{ "schema_name": "page", "schema_version": "2.0", "page_type": "source", "url": "/sources/neds-com-au/", "canonical": "/sources/neds-com-au/", "language": "en", "hreflang": [], "translations": [], "heading": "Neds: Football Prediction Record", "description": "Verified record: 50 settled picks by Neds recorded before kick-off across 33 matches, 23 Oct 2026 – 7 Nov 2026: −1.0% at our recorded market prices.", "first_paragraph": { "body": "Forecast Record recorded 50 settled live picks by Neds before kick-off across 33 matches between 23 October and 7 November 2026. At our recorded market prices these picks returned −1.0% on the total staked. Of the 629 predictions we hold for Neds, 134 are linked to matches: 119 were recorded by us before kick-off and 15 first found after the match. Figures as of 7 November 2026.", "key_number": "−1.0%", "data": "2026-11-07", "source_info": "our own evidence archive and market snapshot", "brand": "Forecast Record" }, "indexable": false, "noindex_reason": "outside_core", "indexing_threshold": { "settled_count": 65, "date_count": 11, "required_settled": 10, "required_dates": 2 }, "data_date": "2026-11-07T18:08:45.720Z", "built_at": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z", "lastmod": "2026-11-08T02:12:33.000Z", "content_hash": null, "meaning_hash": "76acf347822d64824bdecbab3a78e98e6718c76330652c37614936aa354c1981", "dependency_group": "author:e-b41f26a02da3c75c1f19c179", "release_id": "20261107-195223", "markup": [ { "type_code": "WebPage", "allowed": true, "cause": null }, { "type_code": "Organization", "allowed": true, "cause": null } ], "exports": [ { "type_code": "json", "url": "/sources/neds-com-au/index.json", "bytes": null }, { "type_code": "csv", "url": "/sources/neds-com-au/picks.csv", "bytes": null } ], "modules": { "affiliate": true, "api": true, "compare_yourself": false }, "affiliate_block": { "container": true, "request_url": "/partnery/moi", "disclosure": "Some links below are affiliate links and are marked as such. They never affect what you see above: the order of any table is computed before any commission is known.", "page_category": "author" }, "restrictions": { "name_withdrawn": false, "tracker_number": null, "withdrawn_quotes": [], "removed_at": null, "cause": null, "suspended_records": [], "withdrawal_log_number": 0 }, "page_links": { "methodology": "/methodology/", "right_of_reply": "/right-of-reply/", "source_coverage": "/coverage/", "corrections_log": "/corrections/", "api": "/api/", "claim": "/claim/" }, "entity": { "id": "e-b41f26a02da3c75c1f19c179", "public_name": "Neds", "tracker_number": 4957, "status": "active", "inactive_since": null, "verified_creator": false, "observation_period": { "since": "2026-10-17", "until": "2026-11-07" }, "platform_list": [ { "medium": "website", "handle": null, "url": null, "link_confirmed": false, "show": true } ], "comment": null }, "headline_number": { "metric": { "metric_id": "p-e-b41f26a02da3c75c1f19c179-roi-market-price-90d-z99", "code_name": 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"issued_total_hundredths": 1000000, "top_up_count": 0, "profit_hundredths": -4790, "rewards_off": null, "initial_hundredths": 1000000, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "data_points": [ { "at": "2026-10-24T19:17:45.792Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 990000, "profit_hundredths": -10000, "outcome_id": "ish-4a114b2a459ef1111efa62a2" }, { "at": "2026-10-26T12:50:37.464Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 980000, "profit_hundredths": -20000, "outcome_id": "ish-94515ba86b498adbc97c9841" }, { "at": "2026-10-26T12:50:37.479Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 970000, "profit_hundredths": -30000, "outcome_id": "ish-09901e5488710540770c5f66" }, { "at": "2026-10-31T14:56:12.246Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 960000, "profit_hundredths": -40000, "outcome_id": "ish-39bda31a92a078b4f975a6c1" }, { "at": "2026-10-31T14:56:12.261Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 980000, "profit_hundredths": -20000, "outcome_id": "ish-89a3cff8d3f509fa076fcd68" }, { "at": "2026-10-31T14:56:12.272Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 988298, "profit_hundredths": -11702, 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"profit_hundredths": 30832, "outcome_id": "ish-17db528f57c24abf72baee07" }, { "at": "2026-11-02T22:12:40.767Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 1042282, "profit_hundredths": 42282, "outcome_id": "ish-e07797305fff5cc67b4300de" }, { "at": "2026-11-03T22:07:50.706Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 1055782, "profit_hundredths": 55782, "outcome_id": "ish-3ef444b715a0d34a86a525d5" }, { "at": "2026-11-03T22:07:51.420Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 1045782, "profit_hundredths": 45782, "outcome_id": "ish-78c197c8dbe9d24f34af0e0c" }, { "at": "2026-11-03T22:07:51.432Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 1051993, "profit_hundredths": 51993, "outcome_id": "ish-66cf620c671ea6bee1789c45" }, { "at": "2026-11-03T22:07:51.442Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 1041993, "profit_hundredths": 41993, "outcome_id": "ish-b84d2c9d1a9e5f51b605cbb1" }, { "at": "2026-11-03T22:07:51.451Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 1031993, "profit_hundredths": 31993, "outcome_id": "ish-fb4a7c31c880a057ec6f064e" }, { "at": "2026-11-03T22:07:51.462Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 1035993, "profit_hundredths": 35993, "outcome_id": "ish-c8715bea0b04549d2fd87080" }, { "at": "2026-11-04T20:48:14.322Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 1038462, "profit_hundredths": 38462, "outcome_id": "ish-8286ad23b2c96272882bd61d" }, { "at": "2026-11-04T22:05:21.800Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 1028462, "profit_hundredths": 28462, "outcome_id": "ish-99aaca0b7a74924071fa25aa" }, { "at": "2026-11-04T22:05:21.837Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 1048462, "profit_hundredths": 48462, "outcome_id": "ish-97e4c1f319362cd05f2e904b" }, { "at": "2026-11-04T22:18:11.965Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 1053867, "profit_hundredths": 53867, "outcome_id": "ish-cd645c3e63f78e5a99c8b56c" }, { "at": "2026-11-04T22:18:11.975Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 1043867, "profit_hundredths": 43867, "outcome_id": "ish-13bdfee64a6f66c642284296" }, { "at": "2026-11-06T22:16:38.160Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 1050860, "profit_hundredths": 50860, "outcome_id": "ish-85bd56914f00a720e6a94153" }, { "at": "2026-11-07T10:28:46.019Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 1075510, "profit_hundredths": 75510, "outcome_id": "ish-d6c9611e68ac422f42e0b799" }, { "at": "2026-11-07T11:05:50.115Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 1065510, "profit_hundredths": 65510, "outcome_id": "ish-2b95e9910e17b8590bef26bf" }, { "at": "2026-11-07T11:05:50.761Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 1055510, "profit_hundredths": 55510, "outcome_id": "ish-c05e0d2583610895b4469f71" }, { "at": "2026-11-07T11:52:23.767Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 1061610, "profit_hundredths": 61610, "outcome_id": "ish-989fb09a668300ae76f949a5" }, { "at": "2026-11-07T12:42:56.451Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 1072410, "profit_hundredths": 72410, "outcome_id": "ish-f9c8ea5baf7c5cf8f8c616fb" }, { "at": "2026-11-07T12:42:56.531Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 1079685, "profit_hundredths": 79685, "outcome_id": "ish-5f447e883043935cd21cc3ea" }, { "at": "2026-11-07T12:42:56.803Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 1069685, "profit_hundredths": 69685, "outcome_id": "ish-833874472fb81c5f58b1c0b6" }, { "at": "2026-11-07T12:42:56.837Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 1059685, "profit_hundredths": 59685, "outcome_id": "ish-9f9518f6ad3297afba73216f" }, { "at": "2026-11-07T12:42:58.758Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 1049685, "profit_hundredths": 49685, "outcome_id": "ish-60bc31c01aaca9fab460a819" }, { "at": "2026-11-07T15:39:17.316Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 1039685, "profit_hundredths": 39685, "outcome_id": "ish-37251a7992b1e01cb71cbe45" }, { "at": "2026-11-07T15:39:33.711Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 1029685, "profit_hundredths": 29685, "outcome_id": "ish-2d0035c124d054ef91b69ac5" }, { "at": "2026-11-07T15:40:01.060Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 1019685, "profit_hundredths": 19685, "outcome_id": "ish-29890c0b8d0d57efce76f36e" }, { "at": "2026-11-07T17:37:45.920Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 