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 "heading": "İddaaTahmin: Football Prediction Record",
 "description": "Verified record: 166 settled picks by İddaaTahmin recorded before kick-off across 156 matches, 11 Oct 2026 – 7 Nov 2026: +5.3% at our recorded market prices.",
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  "body": "Forecast Record recorded 166 settled live picks by İddaaTahmin before kick-off across 156 matches between 11 October and 7 November 2026. At our recorded market prices these picks returned +5.3% on the total staked. Of the 1,534 predictions we hold for İddaaTahmin, 723 are linked to matches: 609 were recorded by us before kick-off and 114 first found after the match. Figures as of 7 November 2026.",
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   {
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   },
   {
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   },
   {
    "cause": "other reading",
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   },
   {
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   },
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   },
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    "display_name": "At the author's stated price"
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    "display_name": "Restored, at the author's stated price"
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  ],
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   },
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   },
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    "code_name": "ambiguous",
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   },
   {
    "code_name": "after_match",
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   },
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   },
   {
    "code_name": "no_price_at_capture",
    "cause": "no_price_at_capture",
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   "quote_text": "Vitoria Guimaraes Porto İddaa Maç Tahmini 08 Kasım 2026",
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   "quote_text": "Hoffenheim Schalke 04 İddaa Maç Tahmini 08 Kasım 2026",
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   "quote_text": "Paderborn ve Eintracht Frankfurt arasındaki mücadelenin Bundesliga 2026/2027 sezonunda dikkat çekici",
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   "quote_text": "Torino genellikle iç sahada daha güçlü bir performans sergiliyor ve taraftar desteğiyle maça agresif",
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   "quote_text": "Cagliari ve Frosinone, Serie A'nın 2026/2027 sezonunda karşı karşıya geliyor.",
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      },
      {
       "size": "s",
       "theme": "dark",
       "width": 658,
       "height": 20,
       "url": "/b/e-75a0c8be5554a03a944dbd52/s-01-z-e801577ccf-event-s-dark.svg"
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     ],
     "card_url": "/b/e-75a0c8be5554a03a944dbd52/s-01-z-e801577ccf-event-card.svg"
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    "profile_anchor": "title-e801577ccf05",
    "chance": {
     "contract_version": 1,
     "kind": "streak",
     "priced": 3,
     "unpriced": 2,
     "hits": 3,
     "probability": 0.256926,
     "one_in": 4,
     "log10": -0.59,
     "words": "1 in 4",
     "rule": "product of the market probabilities (1/price) of every pick in the run",
     "note": "market prices include the bookmaker margin, so the chance is slightly overstated — a cautious figure"
    },
    "embed_anchor": "title-correct-run-correct-run"
   }
  ],
  "publication_mode": "top20",
  "empty_reason": null,
  "rules_version": "catalog-1",
  "insufficient": [],
  "badges_on_page": 0,
  "header_titles": [
   {
    "title_id": "zk-e138120ef14aa96df02a",
    "code_name": "S-01",
    "title_tier": "dated_record",
    "badge_label": "5 right in a row · 27 Oct",
    "body": "5 matches in a row, every pick correct · 27 Oct 2026",
    "tier": null,
    "provenance": "live",
    "anchor_id": "title-e138120ef14a",
    "event_at": "2026-10-27",
    "url": "/titles/s-01-correct-run/#zk-e138120ef14aa96df02a"
   },
   {
    "title_id": "zk-e801577ccf05c077992f",
    "code_name": "S-01",
    "title_tier": "dated_record",
    "badge_label": "5 right in a row · 19 Oct",
    "body": "5 matches in a row, every pick correct · 18 Oct–19 Oct 2026",
    "tier": null,
    "provenance": "live",
    "anchor_id": "title-e801577ccf05",
    "event_at": "2026-10-19",
    "url": "/titles/s-01-correct-run/"
   }
  ],
  "record_origin": [],
  "recent_record": [
   {
    "code_name": "S-01",
    "body": "5 matches in a row, every pick correct · 27 Oct 2026",
    "event_at": "2026-10-27",
    "url": null,
    "provenance": "live",
    "anchor_id": "title-e138120ef14a"
   },
   {
    "code_name": "S-01",
    "body": "5 matches in a row, every pick correct · 18 Oct–19 Oct 2026",
    "event_at": "2026-10-19",
    "url": null,
    "provenance": "live",
    "anchor_id": "title-e801577ccf05"
   }
  ],
  "record_details": [],
  "history": [
   {
    "code_name": "P-01",
    "body": "36/45 result calls right · week of 12 Oct 2026 · archive record · removed 26 Oct 2026",
    "event_at": "2026-10-26",
    "status": "corrected",
    "cause": "recomputed after a correction to the record",
    "provenance": "live"
   }
  ]
 },
 "retro": null,
 "late": null,
 "price_vs_market": {
  "contract_version": "1",
  "threshold_percent": "5",
  "rows": [
   {
    "basis": "snapshot",
    "basis_words": "our market price for the same selection when we first recorded the pick (median of bookmakers in our price feed; failing that, the first price within 2 hours after, always before kick-off)",
    "basis_short": "Our market price when we first recorded the pick",
    "compared": 177,
    "above": 1,
    "above_share_percent": "0.6",
    "below": 163,
    "within": 13,
    "median_difference_percent": "-7.3",
    "not_comparable": 0,
    "disputed": 0,
    "status": "calculated"
   }
  ],
  "examples": [
   {
    "url": "/sources/iddaatahmin11-com/picks/23/#pick-n-6385327b45a46bb21fa34c0a",
