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 "heading": "FreeTips.com — Football tips: Football Prediction Record",
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 "excluded_from_feed": {
  "ads": 25,
  "service": 17,
  "ruleset_version": "3"
 },
 "standing": null,
 "retro": {
  "restored_total": 28,
  "of_them_archived_pre_match": 2,
  "found_post_match": 26,
  "of_them_source_reported": 0,
  "live_count": 0,
  "date_count": 26,
  "span_from": "2024-11-23",
  "span_to": "2026-03-05",
  "line_text": "restored history: 28, of which pre-match archive 2",
  "body": "We re-read what this author published before Premier League matches between 23 November 2024 and 5 March 2026 and settled it against the final score. Restored picks: 28. Backed by a copy of the page in an independent web archive taken before kick-off: 2. Found after the match, with the publication date as stated by the source: 26. The market price at the moment of publication cannot be reconstructed, so restored picks are shown as reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), not at the closing price, for the pre-match archive and the later finds separately; the author's quoted price and, where it exists, the aggregator closing price are compared with it on the same picks. Authors can delete losing picks, so restored history may look better than it was.",
  "precision": {
   "n": 28,
   "share": "0.3571"
  },
  "series_list": [
   {
    "code_name": "retro_author_price",
    "display_name": "Restored, at the author's stated price",
    "n": 0,
    "roi": null,
    "ci_low": null,
    "ci_high": null,
    "data_status": "unknown",
    "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
    "cause": "no restored pick with this price"
   },
   {
    "code_name": "retro_market_closing",
    "display_name": "Restored, at the closing market price",
    "n": 17,
    "roi": "-46.1547",
    "ci_low": "-86.5882",
    "ci_high": "-3.8641",
    "data_status": "calculated",
    "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
    "cause": null
   },
   {
    "code_name": "retro_market_closing_sm",
    "display_name": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
    "n": 28,
    "roi": "-36.7857",
    "ci_low": "-68.5893",
    "ci_high": "-2.9286",
    "data_status": "calculated",
    "methodology_version": "retro-1.1",
    "cause": null
   }
  ],
  "clv": {
   "data_status": "unknown",
   "cause": "the market price at the moment of publication is unknown for restored picks; the author's quoted price against the aggregator closing price is compared on the same picks in each part of the record above"
  },
  "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
  "leagues": [
   "Premier League"
  ],
  "source_list": "Results: the official regulation-time score, checked against a second data provider for 23 settled restored picks and forecasts, and the two agree; 5 come from one provider only. Prices: the aggregator closing price and the second data provider's last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off), as a separate series; each provider is its own series and they are never averaged."
 },
 "late": null,
 "price_vs_market": null,
 "record_summary": {
  "contract_version": "1",
  "entity_type": "editorial",
  "entity_words": "Editorial source",
  "source": {
   "name": "freetips.com",
   "url": "https://web.archive.org/web/20250213094558id_/https://www.freetips.com/football/english-premier-league/leicester-vs-chelsea-prediction-tips-20241121-0024/"
  },
  "observed_from": "2026-09-28",
  "observed_to": "2026-09-30",
  "data_as_of": "2026-11-07",
  "state": "settled",
  "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
  "series": "Archived before kick-off, reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
  "restored": true,
  "headline_kind": "historical_simulation",
  "headline_part": "archived",
  "settled_picks": 2,
  "matches": 2,
  "void": 0,
  "net_points_hundredths": 2800,
  "staked_hundredths": 20000,
  "return_percent": "14.00",
  "stake_per_pick_hundredths": 10000,
  "period_from": "2025-08-23",
  "period_to": "2025-08-25",
  "status": "calculated",
  "method_version": "retro-1.1",
  "short_history": true,
  "reason": null,
  "reasons": [],
  "sentence": "Forecast Record restored 2 settled archived picks by FreeTips.com Football from copies archived before kick-off, across 2 matches between 23 and 25 August 2025. Reconstructed at archived prices: won 1 of 2 settled archived picks. Of the 29 predictions we hold for FreeTips.com Football, 2 were archived before kick-off by an independent web archive and 27 first found after the match. Figures as of 7 November 2026.",
  "numbers": [
   {
    "label": "Settled archived picks",
    "value": "2",
    "anchor": "/methodology/#settled-pick",
    "note": null
   },
   {
    "label": "Matches",
    "value": "2",
    "anchor": "/methodology/#match",
    "note": null
   },
   {
    "label": "Net result",
    "value": "+28 points",
    "anchor": "/methodology/#settlement",
    "note": "100 points per pick"
   },
   {
    "label": "Reconstructed at archived prices",
    "value": "+14.0%",
    "anchor": "/methodology/#roi",
    "note": null
   }
  ],
  "limitations": [
   "Most of this history was found after the matches. Of the 28 selections in this historical price series, 2 have a pre-match archive copy and 26 were first found after the match.",
   "Reconstructed at archived prices: these picks were restored from copies of the author’s pages that an independent web archive saved before kick-off, at the last pre-match archive prices, bookmaker margin included."
