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The line now matches the source and" }, "choice_words": "under 3.5 (Over/Under 3.5 goals)" } }, { "record_id": "n-ac15b9af76c7f74bd2424ceb", "url": "/sources/transfermarkt-es/picks/26/#pick-n-ac15b9af76c7f74bd2424ceb", "match": "AS Roma v Real Madrid", "match_url": "/football/matches/as-roma-vs-real-madrid-2026-10-14/", "kickoff": "2026-10-14T19:00:00.000Z", "competition": "UEFA Champions League", "lead_hours": 20.6, "market_code": "1x2", "author_said": "1X2, match result: Real Madrid at 1.94", "quote": null, "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": "Won", "final_score": "3-4", "reason": "graded against the result: right", "reason_code": "not_checked", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-10-11T00:07:44.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-13T22:24:02.519Z", "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "record_part": "live", "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off", 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null, "material_url": "https://www.transfermarkt.es/apuestas/pronosticos-deportivos/as-roma-vs-real-madrid-pronostico-apuestas-14-10-2026/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "yes (Both teams to score)" } }, { "record_id": "n-d0613a866ed6dba615a5eece", "url": "/sources/transfermarkt-es/picks/26/#pick-n-d0613a866ed6dba615a5eece", "match": "AS Roma v Real Madrid", "match_url": "/football/matches/as-roma-vs-real-madrid-2026-10-14/", "kickoff": "2026-10-14T19:00:00.000Z", "competition": "UEFA Champions League", "lead_hours": 20.6, "market_code": "total", "author_said": "Over/Under 5.5 goals: under 5.5", "quote": null, "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": "Lost", "final_score": "3-4", "reason": "graded against the result: wrong", "reason_code": "not_checked", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, 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The line of this over/under market was recorded with a minus sign; a total cannot be negative, and the source gives the line without one. The line now matches the source and the outcome is worked out on it. This pick was never executed, so no number changes.", "version": 2, "url": "/corrections/#c-f1b2048399e9", "text": "Corrected on 14 October 2026: Data corrected: line sign. The line of this over/under market was recorded with a minus sign; a total cannot be negative, and the source gives the line without one. The line now matches the source and" }, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-d0613a866ed6dba615a5eece", "quote_text": "Goles totales\n\nBajo 5,5", "fragment_from": 1528, "fragment_to": 1551, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.transfermarkt.es/apuestas/pronosticos-deportivos/as-roma-vs-real-madrid-pronostico-apuestas-14-10-2026/", "display_name": null, "speaker": null, "authorship": "unknown", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "cb4f2ad0d2659d3ceb9f49aa3d0d24e62de793ffe4bf782b0a3ad30583b8cf4c", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-11T00:07:44.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-13T22:24:02.519Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "unpriced", "status": "ambiguous", "cause": "", "cause_code": "not_checked", "event": { "event_id": "s-5ee031909a68", "display_name": "AS Roma — Real Madrid", "competition_name": "UEFA Champions League", "starts_at": "2026-10-14T19:00:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/as-roma-vs-real-madrid-2026-10-14/", "scoreline": "3-4", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "Over/Under 5.5 goals", "outcome_label": "under 5.5", "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": "loss", "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-11T00:07:44.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-11T00:07:44.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-13T22:24:02.519Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Over/Under 5.5 goals", "choice": "under 5.5", "author_odds": null, "market_key": "total", "choice_key": "under", "period": "match", "line": "5.5", "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Over/Under 5.5 goals: under 5.5" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "loss", "scoreline": "3-4", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Lost: the final score was AS Roma 3-4 Real Madrid." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "ebaaf6595c48e2cf63ce6b309139bdad424e8f36d34d84408d0ffad8dc0bf1f7", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Over/Under 5.5 goals", "choice": "under 5.5", "decimal_odds": null, "odds_role": null, "stake_hundredths": null, "status": "skipped", "status_text": "Not executed: ", "result": null, "result_words": null, "change_hundredths": null, "executed_at": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [ { "at": "2026-10-14T02:01:16.163Z", "field_name": "line sign", "was": "Over/Under −5.5 goals · under −5.5", "now": "Over/Under 5.5 goals · under 5.5", "cause": "Data corrected: line sign. The line of this over/under market was recorded with a minus sign; a total cannot be negative, and the source gives the line without one. The line now matches the source and the outcome is worked out on it. This pick was never executed, so no number changes." } ], "funnel_stage": "prediction", "authorship": { "material_author": "Pedro