    "basis": "snapshot",
    "stated": "1.99",
    "market": "1.36",
    "difference_percent": "45.9"
   },
   {
    "url": "/sources/iddaatahmin11-com/picks/41/#pick-n-ec00e76b7f020e6afde85a28",
    "basis": "snapshot",
    "stated": "1.58",
    "market": "1.79",
    "difference_percent": "-11.7"
   }
  ],
  "method": "Difference = the author's stated price ÷ the market price of the same selection − 1. A pick counts as above the market when the stated price is more than 5% higher. Each basis is its own comparison; they are never added together. A pair whose prices differ more than twofold is marked “price disputed”: it is probably not the same selection, so it is left out of this comparison and of every return at the author’s price until a manual check confirms the price. A price that the quoted text does not give is marked “price disputed” in the same way."
 },
 "record_summary": {
  "contract_version": "1",
  "entity_type": "editorial",
  "entity_words": "Editorial source",
  "source": {
   "name": "iddaatahmin11.com",
   "url": "https://www.iddaatahmin11.com/tum-tahminler.html"
  },
  "observed_from": "2026-10-11",
  "observed_to": "2026-11-07",
  "data_as_of": "2026-11-07",
  "state": "settled",
  "series_code": "market_price",
  "series": "Recorded before kick-off, at our recorded market price",
  "restored": false,
  "headline_kind": "live_snapshot",
  "headline_part": "live",
  "settled_picks": 166,
  "matches": 156,
  "void": 0,
  "net_points_hundredths": 88834,
  "staked_hundredths": 1660000,
  "return_percent": "5.35",
  "stake_per_pick_hundredths": 10000,
  "period_from": "2026-10-11",
  "period_to": "2026-11-07",
  "status": "calculated",
  "method_version": "2.2",
  "short_history": false,
  "reason": null,
  "reasons": [],
  "sentence": "Forecast Record recorded 166 settled live picks by İddaaTahmin before kick-off across 156 matches between 11 October and 7 November 2026. At our recorded market prices these picks returned +5.3% on the total staked. Of the 1,534 predictions we hold for İddaaTahmin, 723 are linked to matches: 609 were recorded by us before kick-off and 114 first found after the match. Figures as of 7 November 2026.",
  "numbers": [
   {
    "label": "Settled live picks",
    "value": "166",
    "anchor": "/methodology/#settled-pick",
    "note": null
   },
   {
    "label": "Matches",
    "value": "156",
    "anchor": "/methodology/#match",
    "note": null
   },
   {
    "label": "Net result",
    "value": "+888.34 points",
    "anchor": "/methodology/#settlement",
    "note": "100 points per pick"
   },
   {
    "label": "Return at our recorded market price",
    "value": "+5.3%",
    "anchor": "/methodology/#roi",
    "note": "95% interval −7.8% to +19.4%"
   }
  ],
  "limitations": [],
  "other_series": [],
  "return_over_time": [
   {
    "date": "2026-10-11",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": 6199,
    "n": 7
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-10-12",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": 20413,
    "n": 9
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-10-16",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": 19504,
    "n": 11
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-10-17",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": 57342,
    "n": 16
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-10-18",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": 84834,
    "n": 22
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-10-19",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": 85529,
    "n": 26
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-10-20",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": 92026,
    "n": 31
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-10-21",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": 123498,
    "n": 38
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-10-22",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": 85120,
    "n": 46
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-10-23",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": 60520,
    "n": 50
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-10-24",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": 39218,
    "n": 61
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-10-25",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": 57182,
    "n": 70
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-10-26",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": 90765,
    "n": 80
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-10-27",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": 125376,
    "n": 87
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-10-28",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": 109676,
    "n": 95
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-10-29",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": 122776,
    "n": 96
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-10-30",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": 126266,
    "n": 100
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-10-31",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": 115476,
    "n": 111
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-11-01",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": 117428,
    "n": 122
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-11-02",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": 161055,
    "n": 131
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-11-03",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": 152736,
    "n": 140
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-11-04",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": 142891,
    "n": 147
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-11-05",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": 105891,
    "n": 157
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-11-06",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": 94384,
    "n": 162
   },
   {