  ],
  "other_series": [],
  "return_over_time": [],
  "return_over_time_parts": {
   "live": null,
   "archived": {
    "part": "archived",
    "label": "Reconstructed at archived prices",
    "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
    "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices",
    "x_axis": "match_date",
    "dated_note": "Dated by match day. These picks were restored from copies an independent web archive saved before kick-off; the line shows how they settled at archived prices.",
    "settled_picks": 2,
    "matches": 2,
    "match_dates": 2,
    "period_from": "2025-08-23",
    "period_to": "2025-08-25",
    "stake_per_pick_hundredths": 10000,
    "final_points_hundredths": 2800,
    "low": {
     "date": "2025-08-23",
     "cumulative_points_hundredths": -10000,
     "after_picks": 1
    },
    "high": {
     "date": "2025-08-25",
     "cumulative_points_hundredths": 2800,
     "after_picks": 2
    },
    "line_drawn": false,
    "steps": [
     {
      "date": "2025-08-23",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": -10000,
      "n": 1,
      "picks": 1
     },
     {
      "date": "2025-08-25",
      "cumulative_points_hundredths": 2800,
      "n": 2,
      "picks": 1
     }
    ]
   }
  },
  "author_response": null,
  "cite": {
   "text": "Forecast Record restored 2 settled archived picks by FreeTips.com Football from copies archived before kick-off, across 2 matches between 23 and 25 August 2025. Reconstructed at archived prices: won 1 of 2 settled archived picks. Of the 29 predictions we hold for FreeTips.com Football, 2 were archived before kick-off by an independent web archive and 27 first found after the match. Figures as of 7 November 2026.",
   "url": "https://forecastrecord.com/sources/freetips-com/products/football/",
   "data_as_of": "2026-11-07",
   "method_version": "retro-1.1"
  },
  "origin": {
   "contract_version": "1",
   "predictions": 29,
   "under_review": 0,
   "no_match_linked": 0,
   "proven_predictions": 2,
   "proven_checked": 2,
   "proven_measured": 2,
   "proven_dates": 2,
   "parts": [
    {
     "code": "live",
     "title": "Recorded before kick-off",
     "explanation": "Saved by us from the source before kick-off.",
     "predictions": 0,
     "checked": 0,
     "price_rule": "Return at our recorded market price",
     "series_code": "market_price",
     "main": null,
     "same_picks": [],
     "score": {
      "score_forecasts": 0,
      "exact_hits": 0,
      "exact_rate": null,
      "outcome_checked": 0,
      "outcome_hits": 0,
      "outcome_rate": null,
      "baseline_matches": 0,
      "baseline_distinct_matches": 0,
      "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0,
      "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null,
      "favourite_hits": 0,
      "favourite_rate": null,
      "price_basis": null,
      "pending": 0,
      "void": 0,
      "recorded_after_kickoff": 0,
      "lines": []
     },
     "eligible": {
      "checked": 0,
      "priced": 0
     },
     "accuracy": null
    },
    {
     "code": "archived",
     "title": "Archived before kick-off",
     "explanation": "Restored from a copy saved by an independent web archive before kick-off.",
     "predictions": 2,
     "checked": 2,
     "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices",
     "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
     "main": {
      "settled_picks": 2,
      "void": 0,
      "matches": 2,
      "net_points_hundredths": 2800,
      "staked_hundredths": 20000,
      "return_percent": "14.00",
      "interval_low": null,
      "interval_high": null,
      "interval_note": "too few independent matches to estimate an interval",
      "period_from": "2025-08-23",
      "period_to": "2025-08-25",
      "method_version": "retro-1.1"
     },
     "same_picks": [
      {
       "price": "Closing price, aggregator",
       "series_code": "retro_market_closing",
       "picks": 1,
       "return_main_percent": "128.00",
       "return_other_percent": "128.00",
       "settled_excluding_void": 1,
       "net_main_points_hundredths": 12800,
       "net_other_points_hundredths": 12800,
       "period_from": "2025-08-25",
       "period_to": "2025-08-25"
      }
     ],
     "score": {
      "score_forecasts": 0,
      "exact_hits": 0,
      "exact_rate": null,
      "outcome_checked": 0,
      "outcome_hits": 0,
      "outcome_rate": null,
      "baseline_matches": 0,
      "baseline_distinct_matches": 0,
      "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0,
      "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null,
      "favourite_hits": 0,
      "favourite_rate": null,
      "price_basis": null,
      "pending": 0,
      "void": 0,
      "recorded_after_kickoff": 0,
      "lines": []
     },
     "eligible": {
      "checked": 2,
      "priced": 2
     },
     "accuracy": {
      "picks": 2,
      "won": 1,
      "won_percent": "50.0",
      "implied_percent": "53.6",
      "left_out": 0,
      "by_market": [
       {
        "market": "Double chance",
        "won": 0,
        "picks": 1,
        "implied_percent": "63.3"
       },
       {
        "market": "Match result",
        "won": 1,
        "picks": 1,
        "implied_percent": "43.9"
       }
      ]
     }
    },
    {
     "code": "found_after",
     "title": "Found after the match",
