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 "heading": "Transfermarkt.es — Pronósticos deportivos — football predictions, page 12 of 133",
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  "body": "Page 12 of 133 of the predictions by Transfermarkt.es — Pronósticos deportivos recorded by Forecast Record: predictions 201–220 of 2,623 in the order we recorded them, earliest first; as of 7 November 2026. Each row links to its evidence, and the summary of the record is on the profile page.",
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  {
   "record_id": "n-d56e2338d93b05dc3bc78f0e",
   "url": null,
   "match": "FC Barcelona v Olympiakos Piraeus",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2025-10-21T16:45:00.000Z",
   "competition": "UEFA Champions League",
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   "author_said": "Both teams to score: no",
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   "settled_price": "2.0500",
   "published_at": "2025-10-18T00:08:09.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-10T01:40:50.603Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
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   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
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  {
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   "url": "/sources/transfermarkt-es/picks/12/#pick-n-1d0389da7579106899e9aa43",
   "match": "Villarreal v Manchester City",
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   "kickoff": "2025-10-21T19:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "UEFA Champions League",
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   "author_said": "Over/Under 4.5 goals: under 4.5",
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   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Won",
   "claim_outcome": "Won",
   "final_score": "0-2",
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   "points_hundredths": 2000,
   "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
   "series_short": "last pre-match archive price, restored",
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   "settled_price": "1.2000",
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   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
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    "version": 2,
    "url": "/corrections/#c-f1b2048399e9",
    "text": "Corrected on 14 October 2026: Data corrected: line sign. The line of this over/under market was recorded with a minus sign; a total cannot be negative, and the source gives the line without one. The line now matches the source and"
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     "display_name": "Villarreal v Manchester City",
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     "scoreline": "0-2"
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    "market_label": "Over/Under 4.5 goals",
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    "origin_detail": "found_after_match",
    "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
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    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Over/Under 4.5 goals",
     "choice": "under 4.5",
     "author_odds": null,
     "market_key": "total",
     "choice_key": "under",
     "period": "match",
     "line": "4.5",
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     "in_words": "Over/Under 4.5 goals: under 4.5"
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    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "win",
     "scoreline": "0-2",
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     "methodology_version": "retro-1.1",
     "in_words": "Won: the final score was Villarreal 0-2 Manchester City."
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      "choice": "under 4.5",
      "decimal_odds": "1.2000",
      "odds_role": "closing_odds",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
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      "result": "win",
      "result_words": "Won",
      "change_hundredths": 2000,
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      "field_name": "line sign",
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      "cause": "Data corrected: line sign. The line of this over/under market was recorded with a minus sign; a total cannot be negative, and the source gives the line without one. The line now matches the source and the outcome is worked out on it. This pick was never executed, so no number changes."
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    "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Pedro Bosque",
     "publisher": "transfermarkt.es",
     "forecaster": "Pedro Bosque",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
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     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://www.transfermarkt.es/apuestas/pronosticos-deportivos/villarreal-cf-vs-manchester-city-pronostico-apuestas-21-10-2025/",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
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    "correction": {
     "at": "2026-10-14T02:01:07.096Z",
     "field": "line sign",
     "reason": "Data corrected: line sign. The line of this over/under market was recorded with a minus sign; a total cannot be negative, and the source gives the line without one. The line now matches the source and the outcome is worked out on it. This pick was never executed, so no number changes.",
     "version": 2,
     "url": "/corrections/#c-f1b2048399e9",
     "text": "Corrected on 14 October 2026: Data corrected: line sign. The line of this over/under market was recorded with a minus sign; a total cannot be negative, and the source gives the line without one. The line now matches the source and"
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    "choice_words": "under 4.5 (Over/Under 4.5 goals)"
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   "match": "Villarreal v Manchester City",
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   "kickoff": "2025-10-21T19:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "UEFA Champions League",
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   "author_said": "1X2, match result: Manchester City at 1.78",
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     "market_key": "1x2",
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     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "1X2, match result: Manchester City at 1.78"
    },
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     "result": "unknown",
     "scoreline": null,
     "data_status": "unknown",
     "cause": "awaiting a final score for this restored pick",
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "in_words": "Pending: awaiting a final score for this restored pick."
