{ "schema_name": "page", "schema_version": "2.0", "page_type": "source", "url": "/sources/totalizators-com/", "canonical": "/sources/totalizators-com/", "language": "en", "hreflang": [], "translations": [], "heading": "Totalizators.com: Football Prediction Record", "description": "9 settled picks by Totalizators.com recorded before kick-off across 9 matches, 20 Oct 2026 – 5 Nov 2026: won 5 of 8 at our recorded market prices.", "first_paragraph": { "body": "Forecast Record recorded 9 settled live picks by Totalizators.com before kick-off across 9 matches between 20 October and 5 November 2026. Won 5 of 8 non-void picks at our recorded market prices. Of the 93 predictions we hold for Totalizators.com, 44 are linked to matches: 19 were recorded by us before kick-off and 25 first found after the match. Figures as of 7 November 2026.", "key_number": "9", "data": "2026-11-07", "source_info": "our own evidence archive and market snapshot", "brand": "Forecast Record" }, "indexable": false, "noindex_reason": "too_few_settled", "indexing_threshold": { "settled_count": 9, "date_count": 13, "required_settled": 10, "required_dates": 2 }, "data_date": "2026-11-07T18:06:14.628Z", "built_at": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z", "lastmod": "2026-11-08T02:12:33.000Z", "content_hash": null, "meaning_hash": "c44bca5bfbfeb6987bb1f98b1b1aad3169e5c1f4ca8c9b74b95ae2e2dc880092", "dependency_group": "author:e-a527f1256488ce009ea2b504", "release_id": "20261107-195223", "markup": [ { "type_code": "WebPage", "allowed": true, "cause": null }, { "type_code": "Organization", "allowed": true, "cause": null } ], "exports": [ { "type_code": "json", "url": "/sources/totalizators-com/index.json", "bytes": null }, { "type_code": "csv", "url": "/sources/totalizators-com/picks.csv", "bytes": null } ], "modules": { "affiliate": true, "api": true, "compare_yourself": false }, "affiliate_block": { "container": true, "request_url": "/partnery/moi", "disclosure": "Some links below are affiliate links and are marked as such. They never affect what you see above: the order of any table is computed before any commission is known.", "page_category": "author" }, "restrictions": { "name_withdrawn": false, "tracker_number": null, "withdrawn_quotes": [], "removed_at": null, "cause": null, "suspended_records": [], "withdrawal_log_number": 0 }, "page_links": { "methodology": "/methodology/", "right_of_reply": "/right-of-reply/", "source_coverage": "/coverage/", "corrections_log": "/corrections/", "api": "/api/", "claim": "/claim/" }, "entity": { "id": "e-a527f1256488ce009ea2b504", "public_name": "Totalizators.com", "tracker_number": 3196, "status": "active", "inactive_since": null, "verified_creator": false, "observation_period": { "since": "2026-10-11", "until": "2026-11-07" }, "platform_list": [ { "medium": "website", "handle": null, "url": null, "link_confirmed": false, "show": true } ], "comment": null }, "headline_number": { "metric": { "metric_id": "p-e-a527f1256488ce009ea2b504-roi-market-price-90d-z99", "code_name": "roi_market_price", "display_name": "Return on stakes at an independent odds snapshot", "window_kind": "90d", "window_from": "2026-08-09", "window_to": "2026-11-07", "amount": "15.3963", "unit": "percent", "data_status": "calculated", "cause": null, "n_bets": 9, "n_events": 9, "n_void": 1, "ci_low": null, "ci_high": null, "ci_method": "not_estimated", "price_source": "market_price", "coverage_percent": "100.00", "breakdown": [], "methodology_version": "2.2", "data_date": "2026-11-07T18:06:14.628Z", "enough_for_ranking": false, "series_uid": null, "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot" }, "byline": "Return on stakes at an independent odds snapshot over 90 days: 9 settled picks across 9 matches", "average_odds": "1.88", "odds_from_author": 9, "odds_from_snapshot": 0 }, "metrics": [], "history": [], "simulation": { "series_uid": "sr-8d22285c42c47e5551e06402", "bankroll_hundredths": 1012317, "reserve_hundredths": 0, "issued_total_hundredths": 1000000, "top_up_count": 0, "profit_hundredths": 12317, "rewards_off": null, "initial_hundredths": 1000000, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "data_points": [ { "at": "2026-10-13T21:11:08.965Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 990000, "profit_hundredths": -10000, "outcome_id": "ish-5b59527d4dbfa47b0b6a69ab" }, { "at": "2026-10-22T00:50:14.896Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 990000, "profit_hundredths": -10000, "outcome_id": "ish-ee4f2cbd0ebe1ad0a3ccfe0c" }, { "at": "2026-10-28T05:28:36.668Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 997407, "profit_hundredths": -2593, "outcome_id": "ish-a87cf7e4484aba857a2a82e9" }, { "at": "2026-10-28T20:18:05.747Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 1006336, "profit_hundredths": 6336, "outcome_id": "ish-1329fc64c044033cca7c5f51" }, { "at": "2026-10-28T22:08:51.875Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 1013912, "profit_hundredths": 13912, "outcome_id": "ish-6c04970ac2c2b9df37388e43" }, { "at": "2026-11-03T22:07:51.648Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 1022608, "profit_hundredths": 22608, "outcome_id": "ish-56d78b9dbb774d0f23b78b0b" }, { "at": "2026-11-04T20:48:16.949Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 1012608, "profit_hundredths": 12608, "outcome_id": "ish-e8efcdd05ef685fd595fd257" }, { "at": "2026-11-04T22:05:25.483Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 1012608, "profit_hundredths": 12608, "outcome_id": "ish-436a2b4c1b0f7e61633b48b0" }, { "at": "2026-11-05T22:10:22.064Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 1022317, "profit_hundredths": 22317, "outcome_id": "ish-7d42ec42df82eedef5b4dede" }, { "at": "2026-11-05T22:54:02.618Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 1012317, "profit_hundredths": 12317, "outcome_id": "ish-f2c36c3ca42a4d603237964d" } ], "top_ups": [], "rule": "When the balance falls below 100 points and no bets are open, 10000 points are added; the remaining balance is kept. While bets are open we wait for settlement.", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot" }, "simulations": [], "completeness": { "detected": 571, "recognised": 93, "accepted": 39, "executed": 9, "calculated": 9, "gaps": [ { "cause": "not_supported", "figure": 40 }, { "cause": "not_checked", "figure": 20 }, { "cause": "disputed_reading", "figure": 9 }, { "cause": "National-team matches", "figure": 9 }, { "cause": "other reading", "figure": 3 }, { "cause": "read after the match, from archived pages", "figure": 2 }, { "cause": "no_price_at_capture", "figure": 1 } ] }, "record_counts": { "dictionary_version": "1", "statements": 571, "of_them_restored": 241, "not_predictions": { "opinions": 2, "not_about_a_match": 476, "unclassified": 0 }, "predictions": 93, "predictions_restored": 5, "matches": 30, "admitted": 39, "qualifying_picks": 9, "qualifying_picks_restored": 0, "settled_picks": 9, "settled_picks_restored": 0, "series_list": [ { "code_name": "market_price", "derived": false, "is_restored": false, "qualifying_picks": 9, "settled_picks": 9, "void": 1, "pending_picks": 0, "matches": 9, "operations_settled": 9, "stakes_hundredths": [ 10000 ], "methodologies": [ "2.2" ], "display_name": "At an independent odds snapshot" }, { "code_name": "author_price", "derived": false, "is_restored": false, "qualifying_picks": 