{
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 "url": "/sources/statymai-com/",
 "canonical": "/sources/statymai-com/",
 "language": "en",
 "hreflang": [],
 "translations": [],
 "heading": "Statymai: Football Prediction Record",
 "description": "Verified record: 14 settled picks by Statymai recorded before kick-off across 13 matches, 13 Oct 2026 – 31 Oct 2026: −31.2% at our recorded market prices.",
 "first_paragraph": {
  "body": "Forecast Record recorded 14 settled live picks by Statymai before kick-off across 13 matches between 13 and 31 October 2026. At our recorded market prices these picks returned −31.2% on the total staked. Of the 2,002 predictions we hold for Statymai, 162 are linked to matches: 112 were recorded by us before kick-off and 50 first found after the match. Figures as of 7 November 2026.",
  "key_number": "−31.2%",
  "data": "2026-11-07",
  "source_info": "our own evidence archive and market snapshot",
  "brand": "Forecast Record"
 },
 "indexable": false,
 "noindex_reason": "outside_core",
 "indexing_threshold": {
  "settled_count": 14,
  "date_count": 18,
  "required_settled": 10,
  "required_dates": 2
 },
 "data_date": "2026-11-07T18:07:53.604Z",
 "built_at": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z",
 "lastmod": "2026-11-08T02:12:33.000Z",
 "content_hash": null,
 "meaning_hash": "fd597b85b30b417ed7e35c9519f61ff3bbb5fb6435de2adb5d8eb46602eaa037",
 "dependency_group": "author:e-af446a2bb77d860bb17a8a73",
 "release_id": "20261107-195223",
 "markup": [
  {
   "type_code": "WebPage",
   "allowed": true,
   "cause": null
  },
  {
   "type_code": "Organization",
   "allowed": true,
   "cause": null
  }
 ],
 "exports": [
  {
   "type_code": "json",
   "url": "/sources/statymai-com/index.json",
   "bytes": null
  },
  {
   "type_code": "csv",
   "url": "/sources/statymai-com/picks.csv",
   "bytes": null
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 ],
 "modules": {
  "affiliate": true,
  "api": true,
  "compare_yourself": false
 },
 "affiliate_block": {
  "container": true,
  "request_url": "/partnery/moi",
  "disclosure": "Some links below are affiliate links and are marked as such. They never affect what you see above: the order of any table is computed before any commission is known.",
  "page_category": "author"
 },
 "restrictions": {
  "name_withdrawn": false,
  "tracker_number": null,
  "withdrawn_quotes": [],
  "removed_at": null,
  "cause": null,
  "suspended_records": [],
  "withdrawal_log_number": 0
 },
 "page_links": {
  "methodology": "/methodology/",
  "right_of_reply": "/right-of-reply/",
  "source_coverage": "/coverage/",
  "corrections_log": "/corrections/",
  "api": "/api/",
  "claim": "/claim/"
 },
 "entity": {
  "id": "e-af446a2bb77d860bb17a8a73",
  "public_name": "Statymai",
  "tracker_number": 2978,
  "status": "active",
  "inactive_since": null,
  "verified_creator": false,
  "observation_period": {
   "since": "2026-10-11",
   "until": "2026-11-07"
  },
  "platform_list": [
   {
    "medium": "website",
    "handle": null,
    "url": null,
    "link_confirmed": false,
    "show": true
   }
  ],
  "comment": null
 },
 "headline_number": {
  "metric": {
   "metric_id": "p-e-af446a2bb77d860bb17a8a73-roi-market-price-90d-z99",
   "code_name": "roi_market_price",
   "display_name": "Return on stakes at an independent odds snapshot",
   "window_kind": "90d",
   "window_from": "2026-08-09",
   "window_to": "2026-11-07",
   "amount": "-31.2164",
   "unit": "percent",
   "data_status": "calculated",
   "cause": null,
   "n_bets": 14,
   "n_events": 13,
   "n_void": 0,
   "ci_low": "-75.1029",
   "ci_high": "27.3838",
   "ci_method": "cluster_bootstrap",
   "price_source": "market_price",
   "coverage_percent": "100.00",
   "breakdown": [],
   "methodology_version": "2.2",
   "data_date": "2026-11-07T18:07:53.604Z",
   "enough_for_ranking": false,
   "series_uid": null,
   "series_key": "market_price",
   "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot"
  },
  "byline": "Return on stakes at an independent odds snapshot over 90 days: 14 settled picks across 13 matches",
  "average_odds": "2.15",
  "odds_from_author": 14,
  "odds_from_snapshot": 0
 },
 "metrics": [],
 "history": [],
 "simulation": {
  "series_uid": "sr-29194d7d45798ba8220307d9",
  "bankroll_hundredths": 956297,
  "reserve_hundredths": 0,
  "issued_total_hundredths": 1000000,
  "top_up_count": 0,
  "profit_hundredths": -43703,
  "rewards_off": null,
  "initial_hundredths": 1000000,
  "stake_hundredths": 10000,
  "data_points": [
   {
    "at": "2026-10-13T21:19:49.189Z",
    "bankroll_hundredths": 1007152,
    "profit_hundredths": 7152,
    "outcome_id": "ish-a765d5ed2532a91cbc69b6cb"
   },
   {
    "at": "2026-10-17T21:30:16.220Z",
    "bankroll_hundredths": 997152,
    "profit_hundredths": -2848,
    "outcome_id": "ish-86704f28bd359bb6040cb74f"
   },
   {
    "at": "2026-10-18T05:50:57.457Z",
    "bankroll_hundredths": 1007164,
    "profit_hundredths": 7164,
    "outcome_id": "ish-d8180190318c343c35586172"
   },
   {
    "at": "2026-10-18T05:59:05.064Z",
    "bankroll_hundredths": 997164,
    "profit_hundredths": -2836,
    "outcome_id": "ish-71e5b7b39c0c055849a7ba93"
   },
   {
    "at": "2026-10-22T00:44:44.326Z",
    "bankroll_hundredths": 1004868,
    "profit_hundredths": 4868,
    "outcome_id": "ish-7c5213683f171d0ca8f90ee6"
   },
   {
    "at": "2026-10-24T00:58:23.211Z",
    "bankroll_hundredths": 994868,
    "profit_hundredths": -5132,
    "outcome_id": "ish-59b6ce74aa2378edd67ae3fb"
   },
   {
    "at": "2026-10-24T00:58:23.505Z",
    "bankroll_hundredths": 1007368,
    "profit_hundredths": 7368,
    "outcome_id": "ish-a7c86c3a172ffac2e6fa0a13"
   },
   {
    "at": "2026-10-25T01:46:09.280Z",
    "bankroll_hundredths": 997368,
    "profit_hundredths": -2632,
    "outcome_id": "ish-96196876a8526681fa07263d"