1025210, "profit_hundredths": 25210, "outcome_id": "ish-4b1e11135be25a41d8a7058d" }, { "at": "2026-11-07T17:37:47.491Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 1015210, "profit_hundredths": 15210, "outcome_id": "ish-7b770cc8483630bfcd5af43e" }, { "at": "2026-11-07T17:37:47.506Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 1015210, "profit_hundredths": 15210, "outcome_id": "ish-b99fca991579afe22bf47185" }, { "at": "2026-11-07T17:37:51.960Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 1005210, "profit_hundredths": 5210, "outcome_id": "ish-cc855fa4aaae45f9057ab263" }, { "at": "2026-11-07T17:37:51.971Z", "bankroll_hundredths": 995210, "profit_hundredths": -4790, "outcome_id": "ish-fd68ab09ea6e294bed2a2fc3" } ], "top_ups": [], "rule": "When the balance falls below 100 points and no bets are open, 10000 points are added; the remaining balance is kept. While bets are open we wait for settlement.", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot" }, "simulations": [], "completeness": { "detected": 995, "recognised": 629, "accepted": 108, "executed": 75, "calculated": 58, "gaps": [ { "cause": "not_supported", "figure": 447 }, { "cause": "National-team matches", "figure": 48 }, { "cause": "not_checked", "figure": 29 }, { "cause": "outside the method", "figure": 18 }, { "cause": "read after the match, from archived pages", "figure": 5 }, { "cause": "disputed_reading", "figure": 4 }, { "cause": "other reading", "figure": 3 } ] }, "record_counts": { "dictionary_version": "1", "statements": 995, "of_them_restored": 8, "not_predictions": { "opinions": 155, "not_about_a_match": 200, "unclassified": 0 }, "predictions": 629, "predictions_restored": 6, "matches": 53, "admitted": 108, "qualifying_picks": 75, "qualifying_picks_restored": 0, "settled_picks": 58, "settled_picks_restored": 0, "series_list": [ { "code_name": "market_price", "derived": false, "is_restored": false, "qualifying_picks": 65, "settled_picks": 50, "void": 1, "pending_picks": 15, "matches": 33, "operations_settled": 50, "stakes_hundredths": [ 10000 ], "methodologies": [ "2.2" ], "display_name": "At an independent odds snapshot" }, { "code_name": "author_price", "derived": false, "is_restored": false, "qualifying_picks": 73, "settled_picks": 58, "void": 1, "pending_picks": 15, "matches": 41, "operations_settled": 58, "stakes_hundredths": [ 10000 ], "methodologies": [ "2.2" ], "display_name": "At the author's stated price" }, { "code_name": "derived_series", "derived": true, "is_restored": false, "qualifying_picks": 19, "settled_picks": 13, "void": 0, "pending_picks": 6, "matches": 13, "operations_settled": 13, "stakes_hundredths": [ 10000 ], "methodologies": [ "2.2" ], "display_name": "Forecast Record reconstruction from the predicted score" } ], "gaps": [ { "code_name": "not_supported", "cause": "not_supported", "figure": 447 }, { "code_name": "outside_coverage", "cause": "National-team matches", "figure": 48 }, { "code_name": "not_checked", "cause": "not_checked", "figure": 29 }, { "code_name": "not_admitted", "cause": "outside the method", "figure": 18 }, { "code_name": "after_match", "cause": "read after the match, from archived pages", "figure": 5 }, { "code_name": "disputed_reading", "cause": "disputed_reading", "figure": 4 }, { "code_name": "ambiguous", "cause": "other reading", "figure": 3 } ], "duplicates": 31, "junk": {}, "dictionary_url": "/methodology/#words" }, "evidence_items": [ { "observation_id": "n-48b6e94454d69cc879452abb", "url": "/sources/neds-com-au/picks/33/#pick-n-48b6e94454d69cc879452abb", "quote_text": "No. 1 Aftermath\n\nAFTERMATH (1) is racing in great form for Paul Preusker and is chasing a third consecutive win in the Ararat Cup.\n\nHe won the St Arnaud Cup by 2.25 lengths, leading throughout over 2000m.\n\nLast start, he backed that up in the Mortlake Cup, again leading all the way to score by a decisive 4.75 lengths over 2200m.\n\nRock-hard fit, he can go forward for Linda Meech, who has ridden him to two wins from three starts.", "fragment_from": 3832, "fragment_to": 4263, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.neds.com.au/blog/2026/11/ararat-gold-cup-day-best-bets-sunday-november-8/", "display_name": null, "speaker": null, "authorship": "channel_consensus", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "08e4b19ba4c062f1ec43dbd12eca1be585e6c505d223404c56f2d94892bd01fb", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-11-07T08:00:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-07T08:10:46.263Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "unpriced", "status": "not_supported", "cause": "national-team match (Nations League, qualifiers, continental cups)", "cause_code": "outside_coverage", "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-11-07T08:00:00.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-11-07T08:00:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-07T08:10:46.263Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "no_match_linked", "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "prediction", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-419ea99c48f530376f57e7d8", "url": "/sources/neds-com-au/picks/33/#pick-n-419ea99c48f530376f57e7d8", "quote_text": "No. 5 Selita’s Fury\n\nSELITA’S FURY (5) made an excellent first-up impression at Echuca, finishing second over 1400m and beaten by a nose.\n\nHe got clear at the top of the straight and hit the line hard over the final 175m, making the rise to a mile look ideal.\n\nThe Michael Jones-trained gelding should also strip fitter second-up.\n\nHe maps to enjoy a great run on speed and can be hard to hold out.", "fragment_from": 2835, "fragment_to": 3233, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.neds.com.au/blog/2026/11/ararat-gold-cup-day-best-bets-sunday-november-8/", "display_name": null, "speaker": null, "authorship": "channel_consensus", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "08e4b19ba4c062f1ec43dbd12eca1be585e6c505d223404c56f2d94892bd01fb", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-11-07T08:00:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-07T08:10:46.263Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "unpriced", "status": "not_supported", "cause": "", "cause_code": "not_supported", "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-11-07T08:00:00.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-11-07T08:00:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-07T08:10:46.263Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "no_match_linked", "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": null, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": null, "scoreline": null, "data_status": "unknown", "cause": "the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled", "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "No outcome: the statement was not read as a pick that can be settled." }, "settlements": [], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "prediction", "authorship": null, "correction": null }, { "observation_id": "n-35c52aa8185ecb0c5df759a9", "url": "/sources/neds-com-au/picks/33/#pick-n-35c52aa8185ecb0c5df759a9", "quote_text": "No. 3 Southern Crescent\n\nSOUTHERN CRESCENT (3) will appreciate the drop in class after placing third in a BM70 at Hamilton on her first-up run.\n\nShe was held up badly from the 500m and only got clear over the final 150m, so she did well to finish strongly into the placings.\n\nThe Adrian Purcell-trained mare should strip fitter and has already won second-up during her previous preparation.\n\nDrawn well in barrier three, she can get a handy run and be in the finish.", "fragment_from": 1590, "fragment_to": 2056, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.neds.com.au/blog/2026/11/ararat-gold-cup-day-best-bets-sunday-november-8/", "display_name": null, "speaker": null, "authorship": "channel_consensus", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "08e4b19ba4c062f1ec43dbd12eca1be585e6c505d223404c56f2d94892bd01fb", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-11-07T08:00:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-07T08:10:46.263Z", "executed_at": null, "statement_class": "unpriced", "status": "not_supported", "cause": "", "cause_code": "not_supported", "event": null, "market_label": null, "outcome_label": null, "odds_set": { "by_author": null, "our_snapshot": null, "our_snapshot_at": null, "our_snapshot_source": null, "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": null, "result": null, "simulation_change_hundredths": null, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": null, "series_label": null, "withdrawn": false, "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-11-07T08:00:00.