9, "settled_picks": 9, "void": 1, "pending_picks": 0, "matches": 9, "operations_settled": 9, "stakes_hundredths": [ 10000 ], "methodologies": [ "2.2" ], "display_name": "At the author's stated price" } ], "gaps": [ { "code_name": "not_supported", "cause": "not_supported", "figure": 40 }, { "code_name": "not_checked", "cause": "not_checked", "figure": 20 }, { "code_name": "disputed_reading", "cause": "disputed_reading", "figure": 9 }, { "code_name": "outside_coverage", "cause": "National-team matches", "figure": 9 }, { "code_name": "ambiguous", "cause": "other reading", "figure": 3 }, { "code_name": "after_match", "cause": "read after the match, from archived pages", "figure": 2 }, { "code_name": "no_price_at_capture", "cause": "no_price_at_capture", "figure": 1 } ], "duplicates": 0, "junk": { "service": 15 }, "dictionary_url": "/methodology/#words" }, "evidence_items": [ { "observation_id": "n-4b0011ada3e11bb628df3a3a", "url": "/sources/totalizators-com/picks/6/#pick-n-4b0011ada3e11bb628df3a3a", "quote_text": "Dubultiespēja x2 + Manchester City uzvara\n\n2.75", "fragment_from": 9722, "fragment_to": 9769, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://totalizators.com/sporta-likmes/futbola-likmes/", "display_name": null, "speaker": null, "authorship": "channel_consensus", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "e7f7d5a7c7f6c3ddd9bab385e7a7aff80e1035cea579b8578899919382141266", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": null, "detected_at": "2026-11-07T12:10:54.637Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "unpriced", "status": "ambiguous", "cause": "", "cause_code": "ambiguous", "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "dates": { "fragment_at": null, "fragment_basis": "no", "source_page_at": "2023-06-05T09:32:48.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-07T12:10:54.637Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [ "long_before_detection", "not_fragment_date" ], "flag_words": "The source page is dated long before we first recorded it: it is a page that is updated over time, so the page date is set aside for this prediction.", "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "no_match_linked", "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "prediction", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-ca9975618246c8123c5681c2", "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-ca9975618246c8123c5681c2", "quote_text": "Rezultāts: AEK Athens 2:3 Real Madrid", "fragment_from": 10242, "fragment_to": 10279, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://totalizators.com/sporta-likmes/futbola-likmes/", "display_name": null, "speaker": null, "authorship": "channel_consensus", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "a714e2d4eab7171fcee2ab660b11d3bcdafaef55dad95d66c1fb863bb8402e22", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": null, "detected_at": "2026-11-05T17:32:43.748Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "no_event", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "dates": { "fragment_at": null, "fragment_basis": "no", "source_page_at": "2023-06-05T09:32:48.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-05T17:32:43.748Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [ "long_before_detection", "not_fragment_date" ], "flag_words": "The source page is dated long before we first recorded it: it is a page that is updated over time, so the page date is set aside for this prediction.", "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "no_match_linked", "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "statement", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-d8296c5948572ccf3990f312", "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-d8296c5948572ccf3990f312", "quote_text": "Minimālā iemaksa\n\n10 €\n\nIzmaksas limits\n\n35 000 €", "fragment_from": 8127, "fragment_to": 8176, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://totalizators.com/sporta-likmes/futbola-likmes/", "display_name": null, "speaker": null, "authorship": "channel_consensus", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "9d074bb8fcb7948d7a77b24d7f123a8989f5aa3442daf85fe37f2799fd7dfb9c", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": null, "detected_at": "2026-11-05T09:30:44.515Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "no_event", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "dates": { "fragment_at": null, "fragment_basis": "no", "source_page_at": "2023-06-05T09:32:48.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-05T09:30:44.515Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [ "long_before_detection", "not_fragment_date" ], "flag_words": "The source page is dated long before we first recorded it: it is a page that is updated over time, so the page date is set aside for this prediction.", "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "no_match_linked", "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "statement", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-4ebcd2d9bf1267f966f31eb5", "url": "/sources/totalizators-com/picks/6/#pick-n-4ebcd2d9bf1267f966f31eb5", "quote_text": "Real Madrid handikaps -1,5\n\n1.63", "fragment_from": 10300, "fragment_to": 10332, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://totalizators.com/sporta-likmes/futbola-likmes/", "display_name": null, "speaker": null, "authorship": "channel_consensus", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "9d074bb8fcb7948d7a77b24d7f123a8989f5aa3442daf85fe37f2799fd7dfb9c", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": null, "detected_at": "2026-11-05T09:30:44.515Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "priced", "status": "not_supported", "cause": "", "cause_code": "not_supported", "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "dates": { "fragment_at": null, "fragment_basis": "no", "source_page_at": "2023-06-05T09:32:48.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-05T09:30:44.515Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [ "long_before_detection", "not_fragment_date" ], "flag_words": "The source page is dated long before we first recorded it: it is a page that is updated over time, so the page date is set aside for this prediction.", "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "no_match_linked", "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "prediction", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-066767ce4b94cd73b3f1c8e2", "url": "/sources/totalizators-com/picks/6/#pick-n-066767ce4b94cd73b3f1c8e2", "quote_text": "Manchester City handikaps -1\n\n1.81", "fragment_from": 10123, "fragment_to": 10157, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://totalizators.com/sporta-likmes/futbola-likmes/", "display_name": null, "speaker": null, "authorship": "channel_consensus", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "9d074bb8fcb7948d7a77b24d7f123a8989f5aa3442daf85fe37f2799fd7dfb9c", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": null, "detected_at": "2026-11-05T09:30:44.515Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "priced", "status": "ambiguous", "cause": "", "cause_code": "not_checked", "event": { "event_id": "s-fe8ca41c5ed3", "display_name": "RB Leipzig — Manchester City", "competition_name": "UEFA Champions League", "starts_at": "2026-11-04T20:00:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/rb-leipzig-vs-manchester-city-2026-11-04/", "scoreline": "2-3", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "European handicap -1", "outcome_label": "Manchester City -1", "odds_set": { "by_author": "1.81", "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": "loss", "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "dates": { "fragment_at": null, "fragment_basis": "no", "source_page_at": "2023-06-05T09:32:48.