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 "heading": "Trivela: Football Prediction Record",
 "description": "3 settled picks by Trivela — Palpites de futebol recorded before kick-off across 3 matches, 18 Oct 2026: won 2 of 3 at our recorded market prices.",
 "first_paragraph": {
  "body": "Forecast Record recorded 3 settled live picks by Trivela — Palpites de futebol before kick-off across 3 matches on 18 October 2026. Won 2 of 3 settled live picks at our recorded market prices. Of the 32 predictions we hold for Trivela — Palpites de futebol, 17 are linked to matches: 8 were recorded by us before kick-off and 9 first found after the match. Figures as of 7 November 2026.",
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  "data": "2026-11-07",
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  "disclosure": "Some links below are affiliate links and are marked as such. They never affect what you see above: the order of any table is computed before any commission is known.",
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   "quote_text": "Antes da derrota para a Espanha, os Diabos Vermelhos acumulavam 18 partidas de invencibilidade",
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   "quote_text": "Trivela no Telegram\n\nReceba nossas dicas direto no celular",
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   "quote_text": "⚽ Itália x Bélgica — 📺 Disney",
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   "quote_text": "Antes de apostar, confira as novas casas de apostas parceiras da Trivela.",
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   "quote_text": "Previsão da Trivela: Itália 1 x 1 Bélgica\n\nNenhuma das equipes deve entrar em campo em Roma já no ritmo ideal, já que o processo de adaptação a um novo treinador pode consumir toda esta data Fifa.\n\nApesar de muito talento em campo, o confronto pode ser desarticulado, com as duas equipes satisfeitas em se contentar com um empate na estreia. Por isso, o nosso palpite é empate por 1 a 1.",
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   "observation_id": "n-8e063fbe431f29b3c52620f9",
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   "quote_text": "Menos de 2,5 gols na partida\n\n54%\nde chance",
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   "observation_id": "n-55a8ad5c09612db63b549c8f",
   "url": "/sources/trivela-com-br/picks/3/#pick-n-55a8ad5c09612db63b549c8f",
   "quote_text": "Ambas as equipes marcam\n\n58%\nde chance",
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   "observation_id": "n-8e1fd95d49ce828253617786",
   "url": "/sources/trivela-com-br/picks/3/#pick-n-8e1fd95d49ce828253617786",
   "quote_text": "Empate no confronto\n\n30%\nde chance",
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   "observation_id": "n-3d92ca85be73f8ed8135eda0",
   "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-3d92ca85be73f8ed8135eda0",
   "quote_text": "O mercado de placar exato envolve risco maior do que outras opções, especialmente em uma final",
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   "source_info": {
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   "published_at": "2026-09-24T21:00:00.000Z",
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  "sentence": "Forecast Record recorded 3 settled live picks by Trivela — Palpites de futebol before kick-off across 3 matches on 18 October 2026. Won 2 of 3 settled live picks at our recorded market prices. Of the 32 predictions we hold for Trivela — Palpites de futebol, 17 are linked to matches: 8 were recorded by us before kick-off and 9 first found after the match. Figures as of 7 November 2026.",
  "numbers": [
   {
    "label": "Settled live picks",
    "value": "3",
    "anchor": "/methodology/#settled-pick",
    "note": null
   },
   {
    "label": "Matches",
    "value": "3",
    "anchor": "/methodology/#match",
    "note": null
   },
   {
    "label": "Net result",
    "value": "+1.93 points",
    "anchor": "/methodology/#settlement",
    "note": "100 points per pick"
   },
   {
    "label": "Return at our recorded market price",
    "value": "+0.6%",
    "anchor": "/methodology/#roi",
    "note": null
   }
  ],
  "limitations": [
   "Most of this history was found after the matches."