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-11-07T08:00:00.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-07T08:10:46.263Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "source_stated_date", "origin_detail": "no_match_linked", "origin_words": "Date as stated by the source; 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failing that, the first price within 2 hours after, always before kick-off)", "basis_short": "Our market price when we first recorded the pick", "compared": 63, "above": 9, "above_share_percent": "14.3", "below": 7, "within": 47, "median_difference_percent": "0.8", "not_comparable": 0, "disputed": 0, "status": "calculated" } ], "examples": [ { "url": "/sources/neds-com-au/picks/29/#pick-n-e444a0ce17bdefd07fea0fbf", "basis": "snapshot", "stated": "4.75", "market": "4.00", "difference_percent": "18.8" }, { "url": "/sources/neds-com-au/picks/11/#pick-n-08dcbca225dee1fca78f7d59", "basis": "snapshot", "stated": "7.00", "market": "6.00", "difference_percent": "16.7" } ], "method": "Difference = the author's stated price ÷ the market price of the same selection − 1. A pick counts as above the market when the stated price is more than 5% higher. Each basis is its own comparison; they are never added together. A pair whose prices differ more than twofold is marked “price disputed”: it is probably not the same selection, so it is left out of this comparison and of every return at the author’s price until a manual check confirms the price. A price that the quoted text does not give is marked “price disputed” in the same way." }, "record_summary": { "contract_version": "1", "entity_type": "editorial", "entity_words": "Editorial source", "source": { "name": "neds.com.au", "url": "https://www.neds.com.au/blog/2026/11/ararat-gold-cup-day-best-bets-sunday-november-8/" }, "observed_from": "2026-10-17", "observed_to": "2026-11-07", "data_as_of": "2026-11-07", "state": "settled", "series_code": "market_price", "series": "Recorded before kick-off, at our recorded market price", "restored": false, "headline_kind": "live_snapshot", "headline_part": "live", "settled_picks": 50, "matches": 33, "void": 1, "net_points_hundredths": -4790, "staked_hundredths": 490000, "return_percent": "-0.98", "stake_per_pick_hundredths": 10000, "period_from": "2026-10-23", "period_to": "2026-11-07", "status": "calculated", "method_version": "2.2", "short_history": false, "reason": null, "reasons": [], "sentence": "Forecast Record recorded 50 settled live picks by Neds before kick-off across 33 matches between 23 October and 7 November 2026. At our recorded market prices these picks returned −1.0% on the total staked. Of the 629 predictions we hold for Neds, 134 are linked to matches: 119 were recorded by us before kick-off and 15 first found after the match. Figures as of 7 November 2026.", "numbers": [ { "label": "Settled live picks", "value": "50", "anchor": "/methodology/#settled-pick", "note": "1 void" }, { "label": "Matches", "value": "33", "anchor": "/methodology/#match", "note": null }, { "label": "Net result", "value": "−47.90 points", "anchor": "/methodology/#settlement", "note": "100 points per pick" }, { "label": "Return at our recorded market price", "value": "−1.0%", "anchor": "/methodology/#roi", "note": "95% interval −30.6% to +31.5%" } ], "limitations": [], "other_series": [], "return_over_time": [ { "date": "2026-10-23", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 24650, "n": 1 }, { "date": "2026-10-24", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 38825, "n": 5 }, { "date": "2026-10-25", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -11175, "n": 10 }, { "date": "2026-10-31", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 39222, "n": 23 }, { "date": "2026-11-01", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 29657, "n": 29 }, { "date": "2026-11-02", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 41107, "n": 30 }, { "date": "2026-11-03", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 34818, "n": 36 }, { "date": "2026-11-04", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 42692, "n": 41 }, { "date": "2026-11-06", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 49685, "n": 42 }, { "date": "2026-11-07", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -4790, "n": 50 } ], "return_over_time_parts": { "live": { "part": "live", "label": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "Return at our recorded market price", "x_axis": "match_date", "dated_note": "Dated by match day. Each pick was recorded by us before kick-off and settled after the match.", "settled_picks": 50, "matches": 33, "match_dates": 10, "period_from": "2026-10-23", "period_to": "2026-11-07", "stake_per_pick_hundredths": 10000, "final_points_hundredths": -4790, "low": { "date": "2026-10-25", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -11175, "after_picks": 10 }, "high": { "date": "2026-11-06", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 49685, "after_picks": 42 }, "line_drawn": true, "steps": [ { "date": "2026-10-23", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 24650, "n": 1, "picks": 1 }, { "date": "2026-10-24", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 38825, "n": 5, "picks": 4 }, { "date": "2026-10-25", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -11175, "n": 10, "picks": 5 }, { "date": "2026-10-31", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 39222, "n": 23, "picks": 13 }, { "date": "2026-11-01", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 29657, "n": 29, "picks": 6 }, { "date": "2026-11-02", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 41107, "n": 30, "picks": 1 }, { "date": "2026-11-03", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 34818, "n": 36, "picks": 6 }, { "date": "2026-11-04", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 42692, "n": 41, "picks": 5 }, { "date": "2026-11-06", "cumulative_points_hundredths": 49685, "n": 42, "picks": 1 }, { "date": "2026-11-07", "cumulative_points_hundredths": -4790, "n": 50, "picks": 8 } ] }, "archived": null }, "author_response": null, "cite": { "text": "Forecast Record recorded 50 settled live picks by Neds before kick-off across 33 matches between 23 October and 7 November 2026. At our recorded market prices these picks returned −1.0% on the total staked. Of the 629 predictions we hold for Neds, 134 are linked to matches: 119 were recorded by us before kick-off and 15 first found after the match. Figures as of 7 November 2026.", "url": "https://forecastrecord.com/sources/neds-com-au/", "data_as_of": "2026-11-07", "method_version": "2.2" }, "origin": { "contract_version": "1", "predictions": 629, "under_review": 0, "no_match_linked": 495, "proven_predictions": 119, "proven_checked": 90, "proven_measured": 65, "proven_dates": 11, "parts": [ { "code": "live", "title": "Recorded before kick-off", "explanation": "Saved by us from the source before kick-off.", "predictions": 119, "checked": 90, "price_rule": "Return at our recorded market price", "series_code": "market_price", "main": { "settled_picks": 50, "void": 1, "matches": 33, "net_points_hundredths": -4790, "staked_hundredths": 490000, "return_percent": "-0.98", "interval_low": "-30.59", "interval_high": "31.47", "interval_note": null, "period_from": "2026-10-23", "period_to": "2026-11-07", "method_version": "2.2", "snapshot_delay_median_hours": "0.0", "snapshot_delay_max_hours": "0.0", "checked_after_kickoff_picks": 10 }, "same_picks": [ { "price": "Author-quoted price", "series_code": "author_price", "picks": 50, "return_main_percent": "-0.98", "return_other_percent": "1.06", "settled_excluding_void": 49, "net_main_points_hundredths": -4790, "net_other_points_hundredths": 5200, "period_from": "2026-10-23", "period_to": "2026-11-07" }, { "price": "Closing price", "series_code": "closing_live", "picks": 38, "return_main_percent": "23.60", "return_other_percent": "27.31", "settled_excluding_void": 38, "net_main_points_hundredths": 89685, "net_other_points_hundredths": 103767, "period_from": "2026-10-23", "period_to": "2026-11-07" } ], "score": { "score_forecasts": 15, "exact_hits": 1, "exact_rate": 6.7, "outcome_checked": 15, "outcome_hits": 6, "outcome_rate": 40.0, "baseline_matches": 15, "baseline_distinct_matches": 15, "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 6, "outcome_rate_on_baseline": 40.0, "favourite_hits": 7, "favourite_rate": 46.7, "price_basis": "our pre-match snapshot", "pending": 6, "void": 0, "recorded_after_kickoff": 0, "lines": [ "Outcome checked. No betting return is