   },
   {
    "at": "2026-10-25T01:46:09.295Z",
    "bankroll_hundredths": 987368,
    "profit_hundredths": -12632,
    "outcome_id": "ish-bd8bf5c97a57ded311645303"
   },
   {
    "at": "2026-10-26T12:50:43.003Z",
    "bankroll_hundredths": 977368,
    "profit_hundredths": -22632,
    "outcome_id": "ish-871bbadc25cfc957b77038f0"
   },
   {
    "at": "2026-10-28T20:17:57.902Z",
    "bankroll_hundredths": 986297,
    "profit_hundredths": -13703,
    "outcome_id": "ish-9645a05c0678e3ae5d374ea9"
   },
   {
    "at": "2026-10-28T22:08:52.384Z",
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    "profit_hundredths": -23703,
    "outcome_id": "ish-39b5bc80121835bcfa9548ea"
   },
   {
    "at": "2026-10-31T17:50:52.355Z",
    "bankroll_hundredths": 966297,
    "profit_hundredths": -33703,
    "outcome_id": "ish-1e5bc64593ba2297b55848ed"
   },
   {
    "at": "2026-10-31T20:11:18.932Z",
    "bankroll_hundredths": 956297,
    "profit_hundredths": -43703,
    "outcome_id": "ish-c8dcb6d714b42d96c7cd6a3f"
   }
  ],
  "top_ups": [],
  "rule": "When the balance falls below 100 points and no bets are open, 10000 points are added; the remaining balance is kept. While bets are open we wait for settlement.",
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  "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot"
 },
 "simulations": [],
 "completeness": {
  "detected": 2277,
  "recognised": 2002,
  "accepted": 133,
  "executed": 20,
  "calculated": 19,
  "gaps": [
   {
    "cause": "not_supported",
    "figure": 1510
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   {
    "cause": "other reading",
    "figure": 328
   },
   {
    "cause": "not_checked",
    "figure": 92
   },
   {
    "cause": "read after the match, from archived pages",
    "figure": 20
   },
   {
    "cause": "disputed_reading",
    "figure": 15
   },
   {
    "cause": "National-team matches",
    "figure": 11
   },
   {
    "cause": "too_late",
    "figure": 4
   },
   {
    "cause": "no_price_at_capture",
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 },
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  "dictionary_version": "1",
  "statements": 2277,
  "of_them_restored": 51,
  "not_predictions": {
   "opinions": 0,
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   "unclassified": 0
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  "matches": 80,
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  "settled_picks_restored": 0,
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   {
    "code_name": "author_price",
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    "settled_picks": 19,
    "void": 0,
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    "matches": 17,
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    "stakes_hundredths": [
     10000
    ],
    "methodologies": [
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    "display_name": "At the author's stated price"
   },
   {
    "code_name": "retro_market_closing",
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    "qualifying_picks": 1,
    "settled_picks": 0,
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    "stakes_hundredths": [
     10000
    ],
    "methodologies": [
     "retro-1.0"
    ],
    "display_name": "Restored, at the closing market price"
   },
   {
    "code_name": "retro_author_price",
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    "qualifying_picks": 1,
    "settled_picks": 0,
    "void": 0,
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    "operations_settled": 0,
    "stakes_hundredths": [
     10000
    ],
    "methodologies": [
     "retro-1.0"
    ],
    "display_name": "Restored, at the author's stated price"
   },
   {
    "code_name": "retro_market_closing_sm",
    "derived": false,
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    "qualifying_picks": 1,
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    "matches": 0,
    "operations_settled": 0,
    "stakes_hundredths": [
     10000
    ],
    "methodologies": [
     "retro-1.1"
    ],
    "display_name": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)"
   }
  ],
  "gaps": [
   {
    "code_name": "not_supported",
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   },
   {
    "code_name": "ambiguous",
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   },
   {
    "code_name": "not_checked",
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    "figure": 92
   },
   {
    "code_name": "after_match",
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    "figure": 20
   },
   {
    "code_name": "disputed_reading",
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    "figure": 15
   },
   {
    "code_name": "outside_coverage",
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    "figure": 11
   },
   {
    "code_name": "too_late",
    "cause": "too_late",
    "figure": 4
   },
   {
    "code_name": "no_price_at_capture",
    "cause": "no_price_at_capture",
    "figure": 2
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  ],
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   "url": "/sources/statymai-com/picks/102/#pick-n-69c0f61c6ae2f1de92da25a9",
   "quote_text": "rocky1 Prognozė @ 1.770\n\nStatymas: FBC Melgar (Azijietiškas pranašumas -1)",
   "fragment_from": 2976,
   "fragment_to": 3050,
   "quote_allowed": true,
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    ],
    "flag_words": "The source states no publication date.",
    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
   "origin_detail": "no_match_linked",
   "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
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    "methodology_version": "2.2",
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   "funnel_stage": "prediction",