     "explanation": "First found after the match; the date is the one the source states.",
     "predictions": 27,
     "checked": 26,
     "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices",
     "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
     "main": {
      "settled_picks": 26,
      "void": 0,
      "matches": 26,
      "net_points_hundredths": -105800,
      "staked_hundredths": 260000,
      "return_percent": "-40.69",
      "interval_low": "-71.00",
      "interval_high": "-8.21",
      "interval_note": null,
      "period_from": "2024-11-23",
      "period_to": "2026-03-05",
      "method_version": "retro-1.1"
     },
     "same_picks": [
      {
       "price": "Closing price, aggregator",
       "series_code": "retro_market_closing",
       "picks": 16,
       "return_main_percent": "-56.91",
       "return_other_percent": "-57.04",
       "settled_excluding_void": 16,
       "net_main_points_hundredths": -91050,
       "net_other_points_hundredths": -91263,
       "period_from": "2025-02-01",
       "period_to": "2026-03-04"
      }
     ],
     "score": {
      "score_forecasts": 0,
      "exact_hits": 0,
      "exact_rate": null,
      "outcome_checked": 0,
      "outcome_hits": 0,
      "outcome_rate": null,
      "baseline_matches": 0,
      "baseline_distinct_matches": 0,
      "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0,
      "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null,
      "favourite_hits": 0,
      "favourite_rate": null,
      "price_basis": null,
      "pending": 0,
      "void": 0,
      "recorded_after_kickoff": 0,
      "lines": []
     },
     "eligible": {
      "checked": 26,
      "priced": 26
     },
     "accuracy": {
      "picks": 26,
      "won": 9,
      "won_percent": "34.6",
      "implied_percent": "54.7",
      "left_out": 0,
      "by_market": [
       {
        "market": "Match result",
        "won": 4,
        "picks": 19,
        "implied_percent": "53.8"
       },
       {
        "market": "Both teams to score",
        "won": 2,
        "picks": 3,
        "implied_percent": "59.9"
       },
       {
        "market": "Double chance",
        "won": 3,
        "picks": 3,
        "implied_percent": "59.1"
       },
       {
        "market": "Win to nil",
        "won": 0,
        "picks": 1,
        "implied_percent": "42.7"
       }
      ]
     }
    }
   ]
  },
  "live_alongside": null,
  "headline_record_ids": [
   "n-0a5b89bc0248e3d2364a081d",
   "n-cb5c8c2efa541c8b50fb619c"
  ],
  "interval_low": null,
  "interval_high": null,
  "caption": "Archived before kick-off, reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off) · 100 points per pick · 23–25 August 2025 · Calculated · picks settled under reconstruction method 1.1",
  "record_from": "2024-11-23",
  "record_to": "2026-03-05"
 },
 "recorded_picks": [
  {
   "record_id": "n-dd33a0a04f7117d0e452a105",
   "url": null,
   "match": "Tottenham Hotspur v Crystal Palace",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2026-03-05T20:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Premier League",
   "lead_hours": -4964.1,
   "market_code": "both_teams_score",
   "author_said": "Both teams to score: yes",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Won",
   "claim_outcome": "Won",
   "final_score": "1-3",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": 6700,
   "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
   "series_short": "last pre-match archive price, restored",
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": "1.6700",
   "published_at": "2026-03-04T08:38:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-28T16:05:14.989Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-2879f0795381236eebaf560f",
   "url": "/sources/freetips-com/products/football/picks/2/#pick-n-2879f0795381236eebaf560f",
   "match": "Newcastle United v Manchester United",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2026-03-04T20:15:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Premier League",
   "lead_hours": -4987.8,
   "market_code": "1x2",
   "author_said": "1X2, match result: Manchester United",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Lost",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "2-1",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": -10000,
   "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
   "series_short": "last pre-match archive price, restored",
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": "2.5000",
   "published_at": "2026-03-03T11:36:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-28T16:05:19.210Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-2879f0795381236eebaf560f",
    "quote_text": "Away Win",
    "fragment_from": 39,
    "fragment_to": 47,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "rss",
     "url": "https://www.freetips.com/football/english-premier-league/newcastle-vs-man-united-betting-tips-20260303-0014/",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": null,
     "authorship": "unknown",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "59acb7d05a4333db07bffa466b38c430299b1919e995754f2fac0f39f0367bea",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2026-03-03T11:36:00.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-09-28T16:05:19.210Z",
