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 "heading": "Parley.com.ve: Football Prediction Record",
 "description": "2 settled picks by Parley.com.ve recorded before kick-off across 2 matches, 31 Oct 2026 – 3 Nov 2026: won 0 of 2 at our recorded market prices.",
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  "body": "Forecast Record recorded 2 settled live picks by Parley.com.ve before kick-off across 2 matches between 31 October and 3 November 2026. Won 0 of 2 settled live picks at our recorded market prices. Of the 61 predictions we hold for Parley.com.ve, 8 are linked to matches: 8 were recorded by us before kick-off. Figures as of 7 November 2026.",
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   "quote_text": "te dejamos algunas recomendaciones para la Taquilla VIP:",
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   "quote_text": "¿Ya tienen lista su jugada de Champions?",
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    "source_page_at": "2026-10-29T17:21:26.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-29T17:36:25.220Z",
    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
    "flags": [],
    "flag_words": null,
    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
   "origin_detail": "no_match_linked",
   "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "added_on": null,
   "late_publication": null,
   "author_claim": null,
   "author_claim_outcome": {
    "result": null,
    "scoreline": null,
    "data_status": "unknown",
    "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled",
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled."
   },
   "settlements": [],
   "corrections": [],
   "funnel_stage": "prediction",
   "authorship": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-f999cad6fcdbfd43705076bf",
   "url": "/sources/parley-com-ve/picks/3/#pick-n-f999cad6fcdbfd43705076bf",
   "quote_text": "Bravos vs Leones: Gana Caracas [+115]",
   "fragment_from": 131,
   "fragment_to": 168,
   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
    "medium": "telegram",
    "url": "https://t.me/parleycomve/4980",
    "display_name": null,
    "speaker": "Parley.com.ve",
    "authorship": "channel_owner",
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    "bundle_id": "80ac3aa95cdf64e95485107189bcfa50da2f0e23d2e85c057088ea8361d833ec",
    "material_removed": false
   },
   "published_at": "2026-10-29T17:21:26.000Z",
   "detected_at": "2026-10-29T17:36:25.220Z",
   "executed_at": null,
   "statement_class": "priced",
   "status": "not_supported",
   "cause": "",
   "cause_code": "not_supported",
   "event": null,
   "market_label": null,
   "outcome_label": null,
   "odds_set": {
    "by_author": null,
    "our_snapshot": null,
    "our_snapshot_at": null,
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    "closing": null,
    "closing_source": null
   },
   "stake_hundredths": null,
   "result": null,
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   "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
   "executed_by": null,
   "series_label": null,
   "withdrawn": false,
   "dates": {
    "fragment_at": "2026-10-29T17:21:26.000Z",
    "fragment_basis": "element",
    "source_page_at": "2026-10-29T17:21:26.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-29T17:36:25.220Z",
    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
    "flags": [],
    "flag_words": null,
    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
   "origin_detail": "no_match_linked",
   "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "added_on": null,
   "late_publication": null,
   "author_claim": null,
   "author_claim_outcome": {
    "result": null,
    "scoreline": null,
    "data_status": "unknown",
    "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled",
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled."
