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"heading": "VictorsPredict.com: Football Prediction Record",
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"body": "Forecast Record recorded 18 settled live picks by VictorsPredict.com before kick-off across 18 matches between 25 October and 5 November 2026. At our recorded market prices these picks returned −1.6% on the total staked. Of the 54 predictions we hold for VictorsPredict.com, 27 are linked to matches: 27 were recorded by us before kick-off. Figures as of 7 November 2026.",
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"note": "market prices include the bookmaker margin, so the chance is slightly overstated — a cautious figure"
},
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{
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},
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{
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"match": "Hapoel Ramat Gan v Maccabi Tel Aviv",
"said_text": "1X2, match result: Maccabi Tel Aviv at 1.26",
"outcome_label": "right",
"evidence_price": null,
"comparison": "2 other tipsters and sources on this match, 2 right (2 named away win)",
"url": "/sources/victorspredict-com/picks/3/#pick-n-f9767979488f39cc7ee14d63"
}
],
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"words": "1 in 4",
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"note": "market prices include the bookmaker margin, so the chance is slightly overstated — a cautious figure"
},
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"url": null,
"provenance": "live",
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},
{
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"url": null,
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],
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"status": "corrected",
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]
},
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"price_vs_market": {
"contract_version": "1",
"threshold_percent": "5",
"rows": [
{
"basis": "snapshot",
"basis_words": "our market price for the same selection when we first recorded the pick (median of bookmakers in our price feed; failing that, the first price within 2 hours after, always before kick-off)",
"basis_short": "Our market price when we first recorded the pick",
"compared": 18,
"above": 5,
"above_share_percent": "27.8",
"below": 0,
"within": 13,
"median_difference_percent": "3.8",
"not_comparable": 0,
"disputed": 0,
"status": "calculated"
}
],
"examples": [
{
"url": "/sources/victorspredict-com/picks/4/#pick-n-f20f8731d44c6aca708f4e06",
"basis": "snapshot",
"stated": "1.53",
"market": "1.43",
"difference_percent": "6.6"
},
{
"url": "/sources/victorspredict-com/picks/3/#pick-n-1e34d65ec40d4dc17f825f92",
"basis": "snapshot",
"stated": "1.62",
"market": "1.53",
"difference_percent": "5.9"
}
],
"method": "Difference = the author's stated price ÷ the market price of the same selection − 1. A pick counts as above the market when the stated price is more than 5% higher. Each basis is its own comparison; they are never added together. A pair whose prices differ more than twofold is marked “price disputed”: it is probably not the same selection, so it is left out of this comparison and of every return at the author’s price until a manual check confirms the price. A price that the quoted text does not give is marked “price disputed” in the same way."
},
"record_summary": {
"contract_version": "1",
"entity_type": "person",
"entity_words": "Individual author",
"source": {
"name": "t.me",
"url": "https://t.me/victorspredict/2226"
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"observed_to": "2026-11-07",
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"state": "settled",
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"series": "Recorded before kick-off, at our recorded market price",
"restored": false,
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"matches": 18,
"void": 0,
"net_points_hundredths": -2906,
"staked_hundredths": 180000,
"return_percent": "-1.61",
"stake_per_pick_hundredths": 10000,
"period_from": "2026-10-25",
"period_to": "2026-11-05",
"status": "calculated",
"method_version": "2.2",
"short_history": true,
"reason": null,
"reasons": [],
"sentence": "Forecast Record recorded 18 settled live picks by VictorsPredict.com before kick-off across 18 matches between 25 October and 5 November 2026. At our recorded market prices these picks returned −1.6% on the total staked. Of the 54 predictions we hold for VictorsPredict.com, 27 are linked to matches: 27 were recorded by us before kick-off. Figures as of 7 November 2026.",
"numbers": [
{
"label": "Settled live picks",
"value": "18",
"anchor": "/methodology/#settled-pick",
"note": null
},
{
"label": "Matches",
"value": "18",
"anchor": "/methodology/#match",
"note": null
},
{
"label": "Net result",
"value": "−29.06 points",
"anchor": "/methodology/#settlement",
"note": "100 points per pick"
},
{
"label": "Return at our recorded market price",
"value": "−1.6%",
"anchor": "/methodology/#roi",
"note": "95% interval −31.1% to +26.3%"
}
],
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{
"date": "2026-10-25",
"cumulative_points_hundredths": 3100,
"n": 1
},
{
"date": "2026-10-27",
"cumulative_points_hundredths": -3775,
"n": 3
},
{
"date": "2026-10-28",
"cumulative_points_hundredths": -10475,
"n": 5
},
{
"date": "2026-10-29",
"cumulative_points_hundredths": -8075,
"n": 6
},
{
"date": "2026-10-30",
"cumulative_points_hundredths": -9834,
"n": 9
},
{
"date": "2026-11-01",
"cumulative_points_hundredths": 3190,
"n": 12
},
{
"date": "2026-11-02",
"cumulative_points_hundredths": -4610,
"n": 14
},
{
"date": "2026-11-03",
"cumulative_points_hundredths": 4896,
"n": 16
},
{
"date": "2026-11-04",
"cumulative_points_hundredths": -5104,
"n": 17
},
{
"date": "2026-11-05",
"cumulative_points_hundredths": -2906,
"n": 18
}
],
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"label": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
"series_code": "market_price",
"price_rule": "Return at our recorded market price",
"x_axis": "match_date",
"dated_note": "Dated by match day. Each pick was recorded by us before kick-off and settled after the match.",
"settled_picks": 18,
"matches": 18,
"match_dates": 10,
"period_from": "2026-10-25",
"period_to": "2026-11-05",
"stake_per_pick_hundredths": 10000,
"final_points_hundredths": -2906,
"low": {
"date": "2026-10-28",
"cumulative_points_hundredths": -10475,
"after_picks": 5
},
"high": {