    "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:20:30.137Z",
    "statement_class": "unpriced",
    "status": "too_late",
    "cause": "counted in the restored-history series",
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": null,
     "display_name": "Newcastle United v Manchester United",
     "competition_name": "Premier League",
     "starts_at": "2026-03-04T20:15:00.000Z",
     "url": null,
     "scoreline": "2-1"
    },
    "market_label": "1X2, match result",
    "outcome_label": "Manchester United",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": null,
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": "2.5200",
     "closing_source": "aggregator closing price"
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "loss",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": -10000,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": "ours",
    "series_label": "Restored, at the closing market price",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "found_post_match",
    "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2026-03-03T11:36:00.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "element",
     "source_page_at": "2026-03-03T11:36:00.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-09-28T16:05:19.210Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "source_stated_date",
    "origin_detail": "found_after_match",
    "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "1X2, match result",
     "choice": "Manchester United",
     "author_odds": null,
     "market_key": "1x2",
     "choice_key": "2",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "1X2, match result: Manchester United"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "loss",
     "scoreline": "2-1",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
     "in_words": "Lost: the final score was Newcastle United 2-1 Manchester United."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "40704a8484e2aa8529cd394e2b24eac47e5126044429edea241e5695eef65295",
      "series_key": "retro_market_closing",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the closing market price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "1X2, match result",
      "choice": "Manchester United",
      "decimal_odds": "2.5200",
      "odds_role": "closing_odds",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "loss",
      "result_words": "Lost",
      "change_hundredths": -10000,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:20:30.137Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     },
     {
      "operation_id": "3a4360d88790c41abd5baa6b8ae78aa4cfbfa30795a5a7a05c660c5ae5b3c4d3",
      "series_key": "retro_market_closing_sm",
      "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "1X2, match result",
      "choice": "Manchester United",
      "decimal_odds": "2.5000",
      "odds_role": "closing_odds",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "loss",
      "result_words": "Lost",
      "change_hundredths": -10000,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:20:30.148Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.1",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Alex Waite",
     "publisher": "freetips.com",
     "forecaster": "Alex Waite",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://www.freetips.com/football/english-premier-league/newcastle-vs-man-united-betting-tips-20260303-0014/",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "Manchester United to win"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-4b6b23d7ab0e231dfb5ed715",
   "url": "/sources/freetips-com/products/football/picks/2/#pick-n-4b6b23d7ab0e231dfb5ed715",
   "match": "Everton v Burnley",
   "match_url": null,
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   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-eadba67b766eefde4b55cf7b",
   "url": "/sources/freetips-com/products/football/picks/3/#pick-n-eadba67b766eefde4b55cf7b",
   "match": "Everton v Leicester City",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2025-02-01T15:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Premier League",
   "lead_hours": -14544.0,
   "market_code": "1x2",
   "author_said": "1X2, match result: Everton",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Won",
   "claim_outcome": "Won",
   "final_score": "4-0",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": 9500,
   "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
   "series_short": "last pre-match archive price, restored",
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": "1.9500",
   "published_at": "2025-01-30T12:00:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-30T15:01:35.236Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
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   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-eadba67b766eefde4b55cf7b",
    "quote_text": "Toffees Win Backed",
    "fragment_from": 42,
    "fragment_to": 60,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "rss",
     "url": "https://web.archive.org/web/20250210093430id_/https://www.freetips.com/football/english-premier-league/everton-vs-leicester-predictions-tips-20250130-0026/",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": null,
     "authorship": "unknown",
     "media_from_ms": null,