attributed to these score forecasts.", "1 of 15 score forecasts named the exact score (6.7%).", "The result implied by the named score was right in 6 of 15 matches; the market favourite was right in 7 of the same 15 matches.", "The market favourite is the home win, draw or away win with the lowest price in our own odds snapshot taken before kick-off.", "The implied result follows from the named score (2-1 implies a home win)." ] }, "eligible": { "checked": 90, "priced": 50 }, "accuracy": { "picks": 49, "won": 23, "won_percent": "46.9", "implied_percent": "44.8", "left_out": 1, "by_market": [ { "market": "Match result", "won": 10, "picks": 19, "implied_percent": "45.7" }, { "market": "Player to score", "won": 4, "picks": 10, "implied_percent": "35.7" }, { "market": "Both teams to score", "won": 4, "picks": 8, "implied_percent": "61.7" }, { "market": "Over/under goals", "won": 4, "picks": 7, "implied_percent": "48.8" }, { "market": "Result and both teams to score", "won": 0, "picks": 2, "implied_percent": "29.4" }, { "market": "Other markets", "won": 1, "picks": 3, "implied_percent": "25.4" } ] }, "reviewed_after": { "predictions": 19, "right": 4, "wrong": 14, "other": 1 } }, { "code": "archived", "title": "Archived before kick-off", "explanation": "Restored from a copy saved by an independent web archive before kick-off.", "predictions": 0, "checked": 0, "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices", "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm", "main": null, "same_picks": [], "score": { "score_forecasts": 0, "exact_hits": 0, "exact_rate": null, "outcome_checked": 0, "outcome_hits": 0, "outcome_rate": null, "baseline_matches": 0, "baseline_distinct_matches": 0, "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0, "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null, "favourite_hits": 0, "favourite_rate": null, "price_basis": null, "pending": 0, "void": 0, "recorded_after_kickoff": 0, "lines": [] }, "eligible": { "checked": 0, "priced": 0 }, "accuracy": null }, { "code": "found_after", "title": "Found after the match", "explanation": "First found after the match; the date is the one the source states.", "predictions": 15, "checked": 8, "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices", "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm", "main": null, "same_picks": [], "score": { "score_forecasts": 0, "exact_hits": 0, "exact_rate": null, "outcome_checked": 0, "outcome_hits": 0, "outcome_rate": null, "baseline_matches": 0, "baseline_distinct_matches": 0, "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0, "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null, "favourite_hits": 0, "favourite_rate": null, "price_basis": null, "pending": 0, "void": 0, "recorded_after_kickoff": 0, "lines": [] }, "eligible": { "checked": 8, "priced": 0 }, "accuracy": null } ] }, "live_alongside": null, "headline_record_ids": [ "n-03e61a9c4adc17682f972335", "n-05c397dac901cf7780c2ffb3", "n-08dcbca225dee1fca78f7d59", "n-0b7fb4e1ee219819ef02fa1d", "n-13061a8fdcf0d5e26c2e87aa", "n-133c46af212b9b8e28e3d50a", "n-21f35b49ef96a13bfda59b1d", "n-23fb8efd3a80c74332e0c6e2", "n-26fdc90703edab00365877c7", "n-29294f28c253283dcb5e76ed", "n-2b27f345847255dc91eee83f", "n-390644ae4832dcebcb062686", "n-3a2847790cba9f4e33da980f", "n-3d011fa85f291d9766e00d9b", "n-3e9c81adb6c4f2e131942af8", "n-42c4d970aea9c3848fec41af", "n-45e45e901bd94dc6fe69fb9e", "n-46cdd133d739528d709cce0e", "n-4ce378559e3328b22aebcfe2", "n-4f581b3aae50094840e41bc4", "n-4f7ec454dde3e9c34c823d9c", "n-58550248f5da61619de73ae8", "n-5be8f7d54aca8bd54c6f41c4", "n-61dc620527f828f8c2dc479a", "n-67b470db12cf6bf6a4fd2f1b", "n-6b73ebb9e007a4f3f41e709a", "n-761fd87caaeef683be32d096", "n-7c892391f0c6cd672eed104c", "n-7da4ef26d6bcd84ce5f126b4", "n-8e888c9edbe32fba8a815de6", "n-91d7d2ad97869479d72fa2d0", "n-94a24279f5a96031ac19916b", "n-95d810f8e6552487f1d6da91", "n-9862f97eecf0832ee1697c2c", "n-a1e6712fc739cff1b4e364ed", "n-a4261ea3235016aa08d97a58", "n-a82465077bb6fcbdb15ad51c", "n-b767164c5fa73c4e4a168c38", "n-c3220c8790090442183b2c33", "n-d238d9e0e42212855440f41e", "n-d9ce3c31fd86ed447db44664", "n-e12071e6beb2077c590a475b", "n-e444a0ce17bdefd07fea0fbf", "n-eae2c29a2b5f2621173895e7", "n-ec6473ae34f48ce49011d95d", "n-ed59c3061695546a8135fe4c", "n-f1ddb6022182605cbeb99c84", "n-f2506b692a9ce3cb64ab5fb7", "n-f4d64c65da656ad736179b27", "n-f8b18ceb4b701ef57b216a13" ], "interval_low": "-30.59", "interval_high": "31.47", "caption": "Recorded before kick-off, at our recorded market price · 100 points per pick · 23 October – 7 November 2026 · Calculated · picks settled under method v2.2", "record_from": "2026-10-17", "record_to": "2026-11-07" }, "recorded_picks": [ { "record_id": "n-9862f97eecf0832ee1697c2c", "url": "/sources/neds-com-au/picks/29/#pick-n-9862f97eecf0832ee1697c2c", "match": "Fulham v Newcastle United", "match_url": "/football/matches/fulham-vs-newcastle-united-2026-11-07/", "kickoff": "2026-11-07T15:00:00.000Z", "competition": "Premier League", "lead_hours": 56.3, "market_code": "player_to_score", "author_said": "Player to score: Harvey Barnes to score at 3.9", "quote": null, "group": "settled", "outcome": "Lost", "claim_outcome": "Lost", "final_score": "1-1", "reason": null, "reason_code": null, "points_hundredths": -10000, "series_code": "market_price", "series_short": "odds snapshot", "author_price": "3.9", "settled_price": "3.7500", "published_at": "2026-11-05T06:33:53.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-11-05T06:40:25.947Z", "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "record_part": "live", "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off", "in_headline": true, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-9862f97eecf0832ee1697c2c", "quote_text": "Harvey Barnes anytime goalscorer @ $3.90", "fragment_from": 4294, "fragment_to": 4334, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.neds.com.au/blog/2026/11/fulham-vs-newcastle-predictions/", "display_name": null, "speaker": null, "authorship": "channel_consensus", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "f3a8ab7ce6de0bd953392bd23b8107c47f2507436e4b5180f5cf35aa51615e1b", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-11-05T06:33:53.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-05T06:40:25.947Z", "executed_at": "2026-11-07T09:21:19.698Z", "statement_class": "priced", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": "s-5400ee392a3b", "display_name": "Fulham — Newcastle United", "competition_name": "Premier League", "starts_at": "2026-11-07T15:00:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/fulham-vs-newcastle-united-2026-11-07/", "scoreline": "1-1", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "Player to score", "outcome_label": "Harvey Barnes to score", "odds_set": { "by_author": "3.9", "our_snapshot": "3.7500", "our_snapshot_at": "2026-11-05T06:38:40.383Z", "our_snapshot_source": "market snapshot", "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "loss", "simulation_change_hundredths": -10000, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": "ours", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-11-05T06:33:53.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-11-05T06:33:53.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-05T06:40:25.947Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Player to score", "choice": "Harvey Barnes to score", "author_odds": "3.9", "market_key": "player_to_score", "choice_key": "yes", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "player_goals", "in_words": "Player to score: Harvey Barnes to score at 3.9" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "loss", "scoreline": "1-1", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Lost — Harvey Barnes scored 0 goals; the final score was Fulham 1-1 Newcastle United." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "4af7c3118615ad5c64023feebe238d900789b32f11d35f23d590cd786fa600e7", "series_key": "author_price", "series_label": "At the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Player to score", "choice": "Harvey Barnes to score", "decimal_odds": "3.9", "odds_role": "author_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "loss", "result_words": "Lost", "change_hundredths": -10000, "executed_at": "2026-11-07T09:21:17.802Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false }, { "operation_id": "741c496c2855048e0629e64e22cabb586ca6e8e974167a4b34e90376824654ea", "series_key": "market_price", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, "author_words": true, "market_label": "Player to score", "choice": "Harvey Barnes to score", "decimal_odds": "3.7500", "odds_role": "market_price", "stake_hundredths": 10000, "status": "confirmed", "status_text": "Executed", "result": "loss", "result_words": "Lost", "change_hundredths": -10000, "executed_at": "2026-11-07T09:21:19.698Z", "methodology_version": "2.2", "on_claim_market": true, "replaced": false } ], "corrections": [], "funnel_stage": "settled_pick", "authorship": { "material_author": "Neds", "publisher": "neds.com.au", "forecaster": "Neds", "forecaster_named_in_text": false, "basis": null, "status": "not_named", "status_words": "Attributed by the byline", "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.", "evidence_fragment": null, "material_url": "https://www.neds.com.au/blog/2026/11/fulham-vs-newcastle-predictions/", "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false, "verdict_by": null, "verdict_line": null }, "correction": null, "choice_words": "Harvey Barnes to score" } }, { "record_id": "n-e444a0ce17bdefd07fea0fbf", "url": "/sources/neds-com-au/picks/29/#pick-n-e444a0ce17bdefd07fea0fbf", "match": "Fulham v Newcastle United", "match_url": "/football/matches/fulham-vs-newcastle-united-2026-11-07/", "kickoff": "2026-11-07T15:00:00.000Z", "competition": "Premier League", "lead_hours": 56.3, "market_code": "player_to_score", "author_said": "Player to score: Alex Iwobi to score at 4.75", "quote": null, "group": "settled", "outcome": "Lost", "claim_outcome": "Lost", "final_score": "1-1", "reason": null, "reason_code": null, "points_hundredths": -10000, "series_code": "market_price", "series_short": "odds snapshot", "author_price": "4.75", "settled_price": "4.0000", "published_at": "2026-11-05T06:33:53.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-11-05T06:40:25.947Z", "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "record_part": "live", "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off", "in_headline": true, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null, "evidence": { "observation_id": "n-e444a0ce17bdefd07fea0fbf", "quote_text": "Alexander Iwobi anytime goalscorer @ $4.75", "fragment_from": 4157, "fragment_to": 4199, "quote_allowed": true, "source_info": { "medium": "website", "url": "https://www.neds.com.au/blog/2026/11/fulham-vs-newcastle-predictions/", "display_name": null, "speaker": null, "authorship": "channel_consensus", "media_from_ms": null, "bundle_id": "f3a8ab7ce6de0bd953392bd23b8107c47f2507436e4b5180f5cf35aa51615e1b", "material_removed": false }, "published_at": "2026-11-05T06:33:53.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-05T06:40:25.947Z", "executed_at": "2026-11-07T09:21:17.756Z", "statement_class": "priced", "status": "recognised", "cause": null, "cause_code": null, "event": { "event_id": "s-5400ee392a3b", "display_name": "Fulham — Newcastle United", "competition_name": "Premier League", "starts_at": "2026-11-07T15:00:00.000Z", "url": "/football/matches/fulham-vs-newcastle-united-2026-11-07/", "scoreline": "1-1", "condition": "finished" }, "market_label": "Player to score", "outcome_label": "Alex Iwobi to score", "odds_set": { "by_author": "4.75", "our_snapshot": "4.0000", "our_snapshot_at": "2026-11-05T06:38:40.383Z", "our_snapshot_source": "market snapshot", "closing": null, "closing_source": null }, "stake_hundredths": 10000, "result": "loss", "simulation_change_hundredths": -10000, "bankroll_after_hundredths": null, "executed_by": "ours", "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot", "withdrawn": false, "provenance": "recorded_pre_match", "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "dates": { "fragment_at": "2026-11-05T06:33:53.000Z", "fragment_basis": "page", "source_page_at": "2026-11-05T06:33:53.000Z", "detected_at": "2026-11-05T06:40:25.947Z", "archive_snapshot_at": null, "flags": [], "flag_words": null, "rule_version": "1.1" }, "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff", "origin_detail": null, "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "added_on": null, "late_publication": null, "author_claim": { "market_label": "Player to score", "choice": "Alex Iwobi to score", "author_odds": "4.75", "market_key": "player_to_score", "choice_key": "yes", "period": "match", "line": null, "subject": "player_goals", "in_words": "Player to score: Alex Iwobi to score at 4.75" }, "author_claim_outcome": { "result": "loss", "scoreline": "1-1", "data_status": "measured", "cause": null, "methodology_version": "2.2", "in_words": "Lost — Alex Iwobi scored 0 goals; the final score was Fulham 1-1 Newcastle United." }, "settlements": [ { "operation_id": "ec7d4ad9e5065b64fad84192ac0e04e0b5720985764a0c5d022565a25efa855b", "series_key": "author_price", "series_label": "At the author's stated price", "derived": false, "site_simulation": true, 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no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-bbcc92ae77c5e29b2f6b5c3d", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "hard to see him repeating the dose.", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-11-02T01:18:09.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-11-02T01:30:24.691Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-339b60e0911cab1c6bf23ce4", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Brings a lovely profile and strong international form, and the man in the saddle goes okay too.", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-11-02T01:18:09.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-11-02T01:30:24.691Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; 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Terilee\n\nTop 6", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-11-01T03:37:27.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-11-01T03:40:07.470Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-96b144ce25f23c6a1cd0701d", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "We have So You Pence Top 3, Shadhavar Top 3, and Gold Medallist Top 4, which pays $17.00 for our three-runner SRM.", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-11-01T03:37:27.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-11-01T03:40:07.470Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-0ecda1e07535fcef22d7b08e", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Flemington R9\n\nFixed Win\n\n@ 5.5\n\n7. So You Pence", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-11-01T03:37:27.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-11-01T03:40:07.470Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-f8e152c1b7edd623d37d9a9b", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Good latest and will be running on.", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-11-01T03:37:27.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-11-01T03:40:07.470Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; 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no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-5486490c7b532d8529a8f1e7", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Well backed last time but needs to go to a new level.", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-10-29T00:49:59.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-29T01:02:33.610Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-b6aa3c0d428d2af8f6d59ca6", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Won key lead up nicely and should stay strongly.", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-10-29T00:49:59.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-29T01:02:33.610Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-2e938fa440a19f4130196b27", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Good win last week albeit with all favours, can’t dismiss.", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-10-29T00:49:59.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-29T01:02:33.610Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-63999b27a271cdf467e0d648", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Big run last week, J-Mac offsets the gate and he’ll be very hard to beat.", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-10-29T00:49:59.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-29T01:02:33.610Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; 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"2026-09-24T03:47:18.