2,
     "probability": 0.628986,
     "one_in": 2,
     "log10": -0.2,
     "words": "about even",
     "rule": "probability of at least this many correct picks if each pick came in with its market probability (1/price); exact Poisson-binomial",
     "note": "market prices include the bookmaker margin, so the chance is slightly overstated — a cautious figure"
    },
    "evidence_items": [
     {
      "nid": "n-4bdf19d04e519f70dff0d0fc",
      "data": "2024-12-21",
      "match": "Aston Villa v Manchester City",
      "said_text": "Correct score: Aston Villa 2-1 Manchester City",
      "outcome_label": "score right · result right",
      "url": "/authors/jake-osgathorpe/picks/9/#pick-n-4bdf19d04e519f70dff0d0fc",
      "evidence_price": 3.2,
      "comparison": null
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-2b8e72f8146b8b557d8e6539",
      "data": "2024-12-21",
      "match": "Ipswich Town v Newcastle United",
      "said_text": "Correct score: Ipswich Town 1-1 Newcastle United",
      "outcome_label": "score wrong · result wrong",
      "url": "/authors/jake-osgathorpe/picks/9/#pick-n-2b8e72f8146b8b557d8e6539",
      "evidence_price": 4.0,
      "comparison": null
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-748539d11eb54c0cd8439da9",
      "data": "2024-12-21",
      "match": "West Ham United v Brighton & Hove Albion",
      "said_text": "Correct score: West Ham United 1-1 Brighton & Hove Albion",
      "outcome_label": "score right · result right",
      "url": "/authors/jake-osgathorpe/picks/9/#pick-n-748539d11eb54c0cd8439da9",
      "evidence_price": 3.6,
      "comparison": null
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-7abd48d8eeca9110f93b97de",
      "data": "2024-12-21",
      "match": "Brentford v Nottingham Forest",
      "said_text": "Correct score: Brentford 1-2 Nottingham Forest",
      "outcome_label": "score wrong · result right",
      "url": "/authors/jake-osgathorpe/picks/9/#pick-n-7abd48d8eeca9110f93b97de",
      "evidence_price": 2.75,
      "comparison": null
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-ac1150ad65e29d16494ecba8",
      "data": "2024-12-21",
      "match": "Crystal Palace v Arsenal",
      "said_text": "Correct score: Crystal Palace 1-2 Arsenal",
      "outcome_label": "score wrong · result right",
      "url": "/authors/jake-osgathorpe/picks/9/#pick-n-ac1150ad65e29d16494ecba8",
      "evidence_price": 1.48,
      "comparison": null
     }
    ]
   },
   {
    "id": "zk-477bd172555808c81fc5",
    "name_shown": "Max Mallow",
    "url": "/authors/max-mallow/",
    "body": "4/5 result calls right · week of 4 Nov 2024 · archive record",
    "fact": "4 of 5 result calls right in the week 4 Nov 2024–10 Nov 2024 (Monday to Sunday, UTC), one call per match.",
    "tier": null,
    "m": null,
    "provenance": "archived",
    "status": "historical",
    "cause": "120 days after the event",
    "event_at": "2024-11-10",
    "evidence_through": "2024-11-10",
    "year": "2024",
    "chance": {
     "contract_version": 1,
     "kind": "at_least",
     "priced": 5,
     "unpriced": 0,
     "hits": 1,
     "probability": 0.938135,
     "one_in": 1,
     "log10": -0.03,
     "words": "about even",
     "rule": "probability of at least this many correct picks if each pick came in with its market probability (1/price); exact Poisson-binomial",
     "note": "market prices include the bookmaker margin, so the chance is slightly overstated — a cautious figure"
    },
    "evidence_items": [
     {
      "nid": "n-383b4e58d2c20d51b1bea31c",
      "data": "2024-11-09",
      "match": "Crystal Palace v Fulham",
      "said_text": "Correct score: Crystal Palace 1-2 Fulham",
      "outcome_label": "score wrong · result right",
      "url": "/authors/max-mallow/picks/6/#pick-n-383b4e58d2c20d51b1bea31c",
      "evidence_price": 2.25,
      "comparison": "1 other tipster on this match, 0 right (1 named draw)"
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-789ce983eb52fcfefb03c97b",
      "data": "2024-11-09",
      "match": "Wolverhampton Wanderers v Southampton",
      "said_text": "Correct score: Wolverhampton Wanderers 2-0 Southampton",
      "outcome_label": "score right · result right",
      "url": "/authors/max-mallow/picks/6/#pick-n-789ce983eb52fcfefb03c97b",
      "evidence_price": 1.9,
      "comparison": "1 other tipster on this match, 1 right (1 named home win)"
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-7c3726b870c267844d5f64b2",
      "data": "2024-11-09",
      "match": "West Ham United v Everton",
      "said_text": "Correct score: West Ham United 2-1 Everton",
      "outcome_label": "score wrong · result wrong",
      "url": "/authors/max-mallow/picks/6/#pick-n-7c3726b870c267844d5f64b2",