   },
   "settlements": [],
   "corrections": [],
   "funnel_stage": "prediction",
   "authorship": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-fd2483a757eb49363ca3cf01",
   "url": "/sources/parley-com-ve/picks/3/#pick-n-fd2483a757eb49363ca3cf01",
   "quote_text": "Águilas vs Tigres: Gana Tigres [+135]",
   "fragment_from": 37,
   "fragment_to": 74,
   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
    "medium": "telegram",
    "url": "https://t.me/parleycomve/4980",
    "display_name": null,
    "speaker": "Parley.com.ve",
    "authorship": "channel_owner",
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    "bundle_id": "80ac3aa95cdf64e95485107189bcfa50da2f0e23d2e85c057088ea8361d833ec",
    "material_removed": false
   },
   "published_at": "2026-10-29T17:21:26.000Z",
   "detected_at": "2026-10-29T17:36:25.220Z",
   "executed_at": null,
   "statement_class": "priced",
   "status": "not_supported",
   "cause": "",
   "cause_code": "not_supported",
   "event": null,
   "market_label": null,
   "outcome_label": null,
   "odds_set": {
    "by_author": null,
    "our_snapshot": null,
    "our_snapshot_at": null,
    "our_snapshot_source": null,
    "closing": null,
    "closing_source": null
   },
   "stake_hundredths": null,
   "result": null,
   "simulation_change_hundredths": null,
   "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
   "executed_by": null,
   "series_label": null,
   "withdrawn": false,
   "dates": {
    "fragment_at": "2026-10-29T17:21:26.000Z",
    "fragment_basis": "element",
    "source_page_at": "2026-10-29T17:21:26.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-29T17:36:25.220Z",
    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
    "flags": [],
    "flag_words": null,
    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
   "origin_detail": "no_match_linked",
   "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "added_on": null,
   "late_publication": null,
   "author_claim": null,
   "author_claim_outcome": {
    "result": null,
    "scoreline": null,
    "data_status": "unknown",
    "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled",
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled."
   },
   "settlements": [],
   "corrections": [],
   "funnel_stage": "prediction",
   "authorship": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "observation_id": "n-97210fc7c1fe9631ec7bd1c2",
   "url": "/evidence/?pick=n-97210fc7c1fe9631ec7bd1c2",
   "quote_text": "Zerpa, Lara, Contreras, Chourio y Senzatela. Cinco venezolanos campeones esta temporada",
   "fragment_from": 232,
   "fragment_to": 319,
   "quote_allowed": true,
   "source_info": {
    "medium": "telegram",
    "url": "https://t.me/parleycomve/4979",
    "display_name": null,
    "speaker": "Parley.com.ve",
    "authorship": "channel_owner",
    "media_from_ms": null,
    "bundle_id": "327ee33e99346fe51693c3945de506b4fcb74db5ce6994118b74478aed958796",
    "material_removed": false
   },
   "published_at": "2026-10-29T14:40:13.000Z",
   "detected_at": "2026-10-29T14:51:11.587Z",
   "executed_at": null,
   "statement_class": "no_event",
   "status": "recognised",
   "cause": null,
   "cause_code": null,
   "event": null,
   "market_label": null,
   "outcome_label": null,
   "odds_set": {
    "by_author": null,
    "our_snapshot": null,
    "our_snapshot_at": null,
    "our_snapshot_source": null,
    "closing": null,
    "closing_source": null
   },
   "stake_hundredths": null,
   "result": null,
   "simulation_change_hundredths": null,
   "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
   "executed_by": null,
   "series_label": null,
   "withdrawn": false,
   "dates": {
    "fragment_at": "2026-10-29T14:40:13.000Z",
    "fragment_basis": "element",
    "source_page_at": "2026-10-29T14:40:13.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-29T14:51:11.587Z",
    "archive_snapshot_at": null,
    "flags": [],
    "flag_words": null,
    "rule_version": "1.1"
   },
   "origin": "source_stated_date",
   "origin_detail": "no_match_linked",
   "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "added_on": null,
   "late_publication": null,
   "author_claim": null,
   "author_claim_outcome": {
    "result": null,
    "scoreline": null,
    "data_status": "unknown",
    "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled",
    "methodology_version": "2.2",
    "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled."
