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 "heading": "Tipplap: Football Prediction Record",
 "description": "Verified record: 32 settled picks by Tipplap recorded before kick-off across 32 matches, 11 Oct 2026 – 7 Nov 2026: −15.2% at our recorded market prices.",
 "first_paragraph": {
  "body": "Forecast Record recorded 32 settled live picks by Tipplap before kick-off across 32 matches between 11 October and 7 November 2026. At our recorded market prices these picks returned −15.2% on the total staked. Of the 306 predictions we hold for Tipplap, 203 are linked to matches: 182 were recorded by us before kick-off and 21 first found after the match. Figures as of 7 November 2026.",
  "key_number": "−15.2%",
  "data": "2026-11-07",
  "source_info": "our own evidence archive and market snapshot",
  "brand": "Forecast Record"
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  "settled_count": 33,
  "date_count": 24,
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 "data_date": "2026-11-07T18:04:31.217Z",
 "built_at": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z",
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 "dependency_group": "author:e-93d1f76c6a2dcde804612cb0",
 "release_id": "20261107-195223",
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 "modules": {
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 },
 "affiliate_block": {
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  "request_url": "/partnery/moi",
  "disclosure": "Some links below are affiliate links and are marked as such. They never affect what you see above: the order of any table is computed before any commission is known.",
  "page_category": "author"
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 "entity": {
  "id": "e-93d1f76c6a2dcde804612cb0",
  "public_name": "Tipplap",
  "tracker_number": 2920,
  "status": "active",
  "inactive_since": null,
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  "observation_period": {
   "since": "2026-10-11",
   "until": "2026-11-07"
  },
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   "window_kind": "90d",
   "window_from": "2026-08-09",
   "window_to": "2026-11-07",
   "amount": "-15.1666",
   "unit": "percent",
   "data_status": "calculated",
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   "n_bets": 32,
   "n_events": 32,
   "n_void": 0,
   "ci_low": "-42.1672",
   "ci_high": "11.0778",
   "ci_method": "cluster_bootstrap",
   "price_source": "market_price",
   "coverage_percent": "37.50",
   "breakdown": [],
   "methodology_version": "2.2",
   "data_date": "2026-11-07T18:04:31.217Z",
   "enough_for_ranking": true,
   "series_uid": null,
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   "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot"
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  "byline": "Return on stakes at an independent odds snapshot over 90 days: 32 settled picks across 32 matches",
  "average_odds": "1.52",
  "odds_from_author": 12,
  "odds_from_snapshot": 20
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  ],
  "top_ups": [],
  "rule": "When the balance falls below 100 points and no bets are open, 10000 points are added; the remaining balance is kept. While bets are open we wait for settlement.",
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 },
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   {
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    "display_name": "At the author's stated price"
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   },
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   },
   {
    "code_name": "ambiguous",
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   },
   {
    "code_name": "after_match",
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    "figure": 9
   },
   {
    "code_name": "no_price_at_capture",
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   },
   {
    "code_name": "too_late",
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    "figure": 2
   },
   {
    "code_name": "stale_quote",
    "cause": "stale_quote",
    "figure": 1
   }
  ],
  "duplicates": 0,
  "junk": {},
  "dictionary_url": "/methodology/#words"
 },
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  {
   "observation_id": "n-597df0229f445f389151d799",
   "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-597df0229f445f389151d799",
   "quote_text": "Ismét belevágunk a Tipplap történetének legkedveltebb játékába, az Ágyúgolyó futamba!",
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   "published_at": "2026-11-07T00:01:00.000Z",
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    "data_status": "unknown",
    "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled",
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled."
   },
   "settlements": [],
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   "funnel_stage": "statement",
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  },
  {
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   "quote_text": "Cameron Devlin, Daisuke Yokota, Jose Cifuentes, Lawrence Shankland, Ross McCrorie és Youssef Chermiti nem bevethető.",
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    "detected_at": "2026-11-07T00:10:44.590Z",
    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
    "flags": [],
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    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
   "origin_detail": "no_match_linked",
   "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "added_on": null,
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   "quote_text": "ma mindkét csapat feláll majd középkezdéshez!",
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   "quote_text": "mindkét gárda feliratkozik az eredményjelző táblára!",
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   "quote_text": "Tény a vendégek látványosan javuló támadójátéka és a hazaiak védekezési sebezhetősége. A Bristol City ugyan komoly támadási nehézségekkel küzd, de a Bolton ellen háromszor, a Wolves ellen pedig egyszer is betalált, miközben hazai pályán mindössze két győzelmet aratott. A Norwich ezzel szemben remek formába lendült, az előző három bajnokiján tíz gólt szerzett, legutóbb a Derby otthonában aratott 4–0-s győzelmet, előtte pedig a Watford kapuját is háromszor vette be. A vendégek védelme ugyanakkor továbbra sem meggyőző, 14 forduló alatt 24 gólt kaptak, a Watford ellen pedig háromszor is kapituláltak. A Bristol Citynek is voltak eredményes mérkőzései az utóbbi hetekben. A Norwich támadóformája és a vendégek továbbra is sebezhető védekezése alapján mindkét kapus a háta mögé nyúl majd!",
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   "quote_text": "A Fulham javuló formája és a Newcastle védekezési problémái alapján mindkét csapat gólszerzése reális lehet a Craven Cottage-en. Lássuk, miért! A hazaiak az előző hat bajnokijukból mindössze egyet veszítettek el, és bár támadásban továbbra sem túl eredményesek, az Aston Villa ellen is betaláltak, miközben a Hull City és a Coventry ellen egyaránt győztek. A Newcastle ezzel szemben az utóbbi öt mérkőzéséből négyet elveszített, ráadásul a Coventrytől négy, az Evertontól pedig három gólt kapott. A vendégek ugyan a Crystal Palace otthonában is képesek voltak két gólt szerezni, idegenben pedig sorozatban második bajnoki győzelmükre készülnek, így támadásban bennük is megvan a potenciál. A BTTS mellett a Fulham hazai eredményessége és a Newcastle ingadozó védekezése, valamint a vendégek gólszerzési képessége szól.",
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   "quote_text": "Mindkét csapat szerez gólt | 1.42",
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   "quote_text": "Nürnberg nyer + Rostock nyer + Lipcse nyer és több, mint 2,5 gól | 3.74 | (7/10)",
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   "quote_text": "Az események számát illetően 2-3 meccsnél több nem várható.",
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   "quote_text": "Az Everton jó formában várja a Coventry elleni találkozót, amelyen a hazai pálya előnyét",
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   "observation_id": "n-93c2c6828226c2291bf970a8",
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   "quote_text": "A Sparta Matej Rynes, Adam Karabec, Magnus Kofod Andersen és Emmanuel Uchenna játékára biztosan nem számíthat",
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   "quote_text": "Az Aarhusnál Eric Kahl eltiltás, Nicolai Poulsen és Kevin Yakob pedig sérülés miatt hiányzik",
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   "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
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   "observation_id": "n-f156b7a4df54346127347600",
   "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-f156b7a4df54346127347600",
   "quote_text": "Sziasztok!\n\nMára 8 elemzés érkezik!",
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   "observation_id": "n-adf700efe8a8233985d9ec01",
   "url": "/sources/tipplap-hu/picks/15/#pick-n-adf700efe8a8233985d9ec01",
   "quote_text": "Vendégsiker várható.",
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    "url": "https://www.tipplap.hu/foci/fixek-keteselyek-20261105-8-europa-liga-es-konferencia-liga-elemzes",
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    "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled."