  ],
  "other_series": [],
  "return_over_time": [],
  "return_over_time_parts": {
   "live": {
    "part": "live",
    "label": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "Return at our recorded market price",
    "x_axis": "match_date",
    "dated_note": "Dated by match day. Each pick was recorded by us before kick-off and settled after the match.",
    "settled_picks": 3,
    "matches": 3,
    "match_dates": 1,
    "period_from": "2026-10-18",
    "period_to": "2026-10-18",
    "stake_per_pick_hundredths": 10000,
    "final_points_hundredths": 193,
    "low": {
     "date": "2026-10-18",
     "cumulative_points_hundredths": 193,
     "after_picks": 3
    },
    "high": {
     "date": "2026-10-18",
     "cumulative_points_hundredths": 193,
     "after_picks": 3
    },
    "line_drawn": false,
    "steps": [
     {
      "date": "2026-10-18",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": 193,
      "n": 3,
      "picks": 3
     }
    ]
   },
   "archived": null
  },
  "author_response": null,
  "cite": {
   "text": "Forecast Record recorded 3 settled live picks by Trivela — Palpites de futebol before kick-off across 3 matches on 18 October 2026. Won 2 of 3 settled live picks at our recorded market prices. Of the 32 predictions we hold for Trivela — Palpites de futebol, 17 are linked to matches: 8 were recorded by us before kick-off and 9 first found after the match. Figures as of 7 November 2026.",
   "url": "https://forecastrecord.com/sources/trivela-com-br/",
   "data_as_of": "2026-11-07",
   "method_version": "2.2"
  },
  "origin": {
   "contract_version": "1",
   "predictions": 32,
   "under_review": 0,
   "no_match_linked": 15,
   "proven_predictions": 8,
   "proven_checked": 8,
   "proven_measured": 3,
   "proven_dates": 1,
   "parts": [
    {
     "code": "live",
     "title": "Recorded before kick-off",
     "explanation": "Saved by us from the source before kick-off.",
     "predictions": 8,
     "checked": 8,
     "price_rule": "Return at our recorded market price",
     "series_code": "market_price",
     "main": {
      "settled_picks": 3,
      "void": 0,
      "matches": 3,
      "net_points_hundredths": 193,
      "staked_hundredths": 30000,
      "return_percent": "0.64",
      "interval_low": null,
      "interval_high": null,
      "interval_note": "too few independent matches to estimate an interval",
      "period_from": "2026-10-18",
      "period_to": "2026-10-18",
      "method_version": "2.2",
      "snapshot_delay_median_hours": "0.0",
      "snapshot_delay_max_hours": "0.0",
      "checked_after_kickoff_picks": 1
     },
     "same_picks": [
      {
       "price": "Closing price",
       "series_code": "closing_live",
       "picks": 3,
       "return_main_percent": "0.64",
       "return_other_percent": "-2.18",
       "settled_excluding_void": 3,
       "net_main_points_hundredths": 193,
       "net_other_points_hundredths": -655,
       "period_from": "2026-10-18",
       "period_to": "2026-10-18"
      }
     ],
     "score": {
      "score_forecasts": 0,
      "exact_hits": 0,
      "exact_rate": null,
      "outcome_checked": 0,
      "outcome_hits": 0,
      "outcome_rate": null,
      "baseline_matches": 0,
      "baseline_distinct_matches": 0,
      "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0,
      "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null,
      "favourite_hits": 0,
      "favourite_rate": null,
      "price_basis": null,
      "pending": 0,
      "void": 0,
      "recorded_after_kickoff": 0,
      "lines": []
     },
     "eligible": {
      "checked": 8,
      "priced": 3
     },
     "accuracy": {
      "picks": 3,
      "won": 2,
      "won_percent": "66.7",
      "implied_percent": "60.7",
      "left_out": 0,
      "by_market": [
       {
        "market": "Both teams to score",
        "won": 1,
        "picks": 1,
        "implied_percent": "61.8"
       },
       {
        "market": "Match result",
        "won": 0,
        "picks": 1,
        "implied_percent": "49.0"
       },
       {
        "market": "Over/under goals",
        "won": 1,
        "picks": 1,
        "implied_percent": "71.4"
       }
      ]
     },
     "reviewed_after": {
      "predictions": 3,
      "right": 2,
      "wrong": 1,
      "other": 0
     }
    },
    {
     "code": "archived",
     "title": "Archived before kick-off",
     "explanation": "Restored from a copy saved by an independent web archive before kick-off.",
     "predictions": 0,
     "checked": 0,
     "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices",
     "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
     "main": null,
     "same_picks": [],
     "score": {
      "score_forecasts": 0,
      "exact_hits": 0,
      "exact_rate": null,
      "outcome_checked": 0,
      "outcome_hits": 0,
      "outcome_rate": null,
      "baseline_matches": 0,
      "baseline_distinct_matches": 0,
      "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0,
      "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null,
      "favourite_hits": 0,
      "favourite_rate": null,
      "price_basis": null,
      "pending": 0,
      "void": 0,
      "recorded_after_kickoff": 0,
      "lines": []
     },
     "eligible": {
      "checked": 0,
      "priced": 0