    "date": "2026-11-07",
    "cumulative_points_hundredths": 88834,
    "n": 166
   }
  ],
  "return_over_time_parts": {
   "live": {
    "part": "live",
    "label": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "series_code": "market_price",
    "price_rule": "Return at our recorded market price",
    "x_axis": "match_date",
    "dated_note": "Dated by match day. Each pick was recorded by us before kick-off and settled after the match.",
    "settled_picks": 166,
    "matches": 156,
    "match_dates": 25,
    "period_from": "2026-10-11",
    "period_to": "2026-11-07",
    "stake_per_pick_hundredths": 10000,
    "final_points_hundredths": 88834,
    "low": {
     "date": "2026-10-11",
     "cumulative_points_hundredths": 6199,
     "after_picks": 7
    },
    "high": {
     "date": "2026-11-02",
     "cumulative_points_hundredths": 161055,
     "after_picks": 131
    },
    "line_drawn": true,
    "steps": [
     {
      "date": "2026-10-11",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": 6199,
      "n": 7,
      "picks": 7
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-10-12",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": 20413,
      "n": 9,
      "picks": 2
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-10-16",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": 19504,
      "n": 11,
      "picks": 2
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-10-17",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": 57342,
      "n": 16,
      "picks": 5
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-10-18",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": 84834,
      "n": 22,
      "picks": 6
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-10-19",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": 85529,
      "n": 26,
      "picks": 4
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-10-20",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": 92026,
      "n": 31,
      "picks": 5
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-10-21",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": 123498,
      "n": 38,
      "picks": 7
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-10-22",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": 85120,
      "n": 46,
      "picks": 8
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-10-23",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": 60520,
      "n": 50,
      "picks": 4
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-10-24",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": 39218,
      "n": 61,
      "picks": 11
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-10-25",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": 57182,
      "n": 70,
      "picks": 9
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-10-26",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": 90765,
      "n": 80,
      "picks": 10
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-10-27",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": 125376,
      "n": 87,
      "picks": 7
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-10-28",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": 109676,
      "n": 95,
      "picks": 8
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-10-29",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": 122776,
      "n": 96,
      "picks": 1
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-10-30",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": 126266,
      "n": 100,
      "picks": 4
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-10-31",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": 115476,
      "n": 111,
      "picks": 11
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-11-01",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": 117428,
      "n": 122,
      "picks": 11
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-11-02",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": 161055,
      "n": 131,
      "picks": 9
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-11-03",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": 152736,
      "n": 140,
      "picks": 9
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-11-04",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": 142891,
      "n": 147,
      "picks": 7
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-11-05",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": 105891,
      "n": 157,
      "picks": 10
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-11-06",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": 94384,
      "n": 162,
      "picks": 5
     },
     {
      "date": "2026-11-07",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": 88834,
      "n": 166,
      "picks": 4
     }
    ]
   },
   "archived": null
  },
  "author_response": null,
  "cite": {
   "text": "Forecast Record recorded 166 settled live picks by İddaaTahmin before kick-off across 156 matches between 11 October and 7 November 2026. At our recorded market prices these picks returned +5.3% on the total staked. Of the 1,534 predictions we hold for İddaaTahmin, 723 are linked to matches: 609 were recorded by us before kick-off and 114 first found after the match. Figures as of 7 November 2026.",
   "url": "https://forecastrecord.com/sources/iddaatahmin11-com/",
   "data_as_of": "2026-11-07",
   "method_version": "2.2"
  },
  "origin": {
   "contract_version": "1",
   "predictions": 1534,
   "under_review": 0,
   "no_match_linked": 811,
   "proven_predictions": 609,
   "proven_checked": 593,
   "proven_measured": 168,
   "proven_dates": 28,
   "parts": [
    {
     "code": "live",
     "title": "Recorded before kick-off",
     "explanation": "Saved by us from the source before kick-off.",
     "predictions": 609,
     "checked": 593,
     "price_rule": "Return at our recorded market price",
     "series_code": "market_price",
     "main": {
      "settled_picks": 166,
      "void": 0,
      "matches": 156,
      "net_points_hundredths": 88834,
      "staked_hundredths": 1660000,
      "return_percent": "5.35",
