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 "heading": "Sporting Life: Football Prediction Record",
 "description": "Verified record: 22 settled picks by Sporting Life (football) recorded before kick-off across 19 matches, 11 Oct 2026 – 7 Nov 2026.",
 "first_paragraph": {
  "body": "Forecast Record recorded 22 settled live picks by Sporting Life (football) before kick-off across 19 matches between 11 October and 7 November 2026. At our recorded market prices these picks returned −17.0% on the total staked. Of the 341 predictions we hold for Sporting Life (football), 106 are linked to matches: 106 were recorded by us before kick-off; 37 are excluded while the attribution is under review. Figures as of 7 November 2026.",
  "key_number": "−17.0%",
  "data": "2026-11-07",
  "source_info": "our own evidence archive and market snapshot",
  "brand": "Forecast Record"
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  "settled_count": 24,
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 "data_date": "2026-11-07T18:04:45.496Z",
 "built_at": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z",
 "lastmod": "2026-11-08T02:12:33.000Z",
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  "disclosure": "Some links below are affiliate links and are marked as such. They never affect what you see above: the order of any table is computed before any commission is known.",
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  "id": "e-96cd87435c6da26cd77bdd46",
  "public_name": "Sporting Life (football)",
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  "observation_period": {
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   "unit": "percent",
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   "n_events": 19,
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   "ci_low": "-69.8613",
   "ci_high": "44.2468",
   "ci_method": "cluster_bootstrap",
   "price_source": "market_price",
   "coverage_percent": "100.00",
   "breakdown": [],
   "methodology_version": "2.2",
   "data_date": "2026-11-07T18:04:45.496Z",
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  },
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   "observation_id": "n-1ed68ef8d61de1958d3d4649",
   "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-1ed68ef8d61de1958d3d4649",
   "quote_text": "Yeovil are the division below but sit fifth in the league after an impressive start to the campaign",
   "fragment_from": 5952,
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   "quote_allowed": true,
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    "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled",
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled."
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   "settlements": [],
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   "funnel_stage": "statement",
   "authorship": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-47a3ea5925a2eb86a69a1735",
   "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-47a3ea5925a2eb86a69a1735",
   "quote_text": "I like to call this one the “Jimmy the Punt experiment”.",
   "fragment_from": 5590,
   "fragment_to": 5646,
   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
    "medium": "website",
    "url": "https://www.sportinglife.com/football/news/matthew-oregans-tips-fa-cup-1st-round-predictions-and-best-bets/235239",
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    "data_status": "unknown",
    "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled",
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled."
   },
   "settlements": [],
   "corrections": [],
   "funnel_stage": "statement",
   "authorship": null,
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  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-efa1b734422e4f66d019ced6",
   "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-efa1b734422e4f66d019ced6",
   "quote_text": "Their away games are averaging just shy of four goals per game, with BTTS landing in 5/7",
   "fragment_from": 5261,
   "fragment_to": 5349,
   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
    "medium": "website",
    "url": "https://www.sportinglife.com/football/news/matthew-oregans-tips-fa-cup-1st-round-predictions-and-best-bets/235239",
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    "detected_at": "2026-11-05T12:32:05.174Z",
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   "added_on": null,
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    "data_status": "unknown",
    "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled",
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled."
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   "settlements": [],
   "corrections": [],
   "funnel_stage": "statement",
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  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-622296b82f9184217f6af453",
   "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-622296b82f9184217f6af453",
   "quote_text": "The Ammies lost their opening three games but are 11 unbeaten in the league",
   "fragment_from": 5114,
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   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
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   "origin": "source_stated_date",
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   "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "added_on": null,
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   "author_claim_outcome": {
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    "data_status": "unknown",
    "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled",
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  }
 ],
 "excluded_from_feed": {
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  "service": 10,
  "ruleset_version": "3"
 },
 "standing": {
  "titles": [],
  "publication_mode": "top20",
  "empty_reason": null,
  "rules_version": "catalog-1",
  "insufficient": [],
  "badges_on_page": 0,
  "header_titles": [],
  "record_origin": [
   {
    "portion": "live",
    "n": 66,
    "body": "66 recorded before kick-off · since 6 Oct 2026"
   }
  ],
  "recent_record": [],
  "record_details": [
   {
    "code_name": "M-11",
    "body": "Most recorded: Match result (1X2) · 15 matches",
    "details_words": "Match result (1X2) 6/15 (15 matches); Bet-builder combos 1/9 (9 matches); Goalscorer picks 2/9 (9 matches); Team goals and win to nil 2/9 (7 matches); Player props 3/6 (6 matches); Corners and cards 2/4 (4 matches); Double chance and draw no bet 1/3 (3 matches); Goals over/under 3/4 (3 matches)",
    "url": null,
    "provenance": "live",
    "display_name": "Most recorded bet type",
    "rule_href": "/titles/m-11-most-recorded-bet-type/"
   },
   {
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    "body": "Exact scores · 0/2",
    "details_words": null,
    "url": null,
    "provenance": "live",
    "display_name": "Exact scores",
    "rule_href": "/titles/cs-01-exact-scores/"
   },
   {
    "code_name": "C-01",
    "body": "Minority calls · 0/1",
    "details_words": "Result calls on matches with at least 8 other tipsters and sources, where at least 60.0% of them named another outcome.",
    "url": null,
    "provenance": "live",
    "display_name": "Minority calls",
    "rule_href": "/titles/c-01-minority-calls/"
   },
   {
    "code_name": "X-01",
    "body": "Longest price: correct at 2.15 · 17 Oct 2026",
    "details_words": "Everton v Chelsea · Away win at 2.15 (our pre-match price)",
    "url": "/sources/sporting-life/picks/4/#pick-n-3cbac94ce35903c300c12bac",
    "provenance": "live",
    "display_name": "Correct at a long price",
    "rule_href": "/titles/x-01-correct-at-a-long-price/"
   }
  ],
  "history": []
 },
 "retro": null,
 "late": null,
 "price_vs_market": {
  "contract_version": "1",
  "threshold_percent": "5",
  "rows": [
   {
    "basis": "snapshot",
    "basis_words": "our market price for the same selection when we first recorded the pick (median of bookmakers in our price feed; failing that, the first price within 2 hours after, always before kick-off)",
    "basis_short": "Our market price when we first recorded the pick",
    "compared": 36,
    "above": 8,
    "above_share_percent": "22.2",
    "below": 1,
    "within": 27,
    "median_difference_percent": "1.6",
    "not_comparable": 0,
    "disputed": 0,
    "status": "calculated"
   }
  ],
  "examples": [
   {
    "url": "/sources/sporting-life/picks/15/#pick-n-07f15476fccec716490112bc",
    "basis": "snapshot",
    "stated": "2.00",
    "market": "3.55",
    "difference_percent": "-43.7"
   },
   {
    "url": "/sources/sporting-life/picks/15/#pick-n-2d4a2586b6dc35213632a109",
    "basis": "snapshot",
    "stated": "8.50",
    "market": "6.50",
    "difference_percent": "30.8"
   }
  ],
  "method": "Difference = the author's stated price ÷ the market price of the same selection − 1. A pick counts as above the market when the stated price is more than 5% higher. Each basis is its own comparison; they are never added together. A pair whose prices differ more than twofold is marked “price disputed”: it is probably not the same selection, so it is left out of this comparison and of every return at the author’s price until a manual check confirms the price. A price that the quoted text does not give is marked “price disputed” in the same way."