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   "observation_id": "n-f07ec48f624e69dc67270d86",
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   "quote_text": "Sherbis Prognozė @ 2.200\n\nStatymas: Estonia (-1.5)",
   "fragment_from": 5897,
   "fragment_to": 5947,
   "quote_allowed": true,
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   },
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   "added_on": null,
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  {
   "observation_id": "n-4d8ddb7f73c50f6df902d70b",
   "url": "/sources/statymai-com/picks/101/#pick-n-4d8ddb7f73c50f6df902d70b",
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   "fragment_from": 5513,
   "fragment_to": 5555,
   "quote_allowed": true,
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    "rule_version": "1.1"
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   "url": "/sources/statymai-com/picks/101/#pick-n-eb95fde5f5ba410fe6c0c94c",
   "quote_text": "Sherbis Prognozė @ 2.010\n\nStatymas: Estija (Daugiau 3.5)",
   "fragment_from": 4680,
   "fragment_to": 4736,
   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
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   "detected_at": "2026-11-07T17:00:49.793Z",
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   "status": "ambiguous",
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   "quote_text": "faster Prognozė @ 1.740\n\nStatymas: Trabzonspor (-3.5)",
   "fragment_from": 3585,
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   "source_info": {
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   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
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   "quote_allowed": true,
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   "fragment_from": 2976,
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   "quote_allowed": true,
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   "quote_text": "mall89 Prognozė @ 1.800\n\nStatymas: Igokea",
   "fragment_from": 7083,
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   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
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    "rationale": "4 different matches in a row with every counted pick correct, first to last within 28 days; matches kicking off at the same time count as one group. The run ended on 76 Igdir Belediyespor v Boluspor. Data: live record. Term: a dated fact.",
    "provenance": "live",
    "rules_version": "catalog-1",
    "methodology_version": "catalog-1",
    "data_date": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z",
    "valid_until": null,
    "anchor_id": "standing-s-01-z-a30af855f4-event",
    "alt": "Statymai · 4 matches in a row, every pick correct · 17 Oct–18 Oct 2026 · Tracked by Forecast Record",
    "csv_url": null,
    "embed": "<a href=\"https://forecastrecord.com/sources/statymai-com/#title-correct-run-correct-run\" rel=\"nofollow\"><img src=\"https://forecastrecord.com/b/e-af446a2bb77d860bb17a8a73/s-01-z-a30af855f4-event-m-light.svg\" alt=\"Statymai · 4 matches in a row, every pick correct · 17 Oct–18 Oct 2026 · Tracked by Forecast Record\" width=\"819\" height=\"28\" loading=\"lazy\"></a>",
    "neighbours": [],
    "window_words": "On show until 15 Feb 2027",
    "measure_words": null,
    "amount_words": null,
    "interval_words": null,
    "title_tier": "dated_record",
    "status": "active",
    "status_reason": null,
    "event_at": "2026-10-18",
    "evidence_through": "2026-10-18",
    "earned_at": "2026-10-24",
    "published_at": "2026-10-26",
    "visible_until": "2027-02-15",
    "badge_label": "4 right in a row · 18 Oct",
    "scope_words": null,
    "title_id": "zk-a30af855f4b2a522e8bd",
    "evidence_items": [
     {
      "nid": "n-80a33c91fe8369704bd73d20",
      "data": "2026-10-17",
      "match": "RC Strasbourg v Paris Saint-Germain",
      "said_text": "Asian handicap -1.5: Paris Saint-Germain -1.5 at 1.95",
      "outcome_label": "right",
      "evidence_price": null,
      "comparison": null,
      "url": "/sources/statymai-com/picks/32/#pick-n-80a33c91fe8369704bd73d20"
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-3868511c0c5e2666c978e67c",
      "data": "2026-10-17",
      "match": "Viking FK v Fredrikstad",
      "said_text": "Over/Under 2.5 goals: over 2.5 at 1.95",
      "outcome_label": "right",
      "evidence_price": null,
      "comparison": null,
      "url": "/sources/statymai-com/picks/33/#pick-n-3868511c0c5e2666c978e67c"
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-f7583fa6b8c06798d1b22eeb",
      "data": "2026-10-17",
      "match": "FC Bayern München v RB Leipzig",
      "said_text": "Asian handicap -2.25: FC Bayern München -2.25 at 1.86",
      "outcome_label": "right",
      "evidence_price": null,
      "comparison": null,
      "url": "/sources/statymai-com/picks/33/#pick-n-f7583fa6b8c06798d1b22eeb"
     },
     {
      "nid": "n-44d4e263cb3e007a3db05bb1",
      "data": "2026-10-18",
      "match": "Chernomorets Burgas v Botev Plovdiv",
      "said_text": "1X2, match result: Botev Plovdiv at 1.92",
      "outcome_label": "right",
      "evidence_price": null,
      "comparison": null,
      "url": "/sources/statymai-com/picks/33/#pick-n-44d4e263cb3e007a3db05bb1"
     }
    ],
    "evidence_total": 5,
    "badge": {
     "variants": [
      {
       "size": "l",
       "theme": "light",
       "width": 1113,
       "height": 40,
       "url": "/b/e-af446a2bb77d860bb17a8a73/s-01-z-a30af855f4-event-l-light.svg"
      },
      {
       "size": "l",
       "theme": "dark",
       "width": 1113,
       "height": 40,
       "url": "/b/e-af446a2bb77d860bb17a8a73/s-01-z-a30af855f4-event-l-dark.svg"
      },
      {
       "size": "m",
       "theme": "light",
       "width": 819,
       "height": 28,
