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FC Köln v Borussia M'gladbach", "match_url": "/football/matches/1-fc-koln-vs-borussia-m-gladbach-2026-10-11/", "kickoff": "2026-10-11T13:30:00.000Z", "competition": "Bundesliga", "lead_hours": 11.6, "market_code": "total", "author_said": "Over/Under 2.5 goals: over 2.5", "quote": null, "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": "Won", "final_score": "2-1", "reason": "graded against the result: right", "reason_code": "not_checked", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-10-08T00:19:38.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-11T01:54:12.574Z", "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "record_part": "live", "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-b856222c0babd9db1c7a15b2", "quote_text": "Goles totales\n\nMás 2,5\n\nSe han marcado más de 2,5 goles en 3 de los últimos 4 partidos del 1. 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The line now matches the source and" }, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-54b8463bfb67ec5e71e83fd1", "quote_text": "Goles totales\n\nBajo 3,5", "fragment_from": 1497, "fragment_to": 1520, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://web.archive.org/web/20251002163632id_/https://www.transfermarkt.es/apuestas/pronosticos-deportivos/as-roma-vs-osc-lille-pronostico-apuestas-02-10-2025/", "display_name": null, "speaker": null, "authorship": "unknown", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "e766e0d5286af4d79bb9ed519a437de51207b2f3cce87abb81173655243e5edb", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2025-09-29T00:09:20.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-11T01:55:01.653Z", "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:24:15.180Z", "statement_class": "unpriced", "status": "too_late", "cause": "counted in the restored-history series", "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": null, "display_name": "AS Roma v Lille", "competition_name": "UEFA Europa League", "starts_at": "2025-10-02T16:45:00.000Z", "url": null, "scoreline": "0-1" }, "market_label": "Over/Under 3.5 goals", "outcome_label": "under 3.5", "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": "1.3700", "closing_source": "last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)" }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "win", "simulation_change_hundredths": 3700, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": "ours", "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "found_post_match", "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2025-09-29T00:09:20.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2025-09-29T00:09:20.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-11T01:55:01.653Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "found_after_match", "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Over/Under 3.5 goals", "choice": "under 3.5", "author_odds": null, "market_key": "total", "choice_key": "under", "period": "match", "line": "3.5", "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Over/Under 3.5 goals: under 3.5" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "win", "scoreline": "0-1", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "retro-1.1", "in_words": "Won: the final score was AS Roma 0-1 Lille." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "2fff1b9b92f75922bbcebfb324d1b15ae1f73463353105363879ce5d3b99167f", "series_key": "retro_market_closing_sm", "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Over/Under 3.5 goals", "choice": "under 3.5", "decimal_odds": "1.3700", "odds_role": "closing_odds", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 3700, "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:24:15.180Z", "methodology_version": "retro-1.1", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [ { "at": "2026-10-14T02:01:12.616Z", "field_name": "line sign", "was": "Over/Under −3.5 goals · under −3.5", "now": "Over/Under 3.5 goals · under 3.5", "cause": "Data corrected: line sign. 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This pick was never executed, so no number changes." } ], "funnel_stage": "settled_pick", "authorship": { "material_author": "Pedro Bosque", "publisher": "transfermarkt.es", "forecaster": "Pedro Bosque", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.transfermarkt.es/apuestas/pronosticos-deportivos/as-roma-vs-osc-lille-pronostico-apuestas-02-10-2025/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": { "at": "2026-10-14T02:01:12.616Z", "field": "line sign", "reason": "Data corrected: line sign. The line of this over/under market was recorded with a minus sign; a total cannot be negative, and the source gives the line without one. The line now matches the source and the outcome is worked out on it. This pick was never executed, so no number changes.", "version": 2, "url": "/corrections/#c-f1b2048399e9", "text": "Corrected on 14 October 2026: Data corrected: line sign. The line of this over/under market was recorded with a minus sign; a total cannot be negative, and the source gives the line without one. The line now matches the source and" }, "choice_words": "under 3.5 (Over/Under 3.5 goals)" } }, { "record_id": "n-6ad44551b25c2a6b118e4170", "url": "/sources/transfermarkt-es/picks/18/#pick-n-6ad44551b25c2a6b118e4170", "match": "AS Roma v Lille", "match_url": null, "kickoff": "2025-10-02T16:45:00.000Z", "competition": "UEFA Europa League", "lead_hours": -8961.2, "market_code": "total", "author_said": "Over/Under 4.5 goals: under 4.5", "quote": null, "group": "settled", "outcome": "Won", "claim_outcome": "Won", "final_score": "0-1", "reason": null, "reason_code": null, "points_hundredths": 1350, "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm", "series_short": "last pre-match archive price, restored", "author_price": null, "settled_price": "1.1350", "published_at": "2025-09-29T00:09:20.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-11T01:55:01.653Z", "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source", "record_part": "found_after", "record_part_words": "Found after the match", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": { "at": "2026-10-14T02:01:12.630Z", "field": "line sign", "reason": "Data corrected: line sign. 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The line now matches the source and the outcome is worked out on it. This pick was never executed, so no number changes.", "version": 2, "url": "/corrections/#c-f1b2048399e9", "text": "Corrected on 14 October 2026: Data corrected: line sign. The line of this over/under market was recorded with a minus sign; a total cannot be negative, and the source gives the line without one. 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