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-27T01:00:50.578Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null }, { "record_id": "n-2be894141fc42c3d3172501c", "url": null, "match": null, "match_url": null, "kickoff": null, "competition": null, "lead_hours": null, "market_code": null, "author_said": null, "quote": "Prediction: Lions 1-39 @ $2.35", "group": "excluded", "outcome": "Excluded", "claim_outcome": null, "final_score": null, "reason": "", "reason_code": "not_supported", "points_hundredths": null, "series_code": null, "series_short": null, "author_price": null, "settled_price": null, "published_at": "2026-09-24T03:47:18.000Z", "recorded_at": "2026-10-27T01:00:50.578Z", "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement", "record_part": "unlinked", "record_part_words": "Without a match page", "in_headline": false, "attribution": null, "verdict_line": null, "price_disputed": null, "checked_after_kickoff": false, "favourite": null, "correction": null } ], "lead_time": { "contract_version": 1, "threshold_hours": 2.0, "picks": 128, "before_kickoff": 119, "after_kickoff": 9, "at_least_2h": 119, "share_2h_plus": 93.0, "median_hours": 69.8, "min_hours": 14.4, "max_hours": 134.5, "words": "Hours between the moment we recorded the pick and kick-off; the share counts picks recorded at least two hours before kick-off." }, "baseline": { "contract_version": 1, "series_code": "market_price", "rule": "recorded-line-1.0", "state": "settled", "picks": 34, "settled_picks_all": 62, "excluded": { "market_without_favourite": 14, "no_recorded_line": 14, "favourite_not_settled": 0 }, "staked_hundredths": 340000, "author_net_hundredths": 14129, "favourite_net_hundredths": -20943, "difference_hundredths": 35072, "author_return_percent": 4.16, "favourite_return_percent": -6.16, "author_hit_rate": 52.9, "favourite_hit_rate": 52.9, "picked_favourite_share": 61.8, "by_market": [ { "market_code": "1x2", "picks": 24, "staked_hundredths": 240000, "author_net_hundredths": 3270, "favourite_net_hundredths": 11294, "author_hits": 12, "favourite_hits": 14, "picked_favourite": 15, "author_return_percent": 1.36, "favourite_return_percent": 4.71 }, { "market_code": "both_teams_score", "picks": 5, "staked_hundredths": 50000, "author_net_hundredths": -1126, "favourite_net_hundredths": -1126, "author_hits": 3, "favourite_hits": 3, "picked_favourite": 5, "author_return_percent": -2.25, "favourite_return_percent": -2.25 }, { "market_code": "total", "picks": 5, "staked_hundredths": 50000, "author_net_hundredths": 11985, "favourite_net_hundredths": -31111, "author_hits": 3, "favourite_hits": 1, "picked_favourite": 1, "author_return_percent": 23.97, "favourite_return_percent": -62.22 } ], "return_over_time": [ { "kickoff": "2026-10-24T16:30:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -10000, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -10000 }, { "kickoff": "2026-10-25T14:00:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -20000, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -20000 }, { "kickoff": "2026-10-25T16:30:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -30000, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -30000 }, { "kickoff": "2026-10-31T12:30:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -21702, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -21702 }, { "kickoff": "2026-10-31T12:30:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -13702, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -13702 }, { "kickoff": "2026-10-31T12:30:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -23702, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -23702 }, { "kickoff": "2026-10-31T15:00:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -33702, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -33702 }, { "kickoff": "2026-10-31T15:00:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -26805, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -26805 }, { "kickoff": "2026-10-31T15:00:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -36805, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -36805 }, { "kickoff": "2026-10-31T15:00:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -25955, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -25955 }, { "kickoff": "2026-10-31T15:00:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": -2205, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -35955 }, { "kickoff": "2026-10-31T15:00:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": 21545, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -45955 }, { "kickoff": "2026-10-31T15:00:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": 11545, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -35955 }, { "kickoff": "2026-10-31T15:00:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": 22645, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -45955 }, { "kickoff": "2026-10-31T15:00:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": 29097, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -39503 }, { "kickoff": "2026-10-31T17:30:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": 34360, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -34240 }, { "kickoff": "2026-10-31T20:00:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": 24360, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -44240 }, { "kickoff": "2026-11-01T16:30:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": 14360, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -31240 }, { "kickoff": "2026-11-01T16:30:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": 23795, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -41240 }, { "kickoff": "2026-11-01T16:30:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": 13795, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -51240 }, { "kickoff": "2026-11-02T20:00:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": 25245, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -61240 }, { "kickoff": "2026-11-02T20:00:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": 15245, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -71240 }, { "kickoff": "2026-11-04T17:45:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": 17714, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -68771 }, { "kickoff": "2026-11-04T20:00:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": 37714, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -78771 }, { "kickoff": "2026-11-04T20:00:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": 27714, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -71271 }, { "kickoff": "2026-11-04T20:00:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": 17714, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -61747 }, { "kickoff": "2026-11-04T20:00:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": 23119, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -56342 }, { "kickoff": "2026-11-06T20:00:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": 30112, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -49349 }, { "kickoff": "2026-11-06T20:00:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": 37105, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -42356 }, { "kickoff": "2026-11-07T12:30:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": 27105, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -26856 }, { "kickoff": "2026-11-07T12:30:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": 17105, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -17967 }, { "kickoff": "2026-11-07T15:00:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": 7105, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -27967 }, { "kickoff": "2026-11-07T15:00:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": 12630, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -22442 }, { "kickoff": "2026-11-07T15:00:00.000Z", "author_cumulative_hundredths": 14129, "favourite_cumulative_hundredths": -20943 } ], "words": "Same stakes, same matches, same recorded moment: the author’s picks against backing the market favourite by the recorded line. Only markets with a single shortest price count (match result, over/under, both teams to score, handicap); correct score and combined markets are left out." }, "pagination": { "per_page": 20, "total": 629, "pages": 33, "page_urls": [ "/sources/neds-com-au/", "/sources/neds-com-au/picks/2/", "/sources/neds-com-au/picks/3/", "/sources/neds-com-au/picks/4/", "/sources/neds-com-au/picks/5/", "/sources/neds-com-au/picks/6/", "/sources/neds-com-au/picks/7/", "/sources/neds-com-au/picks/8/", "/sources/neds-com-au/picks/9/", "/sources/neds-com-au/picks/10/", "/sources/neds-com-au/picks/11/", "/sources/neds-com-au/picks/12/", "/sources/neds-com-au/picks/13/", "/sources/neds-com-au/picks/14/", "/sources/neds-com-au/picks/15/", "/sources/neds-com-au/picks/16/", "/sources/neds-com-au/picks/17/", "/sources/neds-com-au/picks/18/", "/sources/neds-com-au/picks/19/", "/sources/neds-com-au/picks/20/", "/sources/neds-com-au/picks/21/", "/sources/neds-com-au/picks/22/", "/sources/neds-com-au/picks/23/", "/sources/neds-com-au/picks/24/", "/sources/neds-com-au/picks/25/", "/sources/neds-com-au/picks/26/", "/sources/neds-com-au/picks/27/", "/sources/neds-com-au/picks/28/", "/sources/neds-com-au/picks/29/", "/sources/neds-com-au/picks/30/", "/sources/neds-com-au/picks/31/", "/sources/neds-com-au/picks/32/", "/sources/neds-com-au/picks/33/" ], "groups": { "settled": 