{
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 "language": "en",
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 "heading": "Daily Mail: Football Prediction Record",
 "description": "Daily Mail: 3,954 statements recorded by Forecast Record. Every statement with its source and the rule applied to it.",
 "first_paragraph": {
  "body": "Forecast Record has recorded 3,954 statements by Daily Mail, including 2 predictions. Of the 2 predictions we hold for Daily Mail, 1 is linked to matches: 1 was recorded by us before kick-off. The statements are listed below; as of 7 November 2026.",
  "key_number": "3954",
  "data": "2026-11-07",
  "source_info": "our own evidence archive and market snapshot",
  "brand": "Forecast Record"
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 "data_date": "2026-11-07T17:50:21.170Z",
 "built_at": "2026-11-07T19:52:23.438Z",
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 "markup": [
  {
   "type_code": "WebPage",
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  },
  {
   "type_code": "Organization",
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 "modules": {
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 "affiliate_block": {
  "container": true,
  "request_url": "/partnery/moi",
  "disclosure": "Some links below are affiliate links and are marked as such. They never affect what you see above: the order of any table is computed before any commission is known.",
  "page_category": "author"
 },
 "restrictions": {
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 "page_links": {
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 "entity": {
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  "public_name": "Daily Mail",
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  "status": "active",
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  "observation_period": {
   "since": "2026-09-26",
   "until": "2026-11-06"
  },
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   {
    "medium": "website",
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  "byline": "Return on stakes at an independent odds snapshot over 90 days: 0 settled picks across 0 matches",
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   "live": null,
   "archived": null
  },
  "author_response": null,
  "cite": {
   "text": "Forecast Record has recorded 3,954 statements by Daily Mail, including 2 predictions. Of the 2 predictions we hold for Daily Mail, 1 is linked to matches: 1 was recorded by us before kick-off. The statements are listed below; as of 7 November 2026.",
   "url": "https://forecastrecord.com/sources/dailymail-com/",
   "data_as_of": "2026-11-07",
   "method_version": null
  },
  "origin": {
   "contract_version": "1",
   "predictions": 2,
   "under_review": 0,
   "no_match_linked": 1,
   "proven_predictions": 1,
   "proven_checked": 1,
   "proven_measured": 0,
   "proven_dates": 1,
   "parts": [
    {
     "code": "live",
     "title": "Recorded before kick-off",
     "explanation": "Saved by us from the source before kick-off.",
     "predictions": 1,
     "checked": 1,
     "price_rule": "Return at our recorded market price",
     "series_code": "market_price",
     "main": null,
     "same_picks": [],
     "score": {
      "score_forecasts": 0,
      "exact_hits": 0,
      "exact_rate": null,
      "outcome_checked": 0,
      "outcome_hits": 0,
      "outcome_rate": null,
      "baseline_matches": 0,
      "baseline_distinct_matches": 0,
      "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0,
      "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null,
      "favourite_hits": 0,
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      "price_basis": null,
      "pending": 0,
      "void": 0,
      "recorded_after_kickoff": 0,
      "lines": []
     },
     "eligible": {
      "checked": 1,
      "priced": 0
     },
     "accuracy": null,
     "reviewed_after": {
      "predictions": 1,
      "right": 1,
      "wrong": 0,
      "other": 0
     }
    },
    {
     "code": "archived",
     "title": "Archived before kick-off",
     "explanation": "Restored from a copy saved by an independent web archive before kick-off.",
     "predictions": 0,
     "checked": 0,
     "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices",
     "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
     "main": null,
     "same_picks": [],
     "score": {
      "score_forecasts": 0,
      "exact_hits": 0,
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      "outcome_checked": 0,
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      "baseline_matches": 0,
      "baseline_distinct_matches": 0,
      "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0,
      "outcome_rate_on_baseline": null,
      "favourite_hits": 0,
      "favourite_rate": null,
      "price_basis": null,
      "pending": 0,
      "void": 0,
      "recorded_after_kickoff": 0,
      "lines": []
     },
     "eligible": {
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      "priced": 0
     },
     "accuracy": null
    },
    {
     "code": "found_after",
