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 "heading": "Statarea: Football Prediction Record",
 "description": "Verified record: 383 settled picks by Statarea recorded before kick-off across 379 matches, 18 Oct 2026 – 7 Nov 2026: +1.8% at our recorded market prices.",
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  "body": "Forecast Record recorded 383 settled live picks by Statarea before kick-off across 379 matches between 18 October and 7 November 2026. At our recorded market prices these picks returned +1.8% on the total staked. Of the 5,239 predictions we hold for Statarea, 3,201 are linked to matches: 1,978 were recorded by us before kick-off and 1,223 first found after the match. Figures as of 7 November 2026.",
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  ],
  "top_ups": [],
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  "series_key": "market_price",
  "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot"
 },
 "simulations": [],
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  "detected": 5275,
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   {
    "cause": "not_supported",
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   {
    "cause": "not_checked",
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   {
    "cause": "other reading",
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   },
   {
    "cause": "read after the match, from archived pages",
    "figure": 461
   },
   {
    "cause": "no_price_at_capture",
    "figure": 325
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   {
    "cause": "disputed_reading",
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   {
    "cause": "too_late",
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   {
    "cause": "stale_quote",
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   {
    "cause": "outside the method",
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   {
    "cause": "the match was postponed",
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  "settled_picks_restored": 2,
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    "methodologies": [
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    "display_name": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)"
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  ],
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    "figure": 1439
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   {
    "code_name": "no_price_at_capture",
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   },
   {
    "code_name": "disputed_reading",
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   },
   {
    "code_name": "too_late",
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   },
   {
    "code_name": "stale_quote",
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   },
   {
    "code_name": "not_admitted",
    "cause": "outside the method",
    "figure": 32
   },
   {
    "code_name": "postponement",
    "cause": "the match was postponed",
    "figure": 3
   }
  ],
  "duplicates": 601,
  "junk": {},
  "dictionary_url": "/methodology/#words"
 },
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    "flag_words": "The source states no publication date.",
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   "origin": "source_stated_date",
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   "quote_text": "06:00\n\n1\n\n1:1\n\nDaejeon Korail - Yeoju Sejong",
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   "quote_allowed": true,
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    "flags": [
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    "flag_words": "The source states no publication date.",
    "rule_version": "1.1"
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   "origin": "source_stated_date",
   "origin_detail": "no_match_linked",
   "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "added_on": null,
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   "settlements": [],
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   "observation_id": "n-b6c5351530e39ae2ca4ef145",
   "url": "/sources/statarea-com/picks/263/#pick-n-b6c5351530e39ae2ca4ef145",
   "quote_text": "06:00\n\n1X\n\n0:1\n\nChangwon City - Gangneung City FC",
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   "fragment_to": 87130,
   "quote_allowed": true,
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   "origin": "source_stated_date",
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   "observation_id": "n-322a91f88002281c69da45f3",
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   "quote_text": "16:00\n\nX2\n\nCarlisle - Salford City\n\nclose X\n\n16:00\n\n3\n\n2\n\nTIP\n\nX2",
   "fragment_from": 53219,
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   "quote_allowed": true,
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   "fragment_from": 111448,
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   "url": "/sources/statarea-com/picks/261/#pick-n-d5157b741830467174040c69",
   "quote_text": "X\n\nPalazzolo - Rovato Vertovese\n\nclose X\n\n14:30\n\n0\n\n0\n\nTIP\n\nX",
   "fragment_from": 110718,
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   "source_info": {
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   "url": "/sources/statarea-com/picks/262/#pick-n-ef067fce6f58c35908bb76d5",
   "quote_text": "2\n\nUS Fezzanese - Borgosesia\n\nclose X\n\n16:30\n\n0\n\n0\n\nTIP\n\n2",
   "fragment_from": 110476,
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   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
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   "observation_id": "n-830d56804b785406b16094cb",
   "url": "/sources/statarea-com/picks/259/#pick-n-830d56804b785406b16094cb",
   "quote_text": "15:00\n\n1\n\nBologna U20 - Monza U20",
   "fragment_from": 109709,
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   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
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   "observation_id": "n-669d6eb54743dd61d9e7f276",
   "url": "/sources/statarea-com/picks/259/#pick-n-669d6eb54743dd61d9e7f276",
   "quote_text": "11:00\n\nX\n\nGenoa U20 - Lecce U20",
   "fragment_from": 109475,
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   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
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   "url": "/sources/statarea-com/picks/259/#pick-n-5a9337a9437c554739217908",
   "quote_text": "16:00\n\n1\n\nEnfield Town - Afc Whyteleafe\n\nclose X\n\n16:00\n\n0\n\n0\n\nTIP\n\n1",
   "fragment_from": 107939,
   "fragment_to": 108008,
   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
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   "detected_at": "2026-11-07T09:32:54.663Z",
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   "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
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   "observation_id": "n-f6b3b1723005468dd9e2c64f",
   "url": "/sources/statarea-com/picks/262/#pick-n-f6b3b1723005468dd9e2c64f",
   "quote_text": "16:00\n\nX\n\nDulwich Hamlet - Lewes\n\nclose X\n\n16:00\n\n0\n\n0\n\nTIP\n\nX",
   "fragment_from": 107703,
   "fragment_to": 107765,
   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
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   "fragment_from": 106683,
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   "fragment_from": 99510,
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   "fragment_from": 98478,
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   "url": "/sources/statarea-com/picks/261/#pick-n-e7d2edc3a5f1b4e8846f9785",
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   "quote_allowed": true,
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   "url": "/sources/statarea-com/picks/261/#pick-n-e66c8ebd7439692d7591a12a",
   "quote_text": "TIP\n\nX2",
   "fragment_from": 83746,
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   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
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   "url": "/sources/statarea-com/picks/259/#pick-n-6bca329ed0a5595406aeebb5",