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  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-608a9c55d6a51da6c91cb7eb",
   "url": "/sources/tipplap-hu/picks/15/#pick-n-608a9c55d6a51da6c91cb7eb",
   "quote_text": "vendégsikert várok.",
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   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
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    "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled",
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  {
   "observation_id": "n-fd645bc4811031cdf34183c1",
   "url": "/sources/tipplap-hu/picks/15/#pick-n-fd645bc4811031cdf34183c1",
   "quote_text": "Hazai győzelmet várok!",
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   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
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   "origin": "source_stated_date",
   "origin_detail": "no_match_linked",
   "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "added_on": null,
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    "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled",
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  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-d6453ca602678f10c9561ecb",
   "url": "/sources/tipplap-hu/picks/15/#pick-n-d6453ca602678f10c9561ecb",
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     {
      "nid": "n-47ac653c6755ffa96b25dcbb",
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      "match": "Nottingham Forest v Arsenal",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: Arsenal",
      "outcome_label": "right",
      "evidence_price": null,
      "comparison": "28 other tipsters and sources on this match, 26 right (26 named away win, 2 named draw)",
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     "words": "No recorded prices for these picks, so the chance cannot be measured."
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  "publication_mode": "top20",
  "empty_reason": null,
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    "provenance": "live",
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    "tier": null,
    "provenance": "live",
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  "recent_record": [
   {
    "code_name": "S-01",
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   {
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    "provenance": "live",
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 "retro": null,
 "late": null,
 "price_vs_market": {
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  "threshold_percent": "5",
  "rows": [
   {
    "basis": "snapshot",
    "basis_words": "our market price for the same selection when we first recorded the pick (median of bookmakers in our price feed; failing that, the first price within 2 hours after, always before kick-off)",
    "basis_short": "Our market price when we first recorded the pick",
    "compared": 12,
    "above": 0,
    "above_share_percent": "0.0",
    "below": 1,
    "within": 11,
    "median_difference_percent": "1.7",
    "not_comparable": 0,
    "disputed": 0,
    "status": "calculated"
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  "examples": [
   {
    "url": "/sources/tipplap-hu/picks/12/#pick-n-3881ddd513d320992a5f5e7b",
    "basis": "snapshot",
    "stated": "1.35",
    "market": "1.43",
    "difference_percent": "-5.6"
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  ],
  "method": "Difference = the author's stated price ÷ the market price of the same selection − 1. A pick counts as above the market when the stated price is more than 5% higher. Each basis is its own comparison; they are never added together. A pair whose prices differ more than twofold is marked “price disputed”: it is probably not the same selection, so it is left out of this comparison and of every return at the author’s price until a manual check confirms the price. A price that the quoted text does not give is marked “price disputed” in the same way."
 },
 "record_summary": {
  "contract_version": "1",
  "entity_type": "editorial",
  "entity_words": "Editorial source",
  "source": {
   "name": "tipplap.hu",
   "url": "https://www.tipplap.hu/foci/fixek-keteselyek-20261107-parma-bologna-8-elemzes"
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  "state": "settled",
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  "series": "Recorded before kick-off, at our recorded market price",
  "restored": false,
  "headline_kind": "live_snapshot",
  "headline_part": "live",
  "settled_picks": 32,
  "matches": 32,
  "void": 0,
  "net_points_hundredths": -48533,
  "staked_hundredths": 320000,
  "return_percent": "-15.17",
  "stake_per_pick_hundredths": 10000,
  "period_from": "2026-10-11",
  "period_to": "2026-11-07",
  "status": "calculated",
  "method_version": "2.2",
  "short_history": false,
  "reason": null,
  "reasons": [],
  "sentence": "Forecast Record recorded 32 settled live picks by Tipplap before kick-off across 32 matches between 11 October and 7 November 2026. At our recorded market prices these picks returned −15.2% on the total staked. Of the 306 predictions we hold for Tipplap, 203 are linked to matches: 182 were recorded by us before kick-off and 21 first found after the match. Figures as of 7 November 2026.",
  "numbers": [
   {
    "label": "Settled live picks",
    "value": "32",
    "anchor": "/methodology/#settled-pick",
    "note": null
   },
   {
    "label": "Matches",
    "value": "32",
    "anchor": "/methodology/#match",
    "note": null
   },
   {
    "label": "Net result",
    "value": "−485.33 points",
    "anchor": "/methodology/#settlement",
    "note": "100 points per pick"
   },
   {
    "label": "Return at our recorded market price",
    "value": "−15.2%",
    "anchor": "/methodology/#roi",
    "note": "95% interval −42.2% to +11.1%"
   }
  ],
  "limitations": [],
  "other_series": [],
  "return_over_time": [
   {
    "date": "2026-10-11",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": 10101,
    "n": 2
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-10-12",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": 15301,
    "n": 3
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-10-15",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": 14501,
    "n": 6
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-10-17",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": 7701,
    "n": 10
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-10-19",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": -2299,
    "n": 11
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-10-20",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": -15449,
    "n": 15
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-10-23",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": -25449,
    "n": 16
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-10-24",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": -31049,
    "n": 18
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-10-28",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": -25349,
    "n": 19
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-10-30",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": -21049,
    "n": 20
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-10-31",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": -45335,
    "n": 24
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-11-01",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": -44233,
    "n": 27
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-11-03",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": -35133,
    "n": 29
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-11-05",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": -45133,
    "n": 30
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-11-06",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": -38533,
    "n": 31
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-11-07",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": -48533,
    "n": 32
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  "return_over_time_parts": {
   "live": {
    "part": "live",
    "label": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "Return at our recorded market price",
    "x_axis": "match_date",
    "dated_note": "Dated by match day. Each pick was recorded by us before kick-off and settled after the match.",
    "settled_picks": 32,
    "matches": 32,
    "match_dates": 16,
    "period_from": "2026-10-11",
    "period_to": "2026-11-07",
    "stake_per_pick_hundredths": 10000,
    "final_points_hundredths": -48533,
    "low": {
     "date": "2026-11-07",
     "cumulative_points_hundredths": -48533,
     "after_picks": 32
    },
    "high": {
     "date": "2026-10-12",
     "cumulative_points_hundredths": 15301,
     "after_picks": 3
    },
    "line_drawn": true,
    "steps": [
     {
      "date": "2026-10-11",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": 10101,
      "n": 2,
      "picks": 2