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      "choice": "Manchester City",
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      "status": "skipped",
      "status_text": "Not executed: ",
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      "result_words": "Pending",
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    "funnel_stage": "prediction",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Pedro Bosque",
     "publisher": "transfermarkt.es",
     "forecaster": "Pedro Bosque",
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     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
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     "material_url": "https://www.transfermarkt.es/apuestas/pronosticos-deportivos/villarreal-cf-vs-manchester-city-pronostico-apuestas-21-10-2025/",
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    "choice_words": "Manchester City to win"
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   "match": "Villarreal v Manchester City",
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   "kickoff": "2025-10-21T19:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "UEFA Champions League",
   "lead_hours": -8478.7,
   "market_code": "double_chance",
   "author_said": "Double chance: Villarreal or draw",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "excluded",
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   "reason": "counted in the restored-history series",
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  },
  {
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   "match": "Villarreal v Manchester City",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2025-10-21T19:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "UEFA Champions League",
   "lead_hours": -8478.7,
   "market_code": "both_teams_score",
   "author_said": "Both teams to score: yes",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
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   "reason": "counted in the restored-history series",
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   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
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  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-eef8ecd34dc4ac90f6b85853",
   "url": "/sources/transfermarkt-es/picks/12/#pick-n-eef8ecd34dc4ac90f6b85853",
   "match": "Villarreal v Manchester City",
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   "kickoff": "2025-10-21T19:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "UEFA Champions League",
   "lead_hours": -8478.7,
   "market_code": "total",
   "author_said": "Over/Under 3.5 goals: under 3.5",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Won",
   "claim_outcome": "Won",
   "final_score": "0-2",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": 5400,
   "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
   "series_short": "last pre-match archive price, restored",
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": "1.5400",
   "published_at": "2025-10-18T00:08:24.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-10T01:42:10.809Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": {
    "at": "2026-10-14T02:01:07.144Z",
    "field": "line sign",
    "reason": "Data corrected: line sign. The line of this over/under market was recorded with a minus sign; a total cannot be negative, and the source gives the line without one. The line now matches the source and the outcome is worked out on it. This pick was never executed, so no number changes.",
    "version": 2,
    "url": "/corrections/#c-f1b2048399e9",
    "text": "Corrected on 14 October 2026: Data corrected: line sign. The line of this over/under market was recorded with a minus sign; a total cannot be negative, and the source gives the line without one. The line now matches the source and"
   },
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-eef8ecd34dc4ac90f6b85853",
    "quote_text": "Goles totales\n\nBajo 3,5",
    "fragment_from": 1852,
    "fragment_to": 1875,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://web.archive.org/web/20251020044208id_/https://www.transfermarkt.es/apuestas/pronosticos-deportivos/villarreal-cf-vs-manchester-city-pronostico-apuestas-21-10-2025/",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": null,
     "authorship": "unknown",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "ff05113709063381758d99639162a7754fdb226ad9cfbf8ac8aedbe330ec7573",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2025-10-18T00:08:24.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-10T01:42:10.809Z",
    "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:23:55.057Z",
    "statement_class": "unpriced",
    "status": "too_late",
    "cause": "counted in the restored-history series",
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": null,
     "display_name": "Villarreal v Manchester City",
     "competition_name": "UEFA Champions League",
     "starts_at": "2025-10-21T19:00:00.000Z",
     "url": null,
     "scoreline": "0-2"
    },
    "market_label": "Over/Under 3.5 goals",
    "outcome_label": "under 3.5",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": null,
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": "1.5400",
     "closing_source": "last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)"
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "win",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": 5400,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": "ours",
    "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "found_post_match",
    "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2025-10-18T00:08:24.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "page",
     "source_page_at": "2025-10-18T00:08:24.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-10-10T01:42:10.809Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "source_stated_date",
    "origin_detail": "found_after_match",
    "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Over/Under 3.5 goals",
     "choice": "under 3.5",
     "author_odds": null,
     "market_key": "total",
     "choice_key": "under",
     "period": "match",
     "line": "3.5",