       "url": "/b/e-af446a2bb77d860bb17a8a73/s-01-z-a30af855f4-event-m-light.svg"
      },
      {
       "size": "m",
       "theme": "dark",
       "width": 819,
       "height": 28,
       "url": "/b/e-af446a2bb77d860bb17a8a73/s-01-z-a30af855f4-event-m-dark.svg"
      },
      {
       "size": "s",
       "theme": "light",
       "width": 639,
       "height": 20,
       "url": "/b/e-af446a2bb77d860bb17a8a73/s-01-z-a30af855f4-event-s-light.svg"
      },
      {
       "size": "s",
       "theme": "dark",
       "width": 639,
       "height": 20,
       "url": "/b/e-af446a2bb77d860bb17a8a73/s-01-z-a30af855f4-event-s-dark.svg"
      }
     ],
     "card_url": "/b/e-af446a2bb77d860bb17a8a73/s-01-z-a30af855f4-event-card.svg"
    },
    "profile_anchor": "title-a30af855f4b2",
    "chance": {
     "contract_version": 1,
     "kind": "streak",
     "priced": 1,
     "unpriced": 4,
     "hits": 1,
     "probability": 0.4997,
     "one_in": 2,
     "log10": -0.3,
     "words": "1 in 2",
     "rule": "product of the market probabilities (1/price) of every pick in the run",
     "note": "market prices include the bookmaker margin, so the chance is slightly overstated — a cautious figure"
    },
    "embed_anchor": "title-correct-run-correct-run"
   }
  ],
  "publication_mode": "top20",
  "empty_reason": null,
  "rules_version": "catalog-1",
  "insufficient": [],
  "badges_on_page": 0,
  "header_titles": [
   {
    "title_id": "zk-20430be9ee02c58d641b",
    "code_name": "S-01",
    "title_tier": "dated_record",
    "badge_label": "4 right in a row · 21 Oct",
    "body": "4 matches in a row, every pick correct · 21 Oct 2026",
    "tier": null,
    "provenance": "live",
    "anchor_id": "title-20430be9ee02",
    "event_at": "2026-10-21",
    "url": "/titles/s-01-correct-run/#zk-20430be9ee02c58d641b"
   },
   {
    "title_id": "zk-a30af855f4b2a522e8bd",
    "code_name": "S-01",
    "title_tier": "dated_record",
    "badge_label": "4 right in a row · 18 Oct",
    "body": "4 matches in a row, every pick correct · 17 Oct–18 Oct 2026",
    "tier": null,
    "provenance": "live",
    "anchor_id": "title-a30af855f4b2",
    "event_at": "2026-10-18",
    "url": "/titles/s-01-correct-run/#zk-a30af855f4b2a522e8bd"
   }
  ],
  "record_origin": [],
  "recent_record": [
   {
    "code_name": "S-01",
    "body": "4 matches in a row, every pick correct · 21 Oct 2026",
    "event_at": "2026-10-21",
    "url": null,
    "provenance": "live",
    "anchor_id": "title-20430be9ee02"
   },
   {
    "code_name": "S-01",
    "body": "4 matches in a row, every pick correct · 17 Oct–18 Oct 2026",
    "event_at": "2026-10-18",
    "url": null,
    "provenance": "live",
    "anchor_id": "title-a30af855f4b2"
   }
  ],
  "record_details": [],
  "history": [
   {
    "code_name": "S-01",
    "body": "5 matches in a row, every pick correct · 20 Oct–21 Oct 2026 · removed 26 Oct 2026",
    "event_at": "2026-10-26",
    "status": "corrected",
    "cause": "recomputed after a correction to the record",
    "provenance": "live"
   }
  ]
 },
 "retro": null,
 "late": null,
 "price_vs_market": {
  "contract_version": "1",
  "threshold_percent": "5",
  "rows": [
   {
    "basis": "snapshot",
    "basis_words": "our market price for the same selection when we first recorded the pick (median of bookmakers in our price feed; failing that, the first price within 2 hours after, always before kick-off)",
    "basis_short": "Our market price when we first recorded the pick",
    "compared": 14,
    "above": 2,
    "above_share_percent": "14.3",
    "below": 0,
    "within": 12,
    "median_difference_percent": "1.1",
    "not_comparable": 0,
    "disputed": 0,
    "status": "calculated"
   },
   {
    "basis": "closing",
    "basis_words": "the closing market price of the same selection (restored history)",
    "basis_short": "Closing market price (restored)",
    "compared": 1,
    "above": 0,
    "above_share_percent": "0.0",
    "below": 0,
    "within": 1,
    "median_difference_percent": "1.7",
    "not_comparable": 0,
    "disputed": 0,
    "status": "calculated",
    "sentence": "The author's stated price against the closing price of the same selection: median +1.7% over 1 picks. The price available to followers is the market price, shown separately."
   }
  ],
  "examples": [
   {
    "url": "/sources/statymai-com/picks/43/#pick-n-2c5762a6b10d29f6be63c06f",
    "basis": "snapshot",
    "stated": "2.45",
    "market": "2.25",
    "difference_percent": "8.9"
   },
   {
    "url": "/sources/statymai-com/picks/59/#pick-n-b16549eb968b376fa06e84f7",
    "basis": "snapshot",
    "stated": "4.56",
    "market": "4.32",
    "difference_percent": "5.6"
   }
  ],
  "method": "Difference = the author's stated price ÷ the market price of the same selection − 1. A pick counts as above the market when the stated price is more than 5% higher. Each basis is its own comparison; they are never added together. A pair whose prices differ more than twofold is marked “price disputed”: it is probably not the same selection, so it is left out of this comparison and of every return at the author’s price until a manual check confirms the price. A price that the quoted text does not give is marked “price disputed” in the same way."
 },
 "record_summary": {
  "contract_version": "1",
  "entity_type": "editorial",
  "entity_words": "Editorial source",
  "source": {
   "name": "statymai.com",
   "url": "https://www.statymai.com/vodds/"
  },
  "observed_from": "2026-10-11",
  "observed_to": "2026-11-07",
  "data_as_of": "2026-11-07",
  "state": "settled",
  "series_code": "market_price",
  "series": "Recorded before kick-off, at our recorded market price",
  "restored": false,
  "headline_kind": "live_snapshot",
  "headline_part": "live",
  "settled_picks": 14,
  "matches": 13,
  "void": 0,
  "net_points_hundredths": -43703,