     },
     "accuracy": null
    },
    {
     "code": "found_after",
     "title": "Found after the match",
     "explanation": "First found after the match; the date is the one the source states.",
     "predictions": 9,
     "checked": 1,
     "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices",
     "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
     "main": null,
     "same_picks": [],
     "score": {
      "score_forecasts": 0,
      "exact_hits": 0,
      "exact_rate": null,
      "outcome_checked": 0,
      "outcome_hits": 0,
      "outcome_rate": null,
      "baseline_matches": 0,
      "baseline_distinct_matches": 0,
      "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0,
      "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null,
      "favourite_hits": 0,
      "favourite_rate": null,
      "price_basis": null,
      "pending": 0,
      "void": 0,
      "recorded_after_kickoff": 0,
      "lines": []
     },
     "eligible": {
      "checked": 1,
      "priced": 0
     },
     "accuracy": null
    }
   ]
  },
  "live_alongside": null,
  "headline_record_ids": [
   "n-ae8c6750c3b9784c6c011f7e",
   "n-c882d70dd36ef8c0b5cde0b1",
   "n-fe7e6fc3767acf4c975ae792"
  ],
  "interval_low": null,
  "interval_high": null,
  "caption": "Recorded before kick-off, at our recorded market price · 100 points per pick · 18 October 2026 · Calculated · picks settled under method v2.2",
  "record_from": "2026-10-17",
  "record_to": "2026-10-18"
 },
 "recorded_picks": [
  {
   "record_id": "n-fe7e6fc3767acf4c975ae792",
   "url": "/sources/trivela-com-br/picks/2/#pick-n-fe7e6fc3767acf4c975ae792",
   "match": "Grêmio v Cruzeiro",
   "match_url": "/football/matches/gremio-vs-cruzeiro-2026-10-18/",
   "kickoff": "2026-10-18T19:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Brasileiro Série A",
   "lead_hours": 27.1,
   "market_code": "both_teams_score",
   "author_said": "Both teams to score: yes",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Won",
   "claim_outcome": "Won",
   "final_score": "2-4",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": 6193,
   "series_code": "market_price",
   "series_short": "odds snapshot",
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": "1.6193",
   "published_at": "2026-10-17T14:00:17.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-17T15:55:39.450Z",
   "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "record_part": "live",
   "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off",
   "in_headline": true,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": {
    "outcome": "yes",
    "price": "1.6193",
    "result": "Won",
    "points_hundredths": 6193,
    "picked_favourite": true
   },
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-fe7e6fc3767acf4c975ae792",
    "quote_text": "Grêmio x Cruzeiro: Gol para ambos os lados",
    "fragment_from": 5184,
    "fragment_to": 5226,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://trivela.com.br/apostas/palpites-de-futebol/palpites-de-amanha-de-futebol/",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": null,
     "authorship": "channel_consensus",
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     "bundle_id": "99b1bf7b3e64280fa71a230e4276ce2a7f8709889f3c87540370612904f83d11",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2026-10-17T14:00:17.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-17T15:55:39.450Z",
    "executed_at": "2026-10-18T13:09:39.969Z",
    "statement_class": "unpriced",
    "status": "recognised",
    "cause": null,
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": "s-de7bdb4dc270",
     "display_name": "Grêmio — Cruzeiro",
     "competition_name": "Brasileiro Série A",
     "starts_at": "2026-10-18T19:00:00.000Z",
     "url": "/football/matches/gremio-vs-cruzeiro-2026-10-18/",
     "scoreline": "2-4",
     "condition": "finished"
    },
    "market_label": "Both teams to score",
    "outcome_label": "yes",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": null,
     "our_snapshot": "1.6193",
     "our_snapshot_at": "2026-10-17T15:57:02.861Z",
     "our_snapshot_source": "market snapshot",
     "closing": null,
     "closing_source": null
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "win",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": 6193,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": "ours",
    "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "recorded_pre_match",
    "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2026-10-17T14:00:17.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "page",
     "source_page_at": "2026-10-17T14:00:17.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-10-17T15:55:39.450Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff",
    "origin_detail": null,
    "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Both teams to score",
     "choice": "yes",
     "author_odds": null,
     "market_key": "both_teams_score",
     "choice_key": "yes",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Both teams to score: yes"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "win",
     "scoreline": "2-4",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "in_words": "Won: the final score was Grêmio 2-4 Cruzeiro."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