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-10-12",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": 15301,
      "n": 3,
      "picks": 1
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-10-15",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": 14501,
      "n": 6,
      "picks": 3
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-10-17",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": 7701,
      "n": 10,
      "picks": 4
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-10-19",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -2299,
      "n": 11,
      "picks": 1
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-10-20",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -15449,
      "n": 15,
      "picks": 4
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-10-23",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -25449,
      "n": 16,
      "picks": 1
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-10-24",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -31049,
      "n": 18,
      "picks": 2
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-10-28",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -25349,
      "n": 19,
      "picks": 1
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-10-30",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -21049,
      "n": 20,
      "picks": 1
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-10-31",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -45335,
      "n": 24,
      "picks": 4
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-11-01",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -44233,
      "n": 27,
      "picks": 3
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-11-03",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -35133,
      "n": 29,
      "picks": 2
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-11-05",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -45133,
      "n": 30,
      "picks": 1
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-11-06",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -38533,
      "n": 31,
      "picks": 1
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-11-07",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -48533,
      "n": 32,
      "picks": 1
     }
    ]
   },
   "archived": null
  },
  "author_response": null,
  "cite": {
   "text": "Forecast Record recorded 32 settled live picks by Tipplap before kick-off across 32 matches between 11 October and 7 November 2026. At our recorded market prices these picks returned −15.2% on the total staked. Of the 306 predictions we hold for Tipplap, 203 are linked to matches: 182 were recorded by us before kick-off and 21 first found after the match. Figures as of 7 November 2026.",
   "url": "https://forecastrecord.com/sources/tipplap-hu/",
   "data_as_of": "2026-11-07",
   "method_version": "2.2"
  },
  "origin": {
   "contract_version": "1",
   "predictions": 306,
   "under_review": 0,
   "no_match_linked": 103,
   "proven_predictions": 182,
   "proven_checked": 181,
   "proven_measured": 33,
   "proven_dates": 24,
   "parts": [
    {
     "code": "live",
     "title": "Recorded before kick-off",
     "explanation": "Saved by us from the source before kick-off.",
     "predictions": 182,
     "checked": 181,
     "price_rule": "Return at our recorded market price",
     "series_code": "market_price",
     "main": {
      "settled_picks": 32,
      "void": 0,
      "matches": 32,
      "net_points_hundredths": -48533,
      "staked_hundredths": 320000,
      "return_percent": "-15.17",
      "interval_low": "-42.17",
      "interval_high": "11.08",
      "interval_note": null,
      "period_from": "2026-10-11",
      "period_to": "2026-11-07",
      "method_version": "2.2",
      "snapshot_delay_median_hours": "0.0",
      "snapshot_delay_max_hours": "0.9",
      "checked_after_kickoff_picks": 13
     },
     "same_picks": [
      {
       "price": "Author-quoted price",
       "series_code": "author_price",
       "picks": 12,
       "return_main_percent": "-16.37",
       "return_other_percent": "-15.83",
       "settled_excluding_void": 12,
       "net_main_points_hundredths": -19646,
       "net_other_points_hundredths": -19000,
       "period_from": "2026-10-11",
       "period_to": "2026-11-06"
      },
      {
       "price": "Closing price",
       "series_code": "closing_live",
       "picks": 20,
       "return_main_percent": "-17.84",
       "return_other_percent": "-15.66",
       "settled_excluding_void": 20,
       "net_main_points_hundredths": -35683,
       "net_other_points_hundredths": -31324,
       "period_from": "2026-10-11",
       "period_to": "2026-11-07"
      }
     ],
     "score": {
      "score_forecasts": 1,
      "exact_hits": 0,
      "exact_rate": 0.0,
      "outcome_checked": 1,
      "outcome_hits": 0,
      "outcome_rate": 0.0,
      "baseline_matches": 0,
      "baseline_distinct_matches": 0,
      "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0,
      "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null,
      "favourite_hits": 0,
      "favourite_rate": null,
      "price_basis": null,
      "pending": 0,
      "void": 0,
      "recorded_after_kickoff": 0,
      "lines": [
       "Outcome checked. No betting return is attributed to this score forecast.",
       "0 of 1 score forecast named the exact score.",
       "The result implied by the named score was right in 0 of 1 forecast. No pre-match market price is available for these matches, so there is no market comparison.",
       "The implied result follows from the named score (2-1 implies a home win)."
      ]
     },
     "eligible": {
      "checked": 181,
      "priced": 32
     },
     "accuracy": {
      "picks": 32,
      "won": 18,
      "won_percent": "56.2",
      "implied_percent": "66.5",
      "left_out": 0,
      "by_market": [
       {
        "market": "Over/under goals",
        "won": 7,
        "picks": 15,
        "implied_percent": "65.8"
       },
       {
        "market": "Match result",
        "won": 9,
        "picks": 14,
        "implied_percent": "67.3"
       },
       {
        "market": "Both teams to score",
        "won": 1,
        "picks": 2,
        "implied_percent": "61.0"
       },
       {
        "market": "Double chance",
        "won": 1,
        "picks": 1,
        "implied_percent": "76.9"
       }
      ]
     },
     "reviewed_after": {
      "predictions": 94,
      "right": 54,
      "wrong": 40,
      "other": 0
     }
    },
    {
     "code": "archived",
     "title": "Archived before kick-off",
     "explanation": "Restored from a copy saved by an independent web archive before kick-off.",
     "predictions": 0,
     "checked": 0,
     "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices",
     "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
     "main": null,
     "same_picks": [],
     "score": {
      "score_forecasts": 0,
      "exact_hits": 0,
      "exact_rate": null,
      "outcome_checked": 0,
      "outcome_hits": 0,
      "outcome_rate": null,
      "baseline_matches": 0,
      "baseline_distinct_matches": 0,
      "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0,
      "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null,
      "favourite_hits": 0,
      "favourite_rate": null,
      "price_basis": null,
      "pending": 0,
      "void": 0,
      "recorded_after_kickoff": 0,
      "lines": []
     },
     "eligible": {
      "checked": 0,
      "priced": 0
     },
     "accuracy": null
    },
    {
     "code": "found_after",
     "title": "Found after the match",
     "explanation": "First found after the match; the date is the one the source states.",
     "predictions": 21,
     "checked": 10,
     "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices",
     "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
     "main": null,
     "same_picks": [],
     "score": {
      "score_forecasts": 0,
      "exact_hits": 0,
      "exact_rate": null,
      "outcome_checked": 0,
      "outcome_hits": 0,
      "outcome_rate": null,
      "baseline_matches": 0,
      "baseline_distinct_matches": 0,
      "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0,
      "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null,
      "favourite_hits": 0,
      "favourite_rate": null,
      "price_basis": null,
      "pending": 0,
      "void": 0,
      "recorded_after_kickoff": 0,
      "lines": []
     },
     "eligible": {
      "checked": 10,
      "priced": 0
     },
     "accuracy": null
    }
   ]
  },
  "live_alongside": null,
  "headline_record_ids": [
   "n-1ebc013a038ff4a5159b35af",
   "n-2110dc2640f75f7def58b7aa",
   "n-28789eaff1e460e39d40b83e",
   "n-2a948d68c6222d97241fc4d0",
   "n-3031186dfa71c1dbc0842a3b",
   "n-3881ddd513d320992a5f5e7b",
   "n-3d381b2bfc6e9604117a5f8b",
   "n-46138dc85442d23181ee00a5",
   "n-4c2e5d6b233ff60c767126dd",
   "n-4f9659e814179fdd57b24e5f",
   "n-4fa5941f5767f68b9eb612da",
   "n-8a96c4237e7632dc64460118",
   "n-971261b211d452abd6d2a1c4",
   "n-9f9c7513ddcdbc94c75c23e7",
   "n-a481c2a690d1e31745b2ab75",