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   "url": "/sources/statarea-com/picks/261/#pick-n-ccf55f8801afd5eec70f7073",
   "quote_text": "22:30\n\n1\n\nVeracruz - Irapuato\n\nclose X\n\n22:30\n\n0\n\n0\n\nTIP\n\n1",
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   "url": "/sources/statarea-com/picks/259/#pick-n-6056e824028913e3a85082f3",
   "quote_text": "13:00\n\nX2\n\nArsenal Tivat - Jezero\n\nclose X\n\n13:00\n\n0\n\n0\n\nTIP\n\nX2",
   "fragment_from": 75501,
   "fragment_to": 75565,
   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
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   },
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   },
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   "origin_detail": "no_match_linked",
   "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
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  },
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   "observation_id": "n-5a3bbf07a69eb6041f4c99ba",
   "url": "/sources/statarea-com/picks/259/#pick-n-5a3bbf07a69eb6041f4c99ba",
   "quote_text": "17:40\n\n2\n\nAl-Jahra - Al-Qadsia\n\nclose X\n\n17:40\n\n0\n\n0\n\nTIP\n\n2",
   "fragment_from": 75269,
   "fragment_to": 75329,
   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
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   },
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  },
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   "observation_id": "n-314e5363e090703536cf4de6",
   "url": "/sources/statarea-com/picks/258/#pick-n-314e5363e090703536cf4de6",
   "quote_text": "12:00\n\nX2\n\nHai Phong - Song Lam Nghe An\n\nclose X\n\n12:00\n\n0\n\n0\n\nTIP\n\nX2",
   "fragment_from": 75019,
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   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
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   },
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   "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
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  },
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   "observation_id": "n-4df8a05cc471753944ee3bc7",
   "url": "/sources/statarea-com/picks/258/#pick-n-4df8a05cc471753944ee3bc7",
   "quote_text": "11:00\n\n2\n\nHoang Anh Gia Lai - Hanoi FC\n\nclose X\n\n11:00\n\n0\n\n0\n\nTIP\n\n2",
   "fragment_from": 74771,
   "fragment_to": 74839,
   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
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   },
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   "origin_detail": "no_match_linked",
   "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
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  },
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   "observation_id": "n-c89ecb12e1338457f11ba4d7",
   "url": "/sources/statarea-com/picks/261/#pick-n-c89ecb12e1338457f11ba4d7",
   "quote_text": "TIP\n\nX2\n\n2026-11-07 16:00\n\n-\n\nAlloa Athletic\n\n-\n\nAirdrieonians",
   "fragment_from": 72206,
   "fragment_to": 72268,
   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
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   },
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   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
   "origin_detail": "no_match_linked",
   "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
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  },
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   "observation_id": "n-d5ab9589d97e95390bb950b8",
   "url": "/sources/statarea-com/picks/261/#pick-n-d5ab9589d97e95390bb950b8",
   "quote_text": "TIP\n\n1\n\n2026-11-07 08:00\n\n-\n\nEhime FC\n\n-\n\nReilac Shiga",
   "fragment_from": 70371,
   "fragment_to": 70425,
   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
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   },
   "published_at": null,
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   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
   "origin_detail": "no_match_linked",
   "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "added_on": null,
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   "observation_id": "n-e34b06df44b7ff6dc5066069",
   "url": "/sources/statarea-com/picks/261/#pick-n-e34b06df44b7ff6dc5066069",
   "quote_text": "2\n\n1:2\n\nThespaKusatsu Gunma - FC Osaka\n\nclose X\n\n06:00\n\n0\n\n0\n\nTIP\n\n2",
   "fragment_from": 70058,
   "fragment_to": 70126,
   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
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   },
   "published_at": null,
   "detected_at": "2026-11-07T09:32:54.663Z",
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   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
   "origin_detail": "no_match_linked",
   "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "added_on": null,
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   "url": "/sources/statarea-com/picks/260/#pick-n-8ea81d45ad54a99c74e9df53",
   "quote_text": "X2\n\n0:1\n\nMatsumoto Yamaga - Zweigen Kanazawa\n\nclose X\n\n06:30\n\n0\n\n0\n\nTIP\n\nX2",
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  "recent_record": [
   {
    "code_name": "P-09",
    "body": "Czechia First League, week of 26 Oct 2026: 4/4 result calls right, first of 3 tipsters and sources with 3+ calls",
    "event_at": "2026-11-01",
    "url": null,
    "provenance": "live",
    "anchor_id": "title-d10da06a136a"
   },
   {
    "code_name": "C-02",
    "body": "Only one right of 11 tipsters and sources · Away win · Trabzonspor v SC Freiburg · 5 Nov 2026",
    "event_at": "2026-11-05",
    "url": null,
    "provenance": "live",
    "anchor_id": "title-647dfbc60975"
   },
   {
    "code_name": "CS-10",
    "body": "Exact score 0–1 · Lokomotiv Moscow v Rubin Kazan · 6 Nov 2026",
    "event_at": "2026-11-06",
    "url": null,
    "provenance": "live",
    "anchor_id": "title-aa6a5ebeda72"
   },
   {
    "code_name": "E-07",
    "body": "Home win at 4.10 · Sunderland v Brentford · 28 Oct 2026",
    "event_at": "2026-10-28",
    "url": null,
    "provenance": "live",
    "anchor_id": "title-bc2ff8e7a342"
   },
   {
    "code_name": "P-09",
    "body": "EFL League One, week of 26 Oct 2026: 7/10 result calls right, first of 6 tipsters and sources with 3+ calls",
    "event_at": "2026-11-01",
    "url": null,
    "provenance": "live",
    "anchor_id": "title-b7c2678b042f"
   },
   {
    "code_name": "P-09",
    "body": "Switzerland Challenge League, week of 26 Oct 2026: 3/4 result calls right, first of 3 tipsters and sources with 3+ calls",
    "event_at": "2026-11-01",
    "url": null,
    "provenance": "live",
    "anchor_id": "title-6d1c6151b0df"
   },
   {
    "code_name": "P-09",
    "body": "Ekstraklasa, week of 19 Oct 2026: 3/4 result calls right, first of 3 tipsters and sources with 3+ calls",
    "event_at": "2026-10-25",
    "url": null,
    "provenance": "live",
    "anchor_id": "title-f7a6806ae3e2"
   },
   {
    "code_name": "P-09",
    "body": "Liga 1, week of 19 Oct 2026: 2/3 result calls right, first of 3 tipsters and sources with 3+ calls",
    "event_at": "2026-10-25",
    "url": null,
    "provenance": "live",
    "anchor_id": "title-5004c685a0f5"
   },
   {
    "code_name": "C-02",
    "body": "Only one right of 17 tipsters and sources · Home win · Sunderland v Brentford · 28 Oct 2026",
    "event_at": "2026-10-28",
    "url": null,
    "provenance": "live",
    "anchor_id": "title-17871d0e7a20"
   },
   {
    "code_name": "C-02",
    "body": "Only one right of 5 tipsters and sources · Home win · Chaves v Vizela · 23 Oct 2026",
    "event_at": "2026-10-23",
    "url": null,
    "provenance": "live",
    "anchor_id": "title-9962a0d61c96"
   },
   {
    "code_name": "CS-10",
    "body": "Exact score 0–2 · Basingstoke v Uxbridge · 27 Oct 2026",
    "event_at": "2026-10-27",
    "url": null,
    "provenance": "live",
    "anchor_id": "title-20b5469bf155"
   },
   {
    "code_name": "CS-10",
    "body": "Exact score 2–2 · Bromsgrove v Stratford Town · 27 Oct 2026",
    "event_at": "2026-10-27",
    "url": null,