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      "series_key": "market_price",
      "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Both teams to score",
      "choice": "yes",
      "decimal_odds": "1.6193",
      "odds_role": "market_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "win",
      "result_words": "Won",
      "change_hundredths": 6193,
      "executed_at": "2026-10-18T13:09:39.969Z",
      "methodology_version": "2.2",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Trivela — Palpites de futebol",
     "publisher": "Trivela — Palpites de futebol",
     "forecaster": "Trivela — Palpites de futebol",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://trivela.com.br/apostas/palpites-de-futebol/palpites-de-amanha-de-futebol/",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "yes (Both teams to score)"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-ae8c6750c3b9784c6c011f7e",
   "url": "/sources/trivela-com-br/picks/2/#pick-n-ae8c6750c3b9784c6c011f7e",
   "match": "Real Madrid v Sevilla",
   "match_url": "/football/matches/real-madrid-vs-sevilla-2026-10-18/",
   "kickoff": "2026-10-18T19:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "LaLiga",
   "lead_hours": 27.1,
   "market_code": "total",
   "author_said": "Over/Under 2.5 goals: over 2.5",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Won",
   "claim_outcome": "Won",
   "final_score": "4-1",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": 4000,
   "series_code": "market_price",
   "series_short": "odds snapshot",
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": "1.4000",
   "published_at": "2026-10-17T14:00:17.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-17T15:55:39.450Z",
   "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "record_part": "live",
   "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off",
   "in_headline": true,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-ae8c6750c3b9784c6c011f7e",
    "quote_text": "Real Madrid x Sevilla: Pelo menos 3 gols na partida",
    "fragment_from": 2473,
    "fragment_to": 2524,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://trivela.com.br/apostas/palpites-de-futebol/palpites-de-amanha-de-futebol/",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": null,
     "authorship": "channel_consensus",
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     "bundle_id": "99b1bf7b3e64280fa71a230e4276ce2a7f8709889f3c87540370612904f83d11",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2026-10-17T14:00:17.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-17T15:55:39.450Z",
    "executed_at": "2026-10-22T12:08:36.354Z",
    "statement_class": "unpriced",
    "status": "recognised",
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    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
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     "display_name": "Real Madrid — Sevilla",
     "competition_name": "LaLiga",
     "starts_at": "2026-10-18T19:00:00.000Z",
     "url": "/football/matches/real-madrid-vs-sevilla-2026-10-18/",
     "scoreline": "4-1",
     "condition": "finished"
    },
    "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
    "outcome_label": "over 2.5",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": null,
     "our_snapshot": "1.4000",
     "our_snapshot_at": "2026-10-17T15:55:36.000Z",
     "our_snapshot_source": "market snapshot",
     "closing": null,
     "closing_source": null
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "win",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": 4000,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": "ours",
    "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "recorded_pre_match",
    "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2026-10-17T14:00:17.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "page",
     "source_page_at": "2026-10-17T14:00:17.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-10-17T15:55:39.450Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff",
    "origin_detail": null,
    "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
     "choice": "over 2.5",
     "author_odds": null,
     "market_key": "total",
     "choice_key": "over",
     "period": "match",
     "line": "2.5",
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Over/Under 2.5 goals: over 2.5"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "win",
     "scoreline": "4-1",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "in_words": "Won: the final score was Real Madrid 4-1 Sevilla."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
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      "series_key": "market_price",
      "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
      "choice": "over 2.5",
      "decimal_odds": "1.4000",
      "odds_role": "market_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "win",
      "result_words": "Won",
      "change_hundredths": 4000,
      "executed_at": "2026-10-22T12:08:36.354Z",
      "methodology_version": "2.2",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Trivela — Palpites de futebol",
     "publisher": "Trivela — Palpites de futebol",
