{ "schema_name": "page", "schema_version": "2.0", "page_type": "titles", "url": "/titles/c-02-lone-correct-call/", "canonical": "/titles/c-02-lone-correct-call/", "language": "en", "hreflang": [], "translations": [], "heading": "Lone correct call — Forecast Record Title", "description": "Lone correct call: the rule, the field, the current holders and the picks behind each one.", "first_paragraph": { "body": "On Forecast Record, 38 tipsters and sources are on show for Lone correct call from the last 90 days; 0 more are in the record history (as of 7 November 2026, source: our own settlement journal).", "key_number": "38", "data": "2026-11-07", "source_info": "our own settlement journal", "brand": "Forecast Record" }, "indexable": false, "noindex_reason": "too_few_settled", "indexing_threshold": { "settled_count": 0, "date_count": 0, "required_settled": 0, "required_dates": 0 }, "data_date": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z", "built_at": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z", "lastmod": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z", "content_hash": null, "meaning_hash": "11d9995b3a73feb3243b7babdb86d820c94efde616db08be8fb8f38b36105647", "dependency_group": "titles:view", "release_id": "20261107-195223", "markup": [ { "type_code": "WebPage", "allowed": true, "cause": null }, { "type_code": "Organization", "allowed": true, "cause": null } ], "exports": [ { "type_code": "json", "url": "/titles/c-02-lone-correct-call/index.json", "bytes": null } ], "modules": { "affiliate": false, "api": true, "compare_yourself": false }, "affiliate_block": null, "restrictions": { "name_withdrawn": false, "tracker_number": null, "withdrawn_quotes": [], "removed_at": null, "cause": null, "suspended_records": [], "withdrawal_log_number": 0 }, "page_links": { "methodology": "/methodology/", "right_of_reply": "/right-of-reply/", "source_coverage": "/coverage/", "corrections_log": "/corrections/", "api": "/api/", "claim": "/claim/" }, "titles_page": { "code_name": "C-02", "display_name": "Lone correct call", "source_group": "Against the crowd, the market, pundits and AI", "chip": false, "title_tier": "dated_record", "view_category": "match", "data_block": "live record and pre-match web archive (titles relying on the archive are marked \"archive record\"); picks found after the match only end runs and count in denominators", "rule": "A correct result call on a match where at least 3 other tipsters and sources named an outcome and none of them was right. Shown for 90 days from the match.", "revision": "1", "holders": [ { "id": "zk-e8d773eb29699a689dc2", "name_shown": "Ali Demir", "url": "/authors/ali-demir/", "body": "Only one right of 6 tipsters and sources · Draw · Santos v Bahia · 25 Oct 2026", "fact": "Draw called correctly; 5 other tipsters and sources on this match, 0 right (5 named home win).", "tier": null, "m": 6, "provenance": "live", "status": "active", "cause": null, "event_at": "2026-10-25", "evidence_through": "2026-10-25", "year": "2026", "chance": { "contract_version": 1, "kind": "single", "priced": 1, "unpriced": 0, "hits": 1, "probability": 0.253165, "one_in": 4, "log10": -0.6, "words": "1 in 4", "rule": "market probability (1/price) of this one pick", "note": "market prices include the bookmaker margin, so the chance is slightly overstated — a cautious figure" }, "evidence_items": [ { "nid": "n-2716f0ddd14c110fdd666751", "data": "2026-10-25", "match": "Santos v Bahia", "said_text": "1X2, match result: draw at 3.7", "outcome_label": "right", "url": "/authors/ali-demir/picks/19/#pick-n-2716f0ddd14c110fdd666751", "evidence_price": 3.95, "comparison": "5 other tipsters and sources on this match, 0 right (5 named home win)" } ] }, { "id": "zk-8d83672824a7e528323f", "name_shown": "Ali Demir", "url": "/authors/ali-demir/", "body": "Only one right of 5 tipsters and sources · Away win · FC Cincinnati v Columbus Crew · 18 Oct 2026", "fact": "Away win called correctly; 4 other tipsters and sources on this match, 0 right (4 named home win).", "tier": null, "m": 5, "provenance": "live", "status": "active", "cause": null, "event_at": "2026-10-18", "evidence_through": "2026-10-18", "year": "2026", "chance": { "contract_version": 1, "kind": "single", "priced": 1, "unpriced": 0, "hits": 1, "probability": 0.383142, "one_in": 3, "log10": -0.42, "words": "1 in 3", "rule": "market probability (1/price) of this one pick", "note": "market prices include the bookmaker margin, so the chance is slightly overstated — a cautious figure" }, "evidence_items": [ { "nid": "n-29f4ddc35cbd6fd1d8a7b2c5", "data": "2026-10-18", "match": "FC Cincinnati v Columbus Crew", "said_text": "1X2, match result: Columbus Crew at 2.85", "outcome_label": "right", "url": "/authors/ali-demir/picks/13/#pick-n-29f4ddc35cbd6fd1d8a7b2c5", "evidence_price": null, "comparison": "4 other tipsters and sources on this match, 0 right (4 named home win)" } ] }, { "id": "zk-a13aa60d078b553fb263", "name_shown": "Andy Delaney", "url": "/authors/andy-delaney/", "body": "Only one right of 11 tipsters and sources · Draw · Wolverhampton Wanderers v Portsmouth · 20 Oct 2026", "fact": "Draw called correctly; 10 other tipsters and sources on this match, 0 right (9 named home win, 1 named away win).", "tier": null, "m": 11, "provenance": "live", "status": "active", "cause": null, "event_at": "2026-10-20", "evidence_through": "2026-10-20", "year": "2026", "chance": { "contract_version": 1, "kind": "single", "priced": 1, "unpriced": 0, "hits": 1, "probability": 0.243902, "one_in": 4, "log10": -0.61, "words": "1 in 4", "rule": "market probability (1/price) of this one pick", "note": "market prices include the bookmaker margin, so the chance is slightly overstated — a cautious figure" }, "evidence_items": [ { "nid": "n-bfc5591c77ed549712891f88", "data": "2026-10-20", "match": "Wolverhampton Wanderers v Portsmouth", "said_text": "Correct score: Wolverhampton Wanderers 1-1 Portsmouth", "outcome_label": "score right · result right", "url": "/authors/andy-delaney/picks/6/#pick-n-bfc5591c77ed549712891f88", "evidence_price": 4.1, "comparison": "10 other tipsters and sources on this match, 0 right (9 named home win, 1 named away win)" } ] }, { "id": "zk-c627fb0ac44e1908d731", "name_shown": "Andy Delaney", "url": "/authors/andy-delaney/", "body": "Only one right of 6 tipsters and sources · Home win · Feyenoord v Como · 14 Oct 2026", "fact": "Home win called correctly; 5 other tipsters and sources on this match, 0 right (4 named away win, 1 named draw).", "tier": null, "m": 6, "provenance": "live", "status": "active", "cause": null, "event_at": "2026-10-14", "evidence_through": "2026-10-14", "year": "2026", "chance": { "contract_version": 1, "kind": "single", "priced": 1, "unpriced": 0, "hits": 1, "probability": 0.286533, "one_in": 3, "log10": -0.54, "words": "1 in 3", "rule": "market probability (1/price) of this one pick", "note": "market prices include the bookmaker margin, so the chance is slightly overstated — a cautious figure" }, "evidence_items": [ { "nid": "n-477b7f35b70a86c345cf69c6", "data": "2026-10-14", "match": "Feyenoord v Como", "said_text": "1X2, match result: Feyenoord at 3.6", "outcome_label": "right", "url": "/authors/andy-delaney/picks/4/#pick-n-477b7f35b70a86c345cf69c6", "evidence_price": 3.06, "comparison": "5 other tipsters and sources on this match, 0 right (4 named away win, 1 named draw)" } ] }, { "id": "zk-1ea8d4769676c44bc244", "name_shown": "Baba", "url": "/authors/baba/", "body": "Only one right of 5 tipsters and sources · Home win · FC Thun v Hearts · 5 Nov 2026", "fact": "Home win called correctly; 4 other tipsters and sources on this match, 0 right (2 named draw, 2 named away win).", "tier": null, "m": 5, "provenance": "live", "status": "active", "cause": null, "event_at": "2026-11-05", "evidence_through": "2026-11-05", "year": "2026", "chance": { "contract_version": 1, "kind": "single", "priced": 1, "unpriced": 0, "hits": 1, "probability": 0.444444, "one_in": 2, "log10": -0.35, "words": "1 in 2", "rule": "market probability (1/price) of this one pick", "note": "market prices include the bookmaker margin, so the chance is slightly overstated — a cautious figure" }, "evidence_items": [ { "nid": "n-c562514641cc39abe7ae15c6", "data": "2026-11-05", "match": "FC Thun v Hearts", "said_text": "1X2, match result: FC Thun", "outcome_label": "right", "url": "/authors/baba/picks/319/#pick-n-c562514641cc39abe7ae15c6", "evidence_price": 2.07, "comparison": "4 other tipsters and sources on this match, 0 right (2 named draw, 2 named away win)" } ] }, { "id": "zk-37e18fe87e18079a2945", "name_shown": "Baba", "url": "/authors/baba/", "body": "Only one right of 7 tipsters and sources · Draw · Kocaelispor v Rizespor · 31 Oct 2026", "fact": "Draw called correctly; 6 other tipsters and sources on this match, 0 right (3 named home win, 3 named away win).", "tier": null, "m": 7, "provenance": "live", "status": "active", "cause": null, "event_at": "2026-10-31", "evidence_through": "2026-10-31", "year": "2026", "chance": { "contract_version": 1, "kind": "single", "priced": 1, "unpriced": 0, "hits": 1, "probability": 0.294118, "one_in": 3, "log10": -0.53, "words": "1 in 3", "rule": "market probability (1/price) of this one pick", "note": "market prices include the bookmaker margin, so the chance is slightly overstated — a cautious figure" }, "evidence_items": [ { "nid": "n-2b4692fe554ba3f4c50ece72", "data": "2026-10-31", "match": "Kocaelispor v Rizespor", "said_text": "1X2, match result: draw", "outcome_label": "right", "url": "/authors/baba/picks/255/#pick-n-2b4692fe554ba3f4c50ece72", "evidence_price": 3.4, "comparison": "6 other tipsters and sources on this match, 0 right (3 named home win, 3 named away win)" } ] }, { "id": "zk-37709c06281e561d74f3", "name_shown": "Baba", "url": "/authors/baba/", "body": "Only one right of 5 tipsters and sources · Home win · VfL Osnabruck v Greuther Furth · 25 Oct 2026", "fact": "Home win called correctly; 4 other tipsters and sources on this match, 0 right (3 named draw, 1 named away win).", "tier": null, "m": 5, "provenance": "live", "status": "active", "cause": null, "event_at": "2026-10-25", "evidence_through": "2026-10-25", "year": "2026", "chance": { "contract_version": 1, "kind": "single", "priced": 0, "unpriced": 1, "probability": null, "one_in": null, "words": "No recorded prices for these picks, so the chance cannot be measured." }, "evidence_items": [ { "nid": "n-e97fd60b155c36e7ffd8f3bd", "data": "2026-10-25", "match": "VfL Osnabruck v Greuther Furth", "said_text": "1X2, match result: VfL Osnabruck at 2.3", "outcome_label": "right", "url": "/authors/baba/picks/173/#pick-n-e97fd60b155c36e7ffd8f3bd", "evidence_price": null, "comparison": "4 other tipsters and sources on this match, 0 right (3 named draw, 1 named away win)" } ] }, { "id": "zk-7659476c2b784ce49c06", "name_shown": "Bet-Experts.nl", "url": "/sources/bet-experts-nl/", "body": "Only one right of 7 tipsters and sources · Away win · RC Lens v Sporting CP · 13 Oct 2026", "fact": "Away win called correctly; 6 other tipsters and sources on this match, 0 right (6 named draw).", "tier": null, "m": 7, "provenance": "live", "status": "active", "cause": null, "event_at": "2026-10-13", "evidence_through": "2026-10-13", "year": "2026", "chance": { "contract_version": 1, "kind": "single", "priced": 1, "unpriced": 0, "hits": 1, "probability": 0.37037, "one_in": 3, "log10": -0.43, "words": "1 in 3", "rule": "market probability (1/price) of this one pick", "note": "market prices include the bookmaker margin, so the chance is slightly overstated — a cautious figure" }, "evidence_items": [ { "nid": "n-4cb1df1a464006dfbc5a55b7", "data": "2026-10-13", "match": "RC Lens v Sporting CP", "said_text": "1X2, match result: Sporting CP", "outcome_label": "right", "url": "/sources/bet-experts-nl/picks/5/#pick-n-4cb1df1a464006dfbc5a55b7", "evidence_price": 2.7, "comparison": "6 other tipsters and sources on this match, 0 right (6 named draw)" } ] }, { "id": "zk-883c0bf06f9dba2a3e3e", "name_shown": "BetClan", "url": "/sources/betclan-com/", "body": "Only one right of 4 tipsters and sources · Home win · Drogheda United v Galway United · 30 Oct 2026", "fact": "Home win called correctly; 3 other tipsters and sources on this match, 0 right (3 named draw).", "tier": null, "m": 4, "provenance": "live", "status": "active", "cause": null, "event_at": "2026-10-30", "evidence_through": "2026-10-30", "year": "2026", "chance": { "contract_version": 1, "kind": "single", "priced": 1, "unpriced": 0, "hits": 1, "probability": 0.454545, "one_in": 2, "log10": -0.34, "words": "1 in 2", "rule": "market probability (1/price) of this one pick", "note": "market prices include the bookmaker margin, so the chance is slightly overstated — a cautious figure" }, "evidence_items": [ { "nid": "n-051f6c35b2a29cafc722e04f", "data": "2026-10-30", "match": "Drogheda United v Galway United", "said_text": "1X2, match result: Drogheda United", "outcome_label": "right", "url": "/sources/betclan-com/picks/99/#pick-n-051f6c35b2a29cafc722e04f", "evidence_price": null, "comparison": "3 other tipsters and sources on this match, 0 right (3 named draw)" } ] }, { "id": "zk-d895bfc68b01ad969bb1", "name_shown": "BetClan", "url": "/sources/betclan-com/", "body": "Only one right of 5 tipsters and sources · Away win · Derby County v Stoke City · 17 Oct 2026", "fact": "Away win called correctly; 4 other tipsters and sources on this match, 0 right (3 named draw, 1 named home win).", "tier": null, "m": 5, "provenance": "live", "status": "active", "cause": null, "event_at": "2026-10-17", "evidence_through": "2026-10-17", "year": "2026", "chance": { "contract_version": 