  "staked_hundredths": 140000,
  "return_percent": "-31.22",
  "stake_per_pick_hundredths": 10000,
  "period_from": "2026-10-13",
  "period_to": "2026-10-31",
  "status": "calculated",
  "method_version": "2.2",
  "short_history": true,
  "reason": null,
  "reasons": [],
  "sentence": "Forecast Record recorded 14 settled live picks by Statymai before kick-off across 13 matches between 13 and 31 October 2026. At our recorded market prices these picks returned −31.2% on the total staked. Of the 2,002 predictions we hold for Statymai, 162 are linked to matches: 112 were recorded by us before kick-off and 50 first found after the match. Figures as of 7 November 2026.",
  "numbers": [
   {
    "label": "Settled live picks",
    "value": "14",
    "anchor": "/methodology/#settled-pick",
    "note": null
   },
   {
    "label": "Matches",
    "value": "13",
    "anchor": "/methodology/#match",
    "note": null
   },
   {
    "label": "Net result",
    "value": "−437.03 points",
    "anchor": "/methodology/#settlement",
    "note": "100 points per pick"
   },
   {
    "label": "Return at our recorded market price",
    "value": "−31.2%",
    "anchor": "/methodology/#roi",
    "note": "95% interval −75.1% to +27.4%"
   }
  ],
  "limitations": [],
  "other_series": [],
  "return_over_time": [
   {
    "date": "2026-10-13",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": 7152,
    "n": 1
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-10-17",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": -2836,
    "n": 4
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-10-21",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": 17368,
    "n": 6
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-10-23",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": 7368,
    "n": 7
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-10-24",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": -12632,
    "n": 9
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-10-25",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": -22632,
    "n": 10
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-10-28",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": -23703,
    "n": 12
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-10-31",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": -43703,
    "n": 14
   }
  ],
  "return_over_time_parts": {
   "live": {
    "part": "live",
    "label": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "Return at our recorded market price",
    "x_axis": "match_date",
    "dated_note": "Dated by match day. Each pick was recorded by us before kick-off and settled after the match.",
    "settled_picks": 14,
    "matches": 13,
    "match_dates": 8,
    "period_from": "2026-10-13",
    "period_to": "2026-10-31",
    "stake_per_pick_hundredths": 10000,
    "final_points_hundredths": -43703,
    "low": {
     "date": "2026-10-31",
     "cumulative_points_hundredths": -43703,
     "after_picks": 14
    },
    "high": {
     "date": "2026-10-21",
     "cumulative_points_hundredths": 17368,
     "after_picks": 6
    },
    "line_drawn": true,
    "steps": [
     {
      "date": "2026-10-13",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": 7152,
      "n": 1,
      "picks": 1
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-10-17",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -2836,
      "n": 4,
      "picks": 3
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-10-21",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": 17368,
      "n": 6,
      "picks": 2
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-10-23",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": 7368,
      "n": 7,
      "picks": 1
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-10-24",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -12632,
      "n": 9,
      "picks": 2
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-10-25",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -22632,
      "n": 10,
      "picks": 1
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-10-28",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -23703,
      "n": 12,
      "picks": 2
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-10-31",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -43703,
      "n": 14,
      "picks": 2
     }
    ]
   },
   "archived": null
  },
  "author_response": null,
  "cite": {
   "text": "Forecast Record recorded 14 settled live picks by Statymai before kick-off across 13 matches between 13 and 31 October 2026. At our recorded market prices these picks returned −31.2% on the total staked. Of the 2,002 predictions we hold for Statymai, 162 are linked to matches: 112 were recorded by us before kick-off and 50 first found after the match. Figures as of 7 November 2026.",
   "url": "https://forecastrecord.com/sources/statymai-com/",
   "data_as_of": "2026-11-07",
   "method_version": "2.2"
  },
  "origin": {
   "contract_version": "1",
   "predictions": 2002,
   "under_review": 0,
   "no_match_linked": 1840,
   "proven_predictions": 112,
   "proven_checked": 103,
   "proven_measured": 14,
   "proven_dates": 18,
   "parts": [
    {
     "code": "live",
     "title": "Recorded before kick-off",
     "explanation": "Saved by us from the source before kick-off.",
     "predictions": 112,
     "checked": 103,
     "price_rule": "Return at our recorded market price",
     "series_code": "market_price",
     "main": {
      "settled_picks": 14,
      "void": 0,
      "matches": 13,
      "net_points_hundredths": -43703,
      "staked_hundredths": 140000,
      "return_percent": "-31.22",
      "interval_low": "-75.10",
      "interval_high": "27.38",
      "interval_note": null,
      "period_from": "2026-10-13",
      "period_to": "2026-10-31",