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-05T09:30:44.515Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [ "long_before_match", "not_fragment_date" ], "flag_words": "The source page is dated long before this match: it is a page that is updated over time, so the page date is set aside for this prediction.", "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "recorded_after_kickoff", "origin_words": "Recorded by us after kick-off; date as stated by the source", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "European handicap -1", "choice": "Manchester City -1", "author_odds": "1.81", "market_key": "handicap_european", "choice_key": "2", "period": "match", "line": "-1", "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "European handicap -1: Manchester City -1 at 1.81" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "loss", "scoreline": "2-3", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Lost: the final score was RB Leipzig 2-3 Manchester City." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "a4911c0f124d524488128d688b824a9689af157c62bee48616631fb902c71701", "series_key": "author_price", "series_label": "At the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "European handicap -1", "choice": "Manchester City -1", "decimal_odds": null, "odds_role": null, "stake_hundredths": null, "status": "skipped", "status_text": "Not executed: ", "result": null, "result_words": null, "change_hundredths": null, "executed_at": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "2f656b79170773b0d21f668d8244f13e28f9260531b92b534e3c9c23de9fd87a", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "European handicap -1", "choice": "Manchester City -1", "decimal_odds": null, "odds_role": null, "stake_hundredths": null, "status": "skipped", "status_text": "Not executed: ", "result": null, "result_words": null, "change_hundredths": null, "executed_at": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "prediction", "authorship": { "material_author": "Totalizators.com", "publisher": "Totalizators.com", "forecaster": "Totalizators.com", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The 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null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-7597ec12fd44ebe62bdbee9a", "url": "/sources/totalizators-com/picks/4/#pick-n-7597ec12fd44ebe62bdbee9a", "quote_text": "Dubultiespeja x2 + Olympiacos virs 1\n\n2.50", "fragment_from": 10748, "fragment_to": 10790, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://totalizators.com/sporta-likmes/futbola-likmes/", "display_name": null, "speaker": null, "authorship": "channel_consensus", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "c4592257c32379511576d94e204230e4579570f38b7ed13e09a080ae7ce03938", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": null, "detected_at": "2026-10-22T12:19:50.411Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "priced", "status": "not_supported", "cause": "", "cause_code": "not_supported", "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, 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settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "prediction", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-d8ef3b43e4ca6594450c2ded", "url": "/sources/totalizators-com/picks/4/#pick-n-d8ef3b43e4ca6594450c2ded", "quote_text": "Vārti virs 2,5\n\n1.71", "fragment_from": 9474, "fragment_to": 9494, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://totalizators.com/sporta-likmes/futbola-likmes/", "display_name": null, "speaker": null, "authorship": "channel_consensus", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "c4592257c32379511576d94e204230e4579570f38b7ed13e09a080ae7ce03938", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": null, "detected_at": "2026-10-22T12:19:50.411Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "priced", "status": "ambiguous", "cause": "", "cause_code": "ambiguous", "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "dates": { "fragment_at": null, "fragment_basis": "no", "source_page_at": "2023-06-05T09:32:48.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-22T12:19:50.411Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [ "long_before_detection", "not_fragment_date" ], "flag_words": "The source page is dated long before we first recorded it: it is a page that is updated over time, so the page date is set aside for this prediction.", "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "no_match_linked", "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "prediction", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-7a011bb002ad2e07c8268e3a", "url": "/sources/totalizators-com/picks/4/#pick-n-7a011bb002ad2e07c8268e3a", "quote_text": "Dubultiespeja x2 + Olympiacos virs 1\n\n2.50", "fragment_from": 10583, "fragment_to": 10625, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://totalizators.com/sporta-likmes/futbola-likmes/", "display_name": null, "speaker": null, "authorship": "channel_consensus", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "8ccde64049ab5e9bc990b95fa8a84bedc1aaa183bdda5d8394a6b98a20da5fd3", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": null, "detected_at": "2026-10-21T19:11:20.826Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "priced", "status": "not_supported", "cause": "", "cause_code": "not_supported", "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "dates": { "fragment_at": null, "fragment_basis": "no", "source_page_at": "2023-06-05T09:32:48.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-21T19:11:20.826Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [ "long_before_detection", "not_fragment_date" ], "flag_words": "The source page is dated long before we first recorded it: it is a page that is updated over time, so the page date is set aside for this prediction.", "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "no_match_linked", "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "prediction", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-c334393a538a5d789aa2b8b3", "url": "/sources/totalizators-com/picks/4/#pick-n-c334393a538a5d789aa2b8b3", "quote_text": "⭐Prognoze\n\n🎯Likme\n\n500€\n\nDubultiespeja x2 + Olympiacos virs 1\n\n2.50", "fragment_from": 10555, "fragment_to": 10622, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://totalizators.com/sporta-likmes/futbola-likmes/", "display_name": null, "speaker": null, "authorship": "channel_consensus", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "d1c32ce6272dcd7c2946b837cd7ae2145ff091f5409f23de62ac6104b15eb149", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": null, "detected_at": "2026-10-21T17:40:38.855Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "priced", "status": "not_supported", "cause": "", "cause_code": "not_supported", "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "dates": { "fragment_at": null, "fragment_basis": "no", "source_page_at": "2023-06-05T09:32:48.