   "n-a6f2fb4d902a5cd5356f5903",
   "n-ac61851e752fcd238f31629f",
   "n-afda46e04d03320d287be9f0",
   "n-b49719764c0e00bd740bd9e6",
   "n-b75f7d8766eff26fcd724da6",
   "n-ba47b9ad3724babc9ea7dbfa",
   "n-bcea8e06f15388e1e27bfe8b",
   "n-c842c97d0803561113d8f823",
   "n-c8ddaee2f32553f394879339",
   "n-ca9983a25cb9c9a88417be02",
   "n-ce66b2fb8255a17fa49f8df8",
   "n-d361692826befbacedd00047",
   "n-eda320679fa973d7847cd238",
   "n-ee6c3346ae8613ddf7a743df",
   "n-f59031861c2996c811d85ad8",
   "n-fea3b94001c68ea1b8c76acf",
   "n-fed7a9586b42f36b13727340"
  ],
  "interval_low": "-42.17",
  "interval_high": "11.08",
  "caption": "Recorded before kick-off, at our recorded market price · 100 points per pick · 11 October – 7 November 2026 · Calculated · picks settled under method v2.2",
  "record_from": "2026-10-11",
  "record_to": "2026-11-07"
 },
 "recorded_picks": [
  {
   "record_id": "n-2a948d68c6222d97241fc4d0",
   "url": "/sources/tipplap-hu/picks/16/#pick-n-2a948d68c6222d97241fc4d0",
   "match": "Cagliari v Frosinone",
   "match_url": "/football/matches/cagliari-vs-frosinone-2026-11-07/",
   "kickoff": "2026-11-07T14:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Serie A",
   "lead_hours": 13.8,
   "market_code": "total",
   "author_said": "Over/Under 2.5 goals: over 2.5",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Lost",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "1-0",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": -10000,
   "series_code": "market_price",
   "series_short": "odds snapshot",
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": "1.4850",
   "published_at": "2026-11-07T00:02:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-11-07T00:10:42.983Z",
   "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "record_part": "live",
   "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off",
   "in_headline": true,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-2a948d68c6222d97241fc4d0",
    "quote_text": "az Over 2,5 gól reális választás lehet",
    "fragment_from": 10716,
    "fragment_to": 10754,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://www.tipplap.hu/foci/under-25over-25-csokor-20261107-sbv-excelsior-go-ahead-eagles-6-elemzes",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": null,
     "authorship": "channel_consensus",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "4deefa313e2cafcdfb8e2149a9814d5c30a78862bc67952a5e712dc0229c72dd",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2026-11-07T00:02:00.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-11-07T00:10:42.983Z",
    "executed_at": "2026-11-07T00:43:17.456Z",
    "statement_class": "unpriced",
    "status": "recognised",
    "cause": null,
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": "s-9ac332c1af50",
     "display_name": "Cagliari — Frosinone",
     "competition_name": "Serie A",
     "starts_at": "2026-11-07T14:00:00.000Z",
     "url": "/football/matches/cagliari-vs-frosinone-2026-11-07/",
     "scoreline": "1-0",
     "condition": "finished"
    },
    "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
    "outcome_label": "over 2.5",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": null,
     "our_snapshot": "1.4850",
     "our_snapshot_at": "2026-11-07T00:08:59.877Z",
     "our_snapshot_source": "market snapshot",
     "closing": null,
     "closing_source": null
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "loss",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": -10000,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": "ours",
    "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "recorded_pre_match",
    "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2026-11-07T00:02:00.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "page",
     "source_page_at": "2026-11-07T00:02:00.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-11-07T00:10:42.983Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff",
    "origin_detail": null,
    "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
     "choice": "over 2.5",
     "author_odds": null,
     "market_key": "total",
     "choice_key": "over",
     "period": "match",
     "line": "2.5",
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Over/Under 2.5 goals: over 2.5"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "loss",
     "scoreline": "1-0",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "in_words": "Lost: the final score was Cagliari 1-0 Frosinone."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "3328901d9fca948bba9ebbec91f06b1f858a8b564cec64dd02153a2821b684e1",
      "series_key": "market_price",
      "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
      "choice": "over 2.5",
      "decimal_odds": "1.4850",
      "odds_role": "market_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "loss",
      "result_words": "Lost",
      "change_hundredths": -10000,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T00:43:17.456Z",
      "methodology_version": "2.2",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Tipplap",
     "publisher": "Tipplap",
     "forecaster": "Tipplap",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://www.tipplap.hu/foci/under-25over-25-csokor-20261107-sbv-excelsior-go-ahead-eagles-6-elemzes",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "over 2.5 (Over/Under 2.5 goals)"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-afda46e04d03320d287be9f0",
   "url": "/sources/tipplap-hu/picks/15/#pick-n-afda46e04d03320d287be9f0",
   "match": "Derby County v Bolton Wanderers",
   "match_url": "/football/matches/derby-county-vs-bolton-wanderers-2026-11-06/",
   "kickoff": "2026-11-06T20:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "EFL Championship",
   "lead_hours": 19.8,
   "market_code": "total",
   "author_said": "Over/Under 2.5 goals: over 2.5 at 1.64",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Won",
   "claim_outcome": "Won",
   "final_score": "3-1",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": 6600,
   "series_code": "market_price",
   "series_short": "odds snapshot",
   "author_price": "1.64",
   "settled_price": "1.6600",
   "published_at": "2026-11-06T00:02:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-11-06T00:09:46.085Z",
   "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "record_part": "live",
   "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off",
   "in_headline": true,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-afda46e04d03320d287be9f0",
    "quote_text": "Több, mint 2,5 gól a mérkőzésen | 1.64",
    "fragment_from": 9205,
    "fragment_to": 9243,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://www.tipplap.hu/foci/under-25over-25-csokor-20261105-derby-county-bolton-wanderers-1-elemzes",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": null,
     "authorship": "channel_consensus",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "87ca3dec99854527c0c3fc0df119ad6a98c0490debdbc53043ca82a0e315314f",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2026-11-06T00:02:00.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-11-06T00:09:46.085Z",
    "executed_at": "2026-11-06T00:33:44.154Z",
    "statement_class": "priced",
    "status": "recognised",
    "cause": null,
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": "s-e3cfad1a08bf",
     "display_name": "Derby County — Bolton Wanderers",
     "competition_name": "EFL Championship",
     "starts_at": "2026-11-06T20:00:00.000Z",
     "url": "/football/matches/derby-county-vs-bolton-wanderers-2026-11-06/",
     "scoreline": "3-1",
     "condition": "finished"
    },
    "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
    "outcome_label": "over 2.5",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": "1.64",
     "our_snapshot": "1.6600",
     "our_snapshot_at": "2026-11-06T00:09:22.699Z",
     "our_snapshot_source": "market snapshot",
     "closing": null,
     "closing_source": null
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "win",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": 6600,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": "ours",
    "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "recorded_pre_match",
    "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2026-11-06T00:02:00.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "page",
     "source_page_at": "2026-11-06T00:02:00.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-11-06T00:09:46.085Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff",
    "origin_detail": null,
    "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Over/Under 2.5 goals",
     "choice": "over 2.5",
     "author_odds": "1.64",
     "market_key": "total",
     "choice_key": "over",
     "period": "match",
     "line": "2.5",
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "Over/Under 2.5 goals: over 2.5 at 1.64"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "win",
     "scoreline": "3-1",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "in_words": "Won: the final score was Derby County 3-1 Bolton Wanderers."