1, "kind": "single", "priced": 0, "unpriced": 1, "probability": null, "one_in": null, "words": "No recorded prices for these picks, so the chance cannot be measured." }, "evidence_items": [ { "nid": "n-401d727291ae66b67b6f9e46", "data": "2026-10-17", "match": "Derby County v Stoke City", "said_text": "Correct score: Derby County 1-2 Stoke City", "outcome_label": "score wrong · result right", "url": "/sources/betclan-com/picks/38/#pick-n-401d727291ae66b67b6f9e46", "evidence_price": null, "comparison": "4 other tipsters and sources on this match, 0 right (3 named draw, 1 named home win)" } ] }, { "id": "zk-f5dbf1e4621412fcdc7f", "name_shown": "BetClan", "url": "/sources/betclan-com/", "body": "Only one right of 4 tipsters and sources · Draw · Coritiba v Botafogo · 12 Oct 2026", "fact": "Draw called correctly; 3 other tipsters and sources on this match, 0 right (2 named home win, 1 named away win).", "tier": null, "m": 4, "provenance": "live", "status": "active", "cause": null, "event_at": "2026-10-12", "evidence_through": "2026-10-12", "year": "2026", "chance": { "contract_version": 1, "kind": "single", "priced": 1, "unpriced": 0, "hits": 1, "probability": 0.288184, "one_in": 3, "log10": -0.54, "words": "1 in 3", "rule": "market probability (1/price) of this one pick", "note": "market prices include the bookmaker margin, so the chance is slightly overstated — a cautious figure" }, "evidence_items": [ { "nid": "n-66173af4ce05081cf05f775a", "data": "2026-10-12", "match": "Coritiba v Botafogo", "said_text": "1X2, match result: draw", "outcome_label": "right", "url": "/sources/betclan-com/picks/12/#pick-n-66173af4ce05081cf05f775a", "evidence_price": 3.47, "comparison": "3 other tipsters and sources on this match, 0 right (2 named home win, 1 named away win)" } ] }, { "id": "zk-f947e586c632f823b18e", "name_shown": "BetClan", "url": "/sources/betclan-com/", "body": "Only one right of 7 tipsters and sources · Away win · Lecce v Bologna · 11 Oct 2026", "fact": "Away win called correctly; 6 other tipsters and sources on this match, 0 right (4 named draw, 2 named home win).", "tier": null, "m": 7, "provenance": "live", "status": "active", "cause": null, "event_at": "2026-10-11", "evidence_through": "2026-10-11", "year": "2026", "chance": { "contract_version": 1, "kind": "single", "priced": 1, "unpriced": 0, "hits": 1, "probability": 0.492611, "one_in": 2, "log10": -0.31, "words": "1 in 2", "rule": "market probability (1/price) of this one pick", "note": "market prices include the bookmaker margin, so the chance is slightly overstated — a cautious figure" }, "evidence_items": [ { "nid": "n-58c3cd1c8b4077b9b71aef43", "data": "2026-10-11", "match": "Lecce v Bologna", "said_text": "1X2, match result: Bologna", "outcome_label": "right", "url": "/sources/betclan-com/picks/3/#pick-n-58c3cd1c8b4077b9b71aef43", "evidence_price": 2.03, "comparison": "6 other tipsters and sources on this match, 0 right (4 named draw, 2 named home win)" } ] }, { "id": "zk-0fedfaa709a1acb3176c", "name_shown": "Byron David", "url": "/authors/byron-david/", "body": "Only one right of 6 tipsters and sources · Draw · FC Augsburg v FC Bayern München · 10 Oct 2026", "fact": "Draw called correctly; 5 other tipsters and sources on this match, 0 right (4 named away win, 1 named home win).", "tier": null, "m": 6, "provenance": "live", "status": "active", "cause": null, "event_at": "2026-10-10", "evidence_through": "2026-10-10", "year": "2026", "chance": { "contract_version": 1, "kind": "single", "priced": 1, "unpriced": 0, "hits": 1, "probability": 0.117647, "one_in": 8, "log10": -0.93, "words": "1 in 8", "rule": "market probability (1/price) of this one pick", "note": "market prices include the bookmaker margin, so the chance is slightly overstated — a cautious figure" }, "evidence_items": [ { "nid": "n-dad90fcc536a410ea3ce5413", "data": "2026-10-10", "match": "FC Augsburg v FC Bayern München", "said_text": "Correct score: FC Augsburg 2-2 FC Bayern München", "outcome_label": "score right · result right", "url": "/authors/byron-david/picks/3/#pick-n-dad90fcc536a410ea3ce5413", "evidence_price": 8.5, "comparison": "5 other tipsters and sources on this match, 0 right (4 named away win, 1 named home win)" } ] }, { "id": "zk-4f7c8ae4bd308aeb6586", "name_shown": "Calum Burrowes", "url": "/authors/calum-burrowes/", "body": "Only one right of 9 tipsters and sources · Draw · Stoke City v Bristol City · 24 Oct 2026", "fact": "Draw called correctly; 8 other tipsters and sources on this match, 0 right (8 named home win).", "tier": null, "m": 9, "provenance": "live", "status": "active", "cause": null, "event_at": "2026-10-24", "evidence_through": "2026-10-24", "year": "2026", "chance": { "contract_version": 1, "kind": "single", "priced": 0, "unpriced": 1, "probability": null, "one_in": null, "words": "No recorded prices for these picks, so the chance cannot be measured." }, "evidence_items": [ { "nid": "n-ec9657259a735620218fbcde", "data": "2026-10-24", "match": "Stoke City v Bristol City", "said_text": "Correct score: Stoke City 1-1 Bristol City", "outcome_label": "score wrong · result right", "url": "/authors/calum-burrowes/picks/6/#pick-n-ec9657259a735620218fbcde", "evidence_price": null, "comparison": "8 other tipsters and sources on this match, 0 right (8 named home win)" } ] }, { "id": "zk-73131e5f1517206d0027", "name_shown": "Dailysports", "url": "/sources/dailysports-net/", "body": "Only one right of 9 tipsters and sources · Draw · Union St. Gilloise v Real Sociedad · 15 Oct 2026", "fact": "Draw called correctly; 8 other tipsters and sources on this match, 0 right (8 named home win).", "tier": null, "m": 9, "provenance": "live", "status": "active", "cause": null, "event_at": "2026-10-15", "evidence_through": "2026-10-15", "year": "2026", "chance": { "contract_version": 1, "kind": "single", "priced": 1, "unpriced": 0, "hits": 1, "probability": 0.273224, "one_in": 4, "log10": -0.56, "words": "1 in 4", "rule": "market probability (1/price) of this one pick", "note": "market prices include the bookmaker margin, so the chance is slightly overstated — a cautious figure" }, "evidence_items": [ { "nid": "n-125a7fe3592e1317168d5057", "data": "2026-10-15", "match": "Union St. Gilloise v Real Sociedad", "said_text": "1X2, match result: draw", "outcome_label": "right", "url": "/sources/dailysports-net/picks/7/#pick-n-125a7fe3592e1317168d5057", "evidence_price": 3.66, "comparison": "8 other tipsters and sources on this match, 0 right (8 named home win)" } ] }, { "id": "zk-f7db28fdb82bbc8625b3", "name_shown": "Darren Plant", "url": "/authors/darren-plant/", "body": "Only one right of 9 tipsters and sources · Away win · Charlton Athletic v Bolton Wanderers · 3 Nov 2026", "fact": "Away win called correctly; 8 other tipsters and sources on this match, 0 right (6 named home win, 2 named draw).", "tier": null, "m": 9, "provenance": "live", "status": "active", "cause": null, "event_at": "2026-11-03", "evidence_through": "2026-11-03", "year": "2026", "chance": { "contract_version": 1, "kind": "single", "priced": 1, "unpriced": 0, "hits": 1, "probability": 0.333333, "one_in": 3, "log10": -0.48, "words": "1 in 3", "rule": "market probability (1/price) of this one pick", "note": "market prices include the bookmaker margin, so the chance is slightly overstated — a cautious figure" }, "evidence_items": [ { "nid": "n-2babec175f245bfccef7e69a", "data": "2026-11-03", "match": "Charlton Athletic v Bolton Wanderers", "said_text": "1X2, match result: Bolton Wanderers", "outcome_label": "right", "url": "/authors/darren-plant/picks/3/#pick-n-2babec175f245bfccef7e69a", "evidence_price": 3.2, "comparison": "8 other tipsters and sources on this match, 0 right (6 named home win, 2 named draw)" } ] }, { "id": "zk-995afab395afa7f853bd", "name_shown": "Fabian Schuster", "url": "/authors/fabian-schuster/", "body": "Only one right of 7 tipsters and sources · Draw · Eintracht Braunschweig v Cottbus · 6 Nov 2026", "fact": "Draw called correctly; 6 other tipsters and sources on this match, 0 right (6 named home win).", "tier": null, "m": 7, "provenance": "live", "status": "active", "cause": null, "event_at": "2026-11-06", "evidence_through": "2026-11-06", "year": "2026", "chance": { "contract_version": 1, "kind": "single", "priced": 0, "unpriced": 1, "probability": null, "one_in": null, "words": "No recorded prices for these picks, so the chance cannot be measured." }, "evidence_items": [ { "nid": "n-e6e1efd1f52be18c4b9a1eff", "data": "2026-11-06", "match": "Eintracht Braunschweig v Cottbus", "said_text": "1X2, match result: draw at 3.9", "outcome_label": "right", "url": "/authors/fabian-schuster/picks/25/#pick-n-e6e1efd1f52be18c4b9a1eff", "evidence_price": null, "comparison": "6 other tipsters and sources on this match, 0 right (6 named home win)" } ] }, { "id": "zk-4ae7f87e7dcde99a97af", "name_shown": "FootballPredictions.com", "url": "/sources/footballpredictions-com/", "body": "Only one right of 9 tipsters and sources · Draw · Kuopion Palloseura v Gent · 5 Nov 2026", "fact": "Draw called correctly; 8 other tipsters and sources on this match, 0 right (8 named away win).", "tier": null, "m": 9, "provenance": "live", "status": "active", "cause": null, "event_at": "2026-11-05", "evidence_through": "2026-11-05", "year": "2026", "chance": { "contract_version": 1, "kind": "single", "priced": 1, "unpriced": 0, "hits": 1, "probability": 0.25, "one_in": 4, "log10": -0.6, "words": "1 in 4", "rule": "market probability (1/price) of this one pick", "note": "market prices include the bookmaker margin, so the chance is slightly overstated — a cautious figure" }, "evidence_items": [ { "nid": "n-adbc32e937255a50f121657d", "data": "2026-11-05", "match": "Kuopion Palloseura v Gent", "said_text": "Correct score: Kuopion Palloseura 1-1 Gent at 7.5", "outcome_label": "score wrong · result right", "url": "/sources/footballpredictions-com/picks/351/#pick-n-adbc32e937255a50f121657d", "evidence_price": 4.0, "comparison": "8 other tipsters and sources on this match, 0 right (8 named away win)" } ] }, { "id": "zk-eab8d0526e535a58487b", "name_shown": "FootballPredictions.com", "url": "/sources/footballpredictions-com/", "body": "Only one right of 4 tipsters and sources · Draw · Plymouth Argyle v Reading · 31 Oct 2026", "fact": "Draw called correctly; 3 other tipsters and sources on this match, 0 right (2 named home win, 1 named away win).", "tier": null, "m": 4, "provenance": "live", "status": "active", "cause": null, "event_at": "2026-10-31", "evidence_through": "2026-10-31", "year": "2026", "chance": { "contract_version": 1, "kind": "single", "priced": 1, "unpriced": 0, "hits": 1, "probability": 0.097561, "one_in": 10, "log10": -1.01, "words": "1 in 10", "rule": "market probability (1/price) of this one pick", "note": "market prices include the bookmaker margin, so the chance is slightly overstated — a cautious figure" }, "evidence_items": [ { "nid": "n-b68876febc08de0b9240f0b8", "data": "2026-10-31", "match": "Plymouth Argyle v Reading", "said_text": "Correct score: Plymouth Argyle 2-2 Reading at 11", "outcome_label": "score wrong · result right", "url": "/sources/footballpredictions-com/picks/307/#pick-n-b68876febc08de0b9240f0b8", "evidence_price": 3.6, "comparison": "3 other tipsters and sources on this match, 0 right (2 named home win, 1 named away win)" } ] }, { "id": "zk-dd5bb555a56d2972bbf6", "name_shown": "FootballPredictions.com", "url": "/sources/footballpredictions-com/", "body": "Only one right of 4 tipsters and sources · Draw · Kilmarnock v St Johnstone · 31 Oct 2026", "fact": "Draw called correctly; 3 other tipsters and sources on this match, 0 right (3 named home win).", "tier": null, "m": 4, "provenance": "live", "status": "active", "cause": null, "event_at": "2026-10-31", "evidence_through": "2026-10-31", "year": "2026", "chance": { "contract_version": 1, "kind": "single", "priced": 0, "unpriced": 1, "probability": null, "one_in": null, "words": "No recorded prices for these picks, so the chance cannot be measured." }, "evidence_items": [ { "nid": "n-214b8d118cdaa30bf47c31b1", "data": "2026-10-31", "match": "Kilmarnock v St Johnstone", "said_text": "Correct score: Kilmarnock 1-1 St Johnstone", "outcome_label": "score wrong · result right", "url": "/sources/footballpredictions-com/picks/301/#pick-n-214b8d118cdaa30bf47c31b1", "evidence_price": null, "comparison": "3 other tipsters and sources on this match, 0 right (3 named home win)" } ] }, { "id": "zk-b313f0ea7d520ff2a159", "name_shown": "FootballPredictions.com", "url": "/sources/footballpredictions-com/", "body": "Only one right of 5 tipsters and sources · Draw · Chicago Fire v Orlando City SC · 29 Oct 2026", "fact": "Draw called correctly; 4 other tipsters and sources on this match, 0 right (3 named home win, 1 named draw).", "tier": null, "m": 5, "provenance": "live", "status": "active", "cause": null, "event_at": "2026-10-29", "evidence_through": "2026-10-29", "year": "2026", "chance": { "contract_version": 1, "kind": "single", "priced": 0, "unpriced": 1, "probability": null, "one_in": null, "words": "No recorded prices for these picks, so the chance cannot be measured." }, "evidence_items": [ { "nid": "n-8bbd9036c35014fb582d7e96", "data": "2026-10-29", "match": "Chicago Fire v Orlando City SC", "said_text": "Correct score: Chicago Fire 2-2 Orlando City SC", "outcome_label": "score right · result right", "url": "/sources/footballpredictions-com/picks/270/#pick-n-8bbd9036c35014fb582d7e96", "evidence_price": null, "comparison": "4 other tipsters and sources on this match, 0 right (3 named home win, 1 named