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-21T17:40:38.855Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [ "long_before_detection", "not_fragment_date" ], "flag_words": "The source page is dated long before we first recorded it: it is a page that is updated over time, so the page date is set aside for this prediction.", "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "no_match_linked", "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "prediction", "authorship": null, "correction": null } ], "excluded_from_feed": { "ads": 0, "service": 15, "ruleset_version": "3" }, "standing": null, "retro": null, "late": null, "price_vs_market": { "contract_version": "1", "threshold_percent": "5", "rows": [ { "basis": "snapshot", "basis_words": "our market price for the same selection when we first recorded the pick (median of bookmakers in our price feed; failing that, the first price within 2 hours after, always before kick-off)", "basis_short": "Our market price when we first recorded the pick", "compared": 9, "above": 0, "above_share_percent": "0.0", "below": 1, "within": 8, "median_difference_percent": "-0.2", "not_comparable": 0, "disputed": 0, "status": "calculated" } ], "examples": [ { "url": "/sources/totalizators-com/picks/6/#pick-n-ea184f45825e99135b41e9ca", "basis": "snapshot", "stated": "1.63", "market": "1.82", "difference_percent": "-10.4" } ], "method": "Difference = the author's stated price ÷ the market price of the same selection − 1. A pick counts as above the market when the stated price is more than 5% higher. Each basis is its own comparison; they are never added together. A pair whose prices differ more than twofold is marked “price disputed”: it is probably not the same selection, so it is left out of this comparison and of every return at the author’s price until a manual check confirms the price. A price that the quoted text does not give is marked “price disputed” in the same way." }, "record_summary": { "contract_version": "1", "entity_type": "editorial", "entity_words": "Editorial source", "source": { "name": "totalizators.com", "url": "https://totalizators.com/sporta-likmes/futbola-likmes/" }, "observed_from": "2026-10-11", "observed_to": "2026-11-07", "data_as_of": "2026-11-07", "state": "settled", "series_code": "market_price", "series": "Recorded before kick-off, at our recorded market price", "restored": false, "headline_kind": "live_snapshot", "headline_part": "live", "settled_picks": 9, "matches": 9, "void": 1, "net_points_hundredths": 12317, "staked_hundredths": 80000, "return_percent": "15.40", "stake_per_pick_hundredths": 10000, "period_from": "2026-10-20", "period_to": "2026-11-05", "status": "calculated", "method_version": "2.2", "short_history": true, "reason": null, "reasons": [], "sentence": "Forecast Record recorded 9 settled live picks by Totalizators.com before kick-off across 9 matches between 20 October and 5 November 2026. Won 5 of 8 non-void picks at our recorded market prices. Of the 93 predictions we hold for Totalizators.com, 44 are linked to matches: 19 were recorded by us before kick-off and 25 first found after the match. Figures as of 7 November 2026.", "numbers": [ { "label": "Settled live picks", "value": "9", "anchor": "/methodology/#settled-pick", "note": "1 void" }, { "label": "Matches", "value": "9", "anchor": "/methodology/#match", "note": null }, { "label": "Net result", "value": "+123.17 points", "anchor": "/methodology/#settlement", "note": "100 points per pick" }, { "label": "Return at our recorded market price", "value": "+15.4%", "anchor": "/methodology/#roi", "note": null } ], "limitations": [ "Most of this history was found after the matches." ], "other_series": [], "return_over_time": [], "return_over_time_parts": { "live": { "part": "live", "label": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "Return at our recorded market price", "x_axis": "match_date", "dated_note": "Dated by match day. Each pick was recorded by us before kick-off and settled after the match.", "settled_picks": 9, "matches": 9, "match_dates": 6, "period_from": "2026-10-20", "period_to": "2026-11-05", "stake_per_pick_hundredths": 10000, "final_points_hundredths": 12317, "low": { "date": "2026-10-20", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -10000, "after_picks": 1 }, "high": { "date": "2026-11-03", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 22608, "after_picks": 5 }, "line_drawn": false, "steps": [ { "date": "2026-10-20", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -10000, "n": 1, "picks": 1 }, { "date": "2026-10-27", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -2593, "n": 2, "picks": 1 }, { "date": "2026-10-28", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 13912, "n": 4, "picks": 2 }, { "date": "2026-11-03", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 22608, "n": 5, "picks": 1 }, { "date": "2026-11-04", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 12608, "n": 7, "picks": 2 }, { "date": "2026-11-05", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 12317, "n": 9, "picks": 2 } ] }, "archived": null }, "author_response": null, "cite": { "text": "Forecast Record recorded 9 settled live picks by Totalizators.com before kick-off across 9 matches between 20 October and 5 November 2026. Won 5 of 8 non-void picks at our recorded market prices. Of the 93 predictions we hold for Totalizators.com, 44 are linked to matches: 19 were recorded by us before kick-off and 25 first found after the match. Figures as of 7 November 2026.", "url": "https://forecastrecord.com/sources/totalizators-com/", "data_as_of": "2026-11-07", "method_version": "2.2" }, "origin": { "contract_version": "1", "predictions": 93, "under_review": 0, "no_match_linked": 49, "proven_predictions": 19, "proven_checked": 19, "proven_measured": 9, "proven_dates": 13, "parts": [ { "code": "live", "title": "Recorded before kick-off", "explanation": "Saved by us from the source before kick-off.", "predictions": 19, "checked": 19, "price_rule": "Return at our recorded market price", "series_code": "market_price", "main": { "settled_picks": 9, "void": 1, "matches": 9, "net_points_hundredths": 12317, "staked_hundredths": 80000, "return_percent": "15.40", "interval_low": null, "interval_high": null, "interval_note": "too few independent matches to estimate an interval", "period_from": "2026-10-20", "period_to": "2026-11-05", "method_version": "2.2", "snapshot_delay_median_hours": "0.0", "snapshot_delay_max_hours": "0.0", "checked_after_kickoff_picks": 2 }, "same_picks": [ { "price": "Author-quoted price", "series_code": "author_price", "picks": 9, "return_main_percent": "15.40", "return_other_percent": "15.62", "settled_excluding_void": 8, "net_main_points_hundredths": 12317, "net_other_points_hundredths": 12500, "period_from": "2026-10-20", "period_to": "2026-11-05" }, { "price": "Closing price", "series_code": "closing_live", "picks": 9, "return_main_percent": "15.40", "return_other_percent": "12.20", "settled_excluding_void": 8, "net_main_points_hundredths": 12317, "net_other_points_hundredths": 