      "evidence_price": 2.15,
      "comparison": "1 other tipster on this match, 0 right (1 named home win)"
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-b4cddecc5d87620c9943c399",
      "data": "2024-11-10",
      "match": "Nottingham Forest v Newcastle United",
      "said_text": "Correct score: Nottingham Forest 1-2 Newcastle United",
      "outcome_label": "score wrong · result right",
      "url": "/authors/max-mallow/picks/6/#pick-n-b4cddecc5d87620c9943c399",
      "evidence_price": 2.65,
      "comparison": null
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-213f4ffd1ad62d78967e593f",
      "data": "2024-11-10",
      "match": "Chelsea v Arsenal",
      "said_text": "Correct score: Chelsea 2-2 Arsenal",
      "outcome_label": "score wrong · result right",
      "url": "/authors/max-mallow/picks/6/#pick-n-213f4ffd1ad62d78967e593f",
      "evidence_price": 3.4,
      "comparison": "1 other tipster on this match, 0 right (1 named home win)"
     }
    ]
   },
   {
    "id": "zk-5e112f4de08bd4b8c1a5",
    "name_shown": "Joe Townsend",
    "url": "/authors/joe-townsend/",
    "body": "5/6 result calls right · week of 30 Sep 2024 · archive record",
    "fact": "5 of 6 result calls right in the week 30 Sep 2024–6 Oct 2024 (Monday to Sunday, UTC), one call per match.",
    "tier": null,
    "m": null,
    "provenance": "archived",
    "status": "historical",
    "cause": "120 days after the event",
    "event_at": "2024-10-06",
    "evidence_through": "2024-10-06",
    "year": "2024",
    "chance": {
     "contract_version": 1,
     "kind": "at_least",
     "priced": 6,
     "unpriced": 0,
     "hits": 0,
     "probability": 1.0,
     "one_in": 1,
     "log10": 0.0,
     "words": "about even",
     "rule": "probability of at least this many correct picks if each pick came in with its market probability (1/price); exact Poisson-binomial",
     "note": "market prices include the bookmaker margin, so the chance is slightly overstated — a cautious figure"
    },
    "evidence_items": [
     {
      "nid": "n-05a19f21f7c2baf30c360d42",
      "data": "2024-10-05",
      "match": "Arsenal v Southampton",
      "said_text": "Correct score: Arsenal 3-0 Southampton",
      "outcome_label": "score wrong · result right",
      "url": "/authors/joe-townsend/picks/3/#pick-n-05a19f21f7c2baf30c360d42",
      "evidence_price": 1.17,
      "comparison": "1 other tipster on this match, 1 right (1 named home win)"
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-253a8f078ee8a811f17e928e",
      "data": "2024-10-05",
      "match": "West Ham United v Ipswich Town",
      "said_text": "Correct score: West Ham United 2-0 Ipswich Town",
      "outcome_label": "score wrong · result right",
      "url": "/authors/joe-townsend/picks/3/#pick-n-253a8f078ee8a811f17e928e",
      "evidence_price": 1.86,
      "comparison": "1 other tipster on this match, 1 right (1 named home win)"
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-4bad2b8052aa7b5e9f198d77",
      "data": "2024-10-05",
      "match": "Leicester City v AFC Bournemouth",
      "said_text": "Correct score: Leicester City 1-1 AFC Bournemouth",
      "outcome_label": "score wrong · result wrong",
      "url": "/authors/joe-townsend/picks/3/#pick-n-4bad2b8052aa7b5e9f198d77",
      "evidence_price": 3.75,
      "comparison": "2 other tipsters and sources on this match, 1 right (1 named home win, 1 named away win)"
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-6bcee45cca6d1f41318220c2",
      "data": "2024-10-05",
      "match": "Manchester City v Fulham",
      "said_text": "Correct score: Manchester City 3-1 Fulham",
      "outcome_label": "score wrong · result right",
      "url": "/authors/joe-townsend/picks/4/#pick-n-6bcee45cca6d1f41318220c2",
      "evidence_price": 1.25,
      "comparison": "1 other tipster on this match, 1 right (1 named home win)"
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-f0d1ea8bd9c8c5101e56d940",
      "data": "2024-10-05",
      "match": "Brentford v Wolverhampton Wanderers",
      "said_text": "Correct score: Brentford 2-0 Wolverhampton Wanderers",
      "outcome_label": "score wrong · result right",
      "url": "/authors/joe-townsend/picks/4/#pick-n-f0d1ea8bd9c8c5101e56d940",
      "evidence_price": 2.02,
      "comparison": "2 other tipsters and sources on this match, 1 right (1 named draw, 1 named home win)"
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-f0645c4e2cc2a618605e787f",
      "data": "2024-10-05",
      "match": "Everton v Newcastle United",
      "said_text": "Correct score: Everton 1-1 Newcastle United",
      "outcome_label": "score wrong · result right",
      "url": "/authors/joe-townsend/picks/4/#pick-n-f0645c4e2cc2a618605e787f",
      "evidence_price": 3.75,