 },
 "record_summary": {
  "contract_version": "1",
  "entity_type": "editorial",
  "entity_words": "Editorial source",
  "source": {
   "name": "sportinglife.com",
   "url": "https://www.sportinglife.com/football/news/sunday-best-bets-la-liga-ligue-1-and-serie-a-tips-for-8-november-2026/235273"
  },
  "observed_from": "2026-09-26",
  "observed_to": "2026-11-07",
  "data_as_of": "2026-11-07",
  "state": "settled",
  "series_code": "market_price",
  "series": "Recorded before kick-off, at our recorded market price",
  "restored": false,
  "headline_kind": "live_snapshot",
  "headline_part": "live",
  "settled_picks": 22,
  "matches": 19,
  "void": 1,
  "net_points_hundredths": -35772,
  "staked_hundredths": 210000,
  "return_percent": "-17.03",
  "stake_per_pick_hundredths": 10000,
  "period_from": "2026-10-11",
  "period_to": "2026-11-07",
  "status": "calculated",
  "method_version": "2.2",
  "short_history": true,
  "reason": null,
  "reasons": [],
  "sentence": "Forecast Record recorded 22 settled live picks by Sporting Life (football) before kick-off across 19 matches between 11 October and 7 November 2026. At our recorded market prices these picks returned −17.0% on the total staked. Of the 341 predictions we hold for Sporting Life (football), 106 are linked to matches: 106 were recorded by us before kick-off; 37 are excluded while the attribution is under review. Figures as of 7 November 2026.",
  "numbers": [
   {
    "label": "Settled live picks",
    "value": "22",
    "anchor": "/methodology/#settled-pick",
    "note": "1 void"
   },
   {
    "label": "Matches",
    "value": "19",
    "anchor": "/methodology/#match",
    "note": null
   },
   {
    "label": "Net result",
    "value": "−357.72 points",
    "anchor": "/methodology/#settlement",
    "note": "100 points per pick"
   },
   {
    "label": "Return at our recorded market price",
    "value": "−17.0%",
    "anchor": "/methodology/#roi",
    "note": "95% interval −69.9% to +44.2%"
   }
  ],
  "limitations": [
   "37 predictions are kept out of this record’s totals: the article byline and the named tipster differ."
  ],
  "other_series": [],
  "return_over_time": [
   {
    "date": "2026-10-11",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": 8333,
    "n": 1
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-10-17",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": 17083,
    "n": 3
   },
   {
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    "cumulative_points_hundredths": 25704,
    "n": 4
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-10-20",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": 15704,
    "n": 5
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-10-21",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": 5704,
    "n": 6
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-10-24",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": -4296,
    "n": 7
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-10-25",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": -14296,
    "n": 8
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-10-31",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": -34296,
    "n": 10
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-11-01",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": -17772,
    "n": 14
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-11-03",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": -27772,
    "n": 16
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-11-04",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": -5772,
    "n": 19
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-11-05",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": -25772,
    "n": 21
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-11-07",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": -35772,
    "n": 22
   }
  ],
  "return_over_time_parts": {
   "live": {
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    "label": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "Return at our recorded market price",
    "x_axis": "match_date",
    "dated_note": "Dated by match day. Each pick was recorded by us before kick-off and settled after the match.",
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    "matches": 19,
    "match_dates": 13,
    "period_from": "2026-10-11",
    "period_to": "2026-11-07",
    "stake_per_pick_hundredths": 10000,
    "final_points_hundredths": -35772,
    "low": {
     "date": "2026-11-07",
     "cumulative_points_hundredths": -35772,
     "after_picks": 22
    },
    "high": {
     "date": "2026-10-18",
     "cumulative_points_hundredths": 25704,
     "after_picks": 4
    },
    "line_drawn": true,
    "steps": [
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      "date": "2026-10-11",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": 8333,
      "n": 1,
      "picks": 1
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-10-17",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": 17083,
      "n": 3,
      "picks": 2
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-10-18",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": 25704,
      "n": 4,
      "picks": 1
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-10-20",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": 15704,
      "n": 5,
      "picks": 1
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-10-21",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": 5704,
      "n": 6,
      "picks": 1
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-10-24",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -4296,
      "n": 7,
      "picks": 1
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-10-25",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -14296,
      "n": 8,
      "picks": 1
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-10-31",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -34296,
      "n": 10,
      "picks": 2
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-11-01",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -17772,
      "n": 14,
      "picks": 4
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-11-03",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -27772,
      "n": 16,
      "picks": 2
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-11-04",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -5772,
      "n": 19,
      "picks": 3
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-11-05",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -25772,
      "n": 21,
      "picks": 2
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-11-07",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -35772,
      "n": 22,
      "picks": 1
     }
    ]
   },
   "archived": null
  },
  "author_response": null,
  "cite": {