9758, "period_from": "2026-10-20", "period_to": "2026-11-05" } ], "score": { "score_forecasts": 0, "exact_hits": 0, "exact_rate": null, "outcome_checked": 0, "outcome_hits": 0, "outcome_rate": null, "baseline_matches": 0, "baseline_distinct_matches": 0, "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0, "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null, "favourite_hits": 0, "favourite_rate": null, "price_basis": null, "pending": 0, "void": 0, "recorded_after_kickoff": 0, "lines": [] }, "eligible": { "checked": 19, "priced": 9 }, "accuracy": { "picks": 8, "won": 5, "won_percent": "62.5", "implied_percent": "52.6", "left_out": 1, "by_market": [ { "market": "Match result", "won": 3, "picks": 5, "implied_percent": "51.2" }, { "market": "Asian handicap", "won": 1, "picks": 2, "implied_percent": "53.9" }, { "market": "Double chance", "won": 1, "picks": 1, "implied_percent": "56.9" } ] } }, { "code": "archived", "title": "Archived before kick-off", "explanation": "Restored from a copy saved by an independent web archive before kick-off.", "predictions": 0, "checked": 0, "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices", "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm", "main": null, "same_picks": [], "score": { "score_forecasts": 0, "exact_hits": 0, "exact_rate": null, "outcome_checked": 0, "outcome_hits": 0, "outcome_rate": null, "baseline_matches": 0, "baseline_distinct_matches": 0, "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0, "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null, "favourite_hits": 0, "favourite_rate": null, "price_basis": null, "pending": 0, "void": 0, "recorded_after_kickoff": 0, "lines": [] }, "eligible": { "checked": 0, "priced": 0 }, "accuracy": null }, { "code": "found_after", "title": "Found after the match", "explanation": "First found after the match; the date is the one the source states.", "predictions": 25, "checked": 20, "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices", "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm", "main": null, "same_picks": [], "score": { "score_forecasts": 0, "exact_hits": 0, "exact_rate": null, "outcome_checked": 0, "outcome_hits": 0, "outcome_rate": null, "baseline_matches": 0, "baseline_distinct_matches": 0, "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0, "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null, "favourite_hits": 0, "favourite_rate": null, "price_basis": null, "pending": 0, "void": 0, "recorded_after_kickoff": 0, "lines": [] }, "eligible": { "checked": 20, "priced": 0 }, "accuracy": null } ] }, "live_alongside": null, "headline_record_ids": [ "n-00f0083a5c38008443bee48a", "n-4277341db5a0b832323e963b", "n-4c16d7b0cbb151cdf2a35dde", "n-9fde13a7ab51f261573901b8", "n-acb55737b2b2cfe20e454bbb", "n-c3e337866b789dbe69125c16", "n-e72464662137f548b13d970f", "n-ea184f45825e99135b41e9ca", "n-fc043d7e26468f1e03cec639" ], "interval_low": null, "interval_high": null, "caption": "Recorded before kick-off, at our recorded market price · 100 points per pick · 20 October – 5 November 2026 · Calculated · picks settled under method v2.2", "record_from": "2026-10-11", "record_to": "2026-11-07" }, "recorded_picks": [ { "record_id": "n-c3e337866b789dbe69125c16", "url": "/sources/totalizators-com/picks/6/#pick-n-c3e337866b789dbe69125c16", "match": "Celtic v Beşiktaş", "match_url": "/football/matches/celtic-vs-besiktas-2026-11-05/", "kickoff": "2026-11-05T20:00:00.000Z", "competition": "UEFA Europa League", "lead_hours": 10.5, "market_code": "1x2", "author_said": "1X2, match result: Beşiktaş at 2.18", "quote": null, "group": "settled", "outcome": "Lost", "claim_outcome": "Lost", "final_score": "3-2", "reason": null, "reason_code": null, "points_hundredths": -10000, "series_code": "market_price", "series_short": "odds snapshot", "author_price": "2.18", "settled_price": "2.2000", "published_at": null, "recorded_at": "2026-11-05T09:30:44.515Z", "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "record_part": "live", "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off", "in_headline": true, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-c3e337866b789dbe69125c16", "quote_text": "Besiktas uzvara\n\n2.18", "fragment_from": 9823, "fragment_to": 9844, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://totalizators.com/sporta-likmes/futbola-likmes/", "display_name": null, "speaker": null, "authorship": "channel_consensus", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "9d074bb8fcb7948d7a77b24d7f123a8989f5aa3442daf85fe37f2799fd7dfb9c", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": null, "detected_at": "2026-11-05T09:30:44.515Z", "executed_at": "2026-11-05T09:32:37.509Z", "statement_class": "priced", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": "s-956b3f4d80d8", "display_name": "Celtic — Beşiktaş", "competition_name": "UEFA Europa League", "starts_at": "2026-11-05T20:00:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/celtic-vs-besiktas-2026-11-05/", "scoreline": "3-2", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "outcome_label": "Beşiktaş", "odds_set": { "by_author": "2.18", "our_snapshot": "2.2000", "our_snapshot_at": "2026-11-05T09:29:41.107Z", "our_snapshot_source": "market snapshot", "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "loss", "simulation_change_hundredths": -10000, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": "ours", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": null, "fragment_basis": "no", "source_page_at": "2023-06-05T09:32:48.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-05T09:30:44.515Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [ "long_before_match", "not_fragment_date" ], "flag_words": "The source page is dated long before this match: it is a page that is updated over time, so the page date is set aside for this prediction.", "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Beşiktaş", "author_odds": "2.18", "market_key": "1x2", "choice_key": "2", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "1X2, match result: Beşiktaş at 2.18" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "loss", "scoreline": "3-2", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Lost: the final score was Celtic 3-2 Beşiktaş." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "813dd3ec9b5322becb903f9266a8674e84189be2a5c69856783dc3b4876b2e3a", "series_key": "author_price", "series_label": "At the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Beşiktaş", "decimal_odds": "2.18", "odds_role": "author_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "loss", "result_words": "Lost", "change_hundredths": -10000, "executed_at": "2026-11-05T09:32:30.681Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "53c20d76049da082f3e4858d86c3e777067e9779fc7f2b83fa3793dad43b2db9", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Beşiktaş", "decimal_odds": "2.2000", "odds_role": "market_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "loss", "result_words": "Lost", "change_hundredths": -10000, "executed_at": "2026-11-05T09:32:37.509Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "settled_pick", "authorship": { "material_author": "Totalizators.com", "publisher": "Totalizators.com", "forecaster": "Totalizators.com", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://totalizators.com/sporta-likmes/futbola-likmes/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "Beşiktaş to win" } }, { "record_id": "n-acb55737b2b2cfe20e454bbb", "url": "/sources/totalizators-com/picks/6/#pick-n-acb55737b2b2cfe20e454bbb", "match": "AZ Alkmaar v Juventus", "match_url": "/football/matches/az-alkmaar-vs-juventus-2026-11-05/", "kickoff": "2026-11-05T20:00:00.000Z", "competition": "UEFA Europa League", "lead_hours": 10.8, "market_code": "1x2", "author_said": "1X2, match result: Juventus at 1.99", "quote": null, "group": "settled", "outcome": "Won", "claim_outcome": "Won", "final_score": "1-2", "reason": null, "reason_code": null, "points_hundredths": 9709, "series_code": "market_price", "series_short": "odds snapshot", "author_price": "1.99", "settled_price": "1.9709", "published_at": null, "recorded_at": "2026-11-05T09:10:41.022Z", "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "record_part": "live", "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off", "in_headline": true, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-acb55737b2b2cfe20e454bbb", "quote_text": "⭐Prognoze\n\n🎯Likme\n\n500€\n\nJuventus uzvara\n\n1.99", "fragment_from": 9665, "fragment_to": 9711, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://totalizators.com/sporta-likmes/futbola-likmes/", "display_name": null, "speaker": null, "authorship": "channel_consensus", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "517671bcab15951177e7a4c1403acb3d964cb05749df98a45cf8074b04e99817", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": null, "detected_at": "2026-11-05T09:10:41.022Z", "executed_at": "2026-11-05T09:15:51.079Z", "statement_class": "priced", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": "s-a705d07502db", "display_name": "AZ Alkmaar — Juventus", "competition_name": "UEFA Europa League", "starts_at": "2026-11-05T20:00:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/az-alkmaar-vs-juventus-2026-11-05/", "scoreline": "1-2", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "outcome_label": "Juventus", "odds_set": { "by_author": "1.99", "our_snapshot": "1.9709", "our_snapshot_at": "2026-11-05T09:08:49.275Z", "our_snapshot_source": "market snapshot", "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "win", "simulation_change_hundredths": 9709, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": "ours", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": null, "fragment_basis": "no", "source_page_at": "2023-06-05T09:32:48.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-05T09:10:41.022Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [ "long_before_match", "not_fragment_date" ], "flag_words": "The source page is dated long before this match: it is a page that is updated over time, so the page date is set aside for this prediction.", "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Juventus", "author_odds": "1.99", "market_key": "1x2", "choice_key": "2", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "1X2, match result: Juventus at 1.99" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "win", "scoreline": "1-2", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Won: the final score was AZ Alkmaar 1-2 Juventus." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "7972551ffc0c65b136b74d780921b18c2bf0502f32abf30bb16a011869b97c6a", "series_key": "author_price", "series_label": "At the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Juventus", "decimal_odds": "1.99", "odds_role": "author_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 9900, "executed_at": "2026-11-05T09:15:47.182Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "e4990b9b3e334c74e487b2fedf5aad99cf15076526d9291fc6a88c3ac62c56a2", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "Juventus", "decimal_odds": "1.9709", "odds_role": "market_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 9709, "executed_at": "2026-11-05T09:15:51.079Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "settled_pick", "authorship": { "material_author": "Totalizators.com", "publisher": "Totalizators.com", "forecaster": "Totalizators.com", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://totalizators.com/sporta-likmes/futbola-likmes/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "Juventus to win" } }, { "record_id": "n-00f0083a5c38008443bee48a", "url": "/sources/totalizators-com/picks/6/#pick-n-00f0083a5c38008443bee48a", "match": "RB Leipzig v Manchester City", "match_url": "/football/matches/rb-leipzig-vs-manchester-city-2026-11-04/", "kickoff": "2026-11-04T20:00:00.000Z", "competition": "UEFA Champions League", "lead_hours": 7.7, "market_code": "handicap_asian", "author_said": "Asian handicap 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"channel_consensus", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "8fbe008a805083f9a99bc32bb3411366be5fdd142ffcd57a629bc426b0bba9a5", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": null, "detected_at": "2026-11-04T12:19:38.381Z", "executed_at": "2026-11-04T12:21:45.022Z", "statement_class": "priced", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": "s-fe8ca41c5ed3", "display_name": "RB Leipzig — Manchester City", "competition_name": "UEFA Champions League", "starts_at": "2026-11-04T20:00:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/rb-leipzig-vs-manchester-city-2026-11-04/", "scoreline": "2-3", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "Asian handicap -1", "outcome_label": "Manchester City -1", "odds_set": { "by_author": "1.81", "our_snapshot": "1.8130", "our_snapshot_at": "2026-11-04T12:15:37.534Z", "our_snapshot_source": "market snapshot", "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "void", "simulation_change_hundredths": 0, 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the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://totalizators.com/sporta-likmes/futbola-likmes/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "over 2.5 (Over/Under 2.5 goals)" } }, { "record_id": "n-dedf2b7e0187c9030eda0fdc", "url": "/sources/totalizators-com/picks/3/#pick-n-dedf2b7e0187c9030eda0fdc", "match": "Tottenham Hotspur v Coventry City", "match_url": "/football/matches/tottenham-hotspur-vs-coventry-city-2026-10-19/", "kickoff": "2026-10-19T19:00:00.000Z", "competition": "Premier League", "lead_hours": -19.3, "market_code": "1x2", "author_said": "1X2, match result: Tottenham Hotspur at 1.52", "quote": null, "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": "Won", "final_score": "3-1", "reason": "graded against the result: right", "reason_code": 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"outside_coverage", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": null, "recorded_at": "2026-10-11T10:19:44.149Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-f47612e7fb4b52da6e36306d", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "⭐Prognoze\n\n🎯Likme\n\n500€\n\nVārti virs 2,5\n\n1.63", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "national-team match (Nations League, qualifiers, continental cups)", "reason_code": "outside_coverage", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": null, "recorded_at": "2026-10-11T10:19:44.149Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-085dc47b7af6a2cf64a6572a", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "⭐Prognoze\n\n🎯Likme\n\n500€\n\nPolijas