{
 "schema_name": "page",
 "schema_version": "2.0",
 "page_type": "titles",
 "url": "/titles/c-05-correct-against-prices-implied/",
 "canonical": "/titles/c-05-correct-against-prices-implied/",
 "language": "en",
 "hreflang": [],
 "translations": [],
 "heading": "Correct against prices implied — Forecast Record Record Detail",
 "description": "Correct against prices implied: the rule, where it is shown and how it reads.",
 "first_paragraph": {
  "body": "On Forecast Record, Correct against prices implied is a record detail: a line on 6 profiles by the rule below, without a badge (as of 7 November 2026, source: our own settlement journal).",
  "key_number": "6",
  "data": "2026-11-07",
  "source_info": "our own settlement journal",
  "brand": "Forecast Record"
 },
 "indexable": false,
 "noindex_reason": "too_few_settled",
 "indexing_threshold": {
  "settled_count": 0,
  "date_count": 0,
  "required_settled": 0,
  "required_dates": 0
 },
 "data_date": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z",
 "built_at": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z",
 "lastmod": "2026-11-07T07:23:48.684Z",
 "content_hash": null,
 "meaning_hash": "4c6532aa6a00ea7c96384013f5a45bc3beab79e8e43e29e35fa04bae086e0a96",
 "dependency_group": "titles:view",
 "release_id": "20261107-195223",
 "markup": [
  {
   "type_code": "WebPage",
   "allowed": true,
   "cause": null
  },
  {
   "type_code": "Organization",
   "allowed": true,
   "cause": null
  }
 ],
 "exports": [
  {
   "type_code": "json",
   "url": "/titles/c-05-correct-against-prices-implied/index.json",
   "bytes": null
  }
 ],
 "modules": {
  "affiliate": false,
  "api": true,
  "compare_yourself": false
 },
 "affiliate_block": null,
 "restrictions": {
  "name_withdrawn": false,
  "tracker_number": null,
  "withdrawn_quotes": [],
  "removed_at": null,
  "cause": null,
  "suspended_records": [],
  "withdrawal_log_number": 0
 },
 "page_links": {
  "methodology": "/methodology/",
  "right_of_reply": "/right-of-reply/",
  "source_coverage": "/coverage/",
  "corrections_log": "/corrections/",
  "api": "/api/",
  "claim": "/claim/"
 },
 "titles_page": {
  "code_name": "C-05",
  "display_name": "Correct against prices implied",
  "source_group": "Against the crowd, the market, pundits and AI",
  "chip": false,
  "title_tier": "record_detail",
  "view_category": "the whole record",
  "data_block": "live record and pre-match web archive (titles relying on the archive are marked \"archive record\"); picks found after the match only end runs and count in denominators",
  "rule": "Correct result calls against what the pre-match prices of the named outcomes implied (margin included), from 50 matches with a price for at least 90.0% of the result calls.",
  "revision": "1",
  "holders": [],
  "history": [],
  "holders_people": 0,
  "fields": [],
  "visible": 62,
  "example": "Result calls: 32 correct · 27.4 implied by prices",
  "luck": {
   "field": "chance",
   "words": "Each holder carries the chance of the same result by luck: the market probability (1/price at our recording) of every pick behind the title, multiplied for a run or summed as at least this many correct picks. Prices include the bookmaker margin, so the figure is cautious."
  },
  "legend": "Badges show titles earned before this prediction, by published rules.",
  "page_variant": "view"
 },
 "entity_id": "titles:/titles/c-05-correct-against-prices-implied/",
 "source_revision": 32
}