   "text": "Forecast Record recorded 22 settled live picks by Sporting Life (football) before kick-off across 19 matches between 11 October and 7 November 2026. At our recorded market prices these picks returned −17.0% on the total staked. Of the 341 predictions we hold for Sporting Life (football), 106 are linked to matches: 106 were recorded by us before kick-off; 37 are excluded while the attribution is under review. Figures as of 7 November 2026.",
   "url": "https://forecastrecord.com/sources/sporting-life/",
   "data_as_of": "2026-11-07",
   "method_version": "2.2"
  },
  "origin": {
   "contract_version": "1",
   "predictions": 304,
   "under_review": 37,
   "no_match_linked": 198,
   "proven_predictions": 106,
   "proven_checked": 73,
   "proven_measured": 24,
   "proven_dates": 21,
   "parts": [
    {
     "code": "live",
     "title": "Recorded before kick-off",
     "explanation": "Saved by us from the source before kick-off.",
     "predictions": 106,
     "checked": 73,
     "price_rule": "Return at our recorded market price",
     "series_code": "market_price",
     "main": {
      "settled_picks": 22,
      "void": 1,
      "matches": 19,
      "net_points_hundredths": -35772,
      "staked_hundredths": 210000,
      "return_percent": "-17.03",
      "interval_low": "-69.86",
      "interval_high": "44.25",
      "interval_note": null,
      "period_from": "2026-10-11",
      "period_to": "2026-11-07",
      "method_version": "2.2",
      "snapshot_delay_median_hours": "0.0",
      "snapshot_delay_max_hours": "0.0",
      "checked_after_kickoff_picks": 7
     },
     "same_picks": [
      {
       "price": "Author-quoted price",
       "series_code": "author_price",
       "picks": 22,
       "return_main_percent": "-17.03",
       "return_other_percent": "-14.14",
       "settled_excluding_void": 21,
       "net_main_points_hundredths": -35772,
       "net_other_points_hundredths": -29700,
       "period_from": "2026-10-11",
       "period_to": "2026-11-07"
      },
      {
       "price": "Closing price",
       "series_code": "closing_live",
       "picks": 11,
       "return_main_percent": "1.34",
       "return_other_percent": "8.42",
       "settled_excluding_void": 11,
       "net_main_points_hundredths": 1478,
       "net_other_points_hundredths": 9259,
       "period_from": "2026-10-11",
       "period_to": "2026-11-04"
      }
     ],
     "score": {
      "score_forecasts": 2,
      "exact_hits": 0,
      "exact_rate": 0.0,
      "outcome_checked": 2,
      "outcome_hits": 0,
      "outcome_rate": 0.0,
      "baseline_matches": 1,
      "baseline_distinct_matches": 1,
      "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0,
      "outcome_rate_on_baseline": 0.0,
      "favourite_hits": 1,
      "favourite_rate": 100.0,
      "price_basis": "our pre-match snapshot",
      "pending": 1,
      "void": 0,
      "recorded_after_kickoff": 0,
      "lines": [
       "Outcome checked. No betting return is attributed to these score forecasts.",
       "0 of 2 score forecasts named the exact score.",
       "The result implied by the named score was right in 0 of 1 match; the market favourite was right in 1 of the same match.",
       "A pre-match market favourite is known for 1 of 2 forecasts; the comparison uses only those.",
       "The market favourite is the home win, draw or away win with the lowest price in our own odds snapshot taken before kick-off.",
       "The implied result follows from the named score (2-1 implies a home win)."
      ]
     },
     "eligible": {
      "checked": 73,
      "priced": 22
     },
     "accuracy": {
      "picks": 21,
      "won": 8,
      "won_percent": "38.1",
      "implied_percent": "40.5",
      "left_out": 1,
      "by_market": [
       {
        "market": "Match result",
        "won": 2,
        "picks": 8,
        "implied_percent": "42.8"
       },
       {
        "market": "Over/under goals",
        "won": 3,
        "picks": 3,
        "implied_percent": "44.0"
       },
       {
        "market": "Result and both teams to score",
        "won": 0,
        "picks": 3,
        "implied_percent": "28.8"
       },
       {
        "market": "Draw no bet",
        "won": 1,
        "picks": 2,
        "implied_percent": "36.8"
       },
       {
        "market": "Player to score",
        "won": 1,
        "picks": 2,
        "implied_percent": "50.5"
       },
       {
        "market": "Other markets",
        "won": 1,
        "picks": 3,
        "implied_percent": "38.2"
       }
      ]
     },
     "reviewed_after": {
      "predictions": 36,
      "right": 12,
      "wrong": 24,
      "other": 0
     }
    },
    {
     "code": "archived",
     "title": "Archived before kick-off",
     "explanation": "Restored from a copy saved by an independent web archive before kick-off.",
     "predictions": 0,
     "checked": 0,
     "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices",
     "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
     "main": null,
     "same_picks": [],
     "score": {
      "score_forecasts": 0,
      "exact_hits": 0,
      "exact_rate": null,
      "outcome_checked": 0,
      "outcome_hits": 0,
      "outcome_rate": null,
      "baseline_matches": 0,
      "baseline_distinct_matches": 0,
      "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0,
      "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null,
      "favourite_hits": 0,
      "favourite_rate": null,
      "price_basis": null,
      "pending": 0,
      "void": 0,
      "recorded_after_kickoff": 0,
      "lines": []
     },
     "eligible": {
      "checked": 0,
      "priced": 0
     },
     "accuracy": null
    },
    {
     "code": "found_after",
     "title": "Found after the match",
     "explanation": "First found after the match; the date is the one the source states.",
     "predictions": 0,
     "checked": 0,
     "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices",
     "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
     "main": null,
     "same_picks": [],
     "score": {
      "score_forecasts": 0,
      "exact_hits": 0,
      "exact_rate": null,
      "outcome_checked": 0,
      "outcome_hits": 0,
      "outcome_rate": null,
      "baseline_matches": 0,
      "baseline_distinct_matches": 0,
      "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0,
      "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null,
      "favourite_hits": 0,
      "favourite_rate": null,
      "price_basis": null,
      "pending": 0,
      "void": 0,
      "recorded_after_kickoff": 0,
      "lines": []
     },
     "eligible": {
      "checked": 0,
      "priced": 0
     },
     "accuracy": null
    }
   ]
  },
  "live_alongside": null,
  "headline_record_ids": [
   "n-00a4d37660c6db21c8bb801c",
   "n-02e11265cb7f48400fa2f081",