    },
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   "quote": "Mindkét meccsen HAZAI győzelem és kevesebb, mint 3,5 gól lesz a meccsen | 4.80 | (7/10)",
   "group": "excluded",
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   "reason_code": "not_supported",
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   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
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  },
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   "quote": "Az OVER 2,5 gólos fogadást a két csapat támadójátéka indokolja!",
   "group": "excluded",
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   "reason": "",
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   "published_at": "2026-10-10T23:02:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-11T01:53:14.650Z",
   "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "record_part": "unlinked",
   "record_part_words": "Without a match page",
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   "quote": "tipp\n\nPEC Zwolle - Cambuur\nTöbb, mint 2,5 gól a mérkőzésen | 1.49 | (7/10)",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
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   "reason_code": "ambiguous",
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   "published_at": "2026-10-10T23:02:00.000Z",
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   "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "record_part": "unlinked",
   "record_part_words": "Without a match page",
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   "quote": "idegenbeli győzelmet arathat",
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   "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
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    "text": "−12.43% on 31 settled picks across 31 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
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    "text": "−15.17% on 32 settled picks across 32 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
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    "text": "−19.82% on 26 settled picks across 26 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
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   "after": {
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    "text": "−16.38% on 27 settled picks across 27 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
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   "url": "/sources/tipplap-hu/",
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    "composition_hash": "2a3d9abe04a342e2eb4994bd113a2024f32c08e8623a4478be0b3f494f1ca7d9",
    "text": "−18.89% on 24 settled picks across 24 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
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   "after": {
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    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
    "method_version": "2.2",
    "composition_hash": "c63ca87eeb91acbff455a6526b8643e130b053fa439c99a3a4fc05777e5a71a4",
    "text": "−19.82% on 26 settled picks across 26 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "reason": "2 new settled picks from matches played after the previous data version.",
   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
   "affected_records": {
    "added": 2,
    "removed": 0,
    "changed": 0
   },
   "correction_id": null
  },
  {
   "id": "zc-b3cd1adabdd59215c82b",
   "at": "2026-11-01T06:32:40.816Z",
   "data_version": "2026-11-01.1",
   "previous_data_version": "2026-10-31.2",
   "url": "/sources/tipplap-hu/",
   "category": "coverage_extended",
   "category_words": "Coverage extended",
   "before": {
    "data_version": "2026-10-31.2",
    "return_percent": "-22.20",
    "settled_picks": 23,
    "matches": 23,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
    "method_version": "2.2",
    "composition_hash": "d1cf147041fef6aec02880f82a54cbc62b81b96cac142e6a94fa16808124895f",
    "text": "−22.20% on 23 settled picks across 23 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "after": {
    "data_version": "2026-11-01.1",
    "return_percent": "-18.89",
    "settled_picks": 24,
    "matches": 24,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
    "method_version": "2.2",
    "composition_hash": "2a3d9abe04a342e2eb4994bd113a2024f32c08e8623a4478be0b3f494f1ca7d9",
    "text": "−18.89% on 24 settled picks across 24 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "reason": "Added 1 earlier pick for matches played before the previous data version (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).",
   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
   "affected_records": {
    "added": 1,
    "removed": 0,
    "changed": 0
   },
   "correction_id": null
  },
  {
   "id": "zc-d72de33cde95508ec3c4",
   "at": "2026-10-31T21:01:38.334Z",
   "data_version": "2026-10-31.2",
   "previous_data_version": "2026-10-31.1",
   "url": "/sources/tipplap-hu/",
   "category": "new_results",
   "category_words": "New results",
   "before": {
    "data_version": "2026-10-31.1",
    "return_percent": "-10.52",
    "settled_picks": 20,
    "matches": 20,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
    "method_version": "2.2",
    "composition_hash": "e50e411d65b109cc1a711dda5abf03c3c73423b9afdb2754bb0abcfe433d20ad",
    "text": "−10.52% on 20 settled picks across 20 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "after": {
    "data_version": "2026-10-31.2",
    "return_percent": "-22.20",
    "settled_picks": 23,
    "matches": 23,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
    "method_version": "2.2",
    "composition_hash": "d1cf147041fef6aec02880f82a54cbc62b81b96cac142e6a94fa16808124895f",
    "text": "−22.20% on 23 settled picks across 23 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "reason": "3 new settled picks from matches played after the previous data version.",
   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
   "affected_records": {
    "added": 3,
    "removed": 0,
    "changed": 0
   },
   "correction_id": null
  },
  {
   "id": "zc-4ce7f3427b6acf86fd3f",
   "at": "2026-10-31T04:09:05.944Z",
   "data_version": "2026-10-31.1",
   "previous_data_version": "2026-10-30.3",
   "url": "/sources/tipplap-hu/",
   "category": "new_results",
   "category_words": "New results",
   "before": {
    "data_version": "2026-10-29.1",
    "return_percent": "-13.34",
    "settled_picks": 19,
    "matches": 19,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
    "method_version": "2.2",
    "composition_hash": "bcd2033b6e6e27a9a6be88ad5dab5ba13d46f4af23f0968af62722a97d661852",
    "text": "−13.34% on 19 settled picks across 19 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "after": {
    "data_version": "2026-10-31.1",
    "return_percent": "-10.52",
    "settled_picks": 20,
    "matches": 20,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
    "method_version": "2.2",
    "composition_hash": "e50e411d65b109cc1a711dda5abf03c3c73423b9afdb2754bb0abcfe433d20ad",
    "text": "−10.52% on 20 settled picks across 20 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "reason": "1 new settled pick from matches played after the previous data version.",
   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
   "affected_records": {
    "added": 1,
    "removed": 0,
    "changed": 0
   },
   "correction_id": null
  },
  {
   "id": "zc-15a94bdea3d3a2b121cf",
   "at": "2026-10-29T20:28:50.091Z",
   "data_version": "2026-10-29.1",
   "previous_data_version": "2026-10-28.4",
   "url": "/sources/tipplap-hu/",
   "category": "new_results",
   "category_words": "New results",
   "before": {
    "data_version": "2026-10-24.4",
    "return_percent": "-17.25",
    "settled_picks": 18,
    "matches": 18,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
    "method_version": "2.2",
    "composition_hash": "77d664e085d7be66c54ceaca5c49cf8bc91a0d25ce9e31a944e0d17aa083f868",
    "text": "−17.25% on 18 settled picks across 18 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "after": {
    "data_version": "2026-10-29.1",
    "return_percent": "-13.34",
    "settled_picks": 19,
    "matches": 19,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
    "method_version": "2.2",
    "composition_hash": "bcd2033b6e6e27a9a6be88ad5dab5ba13d46f4af23f0968af62722a97d661852",
    "text": "−13.34% on 19 settled picks across 19 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "reason": "1 new settled pick from matches played after the previous data version.",
   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
   "affected_records": {
    "added": 1,
    "removed": 0,
    "changed": 0
   },
   "correction_id": null
  },
  {