draw)" } ] }, { "id": "zk-a7a2317f52f442d0cb22", "name_shown": "FootballPredictions.com", "url": "/sources/footballpredictions-com/", "body": "Only one right of 7 tipsters and sources · Draw · Virtus Entella v US Avellino 1912 · 27 Oct 2026", "fact": "Draw called correctly; 6 other tipsters and sources on this match, 0 right (3 named home win, 2 named away win, 1 named draw).", "tier": null, "m": 7, "provenance": "live", "status": "active", "cause": null, "event_at": "2026-10-27", "evidence_through": "2026-10-27", "year": "2026", "chance": { "contract_version": 1, "kind": "single", "priced": 1, "unpriced": 0, "hits": 1, "probability": 0.166667, "one_in": 6, "log10": -0.78, "words": "1 in 6", "rule": "market probability (1/price) of this one pick", "note": "market prices include the bookmaker margin, so the chance is slightly overstated — a cautious figure" }, "evidence_items": [ { "nid": "n-fc63131178a2f274943d7e77", "data": "2026-10-27", "match": "Virtus Entella v US Avellino 1912", "said_text": "Correct score: Virtus Entella 1-1 US Avellino 1912 at 6", "outcome_label": "score right · result right", "url": "/sources/footballpredictions-com/picks/249/#pick-n-fc63131178a2f274943d7e77", "evidence_price": 3.17, "comparison": "6 other tipsters and sources on this match, 0 right (3 named home win, 2 named away win, 1 named draw)" } ] }, { "id": "zk-149f27814416b4a023bd", "name_shown": "FootballPredictions.com", "url": "/sources/footballpredictions-com/", "body": "Only one right of 4 tipsters and sources · Draw · Rotherham United v Shrewsbury Town · 24 Oct 2026", "fact": "Draw called correctly; 3 other tipsters and sources on this match, 0 right (3 named away win).", "tier": null, "m": 4, "provenance": "live", "status": "active", "cause": null, "event_at": "2026-10-24", "evidence_through": "2026-10-24", "year": "2026", "chance": { "contract_version": 1, "kind": "single", "priced": 0, "unpriced": 1, "probability": null, "one_in": null, "words": "No recorded prices for these picks, so the chance cannot be measured." }, "evidence_items": [ { "nid": "n-923b5d8c2c1af38b4b6bc533", "data": "2026-10-24", "match": "Rotherham United v Shrewsbury Town", "said_text": "Correct score: Rotherham United 1-1 Shrewsbury Town", "outcome_label": "score wrong · result right", "url": "/sources/footballpredictions-com/picks/234/#pick-n-923b5d8c2c1af38b4b6bc533", "evidence_price": null, "comparison": "3 other tipsters and sources on this match, 0 right (3 named away win)" } ] }, { "id": "zk-28a780b4d6a04e28bd68", "name_shown": "FootballPredictions.com", "url": "/sources/footballpredictions-com/", "body": "Only one right of 5 tipsters and sources · Draw · Leganés v Mallorca · 24 Oct 2026", "fact": "Draw called correctly; 4 other tipsters and sources on this match, 0 right (4 named away win).", "tier": null, "m": 5, "provenance": "live", "status": "active", "cause": null, "event_at": "2026-10-24", "evidence_through": "2026-10-24", "year": "2026", "chance": { "contract_version": 1, "kind": "single", "priced": 0, "unpriced": 1, "probability": null, "one_in": null, "words": "No recorded prices for these picks, so the chance cannot be measured." }, "evidence_items": [ { "nid": "n-9856a03a0aeed1ff75c7ec9c", "data": "2026-10-24", "match": "Leganés v Mallorca", "said_text": "Correct score: Leganés 1-1 Mallorca at 6", "outcome_label": "score right · result right", "url": "/sources/footballpredictions-com/picks/187/#pick-n-9856a03a0aeed1ff75c7ec9c", "evidence_price": null, "comparison": "4 other tipsters and sources on this match, 0 right (4 named away win)" } ] }, { "id": "zk-907786a6fd9cbcb8bc0f", "name_shown": "FootballPredictions.com", "url": "/sources/footballpredictions-com/", "body": "Only one right of 8 tipsters and sources · Draw · Orlando City SC v New York City FC · 24 Oct 2026", "fact": "Draw called correctly; 7 other tipsters and sources on this match, 0 right (7 named home win).", "tier": null, "m": 8, "provenance": "live", "status": "active", "cause": null, "event_at": "2026-10-24", "evidence_through": "2026-10-24", "year": "2026", "chance": { "contract_version": 1, "kind": "single", "priced": 1, "unpriced": 0, "hits": 1, "probability": 0.263158, "one_in": 4, "log10": -0.58, "words": "1 in 4", "rule": "market probability (1/price) of this one pick", "note": "market prices include the bookmaker margin, so the chance is slightly overstated — a cautious figure" }, "evidence_items": [ { "nid": "n-3088778ab6b1e4d3c099ace2", "data": "2026-10-24", "match": "Orlando City SC v New York City FC", "said_text": "Correct score: Orlando City SC 1-1 New York City FC", "outcome_label": "score wrong · result right", "url": "/sources/footballpredictions-com/picks/148/#pick-n-3088778ab6b1e4d3c099ace2", "evidence_price": 3.8, "comparison": "7 other tipsters and sources on this match, 0 right (7 named home win)" } ] }, { "id": "zk-bc577e337b7c1446445e", "name_shown": "FootballPredictions.com", "url": "/sources/footballpredictions-com/", "body": "Only one right of 21 tipsters and sources · Draw · Lech Poznań v Sunderland · 22 Oct 2026", "fact": "Draw called correctly; 20 other tipsters and sources on this match, 0 right (19 named away win, 1 named home win).", "tier": null, "m": 21, "provenance": "live", "status": "active", "cause": null, "event_at": "2026-10-22", "evidence_through": "2026-10-22", "year": "2026", "chance": { "contract_version": 1, "kind": "single", "priced": 1, "unpriced": 0, "hits": 1, "probability": 0.263158, "one_in": 4, "log10": -0.58, "words": "1 in 4", "rule": "market probability (1/price) of this one pick", "note": "market prices include the bookmaker margin, so the chance is slightly overstated — a cautious figure" }, "evidence_items": [ { "nid": "n-f61cfb094e863954f289f224", "data": "2026-10-22", "match": "Lech Poznań v Sunderland", "said_text": "Correct score: Lech Poznań 2-2 Sunderland", "outcome_label": "score wrong · result right", "url": "/sources/footballpredictions-com/picks/204/#pick-n-f61cfb094e863954f289f224", "evidence_price": 3.8, "comparison": "20 other tipsters and sources on this match, 0 right (19 named away win, 1 named home win)" } ] }, { "id": "zk-79bd3d63ca278c2d59ec", "name_shown": "FootballPredictions.com", "url": "/sources/footballpredictions-com/", "body": "Only one right of 4 tipsters and sources · Draw · Ascoli v Empoli · 17 Oct 2026", "fact": "Draw called correctly; 3 other tipsters and sources on this match, 0 right (3 named home win).", "tier": null, "m": 4, "provenance": "live", "status": "active", "cause": null, "event_at": "2026-10-17", "evidence_through": "2026-10-17", "year": "2026", "chance": { "contract_version": 1, "kind": "single", "priced": 0, "unpriced": 1, "probability": null, "one_in": null, "words": "No recorded prices for these picks, so the chance cannot be measured." }, "evidence_items": [ { "nid": "n-668f4bd67d7ff55d004e8748", "data": "2026-10-17", "match": "Ascoli v Empoli", "said_text": "Correct score: Ascoli 1-1 Empoli", "outcome_label": "score right · result right", "url": "/sources/footballpredictions-com/picks/66/#pick-n-668f4bd67d7ff55d004e8748", "evidence_price": null, "comparison": "3 other tipsters and sources on this match, 0 right (3 named home win)" } ] }, { "id": "zk-151204f655460df24dd4", "name_shown": "FootballPredictions.com", "url": "/sources/footballpredictions-com/", "body": "Only one right of 4 tipsters and sources · Home win · Wigan Athletic v Reading · 17 Oct 2026", "fact": "Home win called correctly; 3 other tipsters and sources on this match, 0 right (3 named away win).", "tier": null, "m": 4, "provenance": "live", "status": "active", "cause": null, "event_at": "2026-10-17", "evidence_through": "2026-10-17", "year": "2026", "chance": { "contract_version": 1, "kind": "single", "priced": 0, "unpriced": 1, "probability": null, "one_in": null, "words": "No recorded prices for these picks, so the chance cannot be measured." }, "evidence_items": [ { "nid": "n-9f750639d8a1ecc4711136a5", "data": "2026-10-17", "match": "Wigan Athletic v Reading", "said_text": "Correct score: Wigan Athletic 2-1 Reading at 12", "outcome_label": "score wrong · result right", "url": "/sources/footballpredictions-com/picks/84/#pick-n-9f750639d8a1ecc4711136a5", "evidence_price": null, "comparison": "3 other tipsters and sources on this match, 0 right (3 named away win)" } ] }, { "id": "zk-e24d7a0e193e2b5c257e", "name_shown": "FootballPredictions.com", "url": "/sources/footballpredictions-com/", "body": "Only one right of 5 tipsters and sources · Draw · Eibar v Mallorca · 17 Oct 2026", "fact": "Draw called correctly; 4 other tipsters and sources on this match, 0 right (4 named home win).", "tier": null, "m": 5, "provenance": "live", "status": "active", "cause": null, "event_at": "2026-10-17", "evidence_through": "2026-10-17", "year": "2026", "chance": { "contract_version": 1, "kind": "single", "priced": 0, "unpriced": 1, "probability": null, "one_in": null, "words": "No recorded prices for these picks, so the chance cannot be measured." }, "evidence_items": [ { "nid": "n-47b02abf8f67f8655ee04146", "data": "2026-10-17", "match": "Eibar v Mallorca", "said_text": "Correct score: Eibar 1-1 Mallorca", "outcome_label": "score right · result right", "url": "/sources/footballpredictions-com/picks/96/#pick-n-47b02abf8f67f8655ee04146", "evidence_price": null, "comparison": "4 other tipsters and sources on this match, 0 right (4 named home win)" } ] }, { "id": "zk-b4e46c26831d381ebf1e", "name_shown": "FootyStats", "url": "/sources/footystats-org/", "body": "Only one right of 9 tipsters and sources · Home win · SV 07 Elversberg v FC Augsburg · 17 Oct 2026", "fact": "Home win called correctly; 8 other tipsters and sources on this match, 0 right (7 named draw, 1 named away win).", "tier": null, "m": 9, "provenance": "live", "status": "active", "cause": null, "event_at": "2026-10-17", "evidence_through": "2026-10-17", "year": "2026", "chance": { "contract_version": 1, "kind": "single", "priced": 1, "unpriced": 0, "hits": 1, "probability": 0.416667, "one_in": 2, "log10": -0.38, "words": "1 in 2", "rule": "market probability (1/price) of this one pick", "note": "market prices include the bookmaker margin, so the chance is slightly overstated — a cautious figure" }, "evidence_items": [ { "nid": "n-af5515de0627086d0b18dd6e", "data": "2026-10-17", "match": "SV 07 Elversberg v FC Augsburg", "said_text": "1X2, match result: SV 07 Elversberg at 2.44", "outcome_label": "right", "url": "/sources/footystats-org/picks/37/#pick-n-af5515de0627086d0b18dd6e", "evidence_price": null, "comparison": "8 other tipsters and sources on this match, 0 right (7 named draw, 1 named away win)" } ] }, { "id": "zk-898e45acf1e1df71ed17", "name_shown": "Free Super Tips", "url": "/sources/free-super-tips/", "body": "Only one right of 4 tipsters and sources · Home win · Newport County v Chesterfield · 30 Oct 2026", "fact": "Home win called correctly; 3 other tipsters and sources on this match, 0 right (3 named away win).", "tier": null, "m": 4, "provenance": "live", "status": "active", "cause": null, "event_at": "2026-10-30", "evidence_through": "2026-10-30", "year": "2026", "chance": { "contract_version": 1, "kind": "single", "priced": 0, "unpriced": 1, "probability": null, "one_in": null, "words": "No recorded prices for these picks, so the chance cannot be measured." }, "evidence_items": [ { "nid": "n-83432b8a7a8508d88362b870", "data": "2026-10-30", "match": "Newport County v Chesterfield", "said_text": "1X2, match result: Newport County at 3.5", "outcome_label": "right", "url": "/sources/free-super-tips/picks/29/#pick-n-83432b8a7a8508d88362b870", "evidence_price": null, "comparison": "3 other tipsters and sources on this match, 0 right (3 named away win)" } ] }, { "id": "zk-73ce7fd9e5f9fd07b8cb", "name_shown": "Free Super Tips", "url": "/sources/free-super-tips/", "body": "Only one right of 8 tipsters and sources · Away win · Brentford v Liverpool · 17 Oct 2026", "fact": "Away win called correctly; 7 other tipsters and sources on this match, 0 right (4 named draw, 3 named home win).", "tier": null, "m": 8, "provenance": "live", "status": "active", "cause": null, "event_at": "2026-10-17", "evidence_through": "2026-10-17", "year": "2026", "chance": { "contract_version": 1, "kind": "single", "priced": 0, "unpriced": 1, "probability": null, "one_in": null, "words": "No recorded prices for these picks, so the chance cannot be measured." }, "evidence_items": [ { "nid": "n-8d93d7f74e0b74707790cb57", "data": "2026-10-17", "match": "Brentford v Liverpool", "said_text": "Correct score: Brentford 2-3 Liverpool at 26", "outcome_label": "score wrong · result right", "url": "/sources/free-super-tips/picks/17/#pick-n-8d93d7f74e0b74707790cb57", "evidence_price": null, "comparison": "7 other tipsters and sources on this match, 0 right (4 named draw, 3 named home win)" } ] }, { "id": "zk-dc47268a2e933c5d2448", "name_shown": "Free Super Tips", "url": "/sources/free-super-tips/", "body": "Only one right of 5 tipsters and sources · Away win · Bristol City v Sheffield United · 17 Oct 2026", "fact": "Away win called correctly; 4 other tipsters and sources on this match, 0 right (3 named home win, 1 named draw).", "tier": null, "m": 5, "provenance": "live", "status": "active", "cause": null, "event_at": "2026-10-17", "evidence_through": "2026-10-17", "year": "2026", "chance": { "contract_version": 1, "kind": "single", "priced": 0, "unpriced": 1, "probability": null, "one_in": null, "words": "No recorded prices for these picks, so the chance cannot be measured." }, "evidence_items": [ { "nid": "n-bbcf684a4d4d90125106292a", "data": "2026-10-17", "match": "Bristol City v Sheffield United", "said_text": "1X2, match result: Sheffield United at 