   "n-07f15476fccec716490112bc",
   "n-278b9d52b72892f4aafe6c19",
   "n-2d4a2586b6dc35213632a109",
   "n-3bb147b691a5bde43e39ab04",
   "n-41dcd18942b6f4ff3578bce1",
   "n-57369e5d0baf3981f06a7eff",
   "n-58565b3b052d71f0a1ffa889",
   "n-7a0e9a9403b7bc1f44f8b13d",
   "n-838f925b1612e76580c81ae5",
   "n-948027202e0fc3643590cec6",
   "n-9b75a4a934d49e88fa92c3cd",
   "n-adde4c154e7940f292289651",
   "n-c07384c1314fa8e736959255",
   "n-c1977164c6bf932265033cc9",
   "n-c9d7617d1a692f5c2c6cde66",
   "n-d51eff8ffe6934fc5e1280b8",
   "n-dd8cceaea7268c259aab0518",
   "n-e9424612576ed8c1e8fdd7fb",
   "n-eeb9cc7556c260b0de02f08b",
   "n-f0026ea9af419b5595edf284"
  ],
  "interval_low": "-69.86",
  "interval_high": "44.25",
  "caption": "Recorded before kick-off, at our recorded market price · 100 points per pick · 11 October – 7 November 2026 · Calculated · picks settled under method v2.2",
  "record_from": "2026-09-26",
  "record_to": "2026-11-07"
 },
 "recorded_picks": [
  {
   "record_id": "n-278b9d52b72892f4aafe6c19",
   "url": "/sources/sporting-life/picks/17/#pick-n-278b9d52b72892f4aafe6c19",
   "match": "Leeds United v Tottenham Hotspur",
   "match_url": "/football/matches/leeds-united-vs-tottenham-hotspur-2026-11-07/",
   "kickoff": "2026-11-07T12:30:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Premier League",
   "lead_hours": 27.3,
   "market_code": "1x2",
   "author_said": "1X2, match result: draw at 3.5",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Lost",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "1-0",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": -10000,
   "series_code": "market_price",
   "series_short": "odds snapshot",
   "author_price": "3.5",
   "settled_price": "3.3500",
   "published_at": "2026-11-06T09:09:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-11-06T09:12:05.143Z",
   "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "record_part": "live",
   "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off",
   "in_headline": true,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-278b9d52b72892f4aafe6c19",
    "quote_text": "1.5pts The draw at 5/2 (Betfred)",
    "fragment_from": 577,
    "fragment_to": 609,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://www.sportinglife.com/football/news/premier-league-tips-leeds-vs-tottenham-predictions-best-bets-and-preview/235252",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": null,
     "authorship": "channel_consensus",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "b06aa022a8c8740fd2560c186c1289f8fb57c68ecf55e9cc5a10f944d2037964",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2026-11-06T09:09:00.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-11-06T09:12:05.143Z",
    "executed_at": "2026-11-07T09:11:51.875Z",
    "statement_class": "priced",
    "status": "recognised",
    "cause": null,
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": "s-f45f3e972ed1",
     "display_name": "Leeds United — Tottenham Hotspur",
     "competition_name": "Premier League",
     "starts_at": "2026-11-07T12:30:00.000Z",
     "url": "/football/matches/leeds-united-vs-tottenham-hotspur-2026-11-07/",
     "scoreline": "1-0",
     "condition": "finished"
    },
    "market_label": "1X2, match result",
    "outcome_label": "draw",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": "3.5",
     "our_snapshot": "3.3500",
     "our_snapshot_at": "2026-11-06T09:08:06.021Z",
     "our_snapshot_source": "market snapshot",
     "closing": null,
     "closing_source": null
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "loss",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": -10000,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": "ours",
    "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "recorded_pre_match",
    "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2026-11-06T09:09:00.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "page",
     "source_page_at": "2026-11-06T09:09:00.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-11-06T09:12:05.143Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff",
    "origin_detail": null,
    "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "1X2, match result",
     "choice": "draw",
     "author_odds": "3.5",
     "market_key": "1x2",
     "choice_key": "X",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "1X2, match result: draw at 3.5"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "loss",
     "scoreline": "1-0",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "in_words": "Lost: the final score was Leeds United 1-0 Tottenham Hotspur."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "af309227e3e8bc16694b88ded83f6ff33b6e72138338465696d525c5232b2efd",
      "series_key": "author_price",
      "series_label": "At the author's stated price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "1X2, match result",
      "choice": "draw",
      "decimal_odds": "3.5",
      "odds_role": "author_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "loss",
      "result_words": "Lost",
      "change_hundredths": -10000,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T09:11:50.208Z",
      "methodology_version": "2.2",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     },
     {
      "operation_id": "7373862c76cb489f1936702829ddff55ee8a22204e53b2b2e759763a37c4cc53",
      "series_key": "market_price",
      "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "1X2, match result",
      "choice": "draw",
      "decimal_odds": "3.3500",
      "odds_role": "market_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "loss",
      "result_words": "Lost",
      "change_hundredths": -10000,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T09:11:51.875Z",
      "methodology_version": "2.2",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Sporting Life",
     "publisher": "Sporting Life",
     "forecaster": "Sporting Life",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://www.sportinglife.com/football/news/premier-league-tips-leeds-vs-tottenham-predictions-best-bets-and-preview/235252",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "a draw"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-2d4a2586b6dc35213632a109",
   "url": "/sources/sporting-life/picks/15/#pick-n-2d4a2586b6dc35213632a109",
   "match": "Celtic v Beşiktaş",
   "match_url": "/football/matches/celtic-vs-besiktas-2026-11-05/",
   "kickoff": "2026-11-05T20:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "UEFA Europa League",
   "lead_hours": 31.1,
   "market_code": "player_card",
   "author_said": "Player to be carded: Leandro Trossard to be carded at 8.5",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Lost",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "3-2",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": -10000,