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Over/Under 3.5 goals: under 3.5"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "win",
     "scoreline": "0-2",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "retro-1.1",
     "in_words": "Won: the final score was Villarreal 0-2 Manchester City."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "393a10f313cac3773e9b3ceb1213b61ffc44eb5e5662bc455be0337e3ad720af",
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      "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Over/Under 3.5 goals",
      "choice": "under 3.5",
      "decimal_odds": "1.5400",
      "odds_role": "closing_odds",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "win",
      "result_words": "Won",
      "change_hundredths": 5400,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:23:55.057Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.1",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [
     {
      "at": "2026-10-14T02:01:07.144Z",
      "field_name": "line sign",
      "was": "Over/Under −3.5 goals · under −3.5",
      "now": "Over/Under 3.5 goals · under 3.5",
      "cause": "Data corrected: line sign. The line of this over/under market was recorded with a minus sign; a total cannot be negative, and the source gives the line without one. The line now matches the source and the outcome is worked out on it. This pick was never executed, so no number changes."
     }
    ],
    "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Pedro Bosque",
     "publisher": "transfermarkt.es",
     "forecaster": "Pedro Bosque",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://www.transfermarkt.es/apuestas/pronosticos-deportivos/villarreal-cf-vs-manchester-city-pronostico-apuestas-21-10-2025/",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": {
     "at": "2026-10-14T02:01:07.144Z",
     "field": "line sign",
     "reason": "Data corrected: line sign. The line of this over/under market was recorded with a minus sign; a total cannot be negative, and the source gives the line without one. The line now matches the source and the outcome is worked out on it. This pick was never executed, so no number changes.",
     "version": 2,
     "url": "/corrections/#c-f1b2048399e9",
     "text": "Corrected on 14 October 2026: Data corrected: line sign. The line of this over/under market was recorded with a minus sign; a total cannot be negative, and the source gives the line without one. The line now matches the source and"
    },
    "choice_words": "under 3.5 (Over/Under 3.5 goals)"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-145c203daa2fb77e2475e1a2",
   "url": "/sources/transfermarkt-es/picks/12/#pick-n-145c203daa2fb77e2475e1a2",
   "match": "Arsenal v West Ham United",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2025-10-04T14:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Premier League",
   "lead_hours": -8891.7,
   "market_code": "total",
   "author_said": "Over/Under 3.5 goals: under 3.5",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Won",
   "claim_outcome": "Won",
   "final_score": "2-0",
   "reason": null,
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   "points_hundredths": 8050,
   "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
   "series_short": "last pre-match archive price, restored",
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": "1.8050",
   "published_at": "2025-10-01T00:17:34.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-10T01:43:25.601Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
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   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": {
    "at": "2026-10-14T02:01:06.389Z",
    "field": "line sign",
    "reason": "Data corrected: line sign. The line of this over/under market was recorded with a minus sign; a total cannot be negative, and the source gives the line without one. The line now matches the source and the outcome is worked out on it. This pick was never executed, so no number changes.",
    "version": 2,
    "url": "/corrections/#c-f1b2048399e9",
    "text": "Corrected on 14 October 2026: Data corrected: line sign. The line of this over/under market was recorded with a minus sign; a total cannot be negative, and the source gives the line without one. The line now matches the source and"
   },
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-145c203daa2fb77e2475e1a2",
    "quote_text": "Goles totales\n\nBajo 3,5\n\nSe han marcado menos de 3,5 goles en 7 de los últimos 7 partidos del Arsenal FC.\n\nSe han marcado menos de 3,5 goles en 3 de los últimos 3 partidos del West Ham United.",
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    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://web.archive.org/web/20251002183658id_/https://www.transfermarkt.es/apuestas/pronosticos-deportivos/arsenal-fc-vs-west-ham-united-pronostico-apuestas-04-10-2025/",
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     "speaker": null,
     "authorship": "unknown",
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    },
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    "statement_class": "unpriced",
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    "cause": "counted in the restored-history series",
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     "display_name": "Arsenal v West Ham United",
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     "starts_at": "2025-10-04T14:00:00.000Z",
     "url": null,
     "scoreline": "2-0"
    },
    "market_label": "Over/Under 3.5 goals",
    "outcome_label": "under 3.5",
    "odds_set": {
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     "closing": "1.7845",
     "closing_source": "aggregator closing price"
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
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    "executed_by": "ours",
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    "withdrawn": false,
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    "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
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     "fragment_basis": "page",