    "provenance": "live",
    "anchor_id": "title-05b4749e6097"
   },
   {
    "code_name": "CS-10",
    "body": "Exact score 3–1 · Cadiz v AD Ceuta · 25 Oct 2026",
    "event_at": "2026-10-25",
    "url": null,
    "provenance": "live",
    "anchor_id": "title-d705a556d34f"
   },
   {
    "code_name": "CS-10",
    "body": "Exact score 0–1 · FC Akhmat Grozny v FC Orenburg · 23 Oct 2026",
    "event_at": "2026-10-23",
    "url": null,
    "provenance": "live",
    "anchor_id": "title-2f3c920fc04c"
   },
   {
    "code_name": "CS-10",
    "body": "Exact score 3–0 · Olimpia v 2 de Mayo · 21 Oct 2026",
    "event_at": "2026-10-21",
    "url": null,
    "provenance": "live",
    "anchor_id": "title-2db2f29d1a6e"
   },
   {
    "code_name": "E-07",
    "body": "Away win at 3.30 · Newcastle United v Everton · 2 Nov 2026",
    "event_at": "2026-11-02",
    "url": null,
    "provenance": "live",
    "anchor_id": "title-9d03770a53c4"
   },
   {
    "code_name": "E-07",
    "body": "Away win at 3.17 · Virtus Entella v Mantova · 24 Oct 2026",
    "event_at": "2026-10-24",
    "url": null,
    "provenance": "live",
    "anchor_id": "title-aa2eb4dd4cae"
   },
   {
    "code_name": "E-07",
    "body": "Draw at 3.10 · Parma v Udinese · 28 Oct 2026",
    "event_at": "2026-10-28",
    "url": null,
    "provenance": "live",
    "anchor_id": "title-8b530339e682"
   }
  ],
  "record_details": [],
  "history": [
   {
    "code_name": "C-02",
    "body": "Only one right of 4 tipsters and sources · Home win · Athletic Club v Real Sociedad · 1 Nov 2026 · removed 2 Nov 2026",
    "event_at": "2026-11-02",
    "status": "corrected",
    "cause": "recomputed after a correction to the record",
    "provenance": "live"
   }
  ]
 },
 "retro": {
  "restored_total": 2,
  "of_them_archived_pre_match": 0,
  "found_post_match": 2,
  "of_them_source_reported": 0,
  "live_count": 383,
  "date_count": 1,
  "span_from": "2024-08-27",
  "span_to": "2024-08-27",
  "line_text": "restored history: 2, of which pre-match archive 0",
  "body": "We re-read what this author published before League Cup matches on 27 August 2024 and settled it against the final score. Restored picks: 2. Backed by a copy of the page in an independent web archive taken before kick-off: 0. Found after the match, with the publication date as stated by the source: 2. The market price at the moment of publication cannot be reconstructed, so restored picks are shown as reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), not at the closing price, for the pre-match archive and the later finds separately; the author's quoted price and, where it exists, the aggregator closing price are compared with it on the same picks. Authors can delete losing picks, so restored history may look better than it was.",
  "precision": {
   "n": 2,
   "share": "0.5"
  },
  "series_list": [
   {
    "code_name": "retro_author_price",
    "display_name": "Restored, at the author's stated price",
    "n": 0,
    "roi": null,
    "ci_low": null,
    "ci_high": null,
    "data_status": "unknown",
    "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
    "cause": "no restored pick with this price"
   },
   {
    "code_name": "retro_market_closing",
    "display_name": "Restored, at the closing market price",
    "n": 0,
    "roi": null,
    "ci_low": null,
    "ci_high": null,
    "data_status": "unknown",
    "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
    "cause": "no restored pick with this price"
   },
   {
    "code_name": "retro_market_closing_sm",
    "display_name": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
    "n": 2,
    "roi": "-24.0000",
    "ci_low": null,
    "ci_high": null,
    "data_status": "calculated",
    "methodology_version": "retro-1.1",
    "cause": null
   },
   {
    "code_name": "retro_derived_sm",
    "display_name": "Restored score forecast: result implied by the score, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
    "n": 1,
    "roi": "163.0000",
    "ci_low": null,
    "ci_high": null,
    "data_status": "calculated",
    "methodology_version": "retro-1.1",
    "cause": null
   }
  ],
  "clv": {
   "data_status": "unknown",
   "cause": "the market price at the moment of publication is unknown for restored picks; the author's quoted price against the aggregator closing price is compared on the same picks in each part of the record above"
  },
  "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
  "leagues": [
   "League Cup"
  ],
  "source_list": "Results: the official regulation-time score, checked against a second data provider for 0 settled restored picks and forecasts, and the two agree; 2 come from one provider only. Prices: the aggregator closing price and the second data provider's last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), as a separate series; each provider is its own series and they are never averaged.",
  "score_accuracy": {
   "n": 1,
   "share": "0.0"
  }
 },
 "late": null,
 "price_vs_market": null,
 "record_summary": {
  "contract_version": "1",
  "entity_type": "editorial",
  "entity_words": "Editorial source",
  "source": {
   "name": "statarea.com",
   "url": "https://www.statarea.com/predictions"
  },
  "observed_from": "2026-10-17",
  "observed_to": "2026-11-07",
  "data_as_of": "2026-11-07",
  "state": "settled",
  "series_code": "market_price",
  "series": "Recorded before kick-off, at our recorded market price",
  "restored": false,
  "headline_kind": "live_snapshot",
  "headline_part": "live",
  "settled_picks": 383,
  "matches": 379,
  "void": 0,
  "net_points_hundredths": 67160,
  "staked_hundredths": 3830000,
  "return_percent": "1.75",
  "stake_per_pick_hundredths": 10000,
  "period_from": "2026-10-18",
  "period_to": "2026-11-07",
  "status": "calculated",
  "method_version": "2.2",
  "short_history": false,
  "reason": null,
  "reasons": [],
  "sentence": "Forecast Record recorded 383 settled live picks by Statarea before kick-off across 379 matches between 18 October and 7 November 2026. At our recorded market prices these picks returned +1.8% on the total staked. Of the 5,239 predictions we hold for Statarea, 3,201 are linked to matches: 1,978 were recorded by us before kick-off and 1,223 first found after the match. Figures as of 7 November 2026.",
  "numbers": [
   {
    "label": "Settled live picks",
    "value": "383",
    "anchor": "/methodology/#settled-pick",
    "note": null
   },
   {
    "label": "Matches",
    "value": "379",
    "anchor": "/methodology/#match",
    "note": null
   },
   {
    "label": "Net result",
    "value": "+671.60 points",
    "anchor": "/methodology/#settlement",
    "note": "100 points per pick"
   },
   {
    "label": "Return at our recorded market price",
    "value": "+1.8%",
    "anchor": "/methodology/#roi",
    "note": "95% interval −7.3% to +10.5%"
   }
  ],
  "limitations": [],
  "other_series": [],
  "return_over_time": [
   {
    "date": "2026-10-18",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": 97417,
    "n": 40
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-10-19",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": 98075,
    "n": 43
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-10-20",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": 77460,
    "n": 53
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-10-21",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": 77903,
    "n": 59
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-10-23",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": 60769,
    "n": 67
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-10-24",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": 63589,
    "n": 95
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-10-26",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": 85084,
    "n": 113
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-10-27",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": 201306,
    "n": 158
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-10-28",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": 207752,
    "n": 180