"date": "2026-11-03",
"cumulative_points_hundredths": 4896,
"after_picks": 16
},
"line_drawn": true,
"steps": [
{
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"cumulative_points_hundredths": 3100,
"n": 1,
"picks": 1
},
{
"date": "2026-10-27",
"cumulative_points_hundredths": -3775,
"n": 3,
"picks": 2
},
{
"date": "2026-10-28",
"cumulative_points_hundredths": -10475,
"n": 5,
"picks": 2
},
{
"date": "2026-10-29",
"cumulative_points_hundredths": -8075,
"n": 6,
"picks": 1
},
{
"date": "2026-10-30",
"cumulative_points_hundredths": -9834,
"n": 9,
"picks": 3
},
{
"date": "2026-11-01",
"cumulative_points_hundredths": 3190,
"n": 12,
"picks": 3
},
{
"date": "2026-11-02",
"cumulative_points_hundredths": -4610,
"n": 14,
"picks": 2
},
{
"date": "2026-11-03",
"cumulative_points_hundredths": 4896,
"n": 16,
"picks": 2
},
{
"date": "2026-11-04",
"cumulative_points_hundredths": -5104,
"n": 17,
"picks": 1
},
{
"date": "2026-11-05",
"cumulative_points_hundredths": -2906,
"n": 18,
"picks": 1
}
]
},
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},
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"cite": {
"text": "Forecast Record recorded 18 settled live picks by VictorsPredict.com before kick-off across 18 matches between 25 October and 5 November 2026. At our recorded market prices these picks returned −1.6% on the total staked. Of the 54 predictions we hold for VictorsPredict.com, 27 are linked to matches: 27 were recorded by us before kick-off. Figures as of 7 November 2026.",
"url": "https://forecastrecord.com/sources/victorspredict-com/",
"data_as_of": "2026-11-07",
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"under_review": 0,
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"proven_measured": 18,
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"title": "Recorded before kick-off",
"explanation": "Saved by us from the source before kick-off.",
"predictions": 27,
"checked": 27,
"price_rule": "Return at our recorded market price",
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"return_percent": "-1.61",
"interval_low": "-31.14",
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},
"same_picks": [
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"price": "Author-quoted price",
"series_code": "author_price",
"picks": 18,
"return_main_percent": "-1.61",
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"net_other_points_hundredths": 2900,
"period_from": "2026-10-25",
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{
"price": "Closing price",
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"picks": 14,
"return_main_percent": "-2.50",
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"settled_excluding_void": 14,
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],
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"lines": []
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"accuracy": {
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"won": 13,
"won_percent": "72.2",
"implied_percent": "73.0",
"left_out": 0,
"by_market": [
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"won": 11,
"picks": 15,
"implied_percent": "74.2"
},
{
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"won": 2,
"picks": 3,
"implied_percent": "66.7"
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]
},
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"right": 6,
"wrong": 3,
"other": 0
}
},
{
"code": "archived",
"title": "Archived before kick-off",
"explanation": "Restored from a copy saved by an independent web archive before kick-off.",
"predictions": 0,
"checked": 0,
"price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices",
"series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
"main": null,
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"exact_hits": 0,
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"lines": []
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"priced": 0
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},
{
"code": "found_after",
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"explanation": "First found after the match; the date is the one the source states.",
"predictions": 0,
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"price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices",
"series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
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"interval_low": "-31.14",
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{
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{
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{
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},
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{
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},
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},
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{
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},
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"text": "+2.66% on 12 settled picks across 12 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
},
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{
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},
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},
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},
{
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},
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"text": "−80.75 points on 6 settled picks across 6 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
},
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},
{
"id": "zc-eae647959ed741b764df",
"at": "2026-10-29T20:28:50.091Z",
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"text": "−104.75 points on 5 settled picks across 5 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
},
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{
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"at": "2026-10-28T01:24:12.367Z",
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"text": "−37.75 points on 3 settled picks across 3 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
},
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{
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"text": "+31.00 points on 1 settled pick across 1 match · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
},
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],
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{
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],
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