3.5", "outcome_label": "right", "url": "/sources/free-super-tips/picks/19/#pick-n-bbcf684a4d4d90125106292a", "evidence_price": null, "comparison": "4 other tipsters and sources on this match, 0 right (3 named home win, 1 named draw)" } ] }, { "id": "zk-cc199dc33063dc6080ff", "name_shown": "Futbol24 — Pronósticos (es)", "url": "/sources/futbol24-com/", "body": "Only one right of 5 tipsters and sources · Home win · Rakow Czestochowa v Pogon Szczecin · 2 Nov 2026", "fact": "Home win called correctly; 4 other tipsters and sources on this match, 0 right (4 named away win).", "tier": null, "m": 5, "provenance": "live", "status": "active", "cause": null, "event_at": "2026-11-02", "evidence_through": "2026-11-02", "year": "2026", "chance": { "contract_version": 1, "kind": "single", "priced": 0, "unpriced": 1, "probability": null, "one_in": null, "words": "No recorded prices for these picks, so the chance cannot be measured." }, "evidence_items": [ { "nid": "n-39284b428e4a40046aa7ca1e", "data": "2026-11-02", "match": "Rakow Czestochowa v Pogon Szczecin", "said_text": "Correct score: Rakow Czestochowa 2-1 Pogon Szczecin", "outcome_label": "score wrong · result right", "url": "/sources/futbol24-com/picks/130/#pick-n-39284b428e4a40046aa7ca1e", "evidence_price": null, "comparison": "4 other tipsters and sources on this match, 0 right (4 named away win)" } ] }, { "id": "zk-f80099b0eca0e9e6ec71", "name_shown": "Futbol24 — Pronósticos (es)", "url": "/sources/futbol24-com/", "body": "Only one right of 4 tipsters and sources · Home win · Atlanta United v Toronto FC · 1 Nov 2026", "fact": "Home win called correctly; 3 other tipsters and sources on this match, 0 right (2 named draw, 1 named away win).", "tier": null, "m": 4, "provenance": "live", "status": "active", "cause": null, "event_at": "2026-11-01", "evidence_through": "2026-11-01", "year": "2026", "chance": { "contract_version": 1, "kind": "single", "priced": 1, "unpriced": 0, "hits": 1, "probability": 0.465116, "one_in": 2, "log10": -0.33, "words": "1 in 2", "rule": "market probability (1/price) of this one pick", "note": "market prices include the bookmaker margin, so the chance is slightly overstated — a cautious figure" }, "evidence_items": [ { "nid": "n-31ed7fef6223a85969e2edef", "data": "2026-11-01", "match": "Atlanta United v Toronto FC", "said_text": "1X2, match result: Atlanta United", "outcome_label": "right", "url": "/sources/futbol24-com/picks/125/#pick-n-31ed7fef6223a85969e2edef", "evidence_price": 1.96, "comparison": "3 other tipsters and sources on this match, 0 right (2 named draw, 1 named away win)" } ] }, { "id": "zk-f714656e0439f9abb6bd", "name_shown": "Futbol24 — Pronósticos (es)", "url": "/sources/futbol24-com/", "body": "Only one right of 4 tipsters and sources · Home win · Fatima v Academico Viseu · 18 Oct 2026", "fact": "Home win called correctly; 3 other tipsters and sources on this match, 0 right (3 named away win).", "tier": null, "m": 4, "provenance": "live", "status": "active", "cause": null, "event_at": "2026-10-18", "evidence_through": "2026-10-18", "year": "2026", "chance": { "contract_version": 1, "kind": "single", "priced": 0, "unpriced": 1, "probability": null, "one_in": null, "words": "No recorded prices for these picks, so the chance cannot be measured." }, "evidence_items": [ { "nid": "n-ec1a9f419fd61ccf2127eb42", "data": "2026-10-18", "match": "Fatima v Academico Viseu", "said_text": "1X2, match result: Fatima", "outcome_label": "right", "url": "/sources/futbol24-com/picks/37/#pick-n-ec1a9f419fd61ccf2127eb42", "evidence_price": null, "comparison": "3 other tipsters and sources on this match, 0 right (3 named away win)" } ] }, { "id": "zk-2117f56e139cbe1241d9", "name_shown": "Ilies Peeters", "url": "/authors/ilies-peeters/", "body": "Only one right of 8 tipsters and sources · Draw · Egnatia Rrogozhinë v FC Midtjylland · 15 Oct 2026", "fact": "Draw called correctly; 7 other tipsters and sources on this match, 0 right (7 named away win).", "tier": null, "m": 8, "provenance": "live", "status": "active", "cause": null, "event_at": "2026-10-15", "evidence_through": "2026-10-15", "year": "2026", "chance": { "contract_version": 1, "kind": "single", "priced": 1, "unpriced": 0, "hits": 1, "probability": 0.2331, "one_in": 4, "log10": -0.63, "words": "1 in 4", "rule": "market probability (1/price) of this one pick", "note": "market prices include the bookmaker margin, so the chance is slightly overstated — a cautious figure" }, "evidence_items": [ { "nid": "n-47e185985bdd50a23ed99b46", "data": "2026-10-15", "match": "Egnatia Rrogozhinë v FC Midtjylland", "said_text": "1X2, match result: draw", "outcome_label": "right", "url": "/authors/ilies-peeters/picks/2/#pick-n-47e185985bdd50a23ed99b46", "evidence_price": 4.34, "comparison": "7 other tipsters and sources on this match, 0 right (7 named away win)" } ] }, { "id": "zk-5da57842b54f7f26154b", "name_shown": "Ivanna", "url": "/authors/ivanna/", "body": "Only one right of 29 tipsters and sources · Away win · FC Porto v PSV Eindhoven · 20 Oct 2026", "fact": "Away win called correctly; 28 other tipsters and sources on this match, 0 right (28 named home win).", "tier": null, "m": 29, "provenance": "live", "status": "active", "cause": null, "event_at": "2026-10-20", "evidence_through": "2026-10-20", "year": "2026", "chance": { "contract_version": 1, "kind": "single", "priced": 1, "unpriced": 0, "hits": 1, "probability": 0.181818, "one_in": 6, "log10": -0.74, "words": "1 in 6", "rule": "market probability (1/price) of this one pick", "note": "market prices include the bookmaker margin, so the chance is slightly overstated — a cautious figure" }, "evidence_items": [ { "nid": "n-e05116a0270d29f146ccbb21", "data": "2026-10-20", "match": "FC Porto v PSV Eindhoven", "said_text": "1X2, match result: PSV Eindhoven at 2.3", "outcome_label": "right", "url": "/authors/ivanna/picks/9/#pick-n-e05116a0270d29f146ccbb21", "evidence_price": 5.5, "comparison": "28 other tipsters and sources on this match, 0 right (28 named home win)" } ] }, { "id": "zk-0d13773d3beaa287333e", "name_shown": "Jasper van den Boogaard", "url": "/authors/jasper-van-den-boogaard/", "body": "Only one right of 7 tipsters and sources · Away win · Coritiba v Grêmio · 26 Oct 2026", "fact": "Away win called correctly; 6 other tipsters and sources on this match, 0 right (4 named home win, 2 named draw).", "tier": null, "m": 7, "provenance": "live", "status": "active", "cause": null, "event_at": "2026-10-26", "evidence_through": "2026-10-26", "year": "2026", "chance": { "contract_version": 1, "kind": "single", "priced": 1, "unpriced": 0, "hits": 1, "probability": 0.322581, "one_in": 3, "log10": -0.49, "words": "1 in 3", "rule": "market probability (1/price) of this one pick", "note": "market prices include the bookmaker margin, so the chance is slightly overstated — a cautious figure" }, "evidence_items": [ { "nid": "n-7327ba698cc799ef4ba1dbcd", "data": "2026-10-26", "match": "Coritiba v Grêmio", "said_text": "1X2, match result: Grêmio", "outcome_label": "right", "url": "/authors/jasper-van-den-boogaard/picks/30/#pick-n-7327ba698cc799ef4ba1dbcd", "evidence_price": 3.1, "comparison": "6 other tipsters and sources on this match, 0 right (4 named home win, 2 named draw)" } ] }, { "id": "zk-3d66b41f365d06bb7c43", "name_shown": "Jasper van den Boogaard", "url": "/authors/jasper-van-den-boogaard/", "body": "Only one right of 12 tipsters and sources · Away win · 1. FSV Mainz 05 v SV Werder Bremen · 24 Oct 2026", "fact": "Away win called correctly; 11 other tipsters and sources on this match, 0 right (7 named home win, 4 named draw).", "tier": null, "m": 12, "provenance": "live", "status": "active", "cause": null, "event_at": "2026-10-24", "evidence_through": "2026-10-24", "year": "2026", "chance": { "contract_version": 1, "kind": "single", "priced": 1, "unpriced": 0, "hits": 1, "probability": 0.235294, "one_in": 4, "log10": -0.63, "words": "1 in 4", "rule": "market probability (1/price) of this one pick", "note": "market prices include the bookmaker margin, so the chance is slightly overstated — a cautious figure" }, "evidence_items": [ { "nid": "n-970b5b924132b06057a3abe0", "data": "2026-10-24", "match": "1. FSV Mainz 05 v SV Werder Bremen", "said_text": "Correct score: 1. FSV Mainz 05 1-2 SV Werder Bremen", "outcome_label": "score wrong · result right", "url": "/authors/jasper-van-den-boogaard/picks/23/#pick-n-970b5b924132b06057a3abe0", "evidence_price": 4.25, "comparison": "11 other tipsters and sources on this match, 0 right (7 named home win, 4 named draw)" } ] }, { "id": "zk-d0112a2d9f64717c8b78", "name_shown": "Joel Lefevre", "url": "/authors/joel-lefevre/", "body": "Only one right of 14 tipsters and sources · Away win · Stade Brestois v Nice · 23 Oct 2026", "fact": "Away win called correctly; 13 other tipsters and sources on this match, 0 right (12 named home win, 1 named draw).", "tier": null, "m": 14, "provenance": "live", "status": "active", "cause": null, "event_at": "2026-10-23", "evidence_through": "2026-10-23", "year": "2026", "chance": { "contract_version": 1, "kind": "single", "priced": 1, "unpriced": 0, "hits": 1, "probability": 0.31746, "one_in": 3, "log10": -0.5, "words": "1 in 3", "rule": "market probability (1/price) of this one pick", "note": "market prices include the bookmaker margin, so the chance is slightly overstated — a cautious figure" }, "evidence_items": [ { "nid": "n-ea258311e68e58d3e0b0c555", "data": "2026-10-23", "match": "Stade Brestois v Nice", "said_text": "Correct score: Stade Brestois 1-2 Nice", "outcome_label": "score right · result right", "url": "/authors/joel-lefevre/picks/3/#pick-n-ea258311e68e58d3e0b0c555", "evidence_price": 3.15, "comparison": "13 other tipsters and sources on this match, 0 right (12 named home win, 1 named draw)" } ] }, { "id": "zk-1a483da0c555280968ee", "name_shown": "Jonas Meyer", "url": "/authors/jonas-meyer/", "body": "Only one right of 5 tipsters and sources · Away win · Atlético Mineiro v Cruzeiro · 29 Oct 2026", "fact": "Away win called correctly; 4 other tipsters and sources on this match, 0 right (3 named home win, 1 named draw).", "tier": null, "m": 5, "provenance": "live", "status": "active", "cause": null, "event_at": "2026-10-29", "evidence_through": "2026-10-29", "year": "2026", "chance": { "contract_version": 1, "kind": "single", "priced": 1, "unpriced": 0, "hits": 1, "probability": 0.37037, "one_in": 3, "log10": -0.43, "words": "1 in 3", "rule": "market probability (1/price) of this one pick", "note": "market prices include the bookmaker margin, so the chance is slightly overstated — a cautious figure" }, "evidence_items": [ { "nid": "n-81ecf2a766ac07ceaa99f7ca", "data": "2026-10-29", "match": "Atlético Mineiro v Cruzeiro", "said_text": "1X2, match result: Cruzeiro at 2.5", "outcome_label": "right", "url": "/authors/jonas-meyer/picks/20/#pick-n-81ecf2a766ac07ceaa99f7ca", "evidence_price": 2.4, "comparison": "4 other tipsters and sources on this match, 0 right (3 named home win, 1 named draw)" } ] }, { "id": "zk-225e034bae6cf63b4f0b", "name_shown": "Jonas Meyer", "url": "/authors/jonas-meyer/", "body": "Only one right of 8 tipsters and sources · Draw · Monaco v Toulouse · 10 Oct 2026", "fact": "Draw called correctly; 7 other tipsters and sources on this match, 0 right (7 named home win).", "tier": null, "m": 8, "provenance": "live", "status": "active", "cause": null, "event_at": "2026-10-10", "evidence_through": "2026-10-10", "year": "2026", "chance": { "contract_version": 1, "kind": "single", "priced": 1, "unpriced": 0, "hits": 1, "probability": 0.229885, "one_in": 4, "log10": -0.64, "words": "1 in 4", "rule": "market probability (1/price) of this one pick", "note": "market prices include the bookmaker margin, so the chance is slightly overstated — a cautious figure" }, "evidence_items": [ { "nid": "n-8c1c632edb76e044698bd069", "data": "2026-10-10", "match": "Monaco v Toulouse", "said_text": "1X2, match result: draw at 4.3", "outcome_label": "right", "url": "/authors/jonas-meyer/picks/2/#pick-n-8c1c632edb76e044698bd069", "evidence_price": null, "comparison": "7 other tipsters and sources on this match, 0 right (7 named home win)" } ] }, { "id": "zk-f566ae25b6b61cd1d755", "name_shown": "Koffi Mensah", "url": "/authors/koffi-mensah/", "body": "Only one right of 19 tipsters and sources · Away win · Lorient v Stade Brestois · 2 Nov 2026", "fact": "Away win called correctly; 18 other tipsters and sources on this match, 0 right (13 named home win, 5 named draw).", "tier": null, "m": 19, "provenance": "live", "status": "active", "cause": null, "event_at": "2026-11-02", "evidence_through": "2026-11-02", "year": "2026", "chance": { "contract_version": 1, "kind": "single", "priced": 1, "unpriced": 0, "hits": 1, "probability": 0.333333, "one_in": 3, "log10": -0.48, "words": "1 in 3", "rule": "market probability (1/price) of this one pick", "note": "market prices include the bookmaker margin, so the chance is slightly overstated — a cautious figure" }, "evidence_items": [ { "nid": "n-ce9d9c86db8b7a3b48e8a3c9", "data": "2026-11-02", "match": "Lorient v Stade Brestois", "said_text": "1X2, match result: Stade Brestois", "outcome_label": "right", "url": "/authors/koffi-mensah/picks/8/#pick-n-ce9d9c86db8b7a3b48e8a3c9", "evidence_price": 3.0, "comparison": "18 other tipsters and sources on this match, 0 right (13 named home win, 5 named draw)" } ] }, { "id": "zk-b6a322f341be821b8cbd", "name_shown": "L'équipe Wincomparator", "url": "/sources/wincomparator-com/products/l-equipe-wincomparator/", "body": "Only one right of 4 tipsters and sources · Home win · USL Dunkerque v Guingamp · 6 Nov 2026", "fact": "Home win called correctly; 3 other