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-10-29",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": 257498,
    "n": 189
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-10-30",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": 159344,
    "n": 240
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-10-31",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": 131069,
    "n": 247
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-11-01",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": 98757,
    "n": 260
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-11-02",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": 73482,
    "n": 281
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-11-03",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": 160902,
    "n": 312
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-11-04",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": 163050,
    "n": 326
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-11-05",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": 89886,
    "n": 350
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-11-06",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": 64560,
    "n": 382
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-11-07",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": 67160,
    "n": 383
   }
  ],
  "return_over_time_parts": {
   "live": {
    "part": "live",
    "label": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "Return at our recorded market price",
    "x_axis": "match_date",
    "dated_note": "Dated by match day. Each pick was recorded by us before kick-off and settled after the match.",
    "settled_picks": 383,
    "matches": 379,
    "match_dates": 19,
    "period_from": "2026-10-18",
    "period_to": "2026-11-07",
    "stake_per_pick_hundredths": 10000,
    "final_points_hundredths": 67160,
    "low": {
     "date": "2026-10-23",
     "cumulative_points_hundredths": 60769,
     "after_picks": 67
    },
    "high": {
     "date": "2026-10-29",
     "cumulative_points_hundredths": 257498,
     "after_picks": 189
    },
    "line_drawn": true,
    "steps": [
     {
      "date": "2026-10-18",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": 97417,
      "n": 40,
      "picks": 40
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-10-19",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": 98075,
      "n": 43,
      "picks": 3
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-10-20",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": 77460,
      "n": 53,
      "picks": 10
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-10-21",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": 77903,
      "n": 59,
      "picks": 6
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-10-23",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": 60769,
      "n": 67,
      "picks": 8
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-10-24",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": 63589,
      "n": 95,
      "picks": 28
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-10-26",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": 85084,
      "n": 113,
      "picks": 18
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-10-27",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": 201306,
      "n": 158,
      "picks": 45
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-10-28",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": 207752,
      "n": 180,
      "picks": 22
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-10-29",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": 257498,
      "n": 189,
      "picks": 9
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-10-30",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": 159344,
      "n": 240,
      "picks": 51
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-10-31",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": 131069,
      "n": 247,
      "picks": 7
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-11-01",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": 98757,
      "n": 260,
      "picks": 13
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-11-02",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": 73482,
      "n": 281,
      "picks": 21
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-11-03",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": 160902,
      "n": 312,
      "picks": 31
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-11-04",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": 163050,
      "n": 326,
      "picks": 14
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-11-05",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": 89886,
      "n": 350,
      "picks": 24
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-11-06",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": 64560,
      "n": 382,
      "picks": 32
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-11-07",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": 67160,
      "n": 383,
      "picks": 1
     }
    ]
   },
   "archived": null
  },
  "author_response": null,
  "cite": {
   "text": "Forecast Record recorded 383 settled live picks by Statarea before kick-off across 379 matches between 18 October and 7 November 2026. At our recorded market prices these picks returned +1.8% on the total staked. Of the 5,239 predictions we hold for Statarea, 3,201 are linked to matches: 1,978 were recorded by us before kick-off and 1,223 first found after the match. Figures as of 7 November 2026.",
   "url": "https://forecastrecord.com/sources/statarea-com/",
   "data_as_of": "2026-11-07",
   "method_version": "2.2"
  },
  "origin": {
   "contract_version": "1",
   "predictions": 5239,
   "under_review": 0,
   "no_match_linked": 2038,
   "proven_predictions": 1978,
   "proven_checked": 1947,
   "proven_measured": 408,
   "proven_dates": 23,
   "parts": [
    {
     "code": "live",
     "title": "Recorded before kick-off",
     "explanation": "Saved by us from the source before kick-off.",
     "predictions": 1978,
     "checked": 1947,
     "price_rule": "Return at our recorded market price",
     "series_code": "market_price",
     "main": {
      "settled_picks": 383,
      "void": 0,
      "matches": 379,
      "net_points_hundredths": 67160,
      "staked_hundredths": 3830000,
      "return_percent": "1.75",
      "interval_low": "-7.26",
      "interval_high": "10.49",
      "interval_note": null,
      "period_from": "2026-10-18",
      "period_to": "2026-11-07",
      "method_version": "2.2",
      "snapshot_delay_median_hours": "0.0",
      "snapshot_delay_max_hours": "1.8",
      "checked_after_kickoff_picks": 53
     },
     "same_picks": [
      {
       "price": "Closing price",
       "series_code": "closing_live",
       "picks": 147,
       "return_main_percent": "1.41",
       "return_other_percent": "0.64",
       "settled_excluding_void": 147,
       "net_main_points_hundredths": 20755,
       "net_other_points_hundredths": 9402,
       "period_from": "2026-10-18",
       "period_to": "2026-11-07"
      }
     ],
     "score": {
      "score_forecasts": 25,
      "exact_hits": 2,
      "exact_rate": 8.0,
      "outcome_checked": 25,
      "outcome_hits": 11,
      "outcome_rate": 44.0,
      "baseline_matches": 5,
      "baseline_distinct_matches": 5,
      "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 1,
      "outcome_rate_on_baseline": 20.0,
      "favourite_hits": 2,
      "favourite_rate": 40.0,
      "price_basis": "our pre-match snapshot",
      "pending": 1,
      "void": 0,
      "recorded_after_kickoff": 161,
      "lines": [
       "Outcome checked. No betting return is attributed to these score forecasts.",
       "2 of 25 score forecasts named the exact score (8.0%).",
       "The result implied by the named score was right in 1 of 5 matches; the market favourite was right in 2 of the same 5 matches.",
       "A pre-match market favourite is known for 5 of 25 forecasts; the comparison uses only those.",