     "forecaster": "Trivela — Palpites de futebol",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://trivela.com.br/apostas/palpites-de-futebol/palpites-de-amanha-de-futebol/",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "over 2.5 (Over/Under 2.5 goals)"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-c882d70dd36ef8c0b5cde0b1",
   "url": "/sources/trivela-com-br/picks/2/#pick-n-c882d70dd36ef8c0b5cde0b1",
   "match": "Lorient v Monaco",
   "match_url": "/football/matches/lorient-vs-monaco-2026-10-18/",
   "kickoff": "2026-10-18T15:15:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Ligue 1",
   "lead_hours": 23.3,
   "market_code": "1x2",
   "author_said": "1X2, match result: Monaco",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Lost",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "1-0",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": -10000,
   "series_code": "market_price",
   "series_short": "odds snapshot",
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": "2.0400",
   "published_at": "2026-10-17T14:00:17.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-17T15:55:39.450Z",
   "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "record_part": "live",
   "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off",
   "in_headline": true,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": {
    "outcome": "2",
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   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-8e063fbe431f29b3c52620f9",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Menos de 2,5 gols na partida\n\n54%\nde chance",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "not_supported",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-09-24T16:27:23.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-18T13:30:52.013Z",
   "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "record_part": "unlinked",
   "record_part_words": "Without a match page",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-55a8ad5c09612db63b549c8f",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Ambas as equipes marcam\n\n58%\nde chance",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "not_supported",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-09-24T16:27:23.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-18T13:30:52.013Z",
   "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "record_part": "unlinked",
   "record_part_words": "Without a match page",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-8e1fd95d49ce828253617786",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Empate no confronto\n\n30%\nde chance",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "not_supported",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-09-24T16:27:23.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-18T13:30:52.013Z",
   "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "record_part": "unlinked",
   "record_part_words": "Without a match page",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  }
 ],
 "lead_time": {
  "contract_version": 1,
  "threshold_hours": 2.0,
  "picks": 9,
  "before_kickoff": 8,
  "after_kickoff": 1,
  "at_least_2h": 8,
  "share_2h_plus": 88.9,
  "median_hours": 25.4,
  "min_hours": 21.1,
  "max_hours": 29.6,
  "words": "Hours between the moment we recorded the pick and kick-off; the share counts picks recorded at least two hours before kick-off."
 },
 "baseline": {
  "contract_version": 1,
  "series_code": "market_price",
  "rule": "recorded-line-1.0",
  "state": "settled",
  "picks": 2,
  "settled_picks_all": 3,
  "excluded": {
   "market_without_favourite": 0,
   "no_recorded_line": 1,
   "favourite_not_settled": 0
  },
  "staked_hundredths": 20000,
  "author_net_hundredths": -3807,
  "favourite_net_hundredths": -3807,
  "difference_hundredths": 0,
  "author_return_percent": -19.04,
  "favourite_return_percent": -19.04,
  "author_hit_rate": 50.0,
  "favourite_hit_rate": 50.0,
  "picked_favourite_share": 100.0,
  "by_market": [
   {
    "market_code": "1x2",
    "picks": 1,
    "staked_hundredths": 10000,
    "author_net_hundredths": -10000,
    "favourite_net_hundredths": -10000,
    "author_hits": 0,
    "favourite_hits": 0,
    "picked_favourite": 1,
    "author_return_percent": -100.0,
    "favourite_return_percent": -100.0
   },
   {
    "market_code": "both_teams_score",
    "picks": 1,
    "staked_hundredths": 10000,
    "author_net_hundredths": 6193,
    "favourite_net_hundredths": 6193,
    "author_hits": 1,
    "favourite_hits": 1,
    "picked_favourite": 1,
    "author_return_percent": 61.93,
    "favourite_return_percent": 61.93
   }
  ],
  "return_over_time": [
   {
    "kickoff": "2026-10-18T15:15:00.000Z",
    "author_cumulative_hundredths": -10000,
    "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -10000
   },
   {
    "kickoff": "2026-10-18T19:00:00.000Z",
    "author_cumulative_hundredths": -3807,
    "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -3807
   }
  ],
  "words": "Same stakes, same matches, same recorded moment: the author’s picks against backing the market favourite by the recorded line. Only markets with a single shortest price count (match result, over/under, both teams to score, handicap); correct score and combined markets are left out."
