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"origin_detail": "no_match_linked", "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "prediction", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-2a5cd21b74088986b5312da7", "url": "/sources/skysports-com/#pick-n-2a5cd21b74088986b5312da7", "quote_text": "Hull to be shown over 2.5 cards look rather appealing.", "fragment_from": 2066, "fragment_to": 2120, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "rss", "url": 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This selection is excluded from individual performance summaries until the attribution is resolved.", "evidence_fragment": "Our top tipster Lewis Jones, aka Jones Knows, provides his analysis and betting insight for a busy weekend of Premier League action. 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This selection is excluded from individual performance summaries until the attribution is resolved.", "evidence_fragment": "Our top tipster Lewis Jones, aka Jones Knows, provides his analysis and betting insight for a busy weekend of Premier League action. 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This selection is excluded from individual performance summaries until the attribution is resolved.", "evidence_fragment": "Our top tipster Lewis Jones, aka Jones Knows, provides his analysis and betting insight for a busy weekend of Premier League action. 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A pick counts as above the market when the stated price is more than 5% higher. Each basis is its own comparison; they are never added together. A pair whose prices differ more than twofold is marked “price disputed”: it is probably not the same selection, so it is left out of this comparison and of every return at the author’s price until a manual check confirms the price. A price that the quoted text does not give is marked “price disputed” in the same way." }, "record_summary": { "contract_version": "1", "entity_type": "editorial", "entity_words": "Editorial source", "source": { "name": "skysports.com", "url": "https://www.skysports.com/football/news/13607998/premier-league-predictions-jones-knows-best-bets-nottingham-forest-vs-man-city-man-utd-vs-aston-villa-and-more" }, "observed_from": "2026-09-25", "observed_to": "2026-11-07", "data_as_of": "2026-11-07", "state": "none", "series_code": null, "series": null, "restored": false, "headline_kind": null, "headline_part": null, "settled_picks": 0, "matches": 0, "void": 0, "net_points_hundredths": null, "staked_hundredths": null, "return_percent": null, "stake_per_pick_hundredths": null, "period_from": null, "period_to": null, "status": "unknown", "method_version": null, "short_history": true, "reason": "4 predictions are unstaked; 4 predictions are unstaked; 3 predictions are in other markets and 2 predictions for other reasons", "reasons": [ { "code": "not_checked", "predictions": 4, "words": "unstaked" }, { "code": "ambiguous", "predictions": 4, "words": "unstaked" }, { "code": "not_supported", "predictions": 3, "words": "other market" }, { "code": "score_without_price", "predictions": 2, "words": "score forecast without a price" } ], "sentence": "Forecast Record has recorded 545 statements by Sky Sports (Premier League), including 17 predictions. Of the 17 predictions we hold for Sky Sports (Premier League), 1 is linked to matches: 1 was recorded by us before kick-off; 9 are excluded while the attribution is under review. The statements are listed below; as of 7 November 2026.", "numbers": [ { "label": "Statements", "value": "545", "anchor": "/methodology/#statement", "note": null }, { "label": "Predictions", "value": "17", "anchor": "/methodology/#prediction", "note": null } ], "limitations": [ "9 predictions are kept out of this record’s totals: the article byline and the named tipster differ." ], "other_series": [], "return_over_time": [], "return_over_time_parts": { "live": null, "archived": null }, "author_response": null, "cite": { "text": "Forecast Record has recorded 545 statements by Sky Sports (Premier League), including 17 predictions. Of the 17 predictions we hold for Sky Sports (Premier League), 1 is linked to matches: 1 was recorded by us before kick-off; 9 are excluded while the attribution is under review. The statements are listed below; as of 7 November 2026.", "url": "https://forecastrecord.com/sources/skysports-com/", "data_as_of": "2026-11-07", "method_version": null }, "origin": { "contract_version": "1", "predictions": 8, "under_review": 9, "no_match_linked": 7, "proven_predictions": 1, "proven_checked": 0, "proven_measured": 0, "proven_dates": 0, "parts": [ { "code": "live", "title": "Recorded before kick-off", "explanation": "Saved by us from the source before kick-off.", "predictions": 1, "checked": 0, "price_rule": "Return at our recorded market price", "series_code": "market_price", "main": null, "same_picks": [], "score": { "score_forecasts": 0, "exact_hits": 0, "exact_rate": null, "outcome_checked": 0, "outcome_hits": 0, "outcome_rate": null, "baseline_matches": 0, "baseline_distinct_matches": 0, "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0, "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null, "favourite_hits": 0, "favourite_rate": null, "price_basis": null, "pending": 0, "void": 0, "recorded_after_kickoff": 0, "lines": [] }, "eligible": { "checked": 0, "priced": 0 }, "accuracy": null }, { "code": "archived", "title": "Archived before kick-off", "explanation": "Restored from a copy saved by an