       "The market favourite is the home win, draw or away win with the lowest price in our own odds snapshot taken before kick-off.",
       "The implied result follows from the named score (2-1 implies a home win)."
      ]
     },
     "eligible": {
      "checked": 1947,
      "priced": 383
     },
     "accuracy": {
      "picks": 383,
      "won": 237,
      "won_percent": "61.9",
      "implied_percent": "60.6",
      "left_out": 0,
      "by_market": [
       {
        "market": "Match result",
        "won": 187,
        "picks": 311,
        "implied_percent": "57.8"
       },
       {
        "market": "Double chance",
        "won": 50,
        "picks": 72,
        "implied_percent": "72.6"
       }
      ]
     },
     "reviewed_after": {
      "predictions": 917,
      "right": 529,
      "wrong": 385,
      "other": 3
     }
    },
    {
     "code": "archived",
     "title": "Archived before kick-off",
     "explanation": "Restored from a copy saved by an independent web archive before kick-off.",
     "predictions": 0,
     "checked": 0,
     "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices",
     "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
     "main": null,
     "same_picks": [],
     "score": {
      "score_forecasts": 0,
      "exact_hits": 0,
      "exact_rate": null,
      "outcome_checked": 0,
      "outcome_hits": 0,
      "outcome_rate": null,
      "baseline_matches": 0,
      "baseline_distinct_matches": 0,
      "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0,
      "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null,
      "favourite_hits": 0,
      "favourite_rate": null,
      "price_basis": null,
      "pending": 0,
      "void": 0,
      "recorded_after_kickoff": 0,
      "lines": []
     },
     "eligible": {
      "checked": 0,
      "priced": 0
     },
     "accuracy": null
    },
    {
     "code": "found_after",
     "title": "Found after the match",
     "explanation": "First found after the match; the date is the one the source states.",
     "predictions": 1223,
     "checked": 745,
     "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices",
     "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
     "main": {
      "settled_picks": 2,
      "void": 0,
      "matches": 1,
      "net_points_hundredths": -4800,
      "staked_hundredths": 20000,
      "return_percent": "-24.00",
      "interval_low": null,
      "interval_high": null,
      "interval_note": "too few independent matches to estimate an interval",
      "period_from": "2024-08-27",
      "period_to": "2024-08-27",
      "method_version": "retro-1.1"
     },
     "same_picks": [],
     "score": {
      "score_forecasts": 0,
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  "caption": "Recorded before kick-off, at our recorded market price · 100 points per pick · 18 October – 7 November 2026 · Calculated · picks settled under method v2.2",
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   "match": "FK Csikszereda Miercurea Ciuc v Universitatea Cluj",
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   "match": "Rot-Weiss Essen v Alemannia Aachen",
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   "match": "Marine v Oxford City",
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   "match": "Hednesford v Spalding United",
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   "match": "Harborough Town v Worksop",
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   "match": "Darlington 1883 v Spennymoor Town",
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   "author_said": "Correct score: Darlington 1883 3-0 Spennymoor Town",
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   "author_said": "Correct score: Gillingham 1-4 Grimsby Town",
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   "match": "Exeter City v Fleetwood Town",
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   "author_said": "Correct score: Exeter City 2-1 Fleetwood Town",
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   "url": "/sources/statarea-com/picks/105/#pick-n-c6fd08964f1dc5882048bd49",
   "match": "Crawley Town v Tranmere Rovers",
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   "author_said": "Correct score: Crawley Town 1-1 Tranmere Rovers",
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  {
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   "match": "Chesterfield v Crewe Alexandra",
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   "author_said": "Correct score: Chesterfield 5-1 Crewe Alexandra",
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   "url": "/sources/statarea-com/picks/63/#pick-n-6acf7f7adb5967d24b7087d8",
   "match": "FC Bayern München v Arsenal",
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   "record_id": "n-77da4348f32df211ff728939",
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   "quote": "16:00\n\n1\n\nEbbsfleet United - Chesham United\n\nclose X\n\n16:00\n\n0\n\n0\n\nTIP\n\n1",
   "group": "excluded",
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   "quote": "16:00\n\n1\n\nDagenham and Redbridge - Billericay",
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   "quote": "16:30\n\n1\n\nEibar B - Atletico Astorga",
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   "quote": "16:00\n\nX2\n\nCD Basconia - Amorebieta",
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   "quote": "13:00\n\n1\n\nBlekitni Stargard - Notec Czarnkow",
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   "quote": "14:00\n\n1\n\nSpVgg Unterhaching - TSV Schwaben Augsburg",
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  },
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   "quote": "14:00\n\n1X\n\nSpVgg Greuther Furth II - TSV Aubstadt",
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   "quote": "14:00\n\nX2\n\nSchweinfurt - Wacker Burghausen",
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   "quote": "14:00\n\n1\n\nDJK Vilzing - TSV Landsberg",
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   "quote": "Keciorengucu - Manisa FK\n\nclose X\n\n11:30\n\n3\n\n0\n\nTIP\n\n1",
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   "quote": "12:00\n\n1\n\nOrdabasy - FC Kaysar\n\nclose X\n\n12:00\n\n0\n\n0\n\nTIP\n\n1",
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   "group": "excluded",
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   "group": "excluded",
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   "quote": "14:45\n\n1X\n\nVillefranche - Quevilly\n\nclose X\n\n14:45\n\n0\n\n1\n\nTIP\n\n1X",
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   "quote": "14:45\n\nX2\n\nParis 13 Atletico - La Roche\n\nclose X\n\n14:45\n\n0\n\n0\n\nTIP\n\nX2",
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   "quote": "14:45\n\n2\n\nBourg-en-Bresse 01 - Le Puy\n\nclose X\n\n14:45\n\n0\n\n0\n\nTIP\n\n2",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
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   "quote": "14:45\n\n1\n\nCaen - Versailles 78 FC\n\nclose X\n\n14:45\n\n0\n\n0\n\nTIP\n\n1",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
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   "quote": "14:45\n\n1\n\nRouen - Bastia\n\nclose X\n\n14:45\n\n0\n\n0\n\nTIP\n\n1",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
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   "quote": "15:15\n\n1\n\nAl-Shamal - Al-Sailiya\n\nclose X\n\n15:15\n\n1\n\n0\n\nTIP\n\n1",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
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  },
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   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "20:00\n\n1\n\nSt Etienne - Laval\n\nclose X\n\n20:00\n\n0\n\n0\n\nTIP\n\n1",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
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   "recorded_at": "2026-11-07T01:33:15.989Z",
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   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "X2\n\nClermont Foot 63 - Rodez\n\nclose X\n\n14:00\n\n0\n\n0\n\nTIP\n\nX2",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