   "id": "zc-1ec73a1c7db7ad79ed4e",
   "at": "2026-10-24T16:52:01.947Z",
   "data_version": "2026-10-24.4",
   "previous_data_version": "2026-10-24.3",
   "url": "/sources/tipplap-hu/",
   "category": "new_results",
   "category_words": "New results",
   "before": {
    "data_version": "2026-10-24.1",
    "return_percent": "-15.91",
    "settled_picks": 16,
    "matches": 16,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
    "method_version": "2.2",
    "composition_hash": "ba8f3e45cbbc80b040cac56a1f1b9fe7ddd048b6144a5567766f53b4580eb52c",
    "text": "−15.91% on 16 settled picks across 16 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "after": {
    "data_version": "2026-10-24.4",
    "return_percent": "-17.25",
    "settled_picks": 18,
    "matches": 18,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
    "method_version": "2.2",
    "composition_hash": "77d664e085d7be66c54ceaca5c49cf8bc91a0d25ce9e31a944e0d17aa083f868",
    "text": "−17.25% on 18 settled picks across 18 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "reason": "2 new settled picks from matches played after the previous data version.",
   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
   "affected_records": {
    "added": 2,
    "removed": 0,
    "changed": 0
   },
   "correction_id": null
  },
  {
   "id": "zc-4ae189673e6deef1e7ca",
   "at": "2026-10-24T01:51:11.728Z",
   "data_version": "2026-10-24.1",
   "previous_data_version": "2026-10-23.4",
   "url": "/sources/tipplap-hu/",
   "category": "new_results",
   "category_words": "New results",
   "before": {
    "data_version": "2026-10-22.4",
    "return_percent": "-10.30",
    "settled_picks": 15,
    "matches": 15,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
    "method_version": "2.2",
    "composition_hash": "a87c3da60e9fbf38e2754e9a23f7d2ef7d995f56561648ff285b0b74d3807ff7",
    "text": "−10.30% on 15 settled picks across 15 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "after": {
    "data_version": "2026-10-24.1",
    "return_percent": "-15.91",
    "settled_picks": 16,
    "matches": 16,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
    "method_version": "2.2",
    "composition_hash": "ba8f3e45cbbc80b040cac56a1f1b9fe7ddd048b6144a5567766f53b4580eb52c",
    "text": "−15.91% on 16 settled picks across 16 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "reason": "1 new settled pick from matches played after the previous data version.",
   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
   "affected_records": {
    "added": 1,
    "removed": 0,
    "changed": 0
   },
   "correction_id": null
  },
  {
   "id": "zc-016033f1b0352cfc1e8a",
   "at": "2026-10-22T13:04:00.441Z",
   "data_version": "2026-10-22.4",
   "previous_data_version": "2026-10-22.3",
   "url": "/sources/tipplap-hu/",
   "category": "coverage_extended",
   "category_words": "Coverage extended",
   "before": {
    "data_version": "2026-10-21.1",
    "return_percent": "-20.50",
    "settled_picks": 9,
    "matches": 9,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
    "method_version": "2.2",
    "composition_hash": "5d24178342ac1e739d2221751f845acd9d09fba20320fa93ee75652259a41ec2",
    "text": "−184.49 points on 9 settled picks across 9 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "after": {
    "data_version": "2026-10-22.4",
    "return_percent": "-10.30",
    "settled_picks": 15,
    "matches": 15,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
    "method_version": "2.2",
    "composition_hash": "a87c3da60e9fbf38e2754e9a23f7d2ef7d995f56561648ff285b0b74d3807ff7",
    "text": "−10.30% on 15 settled picks across 15 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "reason": "Added 6 earlier picks for matches played before the previous data version (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).",
   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
   "affected_records": {
    "added": 6,
    "removed": 0,
    "changed": 0
   },
   "correction_id": null
  },
  {
   "id": "zc-20bc1e0fd33aa4abde65",
   "at": "2026-10-21T02:27:55.722Z",
   "data_version": "2026-10-21.1",
   "previous_data_version": "2026-10-20.8",
   "url": "/sources/tipplap-hu/",
   "category": "new_results",
   "category_words": "New results",
   "before": {
    "data_version": "2026-10-19.6",
    "return_percent": "-25.50",
    "settled_picks": 6,
    "matches": 6,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
    "method_version": "2.2",
    "composition_hash": "16e6e30829b917121dc49c5b8c14ca4d19d649a83914e036503ea10066dc326d",
    "text": "−152.99 points on 6 settled picks across 6 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "after": {
    "data_version": "2026-10-21.1",
    "return_percent": "-20.50",
    "settled_picks": 9,
    "matches": 9,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
    "method_version": "2.2",
    "composition_hash": "5d24178342ac1e739d2221751f845acd9d09fba20320fa93ee75652259a41ec2",
    "text": "−184.49 points on 9 settled picks across 9 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "reason": "3 new settled picks from matches played after the previous data version.",
   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
   "affected_records": {
    "added": 3,
    "removed": 0,
    "changed": 0
   },
   "correction_id": null
  },
  {
   "id": "zc-84f23727380dedf58feb",
   "at": "2026-10-19T19:39:27.559Z",
   "data_version": "2026-10-19.6",
   "previous_data_version": "2026-10-19.5",
   "url": "/sources/tipplap-hu/",
   "category": "data_corrected",
   "category_words": "Data corrected",
   "before": {
    "data_version": "2026-10-18.1",
    "return_percent": "-36.08",
    "settled_picks": 12,
    "matches": 12,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
    "method_version": "2.2",
    "composition_hash": "4fbe8bbdaeadd47abd8ca7a791685511e091a2dbcde6c35d8242961a9a6dbc09",
    "text": "−36.08% on 12 settled picks across 12 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "after": {
    "data_version": "2026-10-19.6",
    "return_percent": "-25.50",
    "settled_picks": 6,
    "matches": 6,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
    "method_version": "2.2",
    "composition_hash": "16e6e30829b917121dc49c5b8c14ca4d19d649a83914e036503ea10066dc326d",
    "text": "−152.99 points on 6 settled picks across 6 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "reason": "Data corrected: 6 picks left the headline sample.",
   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
   "affected_records": {
    "added": 0,
    "removed": 6,
    "changed": 0
   },
   "correction_id": "i-026c551c8cd49db9ceeb"
  },
  {
   "id": "zc-194e9b9bf8d90666a8d9",
   "at": "2026-10-18T01:26:50.135Z",
   "data_version": "2026-10-18.1",
   "previous_data_version": "2026-10-17.5",
   "url": "/sources/tipplap-hu/",
   "category": "new_results",
   "category_words": "New results",
   "before": {
    "data_version": "2026-10-15.9",
    "return_percent": "-0.50",
    "settled_picks": 6,
    "matches": 6,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
    "method_version": "2.2",
    "composition_hash": "c2a7f28fd9a294a3a8bb541bf4ab8f7e8609b4fc1cc05a2520f808679c9f7c22",
    "text": "−2.99 points on 6 settled picks across 6 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "after": {
    "data_version": "2026-10-18.1",
    "return_percent": "-36.08",
    "settled_picks": 12,
    "matches": 12,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
    "method_version": "2.2",
    "composition_hash": "4fbe8bbdaeadd47abd8ca7a791685511e091a2dbcde6c35d8242961a9a6dbc09",
    "text": "−36.08% on 12 settled picks across 12 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "reason": "6 new settled picks from matches played after the previous data version.",
   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
   "affected_records": {
    "added": 6,
    "removed": 0,
    "changed": 0
   },
   "correction_id": null
  },
  {
   "id": "zc-7613acf10373bf3ec6cf",
   "at": "2026-10-15T21:55:15.257Z",
   "data_version": "2026-10-15.9",
   "previous_data_version": "2026-10-15.8",
   "url": "/sources/tipplap-hu/",
   "category": "coverage_extended",
   "category_words": "Coverage extended",
   "before": {
    "data_version": "2026-10-15.7",
    "return_percent": "19.40",
    "settled_picks": 5,
    "matches": 5,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
    "method_version": "2.2",
    "composition_hash": "9db5922b2a965f8a39559221164f0edf82c7f3435890f9b90e9991c575de0340",
    "text": "+97.01 points on 5 settled picks across 5 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "after": {
    "data_version": "2026-10-15.9",
    "return_percent": "-0.50",
    "settled_picks": 6,