      "comparison": "1 other tipster on this match, 0 right (1 named away win)"
     }
    ]
   },
   {
    "id": "zk-28e1a3179e5cac4deadb",
    "name_shown": "Jake Osgathorpe",
    "url": "/authors/jake-osgathorpe/",
    "body": "6/7 result calls right · week of 26 Aug 2024 · archive record",
    "fact": "6 of 7 result calls right in the week 26 Aug 2024–1 Sep 2024 (Monday to Sunday, UTC), one call per match.",
    "tier": null,
    "m": null,
    "provenance": "archived",
    "status": "historical",
    "cause": "120 days after the event",
    "event_at": "2024-09-01",
    "evidence_through": "2024-09-01",
    "year": "2024",
    "chance": {
     "contract_version": 1,
     "kind": "at_least",
     "priced": 7,
     "unpriced": 0,
     "hits": 2,
     "probability": 0.952324,
     "one_in": 1,
     "log10": -0.02,
     "words": "about even",
     "rule": "probability of at least this many correct picks if each pick came in with its market probability (1/price); exact Poisson-binomial",
     "note": "market prices include the bookmaker margin, so the chance is slightly overstated — a cautious figure"
    },
    "evidence_items": [
     {
      "nid": "n-4a30ccf1a7bfc58531a500c3",
      "data": "2024-08-31",
      "match": "Arsenal v Brighton & Hove Albion",
      "said_text": "Correct score: Arsenal 2-1 Brighton & Hove Albion",
      "outcome_label": "score wrong · result wrong",
      "url": "/authors/jake-osgathorpe/picks/13/#pick-n-4a30ccf1a7bfc58531a500c3",
      "evidence_price": null,
      "comparison": null
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-5bb5c146bfe0996b9c37d1c3",
      "data": "2024-08-31",
      "match": "Leicester City v Aston Villa",
      "said_text": "Correct score: Leicester City 1-2 Aston Villa",
      "outcome_label": "score right · result right",
      "url": "/authors/jake-osgathorpe/picks/13/#pick-n-5bb5c146bfe0996b9c37d1c3",
      "evidence_price": 1.88,
      "comparison": "1 other tipster on this match, 1 right (1 named away win)"
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-87ea74302c389ebb729a15e3",
      "data": "2024-08-31",
      "match": "Nottingham Forest v Wolverhampton Wanderers",
      "said_text": "Correct score: Nottingham Forest 1-1 Wolverhampton Wanderers",
      "outcome_label": "score right · result right",
      "url": "/authors/jake-osgathorpe/picks/13/#pick-n-87ea74302c389ebb729a15e3",
      "evidence_price": 3.6,
      "comparison": null
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-937eb40648235ba086c8f225",
      "data": "2024-08-31",
      "match": "Brentford v Southampton",
      "said_text": "Correct score: Brentford 2-1 Southampton",
      "outcome_label": "score wrong · result right",
      "url": "/authors/jake-osgathorpe/picks/13/#pick-n-937eb40648235ba086c8f225",
      "evidence_price": 1.79,
      "comparison": "1 other tipster on this match, 1 right (1 named home win)"
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-e3b0168d069630282f0a6b4a",
      "data": "2024-08-31",
      "match": "Everton v AFC Bournemouth",
      "said_text": "Correct score: Everton 1-2 AFC Bournemouth",
      "outcome_label": "score wrong · result right",
      "url": "/authors/jake-osgathorpe/picks/13/#pick-n-e3b0168d069630282f0a6b4a",
      "evidence_price": 2.4,
      "comparison": null
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-e620c549d8179ecc6800051a",
      "data": "2024-08-31",
      "match": "Ipswich Town v Fulham",
      "said_text": "Correct score: Ipswich Town 2-2 Fulham",
      "outcome_label": "score wrong · result right",
      "url": "/authors/jake-osgathorpe/picks/13/#pick-n-e620c549d8179ecc6800051a",
      "evidence_price": 3.4,
      "comparison": null
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-b69a4406f658b6402d1c1d60",
      "data": "2024-08-31",
      "match": "West Ham United v Manchester City",
      "said_text": "Correct score: West Ham United 0-2 Manchester City",
      "outcome_label": "score wrong · result right",
      "url": "/authors/jake-osgathorpe/picks/13/#pick-n-b69a4406f658b6402d1c1d60",
      "evidence_price": 1.4,
      "comparison": null
     }
    ]
   }
  ],
  "holders_people": 27,
  "fields": [],
  "visible": 62,
  "example": null,
  "luck": {
   "field": "chance",
   "words": "Each holder carries the chance of the same result by luck: the market probability (1/price at our recording) of every pick behind the title, multiplied for a run or summed as at least this many correct picks. Prices include the bookmaker margin, so the figure is cautious."
  },
  "legend": "Badges show titles earned before this prediction, by published rules.",
  "page_variant": "view"
 },
 "entity_id": "titles:/titles/p-01-week-record/",
 "source_revision": 43
}