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   "recorded_at": "2026-11-07T01:33:15.989Z",
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  },
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   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "12\n\nPau - Nantes\n\nclose X\n\n20:00\n\n0\n\n0\n\nTIP\n\n12",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
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   "reason_code": "ambiguous",
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   "recorded_at": "2026-11-07T01:33:15.989Z",
   "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
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  },
  {
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   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "1\n\nDrogheda United - UCD\n\nclose X\n\n18:30\n\n0\n\n0\n\nTIP\n\n1",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "ambiguous",
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   "series_code": null,
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   "recorded_at": "2026-11-07T01:33:15.989Z",
   "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
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   "attribution": null,
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  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-15fd5e08f8006736cb6a46f8",
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   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "X2\n\nAltrincham - Notts County\n\nclose X\n\n18:30\n\n0\n\n0\n\nTIP\n\nX2",
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   "outcome": "Excluded",
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   "quote": "12\n\n0:0\n\nEverton (w) - Manchester United Women",
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   "quote": "1\n\nWelling - Carshalton Athletic",
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   "quote": "14:00\n\n2\n\nMadura United - Persib Bandung\n\nclose X\n\n14:00\n\n0\n\n0\n\nTIP\n\n2",
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   "quote": "01:00\n\n1X\n\nFC Cincinnati - DC United\n\nclose X\n\n01:00\n\n1\n\n2\n\nTIP\n\n1X",
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   "quote": "16:30\n\n2\n\nAl-Shahaniya - Al-Sadd\n\nclose X\n\n16:30\n\n0\n\n0\n\nTIP\n\n2",
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   "quote": "02:30\n\n1\n\nPalmeiras - Fluminense\n\nclose X\n\n02:30\n\n2\n\n0\n\nTIP\n\n1",
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   "outcome": "Excluded",
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   "quote": "18:45\n\n12\n\nFerencvarosi TC - Torreense\n\nclose X\n\n18:45\n\n2\n\n1\n\nTIP\n\n12",
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   "outcome": "Excluded",
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   "quote": "18:45\n\n2\n\nLech Poznan - Sunderland\n\nclose X\n\n18:45\n\n3\n\n0\n\nTIP\n\n2",
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   "quote": "16:00\n\n2\n\nBracknell Town - Chichester City\n\nclose X\n\n16:00\n\n0\n\n0\n\nTIP\n\n2",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
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   "reason_code": "after_match",
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   "in_headline": false,
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  },
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   "quote": "14:00\n\n1X\n\n2:0\n\nSkive - FA 2000\n\nclose X\n\n14:00\n\n0\n\n0\n\nTIP\n\n1X",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
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  },
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   "quote": "14:00\n\nX2\n\n3:3\n\nMiddelfart - Roskilde\n\nclose X\n\n14:00\n\n0\n\n0\n\nTIP\n\nX2",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
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  },
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   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
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   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "14:00\n\n1\n\n3:1\n\nMadla IL - Staal Jorpeland\n\nclose X\n\n14:00\n\n0\n\n1\n\nTIP\n\n1",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
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  },
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   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "16:00\n\nX2\n\nStratford - Peterborough Sports\n\nclose X\n\n16:00\n\n0\n\n0\n\nTIP\n\nX2",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
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  },
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   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "16:00\n\n2\n\nAFC Stamford - Real Bedford\n\nclose X\n\n16:00\n\n0\n\n0\n\nTIP\n\n2",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
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   "reason_code": "after_match",
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  },
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   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "16:00\n\n2\n\nLeighton Town - Rushall Olympic\n\nclose X\n\n16:00\n\n0\n\n0\n\nTIP\n\n2",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
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   "favourite": null,
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  },
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   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "16:00\n\nX2\n\nLeamington - Needham Market\n\nclose X\n\n16:00\n\n0\n\n0\n\nTIP\n\nX2",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
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   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "after_match",
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   "recorded_at": "2026-10-17T15:42:57.578Z",
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   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
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   "attribution": null,
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   "favourite": null,
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  },
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   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Halesowen Town - Hitchin\n\nclose X\n\n16:00\n\n0\n\n0\n\nTIP\n\n1",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
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   "reason_code": "after_match",
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   "recorded_at": "2026-10-17T15:42:57.578Z",
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   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
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   "favourite": null,
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  },
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   "kickoff": null,
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   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Bury Town - Stourbridge\n\nclose X\n\n16:00\n\n1\n\n0\n\nTIP\n\n1X",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
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   "reason_code": "after_match",
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   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Bromsgrove Sporting FC - Banbury United\n\nclose X\n\n16:00\n\n0\n\n0\n\nTIP\n\n1",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
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   "kickoff": null,
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   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Bishops Stortford - Racing Club Warwick\n\nclose X\n\n16:00\n\n0\n\n0\n\nTIP\n\n2",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
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   "reason_code": "after_match",
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   "kickoff": null,
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   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "FK Frydek-mistek - Slovacko B\n\nclose X\n\n14:30\n\n1\n\n0\n\nTIP\n\n1X",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