    "matches": 6,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
    "method_version": "2.2",
    "composition_hash": "c2a7f28fd9a294a3a8bb541bf4ab8f7e8609b4fc1cc05a2520f808679c9f7c22",
    "text": "−2.99 points on 6 settled picks across 6 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "reason": "Added 1 earlier pick for matches played before the previous data version (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).",
   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
   "affected_records": {
    "added": 1,
    "removed": 0,
    "changed": 0
   },
   "correction_id": null
  },
  {
   "id": "zc-9daa43f63e971265327c",
   "at": "2026-10-15T19:51:34.525Z",
   "data_version": "2026-10-15.7",
   "previous_data_version": "2026-10-15.6",
   "url": "/sources/tipplap-hu/",
   "category": "coverage_extended",
   "category_words": "Coverage extended",
   "before": {
    "data_version": "2026-10-13.7",
    "return_percent": "12.75",
    "settled_picks": 4,
    "matches": 4,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
    "method_version": "2.2",
    "composition_hash": "1fdbf1646524b8849725cd38d1e45e3d9199de968a6980b2fe431aaa82ee3238",
    "text": "+51.01 points on 4 settled picks across 4 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "after": {
    "data_version": "2026-10-15.7",
    "return_percent": "19.40",
    "settled_picks": 5,
    "matches": 5,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
    "method_version": "2.2",
    "composition_hash": "9db5922b2a965f8a39559221164f0edf82c7f3435890f9b90e9991c575de0340",
    "text": "+97.01 points on 5 settled picks across 5 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "reason": "Added 1 earlier pick for matches played before the previous data version (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).",
   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
   "affected_records": {
    "added": 1,
    "removed": 0,
    "changed": 0
   },
   "correction_id": null
  },
  {
   "id": "zc-b18ca6bb19515383d5a9",
   "at": "2026-10-13T22:19:28.588Z",
   "data_version": "2026-10-13.7",
   "previous_data_version": "2026-10-13.6",
   "url": "/sources/tipplap-hu/",
   "category": "coverage_extended",
   "category_words": "Coverage extended",
   "before": {
    "data_version": "2026-10-11.7",
    "return_percent": "50.34",
    "settled_picks": 3,
    "matches": 3,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
    "method_version": "2.2",
    "composition_hash": "a1fb078ec2af05dce9cba2d1c421aba2912ea9e202620add6157d970a4453549",
    "text": "+151.01 points on 3 settled picks across 3 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "after": {
    "data_version": "2026-10-13.7",
    "return_percent": "12.75",
    "settled_picks": 4,
    "matches": 4,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
    "method_version": "2.2",
    "composition_hash": "1fdbf1646524b8849725cd38d1e45e3d9199de968a6980b2fe431aaa82ee3238",
    "text": "+51.01 points on 4 settled picks across 4 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "reason": "Added 1 earlier pick for matches played before the previous data version (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).",
   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
   "affected_records": {
    "added": 1,
    "removed": 0,
    "changed": 0
   },
   "correction_id": null
  },
  {
   "id": "zc-c282a6cd42feebc151ca",
   "at": "2026-10-11T20:14:51.236Z",
   "data_version": "2026-10-11.7",
   "previous_data_version": "2026-10-11.6",
   "url": "/sources/tipplap-hu/",
   "category": "coverage_extended",
   "category_words": "Coverage extended",
   "before": {
    "data_version": "2026-10-11.6",
    "return_percent": "46.01",
    "settled_picks": 2,
    "matches": 2,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
    "method_version": "2.2",
    "composition_hash": "415bb1743d50d3efec18266c55b9d3994aacda814b81cb191989260c4394b768",
    "text": "+92.02 points on 2 settled picks across 2 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "after": {
    "data_version": "2026-10-11.7",
    "return_percent": "50.34",
    "settled_picks": 3,
    "matches": 3,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
    "method_version": "2.2",
    "composition_hash": "a1fb078ec2af05dce9cba2d1c421aba2912ea9e202620add6157d970a4453549",
    "text": "+151.01 points on 3 settled picks across 3 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "reason": "Added 1 earlier pick for matches played before the previous data version (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).",
   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
   "affected_records": {
    "added": 1,
    "removed": 0,
    "changed": 0
   },
   "correction_id": null
  }
 ],
 "counts_by_slice": {
  "portions": [
   {
    "code": "live",
    "title": "Recorded before kick-off",
    "price_rule": "Return at our recorded market price",
    "settled_picks": 32,
    "total_check": true,
    "market_list": [
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      "in_words": "Over/under goals",
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      "settled_picks": 15,
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      "void": 0,
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     },
     {
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      "period_from": "2026-10-11",
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     {
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      "void": 0,
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      "period_from": "2026-10-31",
      "period_to": "2026-11-03",
      "small_sample": true,
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     },
     {
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      "net_points_hundredths": 3000,
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      "period_from": "2026-11-03",
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      "small_sample": true,
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    "leagues": [
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      "void": 0,
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      "period_from": "2026-10-17",
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      "league_markets": [
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        "period_from": "2026-10-17",
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        "period_from": "2026-10-19",
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        "period_from": "2026-11-03",
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        "period_from": "2026-10-17",
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       {
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      "code_name": "EFL League One",
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      "small_sample": true,
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      "league_markets": [
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        "period_from": "2026-11-03",
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        "small_sample": true,
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       },
       {
        "code_name": "1x2",
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        "period_from": "2026-10-20",
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        "small_sample": true,
        "average_odds": "1.55",
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       },
       {
        "code_name": "total",
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        "period_from": "2026-10-20",
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        "small_sample": true,
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      "code_name": "Liga Profesional",
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      "period_from": "2026-10-12",
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      "small_sample": true,
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      "league_markets": [
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        "code_name": "total",
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        "small_sample": true,
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      "code_name": "Premier League",
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      "void": 0,
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      "period_from": "2026-10-31",
      "period_to": "2026-10-31",
      "small_sample": true,
      "average_odds": "1.55",
      "odds_from_author": 0,
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      "league_markets": [
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        "code_name": "both_teams_score",