independent web archive before kick-off.", "predictions": 0, "checked": 0, "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices", "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm", "main": null, "same_picks": [], "score": { "score_forecasts": 0, "exact_hits": 0, "exact_rate": null, "outcome_checked": 0, "outcome_hits": 0, "outcome_rate": null, "baseline_matches": 0, "baseline_distinct_matches": 0, "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0, "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null, "favourite_hits": 0, "favourite_rate": null, "price_basis": null, "pending": 0, "void": 0, "recorded_after_kickoff": 0, "lines": [] }, "eligible": { "checked": 0, "priced": 0 }, "accuracy": null }, { "code": "found_after", "title": "Found after the match", "explanation": "First found after the match; the date is the one the source states.", "predictions": 0, "checked": 0, "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices", "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm", "main": null, "same_picks": [], "score": { "score_forecasts": 0, "exact_hits": 0, "exact_rate": null, "outcome_checked": 0, "outcome_hits": 0, "outcome_rate": null, "baseline_matches": 0, "baseline_distinct_matches": 0, "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0, "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null, "favourite_hits": 0, "favourite_rate": null, "price_basis": null, "pending": 0, "void": 0, "recorded_after_kickoff": 0, "lines": [] }, "eligible": { "checked": 0, "priced": 0 }, "accuracy": null } ] }, "live_alongside": null, "headline_record_ids": [], "caption": "Recorded statements and predictions · as of 7 November 2026", "record_from": "2026-09-25", "record_to": "2026-11-08" }, "recorded_picks": [ { "record_id": "n-5f8eba12ce805fc07f732a42", "url": "/sources/skysports-com/#pick-n-5f8eba12ce805fc07f732a42", "match": "Manchester United v Aston Villa", "match_url": "/football/matches/manchester-united-vs-aston-villa-2026-11-08/", "kickoff": "2026-11-08T16:30:00.000Z", "competition": "Premier League", "lead_hours": 62.8, "market_code": "double_chance", "author_said": "Double chance: draw or Aston Villa", "quote": null, "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_checked", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-11-05T11:45:00.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-11-06T01:43:11.708Z", "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "record_part": "live", "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-5f8eba12ce805fc07f732a42", "quote_text": "I don't see them getting anything from Aston Villa on Sunday.", "fragment_from": 4878, "fragment_to": 4939, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "rss", "url": "https://www.skysports.com/football/news/13607957/man-utd-paul-merson-says-michael-carrick-needs-bruno-fernandes-on-side-and-matheus-cunha-to-be-consistent", "display_name": null, "speaker": null, "authorship": "channel_consensus", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "86f3b998cff7369796119505382ed48710e9e8c00ed914395347da77aab65dd5", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-11-05T11:45:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-06T01:43:11.708Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "unpriced", "status": "ambiguous", "cause": "", "cause_code": "not_checked", "event": { "event_id": "s-0efac66d1287", "display_name": "Manchester United — Aston Villa", "competition_name": "Premier League", "starts_at": "2026-11-08T16:30:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/manchester-united-vs-aston-villa-2026-11-08/", "scoreline": null, "condition": "scheduled" }, "market_label": "Double chance", "outcome_label": "draw or Aston Villa", "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": "unknown", "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-11-05T11:45:00.000Z", "fragment_basis": "element", "source_page_at": "2026-11-05T11:45:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-06T01:43:11.708Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Double chance", "choice": "draw or Aston Villa", "author_odds": null, "market_key": "double_chance", "choice_key": "X2", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "Double chance: draw or Aston Villa" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "unknown", "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "kick-off 8 November 2026, 16:30 UTC", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Pending: kick-off 8 November 2026, 16:30 UTC." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "1e4f760904b4034adb27cee545cbbf3d41a0e55ba7f95c250ddef0b671afdbb0", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Double chance", "choice": "draw or Aston Villa", "decimal_odds": null, "odds_role": null, "stake_hundredths": null, "status": "skipped", "status_text": "Not executed: ", "result": null, "result_words": null, "change_hundredths": null, "executed_at": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "prediction", "authorship": { "material_author": "Sky Sports", "publisher": "Sky Sports", "forecaster": "Sky Sports", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.skysports.com/football/news/13607957/man-utd-paul-merson-says-michael-carrick-needs-bruno-fernandes-on-side-and-matheus-cunha-to-be-consistent", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "draw or Aston Villa" } }, { "record_id": "n-4cb3a240e7c7821e51f5a201", "url": "/sources/skysports-com/#pick-n-4cb3a240e7c7821e51f5a201", "match": "Sunderland v Leeds United", "match_url": "/football/matches/sunderland-vs-leeds-united-2026-10-25/", "kickoff": "2026-10-25T16:30:00.000Z", "competition": "Premier League", "lead_hours": 38.8, "market_code": "1x2", "author_said": "1X2, match result: draw at 3.1", "quote": null, "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": "Won", "final_score": "0-0", "reason": "the article byline and the named tipster differ; this selection is kept out of individual totals", "reason_code": "attribution", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-10-22T23:30:00.