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   "reason_code": "after_match",
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  },
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   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Spartans - Stranraer\n\nclose X\n\n16:00\n\n1\n\n0\n\nTIP\n\nX",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
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   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "after_match",
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  },
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   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Kelty Hearts - Forfar Athletic\n\nclose X\n\n16:00\n\n0\n\n0\n\nTIP\n\n1",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
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   "reason_code": "after_match",
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  },
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   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Elgin City - Edinburgh City\n\nclose X\n\n16:00\n\n0\n\n0\n\nTIP\n\n1",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
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   "reason_code": "after_match",
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  },
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   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Dumbarton - Stirling Albion\n\nclose X\n\n16:00\n\n0\n\n0\n\nTIP\n\n1",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
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   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "after_match",
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   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
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  },
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   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "TIP\n\n1\n\n2026-10-17 16:00\n\n-\n\nClyde\n\n-\n\nAnnan Athletic",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
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   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "after_match",
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   "recorded_at": "2026-10-17T15:42:57.578Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
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   "quote": "TIP\n\n2\n\n2026-10-17 14:00\n\n3\nSportfreunde Siegen\n\n1\nHT 1:0\n\nRot-Weiss Oberhausen",
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   "outcome": "Excluded",
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   "quote": "16:00\n\n1\n\nColchester - Exeter\n\nclose X\n\n16:00\n\n0\n\n0\n\nTIP\n\n1",
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   "quote": "TIP\n\n1\n\n2026-10-17 18:45",
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   "quote": "1:0\n\nRacing De Ferrol - Unionistas de Salamanca",
   "group": "excluded",
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   "correction": null
  },
  {
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   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "15:00\n\n2\n\nUnione Venezia - Napoli\n\nclose X\n\n15:00\n\n24\n\n1\n\nTIP\n\n2",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
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   "reason_code": "after_match",
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   "recorded_at": "2026-10-17T15:42:57.578Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
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   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-5dc329c0c481b2ca5a141d8d",
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   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "20:45\n\n1\n\nRoma - Genoa\n\nclose X\n\n20:45\n\n30\n\n2\n\nTIP\n\n1",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
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   "record_part": "found_after",
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   "quote": "18:00\n\n2\n\nBologna - Inter\n\nclose X\n\n18:00\n\n22\n\n4\n\nTIP\n\n2",
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   "group": "excluded",
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   "group": "excluded",
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   "quote": "15:30\n\nX2\n\nFC Schalke 04 - FSV Mainz 05\n\nclose X\n\n15:30\n\n12\n\n3\n\nTIP\n\nX2",
   "group": "excluded",
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   "quote": "15:30\n\n2\n\nUnion Berlin - Borussia Dortmund\n\nclose X\n\n15:30\n\n20\n\n5\n\nTIP\n\n2",
   "group": "excluded",
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   "quote": "18:30\n\n1\n\nBayern Munich - RB Leipzig\n\nclose X\n\n18:30\n\n36\n\n6\n\nTIP\n\n1",
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    "composition_hash": "e98e4d8e1ae027118baa3b5e38140c2aaa7e465e12ca3edcac42ad7c3bb9324c",
    "text": "+1.75% on 383 settled picks across 379 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "reason": "1 new settled pick from matches played after the previous data version.",
   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
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  {
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   "data_version": "2026-11-07.1",
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   "category": "coverage_extended",
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    "text": "+2.02% on 374 settled picks across 370 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
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    "return_percent": "1.69",
    "settled_picks": 382,
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    "text": "+1.69% on 382 settled picks across 378 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
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   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
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    "text": "+2.57% on 350 settled picks across 347 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
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    "text": "+2.02% on 374 settled picks across 370 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
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   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
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   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
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   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
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    "text": "+4.02% on 285 settled picks across 282 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
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   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
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    "text": "+3.80% on 260 settled picks across 259 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
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   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
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  {
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    "text": "+2.91% on 257 settled picks across 256 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
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   "after": {
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    "return_percent": "3.80",
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    "composition_hash": "1954a4d9273c93db92e35dd671b023a7602b5281b31432c57c4d6c970c975cce",
    "text": "+3.80% on 260 settled picks across 259 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
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   "reason": "Data corrected: 1 pick left the headline sample; 4 picks added.",
   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
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  {
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   "at": "2026-11-01T19:56:40.745Z",