   "series_code": "market_price",
   "series_short": "odds snapshot",
   "author_price": "8.5",
   "settled_price": "6.5000",
   "published_at": "2026-11-04T12:42:49.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-11-04T12:52:04.763Z",
   "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "record_part": "live",
   "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off",
   "in_headline": true,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-2d4a2586b6dc35213632a109",
    "quote_text": "1pt Leandro Trossard to be carded at 15/2",
    "fragment_from": 355,
    "fragment_to": 396,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "website",
     "url": "https://www.sportinglife.com/football/news/europa-league-tips-celtic-vs-besiktas-predictions-best-bets-and-preview/235212",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": null,
     "authorship": "channel_consensus",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "37f31cf79c6e349323572f69730be9f0e9bd9aa649614548402d39403949bcf3",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2026-11-04T12:42:49.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-11-04T12:52:04.763Z",
    "executed_at": "2026-11-04T13:03:15.836Z",
    "statement_class": "priced",
    "status": "recognised",
    "cause": null,
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": "s-956b3f4d80d8",
     "display_name": "Celtic — Beşiktaş",
     "competition_name": "UEFA Europa League",
     "starts_at": "2026-11-05T20:00:00.000Z",
     "url": "/football/matches/celtic-vs-besiktas-2026-11-05/",
     "scoreline": "3-2",
     "condition": "finished"
    },
    "market_label": "Player to be carded",
    "outcome_label": "Leandro Trossard to be carded",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": "8.5",
     "our_snapshot": "6.5000",
     "our_snapshot_at": "2026-11-04T12:50:45.913Z",
     "our_snapshot_source": "market snapshot",
     "closing": null,
     "closing_source": null
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "loss",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": -10000,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": "ours",
    "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "recorded_pre_match",
    "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2026-11-04T12:42:49.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "page",
     "source_page_at": "2026-11-04T12:42:49.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-11-04T12:52:04.763Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff",
    "origin_detail": null,
    "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "Player to be carded",
     "choice": "Leandro Trossard to be carded",
     "author_odds": "8.5",
     "market_key": "player_card",
     "choice_key": "yes",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": null,
     "in_words": "Player to be carded: Leandro Trossard to be carded at 8.5"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "loss",
     "scoreline": "3-2",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "in_words": "Lost: the final score was Celtic 3-2 Beşiktaş."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "695767b87d1355eecbd8992407d963ee47c776159b70198bb71c3a3f4ed3d888",
      "series_key": "author_price",
      "series_label": "At the author's stated price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Player to be carded",
      "choice": "Leandro Trossard to be carded",
      "decimal_odds": "8.5",
      "odds_role": "author_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "loss",
      "result_words": "Lost",
      "change_hundredths": -10000,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-04T13:03:15.023Z",
      "methodology_version": "2.2",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     },
     {
      "operation_id": "6c543d69fd8f3ee7853e473dad1bfd4f98220cc3e5a29c43b866010620b4a434",
      "series_key": "market_price",
      "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "Player to be carded",
      "choice": "Leandro Trossard to be carded",
      "decimal_odds": "6.5000",
      "odds_role": "market_price",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "loss",
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   "url": "/sources/sporting-life/",
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    "composition_hash": "bef9813ef82b84a782b4dd3ab3f1768e838c5aa4ea93c8a0ae5a6d97f2c53b4f",
    "text": "−229.17 points on 7 settled picks across 7 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
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    "composition_hash": "7c7fe436c43a2945f187f38dc5d232c87f1721badd63a9951e6b45cfdbe9a44a",
    "text": "−429.17 points on 9 settled picks across 8 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "reason": "Added 2 earlier picks for matches played before the previous data version (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).",
   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
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    "return_percent": "-21.53",
    "settled_picks": 6,
    "matches": 6,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
    "method_version": "2.2",
    "composition_hash": "d67cff44d10a142c8a8e37f5cbf875ef205c34802a078493cedb3a126458bd8e",
    "text": "−129.17 points on 6 settled picks across 6 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "after": {
    "data_version": "2026-10-27.1",
    "return_percent": "-32.74",
    "settled_picks": 7,
    "matches": 7,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
    "method_version": "2.2",
    "composition_hash": "bef9813ef82b84a782b4dd3ab3f1768e838c5aa4ea93c8a0ae5a6d97f2c53b4f",
    "text": "−229.17 points on 7 settled picks across 7 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "reason": "1 new settled pick from matches played after the previous data version.",
   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
   "affected_records": {
    "added": 1,
    "removed": 0,
    "changed": 0
   },
   "correction_id": null
  },
  {
   "id": "zc-68771427d9788ea7b7b3",
   "at": "2026-10-25T01:37:51.007Z",
   "data_version": "2026-10-24.5",
   "previous_data_version": "2026-10-24.4",
   "url": "/sources/sporting-life/",
   "category": "new_results",
   "category_words": "New results",
   "before": {
    "data_version": "2026-10-22.4",
    "return_percent": "-5.83",
    "settled_picks": 5,
    "matches": 5,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
    "method_version": "2.2",
    "composition_hash": "9dab0706061a20d0aeb0b4403358ffd4693b320608c0e26259d1296b81bfd3e7",
    "text": "−29.17 points on 5 settled picks across 5 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "after": {
    "data_version": "2026-10-24.5",
    "return_percent": "-21.53",