tipsters and sources on this match, 0 right (3 named away win).", "tier": null, "m": 4, "provenance": "live", "status": "active", "cause": null, "event_at": "2026-11-06", "evidence_through": "2026-11-06", "year": "2026", "chance": { "contract_version": 1, "kind": "single", "priced": 1, "unpriced": 0, "hits": 1, "probability": 0.383142, "one_in": 3, "log10": -0.42, "words": "1 in 3", "rule": "market probability (1/price) of this one pick", "note": "market prices include the bookmaker margin, so the chance is slightly overstated — a cautious figure" }, "evidence_items": [ { "nid": "n-60ad9d38c69a33b36dd242bb", "data": "2026-11-06", "match": "USL Dunkerque v Guingamp", "said_text": "1X2, match result: USL Dunkerque at 2.5", "outcome_label": "right", "url": "/sources/wincomparator-com/products/l-equipe-wincomparator/picks/87/#pick-n-60ad9d38c69a33b36dd242bb", "evidence_price": 2.75, "comparison": "3 other tipsters and sources on this match, 0 right (3 named away win)" } ] }, { "id": "zk-01b436780f64ecf2bb99", "name_shown": "L'équipe Wincomparator", "url": "/sources/wincomparator-com/products/l-equipe-wincomparator/", "body": "Only one right of 5 tipsters and sources · Draw · Fortaleza v Atletico Goianiense · 2 Nov 2026", "fact": "Draw called correctly; 4 other tipsters and sources on this match, 0 right (4 named home win).", "tier": null, "m": 5, "provenance": "live", "status": "active", "cause": null, "event_at": "2026-11-02", "evidence_through": "2026-11-02", "year": "2026", "chance": { "contract_version": 1, "kind": "single", "priced": 1, "unpriced": 0, "hits": 1, "probability": 0.30303, "one_in": 3, "log10": -0.52, "words": "1 in 3", "rule": "market probability (1/price) of this one pick", "note": "market prices include the bookmaker margin, so the chance is slightly overstated — a cautious figure" }, "evidence_items": [ { "nid": "n-31ad405d11f353dceea0a26a", "data": "2026-11-02", "match": "Fortaleza v Atletico Goianiense", "said_text": "1X2, match result: draw", "outcome_label": "right", "url": "/sources/wincomparator-com/products/a-equipe-wincomparator-prognosticos-brasileirao-serie-b/picks/5/#pick-n-31ad405d11f353dceea0a26a", "evidence_price": 3.22, "comparison": "4 other tipsters and sources on this match, 0 right (4 named home win)" } ] }, { "id": "zk-45d235aa1e7efffcab63", "name_shown": "L'équipe Wincomparator", "url": "/sources/wincomparator-com/products/l-equipe-wincomparator/", "body": "Only one right of 4 tipsters and sources · Away win · Aalesund v Sandefjord · 31 Oct 2026", "fact": "Away win called correctly; 3 other tipsters and sources on this match, 0 right (2 named home win, 1 named draw).", "tier": null, "m": 4, "provenance": "live", "status": "active", "cause": null, "event_at": "2026-10-31", "evidence_through": "2026-10-31", "year": "2026", "chance": { "contract_version": 1, "kind": "single", "priced": 1, "unpriced": 0, "hits": 1, "probability": 0.291545, "one_in": 3, "log10": -0.54, "words": "1 in 3", "rule": "market probability (1/price) of this one pick", "note": "market prices include the bookmaker margin, so the chance is slightly overstated — a cautious figure" }, "evidence_items": [ { "nid": "n-63e2c5280cf8394f61972bbb", "data": "2026-10-31", "match": "Aalesund v Sandefjord", "said_text": "1X2, match result: Sandefjord at 3.05", "outcome_label": "right", "url": "/sources/wincomparator-com/products/l-equipe-wincomparator/picks/80/#pick-n-63e2c5280cf8394f61972bbb", "evidence_price": null, "comparison": "3 other tipsters and sources on this match, 0 right (2 named home win, 1 named draw)" } ] }, { "id": "zk-aed5717116a0af5e7620", "name_shown": "L'équipe Wincomparator", "url": "/sources/wincomparator-com/products/l-equipe-wincomparator/", "body": "Only one right of 4 tipsters and sources · Away win · Grazer AK v Hartberg · 30 Oct 2026", "fact": "Away win called correctly; 3 other tipsters and sources on this match, 0 right (2 named home win, 1 named draw).", "tier": null, "m": 4, "provenance": "live", "status": "active", "cause": null, "event_at": "2026-10-30", "evidence_through": "2026-10-30", "year": "2026", "chance": { "contract_version": 1, "kind": "single", "priced": 0, "unpriced": 1, "probability": null, "one_in": null, "words": "No recorded prices for these picks, so the chance cannot be measured." }, "evidence_items": [ { "nid": "n-a60ff17884dcc862cb0885fb", "data": "2026-10-30", "match": "Grazer AK v Hartberg", "said_text": "1X2, match result: Hartberg at 3.25", "outcome_label": "right", "url": "/sources/wincomparator-com/products/l-equipe-wincomparator/picks/62/#pick-n-a60ff17884dcc862cb0885fb", "evidence_price": null, "comparison": "3 other tipsters and sources on this match, 0 right (2 named home win, 1 named draw)" } ] }, { "id": "zk-c548e7f720ff3cba8374", "name_shown": "L'équipe Wincomparator", "url": "/sources/wincomparator-com/products/l-equipe-wincomparator/", "body": "Only one right of 5 tipsters and sources · Away win · Degerfors v Vasteras SK · 28 Oct 2026", "fact": "Away win called correctly; 4 other tipsters and sources on this match, 0 right (4 named home win).", "tier": null, "m": 5, "provenance": "live", "status": "active", "cause": null, "event_at": "2026-10-28", "evidence_through": "2026-10-28", "year": "2026", "chance": { "contract_version": 1, "kind": "single", "priced": 1, "unpriced": 0, "hits": 1, "probability": 0.363636, "one_in": 3, "log10": -0.44, "words": "1 in 3", "rule": "market probability (1/price) of this one pick", "note": "market prices include the bookmaker margin, so the chance is slightly overstated — a cautious figure" }, "evidence_items": [ { "nid": "n-3b149260dc75821bbfd2de82", "data": "2026-10-28", "match": "Degerfors v Vasteras SK", "said_text": "1X2, match result: Vasteras SK at 2.7", "outcome_label": "right", "url": "/sources/wincomparator-com/products/l-equipe-wincomparator/picks/81/#pick-n-3b149260dc75821bbfd2de82", "evidence_price": null, "comparison": "4 other tipsters and sources on this match, 0 right (4 named home win)" } ] }, { "id": "zk-4447a242dfc05d81b5af", "name_shown": "L'équipe Wincomparator", "url": "/sources/wincomparator-com/products/l-equipe-wincomparator/", "body": "Only one right of 4 tipsters and sources · Home win · Academica v Leixoes · 24 Oct 2026", "fact": "Home win called correctly; 3 other tipsters and sources on this match, 0 right (2 named draw, 1 named away win).", "tier": null, "m": 4, "provenance": "live", "status": "active", "cause": null, "event_at": "2026-10-24", "evidence_through": "2026-10-24", "year": "2026", "chance": { "contract_version": 1, "kind": "single", "priced": 0, "unpriced": 1, "probability": null, "one_in": null, "words": "No recorded prices for these picks, so the chance cannot be measured." }, "evidence_items": [ { "nid": "n-a7ad3a6eaed7e8df1118f8a7", "data": "2026-10-24", "match": "Academica v Leixoes", "said_text": "1X2, match result: Academica", "outcome_label": "right", "url": "/sources/wincomparator-com/products/a-equipe-wincomparator-prognosticos-liga-portugal-2/picks/2/#pick-n-a7ad3a6eaed7e8df1118f8a7", "evidence_price": null, "comparison": "3 other tipsters and sources on this match, 0 right (2 named draw, 1 named away win)" } ] }, { "id": "zk-417151c42d9cadaf7fb3", "name_shown": "L'équipe Wincomparator", "url": "/sources/wincomparator-com/products/l-equipe-wincomparator/", "body": "Only one right of 4 tipsters and sources · Away win · Sochaux v Annecy FC · 23 Oct 2026", "fact": "Away win called correctly; 3 other tipsters and sources on this match, 0 right (3 named home win).", "tier": null, "m": 4, "provenance": "live", "status": "active", "cause": null, "event_at": "2026-10-23", "evidence_through": "2026-10-23", "year": "2026", "chance": { "contract_version": 1, "kind": "single", "priced": 1, "unpriced": 0, "hits": 1, "probability": 0.33557, "one_in": 3, "log10": -0.47, "words": "1 in 3", "rule": "market probability (1/price) of this one pick", "note": "market prices include the bookmaker margin, so the chance is slightly overstated — a cautious figure" }, "evidence_items": [ { "nid": "n-85f98e262bf7ae3c43fc692e", "data": "2026-10-23", "match": "Sochaux v Annecy FC", "said_text": "1X2, match result: Annecy FC at 2.9", "outcome_label": "right", "url": "/sources/wincomparator-com/products/l-equipe-wincomparator/picks/38/#pick-n-85f98e262bf7ae3c43fc692e", "evidence_price": 2.98, "comparison": "3 other tipsters and sources on this match, 0 right (3 named home win)" } ] }, { "id": "zk-e8b0a2015fe6591a13c9", "name_shown": "L'équipe Wincomparator", "url": "/sources/wincomparator-com/products/l-equipe-wincomparator/", "body": "Only one right of 4 tipsters and sources · Away win · FC Groningen v AFC Ajax · 18 Oct 2026", "fact": "Away win called correctly; 3 other tipsters and sources on this match, 0 right (2 named draw, 1 named home win).", "tier": null, "m": 4, "provenance": "live", "status": "active", "cause": null, "event_at": "2026-10-18", "evidence_through": "2026-10-18", "year": "2026", "chance": { "contract_version": 1, "kind": "single", "priced": 1, "unpriced": 0, "hits": 1, "probability": 0.599988, "one_in": 2, "log10": -0.22, "words": "about even", "rule": "market probability (1/price) of this one pick", "note": "market prices include the bookmaker margin, so the chance is slightly overstated — a cautious figure" }, "evidence_items": [ { "nid": "n-872633047f92e0abe6ebb5e7", "data": "2026-10-18", "match": "FC Groningen v AFC Ajax", "said_text": "1X2, match result: AFC Ajax at 1.55", "outcome_label": "right", "url": "/sources/wincomparator-com/products/l-equipe-wincomparator/picks/11/#pick-n-872633047f92e0abe6ebb5e7", "evidence_price": null, "comparison": "3 other tipsters and sources on this match, 0 right (2 named draw, 1 named home win)" } ] }, { "id": "zk-10b11ea16bc8280ba34b", "name_shown": "L'équipe Wincomparator", "url": "/sources/wincomparator-com/products/l-equipe-wincomparator/", "body": "Only one right of 5 tipsters and sources · Home win · Kilmarnock v Motherwell · 17 Oct 2026", "fact": "Home win called correctly; 4 other tipsters and sources on this match, 0 right (2 named draw, 2 named away win).", "tier": null, "m": 5, "provenance": "live", "status": "active", "cause": null, "event_at": "2026-10-17", "evidence_through": "2026-10-17", "year": "2026", "chance": { "contract_version": 1, "kind": "single", "priced": 0, "unpriced": 1, "probability": null, "one_in": null, "words": "No recorded prices for these picks, so the chance cannot be measured." }, "evidence_items": [ { "nid": "n-5ef7356b58427c1d1aafd502", "data": "2026-10-17", "match": "Kilmarnock v Motherwell", "said_text": "1X2, match result: Kilmarnock at 2.9", "outcome_label": "right", "url": "/sources/wincomparator-com/products/l-equipe-wincomparator/picks/13/#pick-n-5ef7356b58427c1d1aafd502", "evidence_price": null, "comparison": "4 other tipsters and sources on this match, 0 right (2 named draw, 2 named away win)" } ] }, { "id": "zk-bfd59436674a6fc91c7e", "name_shown": "L'équipe Wincomparator", "url": "/sources/wincomparator-com/products/l-equipe-wincomparator/", "body": "Only one right of 4 tipsters and sources · Away win · Guingamp v Pau FC · 16 Oct 2026", "fact": "Away win called correctly; 3 other tipsters and sources on this match, 0 right (3 named home win).", "tier": null, "m": 4, "provenance": "live", "status": "active", "cause": null, "event_at": "2026-10-16", "evidence_through": "2026-10-16", "year": "2026", "chance": { "contract_version": 1, "kind": "single", "priced": 1, "unpriced": 0, "hits": 1, "probability": 0.322581, "one_in": 3, "log10": -0.49, "words": "1 in 3", "rule": "market probability (1/price) of this one pick", "note": "market prices include the bookmaker margin, so the chance is slightly overstated — a cautious figure" }, "evidence_items": [ { "nid": "n-30810a93f84887815a8d3b6f", "data": "2026-10-16", "match": "Guingamp v Pau FC", "said_text": "1X2, match result: Pau FC at 3.2", "outcome_label": "right", "url": "/sources/wincomparator-com/products/l-equipe-wincomparator/picks/3/#pick-n-30810a93f84887815a8d3b6f", "evidence_price": 3.1, "comparison": "3 other tipsters and sources on this match, 0 right (3 named home win)" } ] }, { "id": "zk-33fe710f289df97e1034", "name_shown": "Max", "url": "/authors/max/", "body": "Only one right of 19 tipsters and sources · Draw · Borussia M'gladbach v SC Paderborn 07 · 31 Oct 2026", "fact": "Draw called correctly; 18 other tipsters and sources on this match, 0 right (17 named home win, 1 named away win).", "tier": null, "m": 19, "provenance": "live", "status": "active", "cause": null, "event_at": "2026-10-31", "evidence_through": "2026-10-31", "year": "2026", "chance": { "contract_version": 1, "kind": "single", "priced": 1, "unpriced": 0, "hits": 1, "probability": 0.266667, "one_in": 4, "log10": -0.57, "words": "1 in 4", "rule": "market probability (1/price) of this one pick", "note": "market prices include the bookmaker margin, so the chance is slightly overstated — a cautious figure" }, "evidence_items": [ { "nid": "n-8cbbfc461237f4f8f4975633", "data": "2026-10-31", "match": "Borussia M'gladbach v SC Paderborn 07", "said_text": "Correct score: Borussia M'gladbach 2-2 SC Paderborn 07", "outcome_label": "score wrong · result right", "url": "/authors/max/picks/22/#pick-n-8cbbfc461237f4f8f4975633", "evidence_price": 3.75, "comparison": "18 other tipsters and sources on this match, 0 right (17 named home win, 1 named away win)" } ] }, { "id": "zk-ac91d54a6f9d4beb5db0", "name_shown": "Max", "url": "/authors/max/", "body": "Only one right of 28 tipsters and sources · Draw · VfB Stuttgart v Atlético Madrid · 20 Oct 2026", "fact": "Draw called correctly; 27 other tipsters and