     "source_page_at": "2025-10-01T00:17:34.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-10-10T01:43:25.601Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "source_stated_date",
    "origin_detail": "found_after_match",
    "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Over/Under 3.5 goals",
     "choice": "under 3.5",
     "author_odds": null,
     "market_key": "total",
     "choice_key": "under",
     "period": "match",
     "line": "3.5",
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Over/Under 3.5 goals: under 3.5"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "win",
     "scoreline": "2-0",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
     "in_words": "Won: the final score was Arsenal 2-0 West Ham United."
    },
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      "series_label": "Restored, at the closing market price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Over/Under 3.5 goals",
      "choice": "under 3.5",
      "decimal_odds": "1.7845",
      "odds_role": "closing_odds",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
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      "result_words": "Won",
      "change_hundredths": 7845,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:23:54.945Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
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     },
     {
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      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Over/Under 3.5 goals",
      "choice": "under 3.5",
      "decimal_odds": "1.8050",
      "odds_role": "closing_odds",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "win",
      "result_words": "Won",
      "change_hundredths": 8050,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:23:54.950Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.1",
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     }
    ],
    "corrections": [
     {
      "at": "2026-10-14T02:01:06.389Z",
      "field_name": "line sign",
      "was": "Over/Under −3.5 goals · under −3.5",
      "now": "Over/Under 3.5 goals · under 3.5",
      "cause": "Data corrected: line sign. The line of this over/under market was recorded with a minus sign; a total cannot be negative, and the source gives the line without one. The line now matches the source and the outcome is worked out on it. This pick was never executed, so no number changes."
     }
    ],
    "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Pedro Bosque",
     "publisher": "transfermarkt.es",
     "forecaster": "Pedro Bosque",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://www.transfermarkt.es/apuestas/pronosticos-deportivos/arsenal-fc-vs-west-ham-united-pronostico-apuestas-04-10-2025/",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": {
     "at": "2026-10-14T02:01:06.389Z",
     "field": "line sign",
     "reason": "Data corrected: line sign. The line of this over/under market was recorded with a minus sign; a total cannot be negative, and the source gives the line without one. The line now matches the source and the outcome is worked out on it. This pick was never executed, so no number changes.",
     "version": 2,
     "url": "/corrections/#c-f1b2048399e9",
     "text": "Corrected on 14 October 2026: Data corrected: line sign. The line of this over/under market was recorded with a minus sign; a total cannot be negative, and the source gives the line without one. The line now matches the source and"
    },
    "choice_words": "under 3.5 (Over/Under 3.5 goals)"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-9f8af2d13fa6e0181898176d",
   "url": "/sources/transfermarkt-es/picks/12/#pick-n-9f8af2d13fa6e0181898176d",
   "match": "Arsenal v West Ham United",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2025-10-04T14:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Premier League",
   "lead_hours": -8891.7,
   "market_code": "1x2",
   "author_said": "1X2, match result: Arsenal at 1.26",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Won",
   "claim_outcome": "Won",
   "final_score": "2-0",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": 1800,
   "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
   "series_short": "last pre-match archive price, restored",
   "author_price": "1.26",
   "settled_price": "1.1800",
   "published_at": "2025-10-01T00:17:34.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-10T01:43:25.601Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
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   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-9f8af2d13fa6e0181898176d",
    "quote_text": "Nuestro pronóstico del partido es una victoria para el Arsenal FC en el mercado 1X2, con una cuota de 1.26 en Luckia.",
    "fragment_from": 793,
    "fragment_to": 910,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://web.archive.org/web/20251002183658id_/https://www.transfermarkt.es/apuestas/pronosticos-deportivos/arsenal-fc-vs-west-ham-united-pronostico-apuestas-04-10-2025/",
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     "material_removed": false
    },
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    "detected_at": "2026-10-10T01:43:25.601Z",
    "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:23:54.923Z",
    "statement_class": "priced",
    "status": "too_late",
    "cause": "counted in the restored-history series",
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
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     "display_name": "Arsenal v West Ham United",
     "competition_name": "Premier League",
     "starts_at": "2025-10-04T14:00:00.000Z",
     "url": null,
     "scoreline": "2-0"
    },
    "market_label": "1X2, match result",
    "outcome_label": "Arsenal",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": "1.26",
     "our_snapshot": null,
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     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": "1.1739",
     "closing_source": "aggregator closing price"
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "win",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": 1739,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": "ours",