    "settled_picks": 6,
    "matches": 6,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
    "method_version": "2.2",
    "composition_hash": "d67cff44d10a142c8a8e37f5cbf875ef205c34802a078493cedb3a126458bd8e",
    "text": "−129.17 points on 6 settled picks across 6 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "reason": "1 new settled pick from matches played after the previous data version.",
   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
   "affected_records": {
    "added": 1,
    "removed": 0,
    "changed": 0
   },
   "correction_id": null
  },
  {
   "id": "zc-59a51e1c883183220fa8",
   "at": "2026-10-22T13:04:00.441Z",
   "data_version": "2026-10-22.4",
   "previous_data_version": "2026-10-22.3",
   "url": "/sources/sporting-life/",
   "category": "coverage_extended",
   "category_words": "Coverage extended",
   "before": {
    "data_version": "2026-10-21.3",
    "return_percent": "-8.34",
    "settled_picks": 2,
    "matches": 2,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
    "method_version": "2.2",
    "composition_hash": "de48882a62abacb63d735e36145684d9736601d7e75ded98d13238051cd0a154",
    "text": "−16.67 points on 2 settled picks across 2 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "after": {
    "data_version": "2026-10-22.4",
    "return_percent": "-5.83",
    "settled_picks": 5,
    "matches": 5,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
    "method_version": "2.2",
    "composition_hash": "9dab0706061a20d0aeb0b4403358ffd4693b320608c0e26259d1296b81bfd3e7",
    "text": "−29.17 points on 5 settled picks across 5 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "reason": "Added 3 earlier picks for matches played before the previous data version (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).",
   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
   "affected_records": {
    "added": 3,
    "removed": 0,
    "changed": 0
   },
   "correction_id": null
  },
  {
   "id": "zc-b693c11ee52ad7305062",
   "at": "2026-10-21T22:08:07.744Z",
   "data_version": "2026-10-21.3",
   "previous_data_version": "2026-10-21.2",
   "url": "/sources/sporting-life/",
   "category": "new_results",
   "category_words": "New results",
   "before": {
    "data_version": "2026-10-19.6",
    "return_percent": "83.33",
    "settled_picks": 1,
    "matches": 1,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
    "method_version": "2.2",
    "composition_hash": "8f5d3bc8a73501ef042b42ffb469f27a0fc8bdb7e75b25fd597f3899fb09791a",
    "text": "+83.33 points on 1 settled pick across 1 match · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "after": {
    "data_version": "2026-10-21.3",
    "return_percent": "-8.34",
    "settled_picks": 2,
    "matches": 2,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
    "method_version": "2.2",
    "composition_hash": "de48882a62abacb63d735e36145684d9736601d7e75ded98d13238051cd0a154",
    "text": "−16.67 points on 2 settled picks across 2 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "reason": "1 new settled pick from matches played after the previous data version.",
   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
   "affected_records": {
    "added": 1,
    "removed": 0,
    "changed": 0
   },
   "correction_id": null
  },
  {
   "id": "zc-a4e338cff42f61efcd53",
   "at": "2026-10-19T19:39:27.559Z",
   "data_version": "2026-10-19.6",
   "previous_data_version": "2026-10-19.5",
   "url": "/sources/sporting-life/",
   "category": "data_corrected",
   "category_words": "Data corrected",
   "before": {
    "data_version": "2026-10-17.4",
    "return_percent": "1.77",
    "settled_picks": 3,
    "matches": 3,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
    "method_version": "2.2",
    "composition_hash": "6631f953d630db75a15f35dd9894787d7aea78e1be724e980cdb755f90b8c48c",
    "text": "+5.31 points on 3 settled picks across 3 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "after": {
    "data_version": "2026-10-19.6",
    "return_percent": "83.33",
    "settled_picks": 1,
    "matches": 1,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
    "method_version": "2.2",
    "composition_hash": "8f5d3bc8a73501ef042b42ffb469f27a0fc8bdb7e75b25fd597f3899fb09791a",
    "text": "+83.33 points on 1 settled pick across 1 match · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "reason": "Data corrected: 2 picks left the headline sample.",
   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
   "affected_records": {
    "added": 0,
    "removed": 2,
    "changed": 0
   },
   "correction_id": "i-e8a0b58f54023858cf32"
  },
  {
   "id": "zc-61d3cb40f0801d098a23",
   "at": "2026-10-17T20:13:03.224Z",
   "data_version": "2026-10-17.4",
   "previous_data_version": "2026-10-17.3",
   "url": "/sources/sporting-life/",
   "category": "new_results",
   "category_words": "New results",
   "before": {
    "data_version": "2026-10-17.3",
    "return_percent": "-8.34",
    "settled_picks": 2,
    "matches": 2,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
    "method_version": "2.2",
    "composition_hash": "d1bb9fac26caaa8ebbc6b5a4fb32a3c78a0bd69191bc83d15e1735b2f9624576",
    "text": "−16.67 points on 2 settled picks across 2 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "after": {
    "data_version": "2026-10-17.4",
    "return_percent": "1.77",
    "settled_picks": 3,
    "matches": 3,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
    "method_version": "2.2",
    "composition_hash": "6631f953d630db75a15f35dd9894787d7aea78e1be724e980cdb755f90b8c48c",
    "text": "+5.31 points on 3 settled picks across 3 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "reason": "1 new settled pick from matches played after the previous data version.",
   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
   "affected_records": {
    "added": 1,
    "removed": 0,
    "changed": 0
   },
   "correction_id": null
  },
  {
   "id": "zc-3118fd4e3b6543fd0af6",
   "at": "2026-10-17T13:49:05.921Z",
   "data_version": "2026-10-17.3",
   "previous_data_version": "2026-10-17.2",
   "url": "/sources/sporting-life/",
   "category": "new_results",
   "category_words": "New results",
   "before": {
    "data_version": "2026-10-11.8",
    "return_percent": "83.33",
    "settled_picks": 1,
    "matches": 1,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
    "method_version": "2.2",
    "composition_hash": "8f5d3bc8a73501ef042b42ffb469f27a0fc8bdb7e75b25fd597f3899fb09791a",
    "text": "+83.33 points on 1 settled pick across 1 match · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "after": {
    "data_version": "2026-10-17.3",
    "return_percent": "-8.34",
    "settled_picks": 2,
    "matches": 2,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
    "method_version": "2.2",