sources on this match, 0 right (26 named away win, 1 named home win).", "tier": null, "m": 28, "provenance": "live", "status": "active", "cause": null, "event_at": "2026-10-20", "evidence_through": "2026-10-20", "year": "2026", "chance": { "contract_version": 1, "kind": "single", "priced": 1, "unpriced": 0, "hits": 1, "probability": 0.263158, "one_in": 4, "log10": -0.58, "words": "1 in 4", "rule": "market probability (1/price) of this one pick", "note": "market prices include the bookmaker margin, so the chance is slightly overstated — a cautious figure" }, "evidence_items": [ { "nid": "n-134959f78cf69820a7e90695", "data": "2026-10-20", "match": "VfB Stuttgart v Atlético Madrid", "said_text": "Correct score: VfB Stuttgart 1-1 Atlético Madrid", "outcome_label": "score right · result right", "url": "/authors/max/picks/7/#pick-n-134959f78cf69820a7e90695", "evidence_price": 3.8, "comparison": "27 other tipsters and sources on this match, 0 right (26 named away win, 1 named home win)" } ] }, { "id": "zk-8b2f5fd83e296124ea3b", "name_shown": "Michael Siemann", "url": "/authors/michael-siemann/", "body": "Only one right of 21 tipsters and sources · Away win · Bayer 04 Leverkusen v VfB Stuttgart · 31 Oct 2026", "fact": "Away win called correctly; 20 other tipsters and sources on this match, 0 right (20 named home win).", "tier": null, "m": 21, "provenance": "live", "status": "active", "cause": null, "event_at": "2026-10-31", "evidence_through": "2026-10-31", "year": "2026", "chance": { "contract_version": 1, "kind": "single", "priced": 1, "unpriced": 0, "hits": 1, "probability": 0.266667, "one_in": 4, "log10": -0.57, "words": "1 in 4", "rule": "market probability (1/price) of this one pick", "note": "market prices include the bookmaker margin, so the chance is slightly overstated — a cautious figure" }, "evidence_items": [ { "nid": "n-0e5a775961f3dd7f55f9c9e0", "data": "2026-10-31", "match": "Bayer 04 Leverkusen v VfB Stuttgart", "said_text": "1X2, match result: VfB Stuttgart at 3.7", "outcome_label": "right", "url": "/authors/michael-siemann/picks/9/#pick-n-0e5a775961f3dd7f55f9c9e0", "evidence_price": 4.3, "comparison": "20 other tipsters and sources on this match, 0 right (20 named home win)" } ] }, { "id": "zk-fe0f17f5833239beb950", "name_shown": "Nuno Gonçalves", "url": "/authors/nuno-goncalves/", "body": "Only one right of 18 tipsters and sources · Away win · Lille v Galatasaray · 21 Oct 2026", "fact": "Away win called correctly; 17 other tipsters and sources on this match, 0 right (15 named home win, 2 named draw).", "tier": null, "m": 18, "provenance": "live", "status": "active", "cause": null, "event_at": "2026-10-21", "evidence_through": "2026-10-21", "year": "2026", "chance": { "contract_version": 1, "kind": "single", "priced": 1, "unpriced": 0, "hits": 1, "probability": 0.322581, "one_in": 3, "log10": -0.49, "words": "1 in 3", "rule": "market probability (1/price) of this one pick", "note": "market prices include the bookmaker margin, so the chance is slightly overstated — a cautious figure" }, "evidence_items": [ { "nid": "n-28d10cdcbb408dc72bbb7a86", "data": "2026-10-21", "match": "Lille v Galatasaray", "said_text": "1X2, match result: Galatasaray at 3", "outcome_label": "right", "url": "/authors/nuno-goncalves/picks/5/#pick-n-28d10cdcbb408dc72bbb7a86", "evidence_price": 2.75, "comparison": "17 other tipsters and sources on this match, 0 right (15 named home win, 2 named draw)" } ] }, { "id": "zk-2fd2bb6651e249b0edfd", "name_shown": "OddsEkspert", "url": "/sources/oddsekspert-no/", "body": "Only one right of 12 tipsters and sources · Away win · AC Milan v Ferencvarosi TC · 5 Nov 2026", "fact": "Away win called correctly; 11 other tipsters and sources on this match, 0 right (11 named home win).", "tier": null, "m": 12, "provenance": "live", "status": "active", "cause": null, "event_at": "2026-11-05", "evidence_through": "2026-11-05", "year": "2026", "chance": { "contract_version": 1, "kind": "single", "priced": 1, "unpriced": 0, "hits": 1, "probability": 0.137931, "one_in": 7, "log10": -0.86, "words": "1 in 7", "rule": "market probability (1/price) of this one pick", "note": "market prices include the bookmaker margin, so the chance is slightly overstated — a cautious figure" }, "evidence_items": [ { "nid": "n-0b093380c1382c5adb789fb7", "data": "2026-11-05", "match": "AC Milan v Ferencvarosi TC", "said_text": "Correct score: AC Milan 1-2 Ferencvarosi TC", "outcome_label": "score wrong · result right", "url": "/sources/oddsekspert-no/picks/16/#pick-n-0b093380c1382c5adb789fb7", "evidence_price": 7.25, "comparison": "11 other tipsters and sources on this match, 0 right (11 named home win)" } ] }, { "id": "zk-84040f6b5a13b3db3fe5", "name_shown": "OddsEkspert", "url": "/sources/oddsekspert-no/", "body": "Only one right of 7 tipsters and sources · Away win · Hapoel Be'er Sheva v OFI · 5 Nov 2026", "fact": "Away win called correctly; 6 other tipsters and sources on this match, 0 right (4 named home win, 2 named draw).", "tier": null, "m": 7, "provenance": "live", "status": "active", "cause": null, "event_at": "2026-11-05", "evidence_through": "2026-11-05", "year": "2026", "chance": { "contract_version": 1, "kind": "single", "priced": 1, "unpriced": 0, "hits": 1, "probability": 0.30303, "one_in": 3, "log10": -0.52, "words": "1 in 3", "rule": "market probability (1/price) of this one pick", "note": "market prices include the bookmaker margin, so the chance is slightly overstated — a cautious figure" }, "evidence_items": [ { "nid": "n-8150a4ca6c2fd4ba1830893e", "data": "2026-11-05", "match": "Hapoel Be'er Sheva v OFI", "said_text": "Correct score: Hapoel Be'er Sheva 1-2 OFI", "outcome_label": "score wrong · result right", "url": "/sources/oddsekspert-no/picks/17/#pick-n-8150a4ca6c2fd4ba1830893e", "evidence_price": 3.3, "comparison": "6 other tipsters and sources on this match, 0 right (4 named home win, 2 named draw)" } ] }, { "id": "zk-391aa85577d6c245776d", "name_shown": "Ouest-France paris sportifs", "url": "/sources/paris-sportifs-ouest-france-fr/", "body": "Only one right of 15 tipsters and sources · Away win · Manchester City v Paris Saint-Germain · 14 Oct 2026", "fact": "Away win called correctly; 14 other tipsters and sources on this match, 0 right (10 named home win, 4 named draw).", "tier": null, "m": 15, "provenance": "live", "status": "active", "cause": null, "event_at": "2026-10-14", "evidence_through": "2026-10-14", "year": "2026", "chance": { "contract_version": 1, "kind": "single", "priced": 1, "unpriced": 0, "hits": 1, "probability": 0.307692, "one_in": 3, "log10": -0.51, "words": "1 in 3", "rule": "market probability (1/price) of this one pick", "note": "market prices include the bookmaker margin, so the chance is slightly overstated — a cautious figure" }, "evidence_items": [ { "nid": "n-ac8961f6688a619764d847e0", "data": "2026-10-14", "match": "Manchester City v Paris Saint-Germain", "said_text": "1X2, match result: Paris Saint-Germain", "outcome_label": "right", "url": "/sources/paris-sportifs-ouest-france-fr/picks/5/#pick-n-ac8961f6688a619764d847e0", "evidence_price": 3.25, "comparison": "14 other tipsters and sources on this match, 0 right (10 named home win, 4 named draw)" } ] }, { "id": "zk-3d2cfa026eb0d6601e82", "name_shown": "Renzo Castillo", "url": "/authors/renzo-castillo/", "body": "Only one right of 16 tipsters and sources · Away win · Fulham v Crystal Palace · 28 Oct 2026", "fact": "Away win called correctly; 15 other tipsters and sources on this match, 0 right (13 named home win, 2 named draw).", "tier": null, "m": 16, "provenance": "live", "status": "active", "cause": null, "event_at": "2026-10-28", "evidence_through": "2026-10-28", "year": "2026", "chance": { "contract_version": 1, "kind": "single", "priced": 1, "unpriced": 0, "hits": 1, "probability": 0.253807, "one_in": 4, "log10": -0.6, "words": "1 in 4", "rule": "market probability (1/price) of this one pick", "note": "market prices include the bookmaker margin, so the chance is slightly overstated — a cautious figure" }, "evidence_items": [ { "nid": "n-2c4df62c85cf121ca28c2328", "data": "2026-10-28", "match": "Fulham v Crystal Palace", "said_text": "1X2, match result: Crystal Palace at 3.8", "outcome_label": "right", "url": "/authors/renzo-castillo/picks/5/#pick-n-2c4df62c85cf121ca28c2328", "evidence_price": 4.48, "comparison": "15 other tipsters and sources on this match, 0 right (13 named home win, 2 named draw)" } ] }, { "id": "zk-d8e16f96320339fd0447", "name_shown": "SitiScommesse — pronostici", "url": "/sources/sitiscommesse/", "body": "Only one right of 7 tipsters and sources · Draw · Ascoli v Palermo · 6 Nov 2026", "fact": "Draw called correctly; 6 other tipsters and sources on this match, 0 right (6 named away win).", "tier": null, "m": 7, "provenance": "live", "status": "active", "cause": null, "event_at": "2026-11-06", "evidence_through": "2026-11-06", "year": "2026", "chance": { "contract_version": 1, "kind": "single", "priced": 1, "unpriced": 0, "hits": 1, "probability": 0.30303, "one_in": 3, "log10": -0.52, "words": "1 in 3", "rule": "market probability (1/price) of this one pick", "note": "market prices include the bookmaker margin, so the chance is slightly overstated — a cautious figure" }, "evidence_items": [ { "nid": "n-83e560516d7fcbbae9d9aae4", "data": "2026-11-06", "match": "Ascoli v Palermo", "said_text": "1X2, match result: draw at 3.55", "outcome_label": "right", "url": "/sources/sitiscommesse/picks/18/#pick-n-83e560516d7fcbbae9d9aae4", "evidence_price": 3.3, "comparison": "6 other tipsters and sources on this match, 0 right (6 named away win)" } ] }, { "id": "zk-3f6e827074ab6ebe0b5d", "name_shown": "Spordiennustused A.M", "url": "/sources/spordiennustusedam-com/", "body": "Only one right of 13 tipsters and sources · Away win · Elche v Valencia · 1 Nov 2026", "fact": "Away win called correctly; 12 other tipsters and sources on this match, 0 right (7 named home win, 5 named draw).", "tier": null, "m": 13, "provenance": "live", "status": "active", "cause": null, "event_at": "2026-11-01", "evidence_through": "2026-11-01", "year": "2026", "chance": { "contract_version": 1, "kind": "single", "priced": 1, "unpriced": 0, "hits": 1, "probability": 0.333333, "one_in": 3, "log10": -0.48, "words": "1 in 3", "rule": "market probability (1/price) of this one pick", "note": "market prices include the bookmaker margin, so the chance is slightly overstated — a cautious figure" }, "evidence_items": [ { "nid": "n-d06c58c89a16275c107eb802", "data": "2026-11-01", "match": "Elche v Valencia", "said_text": "1X2, match result: Valencia", "outcome_label": "right", "url": "/sources/spordiennustusedam-com/picks/4/#pick-n-d06c58c89a16275c107eb802", "evidence_price": 3.1, "comparison": "12 other tipsters and sources on this match, 0 right (7 named home win, 5 named draw)" } ] }, { "id": "zk-647dfbc609754793fb8f", "name_shown": "Statarea", "url": "/sources/statarea-com/", "body": "Only one right of 11 tipsters and sources · Away win · Trabzonspor v SC Freiburg · 5 Nov 2026", "fact": "Away win called correctly; 10 other tipsters and sources on this match, 0 right (8 named home win, 2 named draw).", "tier": null, "m": 11, "provenance": "live", "status": "active", "cause": null, "event_at": "2026-11-05", "evidence_through": "2026-11-05", "year": "2026", "chance": { "contract_version": 1, "kind": "single", "priced": 1, "unpriced": 0, "hits": 1, "probability": 0.37037, "one_in": 3, "log10": -0.43, "words": "1 in 3", "rule": "market probability (1/price) of this one pick", "note": "market prices include the bookmaker margin, so the chance is slightly overstated — a cautious figure" }, "evidence_items": [ { "nid": "n-55b4670f1487efabed2c909f", "data": "2026-11-05", "match": "Trabzonspor v SC Freiburg", "said_text": "1X2, match result: SC Freiburg", "outcome_label": "right", "url": "/sources/statarea-com/picks/232/#pick-n-55b4670f1487efabed2c909f", "evidence_price": 2.7, "comparison": "10 other tipsters and sources on this match, 0 right (8 named home win, 2 named draw)" } ] }, { "id": "zk-17871d0e7a207757bcbf", "name_shown": "Statarea", "url": "/sources/statarea-com/", "body": "Only one right of 17 tipsters and sources · Home win · Sunderland v Brentford · 28 Oct 2026", "fact": "Home win called correctly; 16 other tipsters and sources on this match, 0 right (13 named away win, 3 named draw).", "tier": null, "m": 17, "provenance": "live", "status": "active", "cause": null, "event_at": "2026-10-28", "evidence_through": "2026-10-28", "year": "2026", "chance": { "contract_version": 1, "kind": "single", "priced": 1, "unpriced": 0, "hits": 1, "probability": 0.243902, "one_in": 4, "log10": -0.61, "words": "1 in 4", "rule": "market probability (1/price) of this one pick", "note": "market prices include the bookmaker margin, so the chance is slightly overstated — a cautious figure" }, "evidence_items": [ { "nid": "n-e2ffbddc8825a2588d436ec2", "data": "2026-10-28", "match": "Sunderland v Brentford", "said_text": "Correct score: Sunderland 2-0 Brentford", "outcome_label": "score wrong · result right", "url": "/sources/statarea-com/picks/145/#pick-n-e2ffbddc8825a2588d436ec2", "evidence_price": 4.1, "comparison": "16 other tipsters and sources on this match, 0 right (13 named away win, 3 named draw)" } ] }, { "id": "zk-9962a0d61c965618baaa", "name_shown": "Statarea", "url": "/sources/statarea-com/", "body": "Only one right of 5 tipsters and sources · Home win · Chaves v Vizela · 23 Oct 2026", "fact": "Home win called correctly; 4 other tipsters and sources on this match, 0 right (3 named draw, 1 named away win).", "tier": null, "m": 