uzvara\n\n2.55", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "national-team match (Nations League, qualifiers, continental cups)", "reason_code": "outside_coverage", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": null, "recorded_at": "2026-10-11T10:19:44.149Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-f1f2bd220ba38fe531075cf4", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "⭐Prognoze\n\n🎯Likme\n\n500€\n\nVārti virs 2,5\n\n1.64", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "national-team match (Nations League, qualifiers, continental cups)", "reason_code": "outside_coverage", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": null, "recorded_at": "2026-10-11T10:19:44.149Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-41b086f198fef831fc2dab60", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "⭐Prognoze\n\n🎯Likme\n\n1000€\n\nVācija uzvara\n\n1.77", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "national-team match (Nations League, qualifiers, continental cups)", "reason_code": "outside_coverage", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": null, "recorded_at": "2026-10-11T10:19:44.149Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-3307e0ea9ea7f7c460436fa8", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "⭐Prognoze\n\n🎯Likme\n\n500€\n\nPolijas uzvara\n\n2.55", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "national-team match (Nations League, qualifiers, continental cups)", "reason_code": "outside_coverage", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": null, "recorded_at": "2026-10-11T10:19:44.149Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-6cc8b545611d73dc1133d05a", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "⭐Prognoze\n\n🎯Likme\n\n1500€\n\nVārti virs 2\n\n1.86", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "national-team match (Nations League, qualifiers, continental cups)", "reason_code": "outside_coverage", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": null, "recorded_at": "2026-10-11T10:19:44.149Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-1061e256b129248a001077cb", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "⭐Prognoze\n\n🎯Likme\n\n500€\n\nVārti virs 2,5\n\n1.68", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": null, "recorded_at": "2026-10-11T10:19:44.149Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null } ], "lead_time": { "contract_version": 1, "threshold_hours": 2.0, "picks": 39, "before_kickoff": 19, "after_kickoff": 20, "at_least_2h": 17, "share_2h_plus": 43.6, "median_hours": 6.1, "min_hours": 0.1, "max_hours": 12.0, "words": "Hours between the moment we recorded the pick and kick-off; the share counts picks recorded at least two hours before kick-off." }, "baseline": { "contract_version": 1, "series_code": "market_price", "rule": "recorded-line-1.0", "state": "settled", "picks": 2, "settled_picks_all": 9, "excluded": { "market_without_favourite": 1, "no_recorded_line": 6, "favourite_not_settled": 0 }, "staked_hundredths": 20000, "author_net_hundredths": -2593, "favourite_net_hundredths": -2593, "difference_hundredths": 0, "author_return_percent": -12.96, "favourite_return_percent": -12.96, "author_hit_rate": 50.0, "favourite_hit_rate": 50.0, "picked_favourite_share": 100.0, "by_market": [ { "market_code": "1x2", "picks": 2, "staked_hundredths": 20000, "author_net_hundredths": -2593, "favourite_net_hundredths": -2593, "author_hits": 1, "favourite_hits": 1, "picked_favourite": 2, "author_return_percent": -12.96, "favourite_return_percent": -12.96 } ], "return_over_time": [ { "kickoff": "2026-10-20T19:00:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -10000, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -10000 }, { "kickoff": "2026-10-27T19:45:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -2593, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -2593 } ], "words": "Same stakes, same matches, same recorded moment: the author’s picks against backing the market favourite by the recorded line. Only markets with a single shortest price count (match result, over/under, both teams to score, handicap); correct score and combined markets are left out." }, "pagination": { "per_page": 20, "total": 93, "pages": 6, "page_urls": [ "/sources/totalizators-com/", "/sources/totalizators-com/picks/2/", "/sources/totalizators-com/picks/3/", "/sources/totalizators-com/picks/4/", "/sources/totalizators-com/picks/5/", "/sources/totalizators-com/picks/6/" ], "groups": { "settled": 9, "pending": 0, "excluded": 84 }, "continuation": "by_time", "page": 1, "first": 1, "last": 20, "author_url": "/sources/totalizators-com/", "current": false }, "title_tag": "Totalizators.com: Football Prediction Record", "calculator": null, "source_info": { "code_name": "totalizators-com", "display_name": "Totalizators.com", "type_code": "channel", "domains": [ "totalizators.com" ], "owner": null, "check": { "when": null, "source_list": [] }, "url": "/sources/totalizators-com/", "products": [ { "code_name": "totalizators-com", "display_name": "Totalizators.com", "type_code": "column", "url": "/sources/totalizators-com/", "entity_ref": "e-a527f1256488ce009ea2b504", "summary": { "statements": 571, "predictions": 93, "settled_picks": 9, "headline_kind": "live_snapshot", "return_percent": 15.4, "headline_part": "live", "period_from": "2026-10-11", "period_to": "2026-11-07" } } ], "author_list": [], "authors_count": 0, "auto": true, "product": "totalizators-com", "product_page": false }, "data_revision": { "data_version": "2026-11-06.1", "updated": "2026-11-06", "current_release": "2026-11-07.2", "data_as_of": "2026-11-07", "method_version": "2.2", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "series_code": "market_price", "sample": { "settled_picks": 9, "matches": 9, "void": 1, "period_from": "2026-10-20", "period_to": "2026-11-05", "composition_hash": "44fa5f04b0658e23c8235836beb5211a0b03cabbf639fd5ef1f1f151a46816ec" }, "changes_url": "#changes", "corrections_url": "/corrections/" }, "number_changes": [ { "id": "zc-6e1bca3df3f2e88291d3", "at": "2026-11-06T14:46:17.511Z", "data_version": "2026-11-06.1", "previous_data_version": "2026-11-05.3", "url": "/sources/totalizators-com/", "category": "new_results", "category_words": "New results", "before": { "data_version": "2026-11-05.1", "return_percent": "21.01", "settled_picks": 7, "matches": 7, "void": 1, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "7f1a8bf90c01c8f6de26a2baedbbd8792dab8bd0292e7bc04a8ac2eea28b0692", "text": "+126.08 points on 7 settled picks across 7 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-11-06.1", "return_percent": "15.40", "settled_picks": 9, "matches": 9, "void": 1, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "44fa5f04b0658e23c8235836beb5211a0b03cabbf639fd5ef1f1f151a46816ec", "text": "+123.17 points on 9 settled picks across 9 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "2 new settled picks from matches played after the previous data version.", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 2, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null }, { "id": "zc-c7d1248dfffb82ed1a45", "at": "2026-11-05T05:43:48.128Z", "data_version": "2026-11-05.1", "previous_data_version": "2026-11-04.3", "url": "/sources/totalizators-com/", "category": "new_results", "category_words": "New