 },
 "pagination": {
  "per_page": 20,
  "total": 32,
  "pages": 3,
  "page_urls": [
   "/sources/trivela-com-br/",
   "/sources/trivela-com-br/picks/2/",
   "/sources/trivela-com-br/picks/3/"
  ],
  "groups": {
   "settled": 3,
   "pending": 0,
   "excluded": 29
  },
  "continuation": "by_time",
  "page": 1,
  "first": 1,
  "last": 20,
  "author_url": "/sources/trivela-com-br/",
  "current": false
 },
 "title_tag": "Trivela: Football Prediction Record",
 "calculator": null,
 "source_info": {
  "code_name": "trivela-com-br",
  "display_name": "Trivela",
  "type_code": "channel",
  "domains": [
   "trivela.com.br"
  ],
  "owner": null,
  "check": {
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   "source_list": []
  },
  "url": "/sources/trivela-com-br/",
  "products": [
   {
    "code_name": "trivela-palpites-de-futebol",
    "display_name": "Trivela — Palpites de futebol",
    "type_code": "column",
    "url": "/sources/trivela-com-br/",
    "entity_ref": "e-8c626efad002c35bbacc33e9",
    "summary": {
     "statements": 82,
     "predictions": 32,
     "settled_picks": 3,
     "headline_kind": "live_snapshot",
     "return_percent": 0.64,
     "headline_part": "live",
     "period_from": "2026-10-17",
     "period_to": "2026-10-18"
    }
   }
  ],
  "author_list": [],
  "authors_count": 0,
  "auto": true,
  "product": "trivela-palpites-de-futebol",
  "product_page": false
 },
 "data_revision": {
  "data_version": "2026-10-22.4",
  "updated": "2026-10-22",
  "current_release": "2026-11-07.2",
  "data_as_of": "2026-11-07",
  "method_version": "2.2",
  "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
  "series_code": "market_price",
  "sample": {
   "settled_picks": 3,
   "matches": 3,
   "void": 0,
   "period_from": "2026-10-18",
   "period_to": "2026-10-18",
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 "number_changes": [
  {
   "id": "zc-196f21eca79b61390302",
   "at": "2026-10-22T13:04:00.441Z",
   "data_version": "2026-10-22.4",
   "previous_data_version": "2026-10-22.3",
   "url": "/sources/trivela-com-br/",
   "category": "coverage_extended",
   "category_words": "Coverage extended",
   "before": {
    "data_version": "2026-10-19.6",
    "return_percent": "-19.04",
    "settled_picks": 2,
    "matches": 2,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
    "method_version": "2.2",
    "composition_hash": "ac711297070aae303152ca18c5148328b64a067927233cd8e4fcf7ad4170e050",
    "text": "−38.07 points on 2 settled picks across 2 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "after": {
    "data_version": "2026-10-22.4",
    "return_percent": "0.64",
    "settled_picks": 3,
    "matches": 3,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
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    "composition_hash": "0d7212521bc9346a433c2a37e76a0051af6a986cb6c4fc7753dc90b84c83adee",
    "text": "+1.93 points on 3 settled picks across 3 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "reason": "Added 1 earlier pick for matches played before the previous data version (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).",
   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
   "affected_records": {
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    "removed": 0,
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   },
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  },
  {
   "id": "zc-51c740bbe3c27be9eae6",
   "at": "2026-10-19T19:39:27.559Z",
   "data_version": "2026-10-19.6",
   "previous_data_version": "2026-10-19.5",
   "url": "/sources/trivela-com-br/",
   "category": "data_corrected",
   "category_words": "Data corrected",
   "before": {
    "data_version": "2026-10-19.2",
    "return_percent": "-46.02",
    "settled_picks": 3,
    "matches": 3,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
    "method_version": "2.2",
    "composition_hash": "57730602be38be726c28058f93cb3343e2d6687bc0438e5d8f94928d1c6410ea",
    "text": "−138.07 points on 3 settled picks across 3 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "after": {
    "data_version": "2026-10-19.6",
    "return_percent": "-19.04",
    "settled_picks": 2,
    "matches": 2,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
    "method_version": "2.2",
    "composition_hash": "ac711297070aae303152ca18c5148328b64a067927233cd8e4fcf7ad4170e050",
    "text": "−38.07 points on 2 settled picks across 2 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "reason": "Data corrected: 1 pick left the headline sample.",
   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
   "affected_records": {
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    "removed": 1,
    "changed": 0
   },