5, "provenance": "live", "status": "active", "cause": null, "event_at": "2026-10-23", "evidence_through": "2026-10-23", "year": "2026", "chance": { "contract_version": 1, "kind": "single", "priced": 0, "unpriced": 1, "probability": null, "one_in": null, "words": "No recorded prices for these picks, so the chance cannot be measured." }, "evidence_items": [ { "nid": "n-974a0b6b13f5ee8a2668de88", "data": "2026-10-23", "match": "Chaves v Vizela", "said_text": "1X2, match result: Chaves", "outcome_label": "right", "url": "/sources/statarea-com/picks/76/#pick-n-974a0b6b13f5ee8a2668de88", "evidence_price": null, "comparison": "4 other tipsters and sources on this match, 0 right (3 named draw, 1 named away win)" } ] }, { "id": "zk-e485e0acf483b9720896", "name_shown": "Streckexperten", "url": "/sources/speltips-se/", "body": "Only one right of 4 tipsters and sources · Home win · GAIS v AIK · 2 Nov 2026", "fact": "Home win called correctly; 3 other tipsters and sources on this match, 0 right (3 named draw).", "tier": null, "m": 4, "provenance": "live", "status": "active", "cause": null, "event_at": "2026-11-02", "evidence_through": "2026-11-02", "year": "2026", "chance": { "contract_version": 1, "kind": "single", "priced": 1, "unpriced": 0, "hits": 1, "probability": 0.546448, "one_in": 2, "log10": -0.26, "words": "about even", "rule": "market probability (1/price) of this one pick", "note": "market prices include the bookmaker margin, so the chance is slightly overstated — a cautious figure" }, "evidence_items": [ { "nid": "n-40bbd5f7b348ddd5dd1ed186", "data": "2026-11-02", "match": "GAIS v AIK", "said_text": "1X2, match result: GAIS", "outcome_label": "right", "url": "/sources/speltips-se/picks/11/#pick-n-40bbd5f7b348ddd5dd1ed186", "evidence_price": null, "comparison": "3 other tipsters and sources on this match, 0 right (3 named draw)" } ] }, { "id": "zk-965061f19827bb7fdc91", "name_shown": "Streckexperten", "url": "/sources/speltips-se/", "body": "Only one right of 28 tipsters and sources · Away win · Atalanta v Parma · 2 Nov 2026", "fact": "Away win called correctly; 27 other tipsters and sources on this match, 0 right (27 named home win).", "tier": null, "m": 28, "provenance": "live", "status": "active", "cause": null, "event_at": "2026-11-02", "evidence_through": "2026-11-02", "year": "2026", "chance": { "contract_version": 1, "kind": "single", "priced": 1, "unpriced": 0, "hits": 1, "probability": 0.142857, "one_in": 7, "log10": -0.85, "words": "1 in 7", "rule": "market probability (1/price) of this one pick", "note": "market prices include the bookmaker margin, so the chance is slightly overstated — a cautious figure" }, "evidence_items": [ { "nid": "n-4e62764cf0b97f97b0ba29d5", "data": "2026-11-02", "match": "Atalanta v Parma", "said_text": "1X2, match result: Parma", "outcome_label": "right", "url": "/sources/speltips-se/picks/11/#pick-n-4e62764cf0b97f97b0ba29d5", "evidence_price": 7.0, "comparison": "27 other tipsters and sources on this match, 0 right (27 named home win)" } ] }, { "id": "zk-09260475f72fe7015e46", "name_shown": "Théo Becker", "url": "/authors/theo-becker/", "body": "Only one right of 4 tipsters and sources · Home win · Jaguares de Córdoba v Llaneros FC · 26 Oct 2026", "fact": "Home win called correctly; 3 other tipsters and sources on this match, 0 right (3 named draw).", "tier": null, "m": 4, "provenance": "live", "status": "active", "cause": null, "event_at": "2026-10-26", "evidence_through": "2026-10-26", "year": "2026", "chance": { "contract_version": 1, "kind": "single", "priced": 1, "unpriced": 0, "hits": 1, "probability": 0.3663, "one_in": 3, "log10": -0.44, "words": "1 in 3", "rule": "market probability (1/price) of this one pick", "note": "market prices include the bookmaker margin, so the chance is slightly overstated — a cautious figure" }, "evidence_items": [ { "nid": "n-61fb64773c38c01bfc53c54c", "data": "2026-10-26", "match": "Jaguares de Córdoba v Llaneros FC", "said_text": "1X2, match result: Jaguares de Córdoba at 2.65", "outcome_label": "right", "url": "/authors/theo-becker/picks/98/#pick-n-61fb64773c38c01bfc53c54c", "evidence_price": 2.85, "comparison": "3 other tipsters and sources on this match, 0 right (3 named draw)" } ] }, { "id": "zk-50fa9c2addd7c02b74d5", "name_shown": "Théo Becker", "url": "/authors/theo-becker/", "body": "Only one right of 9 tipsters and sources · Home win · Hajduk Split v AFC Ajax · 15 Oct 2026", "fact": "Home win called correctly; 8 other tipsters and sources on this match, 0 right (5 named away win, 3 named draw).", "tier": null, "m": 9, "provenance": "live", "status": "active", "cause": null, "event_at": "2026-10-15", "evidence_through": "2026-10-15", "year": "2026", "chance": { "contract_version": 1, "kind": "single", "priced": 1, "unpriced": 0, "hits": 1, "probability": 0.243902, "one_in": 4, "log10": -0.61, "words": "1 in 4", "rule": "market probability (1/price) of this one pick", "note": "market prices include the bookmaker margin, so the chance is slightly overstated — a cautious figure" }, "evidence_items": [ { "nid": "n-6c0d06c68c2889a178987a03", "data": "2026-10-15", "match": "Hajduk Split v AFC Ajax", "said_text": "1X2, match result: Hajduk Split", "outcome_label": "right", "url": "/authors/theo-becker/picks/14/#pick-n-6c0d06c68c2889a178987a03", "evidence_price": 4.1, "comparison": "8 other tipsters and sources on this match, 0 right (5 named away win, 3 named draw)" } ] }, { "id": "zk-0a511f16bf35c49d8c86", "name_shown": "Théo Becker", "url": "/authors/theo-becker/", "body": "Only one right of 4 tipsters and sources · Away win · FC Cincinnati v New England Revolution · 14 Oct 2026", "fact": "Away win called correctly; 3 other tipsters and sources on this match, 0 right (3 named home win).", "tier": null, "m": 4, "provenance": "live", "status": "active", "cause": null, "event_at": "2026-10-14", "evidence_through": "2026-10-14", "year": "2026", "chance": { "contract_version": 1, "kind": "single", "priced": 1, "unpriced": 0, "hits": 1, "probability": 0.344828, "one_in": 3, "log10": -0.46, "words": "1 in 3", "rule": "market probability (1/price) of this one pick", "note": "market prices include the bookmaker margin, so the chance is slightly overstated — a cautious figure" }, "evidence_items": [ { "nid": "n-81c0703221865fb1ad44e434", "data": "2026-10-14", "match": "FC Cincinnati v New England Revolution", "said_text": "1X2, match result: New England Revolution", "outcome_label": "right", "url": "/authors/theo-becker/picks/8/#pick-n-81c0703221865fb1ad44e434", "evidence_price": 2.9, "comparison": "3 other tipsters and sources on this match, 0 right (3 named home win)" } ] }, { "id": "zk-f0d290cf61d45b0edcf3", "name_shown": "Tobias Brandt", "url": "/authors/tobias-brandt/", "body": "Only one right of 6 tipsters and sources · Draw · Feyenoord v Fortuna Sittard · 31 Oct 2026", "fact": "Draw called correctly; 5 other tipsters and sources on this match, 0 right (5 named home win).", "tier": null, "m": 6, "provenance": "live", "status": "active", "cause": null, "event_at": "2026-10-31", "evidence_through": "2026-10-31", "year": "2026", "chance": { "contract_version": 1, "kind": "single", "priced": 1, "unpriced": 0, "hits": 1, "probability": 0.117647, "one_in": 8, "log10": -0.93, "words": "1 in 8", "rule": "market probability (1/price) of this one pick", "note": "market prices include the bookmaker margin, so the chance is slightly overstated — a cautious figure" }, "evidence_items": [ { "nid": "n-65b0b6f52239302a5c6cfe76", "data": "2026-10-31", "match": "Feyenoord v Fortuna Sittard", "said_text": "1X2, match result: draw", "outcome_label": "right", "url": "/authors/tobias-brandt/picks/27/#pick-n-65b0b6f52239302a5c6cfe76", "evidence_price": 8.5, "comparison": "5 other tipsters and sources on this match, 0 right (5 named home win)" } ] }, { "id": "zk-9b68f65ca7a19ebc36d1", "name_shown": "Tobias Brandt", "url": "/authors/tobias-brandt/", "body": "Only one right of 5 tipsters and sources · Draw · 1. FC Heidenheim v Cottbus · 24 Oct 2026", "fact": "Draw called correctly; 4 other tipsters and sources on this match, 0 right (4 named home win).", "tier": null, "m": 5, "provenance": "live", "status": "active", "cause": null, "event_at": "2026-10-24", "evidence_through": "2026-10-24", "year": "2026", "chance": { "contract_version": 1, "kind": "single", "priced": 0, "unpriced": 1, "probability": null, "one_in": null, "words": "No recorded prices for these picks, so the chance cannot be measured." }, "evidence_items": [ { "nid": "n-4d146e928bbc09784ab6eb4a", "data": "2026-10-24", "match": "1. FC Heidenheim v Cottbus", "said_text": "1X2, match result: draw at 4.55", "outcome_label": "right", "url": "/authors/tobias-brandt/picks/17/#pick-n-4d146e928bbc09784ab6eb4a", "evidence_price": null, "comparison": "4 other tipsters and sources on this match, 0 right (4 named home win)" } ] }, { "id": "zk-a918907756db44b32205", "name_shown": "Tobias Brandt", "url": "/authors/tobias-brandt/", "body": "Only one right of 11 tipsters and sources · Home win · Hamburger SV v VfB Stuttgart · 17 Oct 2026", "fact": "Home win called correctly; 10 other tipsters and sources on this match, 0 right (8 named away win, 2 named draw).", "tier": null, "m": 11, "provenance": "live", "status": "active", "cause": null, "event_at": "2026-10-17", "evidence_through": "2026-10-17", "year": "2026", "chance": { "contract_version": 1, "kind": "single", "priced": 1, "unpriced": 0, "hits": 1, "probability": 0.25641, "one_in": 4, "log10": -0.59, "words": "1 in 4", "rule": "market probability (1/price) of this one pick", "note": "market prices include the bookmaker margin, so the chance is slightly overstated — a cautious figure" }, "evidence_items": [ { "nid": "n-182a4cf6cdf0de82280f8d6c", "data": "2026-10-17", "match": "Hamburger SV v VfB Stuttgart", "said_text": "1X2, match result: Hamburger SV at 3.9", "outcome_label": "right", "url": "/authors/tobias-brandt/picks/10/#pick-n-182a4cf6cdf0de82280f8d6c", "evidence_price": null, "comparison": "10 other tipsters and sources on this match, 0 right (8 named away win, 2 named draw)" } ] }, { "id": "zk-8d834ca56778ba2e8a83", "name_shown": "Tony Incenzo", "url": "/authors/tony-incenzo/", "body": "Only one right of 4 tipsters and sources · Home win · Dundalk v Shamrock Rovers · 30 Oct 2026", "fact": "Home win called correctly; 3 other tipsters and sources on this match, 0 right (3 named away win).", "tier": null, "m": 4, "provenance": "live", "status": "active", "cause": null, "event_at": "2026-10-30", "evidence_through": "2026-10-30", "year": "2026", "chance": { "contract_version": 1, "kind": "single", "priced": 0, "unpriced": 1, "probability": null, "one_in": null, "words": "No recorded prices for these picks, so the chance cannot be measured." }, "evidence_items": [ { "nid": "n-27fe81542440c2a8b05ec65b", "data": "2026-10-30", "match": "Dundalk v Shamrock Rovers", "said_text": "Correct score: Dundalk 1-0 Shamrock Rovers", "outcome_label": "score wrong · result right", "url": "/authors/tony-incenzo/picks/45/#pick-n-27fe81542440c2a8b05ec65b", "evidence_price": null, "comparison": "3 other tipsters and sources on this match, 0 right (3 named away win)" } ] }, { "id": "zk-cd9fc774e68a064ef876", "name_shown": "Tony Incenzo", "url": "/authors/tony-incenzo/", "body": "Only one right of 5 tipsters and sources · Draw · Bromley v Peterborough United · 24 Oct 2026", "fact": "Draw called correctly; 4 other tipsters and sources on this match, 0 right (4 named away win).", "tier": null, "m": 5, "provenance": "live", "status": "active", "cause": null, "event_at": "2026-10-24", "evidence_through": "2026-10-24", "year": "2026", "chance": { "contract_version": 1, "kind": "single", "priced": 0, "unpriced": 1, "probability": null, "one_in": null, "words": "No recorded prices for these picks, so the chance cannot be measured." }, "evidence_items": [ { "nid": "n-0be6190c0416df11a4efb80a", "data": "2026-10-24", "match": "Bromley v Peterborough United", "said_text": "Correct score: Bromley 0-0 Peterborough United", "outcome_label": "score wrong · result right", "url": "/authors/tony-incenzo/picks/43/#pick-n-0be6190c0416df11a4efb80a", "evidence_price": null, "comparison": "4 other tipsters and sources on this match, 0 right (4 named away win)" } ] }, { "id": "zk-e8e794dce9afb956370a", "name_shown": "Tony Incenzo", "url": "/authors/tony-incenzo/", "body": "Only one right of 10 tipsters and sources · Away win · West Ham United v Southampton · 24 Oct 2026", "fact": "Away win called correctly; 9 other tipsters and sources on this match, 0 right (7 named home win, 2 named draw).", "tier": null, "m": 10, "provenance": "live", "status": "active", "cause": null, "event_at": "2026-10-24", "evidence_through": "2026-10-24", "year": "2026", "chance": { "contract_version": 1, "kind": "single", "priced": 1, "unpriced": 0, "hits": 1, "probability": 0.238095, "one_in": 4, "log10": -0.62, "words": "1 in 4", "rule": "market probability (1/price) of this one pick", "note": "market prices include the bookmaker margin, so the chance is slightly overstated — a cautious figure" }, "evidence_items": [ { "nid": "n-4631149ae54f05a30272acfd", "data": "2026-10-24", "match": "West Ham United v Southampton", "said_text": "1X2, match result: Southampton at 4.2", "outcome_label": "right", "url": "/authors/tony-incenzo/picks/42/#pick-n-4631149ae54f05a30272acfd", "evidence_price": null, "comparison": "9 other tipsters and sources on this match, 0 right (7 named home win, 2 named draw)" } ] }, { "id": "zk-d7797669ce280628efda", "name_shown": "Tony Incenzo", "url": "/authors/tony-incenzo/", "body": "Only one right of 9 tipsters and sources · Home win · Lincoln City v Burnley · 24 Oct 