    "composition_hash": "d1bb9fac26caaa8ebbc6b5a4fb32a3c78a0bd69191bc83d15e1735b2f9624576",
    "text": "−16.67 points on 2 settled picks across 2 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "reason": "1 new settled pick from matches played after the previous data version.",
   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
   "affected_records": {
    "added": 1,
    "removed": 0,
    "changed": 0
   },
   "correction_id": null
  },
  {
   "id": "zc-b9db3ab728e28430f75b",
   "at": "2026-10-11T21:54:36.315Z",
   "data_version": "2026-10-11.8",
   "previous_data_version": "2026-10-11.7",
   "url": "/sources/sporting-life/",
   "category": "method_changed",
   "category_words": "Method changed",
   "before": null,
   "after": {
    "data_version": "2026-10-11.8",
    "return_percent": "83.33",
    "settled_picks": 1,
    "matches": 1,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot",
    "method_version": "2.2",
    "composition_hash": "8f5d3bc8a73501ef042b42ffb469f27a0fc8bdb7e75b25fd597f3899fb09791a",
    "text": "+83.33 points on 1 settled pick across 1 match · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
   },
   "reason": "Method 2.2 (11 October 2026): the live market price of a pick is now the price at the moment we first recorded it (median of bookmakers in our price feed, quote no older than 5 minutes; failing that, the first price within 2 hours after, before kick-off), not the price when our checks admitted it. Picks recorded before kick-off but checked after it are now settled the same way; picks with no price at that moment have no return. First headline number for this record: 1 settled pick.",
   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
   "affected_records": {
    "added": 1,
    "removed": 0,
    "changed": 0
   },
   "correction_id": "i-670608d94f2a106e2f5c"
  }
 ],
 "current_predictions": {
  "total_count": 5,
  "on_date": "2026-11-07T19:52",
  "row_list": [
   {
    "record_id": "n-3a33593fdab9838f3bfb4842",
    "url": "/sources/sporting-life/picks/17/#pick-n-3a33593fdab9838f3bfb4842",
    "match": "Manchester United v Aston Villa",
    "match_url": "/football/matches/manchester-united-vs-aston-villa-2026-11-08/",
    "kickoff": "2026-11-08T16:30:00.000Z",
    "competition": "Premier League",
    "author_said": "Player to score or assist: Johan Manzambi to score or assist at 2.88",
    "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "recorded_at": "2026-11-06T12:52:05.084Z",
    "platform": null
   },
   {
    "record_id": "n-b779c27c4bae9f5b7e19136f",
    "url": "/sources/sporting-life/picks/18/#pick-n-b779c27c4bae9f5b7e19136f",
    "match": "Manchester United v Aston Villa",
    "match_url": "/football/matches/manchester-united-vs-aston-villa-2026-11-08/",
    "kickoff": "2026-11-08T16:30:00.000Z",
    "competition": "Premier League",
    "author_said": "Player to score: Nicolas Jackson to score at 2.8",
    "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "recorded_at": "2026-11-06T12:52:05.084Z",
    "platform": null
   },
   {
    "record_id": "n-5e8ca4a06ad50aa3986400d6",
    "url": "/sources/sporting-life/picks/18/#pick-n-5e8ca4a06ad50aa3986400d6",
    "match": "Fiorentina v Juventus",
    "match_url": "/football/matches/fiorentina-vs-juventus-2026-11-08/",
    "kickoff": "2026-11-08T19:45:00.000Z",
    "competition": "Serie A",
    "author_said": "Both teams to score: yes at 1.67",
    "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "recorded_at": "2026-11-07T16:42:43.194Z",
    "platform": null
   },
   {
    "record_id": "n-7163f0cdabd9954257e682c1",
    "url": "/sources/sporting-life/picks/18/#pick-n-7163f0cdabd9954257e682c1",
    "match": "RC Lens v Olympique de Marseille",
    "match_url": "/football/matches/rc-lens-vs-olympique-de-marseille-2026-11-08/",
    "kickoff": "2026-11-08T19:45:00.000Z",
    "competition": "Ligue 1",
    "author_said": "Over/Under 3.5 goals: under 3.5 at 1.67",
    "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "recorded_at": "2026-11-07T16:42:43.194Z",
    "platform": null
   },
   {
    "record_id": "n-dd4c61926c0c67bad54d27d8",
    "url": "/sources/sporting-life/picks/19/#pick-n-dd4c61926c0c67bad54d27d8",
    "match": "Atlético Madrid v FC Barcelona",
    "match_url": "/football/matches/atletico-madrid-vs-fc-barcelona-2026-11-08/",
    "kickoff": "2026-11-08T20:00:00.000Z",
    "competition": "LaLiga",
    "author_said": "Over/Under 3.5 goals: over 3.5 at 1.8",
    "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "recorded_at": "2026-11-07T16:42:43.194Z",
    "platform": null
   }
  ]
 },
 "counts_by_slice": {
  "portions": [
   {
    "code": "live",
    "title": "Recorded before kick-off",
    "price_rule": "Return at our recorded market price",
    "settled_picks": 22,
    "total_check": true,
    "market_list": [
     {
      "code_name": "1x2",
      "in_words": "Match result",
      "url": null,
      "settled_picks": 8,
      "won": 2,
      "void": 0,
      "net_points_hundredths": -51250,
      "return_percent": "-64.1",
      "period_from": "2026-10-17",
      "period_to": "2026-11-07",
      "small_sample": true,
      "average_odds": "2.81",
      "odds_from_author": 8,
      "odds_from_snapshot": 0
     },
     {
      "code_name": "total",
      "in_words": "Over/under goals",
      "url": null,
      "settled_picks": 3,
      "won": 3,
      "void": 0,
      "net_points_hundredths": 45145,
      "return_percent": "150.5",
      "period_from": "2026-10-18",
      "period_to": "2026-11-01",
      "small_sample": true,
      "average_odds": "2.64",
      "odds_from_author": 3,
      "odds_from_snapshot": 0
     },
     {
      "code_name": "both_teams_score_and_result",
      "in_words": "Result and both teams to score",
      "url": null,
      "settled_picks": 3,
      "won": 0,
      "void": 0,
      "net_points_hundredths": -30000,
      "return_percent": "-100.0",
      "period_from": "2026-10-24",
      "period_to": "2026-11-05",
      "small_sample": true,
      "average_odds": "3.08",
      "odds_from_author": 3,
      "odds_from_snapshot": 0
     },
     {
      "code_name": "handicap_asian",
      "in_words": "Asian handicap",
      "url": null,
      "settled_picks": 2,
      "won": 1,
      "void": 1,
      "net_points_hundredths": 8333,
      "return_percent": "83.3",
      "period_from": "2026-10-11",
      "period_to": "2026-11-03",
      "small_sample": true,
      "average_odds": "1.94",
      "odds_from_author": 2,
      "odds_from_snapshot": 0
     },
     {
      "code_name": "draw_no_bet",
      "in_words": "Draw no bet",
      "url": null,
      "settled_picks": 2,
      "won": 1,
      "void": 0,
      "net_points_hundredths": 14000,
      "return_percent": "70.0",
      "period_from": "2026-11-01",
      "period_to": "2026-11-04",
      "small_sample": true,
      "average_odds": "2.80",