   },
   "settlements": [],
   "corrections": [],
   "funnel_stage": "statement",
   "authorship": null,
   "correction": null
  }
 ],
 "standing": null,
 "retro": null,
 "late": null,
 "price_vs_market": {
  "contract_version": "1",
  "threshold_percent": "5",
  "rows": [
   {
    "basis": "snapshot",
    "basis_words": "our market price for the same selection when we first recorded the pick (median of bookmakers in our price feed; failing that, the first price within 2 hours after, always before kick-off)",
    "basis_short": "Our market price when we first recorded the pick",
    "compared": 2,
    "above": 0,
    "above_share_percent": "0.0",
    "below": 0,
    "within": 2,
    "median_difference_percent": "0.2",
    "not_comparable": 0,
    "disputed": 0,
    "status": "calculated"
   }
  ],
  "examples": [],
  "method": "Difference = the author's stated price ÷ the market price of the same selection − 1. A pick counts as above the market when the stated price is more than 5% higher. Each basis is its own comparison; they are never added together. A pair whose prices differ more than twofold is marked “price disputed”: it is probably not the same selection, so it is left out of this comparison and of every return at the author’s price until a manual check confirms the price. A price that the quoted text does not give is marked “price disputed” in the same way."
 },
 "record_summary": {
  "contract_version": "1",
  "entity_type": "person",
  "entity_words": "Individual author",
  "source": {
   "name": "t.me",
   "url": "https://t.me/parleycomve/5001"
  },
  "observed_from": "2026-10-25",
  "observed_to": "2026-11-07",
  "data_as_of": "2026-11-07",
  "state": "settled",
  "series_code": "market_price",
  "series": "Recorded before kick-off, at our recorded market price",
  "restored": false,
  "headline_kind": "live_snapshot",
  "headline_part": "live",
  "settled_picks": 2,
  "matches": 2,
  "void": 0,
  "net_points_hundredths": -20000,
  "staked_hundredths": 20000,
  "return_percent": "-100.00",
  "stake_per_pick_hundredths": 10000,
  "period_from": "2026-10-31",
  "period_to": "2026-11-03",
  "status": "calculated",
  "method_version": "2.2",
  "short_history": true,
  "reason": null,
  "reasons": [],
  "sentence": "Forecast Record recorded 2 settled live picks by Parley.com.ve before kick-off across 2 matches between 31 October and 3 November 2026. Won 0 of 2 settled live picks at our recorded market prices. Of the 61 predictions we hold for Parley.com.ve, 8 are linked to matches: 8 were recorded by us before kick-off. Figures as of 7 November 2026.",
  "numbers": [
   {
    "label": "Settled live picks",
    "value": "2",
    "anchor": "/methodology/#settled-pick",
    "note": null
   },
   {
    "label": "Matches",
    "value": "2",
    "anchor": "/methodology/#match",
    "note": null
   },
   {
    "label": "Net result",
    "value": "−200 points",
    "anchor": "/methodology/#settlement",
    "note": "100 points per pick"
   },
   {
    "label": "Return at our recorded market price",
    "value": "−100.0%",
    "anchor": "/methodology/#roi",
    "note": null
   }
  ],
  "limitations": [],
  "other_series": [],
  "return_over_time": [],
  "return_over_time_parts": {
   "live": {
    "part": "live",
    "label": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "Return at our recorded market price",
    "x_axis": "match_date",
    "dated_note": "Dated by match day. Each pick was recorded by us before kick-off and settled after the match.",
    "settled_picks": 2,
    "matches": 2,
    "match_dates": 2,
    "period_from": "2026-10-31",
    "period_to": "2026-11-03",
    "stake_per_pick_hundredths": 10000,
    "final_points_hundredths": -20000,
    "low": {
     "date": "2026-11-03",
     "cumulative_points_hundredths": -20000,
     "after_picks": 2
    },
    "high": {
     "date": "2026-10-31",
     "cumulative_points_hundredths": -10000,
     "after_picks": 1
    },
    "line_drawn": false,
    "steps": [
     {
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      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -10000,
      "n": 1,
      "picks": 1
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-11-03",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -20000,
      "n": 2,
      "picks": 1
     }
    ]
   },
   "archived": null
  },
  "author_response": null,
  "cite": {
   "text": "Forecast Record recorded 2 settled live picks by Parley.com.ve before kick-off across 2 matches between 31 October and 3 November 2026. Won 0 of 2 settled live picks at our recorded market prices. Of the 61 predictions we hold for Parley.com.ve, 8 are linked to matches: 8 were recorded by us before kick-off. Figures as of 7 November 2026.",