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        "return_percent": null,
        "period_from": "2026-10-31",
        "period_to": "2026-10-31",
        "small_sample": true,
        "average_odds": "1.67",
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       },
       {
        "code_name": "1x2",
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        "period_from": "2026-10-31",
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        "small_sample": true,
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       {
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        "period_from": "2026-10-31",
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     {
      "code_name": "UEFA Europa League",
      "in_words": "UEFA Europa League",
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      "won": 1,
      "void": 0,
      "net_points_hundredths": -15400,
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      "small_sample": true,
      "average_odds": "1.59",
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      "league_markets": [
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        "period_from": "2026-10-15",
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        "small_sample": true,
        "average_odds": "1.63",
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       },
       {
        "code_name": "1x2",
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        "period_from": "2026-11-05",
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        "small_sample": true,
        "average_odds": "1.50",
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      "code_name": "Bundesliga",
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      "void": 0,
      "net_points_hundredths": -5600,
      "return_percent": "-28.0",
      "period_from": "2026-10-24",
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      "small_sample": true,
      "average_odds": "1.48",
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      "league_markets": [
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        "period_from": "2026-10-24",
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      "code_name": "LaLiga",
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      "url": "/football/competitions/laliga/",
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      "void": 0,
      "net_points_hundredths": -4101,
      "return_percent": "-20.5",
      "period_from": "2026-10-11",
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      "small_sample": true,
      "average_odds": "1.52",
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      "league_markets": [
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        "period_from": "2026-10-11",
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        "small_sample": true,
        "average_odds": "1.52",
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     {
      "code_name": "Ligue 1",
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      "period_from": "2026-10-11",
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      "small_sample": true,
      "average_odds": "1.43",
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      "league_markets": [
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        "period_from": "2026-10-11",
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        "average_odds": "1.43",
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      ]
     },
     {
      "code_name": "UEFA Champions League",
      "in_words": "UEFA Champions League",
      "url": "/football/competitions/uefa-champions-league/",
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      "won": 1,
      "void": 0,
      "net_points_hundredths": -8650,
      "return_percent": "-43.2",
      "period_from": "2026-10-20",
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      "small_sample": true,
      "average_odds": "1.33",
      "odds_from_author": 2,
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      "league_markets": [
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        "code_name": "1x2",
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        "return_percent": null,
        "period_from": "2026-10-20",
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        "small_sample": true,
        "average_odds": "1.17",
        "odds_from_author": 1,
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       },
       {
        "code_name": "total",
        "in_words": "Over/under goals",
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        "return_percent": null,
        "period_from": "2026-10-20",
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        "small_sample": true,
        "average_odds": "1.49",
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        "odds_from_snapshot": 0
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      ]
     },
     {
      "code_name": "Eredivisie",
      "in_words": "Eredivisie",
      "url": "/football/competitions/eredivisie/",
      "settled_picks": 1,
      "won": 1,
      "void": 0,
      "net_points_hundredths": 4400,
      "return_percent": "44.0",
      "period_from": "2026-10-17",
      "period_to": "2026-10-17",
      "small_sample": true,
      "average_odds": "1.44",
      "odds_from_author": 0,
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      "league_markets": [
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        "return_percent": null,
        "period_from": "2026-10-17",
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        "small_sample": true,
        "average_odds": "1.44",
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       }
      ]
     },
     {
      "code_name": "Primeira Liga",
      "in_words": "Primeira Liga",
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      "void": 0,
      "net_points_hundredths": 7300,
      "return_percent": "73.0",
      "period_from": "2026-11-01",
      "period_to": "2026-11-01",
      "small_sample": true,
      "average_odds": "1.73",
      "odds_from_author": 0,
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      "league_markets": [
       {
        "code_name": "1x2",
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        "period_from": "2026-11-01",
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        "small_sample": true,
        "average_odds": "1.73",
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       }
      ]
     },
     {
      "code_name": "Scottish Premiership",
      "in_words": "Scottish Premiership",
      "url": "/football/competitions/scottish-premiership/",
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      "won": 1,
      "void": 0,
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      "period_from": "2026-10-28",
      "period_to": "2026-10-28",
      "small_sample": true,
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      "league_markets": [
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        "in_words": "Over/under goals",
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        "period_from": "2026-10-28",
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        "small_sample": true,
        "average_odds": "1.61",
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       }
      ]
     },
     {
      "code_name": "Serie A",
      "in_words": "Serie A",
      "url": "/football/competitions/serie-a/",
      "settled_picks": 1,
      "won": 0,
      "void": 0,
      "net_points_hundredths": -10000,
      "return_percent": "-100.0",
      "period_from": "2026-11-07",
      "period_to": "2026-11-07",
      "small_sample": true,
      "average_odds": "1.49",
      "odds_from_author": 0,
      "odds_from_snapshot": 1,
      "league_markets": [
       {
        "code_name": "total",
        "in_words": "Over/under goals",
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        "net_points_hundredths": -10000,
        "return_percent": null,
        "period_from": "2026-11-07",
        "period_to": "2026-11-07",
        "small_sample": true,
        "average_odds": "1.49",
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       }
      ]
     },
     {
      "code_name": "UEFA Conference League",
      "in_words": "UEFA Conference League",
      "url": "/football/competitions/uefa-conference-league/",
      "settled_picks": 1,
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      "void": 0,
      "net_points_hundredths": 4600,
      "return_percent": "46.0",
      "period_from": "2026-10-15",
      "period_to": "2026-10-15",
      "small_sample": true,
      "average_odds": "1.46",
      "odds_from_author": 0,
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