2026", "fact": "Home win called correctly; 8 other tipsters and sources on this match, 0 right (6 named away win, 2 named draw).", "tier": null, "m": 9, "provenance": "live", "status": "active", "cause": null, "event_at": "2026-10-24", "evidence_through": "2026-10-24", "year": "2026", "chance": { "contract_version": 1, "kind": "single", "priced": 0, "unpriced": 1, "probability": null, "one_in": null, "words": "No recorded prices for these picks, so the chance cannot be measured." }, "evidence_items": [ { "nid": "n-86a7b2889ce14469e3b04aec", "data": "2026-10-24", "match": "Lincoln City v Burnley", "said_text": "Correct score: Lincoln City 1-0 Burnley", "outcome_label": "score wrong · result right", "url": "/authors/tony-incenzo/picks/42/#pick-n-86a7b2889ce14469e3b04aec", "evidence_price": null, "comparison": "8 other tipsters and sources on this match, 0 right (6 named away win, 2 named draw)" } ] }, { "id": "zk-5f6a53b777e342a9958d", "name_shown": "Tony Incenzo", "url": "/authors/tony-incenzo/", "body": "Only one right of 4 tipsters and sources · Draw · AFC Wimbledon v Wycombe Wanderers · 24 Oct 2026", "fact": "Draw called correctly; 3 other tipsters and sources on this match, 0 right (3 named away win).", "tier": null, "m": 4, "provenance": "live", "status": "active", "cause": null, "event_at": "2026-10-24", "evidence_through": "2026-10-24", "year": "2026", "chance": { "contract_version": 1, "kind": "single", "priced": 0, "unpriced": 1, "probability": null, "one_in": null, "words": "No recorded prices for these picks, so the chance cannot be measured." }, "evidence_items": [ { "nid": "n-dc7395929dba4c6f62035cf6", "data": "2026-10-24", "match": "AFC Wimbledon v Wycombe Wanderers", "said_text": "Correct score: AFC Wimbledon 2-2 Wycombe Wanderers", "outcome_label": "score wrong · result right", "url": "/authors/tony-incenzo/picks/43/#pick-n-dc7395929dba4c6f62035cf6", "evidence_price": null, "comparison": "3 other tipsters and sources on this match, 0 right (3 named away win)" } ] }, { "id": "zk-4845b74f40c98b9df183", "name_shown": "Transfermarkt.es — Pronósticos deportivos", "url": "/sources/transfermarkt-es/", "body": "Only one right of 4 tipsters and sources · Home win · Universidad Católica v Universidad Chile · 1 Nov 2026", "fact": "Home win called correctly; 3 other tipsters and sources on this match, 0 right (3 named away win).", "tier": null, "m": 4, "provenance": "live", "status": "active", "cause": null, "event_at": "2026-11-01", "evidence_through": "2026-11-01", "year": "2026", "chance": { "contract_version": 1, "kind": "single", "priced": 0, "unpriced": 1, "probability": null, "one_in": null, "words": "No recorded prices for these picks, so the chance cannot be measured." }, "evidence_items": [ { "nid": "n-7915c7c73cb31af24a148250", "data": "2026-11-01", "match": "Universidad Católica v Universidad Chile", "said_text": "1X2, match result: Universidad Católica at 2.35", "outcome_label": "right", "url": "/sources/transfermarkt-es/picks/102/#pick-n-7915c7c73cb31af24a148250", "evidence_price": null, "comparison": "3 other tipsters and sources on this match, 0 right (3 named away win)" } ] }, { "id": "zk-dfab6fda493a7ebd0a49", "name_shown": "Transfermarkt.es — Pronósticos deportivos", "url": "/sources/transfermarkt-es/", "body": "Only one right of 5 tipsters and sources · Home win · 1. FC Union Berlin v SV 07 Elversberg · 10 Oct 2026", "fact": "Home win called correctly; 4 other tipsters and sources on this match, 0 right (4 named away win).", "tier": null, "m": 5, "provenance": "live", "status": "active", "cause": null, "event_at": "2026-10-10", "evidence_through": "2026-10-10", "year": "2026", "chance": { "contract_version": 1, "kind": "single", "priced": 1, "unpriced": 0, "hits": 1, "probability": 0.425532, "one_in": 2, "log10": -0.37, "words": "1 in 2", "rule": "market probability (1/price) of this one pick", "note": "market prices include the bookmaker margin, so the chance is slightly overstated — a cautious figure" }, "evidence_items": [ { "nid": "n-c25d21da5f0920a477bb501e", "data": "2026-10-10", "match": "1. FC Union Berlin v SV 07 Elversberg", "said_text": "1X2, match result: 1. FC Union Berlin", "outcome_label": "right", "url": "/sources/transfermarkt-es/picks/8/#pick-n-c25d21da5f0920a477bb501e", "evidence_price": 2.35, "comparison": "4 other tipsters and sources on this match, 0 right (4 named away win)" } ] }, { "id": "zk-cd187a66163684b1bc7d", "name_shown": "Transfermarkt.es — Pronósticos deportivos", "url": "/sources/transfermarkt-es/", "body": "Only one right of 8 tipsters and sources · Home win · RC Lens v Olympique Lyonnais · 9 Oct 2026", "fact": "Home win called correctly; 7 other tipsters and sources on this match, 0 right (6 named away win, 1 named draw).", "tier": null, "m": 8, "provenance": "live", "status": "active", "cause": null, "event_at": "2026-10-09", "evidence_through": "2026-10-09", "year": "2026", "chance": { "contract_version": 1, "kind": "single", "priced": 1, "unpriced": 0, "hits": 1, "probability": 0.408163, "one_in": 2, "log10": -0.39, "words": "1 in 2", "rule": "market probability (1/price) of this one pick", "note": "market prices include the bookmaker margin, so the chance is slightly overstated — a cautious figure" }, "evidence_items": [ { "nid": "n-7e9bbb6c7316466b872d8704", "data": "2026-10-09", "match": "RC Lens v Olympique Lyonnais", "said_text": "1X2, match result: RC Lens at 2.53", "outcome_label": "right", "url": "/sources/transfermarkt-es/picks/3/#pick-n-7e9bbb6c7316466b872d8704", "evidence_price": 2.45, "comparison": "7 other tipsters and sources on this match, 0 right (6 named away win, 1 named draw)" } ] }, { "id": "zk-8db83fd8d1edcfc4827b", "name_shown": "WhoScored", "url": "/sources/whoscored-com/", "body": "Only one right of 7 tipsters and sources · Away win · Aberdeen v Falkirk · 28 Oct 2026", "fact": "Away win called correctly; 6 other tipsters and sources on this match, 0 right (3 named home win, 3 named draw).", "tier": null, "m": 7, "provenance": "live", "status": "active", "cause": null, "event_at": "2026-10-28", "evidence_through": "2026-10-28", "year": "2026", "chance": { "contract_version": 1, "kind": "single", "priced": 1, "unpriced": 0, "hits": 1, "probability": 0.296296, "one_in": 3, "log10": -0.53, "words": "1 in 3", "rule": "market probability (1/price) of this one pick", "note": "market prices include the bookmaker margin, so the chance is slightly overstated — a cautious figure" }, "evidence_items": [ { "nid": "n-866059357ef0dd3286f2a916", "data": "2026-10-28", "match": "Aberdeen v Falkirk", "said_text": "1X2, match result: Falkirk", "outcome_label": "right", "url": "/sources/whoscored-com/picks/20/#pick-n-866059357ef0dd3286f2a916", "evidence_price": null, "comparison": "6 other tipsters and sources on this match, 0 right (3 named home win, 3 named draw)" } ] }, { "id": "zk-e140bd4f294e2ae24dcc", "name_shown": "WhoScored", "url": "/sources/whoscored-com/", "body": "Only one right of 13 tipsters and sources · Away win · Sporting Braga v Gil Vicente · 19 Oct 2026", "fact": "Away win called correctly; 12 other tipsters and sources on this match, 0 right (12 named home win).", "tier": null, "m": 13, "provenance": "live", "status": "active", "cause": null, "event_at": "2026-10-19", "evidence_through": "2026-10-19", "year": "2026", "chance": { "contract_version": 1, "kind": "single", "priced": 1, "unpriced": 0, "hits": 1, "probability": 0.169924, "one_in": 6, "log10": -0.77, "words": "1 in 6", "rule": "market probability (1/price) of this one pick", "note": "market prices include the bookmaker margin, so the chance is slightly overstated — a cautious figure" }, "evidence_items": [ { "nid": "n-23a9a6249cff7c8d7276a6ee", "data": "2026-10-19", "match": "Sporting Braga v Gil Vicente", "said_text": "1X2, match result: Gil Vicente", "outcome_label": "right", "url": "/sources/whoscored-com/picks/2/#pick-n-23a9a6249cff7c8d7276a6ee", "evidence_price": 6.0, "comparison": "12 other tipsters and sources on this match, 0 right (12 named home win)" } ] }, { "id": "zk-c65d84b9451553a8baa6", "name_shown": "WinDrawWin — Uruguay", "url": "/sources/windrawwin-com/products/windrawwin-uruguay/", "body": "Only one right of 4 tipsters and sources · Draw · Palestino v Colo-Colo · 25 Oct 2026", "fact": "Draw called correctly; 3 other tipsters and sources on this match, 0 right (3 named away win).", "tier": null, "m": 4, "provenance": "live", "status": "active", "cause": null, "event_at": "2026-10-25", "evidence_through": "2026-10-25", "year": "2026", "chance": { "contract_version": 1, "kind": "single", "priced": 1, "unpriced": 0, "hits": 1, "probability": 0.273973, "one_in": 4, "log10": -0.56, "words": "1 in 4", "rule": "market probability (1/price) of this one pick", "note": "market prices include the bookmaker margin, so the chance is slightly overstated — a cautious figure" }, "evidence_items": [ { "nid": "n-42a882622a5cf6b7dfea6d89", "data": "2026-10-25", "match": "Palestino v Colo-Colo", "said_text": "Correct score: Palestino 2-2 Colo-Colo", "outcome_label": "score wrong · result right", "url": "/sources/windrawwin-com/products/windrawwin-chile/picks/3/#pick-n-42a882622a5cf6b7dfea6d89", "evidence_price": 3.65, "comparison": "3 other tipsters and sources on this match, 0 right (3 named away win)" } ] }, { "id": "zk-ae912b07e3fe3d482735", "name_shown": "WinDrawWin — Uruguay", "url": "/sources/windrawwin-com/products/windrawwin-uruguay/", "body": "Only one right of 4 tipsters and sources · Away win · Avaí v Botafogo SP · 24 Oct 2026", "fact": "Away win called correctly; 3 other tipsters and sources on this match, 0 right (3 named home win).", "tier": null, "m": 4, "provenance": "live", "status": "active", "cause": null, "event_at": "2026-10-24", "evidence_through": "2026-10-24", "year": "2026", "chance": { "contract_version": 1, "kind": "single", "priced": 1, "unpriced": 0, "hits": 1, "probability": 0.31746, "one_in": 3, "log10": -0.5, "words": "1 in 3", "rule": "market probability (1/price) of this one pick", "note": "market prices include the bookmaker margin, so the chance is slightly overstated — a cautious figure" }, "evidence_items": [ { "nid": "n-004e8970c24de5943ae77818", "data": "2026-10-24", "match": "Avaí v Botafogo SP", "said_text": "Correct score: Avaí 0-1 Botafogo SP", "outcome_label": "score wrong · result right", "url": "/sources/windrawwin-com/products/windrawwin-pronosticos-brasileirao/picks/4/#pick-n-004e8970c24de5943ae77818", "evidence_price": 3.15, "comparison": "3 other tipsters and sources on this match, 0 right (3 named home win)" } ] }, { "id": "zk-0aa2d23c779603d823f3", "name_shown": "WinDrawWin — Uruguay", "url": "/sources/windrawwin-com/products/windrawwin-uruguay/", "body": "Only one right of 5 tipsters and sources · Draw · O'Higgins v Cobresal · 24 Oct 2026", "fact": "Draw called correctly; 4 other tipsters and sources on this match, 0 right (4 named home win).", "tier": null, "m": 5, "provenance": "live", "status": "active", "cause": null, "event_at": "2026-10-24", "evidence_through": "2026-10-24", "year": "2026", "chance": { "contract_version": 1, "kind": "single", "priced": 1, "unpriced": 0, "hits": 1, "probability": 0.243902, "one_in": 4, "log10": -0.61, "words": "1 in 4", "rule": "market probability (1/price) of this one pick", "note": "market prices include the bookmaker margin, so the chance is slightly overstated — a cautious figure" }, "evidence_items": [ { "nid": "n-6b20f9a84020eb82b3f947a2", "data": "2026-10-24", "match": "O'Higgins v Cobresal", "said_text": "Correct score: O'Higgins 2-2 Cobresal", "outcome_label": "score wrong · result right", "url": "/sources/windrawwin-com/products/windrawwin-chile/picks/3/#pick-n-6b20f9a84020eb82b3f947a2", "evidence_price": 4.1, "comparison": "4 other tipsters and sources on this match, 0 right (4 named home win)" } ] }, { "id": "zk-b043efd224c8c537d1f7", "name_shown": "wedtips.ai", "url": "/sources/wedtips-ai/", "body": "Only one right of 24 tipsters and sources · Home win · FC Bayern München v Borussia Dortmund · 31 Oct 2026", "fact": "Home win called correctly; 23 other tipsters and sources on this match, 0 right (23 named home win).", "tier": null, "m": 24, "provenance": "live", "status": "active", "cause": null, "event_at": "2026-10-31", "evidence_through": "2026-10-31", "year": "2026", "chance": { "contract_version": 1, "kind": "single", "priced": 1, "unpriced": 0, "hits": 1, "probability": 0.599988, "one_in": 2, "log10": -0.22, "words": "about even", "rule": "market probability (1/price) of this one pick", "note": "market prices include the bookmaker margin, so the chance is slightly overstated — a cautious figure" }, "evidence_items": [ { "nid": "n-2bed9512e5d0d13d1f4e7e3e", "data": "2026-10-31", "match": "FC Bayern München v Borussia Dortmund", "said_text": "1X2, match result, first half: FC Bayern München at 1.64", "outcome_label": "right", "url": "/sources/wedtips-ai/picks/147/#pick-n-2bed9512e5d0d13d1f4e7e3e", "evidence_price": 1.32, "comparison": "23 other tipsters and sources on this match, 0 right (23 named home win)" } ] } ], "history": [], "holders_people": 38, "fields": [], "visible": 62, "example": null, "luck": { "field": "chance", "words": "Each holder carries the chance of the same result by luck: the market probability (1/price at our recording) of every pick behind the title, multiplied for a run or summed as at least this many correct picks. Prices include the bookmaker margin, so the figure is cautious." }, "legend": "Badges show titles earned before this prediction, by published rules.", "page_variant": "view" }, "entity_id": "titles:/titles/c-02-lone-correct-call/", "source_revision": 43 }