   "correction_id": "i-53a7e7d68344eb91d21c"
  },
  {
   "id": "zc-8ff939bf5839781fb0d0",
   "at": "2026-10-19T04:51:01.140Z",
   "data_version": "2026-10-19.2",
   "previous_data_version": "2026-10-19.1",
   "url": "/sources/trivela-com-br/",
   "category": "new_results",
   "category_words": "New results",
   "before": {
    "data_version": "2026-10-18.8",
    "return_percent": "-100.00",
    "settled_picks": 2,
    "matches": 2,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
    "method_version": "2.2",
    "composition_hash": "baaec6b9610f9d913a2ef392b60bdc044369757b8d1417d1e602cc665c484561",
    "text": "−200.00 points on 2 settled picks across 2 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "after": {
    "data_version": "2026-10-19.2",
    "return_percent": "-46.02",
    "settled_picks": 3,
    "matches": 3,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
    "method_version": "2.2",
    "composition_hash": "57730602be38be726c28058f93cb3343e2d6687bc0438e5d8f94928d1c6410ea",
    "text": "−138.07 points on 3 settled picks across 3 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "reason": "1 new settled pick from matches played after the previous data version.",
   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
   "affected_records": {
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    "removed": 0,
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   },
   "correction_id": null
  },
  {
   "id": "zc-3f299fd3e6cd70eefa3d",
   "at": "2026-10-18T21:29:31.006Z",
   "data_version": "2026-10-18.8",
   "previous_data_version": "2026-10-18.7",
   "url": "/sources/trivela-com-br/",
   "category": "new_results",
   "category_words": "New results",
   "before": null,
   "after": {
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    "return_percent": "-100.00",
    "settled_picks": 2,
    "matches": 2,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
    "method_version": "2.2",
    "composition_hash": "baaec6b9610f9d913a2ef392b60bdc044369757b8d1417d1e602cc665c484561",
    "text": "−200.00 points on 2 settled picks across 2 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "reason": "First headline number for this record: 2 settled picks in the series “independent odds snapshot”.",
   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
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   },
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 ],
 "counts_by_slice": {
  "portions": [
   {
    "code": "live",
    "title": "Recorded before kick-off",
    "price_rule": "Return at our recorded market price",
    "settled_picks": 3,
    "total_check": true,
    "market_list": [
     {
      "code_name": "both_teams_score",
      "in_words": "Both teams to score",
      "url": null,
      "settled_picks": 1,
      "won": 1,
      "void": 0,
      "net_points_hundredths": 6193,
      "return_percent": "61.9",
      "period_from": "2026-10-18",
      "period_to": "2026-10-18",
      "small_sample": true,
      "average_odds": "1.62",
      "odds_from_author": 0,
      "odds_from_snapshot": 1
     },
     {
      "code_name": "1x2",
      "in_words": "Match result",
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      "settled_picks": 1,
      "won": 0,
      "void": 0,
      "net_points_hundredths": -10000,
      "return_percent": "-100.0",
      "period_from": "2026-10-18",
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      "small_sample": true,
      "average_odds": "2.04",
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     },
     {
      "code_name": "total",
      "in_words": "Over/under goals",
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      "settled_picks": 1,
      "won": 1,
      "void": 0,
      "net_points_hundredths": 4000,
      "return_percent": "40.0",
      "period_from": "2026-10-18",
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      "small_sample": true,
      "average_odds": "1.40",
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     }
    ],
    "leagues": [
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      "in_words": "Brasileiro Série A",
      "url": "/football/competitions/brasileiro-serie-a/",
      "settled_picks": 1,
      "won": 1,
      "void": 0,
      "net_points_hundredths": 6193,
      "return_percent": "61.9",
      "period_from": "2026-10-18",
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      "small_sample": true,
      "average_odds": "1.62",
      "odds_from_author": 0,
      "odds_from_snapshot": 1,
      "league_markets": [
       {
        "code_name": "both_teams_score",
        "in_words": "Both teams to score",
        "settled_picks": 1,
        "won": 1,
        "void": 0,
        "net_points_hundredths": 6193,