    "series_label": "Restored, at the closing market price",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "found_post_match",
    "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2025-10-01T00:17:34.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "page",
     "source_page_at": "2025-10-01T00:17:34.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-10-10T01:43:25.601Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "source_stated_date",
    "origin_detail": "found_after_match",
    "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "1X2, match result",
     "choice": "Arsenal",
     "author_odds": "1.26",
     "market_key": "1x2",
     "choice_key": "1",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "1X2, match result: Arsenal at 1.26"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "win",
     "scoreline": "2-0",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
     "in_words": "Won: the final score was Arsenal 2-0 West Ham United."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
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      "series_key": "retro_author_price",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the author's stated price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "1X2, match result",
      "choice": "Arsenal",
      "decimal_odds": "1.26",
      "odds_role": "author_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "win",
      "result_words": "Won",
      "change_hundredths": 2600,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:23:54.915Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     },
     {
      "operation_id": "d8479d1ce5a9600c882aefbea3493bdb154e1f70568d6f3d013f835ed6ad9c37",
      "series_key": "retro_market_closing",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the closing market price",
      "derived": false,
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      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "1X2, match result",
      "choice": "Arsenal",
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     {
      "operation_id": "8a851c7aa14345ecad906ccaed2a4a0cf8ec58b677841d1d076096c1585d789a",
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      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "1X2, match result",
      "choice": "Arsenal",
      "decimal_odds": "1.1800",
      "odds_role": "closing_odds",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "win",
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      "change_hundredths": 1800,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:23:54.929Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.1",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Pedro Bosque",
     "publisher": "transfermarkt.es",
     "forecaster": "Pedro Bosque",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://www.transfermarkt.es/apuestas/pronosticos-deportivos/arsenal-fc-vs-west-ham-united-pronostico-apuestas-04-10-2025/",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
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    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "Arsenal to win"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-af1361242d58294a0b3960eb",
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   "match": "Arsenal v West Ham United",
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   "kickoff": "2025-10-04T14:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Premier League",
   "lead_hours": -8891.7,
   "market_code": "both_teams_score",
   "author_said": "Both teams to score: no",
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   "group": "settled",
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   "claim_outcome": "Won",
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   "points_hundredths": 7800,
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   "series_short": "last pre-match archive price, restored",
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   "settled_price": "1.7800",
   "published_at": "2025-10-01T00:17:34.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-10T01:43:25.601Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
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   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-af1361242d58294a0b3960eb",
    "quote_text": "Además, sugerimos que ambos equipos no anotarán, basándonos en el reciente desempeño defensivo del Arsenal y la falta de contundencia ofensiva de West Ham.",
    "fragment_from": 911,
    "fragment_to": 1066,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
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     "url": "https://web.archive.org/web/20251002183658id_/https://www.transfermarkt.es/apuestas/pronosticos-deportivos/arsenal-fc-vs-west-ham-united-pronostico-apuestas-04-10-2025/",
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     "scoreline": "2-0"
    },
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     "closing": "1.6641",
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    "result": "win",
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    "executed_by": "ours",
    "series_label": "Restored, at the closing market price",
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    "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
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     "fragment_basis": "page",
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     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
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    "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
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     "market_label": "Both teams to score",
     "choice": "no",
     "author_odds": null,
     "market_key": "both_teams_score",
     "choice_key": "no",
     "period": "match",
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     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Both teams to score: no"
    },
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     "scoreline": "2-0",
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     "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
     "in_words": "Won: the final score was Arsenal 2-0 West Ham United."