      "interval_low": "-7.75",
      "interval_high": "19.36",
      "interval_note": null,
      "period_from": "2026-10-11",
      "period_to": "2026-11-07",
      "method_version": "2.2",
      "snapshot_delay_median_hours": "0.0",
      "snapshot_delay_max_hours": "0.1",
      "checked_after_kickoff_picks": 23
     },
     "same_picks": [
      {
       "price": "Author-quoted price",
       "series_code": "author_price",
       "picks": 166,
       "return_main_percent": "5.35",
       "return_other_percent": "-1.61",
       "settled_excluding_void": 166,
       "net_main_points_hundredths": 88834,
       "net_other_points_hundredths": -26800,
       "period_from": "2026-10-11",
       "period_to": "2026-11-07"
      },
      {
       "price": "Closing price",
       "series_code": "closing_live",
       "picks": 98,
       "return_main_percent": "14.80",
       "return_other_percent": "13.13",
       "settled_excluding_void": 98,
       "net_main_points_hundredths": 145081,
       "net_other_points_hundredths": 128713,
       "period_from": "2026-10-11",
       "period_to": "2026-11-07"
      }
     ],
     "score": {
      "score_forecasts": 2,
      "exact_hits": 0,
      "exact_rate": 0.0,
      "outcome_checked": 2,
      "outcome_hits": 2,
      "outcome_rate": 100.0,
      "baseline_matches": 1,
      "baseline_distinct_matches": 1,
      "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 1,
      "outcome_rate_on_baseline": 100.0,
      "favourite_hits": 1,
      "favourite_rate": 100.0,
      "price_basis": "our pre-match snapshot",
      "pending": 0,
      "void": 0,
      "recorded_after_kickoff": 0,
      "lines": [
       "Outcome checked. No betting return is attributed to these score forecasts.",
       "0 of 2 score forecasts named the exact score.",
       "The result implied by the named score was right in 1 of 1 match; the market favourite was right in 1 of the same match.",
       "A pre-match market favourite is known for 1 of 2 forecasts; the comparison uses only those.",
       "The market favourite is the home win, draw or away win with the lowest price in our own odds snapshot taken before kick-off.",
       "The implied result follows from the named score (2-1 implies a home win)."
      ]
     },
     "eligible": {
      "checked": 593,
      "priced": 166
     },
     "accuracy": {
      "picks": 166,
      "won": 104,
      "won_percent": "62.7",
      "implied_percent": "58.7",
      "left_out": 0,
      "by_market": [
       {
        "market": "Match result",
        "won": 99,
        "picks": 154,
        "implied_percent": "59.9"
       },
       {
        "market": "Result and both teams to score",
        "won": 4,
        "picks": 11,
        "implied_percent": "41.3"
       },
       {
        "market": "Both teams to score",
        "won": 1,
        "picks": 1,
        "implied_percent": "73.3"
       }
      ]
     },
     "reviewed_after": {
      "predictions": 181,
      "right": 129,
      "wrong": 51,
      "other": 1
     }
    },
    {
     "code": "archived",
     "title": "Archived before kick-off",
     "explanation": "Restored from a copy saved by an independent web archive before kick-off.",
     "predictions": 0,
     "checked": 0,
     "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices",
     "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
     "main": null,
     "same_picks": [],
     "score": {
      "score_forecasts": 0,
      "exact_hits": 0,
      "exact_rate": null,
      "outcome_checked": 0,
      "outcome_hits": 0,
      "outcome_rate": null,
      "baseline_matches": 0,
      "baseline_distinct_matches": 0,
      "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0,
      "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null,
      "favourite_hits": 0,
      "favourite_rate": null,
      "price_basis": null,
      "pending": 0,
      "void": 0,
      "recorded_after_kickoff": 0,
      "lines": []
     },
     "eligible": {
      "checked": 0,
      "priced": 0
     },
     "accuracy": null
    },
    {
     "code": "found_after",
     "title": "Found after the match",
     "explanation": "First found after the match; the date is the one the source states.",
     "predictions": 114,
     "checked": 37,
     "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices",
     "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
     "main": null,
     "same_picks": [],
     "score": {
      "score_forecasts": 0,
      "exact_hits": 0,
      "exact_rate": null,
      "outcome_checked": 0,
      "outcome_hits": 0,
      "outcome_rate": null,
      "baseline_matches": 0,
      "baseline_distinct_matches": 0,
      "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0,
      "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null,
      "favourite_hits": 0,
      "favourite_rate": null,
      "price_basis": null,
      "pending": 0,
      "void": 0,
      "recorded_after_kickoff": 0,
      "lines": []
     },
     "eligible": {
      "checked": 37,
      "priced": 0
     },
     "accuracy": null
    }
   ]
  },
  "live_alongside": null,
  "headline_record_ids": [
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  "caption": "Recorded before kick-off, at our recorded market price · 100 points per pick · 11 October – 7 November 2026 · Calculated · picks settled under method v2.2",
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    "text": "+9.72% on 147 settled picks across 137 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
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   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
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    "text": "+11.54% on 95 settled picks across 89 matches · independent odds snapshot · method 2.2"
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   "reason": "Added 3 earlier picks for matches played before the previous data version (found in archives or newly matched to a fixture); also 4 new results.",
   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
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