     "title": "Found after the match",
     "explanation": "First found after the match; the date is the one the source states.",
     "predictions": 0,
     "checked": 0,
     "price_rule": "Reconstructed at archived prices",
     "series_code": "retro_market_closing_sm",
     "main": null,
     "same_picks": [],
     "score": {
      "score_forecasts": 0,
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      "outcome_checked": 0,
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      "baseline_matches": 0,
      "baseline_distinct_matches": 0,
      "outcome_hits_on_baseline": 0,
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      "favourite_hits": 0,
      "favourite_rate": null,
      "price_basis": null,
      "pending": 0,
      "void": 0,
      "recorded_after_kickoff": 0,
      "lines": []
     },
     "eligible": {
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      "priced": 0
     },
     "accuracy": null
    }
   ]
  },
  "live_alongside": null,
  "headline_record_ids": [],
  "caption": "Recorded statements and predictions · as of 7 November 2026",
  "record_from": "2026-09-26",
  "record_to": "2026-11-06"
 },
 "recorded_picks": [
  {
   "record_id": "n-153a610bfbdce3520386b59d",
   "url": "/sources/dailymail-com/#pick-n-153a610bfbdce3520386b59d",
   "match": "Hearts v St Mirren",
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": "2026-10-10T14:00:00.000Z",
   "competition": "Scottish Premiership",
   "lead_hours": 18.2,
   "market_code": "1x2",
   "author_said": "1X2, match result: Hearts",
   "quote": null,
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": "Won",
   "final_score": "5-0",
   "reason": "graded against the result: right",
   "reason_code": "not_checked",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
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   "author_price": null,
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   "published_at": "2026-10-09T19:41:26.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-09T19:49:28.640Z",
   "origin": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
   "record_part": "live",
   "record_part_words": "Recorded before kick-off",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
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   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null,
   "evidence": {
    "observation_id": "n-153a610bfbdce3520386b59d",
    "quote_text": "But nevertheless, Hearts should be viewing this as a banker.",
    "fragment_from": 7467,
    "fragment_to": 7527,
    "quote_allowed": true,
    "source_info": {
     "medium": "rss",
     "url": "https://www.dailymail.com/sport/football/article-16197433/hearts-wouter-vrancken-premiership-europa-conference-league-premier-sports-cup-ageu.html",
     "display_name": null,
     "speaker": null,
     "authorship": "channel_consensus",
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     "bundle_id": "3f0d8bd000dab5847c4d751dce98a8897dee90bc71870330cf3f742eb408be83",
     "material_removed": false
    },
    "published_at": "2026-10-09T19:41:26.000Z",
    "detected_at": "2026-10-09T19:49:28.640Z",
    "executed_at": null,
    "statement_class": "unpriced",
    "status": "ambiguous",
    "cause": "",
    "cause_code": "not_checked",
    "event": {
     "event_id": "s-6105e99b76a8",
     "display_name": "Hearts — St Mirren",
     "competition_name": "Scottish Premiership",
     "starts_at": "2026-10-10T14:00:00.000Z",
     "url": null,
     "scoreline": "5-0",
     "condition": "finished"
    },
    "market_label": "1X2, match result",
    "outcome_label": "Hearts",
    "odds_set": {
     "by_author": null,
     "our_snapshot": null,
     "our_snapshot_at": null,
     "our_snapshot_source": null,
     "closing": null,
     "closing_source": null
    },
    "stake_hundredths": null,
    "result": "win",
    "simulation_change_hundredths": null,
    "bankroll_after_hundredths": null,
    "executed_by": null,
    "series_label": null,
    "withdrawn": false,
    "provenance": "recorded_pre_match",
    "provenance_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "dates": {
     "fragment_at": "2026-10-09T19:41:26.000Z",
     "fragment_basis": "element",
     "source_page_at": "2026-10-09T19:41:26.000Z",
     "detected_at": "2026-10-09T19:49:28.640Z",
     "archive_snapshot_at": null,
     "flags": [],
     "flag_words": null,
     "rule_version": "1.1"
    },
    "origin": "recorded_before_kickoff",
    "origin_detail": null,
    "origin_words": "Recorded by us before kick-off",
    "added_on": null,
    "late_publication": null,
    "author_claim": {
     "market_label": "1X2, match result",
     "choice": "Hearts",
     "author_odds": null,
     "market_key": "1x2",
     "choice_key": "1",
     "period": "match",
     "line": null,
     "subject": "goals_total",
     "in_words": "1X2, match result: Hearts"
    },
    "author_claim_outcome": {
     "result": "win",
     "scoreline": "5-0",
     "data_status": "measured",
     "cause": null,
     "methodology_version": "2.2",
     "in_words": "Won: the final score was Hearts 5-0 St Mirren."