results", "before": { "data_version": "2026-11-04.1", "return_percent": "45.22", "settled_picks": 5, "matches": 5, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "dcb80ed772d416e060a7076ba05c4c516783398f63e7704394703d134d17aa19", "text": "+226.08 points on 5 settled picks across 5 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-11-05.1", "return_percent": "21.01", "settled_picks": 7, "matches": 7, "void": 1, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "7f1a8bf90c01c8f6de26a2baedbbd8792dab8bd0292e7bc04a8ac2eea28b0692", "text": "+126.08 points on 7 settled picks across 7 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "2 new settled picks from matches played after the previous data version.", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 2, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null }, { "id": "zc-5bfb0ec99de27841f4b5", "at": "2026-11-04T03:35:56.412Z", "data_version": "2026-11-04.1", "previous_data_version": "2026-11-03.3", "url": "/sources/totalizators-com/", "category": "coverage_extended", "category_words": "Coverage extended", "before": { "data_version": "2026-10-29.1", "return_percent": "34.78", "settled_picks": 4, "matches": 4, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "7cc4cdd90d01f43338687dad8bb8877506627605330e668b71a6c6339255153b", "text": "+139.12 points on 4 settled picks across 4 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-11-04.1", "return_percent": "45.22", "settled_picks": 5, "matches": 5, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "dcb80ed772d416e060a7076ba05c4c516783398f63e7704394703d134d17aa19", "text": "+226.08 points on 5 settled picks across 5 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "Added 1 earlier pick for matches played before the previous data version (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 1, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null }, { "id": "zc-25166bdd0a824a4f8f5b", "at": "2026-10-29T20:28:50.091Z", "data_version": "2026-10-29.1", "previous_data_version": "2026-10-28.4", "url": "/sources/totalizators-com/", "category": "coverage_extended", "category_words": "Coverage extended", "before": { "data_version": "2026-10-28.2", "return_percent": "-12.96", "settled_picks": 2, "matches": 2, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "fce7c1befd93d8d0574e43b531af38b86a41795d4a67e07feca057428ae6250f", "text": "−25.93 points on 2 settled picks across 2 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-10-29.1", "return_percent": "34.78", "settled_picks": 4, "matches": 4, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "7cc4cdd90d01f43338687dad8bb8877506627605330e668b71a6c6339255153b", "text": "+139.12 points on 4 settled picks across 4 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "Added 1 earlier pick for matches played before the previous data version (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture); also 1 new result.", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 2, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null }, { "id": "zc-365f3a692ac458229d9e", "at": "2026-10-28T08:08:26.276Z", "data_version": "2026-10-28.2", "previous_data_version": "2026-10-28.1", "url": "/sources/totalizators-com/", "category": "new_results", "category_words": "New results", "before": { "data_version": "2026-10-22.1", "return_percent": "-100.00", "settled_picks": 1, "matches": 1, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "df81df52da3b580a2a7ede2f534982c7558e9f8bd13e0778053b2638b169ca43", "text": "−100.00 points on 1 settled pick across 1 match · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-10-28.2", "return_percent": "-12.96", "settled_picks": 2, "matches": 2, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "fce7c1befd93d8d0574e43b531af38b86a41795d4a67e07feca057428ae6250f", "text": "−25.93 points on 2 settled picks across 2 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "1 new settled pick from matches played after the previous data version.", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 1, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null }, { "id": "zc-faa007c057e5b85b560b", "at": "2026-10-22T03:02:07.338Z", "data_version": "2026-10-22.1", "previous_data_version": "2026-10-21.3", "url": "/sources/totalizators-com/", "category": "coverage_extended", "category_words": "Coverage extended", "before": null, "after": { "data_version": "2026-10-22.1", "return_percent": "-100.00", "settled_picks": 1, "matches": 1, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "df81df52da3b580a2a7ede2f534982c7558e9f8bd13e0778053b2638b169ca43", "text": "−100.00 points on 1 settled pick across 1 match · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "First headline number for this record: 1 settled pick in the series “independent odds snapshot”.", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 1, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null }, { "id": "zc-3caa7b368a4fd132cb27", "at": "2026-10-19T19:39:27.559Z", "data_version": "2026-10-19.6", "previous_data_version": "2026-10-19.5", "url": "/sources/totalizators-com/", "category": "data_corrected", "category_words": "Data corrected", "before": { "data_version": "2026-10-13.6", "return_percent": "-100.00", "settled_picks": 1, "matches": 1, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "90d6d3926f90c2c6ae2f1131425a04f28e2df1eaeeaea7650913a4ebe0e72c41", "text": "−100.00 points on 1 settled pick across 1 match · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "after": null, "reason": "The headline number is no longer published: the record has no settled pick in its headline series in this data version.", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 0, "removed": 1, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": "i-f547c8829e942bf3290d" }, { "id": "zc-19be2136be4f49b1fd83", "at": "2026-10-13T21:34:28.953Z", "data_version": "2026-10-13.6", "previous_data_version": "2026-10-13.5", "url": "/sources/totalizators-com/", "category": "coverage_extended", "category_words": "Coverage extended", "before": null, "after": { "data_version": "2026-10-13.6", "return_percent": "-100.00", "settled_picks": 1, "matches": 1, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "90d6d3926f90c2c6ae2f1131425a04f28e2df1eaeeaea7650913a4ebe0e72c41", "text": "−100.00 points on 1 settled pick across 1 match · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "First headline number for this record: 1 settled pick in the series “independent odds snapshot”.", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 1, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null } ], "counts_by_slice": { "portions": [ { "code": "live", "title": "Recorded before kick-off", "price_rule": "Return at our recorded market price", "settled_picks": 9, "total_check": true, "market_list": [ { "code_name": "1x2", "in_words": "Match result", "url": null, "settled_picks": 5, "won": 3, "void": 0, "net_points_hundredths": 5812, "return_percent": "11.6", "period_from": "2026-10-20", "period_to": "2026-11-05", "small_sample": true, "average_odds": "1.97", "odds_from_author": 5, "odds_from_snapshot": 0 }, { "code_name": "handicap_asian", "in_words": "Asian handicap", "url": 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