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      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Both teams to score",
      "choice": "no",
      "decimal_odds": "1.7800",
      "odds_role": "closing_odds",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
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    "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Pedro Bosque",
     "publisher": "transfermarkt.es",
     "forecaster": "Pedro Bosque",
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     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://www.transfermarkt.es/apuestas/pronosticos-deportivos/arsenal-fc-vs-west-ham-united-pronostico-apuestas-04-10-2025/",
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    "choice_words": "no (Both teams to score)"
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  {
   "record_id": "n-c9393899ebf314e650b2f396",
   "url": "/sources/transfermarkt-es/picks/12/#pick-n-c9393899ebf314e650b2f396",
   "match": "Arsenal v West Ham United",
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   "kickoff": "2025-10-04T14:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Premier League",
   "lead_hours": -8891.7,
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   "author_said": "Over/Under 2.5 goals: under 2.5",
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   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Won",
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   "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
   "series_short": "last pre-match archive price, restored",
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": "2.8650",
   "published_at": "2025-10-01T00:17:34.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-10T01:43:25.601Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
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   "attribution": null,
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   "correction": {
    "at": "2026-10-14T02:01:06.440Z",
    "field": "line sign",
    "reason": "Data corrected: line sign. The line of this over/under market was recorded with a minus sign; a total cannot be negative, and the source gives the line without one. The line now matches the source and the outcome is worked out on it. This pick was never executed, so no number changes.",
    "version": 2,
    "url": "/corrections/#c-f1b2048399e9",
    "text": "Corrected on 14 October 2026: Data corrected: line sign. The line of this over/under market was recorded with a minus sign; a total cannot be negative, and the source gives the line without one. The line now matches the source and"
   },
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-c9393899ebf314e650b2f396",
    "quote_text": "Goles totales\n\nBajo 2,5\n\nSe han marcado menos de 2,5 goles en 5 de los últimos 7 partidos del Arsenal FC.\n\nSe han marcado menos de 2,5 goles en 1 de los últimos 3 partidos del West Ham United.",
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    "source_info": {
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    "outcome_label": "under 2.5",
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     "closing": "2.8650",
     "closing_source": "last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)"
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    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
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    "executed_by": "ours",
    "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
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     "fragment_basis": "page",
     "source_page_at": "2025-10-01T00:17:34.000Z",
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     "flags": [],
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     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "source_stated_date",
    "origin_detail": "found_after_match",
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    "added_on": null,
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    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
     "choice": "under 2.5",
     "author_odds": null,
     "market_key": "total",
     "choice_key": "under",
     "period": "match",
     "line": "2.5",
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Over/Under 2.5 goals: under 2.5"
    },
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     "result": "win",
     "scoreline": "2-0",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "retro-1.1",
     "in_words": "Won: the final score was Arsenal 2-0 West Ham United."
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      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
      "choice": "under 2.5",
      "decimal_odds": "2.8650",
      "odds_role": "closing_odds",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
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      "methodology_version": "retro-1.1",
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    ],
    "corrections": [
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      "at": "2026-10-14T02:01:06.440Z",
      "field_name": "line sign",
      "was": "Over/Under −2.5 goals · under −2.5",
      "now": "Over/Under 2.5 goals · under 2.5",
      "cause": "Data corrected: line sign. The line of this over/under market was recorded with a minus sign; a total cannot be negative, and the source gives the line without one. The line now matches the source and the outcome is worked out on it. This pick was never executed, so no number changes."