     "bundle_id": "f380dd9580352415cfe9cfbbb52dfa6c3aaf93cd45d6b2cc5a378e58436796ab",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2025-01-30T12:00:00.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-09-30T15:01:35.236Z",
    "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:22:17.705Z",
    "statement_class": "unpriced",
    "status": "too_late",
    "cause": "counted in the restored-history series",
    "cause_code": null,
    "event": {
     "event_id": null,
     "display_name": "Everton v Leicester City",
     "competition_name": "Premier League",
     "starts_at": "2025-02-01T15:00:00.000Z",
     "url": null,
     "scoreline": "4-0"
    },
    "market_label": "1X2, match result",
    "outcome_label": "Everton",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": null,
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": "1.9091",
     "closing_source": "aggregator closing price"
    },
    "stake_hundredths": 10000,
    "result": "win",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": 9091,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": "ours",
    "series_label": "Restored, at the closing market price",
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "found_post_match",
    "provenance_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
    "dates": {
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     "fragment_basis": "element",
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     "detected_at": "2026-09-30T15:01:35.236Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "source_stated_date",
    "origin_detail": "found_after_match",
    "origin_words": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "1X2, match result",
     "choice": "Everton",
     "author_odds": null,
     "market_key": "1x2",
     "choice_key": "1",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "1X2, match result: Everton"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "win",
     "scoreline": "4-0",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
     "in_words": "Won: the final score was Everton 4-0 Leicester City."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
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      "series_label": "Restored, at the closing market price",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "1X2, match result",
      "choice": "Everton",
      "decimal_odds": "1.9091",
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      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "win",
      "result_words": "Won",
      "change_hundredths": 9091,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:22:17.705Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.0",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     },
     {
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      "series_label": "Restored, at the last pre-match price in archive (~8–15 h before kick-off)",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "1X2, match result",
      "choice": "Everton",
      "decimal_odds": "1.9500",
      "odds_role": "closing_odds",
      "stake_hundredths": 10000,
      "status": "confirmed",
      "status_text": "Executed",
      "result": "win",
      "result_words": "Won",
      "change_hundredths": 9500,
      "executed_at": "2026-11-07T18:22:17.713Z",
      "methodology_version": "retro-1.1",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "settled_pick",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Alex Waite",
     "publisher": "freetips.com",
     "forecaster": "Alex Waite",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://www.freetips.com/football/english-premier-league/everton-vs-leicester-predictions-tips-20250130-0026/",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "Everton to win"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-d9583f0be0c2e3f48918d521",
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   "match": "Arsenal v Aston Villa",
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   "kickoff": "2025-01-18T17:30:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Premier League",
   "lead_hours": -14877.7,
   "market_code": "1x2",
   "author_said": "1X2, match result: Arsenal",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Lost",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "2-2",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": -10000,
   "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
   "series_short": "last pre-match archive price, restored",
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": "1.5500",
   "published_at": "2025-01-16T12:00:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-30T15:11:11.834Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-a3c09e7a1c678013ce3d6007",
   "url": null,
   "match": "Fulham v Ipswich Town",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2025-01-05T14:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Premier League",
   "lead_hours": -15193.2,
   "market_code": "double_chance",
   "author_said": "Double chance: draw or Ipswich Town",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Won",
   "claim_outcome": "Won",
   "final_score": "2-2",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": 14800,
   "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
   "series_short": "last pre-match archive price, restored",
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": "2.4800",