Bosque", "publisher": "transfermarkt.es", "forecaster": "Pedro Bosque", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.transfermarkt.es/apuestas/pronosticos-deportivos/as-roma-vs-real-madrid-pronostico-apuestas-14-10-2026/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": { "at": "2026-10-14T02:01:16.163Z", "field": "line sign", "reason": "Data corrected: line sign. The line of this over/under market was recorded with a minus sign; a total cannot be negative, and the source gives the line without one. The line now matches the source and the outcome is worked out on it. This pick was never executed, so no number changes.", "version": 2, "url": "/corrections/#c-f1b2048399e9", "text": "Corrected on 14 October 2026: Data corrected: line sign. The line of this over/under market was recorded with a minus sign; a total cannot be negative, and the source gives the line without one. The line now matches the source and" }, "choice_words": "under 5.5 (Over/Under 5.5 goals)" } }, { "record_id": "n-107d3cbb29689585961b44ca", "url": "/sources/transfermarkt-es/picks/26/#pick-n-107d3cbb29689585961b44ca", "match": "Everton v Chelsea", "match_url": "/football/matches/everton-vs-chelsea-2026-10-17/", "kickoff": "2026-10-17T11:30:00.000Z", "competition": "Premier League", "lead_hours": 83.1, "market_code": "double_chance", "author_said": "Double chance: Everton or draw", "quote": null, "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": "Lost", "final_score": "0-2", "reason": "graded against the result: wrong", "reason_code": "not_checked", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-10-14T00:07:29.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-14T00:24:13.040Z", "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "record_part": "live", "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off", 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"market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Nuestro pronóstico de apuestas para el Everton FC vs Chelsea FC sugiere una victoria visitante para Chelsea.", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "ambiguous", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-10-14T00:07:29.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-14T00:24:13.040Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-6ab3cbd4a9a0438f3e9377c3", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Además, creemos que ambos equipos marcarán.", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "ambiguous", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-10-14T00:07:29.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-14T00:24:13.040Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-6b430748df0e72dda973b65e", "url": "/sources/transfermarkt-es/picks/26/#pick-n-6b430748df0e72dda973b65e", "match": "Everton v Chelsea", "match_url": "/football/matches/everton-vs-chelsea-2026-10-17/", "kickoff": "2026-10-17T11:30:00.000Z", "competition": "Premier League", 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null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": "loss", "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-14T00:07:29.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-10-14T00:07:29.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-14T00:24:13.040Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Over/Under 3.5 goals", "choice": "over 3.5", "author_odds": null, "market_key": "total", "choice_key": "over", "period": "match", "line": "3.5", "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Over/Under 3.5 goals: over 3.5" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "loss", "scoreline": "0-2", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Lost: the final score was Everton 0-2 Chelsea." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "6629d748cc1dcf875f5da8a4fa8712fc2e15b39c66e1c6fb21cd567f087aac17", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Over/Under 3.5 goals", "choice": "over 3.5", "decimal_odds": null, "odds_role": null, "stake_hundredths": null, "status": "skipped", "status_text": "Not executed: ", "result": null, "result_words": null, "change_hundredths": null, "executed_at": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "prediction", "authorship": { "material_author": "Pedro Bosque", "publisher": "transfermarkt.es", "forecaster": "Pedro Bosque", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.transfermarkt.es/apuestas/pronosticos-deportivos/everton-fc-vs-chelsea-fc-pronostico-apuestas-17-10-2026/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "over 3.5 (Over/Under 3.5 goals)" } }, { "record_id": "n-add9a2bfd3dbb198bbbe8923", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Goles totales\n\nMás 2,5", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "ambiguous", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-10-14T00:07:29.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-14T00:24:13.040Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-31e9b8a640fc5ff4ce13718d", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Además, recomendamos el mercado \"ambos equipos anotan: Sí\" con una cuota de 1.40 en Versus.", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-10-11T00:07:41.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-14T00:24:13.405Z", "origin": 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