     }
    ],
    "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Pedro Bosque",
     "publisher": "transfermarkt.es",
     "forecaster": "Pedro Bosque",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://www.transfermarkt.es/apuestas/pronosticos-deportivos/arsenal-fc-vs-west-ham-united-pronostico-apuestas-04-10-2025/",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
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    },
    "correction": {
     "at": "2026-10-14T02:01:06.440Z",
     "field": "line sign",
     "reason": "Data corrected: line sign. The line of this over/under market was recorded with a minus sign; a total cannot be negative, and the source gives the line without one. The line now matches the source and the outcome is worked out on it. This pick was never executed, so no number changes.",
     "version": 2,
     "url": "/corrections/#c-f1b2048399e9",
     "text": "Corrected on 14 October 2026: Data corrected: line sign. The line of this over/under market was recorded with a minus sign; a total cannot be negative, and the source gives the line without one. The line now matches the source and"
    },
    "choice_words": "under 2.5 (Over/Under 2.5 goals)"
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  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-e987927ec1bf1c2cfc3b4a78",
   "url": "/sources/transfermarkt-es/picks/12/#pick-n-e987927ec1bf1c2cfc3b4a78",
   "match": "Arsenal v West Ham United",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2025-10-04T14:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Premier League",
   "lead_hours": -8891.7,
   "market_code": "total",
   "author_said": "Over/Under 4.5 goals: under 4.5",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Won",
   "claim_outcome": "Won",
   "final_score": "2-0",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": 3000,
   "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
   "series_short": "last pre-match archive price, restored",
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": "1.3000",
   "published_at": "2025-10-01T00:17:34.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-10T01:43:25.601Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": {
    "at": "2026-10-14T02:01:06.495Z",
    "field": "line sign",
    "reason": "Data corrected: line sign. The line of this over/under market was recorded with a minus sign; a total cannot be negative, and the source gives the line without one. The line now matches the source and the outcome is worked out on it. This pick was never executed, so no number changes.",
    "version": 2,
    "url": "/corrections/#c-f1b2048399e9",
    "text": "Corrected on 14 October 2026: Data corrected: line sign. The line of this over/under market was recorded with a minus sign; a total cannot be negative, and the source gives the line without one. The line now matches the source and"
   },
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-e987927ec1bf1c2cfc3b4a78",
    "quote_text": "Goles totales\n\nBajo 4,5\n\nSe han marcado menos de 4,5 goles en 7 de los últimos 7 partidos del Arsenal FC.\n\nSe han marcado menos de 4,5 goles en 3 de los últimos 3 partidos del West Ham United.",
    "fragment_from": 1529,
    "fragment_to": 1721,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://web.archive.org/web/20251002183658id_/https://www.transfermarkt.es/apuestas/pronosticos-deportivos/arsenal-fc-vs-west-ham-united-pronostico-apuestas-04-10-2025/",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": null,
     "authorship": "unknown",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "6cd449813b778a55d34bc830cf2ff200ca1d347a19cac49a8601df3c08140fca",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2025-10-01T00:17:34.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-10T01:43:25.601Z",
    "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:23:54.962Z",
    "statement_class": "unpriced",
    "status": "too_late",
    "cause": "counted in the restored-history series",
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": null,
     "display_name": "Arsenal v West Ham United",
     "competition_name": "Premier League",
     "starts_at": "2025-10-04T14:00:00.000Z",
     "url": null,
     "scoreline": "2-0"
    },
    "market_label": "Over/Under 4.5 goals",
    "outcome_label": "under 4.5",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": null,
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": "1.3000",
     "closing_source": "last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)"
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "win",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": 3000,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": "ours",
    "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "found_post_match",
    "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2025-10-01T00:17:34.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "page",
     "source_page_at": "2025-10-01T00:17:34.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-10-10T01:43:25.601Z",
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