    },
    "settlements": [
     {
      "operation_id": "80aef3930613347bc6a3a496a25535ccceac5cde9493df70b004589a484cfb8c",
      "series_key": "market_price",
      "series_label": "At an independent odds snapshot",
      "derived": false,
      "site_simulation": true,
      "author_words": true,
      "market_label": "1X2, match result",
      "choice": "Hearts",
      "decimal_odds": null,
      "odds_role": null,
      "stake_hundredths": null,
      "status": "skipped",
      "status_text": "Not executed: ",
      "result": null,
      "result_words": null,
      "change_hundredths": null,
      "executed_at": null,
      "methodology_version": "2.2",
      "on_claim_market": true,
      "replaced": false
     }
    ],
    "corrections": [],
    "funnel_stage": "prediction",
    "authorship": {
     "material_author": "Daily Mail",
     "publisher": "Daily Mail",
     "forecaster": "Daily Mail",
     "forecaster_named_in_text": false,
     "basis": null,
     "status": "not_named",
     "status_words": "Attributed by the byline",
     "status_note": "The source does not name a separate tipster, so the selection is attributed to the byline or channel owner.",
     "evidence_fragment": null,
     "material_url": "https://www.dailymail.com/sport/football/article-16197433/hearts-wouter-vrancken-premiership-europa-conference-league-premier-sports-cup-ageu.html",
     "excluded_from_individual_summaries": false,
     "verdict_by": null,
     "verdict_line": null
    },
    "correction": null,
    "choice_words": "Hearts to win"
   }
  },
  {
   "record_id": "n-5037fa4260ea3d3f0ba26ad0",
   "url": null,
   "match": null,
   "match_url": null,
   "kickoff": null,
   "competition": null,
   "lead_hours": null,
   "market_code": null,
   "author_said": null,
   "quote": "The Sassuolo centre-forward should be back up front again when Slovenia come calling at Hampden on Tuesday night in a game that Scotland should now be expected to win.",
   "group": "excluded",
   "outcome": "Excluded",
   "claim_outcome": null,
   "final_score": null,
   "reason": "national-team match (Nations League, qualifiers, continental cups)",
   "reason_code": "outside_coverage",
   "points_hundredths": null,
   "series_code": null,
   "series_short": null,
   "author_price": null,
   "settled_price": null,
   "published_at": "2026-10-03T21:00:42.000Z",
   "recorded_at": "2026-10-03T21:05:24.281Z",
   "origin": "Date as stated by the source; no match is linked to this statement",
   "record_part": "unlinked",
   "record_part_words": "Without a match page",
   "in_headline": false,
   "attribution": null,
   "verdict_line": null,
   "price_disputed": null,
   "checked_after_kickoff": false,
   "favourite": null,
   "correction": null
  }
 ],
 "lead_time": {
  "contract_version": 1,
  "threshold_hours": 2.0,
  "picks": 1,
  "before_kickoff": 1,
  "after_kickoff": 0,
  "at_least_2h": 1,
  "share_2h_plus": 100.0,
  "median_hours": 18.2,
  "min_hours": 18.2,
  "max_hours": 18.2,
  "words": "Hours between the moment we recorded the pick and kick-off; the share counts picks recorded at least two hours before kick-off."
 },
 "baseline": {
  "contract_version": 1,
  "series_code": "market_price",
  "rule": "recorded-line-1.0",
  "state": "none",
  "picks": 0,
  "settled_picks_all": 0,
  "excluded": {
   "market_without_favourite": 0,
   "no_recorded_line": 0,
   "favourite_not_settled": 0
  },
  "staked_hundredths": 0,
  "author_net_hundredths": 0,
  "favourite_net_hundredths": 0,
  "difference_hundredths": 0,
  "author_return_percent": null,
  "favourite_return_percent": null,
  "author_hit_rate": null,
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  "picked_favourite_share": null,
  "by_market": [],
  "return_over_time": [],
  "words": "Same stakes, same matches, same recorded moment: the author’s picks against backing the market favourite by the recorded line. Only markets with a single shortest price count (match result, over/under, both teams to score, handicap); correct score and combined markets are left out."
 },
 "pagination": {
  "per_page": 20,
  "total": 2,
  "pages": 1,
  "page_urls": [
   "/sources/dailymail-com/"
  ],
  "groups": {
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  },
  "continuation": "by_time",
  "page": 1,
  "first": 1,
  "last": 2,
  "author_url": "/sources/dailymail-com/",
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 },
 "title_tag": "Daily Mail: Football Prediction Record",
 "calculator": null,
 "source_info": {
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  "display_name": "Daily Mail",
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  "check": {
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   "source_list": []
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  "url": "/sources/dailymail-com/",
  "products": [
   {
    "code_name": "daily-mail",
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    "url": "/sources/dailymail-com/",
    "entity_ref": "e-20a59daa1ce4a5d986578a8c",
    "summary": {
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  "product": "daily-mail",
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 },
 "data_revision": null,
 "number_changes": [],
 "author_card": {
  "body": "Record tracked by Forecast Record since 3 October 2026 · 2 predictions · last change 9 October 2026",
  "url": "https://forecastrecord.com/sources/dailymail-com/",
  "s": "2026-10-03",
  "prediction_count": 2,
  "refreshed_at": "2026-10-09",
  "html": "<a href=\"https://forecastrecord.com/sources/dailymail-com/\">Record tracked by Forecast Record since 3 October 2026 · 2 predictions · last change 9 October 2026</a>"
 },
 "trust": {
  "tier": "probation",
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  "days": 1,
  "weeks": 1,
  "archive": false,
  "in_review": false,
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  "won_count": 1,
  "first_settled_on": "2026-10-10",
  "products_in_level": 1,
  "rule": {
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    "min_days": 30,
    "min_distinct_weeks": 2,
    "no_violations": true
   },
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  },
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 "author_type": "Prediction site",
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  "corrections_url": "/corrections/"
 },
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 "related": [
  {
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   "source_group": "cards"
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 "number_sets": [
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}