   "published_at": "2025-01-03T12:00:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-30T15:14:32.786Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-7461703e5da918e5c0621724",
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   "match": "Ipswich Town v Chelsea",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2024-12-30T19:45:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Premier League",
   "lead_hours": -15331.5,
   "market_code": "1x2",
   "author_said": "1X2, match result: Chelsea",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Lost",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "2-0",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": -10000,
   "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
   "series_short": "last pre-match archive price, restored",
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": "1.4000",
   "published_at": "2024-12-29T12:00:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-30T15:17:05.000Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-592254b5c0b10f5833e46ec8",
   "url": null,
   "match": "AFC Bournemouth v West Ham United",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2024-12-16T20:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Premier League",
   "lead_hours": -15667.3,
   "market_code": "1x2",
   "author_said": "1X2, match result: AFC Bournemouth",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Lost",
   "claim_outcome": "Lost",
   "final_score": "1-1",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": -10000,
   "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
   "series_short": "last pre-match archive price, restored",
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": "1.7200",
   "published_at": "2024-12-13T12:00:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-30T15:20:16.292Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-f58e9f7743b22ba38377a77f",
   "url": null,
   "match": "Leicester City v Chelsea",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2024-11-23T12:30:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Premier League",
   "lead_hours": -16227.0,
   "market_code": "1x2",
   "author_said": "1X2, match result: Chelsea",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "settled",
   "outcome": "Won",
   "claim_outcome": "Won",
   "final_score": "1-2",
   "reason": null,
   "reason_code": null,
   "points_hundredths": 4400,
   "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
   "series_short": "last pre-match archive price, restored",
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": "1.4400",
   "published_at": "2024-11-21T12:00:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-30T15:32:43.957Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-517f0e8723bbc996057ab9c1",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "Away Win to Nil Backed",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "",
   "reason_code": "not_supported",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-02-16T15:38:00.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-09-28T16:05:28.282Z",
   "origin": "Found after the match; date as stated by the source",
   "record_part": "found_after",
   "record_part_words": "Found after the match",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  }
 ],
 "lead_time": {
  "contract_version": 1,
  "threshold_hours": 2.0,
  "picks": 28,
  "before_kickoff": 0,
  "after_kickoff": 28,
  "at_least_2h": 0,
  "share_2h_plus": 0.0,
  "median_hours": null,
  "min_hours": null,
  "max_hours": null,
  "words": "Hours between the moment we recorded the pick and kick-off; the share counts picks recorded at least two hours before kick-off."
 },
 "baseline": {
  "contract_version": 1,
  "series_code": "market_price",
  "rule": "recorded-line-1.0",
  "state": "none",
  "picks": 0,
  "settled_picks_all": 0,
  "excluded": {
   "market_without_favourite": 0,
   "no_recorded_line": 0,
   "favourite_not_settled": 0
  },
  "staked_hundredths": 0,
  "author_net_hundredths": 0,
  "favourite_net_hundredths": 0,
  "difference_hundredths": 0,
  "author_return_percent": null,
  "favourite_return_percent": null,
  "author_hit_rate": null,
  "favourite_hit_rate": null,
  "picked_favourite_share": null,
  "by_market": [],
  "return_over_time": [],
  "words": "Same stakes, same matches, same recorded moment: the author’s picks against backing the market favourite by the recorded line. Only markets with a single shortest price count (match result, over/under, both teams to score, handicap); correct score and combined markets are left out."
 },
 "pagination": {
  "per_page": 20,
  "total": 29,
  "pages": 3,
  "page_urls": [
   "/sources/freetips-com/products/football/",
   "/sources/freetips-com/products/football/picks/2/",
   "/sources/freetips-com/products/football/picks/3/"
  ],
  "groups": {
   "settled": 28,
   "pending": 0,
   "excluded": 1
  },
  "continuation": "by_time",
  "page": 1,
  "first": 1,
  "last": 20,
  "author_url": "/sources/freetips-com/products/football/",
  "current": false
 },
 "title_tag": "FreeTips.com — Football tips: Football Prediction Record",
 "calculator": null,
 "source_info": {
  "code_name": "freetips-com",
  "display_name": "FreeTips.com",
  "type_code": "tips_website",
  "domains": [
   "freetips.com"
  ],
  "owner": null,
  "check": {
   "when": null,
   "source_list": []