      "method_version": "2.2",
      "snapshot_delay_median_hours": "0.0",
      "snapshot_delay_max_hours": "0.1",
      "checked_after_kickoff_picks": 6
     },
     "same_picks": [
      {
       "price": "Author-quoted price",
       "series_code": "author_price",
       "picks": 14,
       "return_main_percent": "-31.22",
       "return_other_percent": "-30.57",
       "settled_excluding_void": 14,
       "net_main_points_hundredths": -43703,
       "net_other_points_hundredths": -42800,
       "period_from": "2026-10-13",
       "period_to": "2026-10-31"
      },
      {
       "price": "Closing price",
       "series_code": "closing_live",
       "picks": 13,
       "return_main_percent": "-25.93",
       "return_other_percent": "-33.19",
       "settled_excluding_void": 13,
       "net_main_points_hundredths": -33703,
       "net_other_points_hundredths": -43151,
       "period_from": "2026-10-13",
       "period_to": "2026-10-31"
      }
     ],
     "score": {
      "score_forecasts": 0,
      "exact_hits": 0,
      "exact_rate": null,
      "outcome_checked": 0,
      "outcome_hits": 0,
      "outcome_rate": null,
      "baseline_matches": 0,
      "baseline_distinct_matches": 0,
      "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0,
      "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null,
      "favourite_hits": 0,
      "favourite_rate": null,
      "price_basis": null,
      "pending": 0,
      "void": 0,
      "recorded_after_kickoff": 0,
      "lines": []
     },
     "eligible": {
      "checked": 103,
      "priced": 14
     },
     "accuracy": {
      "picks": 14,
      "won": 5,
      "won_percent": "35.7",
      "implied_percent": "50.0",
      "left_out": 0,
      "by_market": [
       {
        "market": "Asian handicap",
        "won": 4,
        "picks": 5,
        "implied_percent": "55.5"
       },
       {
        "market": "Match result",
        "won": 0,
        "picks": 5,
        "implied_percent": "50.7"
       },
       {
        "market": "Team goals",
        "won": 1,
        "picks": 4,
        "implied_percent": "42.4"
       }
      ]
     },
     "reviewed_after": {
      "predictions": 69,
      "right": 39,
      "wrong": 25,
      "other": 5
     }
    },
    {
     "code": "archived",
     "title": "Archived before kick-off",
     "explanation": "Restored from a copy saved by an independent web archive before kick-off.",
     "predictions": 0,
     "checked": 0,
     "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices",
     "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
     "main": null,
     "same_picks": [],
     "score": {
      "score_forecasts": 0,
      "exact_hits": 0,
      "exact_rate": null,
      "outcome_checked": 0,
      "outcome_hits": 0,
      "outcome_rate": null,
      "baseline_matches": 0,
      "baseline_distinct_matches": 0,
      "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0,
      "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null,
      "favourite_hits": 0,
      "favourite_rate": null,
      "price_basis": null,
      "pending": 0,
      "void": 0,
      "recorded_after_kickoff": 0,
      "lines": []
     },
     "eligible": {
      "checked": 0,
      "priced": 0
     },
     "accuracy": null
    },
    {
     "code": "found_after",
     "title": "Found after the match",
     "explanation": "First found after the match; the date is the one the source states.",
     "predictions": 50,
     "checked": 20,
     "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices",
     "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
     "main": null,
     "same_picks": [],
     "score": {
      "score_forecasts": 0,
      "exact_hits": 0,
      "exact_rate": null,
      "outcome_checked": 0,
      "outcome_hits": 0,
      "outcome_rate": null,
      "baseline_matches": 0,
      "baseline_distinct_matches": 0,
      "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0,
      "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null,
      "favourite_hits": 0,
      "favourite_rate": null,
      "price_basis": null,
      "pending": 0,
      "void": 0,
      "recorded_after_kickoff": 0,
      "lines": []
     },
     "eligible": {
      "checked": 20,
      "priced": 0
     },
     "accuracy": null
    }
   ]
  },
  "live_alongside": null,
  "headline_record_ids": [
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   "n-2c5762a6b10d29f6be63c06f",
   "n-3273bd0a0451fa925aa89392",
   "n-3d0edc4d298378fd30d9a2eb",
   "n-65ea11c9866560407861bb34",
   "n-80a33c91fe8369704bd73d20",
   "n-84d366c81e56c09b6274d51c",
   "n-8e679175b46f3d9e40f35200",
   "n-9566543972c7abbd52fef7d4",
   "n-ab18eafc33f37261c87d0824",
   "n-b16549eb968b376fa06e84f7",
   "n-dbbb7d7e008cae82bcb10eb9",
   "n-df9fc8fff45a3c7a48f6c177",
   "n-fdabdf03c1da2b81fcf04343"
  ],
  "interval_low": "-75.10",
  "interval_high": "27.38",
  "caption": "Recorded before kick-off, at our recorded market price · 100 points per pick · 13–31 October 2026 · Calculated · picks settled under method v2.2",
  "record_from": "2026-10-11",
  "record_to": "2026-11-07"
 },
 "recorded_picks": [
  {
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   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": null,
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-11T01:51:37.353Z",
   "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "record_part": "unlinked",
   "record_part_words": "Without a match page",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
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  },
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   "record_id": "n-a6f20d5cd5409ee1386773d5",
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   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "CASHKING Prognozė @ 1.900\n\nStatymas: Daugiau (48.5 1Q)",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "ambiguous",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