58, "pending": 16, "excluded": 555 }, "continuation": "by_time", "page": 1, "first": 1, "last": 20, "author_url": "/sources/neds-com-au/", "current": true }, "title_tag": "Neds: Football Prediction Record", "calculator": { "url": "/tools/luck-or-skill/?n=49&odds=2.68&roi=-1.0&src=record", "n": 49, "odds": "2.68", "roi": "-1.0", "series": "Recorded before kick-off, at our recorded market price" }, "source_info": { "code_name": "neds-com-au", "display_name": "Neds", "type_code": "channel", "domains": [ "neds.com.au" ], "owner": null, "check": { "when": null, "source_list": [] }, "url": "/sources/neds-com-au/", "products": [ { "code_name": "neds", "display_name": "Neds", "type_code": "column", "url": "/sources/neds-com-au/", "entity_ref": "e-b41f26a02da3c75c1f19c179", "summary": { "statements": 995, "predictions": 629, "settled_picks": 50, "headline_kind": "live_snapshot", "return_percent": -0.98, "headline_part": "live", "period_from": "2026-10-17", "period_to": "2026-11-07" } } ], "author_list": [], "authors_count": 0, "auto": true, "product": "neds", "product_page": false }, "data_revision": { "data_version": "2026-11-07.2", "updated": "2026-11-07", "current_release": "2026-11-07.2", "data_as_of": "2026-11-07", "method_version": "2.2", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "series_code": "market_price", "sample": { "settled_picks": 50, "matches": 33, "void": 1, "period_from": "2026-10-23", "period_to": "2026-11-07", "composition_hash": "203ce2c5e5039b4ae2a925e980a33e684aba03b4d8342c7847ad6a75281bd38c" }, "changes_url": "#changes", "corrections_url": "/corrections/" }, "number_changes": [ { "id": "zc-58388b925594d24be328", "at": "2026-11-07T20:05:20.937Z", "data_version": "2026-11-07.2", "previous_data_version": "2026-11-07.1", "url": "/sources/neds-com-au/", "category": "coverage_extended", "category_words": "Coverage extended", "before": { "data_version": "2026-11-06.2", "return_percent": "15.41", "settled_picks": 33, "matches": 23, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "1b00f4dbec732f5d713cbf0741330bb525a013bcd1c83a8a20fd18e76311ebf7", "text": "+15.41% on 33 settled picks across 23 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-11-07.2", "return_percent": "-0.98", "settled_picks": 50, "matches": 33, "void": 1, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "203ce2c5e5039b4ae2a925e980a33e684aba03b4d8342c7847ad6a75281bd38c", "text": "−0.98% on 50 settled picks across 33 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "Added 9 earlier picks for matches played before the previous data version (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture); also 8 new results.", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 17, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null }, { "id": "zc-bac7f579f8c55e5c92ed", "at": "2026-11-07T00:03:19.781Z", "data_version": "2026-11-06.2", "previous_data_version": "2026-11-06.1", "url": "/sources/neds-com-au/", "category": "new_results", "category_words": "New results", "before": { "data_version": "2026-11-05.1", "return_percent": "13.71", "settled_picks": 32, "matches": 22, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "8ba7f905884d15ce6ff6a2315bc39874c14aa96f52dbacf5121fb9d736268949", "text": "+13.71% on 32 settled picks across 22 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-11-06.2", "return_percent": "15.41", "settled_picks": 33, "matches": 23, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "1b00f4dbec732f5d713cbf0741330bb525a013bcd1c83a8a20fd18e76311ebf7", "text": "+15.41% on 33 settled picks across 23 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "1 new settled pick from matches played after the previous data version.", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 1, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null }, { "id": "zc-69343e586da227a396a5", "at": "2026-11-05T05:43:48.128Z", "data_version": "2026-11-05.1", "previous_data_version": "2026-11-04.3", "url": "/sources/neds-com-au/", "category": "new_results", "category_words": "New results", "before": { "data_version": "2026-11-04.1", "return_percent": "13.33", "settled_picks": 27, "matches": 17, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "471564e6b12eb81b092646c0e0c8e537e0f346bea0570e78086e4d3e577b4f89", "text": "+13.33% on 27 settled picks across 17 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-11-05.1", "return_percent": "13.71", "settled_picks": 32, "matches": 22, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "8ba7f905884d15ce6ff6a2315bc39874c14aa96f52dbacf5121fb9d736268949", "text": "+13.71% on 32 settled picks across 22 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "5 new settled picks from matches played after the previous data version.", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 5, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null }, { "id": "zc-0e1c904aeb73f45edca7", "at": "2026-11-04T03:35:56.412Z", "data_version": "2026-11-04.1", "previous_data_version": "2026-11-03.3", "url": "/sources/neds-com-au/", "category": "coverage_extended", "category_words": "Coverage extended", "before": { "data_version": "2026-11-03.1", "return_percent": "20.13", "settled_picks": 21, "matches": 11, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "c710b25429c0d9f209536a8ed191466c1e5f1eede094e2bce88e6020c9b3de0a", "text": "+20.13% on 21 settled picks across 11 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-11-04.1", "return_percent": "13.33", "settled_picks": 27, "matches": 17, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "471564e6b12eb81b092646c0e0c8e537e0f346bea0570e78086e4d3e577b4f89", "text": "+13.33% on 27 settled picks across 17 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "Added 6 earlier picks for matches played before the previous data version (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 6, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null }, { "id": "zc-67a70903bfa8b3aec435", "at": "2026-11-03T06:24:00.880Z", "data_version": "2026-11-03.1", "previous_data_version": "2026-11-02.3", "url": "/sources/neds-com-au/", "category": "new_results", "category_words": "New results", "before": { "data_version": "2026-11-02.1", "return_percent": "15.42", "settled_picks": 20, "matches": 10, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "4b4b1fb1f1d8393e44c39d53d7d3d0f2fc1d3c546c00c9d88ed11db7824ca027", "text": "+15.42% on 20 settled picks across 10 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-11-03.1", "return_percent": "20.13", "settled_picks": 21, "matches": 11, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "c710b25429c0d9f209536a8ed191466c1e5f1eede094e2bce88e6020c9b3de0a", "text": "+20.13% on 21 settled picks across 11 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "1 new settled pick from matches played after the previous data version.", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 1, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null }, { "id": "zc-ad645657df9650e04f1a", "at": "2026-11-02T01:08:19.111Z", "data_version": "2026-11-02.1", "previous_data_version": "2026-11-01.3", "url": "/sources/neds-com-au/", "category": "coverage_extended", "category_words": "Coverage extended", "before": { "data_version": "2026-11-01.3", "return_percent": "20.26", "settled_picks": 15, "matches": 9, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "a61c5897632fa216d4aad6d9642fc420af622cf7a8a7842497bbd6c7783ac265", "text": "+20.26% on 15 settled picks across 9 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-11-02.1", "return_percent": "15.42", "settled_picks": 20, "matches": 10, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "4b4b1fb1f1d8393e44c39d53d7d3d0f2fc1d3c546c00c9d88ed11db7824ca027", "text": "+15.42% on 20 settled picks across 10 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "Added 5 earlier picks for matches played before the previous data version (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 5, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null }, { "id": "zc-cf24d1e00ecd9f06d22c", "at": "2026-11-01T19:56:40.745Z", "data_version": "2026-11-01.3", "previous_data_version": "2026-11-01.2", "url": "/sources/neds-com-au/", "category": "coverage_extended", "category_words": "Coverage