      "odds_from_author": 2,
      "odds_from_snapshot": 0
     },
     {
      "code_name": "player_to_score",
      "in_words": "Player to score",
      "url": null,
      "settled_picks": 2,
      "won": 1,
      "void": 0,
      "net_points_hundredths": -2000,
      "return_percent": "-10.0",
      "period_from": "2026-10-31",
      "period_to": "2026-11-04",
      "small_sample": true,
      "average_odds": "2.33",
      "odds_from_author": 2,
      "odds_from_snapshot": 0
     },
     {
      "code_name": "corners_total",
      "in_words": "Corners over/under",
      "url": null,
      "settled_picks": 1,
      "won": 0,
      "void": 0,
      "net_points_hundredths": -10000,
      "return_percent": "-100.0",
      "period_from": "2026-11-04",
      "period_to": "2026-11-04",
      "small_sample": true,
      "average_odds": "2.40",
      "odds_from_author": 1,
      "odds_from_snapshot": 0
     },
     {
      "code_name": "player_card",
      "in_words": "Player to be carded",
      "url": null,
      "settled_picks": 1,
      "won": 0,
      "void": 0,
      "net_points_hundredths": -10000,
      "return_percent": "-100.0",
      "period_from": "2026-11-05",
      "period_to": "2026-11-05",
      "small_sample": true,
      "average_odds": "8.50",
      "odds_from_author": 1,
      "odds_from_snapshot": 0
     }
    ],
    "leagues": [
     {
      "code_name": "Premier League",
      "in_words": "Premier League",
      "url": "/football/competitions/premier-league/",
      "settled_picks": 6,
      "won": 3,
      "void": 0,
      "net_points_hundredths": 15145,
      "return_percent": "25.2",
      "period_from": "2026-10-18",
      "period_to": "2026-11-07",
      "small_sample": true,
      "average_odds": "2.81",
      "odds_from_author": 6,
      "odds_from_snapshot": 0,
      "league_markets": [
       {
        "code_name": "total",
        "in_words": "Over/under goals",
        "settled_picks": 3,
        "won": 3,
        "void": 0,
        "net_points_hundredths": 45145,
        "return_percent": null,
        "period_from": "2026-10-18",
        "period_to": "2026-11-01",
        "small_sample": true,
        "average_odds": "2.64",
        "odds_from_author": 3,
        "odds_from_snapshot": 0
       },
       {
        "code_name": "1x2",
        "in_words": "Match result",
        "settled_picks": 2,
        "won": 0,
        "void": 0,
        "net_points_hundredths": -20000,
        "return_percent": null,
        "period_from": "2026-10-25",
        "period_to": "2026-11-07",
        "small_sample": true,
        "average_odds": "3.02",
        "odds_from_author": 2,
        "odds_from_snapshot": 0
       },
       {
        "code_name": "both_teams_score_and_result",
        "in_words": "Result and both teams to score",
        "settled_picks": 1,
        "won": 0,
        "void": 0,
        "net_points_hundredths": -10000,
        "return_percent": null,
        "period_from": "2026-10-24",
        "period_to": "2026-10-24",
        "small_sample": true,
        "average_odds": "2.90",
        "odds_from_author": 1,
        "odds_from_snapshot": 0
       }
      ]
     },
     {
      "code_name": "Serie A",
      "in_words": "Serie A",
      "url": "/football/competitions/serie-a/",
      "settled_picks": 4,
      "won": 1,
      "void": 0,
      "net_points_hundredths": -21667,
      "return_percent": "-54.2",
      "period_from": "2026-10-11",
      "period_to": "2026-11-01",
      "small_sample": true,
      "average_odds": "2.16",
      "odds_from_author": 4,
      "odds_from_snapshot": 0,
      "league_markets": [
       {
        "code_name": "handicap_asian",
        "in_words": "Asian handicap",
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  "body": "Record tracked by Forecast Record since 29 September 2026 · 341 predictions · last change 7 November 2026",
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  "in_review": false,
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   "url": "/record-checks/sporting-life-this-weeks-acca-season-2026-27-2026-10-11/",
   "heading": "Sporting Life — This Week's Acca, Season 2026-27: Own Record Check",
   "conclusion": "Not directly comparable: the source counts a special payout (2UP); the method settles the standard market.",
   "data": "2026-10-11",
   "author_name": "This Week's Acca"
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  {
   "url": "/record-checks/sporting-life-jake-osgathorpe-season-2026-27-2026-10-11/",
   "heading": "Sporting Life — Jake Osgathorpe, Season 2026-27: Own Record Check",
   "conclusion": "Not directly comparable: the season total is published without its rows, and the stake of each bet (0.25 to 2.5 points) sits outside the published record, so the total is the source’s own figure; the claimed period starts on 2026-08-01, before our collection of this source began (2026-09-28).",
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   "author_name": "Jake Osgathorpe"
  },
  {
   "url": "/record-checks/sporting-life-jake-osgathorpe-2026-09-2026-10-11/",
   "heading": "Sporting Life — Jake Osgathorpe, September 2026: Own Record Check",
   "conclusion": "Its own rows add up to +7.45 points, not the +7.95 claimed. Not directly comparable: each row of its record is a whole column of several bets with one total, and the stake of each bet (0.25 to 2.5 points) sits outside the published record, so the total is the source’s own figure.",
   "data": "2026-10-11",
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   "verdict": "Not directly comparable: the source counts a special payout (2UP); the method settles the standard market."
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    "verdict": "Not directly comparable: the season total is published without its rows, and the stake of each bet (0.25 to 2.5 points) sits outside the published record, so the total is the source’s own figure; the claimed period starts on 2026-08-01, before our collection of this source began (2026-09-28)."
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     "predictions": null,
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    "difference_reason": "Its own rows add up to +7.45 points, not the +7.95 claimed. Each row of its record is a whole column of several bets with one total, and the stake of each bet (0.25 to 2.5 points) sits outside the published record, so the total is the source’s own figure.",
    "verdict": "Its own rows add up to +7.45 points, not the +7.95 claimed. Not directly comparable: each row of its record is a whole column of several bets with one total, and the stake of each bet (0.25 to 2.5 points) sits outside the published record, so the total is the source’s own figure."
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  {
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