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   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": null,
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-11T01:51:37.353Z",
   "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "record_part": "unlinked",
   "record_part_words": "Without a match page",
   "in_headline": false,
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  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-4c22e0ec58661ce686e57ac5",
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   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "CASHKING Prognozė @ 1.860\n\nStatymas: Daugiau (195.5)",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
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   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "ambiguous",
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   "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
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  "before_kickoff": 112,
  "after_kickoff": 21,
  "at_least_2h": 99,
  "share_2h_plus": 74.4,
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  "settled_picks_all": 14,
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  "picked_favourite_share": 100.0,
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   {
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    "staked_hundredths": 40000,
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    "picked_favourite": 4,
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    "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -20000
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   {
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    "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -30000
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   {
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 },
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   "/sources/statymai-com/picks/84/",
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   "/sources/statymai-com/picks/87/",
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   "/sources/statymai-com/picks/99/",
   "/sources/statymai-com/picks/100/",
   "/sources/statymai-com/picks/101/",
   "/sources/statymai-com/picks/102/"
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   "pending": 0,
   "excluded": 1983
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  "continuation": "by_time",
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  "first": 1,
  "last": 20,
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 },
 "title_tag": "Statymai: Football Prediction Record",
 "calculator": null,
 "source_info": {
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  "check": {
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     "statements": 2277,
     "predictions": 2002,
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     "headline_kind": "live_snapshot",
     "return_percent": -31.22,
     "headline_part": "live",
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 },
 "data_revision": {
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  "data_as_of": "2026-11-07",
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  "sample": {
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   "matches": 13,
   "void": 0,
   "period_from": "2026-10-13",
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 },
 "number_changes": [
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   "data_version": "2026-10-31.2",
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   "url": "/sources/statymai-com/",
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    "text": "−19.75% on 12 settled picks across 11 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "after": {
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    "text": "−31.22% on 14 settled picks across 13 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
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   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
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    "text": "−22.63% on 10 settled picks across 9 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
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   "after": {
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    "text": "−19.75% on 12 settled picks across 11 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
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    "text": "−126.32 points on 9 settled picks across 8 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
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   "after": {
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    "text": "−22.63% on 10 settled picks across 9 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
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   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
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   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
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    "text": "+48.68 points on 5 settled picks across 5 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
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    "composition_hash": "739e9155575b28198c17f3ad3c37bca1913d9d3c3245cc2880c45fdb985e3c90",
    "text": "+73.68 points on 7 settled picks across 7 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
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   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
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   "at": "2026-10-22T03:02:07.338Z",