extended", "before": { "data_version": "2026-10-31.2", "return_percent": "14.21", "settled_picks": 14, "matches": 9, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "b700bbdd95b4ea207910bb322805daa3493bd50cfc400852fcbe3e3efae97fee", "text": "+14.21% on 14 settled picks across 9 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-11-01.3", "return_percent": "20.26", "settled_picks": 15, "matches": 9, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "a61c5897632fa216d4aad6d9642fc420af622cf7a8a7842497bbd6c7783ac265", "text": "+20.26% on 15 settled picks across 9 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "Added 1 earlier pick for matches played before the previous data version (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture).", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 1, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null }, { "id": "zc-254304909fd2829146e7", "at": "2026-10-31T21:01:38.334Z", "data_version": "2026-10-31.2", "previous_data_version": "2026-10-31.1", "url": "/sources/neds-com-au/", "category": "new_results", "category_words": "New results", "before": { "data_version": "2026-10-27.1", "return_percent": "-100.00", "settled_picks": 3, "matches": 3, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "9b3f7e3d6ed1621df2450afff619519d73d22d5d36efc13b38a5ccf4f91f2d36", "text": "−300.00 points on 3 settled picks across 3 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-10-31.2", "return_percent": "14.21", "settled_picks": 14, "matches": 9, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds 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points on 1 settled pick across 1 match · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "after": { "data_version": "2026-10-27.1", "return_percent": "-100.00", "settled_picks": 3, "matches": 3, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "9b3f7e3d6ed1621df2450afff619519d73d22d5d36efc13b38a5ccf4f91f2d36", "text": "−300.00 points on 3 settled picks across 3 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "2 new settled picks from matches played after the previous data version.", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 2, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null }, { "id": "zc-2a3eab9912119633eb7d", "at": "2026-10-25T01:37:51.007Z", "data_version": "2026-10-24.5", "previous_data_version": "2026-10-24.4", "url": "/sources/neds-com-au/", "category": "new_results", "category_words": "New results", "before": null, "after": { "data_version": "2026-10-24.5", "return_percent": "-100.00", "settled_picks": 1, "matches": 1, "void": 0, "series_code": "market_price", "price_rule": "independent odds snapshot", "method_version": "2.2", "composition_hash": "45eace0d877f6e5a33e3e0d4550fc1357bd4827a18348e51cd2a57efabedb686", "text": "−100.00 points on 1 settled pick across 1 match · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2" }, "reason": "First headline number for this record: 1 settled pick in the series “independent odds snapshot”.", "checked_by": "comparison of data versions", "affected_records": { "added": 1, "removed": 0, "changed": 0 }, "correction_id": null } ], "current_predictions": { "total_count": 15, "on_date": "2026-11-07T19:52", "row_list": [ { "record_id": "n-0421de7533bd8e30520ffbed", "url": "/sources/neds-com-au/picks/26/#pick-n-0421de7533bd8e30520ffbed", "match": "Macarthur FC v Brisbane Roar", "match_url": "/football/matches/macarthur-fc-vs-brisbane-roar-2026-11-08/", "kickoff": "2026-11-08T04:00:00.000Z", "competition": "Australia A-League", "author_said": "1X2, match result: Macarthur FC at 2.35", "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "recorded_at": "2026-11-05T00:40:43.037Z", "platform": null }, { "record_id": "n-88759f8fe185b7b032615b9d", "url": "/sources/neds-com-au/picks/26/#pick-n-88759f8fe185b7b032615b9d", "match": "Adelaide United v Melbourne Victory", "match_url": "/football/matches/adelaide-united-vs-melbourne-victory-2026-11-08/", "kickoff": "2026-11-08T06:00:00.000Z", "competition": "Australia A-League", "author_said": "1X2, match result: draw at 3.5", "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "recorded_at": "2026-11-05T00:40:43.037Z", "platform": null }, { "record_id": "n-41b6968dd81d046dbe156fce", "url": "/sources/neds-com-au/picks/29/#pick-n-41b6968dd81d046dbe156fce", "match": "Brighton & Hove Albion v Brentford", "match_url": "/football/matches/brighton-and-hove-albion-vs-brentford-2026-11-08/", "kickoff": "2026-11-08T14:00:00.000Z", "competition": "Premier League", "author_said": "Player to score: Kevin Schade to score at 4.4", "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "recorded_at": "2026-11-05T08:11:10.501Z", "platform": null }, { "record_id": "n-6d0693ef091630cd68f43756", "url": "/sources/neds-com-au/picks/30/#pick-n-6d0693ef091630cd68f43756", "match": "Brighton & Hove Albion v Brentford", "match_url": "/football/matches/brighton-and-hove-albion-vs-brentford-2026-11-08/", "kickoff": "2026-11-08T14:00:00.000Z", "competition": "Premier League", "author_said": "Match result and both teams to score: Brighton & Hove Albion win, both teams to score: yes at 3.3", "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "recorded_at": "2026-11-05T08:11:10.501Z", "platform": null }, { "record_id": "n-3620fa3b60cd5d5c06d49399", "url": "/sources/neds-com-au/picks/29/#pick-n-3620fa3b60cd5d5c06d49399", "match": "Brighton & Hove Albion v Brentford", "match_url": "/football/matches/brighton-and-hove-albion-vs-brentford-2026-11-08/", "kickoff": "2026-11-08T14:00:00.000Z", "competition": "Premier League", "author_said": "Both teams to score: yes at 1.55", "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "recorded_at": "2026-11-05T08:11:10.501Z", "platform": null }, { "record_id": "n-ff72771f3f1be05da854667b", "url": "/sources/neds-com-au/picks/23/#pick-n-ff72771f3f1be05da854667b", "match": "Brighton & Hove Albion v Brentford", "match_url": "/football/matches/brighton-and-hove-albion-vs-brentford-2026-11-08/", "kickoff": "2026-11-08T14:00:00.000Z", "competition": "Premier League", "author_said": "Over/Under 2.5 goals: over 2.5 at 1.58", "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "recorded_at": "2026-11-04T01:00:45.036Z", "platform": null }, { "record_id": "n-f4513107d9b16477ef56bf30", "url": "/sources/neds-com-au/picks/29/#pick-n-f4513107d9b16477ef56bf30", "match": "Crystal Palace v Liverpool", "match_url": "/football/matches/crystal-palace-vs-liverpool-2026-11-08/", "kickoff": "2026-11-08T14:00:00.000Z", "competition": "Premier League", "author_said": "Player to score: Florian Wirtz to score", "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "recorded_at": "2026-11-05T07:30:08.852Z", "platform": null }, { "record_id": "n-d13241ea1b16e35044dc9116", "url": "/sources/neds-com-au/picks/23/#pick-n-d13241ea1b16e35044dc9116", "match": "Crystal Palace v Liverpool", "match_url": "/football/matches/crystal-palace-vs-liverpool-2026-11-08/", "kickoff": "2026-11-08T14:00:00.000Z", "competition": "Premier League", "author_said": "1X2, match result: Liverpool at 1.7", "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off", "recorded_at": "2026-11-04T01:00:45.036Z", "platform": null } ] }, "counts_by_slice": { "portions": [ { "code": "live", "title": "Recorded before kick-off", "price_rule": "Return at our recorded market price", "settled_picks": 50, "total_check": true, "market_list": [ { "code_name": "1x2", "in_words": "Match result", "url": null, "settled_picks": 19, "won": 10, "void": 0, "net_points_hundredths": 25276, "return_percent": 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"period_from": "2026-10-24", "period_to": "2026-11-07", "small_sample": true, "average_odds": "2.06", "odds_from_author": 7, "odds_from_snapshot": 0 }, { "code_name": "both_teams_score_and_result", "in_words": "Result and both teams to score", "url": null, "settled_picks": 2, "won": 0, "void": 0, "net_points_hundredths": -20000, "return_percent": "-100.0", "period_from": "2026-10-31", "period_to": "2026-11-07", "small_sample": true, "average_odds": "3.35", "odds_from_author": 2, "odds_from_snapshot": 0 }, { "code_name": "handicap_asian", "in_words": "Asian handicap", "url": null, "settled_picks": 1, "won": 1, "void": 0, "net_points_hundredths": 13400, "return_percent": "134.0", "period_from": "2026-10-31", "period_to": "2026-10-31", "small_sample": true, "average_odds": "2.30", "odds_from_author": 1, "odds_from_snapshot": 0 }, { "code_name": "correct_score_market", "in_words": "Correct score", "url": null, "settled_picks": 1, "won": 0, "void": 0, "net_points_hundredths": -10000, 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