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        "period_from": "2026-10-18",
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        "small_sample": true,
        "average_odds": "1.62",
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       }
      ]
     },
     {
      "code_name": "LaLiga",
      "in_words": "LaLiga",
      "url": "/football/competitions/laliga/",
      "settled_picks": 1,
      "won": 1,
      "void": 0,
      "net_points_hundredths": 4000,
      "return_percent": "40.0",
      "period_from": "2026-10-18",
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      "small_sample": true,
      "average_odds": "1.40",
      "odds_from_author": 0,
      "odds_from_snapshot": 1,
      "league_markets": [
       {
        "code_name": "total",
        "in_words": "Over/under goals",
        "settled_picks": 1,
        "won": 1,
        "void": 0,
        "net_points_hundredths": 4000,
        "return_percent": null,
        "period_from": "2026-10-18",
        "period_to": "2026-10-18",
        "small_sample": true,
        "average_odds": "1.40",
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        "odds_from_snapshot": 1
       }
      ]
     },
     {
      "code_name": "Ligue 1",
      "in_words": "Ligue 1",
      "url": "/football/competitions/ligue-1/",
      "settled_picks": 1,
      "won": 0,
      "void": 0,
      "net_points_hundredths": -10000,
      "return_percent": "-100.0",
      "period_from": "2026-10-18",
      "period_to": "2026-10-18",
      "small_sample": true,
      "average_odds": "2.04",
      "odds_from_author": 0,
      "odds_from_snapshot": 1,
      "league_markets": [
       {
        "code_name": "1x2",
        "in_words": "Match result",
        "settled_picks": 1,
        "won": 0,
        "void": 0,
        "net_points_hundredths": -10000,
        "return_percent": null,
        "period_from": "2026-10-18",
        "period_to": "2026-10-18",
        "small_sample": true,
        "average_odds": "2.04",
        "odds_from_author": 0,
        "odds_from_snapshot": 1
       }
      ]
     }
    ],
    "best_slice": null
   }
  ],
  "best_slice": null
 },
 "author_card": {
  "body": "Record tracked by Forecast Record since 17 October 2026 · 32 predictions · last change 18 October 2026",
  "url": "https://forecastrecord.com/sources/trivela-com-br/",
  "s": "2026-10-17",
  "prediction_count": 32,
  "refreshed_at": "2026-10-18",
  "html": "<a href=\"https://forecastrecord.com/sources/trivela-com-br/\">Record tracked by Forecast Record since 17 October 2026 · 32 predictions · last change 18 October 2026</a>"
 },
 "trust": {
  "tier": "probation",
  "in_words": "Probation",
  "settled_count": 8,
  "days": 1,
  "weeks": 1,
  "archive": false,
  "in_review": false,
  "own_page": false,
  "won_count": 5,
  "first_settled_on": "2026-10-18",
  "products_in_level": 1,
  "rule": {
   "tracked": {
    "min_settled": 30,
    "min_days": 30,
    "min_distinct_weeks": 2,
    "no_violations": true
   },
   "established": {
    "min_settled": 100,
    "min_days": 90
   }
  },
  "show": true
 },
 "author_type": "Prediction site",
 "data_changes": {
  "added_later": "8 records added on 17 Oct 2026 found after the match; 1 record added on 18 Oct 2026 found after the match. The current numbers include them; numbers published earlier, including the record before each match, do not change.",
  "records_corrected": 0,
  "last_correction_at": "2026-10-19T19:39:27.559Z",
  "corrections_url": "/corrections/"
 },
 "entity_id": "source:trivela-com-br",
 "source_revision": 78,
 "related": [
  {
   "url": "/cards/e-8c626efad002c35bbacc33e9-bank/",
   "name": "Bankroll card — Trivela — Palpites de futebol",
   "detail": null,
   "source_group": "cards"
  },
  {
   "url": "/cards/e-8c626efad002c35bbacc33e9-month-following/",
   "name": "A month following Trivela — Palpites de futebol",
   "detail": null,
   "source_group": "cards"
  },
  {
   "url": "/cards/e-8c626efad002c35bbacc33e9-said-vs-happened/",
   "name": "Said → happened — Trivela — Palpites de futebol",
   "detail": null,
   "source_group": "cards"
  },
  {
   "url": "/cards/e-8c626efad002c35bbacc33e9-turning-point/",
   "name": "Turning point — Trivela — Palpites de futebol",
   "detail": null,
   "source_group": "cards"
  }
 ],
 "number_sets": [
  {
   "set": "profile.settled",
   "entity": "e-8c626efad002c35bbacc33e9",
   "value": 3,
   "where": "coverage",
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "profile.predictions",
   "entity": "e-8c626efad002c35bbacc33e9",
   "value": 32,
   "where": "coverage",
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
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