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    "text": "−28.36 points on 4 settled picks across 4 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
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    "composition_hash": "7247231840241af728aea94cbc38cf770bd27ce25531433c6ad9e17b96d063c4",
    "text": "+48.68 points on 5 settled picks across 5 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
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  {
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   },
   "reason": "Added 2 earlier picks for matches played before the previous data version (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).",
   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
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   },
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    "text": "−28.48 points on 2 settled picks across 2 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
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   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
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   },
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      "code_name": "Ligue 1",
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      "league_markets": [
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       },
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        "period_from": "2026-10-23",
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      "code_name": "MLS",
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      "code_name": "Serie A",
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       },
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     },
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      "small_sample": true,
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      ]
     },
     {
      "code_name": "EFL Cup (Carabao)",
      "in_words": "EFL Cup (Carabao)",
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    ],
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  ],
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 "author_card": {
  "body": "Record tracked by Forecast Record since 11 October 2026 · 2,002 predictions · last change 7 November 2026",
  "url": "https://forecastrecord.com/sources/statymai-com/",
  "s": "2026-10-11",
  "prediction_count": 2002,
  "refreshed_at": "2026-11-07",
  "html": "<a href=\"https://forecastrecord.com/sources/statymai-com/\">Record tracked by Forecast Record since 11 October 2026 · 2,002 predictions · last change 7 November 2026</a>"
 },
 "trust": {
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  "in_words": "Probation",
  "settled_count": 103,
  "days": 19,
  "weeks": 3,
  "archive": false,
  "in_review": false,
  "own_page": true,
  "won_count": 52,
  "first_settled_on": "2026-10-13",
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    "min_days": 30,
    "min_distinct_weeks": 2,
    "no_violations": true
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   "established": {
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    "min_days": 90
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  },
  "show": true
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 "author_type": "Prediction site",
 "data_changes": {
  "added_later": "9 records added on 15 Oct 2026 found after the match; 23 records added on 16 Oct 2026 found after the match; 4 records added on 23 Oct 2026 found after the match; 14 more records added on other dates. The current numbers include them; numbers published earlier, including the record before each match, do not change.",
  "records_corrected": 1,
  "last_correction_at": "2026-10-14T02:01:15.730Z",
  "corrections_url": "/corrections/",
  "text": "1 record shown here has been corrected; the last correction was on 14 October 2026, with its reason in the corrections log."
 },
 "entity_id": "source:statymai-com",
 "source_revision": 179,
 "related": [
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   "name": "Bankroll card — Statymai",
   "detail": null,
   "source_group": "cards"
  },
  {
   "url": "/cards/e-af446a2bb77d860bb17a8a73-month-following/",
   "name": "A month following Statymai",
   "detail": null,
   "source_group": "cards"
  },
  {
   "url": "/cards/e-af446a2bb77d860bb17a8a73-turning-point/",
   "name": "Turning point — Statymai",
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  },
  {
   "url": "/for-authors/statymai-com/",
   "name": "Your titles on Forecast Record: Statymai",
   "detail": null,
   "source_group": "for_authors"
  }
 ],
 "number_sets": [
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   "value": 19,
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   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
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   "entity": "e-af446a2bb77d860bb17a8a73",
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   "where": "coverage",
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "profile.predictions",
   "entity": "e-af446a2bb77d860bb17a8a73",
   "value": 2002,
   "where": "picks",
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
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   "entity": "e-af446a2bb77d860bb17a8a73",
   "value": 14,
   "where": "origin",
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "profile.part.archived",
   "entity": "e-af446a2bb77d860bb17a8a73",
   "value": 0,
   "where": null,
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "profile.part.found_after",
   "entity": "e-af446a2bb77d860bb17a8a73",
   "value": 0,
   "where": null,
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z"
  },
  {
   "set": "profile.window",
   "entity": "e-af446a2bb77d860bb17a8a73",
   "value": 14,
   "where": "calculation",
   "as_of": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z",
   "label": true
  }
 ]
}