   "data_version": "2026-11-01.3",
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   "url": "/sources/statarea-com/",
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    "composition_hash": "eeca82275e4fa501790e8615668aacc2e4752712a353bd478202c74141521477",
    "text": "+4.46% on 249 settled picks across 248 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
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   "after": {
    "data_version": "2026-11-01.3",
    "return_percent": "2.91",
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    "text": "+2.91% on 257 settled picks across 256 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
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   "reason": "Added 7 earlier picks for matches played before the previous data version (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture); also 1 new result.",
   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
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  {
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   "at": "2026-11-01T16:20:36.348Z",
   "data_version": "2026-11-01.2",
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   "url": "/sources/statarea-com/",
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    "composition_hash": "afefa5f7443ebb01e257c7109ffc5138c4e9aa7420093187834771a66c51b27b",
    "text": "+5.31% on 247 settled picks across 246 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
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   "after": {
    "data_version": "2026-11-01.2",
    "return_percent": "4.46",
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    "composition_hash": "eeca82275e4fa501790e8615668aacc2e4752712a353bd478202c74141521477",
    "text": "+4.46% on 249 settled picks across 248 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
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   "reason": "2 new settled picks from matches played after the previous data version.",
   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
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  {
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   "at": "2026-11-01T06:32:40.816Z",
   "data_version": "2026-11-01.1",
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   "url": "/sources/statarea-com/",
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    "settled_picks": 240,
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    "composition_hash": "a2f9d2dd9331b7abd1c8ec63d3e97af51ef90f7c938ae288b3bba5140f7dc597",
    "text": "+6.64% on 240 settled picks across 239 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
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    "return_percent": "5.31",
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    "composition_hash": "afefa5f7443ebb01e257c7109ffc5138c4e9aa7420093187834771a66c51b27b",
    "text": "+5.31% on 247 settled picks across 246 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
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   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
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   "at": "2026-10-31T04:09:05.944Z",
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    "composition_hash": "907319400a1f3ced8ec1893f921b2bef1609a7485b51ef54e6559eabf7cc1f80",
    "text": "+12.23% on 194 settled picks across 193 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
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    "return_percent": "6.64",
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    "composition_hash": "a2f9d2dd9331b7abd1c8ec63d3e97af51ef90f7c938ae288b3bba5140f7dc597",
    "text": "+6.64% on 240 settled picks across 239 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "reason": "Added 7 earlier picks for matches played before the previous data version (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture); also 39 new results.",
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    "text": "+13.39% on 192 settled picks across 191 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
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    "text": "+12.23% on 194 settled picks across 193 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
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   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
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    "composition_hash": "e5db7d36c9eb9e2823b75aa40c03bc25e5f90d078d5d37c19aca5abe72fdf512",
    "text": "+13.39% on 192 settled picks across 191 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
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   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
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   "at": "2026-10-30T08:26:41.528Z",
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    "text": "+10.70% on 184 settled picks across 183 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
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    "text": "+13.99% on 191 settled picks across 190 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
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   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
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   "at": "2026-10-29T20:28:50.091Z",
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   "reason": "Added 11 earlier picks for matches played before the previous data version (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture); also 14 new results.",
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 ],
 "counts_by_slice": {
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      "league_markets": [
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        "small_sample": true,
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       {
        "code_name": "1x2",
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        "period_from": "2026-10-23",
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        "small_sample": true,
        "average_odds": "1.79",
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     },
     {
      "code_name": "EFL Championship",
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      "league_markets": [
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        "void": 0,
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        "period_from": "2026-10-20",
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        "small_sample": true,
        "average_odds": "1.34",
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       },
       {
        "code_name": "1x2",
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        "void": 0,
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        "small_sample": true,
        "average_odds": "2.80",
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      ]
     },
     {
      "code_name": "LaLiga",
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      "league_markets": [
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        "void": 0,
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        "small_sample": true,
        "average_odds": "1.68",
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       },
       {
        "code_name": "double_chance",
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        "settled_picks": 3,
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        "period_from": "2026-10-18",
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        "small_sample": true,
        "average_odds": "1.41",
        "odds_from_author": 0,
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      ]
     },
     {
      "code_name": "MLS",
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      "won": 6,
      "void": 0,
      "net_points_hundredths": 4088,
      "return_percent": "4.1",
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      "small_sample": false,
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      "league_markets": [
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