   "url": "https://forecastrecord.com/sources/parley-com-ve/",
   "data_as_of": "2026-11-07",
   "method_version": "2.2"
  },
  "origin": {
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   "predictions": 61,
   "under_review": 0,
   "no_match_linked": 53,
   "proven_predictions": 8,
   "proven_checked": 8,
   "proven_measured": 2,
   "proven_dates": 4,
   "parts": [
    {
     "code": "live",
     "title": "Recorded before kick-off",
     "explanation": "Saved by us from the source before kick-off.",
     "predictions": 8,
     "checked": 8,
     "price_rule": "Return at our recorded market price",
     "series_code": "market_price",
     "main": {
      "settled_picks": 2,
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      "net_points_hundredths": -20000,
      "staked_hundredths": 20000,
      "return_percent": "-100.00",
      "interval_low": null,
      "interval_high": null,
      "interval_note": "too few independent matches to estimate an interval",
      "period_from": "2026-10-31",
      "period_to": "2026-11-03",
      "method_version": "2.2",
      "snapshot_delay_median_hours": "0.0",
      "snapshot_delay_max_hours": "0.0",
      "checked_after_kickoff_picks": 0
     },
     "same_picks": [
      {
       "price": "Author-quoted price",
       "series_code": "author_price",
       "picks": 2,
       "return_main_percent": "-100.00",
       "return_other_percent": "-100.00",
       "settled_excluding_void": 2,
       "net_main_points_hundredths": -20000,
       "net_other_points_hundredths": -20000,
       "period_from": "2026-10-31",
       "period_to": "2026-11-03"
      },
      {
       "price": "Closing price",
       "series_code": "closing_live",
       "picks": 2,
       "return_main_percent": "-100.00",
       "return_other_percent": "-100.00",
       "settled_excluding_void": 2,
       "net_main_points_hundredths": -20000,
       "net_other_points_hundredths": -20000,
       "period_from": "2026-10-31",
       "period_to": "2026-11-03"
      }
     ],
     "score": {
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      "exact_rate": null,
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      "baseline_matches": 0,
      "baseline_distinct_matches": 0,
      "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0,
      "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null,
      "favourite_hits": 0,
      "favourite_rate": null,
      "price_basis": null,
      "pending": 0,
      "void": 0,
      "recorded_after_kickoff": 0,
      "lines": []
     },
     "eligible": {
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     },
     "accuracy": {
      "picks": 2,
      "won": 0,
      "won_percent": "0.0",
      "implied_percent": "47.9",
      "left_out": 0,
      "by_market": [
       {
        "market": "Match result",
        "won": 0,
        "picks": 1,
        "implied_percent": "48.8"
       },
       {
        "market": "Over/under goals",
        "won": 0,
        "picks": 1,
        "implied_percent": "46.9"
       }
      ]
     },
     "reviewed_after": {
      "predictions": 1,
      "right": 0,
      "wrong": 1,
      "other": 0
     }
    },
    {
     "code": "archived",
     "title": "Archived before kick-off",
     "explanation": "Restored from a copy saved by an independent web archive before kick-off.",
     "predictions": 0,
     "checked": 0,
     "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices",
     "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
     "main": null,
     "same_picks": [],
     "score": {
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      "exact_hits": 0,
      "exact_rate": null,
      "outcome_checked": 0,
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      "outcome_rate": null,
      "baseline_matches": 0,
      "baseline_distinct_matches": 0,
      "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0,
      "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null,
      "favourite_hits": 0,
      "favourite_rate": null,
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      "pending": 0,
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      "recorded_after_kickoff": 0,
      "lines": []
     },
     "eligible": {
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      "priced": 0
     },
     "accuracy": null
    },
    {
     "code": "found_after",
     "title": "Found after the match",
     "explanation": "First found after the match; the date is the one the source states.",
     "predictions": 0,
     "checked": 0,
     "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices",
     "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
     "main": null,
     "same_picks": [],
     "score": {