  },
  "url": "/sources/freetips-com/",
  "products": [
   {
    "code_name": "football",
    "display_name": "Football tips",
    "type_code": "column",
    "url": "/sources/freetips-com/products/football/",
    "entity_ref": "e-c4755b84a5ad77bb7e3abd0c",
    "summary": {
     "statements": 241,
     "predictions": 29,
     "settled_picks": 2,
     "headline_kind": "historical_simulation",
     "return_percent": 14.0,
     "headline_part": "archived",
     "period_from": "2026-09-28",
     "period_to": "2026-09-30"
    }
   },
   {
    "code_name": "freetips-com",
    "display_name": "FreeTips.com",
    "type_code": "column",
    "url": "/sources/freetips-com/",
    "entity_ref": "e-c6ffc91acbb6c7d116544677",
    "summary": {
     "statements": 1069,
     "predictions": 382,
     "settled_picks": 33,
     "headline_kind": "live_snapshot",
     "return_percent": 0.93,
     "headline_part": "live",
     "period_from": "2026-10-17",
     "period_to": "2026-11-07"
    }
   }
  ],
  "author_list": [],
  "authors_count": 0,
  "auto": false,
  "product": "football",
  "product_page": true
 },
 "data_revision": {
  "data_version": "2026-10-09.2",
  "updated": "2026-10-09",
  "current_release": "2026-11-07.2",
  "data_as_of": "2026-11-07",
  "method_version": "retro-1.1",
  "price_rule": "reconstructed at archived prices (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only",
  "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm:archived",
  "sample": {
   "settled_picks": 2,
   "matches": 2,
   "void": 0,
   "period_from": "2025-08-23",
   "period_to": "2025-08-25",
   "composition_hash": "132e613d63e287349246058538e1bf24c8f20dafe7a8299f45d6c5196bf0d427"
  },
  "changes_url": "#changes",
  "corrections_url": "/corrections/"
 },
 "number_changes": [
  {
   "id": "zc-64ad9ab43cecd8b445d2",
   "at": "2026-10-09T12:49:36.723Z",
   "data_version": "2026-10-09.2",
   "previous_data_version": "2026-10-09.1",
   "url": "/sources/freetips-com/products/football/",
   "category": "method_changed",
   "category_words": "Method changed",
   "before": {
    "data_version": "2026-10-09.1",
    "return_percent": "-34.44",
    "settled_picks": 27,
    "matches": 27,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
    "price_rule": "second data provider's closing price, restored",
    "method_version": "retro-1.1",
    "composition_hash": "3bb134c5d5e048afb34762d8f6cd894c9594b9ab93fe5c3105de80a3aeb3bb7f",
    "text": "−34.44% on 27 settled picks across 27 matches · second data provider's closing price, restored · method retro-1.1"
   },
   "after": {
    "data_version": "2026-10-09.2",
    "return_percent": "14.00",
    "settled_picks": 2,
    "matches": 2,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm:archived",
    "price_rule": "historical simulation at the last pre-match archive price (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only",
    "method_version": "retro-1.1",
    "composition_hash": "132e613d63e287349246058538e1bf24c8f20dafe7a8299f45d6c5196bf0d427",
    "text": "+28.00 points on 2 settled picks across 2 matches · historical simulation at the last pre-match archive price (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only · method retro-1.1"
   },
   "reason": "The headline rule changed on 9 October 2026: the headline is the live record at our recorded market price; without one, a historical simulation at the last pre-match archive price (~8–15 h before kick-off) on picks archived before kick-off only. Picks first found after the match no longer enter the headline number. Was: second data provider's closing price, restored (27 settled picks). Now: historical simulation at the last pre-match archive price (~8–15 h before kick-off), archived before kick-off only (2 settled picks).",
   "checked_by": "comparison of data versions",
   "affected_records": {
    "added": 0,
    "removed": 25,
    "changed": 0
   },
   "correction_id": "i-d54c6ef0abc63d458cd2"
  },
  {
   "id": "zc-9d814e560daa7217d9a6",
   "at": "2026-10-09T11:08:54.367Z",
   "data_version": "2026-10-09.1",
   "previous_data_version": "2026-09-30.1",
   "url": "/sources/freetips-com/products/football/",
   "category": "coverage_extended",
   "category_words": "Coverage extended",
   "before": {
    "data_version": "2026-09-30.1",
    "return_percent": "-43.67",
    "settled_picks": 21,
    "matches": 21,
    "void": 0,
    "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
    "price_rule": "second data provider's closing price, restored",
    "method_version": "retro-1.1",
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 "author_card": {
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  "url": "https://forecastrecord.com/sources/freetips-com/products/football/",
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  "refreshed_at": "2026-09-30",
  "html": "<a href=\"https://forecastrecord.com/sources/freetips-com/products/football/\">Record tracked by Forecast Record since 28 September 2026 · 29 predictions · last change 30 September 2026</a>"
 },
 "trust": {
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 "author_type": "Prediction site",
 "data_changes": {
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  "records_corrected": 0,
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   "source_group": "cards"
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}