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-24T01:42:40.051Z", "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "record_part": null, "record_part_words": null, "in_headline": false, "attribution": "Attribution under review", "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-4cb3a240e7c7821e51f5a201", "quote_text": "That is a significant enough pattern to take seriously when assessing a price of 21/10 with Sky Bet for the draw. Back the bet no-one wants to back.\n\nSCORE PREDICTION: 1-1", "fragment_from": 10378, "fragment_to": 10549, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "rss", "url": "https://www.skysports.com/football/news/13602410/premier-league-predictions-jones-knows-best-bets-tottenham-vs-chelsea-brighton-vs-liverpool-man-utd-vs-bournemouth-and-much-more", "display_name": null, "speaker": null, "authorship": "channel_consensus", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "1410270c44e46f98e7b66abfc8bc410db6a87f620cd163170124d62d16e4ea07", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-10-22T23:30:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-24T01:42:40.051Z", "executed_at": "2026-10-24T06:03:18.281Z", "statement_class": "priced", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": "s-185c5d58dacf", "display_name": "Sunderland — Leeds United", "competition_name": "Premier League", "starts_at": "2026-10-25T16:30:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/sunderland-vs-leeds-united-2026-10-25/", "scoreline": "0-0", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "outcome_label": "draw", "odds_set": { "by_author": "3.1", "our_snapshot": "3.2000", "our_snapshot_at": "2026-10-24T01:40:00.113Z", "our_snapshot_source": "market snapshot", "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "win", "simulation_change_hundredths": 22000, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": "ours", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-10-22T23:30:00.000Z", "fragment_basis": "element", "source_page_at": "2026-10-22T23:30:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-10-24T01:42:40.051Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "draw", "author_odds": "3.1", "market_key": "1x2", "choice_key": "X", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "goals_total", "in_words": "1X2, match result: draw at 3.1" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "win", "scoreline": "0-0", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Won: the final score was Sunderland 0-0 Leeds United." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "10c3d52f52efecc3305d30248fc446a5bd6b4d4aac4a89ae7be7c7be18a8cb7f", "series_key": "author_price", "series_label": "At the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "draw", "decimal_odds": "3.1", "odds_role": "author_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 21000, "executed_at": "2026-10-24T06:03:17.189Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "e78744998e806d42a055610f7055ae427c681cb7ccfa3586fc191820d2ccbf00", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "1X2, match result", "choice": "draw", "decimal_odds": "3.2000", "odds_role": "market_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "win", "result_words": "Won", "change_hundredths": 22000, "executed_at": "2026-10-24T06:03:18.281Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "settled_pick", "authorship": { "material_author": "Sky Sports", "publisher": "Sky Sports", "forecaster": "Lewis Jones", "forecaster_named_in_text": true, "basis": null, "status": "under_check", "status_words": "Attribution under review", "status_note": "The article byline and the named tipster differ. This selection is excluded from individual performance summaries until the attribution is resolved.", "evidence_fragment": "Our top tipster Lewis Jones, aka Jones Knows, provides his analysis and betting insight for a busy weekend of Premier League action. Aston Villa vs Man City, Saturday 12.30pm I always w", "material_url": "https://www.skysports.com/football/news/13602410/premier-league-predictions-jones-knows-best-bets-tottenham-vs-chelsea-brighton-vs-liverpool-man-utd-vs-bournemouth-and-much-more", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": true, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "a draw" } }, { "record_id": "n-0cef65e77c6c518e1d3dc6f2", "url": "/sources/skysports-com/#pick-n-0cef65e77c6c518e1d3dc6f2", "match": "Manchester United v AFC Bournemouth", "match_url": "/football/matches/manchester-united-vs-afc-bournemouth-2026-10-25/", "kickoff": "2026-10-25T14:00:00.000Z", "competition": "Premier League", "lead_hours": 36.3, "market_code": "correct_score_market", "author_said": "Correct score: Manchester United 1-3 AFC Bournemouth", "quote": null, "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": "Lost", "final_score": "0-3", "reason": "the article byline and the named tipster differ; 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