      "score_forecasts": 0,
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      "outcome_checked": 0,
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      "baseline_matches": 0,
      "baseline_distinct_matches": 0,
      "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0,
      "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null,
      "favourite_hits": 0,
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      "pending": 0,
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      "recorded_after_kickoff": 0,
      "lines": []
     },
     "eligible": {
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      "priced": 0
     },
     "accuracy": null
    }
   ]
  },
  "live_alongside": null,
  "headline_record_ids": [
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   "n-fda1f46a8c416d6dba9749a8"
  ],
  "interval_low": null,
  "interval_high": null,
  "caption": "Recorded before kick-off, at our recorded market price · 100 points per pick · 31 October – 3 November 2026 · Calculated · picks settled under method v2.2",
  "record_from": "2026-10-25",
  "record_to": "2026-11-07"
 },
 "recorded_picks": [
  {
   "record_id": "n-29aad587174bd8e1ec35fd36",
   "url": "/sources/parley-com-ve/picks/4/#pick-n-29aad587174bd8e1ec35fd36",
   "match": "FC Barcelona v Aston Villa",
   "match_url": "/football/matches/fc-barcelona-vs-aston-villa-2026-11-03/",
   "kickoff": "2026-11-03T20:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "UEFA Champions League",
   "lead_hours": 6.1,
   "market_code": "total",
   "author_said": "Over/Under 4.5 goals: over 4.5 at 2.14",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Lost",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "3-0",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": -10000,
   "series_code": "market_price",
   "series_short": "odds snapshot",
   "author_price": "2.14",
   "settled_price": "2.1300",
   "published_at": "2026-11-03T13:39:04.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-11-03T13:51:10.118Z",
   "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "record_part": "live",
   "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off",
   "in_headline": true,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-29aad587174bd8e1ec35fd36",
    "quote_text": "Barcelona vs Aston Villa: Alta de 4.5+ goles [+114]",
    "fragment_from": 239,
    "fragment_to": 290,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "telegram",
     "url": "https://t.me/parleycomve/4992",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": "Parley.com.ve",
     "authorship": "channel_owner",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "edcf94c5729f014a429139631334ba00978ccd2c9af0bb2f2312cf4a46b5112f",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2026-11-03T13:39:04.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-11-03T13:51:10.118Z",
    "executed_at": "2026-11-03T13:53:07.525Z",
    "statement_class": "priced",
    "status": "recognised",
    "cause": null,
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": "s-f4b8886fe09c",
     "display_name": "FC Barcelona — Aston Villa",
     "competition_name": "UEFA Champions League",
     "starts_at": "2026-11-03T20:00:00.000Z",
     "url": "/football/matches/fc-barcelona-vs-aston-villa-2026-11-03/",
     "scoreline": "3-0",
     "condition": "finished"
    },
    "market_label": "Over/Under 4.5 goals",
    "outcome_label": "over 4.5",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": "2.14",
     "our_snapshot": "2.1300",
     "our_snapshot_at": "2026-11-03T13:50:29.538Z",
     "our_snapshot_source": "market snapshot",
     "closing": null,
     "closing_source": null
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
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   "record_part_words": "Without a match page",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
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   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Hándicap -2.5 Boston [+103]",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "not_supported",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
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   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-10-20T16:35:53.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-25T04:42:15.253Z",
   "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "record_part": "unlinked",
   "record_part_words": "Without a match page",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
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  "after_kickoff": 0,
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  },
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